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hglaser a day ago

It is incredible how far the overton window has moved on this issue.

When I graduated in 2007, it was common for tech companies to refuse to let their systems be used for war, and it was an ordinary thing when some of my graduating classmates refused to work at companies that did let their systems be used for war. Those refusals were on moral grounds.

Now Anthropic wants to have two narrow exceptions, on pragmatic and not moral grounds. To do so, they have to couch it in language clarifying that they would love to support war, actually, except for these two narrow exceptions. And their careful word choice suggests that they are either navigating or expect to navigate significant blowback for asking for two narrow exceptions.

My, the world has changed.

DavidVoid 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

There's an old German short film called Nicht löschbares Feuer (Inextinguishable Fire, 1969)[1] that I'm fond of. It was a protest film against Napalm and how some companies wouldn't really let their employees know what they were actually working on.

"I am a worker and I work in a vacuum cleaner factory. My wife could use a vacuum cleaner. That's why everyday I pick up a piece. At home I try to assemble the vacuum cleaner. But however I try, it always becomes a sub-machine gun.

...

This vacuum cleaner can become a useful weapon. This sub-machine gun can become a useful household appliance.

What we produce it depends on the workers, students, and engineers."

That last line is still very relevant today.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EnpLS4ct2mM

shadowtree 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Fun fact:

DOW Chemical was producing Agent Orange, but was getting a ton of public pushback - so bad it decided to stop production, forcing the Pentagon to look for an alternative supplier.

That supplier? A German privately owned pharmaco called Boehringer-Ingelheim. It's Chairman at the time? Richard von Weizsäcker, future President of Germany.

The production site was in Hamburg, is contaminated for the next thousand years. Boehringer is legally forced to operate pumps to prevent the dioxins in that site from reaching the water table. If those did, it would wipe out the full population.

Oh those righteous Germans.

Disclosure - Boehringer denies the above: https://www.boehringer-ingelheim.com/boehringer-ingelheim-di...

Judge for yourself.

NIH on Exposure, AO and BI: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK230789/

Deeper dive on that BI Hamburg site: https://www.ebsco.com/research-starters/consumer-health/diox...

KellyCriterion 9 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Nitpick here:

They didnt produce the final Agent Orange, they produced on of the materials needed for Agent Orange:

2,4,5-Trichlorophenoxyacetic

tartoran 9 hours ago | parent [-]

That's one of the herbicides used to defoliate trees in the agent orange.

lencastre 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Bhopal disaster comes to mind.

bobchadwick 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This sounds like the plot to the story Johnny Cash tells in One Piece at a Time, minus the machine gun, of course.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZuJivIwV8o

ghywertelling 12 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This question has been boiling in my brain for quite a long time.

Consider a hypothetical scenario where one spy chinese or russian programmer working in Google or Meta might have siphoned off (copied and uploaded) all the important code (Monorepo) to the Mothership and all of us are now sitting ducks.

I am sure, this question might have crossed your minds. I have no idea. if blueprints for the TPU chip design could get leaked, imagine what might have already happened?

ipython 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

That kinda happened already in 2009. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Aurora

Industrial espionage also was publicly disclosed around the plans for the joint strike fighter. https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2017/july/chinas-...

I’m sure in the classified arena there are a lot more examples.

sabatonfan 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Minor point but this doesn't only have to be russian/chinese spies but rather this can be anybody including say the UK/Israel or even countries which can be considered "allies"

I'd also be surprised if this code isn't already available with the US forces too and sometimes the enemy can be from within too.

ryandrake a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> it was an ordinary thing when some of my graduating classmates refused to work at companies that did let their systems be used for war. Those refusals were on moral grounds.

(spoiler alert)

Wasn't this one of the plot points of the Val Kilmer movie Real Genius? They had to trick the students into creating a weapon by siloing them off from each other and having them build individual but related components? How far we've fallen! Nobody has to take ethics during undergrad anymore I guess...

bobbiechen a day ago | parent | next [-]

>I’m going to tell you about how I took a job building software to kill people.

>But don’t get distracted by that; I didn’t know at the time.

Caleb Hearth: "Don't Get Distracted" https://calebhearth.com/dont-get-distracted

lukan 18 hours ago | parent [-]

But he did know he was going to work for the military.

"I’d be joining a contracting company for the Department of Defense."

(But interesting article otherwise)

benterix 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Yeah but this itself doesn't necessarily have to mean anything, e.g. DARPA sponsored half of the nice things we're using every day.

lukan 13 hours ago | parent [-]

"DARPA sponsored half of the nice things we're using every day"

That's a very bold claim. (And I am aware of the history of the Internet)

benterix 12 hours ago | parent [-]

"Half" is obviously an exaggeration but apart from time-sharing operating systems, the Internet, what is now CSAIL and (partially) GPS, they sponsored a ton of open source projects. They used to maintain a catalog[0]. The Web Archive version[1] contains a partial list (e.g. OpenBSD was sponsored only for a few years and is not included there).

[0] https://www.darpa.mil/opencatalog

[1] https://web.archive.org/web/20140301185004/https://www.darpa...

roysting 10 hours ago | parent [-]

The bigger issue with your perspective is that you do not realize that the underlying purpose of the things you do not attribute to the military or equate as bad, is still groundwork or “capacity building” deliberately for militaristic purposes and objectives, usually very intentionally so that you don’t realize it. You would likely not support things if you were overly told what the underlying objective was.

Let me put it this way, if you wanted a populace that will willingly enter the military to serve your purposes of world domination through constant warfare, would you promote TV and movies, rather than reading classical literature and philosophy; and fund and press movie houses to make films that put joining the military to go to war and templating being a “warrior” as a positive thing instead of a negative, murderous thing?

benterix 9 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't have any perspective, just state a fact - DARPA did contribute to things we find useful.

The core issue itself is terribly complex because in an ideal world we would never need military at all, and at least in Europe we had this hope that humanity is evolving in this direction, and that eventually even the wars in the Middle East and Africa will calm down. 2014 and 2022 were rude awakenings - there are crazy people out there, and they became nation leaders, and will start a war for one reason or another. That's why I don't have a unified opinion on that, especially that some military tech like interceptors are saving people's lives.

endofreach 17 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

To be fair, the name of that Department used to be very confusing...

WorldMaker 7 hours ago | parent [-]

The name of that Department was chosen to be aspirational, to encourage it to try to keep within its Constitutional guardrails, to keep it focused on the right mission.

Sure, it often didn't live up to its aspirations and a lot of the fence posts of those Constitutional guardrails got moved, but wearing those aspirations on its sleeve left some room for people to challenge it and openly criticize it by reminding the Department of its guardrails and its mission.

The name change is disrespectful to the Constitution, if not terrifying for other reasons.

BryantD a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Also in Good Will Hunting, when Will (Matt Damon) delivers a scathing job rejection to the NSA.

1997. The War on Terror has a lot to answer for.

https://youtu.be/tH0bTpwQL7U

hax0ron3 20 hours ago | parent [-]

The late 90s were full of media that questioned reality and authority - like X-Files, The Matrix, Dark City, all sorts of websites about conspiracy theories and UFOs, etc. The zeitgeist was full of speculation about hidden truths. The cultural mood was defiant and sardonic. There was rap, rap-rock, Beavis and Butthead, Fight Club, Office Space... One of the most popular pro wrestlers in the world played a character who beat up his boss and gave him the middle finger. Then after 9/11 it kinda seemed like suddenly the TV shows were all about cops and soldiers. Admittedly, my memories might be somewhat deceiving me. But I do feel that the mood suddenly shifted, much more than the actual damage done to America by the attack should have justified.

donkyrf 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The late 90s were also a time of Law & Order, The West Wing, Apollo 13, and Saving Private Ryan.

And today is a time of Andor and Succession....

ethbr1 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

To be fair, West Wing, Apollo 13, and Saving Private Ryan all have very strong counter-authority veins.

17 hours ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
jedberg 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Gen-X was making the popular new art at the time. It was a strong reflection of the feelings of our generation. We were (maybe still are?) known for not liking authority.

GJim 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Gen-X was making the popular new art at the time. It was a strong reflection of the feelings of our generation.

I posted this in a thread about the 90's film 'Hackers'.....

In the 1990's and for us Gen-X'ers, the worst thing you could do was to sell out; to take the mans money instead of keeping your integrity. Calling people and bands 'sell outs' (sometimes without justification!) was to insult them.

With the rise of 'influencers' the opposite appears to be the case; people go out of their way to sell out and are praised for doing so. This is a massive change in the cultural landscape which perhaps many born in the 2000's aren't aware of. (Being aware of this helps give some perspective to Gen-X media and films like Hackers).

BTW: Remember the 'product scene' in the film Waynes World?

pixl97 9 hours ago | parent [-]

Ethics are easy when you can afford food.

Post 2000s there has been a pretty fundamental change in the US economy. Things like rent and food were far cheaper. There was also a lot of potential income to be made by individuals by connecting buyers and sellers. Typically if you wanted to sell something like a car, you either went to a dealer that screwed you, or you put and ad in the local paper. If you watched around you could quickly buy cheap cars and turn them quickly for more than enough profit to make it worth while.

The internet quickly flattened this. First by pulling all the buyers and sellers on one advertising site it quickly turned into the fastest with the most capital won. Then the sites themselves figured out they should be the middle man keeping buying up the stock and selling it.

There has also been a huge consolidation to just a few players in many markets. This consolidation and many times algorithmic collusion has lead to the general ratcheting of prices higher. When you start adding things in like 'too big to fail' the market becomes horrifically unbalanced to large protected capital with unlimited funds from the money printing machine.

It's no wonder we quickly dropped ethics, most of us would starve to death in the system we've created.

GJim 7 hours ago | parent [-]

> Post 2000s there has been a pretty fundamental change in the US economy.

American centrism strikes again.

I'm not American.

nytesky 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Reality Bites captures the zeitgeist well.

I think the money craze that came with dot.com, War on Terror spending, housing bubble, really flipped people into money at all costs.

pjmlp 17 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

As Gen-Xer I fully agree, I don't get the way things are with obedience, the rediculous situation that American families can lose their kids by having them playing alone in the garden, how everyone sells out for money (Punk would not happen today), the always smile and say no negatives at work being rediculous false (this one really drives me crazy),....

dhosek 17 hours ago | parent [-]

And yet Gen X is the demographic that fell hardest for Trump.

benterix 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This is not true:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/exit-polls

rkomorn 14 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm confused. The poll shows ages 45-64 had the highest percentage of Trump voters (54%).

Is that not confirming that Gen X (1965-1980, so ages 44-59 in 2024) was the most pro-Trump?

pjmlp 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Was it? I am not on US.

If anything it is all about boomers, gen z and rednecks on YT and TikTok when going over MAGA and Project 2025 videos.

As far as I am aware, the people that didn't gave a damm to elections and ignored their right to vote, are the main reason.

bdangubic 13 hours ago | parent [-]

this isn’t true either, 2024 election saw the highest number of people voting - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_turnout_in_United_States...

pjmlp 12 hours ago | parent [-]

So what happened to those 34.7% voters that had better things to do than cast a vote?

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2025/2024-pre...

bdangubic 10 hours ago | parent [-]

The exercised their rights not to vote. The “losing” side always thinks that higher turnout would have led to them “winning” which of course is a cry of a sore loser. The fact remains, 2024 election had the highest voter turnout ever and people have spoken (till the next one when we might get a chance to elect some adults to fix this shit)

ryandrake 9 hours ago | parent | next [-]

When you don't vote, you're really just voting for "whoever happens to win". So I count the non-voters among (R) supporters, or at least as "OK with Trump". Otherwise, they would have voted.

WorldMaker 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Abstentions can be the most powerful vote, and with great power should come great responsibility. That's often not taught well enough in schools.

Abstentions can seem the laziest vote sometimes, but that doesn't diminish their power nor their responsibility. It is a freedom to be allowed to cast an abstention. Real democracy needs to allow for abstentions, especially explicit abstentions.

(In recent primaries there have been races where I have explicitly cast an abstention. No one will have read my "I don't care who wins this primary, I care who wins the general election" statements, but they are statements to be made. Right now some of the "strategy" in the US two-party system is one-party poisoning the primary vote of the other party by inflaming it with in-fighting in ways that leak into the general election. You have a harder time to win general elections when your candidate is already on fire coming out of the primary. "It doesn't matter who wins, let's stop in-fighting," is a message I can try to write on the ballot, even if not enough people hear it, it feels like the more powerful and responsible vote.)

The goal shouldn't be to get to 100% of people voting in every election, the goal should be to educate people that not voting is tacitly accepting the results of other people's votes. The goal should be teaching people that abstentions are a freedom, a right, a privilege, and should be treated as powerful and treated with responsibility.

hax0ron3 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I don't think that makes sense. If Harris had happened to win through some minor change in the timeline (she came very close after all), would those people whom you call R supporters instead somehow be D supporters, just because of that minor change in the timeline?

As for "OK with Trump", I think that describes some non-voters. However, there are also non-voters who are more accurately described as "not OK with either side, indeed dislike both sides so equally that neither one seems like the slightly better option".

There is also the factor of swing states. In most of the US, your vote for President pretty much doesn't matter. You almost might as well just put it in the trash. The vote in your state is, barring a massive political shift, locked in for one of the two major candidates. Now, yes, you can still send a message by voting in a non-swing state. But it's understandable why some people would just not bother to vote in a state where the outcome is almost predetermined.

actionfromafar 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

There's a next time? I wouldn't bet on it.

bdangubic 9 hours ago | parent [-]

every year we hear the same thing but wheels keep on turning. we will vote again, we will make more mistakes in 2026/28/30... this "there will be no election" comments are quite silly in my opinion, America gets stupid from time to time but we get the fuckers out and try something else (which inevitably leads to some progress followed by more failure followed by...).

Just remember it always comes down to - "it is the economy, stupid" - and economy is in absolute shambles and will get a lot worse before November and it'll be a massacre for the ruling part much like in 2018

actionfromafar 6 hours ago | parent [-]

I hope you are right, and that ICE isn't outside polling stations come November, pulling you away (just to "check your ID" for a couple of days, you know!) if you are a registered Democrat or look too brown or gay.

wartywhoa23 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Gen X is the demographic that doesn't believe that elections are anything else but a clown show.

bonesss 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Based only on lived experience.

vintermann 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I was absolutely disgusted by stuff like 24 and zero dark thirty when it came out. "If you cut the throat of the terrorist's son he'll break down and tell you where the bomb is" - they expected the audience to treat that as plausible narrative, and a lot of them clearly did.

A lot of the war propaganda from back then is also depressingly similar to what gets pumped out now: you can't argue with success, you don't want to be on the losers' side do you?

Rzor 13 hours ago | parent | next [-]

To give 24 some credit, it showed some Americans as complicit in the terrorism or corruption in the story. ZDT also touched on how torture wasn't as effective as assumed. I agree that the broader themes often feel biased/propagandized, framing the anti-hero, who's basically acting as a proxy for the government, as justified at almost any cost.

Phemist 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Similarly in the pilot episode of Designated Survivor. "Let's nuke Teheran" was seen as a valid, and brilliant, tactical move in order to get negotiations with Iran to go Kiefer Sutherland's way.

BLKNSLVR 11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Add The Thirteenth Floor and eXistenZ to the initial list of movies.

ChoGGi 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Then after 9/11 it kinda seemed like suddenly the TV shows were all about cops and soldiers.

There were some rare exceptions like Veep

godelski 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

  > Beavis and Butthead, ... Office Space
Mike Judge still does. Serendipitously there's a show called Silicon Valley... I also enjoyed the more recent Common Side Effects. But you even see it in King of the Hill and it's hard to miss in Idiocracy.
DANmode 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The release date of the show 24 is fun.

snozolli 16 hours ago | parent | next [-]

My pet theory is that NYPD Blue and 24 paved the way in the American public mind for authoritarianism via the "good guys bending the rules and using violence because they know this guy did it" theme.

InitialLastName 7 hours ago | parent [-]

CSI and Law and Order as well contributed to the perception that the majority of police officers spend their time diligently and righteously investigating real crimes (usually resulting in finding the culprit) instead of spending their days watching traffic in pursuit of pretextual traffic stops, and solving less than 50% of violent crime cases.

ChoGGi 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

What is Nov 6 2001?

komali2 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

No, you're right, and I distinctly remember the conspiracy theorists and counter culture thinkers immediately circling around "this is going to be used to restrict our freedom." And of course they were absolutely right.

I also remember it was the worse possible cultural faux paux to indicate you thought invading foreign nations wasn't a good response to 9/11. I mean go look at the votes for invasion of Iraq, damn near 2/3 of both the house and Senate in favor. Every radio blaring patriotic songs, every school doing patriotic projects, every brown kid living in hell.

It sucked, bad.

18 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
the_af 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You're right.

And the military in movies used to be depicted as inflexible, stubborn, paranoid, incompetent, and usually either "the bad guys" or authorities that impeded the progress of the main characters. (With exceptions; I'm not forgetting about Top Gun).

Then there was a sudden switch, with the military shown with cool gadgets, airplanes, tech, heroics, and generally being glorified. The transition must have happened before the first Transformers, but it was in full swing by then.

Were one of a conspiratorial mind, one would guess massive amounts of money were spent in changing this image.

sodality2 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

No conspiracy necessary. The CIA bought the rights to the 1954 film Animal Farm, modified the ending to fit propagandist ends, and it went undiscovered for four decades. The original Top Gun was intended to recover the image of the US Navy after the Vietnam War. Etc etc etc.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military%E2%80%93entertainment...

iammjm 15 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Please lets also not forget computer games. Call of Duty, Battlefield, Medal of Honor, oh what a glorious thing to be an american soldier...

duskdozer 12 hours ago | parent | next [-]

America's Army would like to have a word

ChoGGi 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Press F to pay respects

DANmode 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

So, no conspiracy theory necessary.

wartywhoa23 13 hours ago | parent [-]

It's all straight up conspiracy practice since long, to much cheerful bleating how it isn't.

Imustaskforhelp 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> No conspiracy necessary. The CIA bought the rights to the 1954 film Animal Farm, modified the ending to fit propagandist ends,

yea, I remember reading the book and then watching the movie and it had differences iirc, its available on youtube for free and I remember some comments talking about the different ending.

IIRC, in the movie, the animals finally kick the pigs out and everything. It was a good ending.

but in the book, there was not a good ending, the humans and the pigs were celebrating together and then ended up fighting in between each other

> Twelve voices were shouting in anger, and they were all alike. No question, now, what had happened to the faces of the pigs. The creatures outside looked from pig to man, and from man to pig, and from pig to man again; but already it was impossible to say which was which.

This is the last paragraph I found from the book (had to download it via archive.org to find the last para)

So am I correct or is there more to the story?

InitialLastName 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Confirmed, that's the last paragraph in my 1996 Signet Classics copy.

meroes 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Just rewatched Buffalo Soldiers with Joaquin Phoenix. Really don't think that movie could be made today.

dv35z 10 hours ago | parent [-]

Such a great and underappreciated movie.

CamelCaseCondo 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military%E2%80%93entertainment...

fadesibert 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If you are waiting until undergraduate level to take ethics, it's far too late to matter anyways.

Doubly so for "business ethics" classes which became à la mode in the post-Enron era. They attempt to teach fundamental ethics, when at most it should be a very thin layer on top of a well founded internal moral framework and well-accepted ethical standards inculcated from day 1 of kindergarten.

Morals are taught 0-9 [0], Ethics perhaps slightly later as it requires more complex thought processes.

[0] https://familiesforlife.sg/pages/fflparticle/Young-Children-...

21 hours ago | parent | next [-]
[deleted]
jadar 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Exactly. But, I would add ethics comes from worldview. The idea of teaching some sort of “secular” ethics has never made sense to me … even if you could pull it off it would never stick. Education is meant to make moral people, and that requires transcendent moral principles that come from somewhere outside of us — namely YHWH, our creator. Anything else is merely borrowing from our worldview — which is good as far as it goes but will always fall short.

godelski 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

  > The idea of teaching some sort of “secular” ethics has never made sense to me …
An intro ethics class won't shy away from religion, it comes up a lot. You'll most likely even discuss differences in different sects of Christianity. You should also have the discussion of if morals are universal (and if so, which ones) or are all made up.

Secular just means you discuss more than one viewpoint. The idea of teaching morality from only one perspective never made sense to me. You won't even get that limited viewpoint in Seminary school, even though it'll certainly be far more biased

jadar 18 hours ago | parent [-]

> Secular just means you discuss more than one viewpoint.

Secular is simply the viewpoint that claims to equalize all viewpoints while at the same time discounting them all in favor of its own … and then stealing the good parts of my viewpoint. :) It means you can bring your priors into the classroom but I can’t. At least in a good seminary they are honest about priors and articulate why their viewpoint is different / better than others. Ethics is and always has been applied theology, answering the question “what do we do?” You can’t answer that question honestly or fully without answering the prior question.

godelski 16 hours ago | parent | next [-]

  > It means you can bring your priors into the classroom but I can’t.
I've heard about this from Fox News but I've never experienced it myself, even having grown up in a very blue state. I'm sure this happens somewhere, but I'm unconvinced it is the norm.

  > Ethics is and always has been applied theology
This is trivial to prove false. You even do it! "What do we do?" You've implicitly added "if god exists". You're so strong in that conviction you claim there's a former question and yet never wrote one down. I'd even argue it is important for theologists to ask "What do we do if god doesn't exist?"

You seem to be under the belief that without god there are no moral convictions. Well I'll quote a very famous conman, as I feel the same as him.

  The question I get asked by religious people all the time is, without God, what's to stop me from raping all I want? And my answer is: I do rape all I want. And the amount I want is zero. And I do murder all I want, and the amount I want is zero. The fact that these people think that if they didn't have this person watching over them that they would go on killing, raping rampages is the most self-damning thing I can imagine. I don't want to do that. Right now, without any god, I don't want to jump across this table and strangle you. I have no desire to strangle you. I have no desire to flip you over and rape you.
  - Penn Jillette
You can even find in the Bible plenty of passages to support his point. If the only thing stopping you from doing evil is the belief of punishment, then you are not a good person. Conversely, if the only reason you are doing good is because you are seeking eternal reward, neither are you good. One does not need god to have morals, one only needs have society and a theory of mind.

Hey look, we did Secular Ethics, and discussed religion! I disagreed with you, but you'll notice I never made claims about if I believe in god or not. You'll notice I make no judgement on you for believing in god. You'll notice, my entire argument is based on the origin of morals and really we've discussed is what is in a man's heart matters. This is no different than "Is an act of kindness good if one films themselves doing it?" There's a lot of gray in that question, obviously.

No ethics class is going to exclude you for being religious, as that would be unethical.

snaking0776 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Agreed. I find that people who argue that religion is necessary for ethics tend to ignore the history of their religion and the fact that the original text largely serves as a jumping off point for religious philosophers to connect older “secular” texts to this new religion. Modern Christianity is a complex combination of Platonic, Aristotelian, Syrian, and Roman ideals which are taken out of their original context to align with the Bible even though the original writers would say they knew nothing about Jesus. The base texts which many of these ideas are based on make almost no appeals to God and focus more on what it means to live a “good life”. To be fair a lot of great ethical arguments are made by Christian writers but I think that’s more just a consequence of their cultural upbringing and the fact that the thing the New Testament really added to the discussion was that your ethical responsibilities generalize beyond yourself and your friends/family.

Religious ethics are just as fluid and complex as secular ethics, it’s just that the concept of God makes people think they can claim that their way of thinking is the only one that’s real. I would guess if you self-reflect though you’d see that even within one lifetime the definition of what’s moral in a religious context changes as well.

srean 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes exactly.

Golden rule does not need the existence of any god.

There are godless religions too that have strong ethical traditions. They are not religions in the Abrahamic sense.

17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
tovej 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I have to strongly disagree.

I've met people who have never been in touch with organized religion. They generally have excellent ethical frameworks. I've also read the bible, it does not have a consistent moral or ethical framework.

How can it be that areligious people have ethics if they need god for ethics?

Ethics is all about being human, it does not require a god, and it does not require anyone to understand even what a human is, or what process led to us living life together. The subjective experience of life and the subjective experience of life in a society is all you need to develop ethics.

Tarq0n 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

At this point theists often try to smuggle God back in as the source of morality through culture.

But I agree, empirically religion and moral behavior seem at best uncorrelated.

srean 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Bible is quite permissive of killing if it's in the name of god. Genocide is quite a recurring theme.

Alan_Writer 15 hours ago | parent [-]

Even God told Abraham to kill his own son. Like, really?

godelski 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Don't worry, it was just a test of Abraham's loyalty. God was never going to let him kill Isaac. It's the perfect example of a completely ethical thing to do to another person...

srean 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Some religious people would be nodding along in agreement not realising this is satire.

forty 3 hours ago | parent [-]

That's for sure, it seems to be a pretty straightforward case of Poe's law

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poe%27s_law

srean 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Not unlike a cartel head that rules by a mix of fear and gaslighting.

Many religious texts, not just the Bible start making a lot of sense when looked at like psyops.

intended 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

sorry, perhaps I misunderstand, but dont you /wouldn’t you take the best from others as well? Is that outside of consideration for some reason?

mckn1ght 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You don’t need religion for ethics or worldview. How about: we all appear here on this rock, none of us know why, we’re all in it together, we all struggle, none of us know if we’re alone in this universe or what the universe really is. This unifies us all and puts us on an even playing field. We should be compassionate to one another as we all come from the same circumstance. We can create a concept of god to explain it, or accept that we don’t know for sure and maybe never will. God is a choice, but not the only one.

pbh101 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This exhibits the borrowing GP mentions: your ‘should’ does not necessarily follow from the stated priors. Why is compassion morally mandated by the priors and not competition, for example?

mckn1ght 18 hours ago | parent [-]

It’s at least an option for consideration. I shouldn’t have spoken normatively.

Is your position that compassion is only possible via religion?

pbh101 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Agree an option for consideration.

I don’t think religion is the only path, but that it has functioned as a prosocial positive-sum cooperating/compassion technology/mechanism in many cultural contexts. Not without downsides, of course.

That many today relatively reflexively default to ~‘we can all be nice to each other; this is obviously the (only) moral approach’ without stated precepts/priors/fundaments upon which that morality is moored I think tends to implicitly borrow priors from Western Christian tradition, albeit incompletely and sometimes critically so. Sam Harris’ recent appearance on Ross Douthat’s ‘Interesting Times’ podcast was IMO an example of this.

throwpoaster 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This kind of argument, while moral on a surface level, belies a misunderstanding of human nature. In Jungian terms, it assumes that the shadow self either does not exist or has been fully integrated without confrontation.

Once one has enough power and experience to achieve one’s goals despite opposition, and to use others instrumentally, the moral calculus can become difficult. We do not all start from the same circumstances: I am writing this on a phone produced by slave labour.

As Lenin might have said: “compassion for whom?”

You say “God is a choice”. Solipsism is a choice.

yoyohello13 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

All of our current leaders as using God to justify their terrible actions. So religion doesn’t seem to be very good at teaching morals either.

Alan_Writer 15 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This happened throughout history, not just now. Religion is used as an instrument, but does not necessarily reflect the underlying meaning.

There's only hunger for power. Man's essence.

ghywertelling 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Erwin Schrödinger might have abused children because why not, "everything is a wave after all. does it really matter what one wave does to another?"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erwin_Schr%C3%B6dinger#Sexual_...

Imustaskforhelp 10 hours ago | parent [-]

Both can be true that Leaders can use god to justify their terrible actions and Scientists can use theories/philosophies to justify their terrible actions too.

Justification of any evil action to consider oneself as a good guy might be a human quality.

That being said, Majority of wars/conflicts in the past have sadly been because of religions and that number doesn't seem to be stopping and is still continuing to this day sadly.

pjmlp 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That justification is so rediculous for anyone that can think, like which side should He take?

jadar 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Either god is me (secularism) or god is something outside me (Christianity). One is going to be better than the other. It matters which one. Everyone has an answer, and it affects your morals. Whether or not you are consistent brings you back to that same question: “who says?”

yoyohello13 18 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I understand the argument, but the number of reprehensible Christians (or other flavor of religion) out in the world doesn’t seem to back up the claim that viewing God outside oneself leads to better moral results.

donkeybeer 13 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Option C: God doesn't exist as far as is currently known

Imustaskforhelp 9 hours ago | parent [-]

Option D: God may exist but has no perceivable after consequence and doesn't take part in any aspect of our day to day lives which are governed by physics (Deism)

Option E: God may or may not exist but once again, has no effect on our lives. (agnosticism)

So all option C), D), E) [I don't think that the concept of hell/heaven exists in it] have the same impact IMO that esentially there isn't any consequence on our day to day live and we are all gonna be just void when we die. Nothingness,

From here, we can approach towards what is the meaning of life and add onto the existenialism to find ones own meanings and that itself becomes a bedrock of morality

I personally fall somewhere along C), D), E) myself but I don't like to wonder about where exactly because it doesn't really have an impact on my life. I also sometimes fall into B) (God is outside me) in times of troubles to somehow get out of trouble or find strength if I am unable to find within myself during that time.

Logically, it might not make sense for me to believe in god during times of troubles if I can't have logic find the same meaning during not times of troubles. But I do think that humans are driven by emotions not logic at its core so its best to be light on yourself.

Also I feel gratitude towards the universe rather than god and the things which help me in my life during times of joy sometimes.

I also sometimes believe in rituals/festivals because they are part of my culture/community and it brings me joy at times.

But I have enough freeway leverage within all of this that I dictate this as my choice of life and If I see any religious figure person or anything being misused or see faults in any rituals being cruel. I don't feel dear to them and can quickly call anything out and be secular in the sense that I respect other people's rituals to be in co-existence with mine as long as they are peaceful about it because the element of coexistence is only possible within the elements of being peaceful/society being cooperative at large and I hold both people of my community/outside my community to the same standard and am quick to call out if new faults start to happen from my community but also from any other community. (Calling spade a spade)

donkeybeer 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes all of those options would be equivalent from our point of view so you can believe in any of those as far as best present evidence goes.

scotty79 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> who says?

Only people can say things. And following people that start by lying that they have unique and superior insight into what things ought to be is not a good strategy. Secular is just saying, we are all in this together as equals, let's figure things out, here's what we got thus far.

Tarq0n 11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Transcendental moral principles can still be secular.

One that I find compelling is that Rawls' veil of ignorance lets us imagine that we might be on either side of a conflict, and that therefore moral actions are equitable to both sides. This gives us a secular morality that doesn't come with the baggage of religious outgroup dynamics.

donkeybeer 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

First prove yhwh. Then prove your favorite book is a direct transmission from yhwh. Disprove the claims of other peoples favorite books, there is a lot of competition there.

Demonstrate the telephone line by which this so called yhwh communicates his words and prove how and why it no longer does.

zelphirkalt 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Fallen far, or maybe we are just more aware now, but anyway, I don't think that a lecture in ethics at university will fix things. That's:

(A) way too late, and

(B) without a strong character to begin with, this lecture will simply become a "necessary chore" for students, and basically go in one ear, and out the other ear. (Does that saying/phrase translate to English?)

By the time people start their undergrad, if they are not already at least trying to act ethically, that ship has sailed for most. Their upbringing and education did not manage to drill that into them before. I see it as more of an early childhood and parenting topic. If the parents are not leading by example and teaching their children ethics, then the children are often just going with the flow, not swimming against the current to uphold ideals. Why would they, if the other way is easier. I think it is rare, that people adopt ethics that they have not grown up with / raised according to.

So I would advocate ethics as a mandatory subject at school, if not primary school already.

keiferski 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Many prominent tech and science leaders have been disparaging philosophy for decades now. Not surprising that in the absence of any serious ethical thought, “make money = good” is the default position.

refurb 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Your opinion seems to suggest that unless someone has the same moral view as you they must not have any morals at all?

What if their morals are “I am not responsible for how my products are used?”

You may not agree, but it’s a valid ethical stance to hold.

keiferski 14 hours ago | parent [-]

No, that isn’t what my comment suggests at all, on any level.

I don’t think you can have intelligent ethical opinions if you disparage and ignore the field that studies ethics (philosophy.)

Seems pretty straightforward to me.

I think there are definitely many positions with which I disagree, but are nonetheless well-thought through and coherent.

But it seems pretty clear that the people making these decisions haven’t done the work of thinking it through, and are instead just trying to maximize money. That’s my claim, at least.

LunaSea 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

To me this reads the same way some religious people believe that it is not possible for atheists to have morals because morals come from the Bible.

refurb 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> No, that isn’t what my comment suggests at all, on any level. I don’t think you can have intelligent ethical opinions if you disparage and ignore the field that studies ethics (philosophy.)

You're not suggesting that, but then put up your own requirements for someone's ethics to be "valid". So in the end you are filtering others ethical choices by your own requirements.

And your logic seems to work backwards: someone does something you disagree with based on your personal ethical view -> assume they aren't well thought out

keiferski 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

My requirements for someone's ethical opinions to be "valid" are that they don't criticize the field of ethics as useless. I guess that is a "requirement" I have, but it's a pretty nitpicking, useless distinction to make.

If someone criticizes the French language, but doesn't speak a word of French, sorry, but I don't have much respect for their opinion on French.

And no, I don't "assume they aren't well thought out," because many of these people have explicitly said philosophy is a waste of time.

financltravsty 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

One of my best friends is a philosophy grad, and another is a very intelligent financier. What we've come to realize is that speaking and writing and making arguments is fruitless. You either have had the embodied experiences to recognize a statement is directionally correct -- to various magnitudes -- or you don't.

No amount of words will change that.

It is my experience -- after seeing the quality of thinking from those philosophically trained (I am not) -- that learning philosophy is learning how to think, and by extension figuring out for oneself what is capital g Good.

Morals and ethics are different and you conflate them. That is the crux of your confusion. Someone can understand morality inherently without ever thinking about it; but ethics requires actual intentional thought over years and years of reflecting on lived experience. What is good for you and your small circle can be grasped intuitively, but to grasp what is good "at scale" must be reasoned about. Without having seriously grappled with this, one is liable to have simplistic views, and in many cases hold views that have already been trodden through and whose "holes" have been exposed and new routes taken in unveiling ethics.

Without seriously having interfaced with it, it's like talking to someone about the exercise science when all they know is do steroids, lift weight, and eat. Sure, that works, but it lacks nuance and almost no thought has gone into it.

Anyway, this is tiring. Philosophical discussions are not something to do with strangers. It requires intimacy and is a deeply personal conversation one should have with those close to them and explore together.

booleandilemma 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Excellent point. Philosophy (really anything not math-related) is seen as a waste of time by most people I know in tech. You end up getting a bunch of smart but unethical or misguided people. Engineering types end up being used as pawns in wider political games. Look at all the terrorists who are engineers, for example:

https://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/12/magazine/12FOB-IdeaLab-t....

WalterBright 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

nicoburns 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Would you consider being a contract killer (i.e. a hitman) ethical? What about being a creator of CSAM? Because those are both examples making money by providing others with what they want. And if we followed free market principles to their logical extreme then both of those would be allowed.

I think most people would agree that this would not be even remotely ethical. Nor would it lead to higher living standards than a more restricted market economy.

WalterBright 5 hours ago | parent [-]

A fundamental requirement for free markets is the absence of use of force or fraud. Another is that it applies only to legally consenting adults.

Both of your examples are not free market examples.

keiferski 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Sometimes I really don’t know how to reply to comments like these. Because they either seem to completely misunderstand the basic premise of my comment, or they deliberately focus on some tangential thing in order to make some trollish point. But I’ll reply here, and just assume my comment was somehow unclear.

Do you genuinely think that putting money above any other value is an ethical way to operate in the world? I certainly don’t, virtually no ethical theory does, and the vast majority of people don’t either.

This is not saying that making money is inherently a bad thing, but that placing it above every other value without question is definitely a bad thing, or at least a careless and thoughtless one.

To use your example: all sorts of things are in demand but unquestionably make the world worse. Does the fact that people are willing to pay for propaganda or chemical weapons or X other negative thing somehow mean that facilitating their sale is ethical? I really don’t understand the position.

I suppose there are some people out there who seriously have studied ethics and think making money is the ultimate good. It doesn’t seem like a serious position to me.

But I don’t think that’s become the default position because of serious analysis, but rather the total lack of it. Which is what my comment was about: when you refuse to engage in serious philosophical thought about something, you’re just going to revert to base values like the acquisition of money and power, or some variant of that which your local system is optimizing for.

WalterBright 16 hours ago | parent [-]

> Do you genuinely think that putting money above any other value is an ethical way to operate in the world?

I don't see how that follows from what I wrote.

keiferski 16 hours ago | parent [-]

Then I don’t understand the point of your initial comment or what you’re trying to say.

pawkaman84 15 hours ago | parent [-]

He was trying to say that "making money in a free-market" is fundamentally linked to creating value for someone. It wasn't the 'money' word that you should have focused on, but the 'value'.

On average this way of creating value bottoms-up has undoubtedly produced the largest human flourishing in the history of our species. It has unlocked human creativity and has lifted millions of people from poverty. It is the best system we have been yet able to create. If you disagree - point me to an alternative (even if theoretical).

Of course, as in the case of averages, there is variance. Sure, greed, illegal money making is bad, but the total net benefit is overwhelmingly positive.

I think your blind spot is that you implicitly attribute no ethical value to 'money making'. For you they're disconnected. In fact, it's the oppositve - there is a lot of ethics in money making.

keiferski 15 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Here’s what I don’t get, and why these comments irritate me. They are just opportunities for someone to inject their ideological arguments about something that has little to do with the actual comment.

I didn’t say anything about capitalism being a bad system, nor did I say making money is inherently bad.

I said in the absence of ethical study, making money is treated as a default good. It seems pretty obvious to me that it isn’t a default good.

I’m completely uninterested in arguing about whether the profit motive has led to good societal outcomes, because a) in general I agree with that and b) it has literally nothing to do with my comment.

My original comment was just lamenting that tech leaders don’t study ethics, and therefore they just default to thinking that making money is always a good thing, no matter the consequences, no matter what values get ignored. In many situations, making money does indeed lead to good ethical situations. But my comment is about them not even bothering to ask that question in the first place. That’s all.

WalterBright 5 hours ago | parent [-]

> no matter what values get ignored

Free markets require no force or fraud, and legal consenting adults.

What values being ignored are you referring to?

shafyy 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

To add to keiferski's excellent comments: There is no such thing a truly free market. Neoliberalism is just an excuse to not care about things that stand in the way of people making more money or gaining more power.

This wealth we have built was not built on a totally free market (whatever that means), but much more social form of capitalism. The countries where there is the least povery and highest standards of living are countries that have a big social welfare state, such as the Norics.

WalterBright 5 hours ago | parent [-]

> There is no such thing a truly free market.

Nothing human is perfect. However, history shows us that the more free market an economy is, the more prosperous it is. It doesn't have to be "truly free" to be effective.

In contrast, whenever socialism is tried and it fails, socialists describe it as "not true socialism". Since there is also no such thing as true socialism, the more "true" a socialism is, the more it fails.

asdff 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

To be fair, it wasn't like lockheed and raytheon and all the rest of the modern human killing machine companies have ever been hurting for engineering talent. Likewise for oil and gas.

godelski 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Same with Ender's Game. They are playing war games but they're actually real. He sacrifices his units and commits genocide (xenocide) at the same time. Something he probably wouldn't have done had he known.

  > Nobody has to take ethics during undergrad anymore I guess...
My undergrad wasn't in CS but my grad was. I was incredibly surprised to find that ethics isn't a requirement in most CS programs. That's a sharp contrast to traditional engineering and the hard sciences. CS people seem to love philosophy, yet I'm surprised not so much about this subset. We'll spend all day talking about if we live in a simulation (without learning physics) and what intelligence is (without studying neuroscience or psychology) but when it comes to what's acceptable to do at work the answer is always "if I don't do it somebody else will, at least I'll have a job". A phrase that surely everyone hears in an ethics 101 class...

Edit:

Oops, missed pazimzadeh's comment. I'll leave mine because I say more

7952 15 hours ago | parent [-]

And the world seen through media is heavily abstracted. And I think that makes people psychologically treat war like a game rather than something actually happening. We trick ourselves into believing it isn't real.

duskdozer 12 hours ago | parent [-]

I wonder how much this changes based on country. The closest thing to a war happening within US borders was the attack on Pearl Harbor (I think). The US hasn't had conscription for 50 years. So there isn't much of a clearly visible and direct cost to war for many many Americans. I'm not arguing there isn't a cost, by the way, just that most can basically just not watch the news and have no idea war is happening.

pazimzadeh a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

also relevant to Ender's Game, which came out 8 months before Real Genius

randallsquared 20 hours ago | parent [-]

Ender's Game the novel, but I would say that it's not actually super relevant. First, the original short story was 1977, and then Card expanded it into a novel which was published mid-1980s. The point in the story is that kids are sensitive, and supergenius kids more so, and that they don't want to interrupt performance with concerns about guilt. But Real Genius wasn't about that! It was about an anti-war stance born of the Vietnam War and creative-class hatred for Ronald Reagan's presidency.

pazimzadeh 15 hours ago | parent [-]

Gotcha, I haven't actually seen the movie I just meant the concept of tricking and silo'ing genius kids to make them think they are playing a game when they're actually doing war/genocide is similar to the Ender's Game book. I don't know if this was just an idea floating around in the air or if it was inspired by Ender's Game, just interesting

gcanyon a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

"Why do you wear that toy on your head?" "Because if I wear it anywhere else it chafes"

"A laser is a beam of coherent light." "Does that mean it talks?"

"Your stutter has improved." "I've been giving myself shock treatment." "Up the voltage."

"In the immortal words of Socrates, who said, 'I drank what?'"

"Is there anything I can do for you? Or...more to the point... to you?"

"Can you drive a six-inch spike through a board with your penis?" "...not right now." "A girl's got to have her standards."

"What are you looking at? You're laborers, you're supposed to be laboring! That's what you get for not having an education!"

-- I'm sure I could remember more if I thought about it for a bit. That movie made quite an impression on young me.

atmavatar 21 hours ago | parent [-]

I think my favorite exchange was the following:

Professor Hathaway: "I want to start seeing more of you around in the lab."

Chris Knight: "Fine. I'll gain weight."

milemi 18 hours ago | parent [-]

Do you run?

Only when I’m being chased.

gcanyon 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Ooh, I can't believe I missed this one.

BLKNSLVR 11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Nobody has to take ethics during undergrad anymore I guess...

Especially not when certain people in positions of great power say things like "stupid rules of engagement" when referring to acts of war.

WalterBright 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Most of the pranks in Real Genius were actual pranks done at Caltech in the 1970s. The McDonald's prank, for example.

I don't recall Caltech having any ethics classes. Caltech did have an honor system, however, which was surprisingly effective.

motbus3 13 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If you are tricked into doing that it is not your fault. But the moment you realise you need to to a choice.

bloodyplonker22 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The most unethical people I know have taken ethics classes and signal that they did it.

kerabatsos a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

God bless you for referencing that film.

20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
kortilla 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You still take ethics. The only difference is political views. It’s very easy to be consistent from an ethical perspective if you are convinced of a government’s particular powers.

The government has a monopoly on violence. Whether you want to enhance it or not all comes down to your political alignment, not ethics.

jiggawatts a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Reminds me of the story of someone's woman working for a research lab to improve the computer-controlled automatic emergency landings of planes with total power failure.

... or so she was told.

She was unknowingly designing glide-bomb avionics.

dmd a day ago | parent | next [-]

“someone’s woman”?

K0balt a day ago | parent [-]

lol I am guessing that was an autocorrect error.

dotancohen 20 hours ago | parent [-]

I once saw the word nickel autocorrected incorrectly into something far worse. It was funny given the context (metals, not coins) but I wondered why someone would even have that word in their autocorrect dictionary.

ahsillyme 12 hours ago | parent | next [-]

What's in the autocorrect dictionary usually has nothing to do with what you typically write. No reason to wonder (i.e. if the insinuation being that that's a word they'd typically use).

Nevermark 8 hours ago | parent [-]

We could joke about the auto correct knowing your subconscious mind.

Except if Facebook has auto correct, you can be sure it’s driven by a personal dossier on each of us, correlated by AI with every other person on the planet.

They know you were thinking that word!

The neverending benefits of personalization.

K0balt 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

My worst autocorrect story is a message to my mother in law referring to my sister in law. I told my mother in law that I’d give my wife’s sister “a*al’ when I got there. It was supposed to be ”a call” I’m still traumatized decades later.

a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
moron4hire a day ago | parent | prev [-]

I feel like these stories are apocryphal. I mean, I can't say for certain that no US DoD research program used subterfuge to trick the performers into working on The Most Racist Bomb. But I can say that in 20 years I've never seen a dearth of people ready, willing, able, and actively participating with full knowledge that they are creating The Fastest Bomb and The Sneakiest Bom and The Biggest Bomb Without Actually Going Nuclear.

IDK, maybe it's different outside the National Capitol Region. But here, you could probably shout "For The Empire" as a toast in the right bars and people wouldn't think you were joking.

reaperducer a day ago | parent [-]

I feel like these stories are apocryphal.

They're not. But if it makes you feel better to believe that, everyone has their own coping mechanism.

moron4hire a day ago | parent [-]

What? I'm not questioning whether the weapons research actually happened. I'm questioning the sincerity of people claiming they didn't know what they were doing. I've seen plenty of weapons programs. They aren't a secret to the people working on them. My point is, the government doesn't need to lie to researchers or even pay them very well to get them to develop weapons because there are plenty of intelligent-enough people willing to do it almost for free.

serioussecurity 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I've worked as a contractor for a safety system that turned out to be for a foreign military. I was given a signal, and told to write software to fit it. The signal could plausibly be collected for a wide variety of civilian purposes.

What I realized later was that none of the civilian markets could possibly justify the cost of the project.

The particular type of signal fitting I was doing was only achievable by a few thousand expensive domain experts in the world, so, I think that addresses your other point.

12 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
SoftTalker a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Lots of people working on the Manhattan project did not know what they were working on. The core group of physicists did, but not many others.

moron4hire 21 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think you could get away with that excuse in 1945 when this whole system was first being created from scratch. It's been 80 years since then.

18 hours ago | parent | next [-]
[deleted]
reaperducer 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

XorNot 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

They knew the US was at war and they knew it was a government program for military purposes and they knew they were dealing nuclear materials.

A journalist not involved at all figured it out just fine, but at the very least it's not like it wasn't going to be a weapon.

Frankly though I wonder what the various judgemental people in these comments think about say, the tens of thousands of people who at the time were just straight up making artillery ammo.

Aeolun 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Because working on things that go boom is like working on fireworks. The fact the end up on people is incidental.

reaperducer a day ago | parent | prev [-]

If "This doesn't fit into my mental model, so everyone else must be lying" is how you deal with things you didn't personally experience, do what you have to.

21 hours ago | parent | next [-]
[deleted]
XorNot 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The inability to accurately cite any story about this, and the "friend of a friend" structure is what implies it's garbage.

Not to mention it itself requires a conspiracy theory: "no one would do this work voluntarily" (or "all the smart people have to be tricked because they're so smart they obviously agree with me").

As though people don't just go and work at Boeing or Lockheed Martin.

gzread 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It was posted on HN by the husband of the person involved. Find it yourself.

jiggawatts 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> "no one would do this work voluntarily"

The much more common reason is compartmentalisation. Employees are told as much as they need to know, no more.

If someone can design a glide bomb without knowing that it has an explosive payload, then they're not told.

The fear is not so much the employees themselves (they might be quite patriotic!) but that the information will leak out to the enemy, giving them a chance to counter the weapon or copy it.

XorNot 13 hours ago | parent [-]

That's a very different proposition to what the various parent posters are implying though. Like if you work for a defense contractor, you know what your work is for even if you wouldn't know exactly what the product or application was.

jmward01 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes, and even their two exceptions, only one is on moral grounds. They don't want to provide tools for autonomous killing machines because the technology isn't good enough, yet. Once that 'yet' is passed they will be fine supplying that capability. Anthropic is clearly the better company over OpenAI, but that doesn't mean they are good. 'lesser evil' is the correct term here for sure.

randerson a day ago | parent | next [-]

Hypothetically if we had a choice between sending in humans to war or sending in fully autonomous drones that make decisions on par with humans, the moral choice might well be the drones - because it doesn't put our service members at risk.

Obviously anyone who has used LLMs know they are not on par with humans. There also needs to be an accountability framework for when software makes the wrong decision. Who gets fired if an LLM hallucinates and kills people? Perhaps Anthropic's stance is to avoid liability if that were to happen.

singron 21 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It's sort of like the opposite of this idea:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Fisher_(academic)#Preven...

> Fisher [...] suggested implanting the nuclear launch codes in a volunteer. If the President of the United States wanted to activate nuclear weapons, he would be required to kill the volunteer to retrieve the codes.

>> [...] The volunteer would carry with him a big, heavy butcher knife as he accompanied the President. If ever the President wanted to fire nuclear weapons, the only way he could do so would be for him first, with his own hands, to kill one human being. [...]

>> When I suggested this to friends in the Pentagon they said, "My God, that's terrible. Having to kill someone would distort the President's judgment. He might never push the button."

> — Roger Fisher, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1981[10]

jmward01 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

There should be two knives so the volunteer can defend themselves if they don't think starting a war is worth it.

cousin_it 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

That's so idealistic. We should know by now the reality of power and what kind of people end up in power. Anyone who could climb all the way to the top would kill the volunteer without a second thought, and then go smile on TV.

brazzy 11 hours ago | parent [-]

You're confusing lazy cynicism with realism. Patrick Bateman is a fictional character. The vast, vast majority of people, including even most soldiers, and definitely pretty much all businesspeople, no matter how unscrupulous, do not have the capacity to violently murder a person they know and harbor no ill will towards with their own hands on short notice.

TremendousJudge 8 hours ago | parent [-]

maybe they should make the person with the codes black. I think several cold-war presidents probably wouldn't have a problem with that

brazzy 26 minutes ago | parent [-]

The whole damn point behind the idea is to achieve the exact opposite. Make it someone, through whatever criteria, whom the president will have a problem killing, so he'll only do it under the most extreme circumstances.

saulpw a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The danger is that we won't be sending these fully-autonomous drones to 'war', but anytime a person in power feels like assassinating a leader or taking out a dissident, without having to make a big deal out of it. The reality is that AI will be used, not merely as a weapon, but as an accountability sink.

rl3 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Pretty soon we'll have depositions where the bots explain they thought they saw a weapon and were in fear for their lives.

Counsel: "How do you explain the nanny cam footage of you planting a weapon?"

Robot: "I have encountered an exception and must power off. Shutting down."

carlob 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> 'war'

> anytime a person in power feels like assassinating a leader or taking out a dissident

I don't really see much of a difference nowadays

zarzavat 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is exactly how all other weapons of mass destruction were rationalised.

"If we develop <terrible weapon> we can save so many lives of our soldiers". It always ends up being used to murder civilians.

etchalon 18 hours ago | parent [-]

Literally the justification for Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

alex43578 15 hours ago | parent [-]

Do you think a continuation of the firebombing campaign and an invasion of the Japanese home islands would have resulted in fewer deaths of civilians (particularly of the 'volunteer fighting corps')?

That's to say nothing of the deaths in a potential US/USSR conflict that goes hot without the Damocles Sword of MAD...

myrmidon 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This is a false dichotomy. In the words of the post-war US strategic bombing survey:

"Based on a detailed investigation of all the facts, and supported by the testimony of the surviving Japanese leaders involved, it is the Survey's opinion that certainly prior to 31 December 1945, and in all probability prior to 1 November 1945, Japan would have surrendered even if the atomic bombs had not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war, and even if no invasion had been planned or contemplated."

While this is all speculation, that was at the very least a defensible point of view held by a bunch of Americans shortly after the war.

Regarding firebombing: Hiroshima alone killed probably more civilians than the entire Tokyo firebombing campaign. A firestorm is a terrible thing, but you can still run from a fire even if your whole city burns down; you can't run from a nuke.

So if you measure collateral damage primarily in civilian deaths, firebombing still looks much better (a hypothetical firebombing campaign would have probably killed <40k civilians in Hiroshima instead of 100k, guesstimating from Tokyo numbers).

Edit: I don't think dropping the nuclear bombs was especially ethically questionable compared to the rest of the war, but I feel it is very important to not whitewash that event as valiant effort to save young American conscripts. Regarding it as a slightly selfish weapon demonstration feels much more accurate to me.

brazzy 11 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't think regarding it as a "demonstration" is accurate either.

Nuclear bombs appear as uniquely horrifying and requiring special justification only in hindsight. Back then, it was just another type of bomb. The thought process behind dropping it was simply "let's hit them as hard as we can until they surrender".

myrmidon 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Nuclear bombs appear as uniquely horrifying and requiring special justification only in hindsight. Back then, it was just another type of bomb.

I disagree slightly with that take. Decisionmakers knew that those singular bombs were gonna glass an entire city each, and previously almost untouched targets were selected to better show and observe the effect.

If you're at a point where you can afford to slash the primary target (Kyoto) because of nostalgic value to your secretary of war then it becomes difficult to rationalize the whole thing as "normal genuine war effort" and makes the thing look somewhat of an optional choice.

But from my point of view much more questionable decisions were made than the atomic bombings, and hindsight is always 20/20.

brazzy 22 minutes ago | parent [-]

> previously almost untouched targets were selected to better show and observe the effect.

I read that this was not the primary motivation; rather, those cities were basically on the top of the "list of industrial centers we didn't get around to bombing conventionally yet, but were going to do next".

davedx 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

"Back then, it was just another type of bomb."

To some of the military leaders, sure. To the scientists and politicians, it wasn't viewed through such a simplistic lens.

the_af 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Do you think a continuation of the firebombing campaign and an invasion of the Japanese home islands would have resulted in fewer deaths of civilians (particularly of the 'volunteer fighting corps')?

I don't know, but there's a lot of evidence this wasn't a factor in the decision to drop the bombs on Japan. The planners for the invasion and the planners for the bombing weren't exactly talking to each other and coordinating the strategy.

They had the bomb and they were going to use it. Everything else was an a posteriori justification.

Now think what will happen with easily deployed AI-powered weapons.

gzread 11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Our drones will fight their drones, and then whichever side loses, will have their humans fighting the other side's drones, and if the humans somehow win, they will fight the other side's humans. War doesn't have an agreed ending condition.

datsci_est_2015 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Hypothetically if we had a choice between sending in humans to war or sending in fully autonomous drones that make decisions on par with humans, the moral choice might well be the drones - because it doesn't put our service members.

I guess let the record state that I am deeply morally opposed to automated killing of any kind.

I am sick to my stomach when I really try to put myself in the shoes of the indigenous peoples of Africa who were the first victims of highly automatic weapons, “machine guns” or “Gatling guns”. The asymmetry was barbaric. I do hope that there is a hell, simply that those who made the decision to execute en masse those peoples have a place to rot in internal hellfire.

To even think of modernizing that scene of inhumane depravity with AI is despicable. No, I am deeply opposed to automated killing of any kind.

nickff 21 hours ago | parent [-]

The Gatling Gun was first deployed in the US civil war, not in Africa. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gatling_gun

The “machine gun” has a more complicated history, and the first practical example may have been Gatling’s, or an earlier example used in Europe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_gun

datsci_est_2015 13 hours ago | parent [-]

Forgive me I got the detail wrong. If your point was to deny that my imagined scenario never happened, read this article https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maxim_gun

nickff 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Basically all types of weapons have been used in all sorts of conflicts; the British used aircraft in their mandates, and the Italians used chemical weapons in Ethiopia. That said, I am not aware of any weapon which was developed specifically for use against a less technologically advanced adversary, most novel weapons are developed for use against peer-adversaries.

datsci_est_2015 4 hours ago | parent [-]

> That said, I am not aware of any weapon which was developed specifically for use against a less technologically advanced adversary, most novel weapons are developed for use against peer-adversaries.

This is a strange take that I didn’t expect to hear. I suppose that the strongest defensive systems do require the most sophisticated offensive systems to defeat, in theory. But there exists asymmetry there as well ($50k drone destroys $1B radar).

My take on weapons development is that there were plenty of mass killing (or mass punishment) devices developed specifically for use by colonial powers against indigenous peoples. This happened alongside weapons development for weapons intended for, as you put them, peer-adversaries.

Revolts happened, and colonial powers needed effective ways to keep indigenous peoples enslaved.

unethical_ban a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Isn't this the moral hazard of war as it becomes more of a distance sport? That powerful governments can order the razing of cities and assassinate leaders with ease?

We need to do it because our enemies are doing it, in any case.

AnbdgK a day ago | parent | next [-]

I do not think that anyone but the US and Israel have assassinated leaders in the last 30 years. I also question their autonomous drone advancement. Russia and China did not have the means to help Venezuela and they do not have the means to help Iran.

genghisjahn a day ago | parent | next [-]

Russia and other states have demonstrably conducted targeted killings.

ks2048 a day ago | parent | next [-]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_heads_of_state_and_gov...

dotancohen 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

FpUser 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

>"Russia and China did not have the means to help Venezuela"

Of course they have the means. Nothing technical prohibits them from blowing couple of carriers. But the price they would have to pay is way too high.

the_af 19 hours ago | parent [-]

Did you mean Venezuela or Iran?

Because there are actual technical impediments why neither China nor the Russians could have blown a US carrier in the Caribbean.

FpUser 19 hours ago | parent [-]

>"actual technical impediments"

I do not believe so. Not unsurmountable at least. The consequences are however far from pleasant for each side

the_af 12 hours ago | parent [-]

I do believe there are major technical impediments; other than a modern attack sub reaching that far undetected I can't think of how they would do it. The US is the only nation that can effectively project power so far away from its borders, almost anywhere in the world.

Furthermore, you mentioned this in response to "helping Venezuela", but even damaging a carrier (something technically very, very difficult for Russia or China) would not have helped Venezuela one bit.

It'd be more technically feasible for them to help Iran than Venezuela, and even that is not particularly feasible now, other than very indirectly.

FpUser 9 hours ago | parent [-]

>"would not have helped Venezuela one bit"

I think it would, meaning that right from that exact minute the US and Russia will be very busy and Venezuela left to it's own devices. Does not mean Venezuela would feel any better of course.

the_af 8 hours ago | parent [-]

This is entering fantasy land.

There's no effective way of Russia to militarily help Venezuela and strike any US carrier. Same with China. You haven't proposed any because there is no feasible way.

Even if they could, such action would have been followed by the US knocking Venezuela out and taking them out of the equation. A neighboring ally of an actively engaged hostile power wouldn't be "left to its own devices".

iugtmkbdfil834 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It came later than I anticipated, but it did come after all. There is a reason companies like 9mother are working like crazy on various way to mitigate those risks.

unethical_ban 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

We need to [develop military technology] because our enemies do it. I don't mean we have to commit war crimes because others do it.

the_af 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> the moral choice might well be the drones - because it doesn't put our service members at risk.

Not so clear cut. Because now sending people to die in distant wars is likely to get a negative reaction at home, this creates some sort of impediment for waging war. Sometimes not enough, but it's not nothing. Sending your boys to die for fuck knows what.

If you're just sending AI powered drones, it reduces the threshold for war tremendously, which in my mind is not "the moral choice".

All of this assuming AI is as good as humans.

jmward01 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

War is not moral. It may be necessary, but it is never moral. The only best choice is to fight at every turn making war easy. Our adversaries will, or likely already have, gone the autonomous route. We should be doing everything we can to put major blockers on this similar to efforts to block chemical, biological and nuclear weapons. The logical end of autonomous targeting and weapons is near instant mass killing decisions. So at a minimum we should think of autonomous weapons in a similar class as those since autonomy is a weapon of mass destruction. But we currently don't think that way and that is the problem.

Eventually, unfortunately, we will build these systems but it is weak to argue that the technology isn't ready right now and that is why we won't build them. No matter when these systems come on line there will be collateral damage so there will be no right time from a technology standpoint. Anthropic is making that weak argument and that is primarily what I am dismissive of. The argument that needs to be made is that we aren't ready as a society for these weapons. The US government hasn't done the work to prove they can handle them. The US people haven't proven we are ready to understand their ramifications. So, in my view, Anthropic shouldn't be arguing the technology isn't ready, no weapon of war is ever clean and your hands will be dirty no matter how well you craft the knife. Instead Anthropic should be arguing that we aren't ready as a society and that is why they aren't going to support them.

davedx 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

When is war necessary, at the limit?

dotancohen 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

  > War is not moral. It may be necessary, but it is never moral.
This is the right answer. When war becomes inevitable, we are forced to choose between morality and survival. I pass no judgement on those who choose survival.
adrian_b 16 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The problem in modern wars is that those who start them claim that they do this for survival, but the claim is not based on any real action of the adversary or on any evidence that the adversary is dangerous, but on beliefs that the adversary might want to endanger the survival of the attacker some time in an indefinite future, and perhaps might even be able to do that.

Nobody who starts a war today acknowledges that they do this for other reasons than "survival", e.g. for stealing various kinds of resources from the attacked.

It has become difficult to distinguish those who truly fight for survival from those who only claim to do this.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes, agreed. Mainland China is not under any threat from Taiwan, for instance.

However, the Iranians chant Death To America regularly and openly. They have both an active nuclear program and a means to deliver a nuclear weapon. They are also heavy funders of anti-American militias and groups. It is incumbent upon the Americans to ensure that the Iranians do not achieve their nuclear ambitions.

davedx 10 hours ago | parent [-]

> They have both an active nuclear program and a means to deliver a nuclear weapon.

No, they do not

dotancohen 9 hours ago | parent [-]

Iran launched a 1-ton payload (e.g. nuclear capable) rocket with a 2000 km range two days ago. That rocket can threaten US assets and allies even into Europe. And, of course, and small ship or container ship even could carry a nuclear weapon into an American port.

davedx 7 hours ago | parent [-]

There is no proof Iran has nuclear weapons.

This has been covered extensively, and this kind of misinformation is exactly the same thing that drove the US and half of NATO into the Iraq war.

Absolutely unbelievable this is happening again!

dotancohen an hour ago | parent | next [-]

Iran currently does not currently have nuclear weapons. Iran has a nuclear program to develop nuclear weapons.

Here is an Iranian, Persian language interview with Ali Motahari, deputy speaker of the Iranian parliament:

https://www.iranintl.com/202204244448

He says:

  >از همان ابتدا که وارد فعالیت هسته ای شدیم هدفمان ساخت بمب و تقویت قوای بازدارنده بود، اما نتوانستیم محرمانه بودن این مساله را حفظ کنیم
In English:

  > From the very beginning when we entered nuclear activity, our goal was to build a bomb and strengthen deterrence, but we were unable to maintain the secrecy of this issue
jacquesm 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

There is proof: there is no way the US and/or Israel would have done this if they knew that Iran had nuclear weapons.

15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
the_af 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> When war becomes inevitable, we are forced to choose between morality and survival.

The kind of modern wars we're discussing now are often not about survival. Often, the initiator of the war wants dominance rather than survival.

This completely changes the equation. I do pass judgement on those who would wage war to ensure their dominance and access to resources.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes, agreed 100%. Some groups see it as their mission to dominate Eastern Europe, or the entire Middle East, or the entire southern Asian continent. The smaller states in the areas are under constant threat.

However in the case of Iran, who openly calls for the destruction of America and is blatantly developing technology that seriously threaten America and other Middle Eastern states, decisive military action to prevent the threat is important. Don't watch the bully themself and wait for him to confront you, when he is telling you the whole time his intention to destroy you.

the_af 8 hours ago | parent [-]

> Some groups see it as their mission to dominate Eastern Europe, or the entire Middle East, or the entire southern Asian continent.

Agreed that some countries seek to dominate other regions by force or threat, but you and I are not thinking of the same "groups".

> However in the case of Iran, who openly calls for the destruction of America and is blatantly developing technology that seriously threaten America and other Middle Eastern states, decisive military action to prevent the threat is important. Don't watch the bully themself and wait for him to confront you, when he is telling you the whole time his intention to destroy you.

No, Iran poses no real threat to America, and according to Trump last year suffered a 10+ year setback in their nuclear ambitions. Do you think Trump was lying back then, now, or both?

The US is asserting dominance. Even Trump occasionally says so. Iran mostly poses a danger to their own citizens and, arguably, against Israel when conflict flares up in the region, but not to the US.

By the way, the current situation in Iran is heavily influenced by actions by the UK and the US in the region, back in the 50s. So maybe meddling is not the right course of action?

fwip a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I think it's the opposite. The human cost of war is part of what keeps the USA from getting into wars more than it already is - no politician wants a second Vietnam.

If war is safe to wage, then it just means we'll do it more and kill more people around the globe.

Fricken 21 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The troops were told they're headed for Armageddon this go round

XorNot 18 hours ago | parent [-]

And that is entirely the fault of American voters. The government is doing exactly what they said they would.

malfist a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Safe for whom?

fwip a day ago | parent [-]

Safe for the aggressors, I mean. If war is easy and cheap for us to wage, we will do more of it, and likely make the world a worse place.

dotancohen 20 hours ago | parent [-]

Your post reads as if you would rather those aggressors who threaten America to not be disposed of. How is the world a better place with the aggressors than without?

the_af 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

None of the recently attacked countries posed an imminent threat to the US.

In what kind of deranged world are we living that people are fighting against the notion that waging war on another country should be a costly decision!?

My, the Overton window has indeed shifted far.

dotancohen 19 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes, it is prudent to destroy the nuclear capability of a country that chants "Death to America" before they become an imminent threat.

Had the US waited until Iran were an eminent threat and then suffered a nuclear blast in one of her harbours, they would have nothing but "I told you so" to comfort them. Don't let your repulsion of war blind you to the fact that other cultures with different values don't have the same repulsion as you.

sumeno 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Bombing schools will certainly teach them not to chant "Death to America"

Can't imagine why they would be anti-American

10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
malfist 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Perhaps Trump shouldn't have ripped up the treaty Obama achieved with Iran. The one where we could pop in unannounced at any time to inspect facilities to make sure there's no nuclear bomb making capabilities.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

The 2016 treaty that Trump ripped up allowed for Iran to become nuclear capable in "10 to 15 years". Do you know when then means Iran can have a nuclear weapon?

The only people who could claim that Obama's treaty had a positive effect were those who either see 10 years as an extraordinary long time and no longer their worry, or those who wish to see a serious threat to the American way of life.

adrian_b 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Trump has already claimed that he has destroyed all nuclear capability of Iran at the previous attack done by USA against Iran.

Claiming now that this other attack has the same purpose makes certain that USA has lied either at the previous attack or at the current attack.

When the government of a country is a proven liar, no allegations about how dangerous another country is are credible.

Moreover, just before the attack, during the negotiations between USA and Iran it was said that Iran accepted most of the new American requests regarding their nuclear capabilities, which had the goal to prevent them from making any weapons, but their willingness to make concessions did not help them at all to avoid a surprise attack before the end of the negotiations.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

The Iranians claim that the previous attack did not completely eliminate their research efforts and that they are continuing on. Anyone who values the American way of life should most certainly ensure that Iran does not achieve nuclear capability.

the_af 8 hours ago | parent [-]

That's cherry-picking. The Iranians said things, Trump said some other things, and your comment chooses to selectively believe some things the Iranians said (that their nuclear program wasn't entirely dismantled, in contradiction to Trump's claims) but not others (that they weren't pursuing nuclear weapons and the late Khamenei considered them immoral). It's now believed Israel was planning to kill Khamenei regardless of any nuclear talks, and forced the hand of the US.

Iran wasn't a threat to the US.

cess11 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

If iranian politics would have allowed nuclear weapons they'd have them already. They could also have accepted gifts from some of their more friendly international relations.

Which it is well known that it hasn't been the case since the revolution, where the republic inherited the nuclear program the US pushed the king to pursue. The shia leaders consider such weapons immoral, and hence it seems like the main aim for the aggressors is to remove obstacles in Iran and rush them into getting nukes. It also has the side effect of increasing proliferation in Europe, with several states now moving towards extending or developing nuclear weapons.

This rhetoric about them getting nukes is a deception, it's for people who know little to nothing about Iran that are constrained to a rather racist world view. The animosity towards Iran mainly has to do with them having tried to move away from a monarchical type of government towards a more democratic, unlike US and israeli allies in the region, who are mostly kingdoms and extremely autocratic.

komali2 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

We're talking about Americans.

What genuine threat did Venezuela or Iran pose to Americans? Corporate interests don't count.

dotancohen 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Do you not perceive a threat from a country with nuclear capability that chants "Death to America, Death to Israel" to be a threat to America? Venezuela I don't know about, but Iran was (is) most certainly a threat to America.

curt15 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Iran with nukes can't hold a candle to the threat posed by the USSR. Your logic would have turned the Cold War into a shooting war.

Peritract 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If it's moral to strike at a country with nuclear capability that talks constantly about your country's destruction, then it's no less acceptable for Iran to strike the US than the other way around.

You can't condemn one and condone the other on that basis.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

You are 100% correct. That is exactly my point.

Iran has both reason and were developing capability to destroy a significant part of American national security. America absolutely must prevent that at any cost.

You could argue about how the rhetoric between the states got so bad that they each threatened each other's destruction. But the fact is that they got there.

curt15 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

North Korea engages in no less saber-rattling. Why is the US not attacking Kim Jong Un?

dotancohen 9 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm not familiar enough with Korean culture to know if suicide-for-ideology is culturally acceptable and expected. In Islamic ideology that is the highest honour.

queenkjuul 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Iran has no nuclear weapons and no weapons capable of striking the US

dotancohen 19 hours ago | parent [-]

Iran has a strong nuclear weapon development program. Negotiations could not halt it - they stall negotiations and continue development. So if they continue development during negotiations, why shouldn't the US continue her own parallel military route?

As for delivery, Iran does have missiles capable of launching a nuclear weapon at American assets in the Middle East, or American allies. Or even to just float it over on a ship.

queenkjuul 18 hours ago | parent [-]

Negotiations did halt it. Then Trump went back on the deal.

There's reports Iran agreed to limit themselves to only medical grade centrifuges as recently as last week.

And no, Iran does not have weapons capability to reach the US, period.

They fundamentally did not pose an imminent threat to the United States. A threat to American strategic goals is not an imminent threat to the American people.

dotancohen 10 hours ago | parent [-]

Negotiations halted Iran's nuclear program for, as per words of the treaty, "10 to 15 years". That was in 2016. If that treaty were not torn up, then Iran would be allowed to unveil their nuclear weapon in January 16, 2026. Yes, two months ago.

queenkjuul 22 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

Well now you're not making any sense.

Is your claim that the deal was not preventing Iran from developing a nuke? Then why does the existence of the agreement matter either way?

Are you saying Iran would magically produce a nuke the very day the deal expired? Then why don't they have one today?

How does ending the agreement make it harder for Iran to get a nuke? How does "tearing it up" prevent anything that the agreement itself wasn't preventing?

fwip 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

No, they would be allowed to resume working on a nuclear weapon program, if a further treaty was not reached.

gzread 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

What about Red Scare interests? Venezuela traded with Cuba.

fwip 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes, I don't believe we should pre-emptively "dispose of" them, as if we were talking about garbage instead of human beings.

jakelazaroff a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What do you mean, "hallucinates and kills people"? Killing people is the thing the military is using them for; it's not some accidental side effect. It's the "moral choice" the same way a cruise missile is — some person half a world away can lean back in their chair, take a sip of coffee, click a few buttons and end human lives, without ever fully appreciating or caring about what they've done.

maxlybbert 21 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I'm sure it was meant as "kills the wrong people."

People are always worried about getting rid of humans in decision-making. Not that humans are perfect, but because we worry that buggy software will be worse.

jmward01 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

The people that actually target and launch these things do think about what they have done. It is the people ordering them to do it that don't. There is a difference, I hope.

mulmen a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Doesn’t this just lower the bar on going to war? Putting real lives on the line makes war a costly last resort.

dotancohen 20 hours ago | parent [-]

  > Putting real lives on the line makes war a costly last resort.
Be grateful that you live in a culture that feels this way, and protect that culture. Not all cultures share this value.
the_af 19 hours ago | parent [-]

True, but this doesn't in any way undermine the point that making war easier is not a good thing. It should be a costly decision, lest leaders of even those cultures find it too appealing.

dotancohen 19 hours ago | parent [-]

In general I agree. 100% agree.

But the AI cat-for-war has left the box for both Iran and the US. Opposing US development of AI for warfare will not suppress US's adversaries from developing the technology.

skeledrew a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The flip side is it's very unlikely that AI won't become that good any time soon, so it'll always remain a means to hold out. Especially since nobody has explicitly defined what "good enough" entails.

embedding-shape 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Anthropic is clearly the better company over OpenAI

Why do people keep falling into traps of anthropomorphize companies like this? What's the point? Either you care about a company in the "for-profit" sense, and then money is all that matters (so clearly OpenAI currently wins there), or you care about pesky things like morality and ethics, and then you should look beyond corporations, because they're not humans, stop treating them as such. Both of them do their best to earn as much as possible, and that's their entire "morality", as they're both for-profit companies,.

greybcg 13 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Ever since I was young I was fairly divided on the subject. I've dealt with some highschool students affected by the downed aircraft MH17 and that lead to lots of grief among students. It usually lead to strong anti-war sentiments but some also felt a need to "do" something with it.

If no one works on defence systems then all the things we have could become jeopardized, perhaps not this week but in 5 years. Therefore I can reconcile the idea of working for defence related r&d. I also know that these sentiments are used by unscrupulous individuals to gain influence, but I don't feel like we should let that cause a divide between people with a strong moral compass and those without, since we'd be worse off if there was no one in a position of power to make moral decisions. That requires people to judge work based on it's content instead of the domain. It also requires workforce to have enough collective pressure to stall immoral defence (or rather attack) systems.

Automated decisionmaking tools throw a wrench into this because it brings us steps closer to mass deployment of questionable and potentially unhinged munitions. If laws mandated human-in-the-loop systems it would be a better outcome.

sillyfluke 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

No one should apologize for feeling conflicted while giving an issue considerable thought. Constantly reassessing your position based on the changing nature of the world should be encouraged to be the default approach.("Constantly" within reason of course).

I can imagine some Americans making a decision based on the threat of other authortarian states and being left completely bewildered when they have to grapple with the notion that their government may be the bigger threat to their own security.

thinking_cactus 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If no one works on defence systems then all the things we have could become jeopardized, perhaps not this week but in 5 years. Therefore I can reconcile the idea of working for defence related r&d.

I am not saying this line of thinking is completely absurd. But I think every individual considering this should reflect a lot. (1) Is your country using its ""defense"" systems wisely? (2) Won't the technology be replicated by adversaries anyways? (3) etc..

Overall, the number of people and resources spent on Weapons R&D is probably significantly more than people working on things like diplomacy, ethics, or activism for international human rights (assuming human rights violations are the only legitimate reason for war).

It's significantly safer for individual nations and humanity as a whole if we're not all armed to the teeth constantly on the brink of large conflict, and instead are more or less ethically aligned, all respect basic human rights, and respect other nations.

LunaSea 7 hours ago | parent [-]

I think that there is a difference between wishful thinking about how things should be versus preparing based on how things are.

Also diplomacy doesn't have a great track record for the past 100 years.

elil17 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If no one works on defense systems then all the things we have could become jeopardized

The reality is that the US government has not historically been engaged in defense. They have been engaged in offense. If you live in the united states and work on "defense," you are working on offense. If even if you are designing something like missile interceptors, they have historically been used primarily to protect US assets in wars that the US started.

deburo 9 hours ago | parent [-]

Perhaps you'd like to know how well interceptor missiles fare today. They are rapidly being made obsolete. Offense is still the best defense.

LunaSea 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

That's exactly the argument made by Putin to invade Ukraine. Congratulations.

dns_snek 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Offense is still the best defense.

That's a psychotic thing to say about starting new wars and aiding genocides. The only thing that's being defended are the profits of western oligarchs.

11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
watwut 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> If no one works on defence systems then all the things we have could become jeopardized, perhaps not this week but in 5 years

All the things we have are jeopardized because those systems are actually attack systems and were just used to start a war. We will be lucky if it wont grow into WWIII.

And I just read an article about how those defense systems are used to bomb hospitals with double tap tactic - meaning you bomb rescuers when they come. Literally the first day of that no-defense war, they were used to bomb a school. And before that, they were used to execute fishermen and maybe smugglers with no judicial review. Just to make someone feel manly.

fwipsy 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Attitude towards war depends on context. In 2007 "war" meant "Iraq" which was extremely unpopular, pointless, and had an imperialist flavor. Today "war" means Gaza, Iran, and Venezuela, but it also means Ukraine and Chinese aggression, possibly ramping up to an invasion of Taiwan. I suspect Amodei and many Anthropic employees are thinking of the latter.

suddenlybananas 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Iraq was much more popular in 2003 [1] than the current war in Iran is [2].

[1] "In the months leading up to the war, majorities of between 55% and 68% said they favored taking military action to end Hussein’s rule in Iraq. No more than about a third opposed military action."

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2023/03/14/a-look-back-...

[2] "Some 27% of respondents said they approved of the strikes, which were conducted alongside Israeli attacks on Iran, while 43% disapproved and 29% were not sure"

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/just-one-four-americans-sup...

somenameforme 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

[flagged]

ashdksnndck 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It’s not that big of a coincidence that the countries that superpowers want to conquer, and need defending, are neighbors to the superpowers.

godelski 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

So much so that it's actually the expectation!

Country wants to expand its territory? Most likely place to extend to is those in its borders. It's literally the lowest hanging fruit.

Small country being invaded by large country? Who are they most likely to turn to? Does it seem that unlikely that they'd go to the biggest actor who doesn't like that country? The enemy of my enemy?

Coincidence? I think not! It's literally the most logical thing

somenameforme 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

"Need" defending? I couldn't care less who rules Ukraine, Taiwan, Syria, Libya, Afghanistan, Iran, and these countless other places half-way around the world. It's not like China taking over Taiwan will have any impact on semiconductors. They're happy to play merchant to the world, independent of allegiance. E.g. - Ukraine complains about China supplying Russia with tech for their drones, while failing to recognize the countless "Made in China" stamps on their own hardware.

When despots act subservient to the US we're more than fine being BFF with them. See: Saudi Arabia. Heck we're even aiding them in their little 'special military operation' in Yemen. So funny how the rhetoric changes depending on who's involved: "On 26 March 2015, Saudi Arabia, leading a coalition of nine countries from West Asia and North Africa, staged a military intervention in Yemen at the request of Yemeni president Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi, who had been ousted from the capital, Sanaa, in September 2014 by Houthi insurgents during the Yemeni civil war." [1]

So a president is overthrown by a popular insurrection, and then another country which was fond of the old government decides to take advantage of the situation to invade, primarily to further their own ends. This sounds oddly familiar, yet somehow the rhetoric around it is entirely different. Nah, I'm tired of this nonsense. If a country literally invades another country which we have a military alliance with then yeah - we have an obligation to intervene. But without that - I can think of far better ways to spend trillions of dollars than killing people half-way around the world.

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi-led_intervention_in_the_...

GJim 15 hours ago | parent [-]

> I couldn't care less who rules Ukraine, Taiwan, Syria, Libya, Afghanistan, Iran

Oh you will. You most certainly will.

krige 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That's a really weird claim about Ukraine, which the US leadership would love to sweep under the rug, leave alone to be taken apart, except for the bad optics - so they just drag their feet forever.

komali2 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

People keep making this strange claim about Taiwan, the only liberal democracy in the East without a single American soldier on its soil.

Almost like Taiwan is a sovereign nation uninterested in participating in the PRC and USA's fight for global hegemony.

leptons 17 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The US would already be at war with China if the US tried to insert a military base in Taiwan.

godelski 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I think the funniest part is the fact that all the western countries are even afraid to recognize Taiwan's independence. It's a much better argument to say Korea or Japan are ruled by the US (and Korea and Japan absolutely hate one another!).

Does the US have influence in Taiwan? Certainly! But if that meant Taiwan was the US's puppet then Taiwan would simultaneously be China's puppet. Schrödinger's Vassal

dotancohen 18 hours ago | parent | next [-]

  > afraid to recognize Taiwan's independence.
Does Taiwan claim independence?

I thought that both the government in Beijing and the government in Taipei both claim that all of China is united, and that they are the legitimate government of that united entity.

YZF 18 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You're arguing semantics. The west refuses to recognize Taiwan as the legitimate government of China and refuses to recognize it as an independent country.

Whatever they claim, the west (and most of the world) due to Chinese leverage/power refuses to recognize.

Taiwan meets all the criteria for being a state. It controls land, population, it has a military, it has a government, currency, passports etc. etc. It's a de-facto country/state.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

It's not semantics if Taiwan itself does not claim independence.

godelski 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You literally described independence.

You're confusing land with governance.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm not. You'll notice that I used the terms correctly.

The government in Taipei claims all of mainland China and The island of Taiwan are united and a single state. As does the government in Beijing.

godelski 6 hours ago | parent [-]

So you think North and South Korea are the same country? If not, which is the rightful country and which is the rebel? They both claim the same territory and that the other is illegitimate.

Do you think India and Pakistan are the same country? Or at least parts? There's a lot of disputed territories there.

Or do you believe Palestine is independent from Israel? They sure claim independence and Israel claims it's theirs.

Or what about the USA? The British sure thought it was theirs for a long time. Should France not have gotten involved in all of that?

dotancohen an hour ago | parent [-]

  > So you think North and South Korea are the same country? If not, which is the rightful country and which is the rebel? They both claim the same territory and that the other is illegitimate.
I know not enough about the conflict to declare which side is more justified.

  > Do you think India and Pakistan are the same country? Or at least parts? There's a lot of disputed territories there.
Again, I know too little about the conflict.

  > Or do you believe Palestine is independent from Israel? They sure claim independence and Israel claims it's theirs.
The Arab citizens of the holy land did not declare a state when the former ruling party (the Brits) left, the Jews did declare a state. The Arabs even rejected the UN partition plan and decided that the fate of the area would be determined by war instead. Which they lost, and though they had some territory after the war they _still_ did not declare a state on that land. Only 15 years later did they form a government and an identity, and yet still did not declare a state. Only after the Israelis conquered the lands in yet another war, and then almost thirty years after that, did they declare a state with provisional borders. And they have rejected every final borders proposition made to them since. And during that entire time, they have been murdering civilians, both Jews and those who support peace with the Jews.

So yes, clearly in Area A the Palestinians have limited sovereignty - limited only because they consistently refuse all attempts to provide them more sovereignty.

  > Or what about the USA? The British sure thought it was theirs for a long time. Should France not have gotten involved in all of that?
Perhaps the French should not have gotten involved. I can imagine an alternate history where the British rule over the North American continent. The great result of the American Revolution wasn't the independent United States. The great result of the American Revolution was the implementation of a government based upon secular values and equality for all before the law. And even with the tools in place to implement that government, it still took almost two hundred years to enshrine those values into society.

And now, a mere two generations later, people have forgotten how hard the Americans worked to build that society and they are willing - active even - to discard it because of the few remaining minor deviations from perfection.

godelski 32 minutes ago | parent [-]

  >  I know not enough about the conflict to declare which side is more justified.
That was never the question at hand and I think illustrates why this discussion is pointless. You're unwilling to engage in a meaningful way, so bye.
XorNot 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Taiwan buys military equipment and operates it's own military very much like it is independent of China and views Chinese troops in it's territory as a threat.

dotancohen 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Correct. However "in it's territory" includes inside mainland China.

dismalaf 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> afraid to recognize Taiwan's independence

No one is afraid. Taiwan themselves still claim to be the Republic of China and not separate from the rest of China.

godelski 17 hours ago | parent [-]

  > No one is afraid.
You seem to have trouble reading. Here's a map that shows countries that recognize Taiwan's independence[0]. That's a lot of gray...

  > Taiwan themselves still claim to be the Republic of China and not separate from the rest of China.
You seem very confused... but I get it, it is confusing

Mainland China's current government is called the "People's Republic of China" (PRC)[1]

Taiwan calls itself the "Republic of China" (RoC)[2]

The difference of one word is very important. It's easy to miss, which is why Taiwan even changed its passport[3]... over a decade ago.

But also... they issue different passports. They have different governments. Really, this is not hard to understand that Taiwan considers themselves independent and the PRC considers the RoC a bunch of rebels. And... what do rebels typically do?

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_T...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proclamation_of_the_People%27s...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan

[3] http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/1758230.stm

DiogenesKynikos 13 hours ago | parent [-]

The Taiwanese government still officially considers itself the government of all of China, not just of Taiwan and a few outlying islands.

komali2 12 hours ago | parent [-]

This is false.

You will finally google this claim you've been repeating without evidence, and realize there's no supporting evidence for this claim. I guarantee it, because there is no evidence for this claim.

DiogenesKynikos 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The Republic of China has not amended its constitution to eliminate its claim to all of China. You may be referring to the views of the current ruling party on what Taiwan should be, but constitutionally, it still claims everything.

godelski 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Honestly it doesn't even matter if true or false, their logic is flawed. We could just swap China/Taiwan for the Koreas and it would still be dumb. Clearly they have independent governing bodies even though they both claim the other is an illegitimate ruling party.

The patent is either trolling or delusional. Best to waste no more time

regularization 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Chinese aggression, possibly ramping up to an invasion of Taiwan.

It's amusing amidst the US bombing Iran, incarceration the president of Venezuela and his wife after slaughtering everyone who was in the room with him, seizing oil tankers off Cuba, continuing the siege of Gaza and on and on to start getting sanctimonious about China.

Taiwan is Kinmen island in Xiamen harbor, so a mainland invasion of Taiwan would be mainland China "invading" an island in its harbor.

Also mainland China does not recognize Taiwan and mainland China to be separate countries. The US does not recognize Taiwan and mainland China to be separate countries. Taiwan does not consider Taiwan and mainland China to be separate countries. I'm not sure what the invasion would be, a country invading itself? It would be like if the US president sent armed agents to Minnesota who started killing people willy nilly - oh yaa, that just happened.

The most satisfying thing is if mainland China did choose to reassert it's rightful authority in Taiwan against the colonial powers, there's absolutely nothing those western powers can do about it. Just like Russia's assertion over the West tring to nove it's NATO armies to its western borders in the Ukraine. It's amusing to see the US flailing about, hitting a Venezuelan here, a Cuban there to try to look tough. I guess Nicaragua is next on the list. The changes coming in the 21st century are welcome. A bozo like Trump as president is a sign of a fading West.

margalabargala 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Actually dinosaurs existed in China before there were people. And their descendents, the birds, are still around. We should all consider it our moral duty to continue what was begun in Tiananmen Square in 1989 and overthrow the CCP and replace them with the true historical rulers, the chicken.

atomic_reed 19 hours ago | parent [-]

[dead]

gos9 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>there's absolutely nothing those western powers can do about it

the USA can drop a JDAM down the chimney of any leader who decides to do so

that’s not nothing

18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
komali2 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Taiwan does not consider Taiwan and mainland China to be separate countries.

This is false. Both the government of Taiwan, and the people here, obviously consider the two countries separate, and neither have made any overtures challenging the sovereignty of the CPC in nearly fifty years. Not to mention the fact that the last government to do so has been overthrown in the 90s (the overthrow of the KMT settler colonial dictatorship).

You will now vaguely refer to the ROC constitution, but I'll preempt that by saying the constitution makes no claims to PRC territory, full stop. And the constitutional reforms in the 90s explicitly recognize PRC sovereignty over its territory - because Taiwanese people aren't the KMT and want nothing to do with the KMT's now 8 decade old fight.

> I'm not sure what the invasion would be, a country invading itself?

I know exactly what it would be: tens of thousands of PLA dead at the order of Xi in service of his old man's ego, and economic disaster for both countries, followed up by the most riotously uncontrolled occupied territory in the PRC. Taiwanese people in living memory bled to overthrow a military dictatorship, you think they won't fight to do so again?

PRC invasion of Taiwan would be imperialism.

DiogenesKynikos 12 hours ago | parent [-]

There's a distinction between countries and governments. Both sides officially consider themselves to be China, the country, but under different, competing governments. They're the product of a civil war inside China, after all.

The current ruling party of Taiwan would like to change that, but they haven't done so for the obvious reason that the PRC would not accept it (and most Taiwanese people prefer to just leave things as they are).

komali2 12 hours ago | parent [-]

> Both sides officially consider themselves to be China

There is no "China, the country." "China" just means, essentially, "Empire." It's like a country claiming to be Europe, or maybe better, The Roman Empire. Many States may try to make claims for the title to support their legitimacy and heavenly mandate to rule, but that doesn't make it true.

> They're the product of a civil war inside China, after all.

Only one side of that conflict still exists. The other was overthrown by the people of Taiwan in the 90s. Descendants of those overthrown maintain government positions under that party name, but it's essentially a different government, given that it's a multi party democracy now, not a single party military dictatorship.

> The current ruling party of Taiwan would like to change that, but they haven't done so for the obvious reason that the PRC would not accept it (and most Taiwanese people prefer to just leave things as they are).

This is mostly true, with caveats: Most people in Taiwan prefer independence, but don't want to declare it to trigger a war, so therefore they only prefer status quo because it involves independence without war. If they could get it, most Taiwanese would prefer declared independence with no threat of war, but pragmatism rules out.

I'm also not sure I agree the DPP is necessarily pro-overt independence, just the current president tends to use more aggressive language than normal.

DiogenesKynikos 6 hours ago | parent [-]

"China" is analogous to "France," not "Europe."

There was a civil war inside China, with the rulers of both competing sides claiming the entire country as their own for decades after the shooting ended. Inside Taiwanese politics, there has been a shift relatively recently (in the last 20 years), but it would be a major shift if that were actually implemented as official policy.

> Many States may try to make claims for the title to support their legitimacy and heavenly mandate to rule, but that doesn't make it true.

We live in a post-WWII world of national sovereignty and inviolable borders (or at least we did until very recently). That's what China rests on for its claims, legally speaking.

seanmcdirmid 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

China looks like the good guy now, but if Xi decided to “reassert control” over Taiwan, it would quickly become an international pariah and everyone would forget about Trump immediately, the country would immediately be isolated from everyone other than their closest (geographically speaking) allies. Is China ready to do that? Not today, maybe in a decade or two (when they’ve replaced the USA as the top economic/military power, there won’t be severe consequences). Xi is smart enough to wait, taking Taiwan now wins them nothing and loses them everything.

gzread 11 hours ago | parent [-]

We'd just cut off all of our goods manufacturing and leave the shelves empty? I don't think it's likely.

seanmcdirmid 6 hours ago | parent [-]

> We'd just cut off all of our goods manufacturing and leave the shelves empty? I don't think it's likely.

All bets are off if China attacks Taiwan now, I think, it would be hard but there would be a response like that. In a decade or two, probably not, but more due to China's dominance in the world by that point rather than just their ability to make things clout.

Xi isn't dumb, he isn't going to stir the pot right now, he doesn't have to, China doesn't have much to gain from it. China has nothing but patience.

JumpCrisscross 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Also mainland China does not recognize Taiwan

By this logic, America not recognising by the sovereignty of Venezuela, Iran and Cuba—and Israel of Palestine, as well as vice versa—makes everyone an a-okay actor!

> there's absolutely nothing those western powers can do about it. Just like Russia's assertion over the West tring to nove it's NATO armies to its western borders in the Ukraine

Russia is a spent power and geopolitical afterthought because of Ukraine. Its borders with NATO have increased massively, all while reducing its security, economy and demography.

Even Xi couldn’t fuck over China as thoroughly as Putin has Russia. But Xi going on a vanity crusade into Taiwan would essentially write off China’s ascendancy as a military and economic superpower this generation.

> if mainland China did choose to reassert it's rightful authority in Taiwan against the colonial powers

An aging dictator invading a democracy. At least Deng chose a quarry he could crush [1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1989_Tiananmen_Square_protests...

YZF 18 hours ago | parent [-]

Palestine is only a state due to international recognition. It meets no definition of a state, it controls no land, has no currency, government, military, etc. It meets no criteria for statehood yet is recognized by most of the world as a state. Taiwan (and e.g. Somaliland) meet all the criteria for statehood and yet are not recognized as states. Venezuela, Iran and Cuba meet the criteria for statehood and ofcourse are actually recognized universally as states. State (pun intended) of the world.

I would like to believe there's no chance Xi would invade Taiwan but I also didn't think Putin would invade Ukraine. Those leaders are full of themselves. If we learnt much over the last few years is that anything can happen. China has both declared the intention and built the capabilities to invade Taiwan. As the saying goes if a loaded rifle is introduced in the first act of a play, it must be fired by the final act.

paulddraper 17 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> if mainland China did choose to reassert it's rightful authority in Taiwan

Wait...you mean China doesn't currently have authority in Taiwan?

How could that be??

6thbit a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> they have to couch it in language clarifying that they would love to support war,

This is what baffles me when I see people flocking to them for subscriptions based on these events.

davidw a day ago | parent | next [-]

If LLM's are indeed a game changer professionally, you kind of need to pick one.

Personally, I loathe seeing power shift towards mega corporations like that, away from being able to run your own computer with free software, but it feels like the economics are headed that way in terms of productivity.

NoOn3 15 hours ago | parent [-]

You cannot rely on a closed source "AI" in someone else's cloud for your work. After all, it can be disabled for you at any time. "AI" can easily steal all your technological secrets. At the request of the owner, "AI" can easily mislead you and insert backdoors into your products. "AI" can even easily incorrectly answer some questions specifically for you if the owner of "AI" wants to remove your competition. And you may not even understand it.

davidw 9 hours ago | parent [-]

I agree with all that. And yet, here we are.

ghywertelling 12 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Technological surplus was created and then it was usurped and used for nefarious purposes.

rockskon a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Military isn't quite as aggressively catering to the people who historically have bullied techies as they used to.

Aside from that - there's a lot more people in tech now. It grew too fast too quick to maintain all the values it had back in the 00's and earlier.

ArchieScrivener a day ago | parent [-]

[flagged]

saltyoldman 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think you went off the rails to quickly potentially.

He's referring to places like Google or Microsoft having to back out of deals regularly with countries and US agencies after employee backlash.

It seems like now days the backlash is indeed smaller and the heads of said companies are willing to move forward anyway.

That is a significant change from the past.

rockskon a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Values relating to mistrust of the military (as per the context of the post I responded to) as well as values relating to ownership of the tech you bought and of personal privacy.

Get off your high horse and stop talking down to a person you don't know. Take your anger out on someone else.

K0balt a day ago | parent | next [-]

Yeah, it wasn’t some kind of ethical utopia, but it sure as hell has gotten a lot less ethical in real terms. When you start Making things operate in ways that people dislike or are deceived by, it’s a very slippery slope, because everything from there all the way through eating babies is just a matter of degree.

Trite as it may seem, don’t be evil is actually a very, very strong statement, as is do no harm. 70 percent of tech market cap these days is a a million tiny harms, a warm pool of diluted evil.

ArchieScrivener 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

relaxing a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Jobs the Marketer! You want to lump Jobs in with Ellison because he had the gall to purchase advertising for his products?

iugtmkbdfil834 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

micromacrofoot a day ago | parent [-]

I also suspect that many could be twice as bad with only half the money

there's a corrupting force we're not coming to terms with here

iugtmkbdfil834 a day ago | parent [-]

Hard to say for sure. In that instance I can only reasonably speak for myself. So far at least, the evidence suggests the more I have, the more distracted I get by new projects.

foobiekr 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

In 2000 I worked for a company that was building a mobile telephony and data product. The partner company asked us to help them implement the lawful intercept function, as is required by law, which we did, however they were asking for 5+% LI traffic when the common practice was 2-ish%. Our hardware was exceptional, we could trivially have done 100% at line rate with zero impact. The engineers all stepped aside, and finally: "Fuck those guys. They get their 2%."

It's one of the better ethical moments I've had in my career of working for _mostly_ very ethical companies (so obviously not any social media or crypto).

wzm 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> I have told my sons that they are not under any circumstances to take part in massacres, and that the news of massacres of enemies is not to fill them with satisfaction or glee.

> I have also told them not to work for companies which make massacre machinery, and to express contempt for people who think we need machinery like that.

bayindirh 11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The project management book we used in the university noted that if a person refused to work on weapons/military systems and similar, there's no other choice than to respect that, and even asking for its reasons would be borderline unacceptable (depending on your closeness with said person).

Now the only reason models trained on any and every public data can't be attached to autonomous weapons is that we didn't fed enough data to these systems to carry this tasks reliably yet.

You said the overton window is moved, yet there's no window to discuss about in today's world. As a human being you either get exploited or get exploded. In either case human is the product. We just serve machines at this point.

llmthrow0827 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes, the equivocal wording means nothing. It's clear that Anthropic has no moral qualms about participating in war crimes, since that's been America's MO since forever. America has provided free weapons to Israel to continue their slaughter in Gaza and has now joint forces with the same to assassinate leaders under the auspices of peace talks, and kill schoolchildren and other civilians as part of a terror campaign.

tpoacher 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don't know what you're talking about. This is exactly as I remember things back in the Iraq war. With us or against us and all that.

jrsj 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

These are kind of unrelated issues. You’re right that it used to be companies just didn’t want to be involved in war at all, & generally speaking that isn’t going to cause issues.

The core of the issue here is having a private company which is trying to dictate terms of use to the military, which is not really something that has been done before afaik

Originally this contract was signed with these terms included, and it wasn’t until Anthropic started investigating how its tech was used by Palantir in the Maduro operation that this became an issue.

On a surface level it seems like Anthropic is doing the right thing here but this is really at the root of this & the outcome of the case (and whether or not Anthropic is a legitimate supply chain risk) depends entirely on the details of those conversations they had with Palantir.

hax0ron3 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

And probably some of the same companies where you could get fired for publicly expressing some mildly controversial sociological theories like James Damore did are also companies that would not hesitate to work with the CIA or the Pentagon on mass surveillance or weapons systems.

maxlybbert 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's easy to say "I will never let the Department of Defense use my search engine for evil!" Or "the more money they spend on me, the less they have for weapons!" ( https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Theo_de_Raadt ) when you aren't really expecting money. But when somebody shows up with a check, it becomes much harder to stick to your principles. Especially after watching Palantir (and "don't be evil" Google) rake in plenty of dough.

Also: https://gist.github.com/kemitchell/fdc179d60dc88f0c9b76e5d38... .

bradleyjg a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If you graduated in 2007, your classmates were born around 1985. Their parents were mostly born in the mid 50s to the mid 60s and came to political consciousness either during the Vietnam War or immediately thereafter. No war since has been even close to as unpopular or frankly as salient. It’s the passing out of cultural relevance of that war that you are noticing.

asveikau a day ago | parent [-]

> No war since has been even close to as unpopular or frankly as salient.

Iraq.

Spoiler alert, a bunch of the current ones are going to be seen similarly too.

Also keep in mind when making comparisons that the Vietnam war was not unpopular with Americans at the beginning, and many people justified it all throughout, using language that will be similar to observers of later wars.

bradleyjg a day ago | parent [-]

> Iraq

Not in same ballpark. There’s no Iraq generation the way there’s a Vietnam one.

> Spoiler alert, a bunch of the current ones are going to be seen similarly too.

No they won’t. The lack of a draft and mass domestic casualties dramatically changes the picture. Especially on the saliency axis.

master_crab a day ago | parent | next [-]

Correct that there was no Iraq generation because there was no draft and numbers were way smaller. Vietnam had over half a million troops at the height of that war. Iraq had under 170k.

But the war was still deeply unpopular. There is a reason America did the extraordinary - to that point - and elect its first black president.

The economic toll will be greater with these wars than Vietnam.

GJim 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> No they won’t. The lack of a draft and mass domestic casualties dramatically changes the picture

American centrism strikes again.

Plenty of us of the same generation living in countries that didn't fight in Vietnam (with no such draft or casualties) share such ethical views.

Don't make this an American argument.

dormento 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> There’s no Iraq generation the way there’s a Vietnam one.

And if autonomous weapons become the norm, _there will never be_.

Imagine a future where people just don't question wars on their ethical basis, since it happens far away and "no one is hurt".

jrflowers a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The biggest protest in world history was in response to the invasion of Iraq. It’s reasonable to call it unpopular.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/15_February_2003_Iraq_War_prot...

endominus a day ago | parent [-]

Sure, but it's not reasonable to call it as unpopular domestically as the Vietnam War, which had more than 12 times the casualties, spread over a group that on the whole was unwilling to fight and had to be drafted into the conflict, thereby spreading the pain of lost loved ones throughout society rather than concentrating it heavily into the poorer and less politically powerful social and economic classes. As unpopular as the Iraq war was, the American people's distaste didn't really do much to end it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_military_casualt...

jrflowers 21 hours ago | parent [-]

That’s reasonable. In the context of the larger discussion here a post up thread’s implication that a graduate in 2007 would be anti-war because of Vietnam is kind of dubious. Public opinion of the war shifted quite a lot in the four years after “Mission Accomplished” and Freedom Fries.

AndrewKemendo a day ago | parent | prev [-]

There is an Iraq group but we’re just a much smaller group

bradleyjg 11 hours ago | parent [-]

I’m not trying to erase anyone’s individual experience, but it isn’t a generational defining event broadly across the U.S. population.

AndrewKemendo 4 hours ago | parent [-]

No

Me, an Iraq combat veteran had a different experience of that period than an investment baker of similar age

That was not true for WWII and to a lesser extent Vietnam due to the draft

The distinction is draft vs “all volunteer” wars

metalcrow a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What tech companies were these? I was younger in 2007 but i feel like i would remember if companies were openly refusing to participate in war.

esafak 21 hours ago | parent [-]

Such protests are commonplace at Google: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/04/technology/google-letter-...

metalcrow 21 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Yeah, and they still happen even today (there were some recent ones with ICE and Israel), but the companies themselves have still worked in war businesses.

gzread 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes, and the participating employers are quickly fired.

demorro 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I quit a job 8 years ago because I learned my code had been deployed inside missiles. Many of my colleagues had similar red lines. I doubt many would now.

jonas21 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

2007 was 19 years ago. If you step back another 19 years, you'll find that the major tech companies of the era had huge defense contracts: IBM, HP, Oracle, SGI, Texas Instruments, etc. Not only that, the development of many technologies we take for granted today -- like integrated circuits, the Internet, even Postgres -- were directly funded by the DoD. Much of the growth of Silicon Valley in the early days was a direct consequence of working with the military.

monksy 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's not just that.

There was the 3 laws of robotics, where a robot/software was not to do any harm.

There was concerns over privacy and refusal of sharing your name and info on the internet. After all it's full of strategers and there was danger

Don't get into cars with strangers

pohl 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Aren't shifts in the Overton Window are qualitatively different from attempts to avoid the wrath of an organized crime syndicate in power?

fooker 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> my graduating classmates refused to work at companies that did let their systems be used for war

Holy mother of bubbles. No, for several decades it was a common thing for the L3 Harris, Lockheed Martin, etc to scoop up half the geeks from most graduating classes.

jeffbee a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I'm a decade older so maybe I missed the memo but I think you'll have a hard time naming tech companies that actually refused to work with the military, which were large enough and important enough to be in danger of selling something to the military (i.e. not Be Inc. or Beenz.com)

Clearly, all of the traditional big leagues were lined up to take the Army's money. IBM, Control Data, Cray, SGI, and HP all viewed weapons research as a major line of business. DEC was the default minicomputer of the DoD and Sun created features to court the intelligence community including the DoD "Trusted Workstation". Sperry Rand defined "military industrial complex".

g947o 9 hours ago | parent | next [-]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Maven

maxlybbert 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Well, they made a big deal about saying that while they sold their software to the Defense Department, it wasn't actually being used to kill people. Except for well-known military contractors (e.g., Raytheon), who have sold plenty of software specifically to kill people.

I guess there's a reason we saw plenty of articles about software used somewhat defensively -- such as distinguishing whether a particular "bang" was a gunshot, and where it likely came from -- instead of offensively -- such as improvements to targeting software.

Esophagus4 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes, and IBM had a particularly tainted history from WWII.

For every company that stands on values, there is another that will do some shady shit for a dollar.

relaxing a day ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

jeffbee a day ago | parent [-]

This wasn't really that long ago.

https://www.google.com/maps/@37.6735255,-122.389804,3a,31.2y...

relaxing 12 hours ago | parent [-]

40 years ago! Forty!

miohtama 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

When I graduated, companies had mottos like Don't do evil.

amelius 11 hours ago | parent [-]

And did they stick to it?

tbrownaw 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's certainly entertaining to read about ancient industry history, with people on DARPA grants objecting to military interest in the stuff the military was paying them to do.

intexpress 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's because they need enormous amounts of money for their datacenters

And enormous amount of political support because of the negative perception of AI in society

gverrilla 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

USA is collapsing.

astura 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is really, really , really bad revisionist history boarding on fanfiction - The U.S. military directly built the entire foundation of the modern tech industry. There's a reason that the Internet started out as ARPANET (ARPA [now DARPA] being a DoD agency).

gzread 11 hours ago | parent [-]

What else did they build?

qsera a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>refuse to let their systems be used for war..

I don't want wars.

But tell me, what would you like your country to do when conflicts arise due to want of natural resources? Would you want your country to just give up that resource your people depend on, like may be 50/50?

Do you believe it will always be possible to settle on a solution in a peaceful way that works for everyone?

paulhebert 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Most of America's recent wars have been unjustified.

I think it's very reasonable to not want your products or work going towards making it easier for the US military wage unjustified wars.

I also think it would be reasonable to change your stance on that if America entered a war that you felt was justified.

(For example, I don't want to work for the military, but if we were being invaded I would consider it.)

Saying the military can't use your tool _today_ doesn't prevent you from changing your mind _tomorrow._

dotancohen 18 hours ago | parent [-]

  > I don't want to work for the military, but if we were being invaded I would consider it.
Enlisting after your country had already been invaded is too late. An ancient proverb reminds us that if you want peace, prepare for war.
martinwright a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Your logic here is sound, sure. But don't tell me you can be so naive as to believe that the U.S. military is a defensive mechanism

qsera a day ago | parent [-]

>But don't tell me you can be so naive as to believe that the U.S. military is a defensive

I am not. Every country is corrupt, and war makes a lot of money for powerful people, but does it justify sabotaging your own existence?

mrs6969 20 hours ago | parent [-]

Literally yes. If you justify harming others out of nowhere by ‘sabotaging your own existence’ then yes.

‘Sabotaging your own existence’ is a magic sentence that can justify everything. Israel can kill children more than any other nation in the world, and justify it by ‘not sabotaging their own existence’

Anyone can do anything with this perspective. This is the exact point gere. Pull yourself back, if you are about to ‘not sabotage your own existence’ by simply killing innocent civilians because you believe a computer algorithm told you in about 15 years they or their children might do something harmful.

qsera 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Sure, any one can say anything. But I am not referring to that. I am talking about a case where it is objectively true.

But I think that is a question that anyone would rather not consider.

The issue is that if you don't consider that question, and jump into discussion or actions, in general just have an "outrage", then it would be very hard to take you seriously.

mrs6969 an hour ago | parent | next [-]

What is objective; does iraq having chemical weapons objective for example?

Or childrens died because of invasion is more objective?

Which one?

laserlight 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I don't know of any instance where modern warmongers fight wars based on subjective grounds. They all have “objectively true” reasons.

qsera 16 hours ago | parent [-]

Imagine you are stranded in your home with all your loved ones, and you get a call from your "warmonger" president and the matter is urgent; he says "We have received intel regarding a enemy plan to bomb your house in 30 mins. This report is only x% reliable, but we have the exact location of the enemy and we have birds in air that can hit them in 5 mins. This might escalate into a larger conflict, Do you want us to proceed? "

What would your response be? What is the value of `x` at which you will approve of the pre-emptive attack?

Just curious.

mrs6969 an hour ago | parent | next [-]

100 is my answer. Exactly my question to you:

What is your percentage to say no lets do not take actions. Because again; with this perspective every single action is legitimate. There is a chance for everything. If there is a weapon that can kill every human on the planet, every country will race to invent it because every country will try to invent it. Every action is valid. Every weapon development is okey, because if you dont, others will. You can kill everyone, because everyone might eventually try to kill you, there is always a chance.

laserlight 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I don't get the point. What does objectivity have to do with the value of x?

Your example seems to validate my point of view: warmongers disguise their subjectivity by basing their actions on “objective” models.

qsera 13 hours ago | parent [-]

>What does objectivity have to do with the value of x?

It does not have anything to do with objectivity. I thought it to be futile to discuss that since, as you implied, predicting future can't be 100% objective, and thus decisions to avert a bad future outcome always need to be based on subjective decisions.

So this is another question where I want to ask you how you would make a subjective call.

laserlight 12 hours ago | parent [-]

Got it. Looks like we're on the same page. Everyone makes a subjective call.

qsera 12 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes, we are on the same page, and you have got one question to answer.

Make your call.

JumpCrisscross 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Anyone can do anything with this perspective

Not really. Not unless one is thinking in absolutes, at which point one is by definition an extremist.

The rational dialogue that emerges is the proper size of a military for defensive—but not continuous offensive—purposes. I’d guess, for America, that is half its current size at most. (The wrong answers are zero and $1.4tn.)

yellow_postit 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I am sympathetic to the argument that I’d rather elected officials that have a path to be removed have the control of use more so than unelected executives.

gonzalohm 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Isn't the point of technology and engineering to find alternatives with the resources that one has?

qsera 21 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes, but it takes time.

Like we have solar now. People talk about how it saves environment. But I think another similar win would be reduction in dependency on oil, and countries won't have to go to war over oil. But it takes time...

But it seems what technology gives, technology takes away. Because new technologies comes with its own resource requirements. And the cycle looks like it will go on...

the_af 11 hours ago | parent [-]

> Yes, but it takes time.

So be it.

This doesn't excuse going to war with neighbors because you want to steal their stuff. Learn to live with yours.

qsera 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Learn? Can you learn to live without eating? Do you know what happens when an economy collapse?

the_af 8 hours ago | parent [-]

> Can you learn to live without eating?

Would you murder your neighbor to steal their food? Especially if you weren't really starving, just preemptively stealing their supplies?

All this talk of hoarding and taking resources by force used to be the stuff of villains. When did it become normalized?

qsera 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Have you ever gone through a whole a week without eating anything? Have you seen your kids go through that?

If don't, then I will have to say you got no idea about what you are talking about..

the_af 7 hours ago | parent [-]

> Have you ever gone through a whole a week without eating anything? Have you seen your kids go through that

Have you? And did you murder your neighbor to steal their food? Did you believe the best course of action was to fight your neighbors?

Your ridiculous analogy doesn't even apply to the US, one of the wealthiest countries in the world. In your imagined scenario, are they the poor starving family who must kill and steal to survive?

Dude. Think hard before getting backed into absurd metaphors.

qsera 6 hours ago | parent [-]

>Have you?

I haven't, and that is why I am not making higher-than-you, virtuous claims about how I would act in that situation. Maybe you should do the same.

>Your ridiculous analogy doesn't even apply to the US, one of the wealthiest countries in the world

And where did that wealth come from? Sure, you have smart people, but it also require a functioning economy to mobilize and convert all those talent into wealth. If a external entity can choke your economy and if your government just stand-by, virtue-signaling to people such as yourselves, your wealth will disappear in no time. BOOM! Back to zero...

the_af 5 hours ago | parent [-]

> I haven't, and that is why I am not making higher-than-you [...]

Then maybe stop making up hypotheticals that don't apply to me, you, or any of the nations involved? What are you hoping to achieve here? "Let's assume we live in a Mad Max world, would you steal all the women and water"?

> And where did that wealth come from? Sure, you have smart people, but it also require a functioning economy to mobilize and convert all those talent into wealth

So you think the US doesn't have a functioning economy or smart people, and therefore must resort to war to get their resources?

> BOOM! Back to zero...

So, in your bizarre logic, it's best to resort to theft and murder?

qsera 3 hours ago | parent [-]

You win! Good day!

fwip a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Personally, I'd rather that my country (USA) be taken over by China than bomb innocents in the Middle East.

frogcoder 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Yes, there are many plus sides if USA were taken over by China.

1. You will see no protest on the street.

2. You will see no homeless on the street.

3. You will hear no more school shootings or any shooting.

4. No more tech companies conflicting with the government.

5. No one will sue the government because it's perfect.

6. All bad people will disappear.

7. Everyone sings praise of the government.

This is better than Utopia, you should pursue it.

queenkjuul 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Hear, hear

senadir a day ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

qsera a day ago | parent [-]

If the country wage wars for bad reasons, that is another problem that probably should be fixed elsewhere, or you should leave that country and be somewhere who government you can fully get behind.

> defending your country

I am afraid that this does not always have to be an incoming attack. What if some country has a resource that your country badly needs, without which your people will suffer badly and imagine the same is true with the other country. How much of an hit on economic and QoL are you willing to sustain before you ask your government to go out there and get the required resource by force.

I totally get that war is profitable, and most of the wars cannot be justified. But ideas like this sounds like sabotaging your own country and thus your own existence.

bad_haircut72 a day ago | parent [-]

What if your family didnt like bread, what of they liked - cigarettes? And instead of giving it away, you just sold it at a price that was practically giving it away?

eduction a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> they have to couch it in language clarifying that they would love to support war, actually,

Yes they do because they are trying to sell to the Department of War.

No one made Anthropic try to be a military contractor. It’s pretty much the definition of being a military contractor that your product helps to kill people.

bfung 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I’d argue it’s come full circle and it hasn’t changed a bit.

There wouldn’t be a Silicon Valley without World War 2 and US gov. funding of Stanford to develop radar basically.

The initial investment from then gave critical capital mass for Stanford, the VCs, and the tech companies of today.

https://youtu.be/ZTC_RxWN_xo?si=gGza5eIv485xEKLS

strangattractor 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

VCs have mined all the low hanging fruit of the internet. Exactly how many attention grabbing advertising companies, crypto scammers and gambling sites can the world stand. Enshittification is forcing them to seek new horizons.

WalterBright 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> classmates refused to work at companies that did let their systems be used for war

I don't want to be stuck with horses when the enemy is invading with tanks.

gzread 11 hours ago | parent [-]

How well do horses fare against tanks - anyone know? Tanks are really big and bulky and I'm sure (well-trained) horses could literally run circles around them, which wouldn't do any good because how would you get through the armor.

WalterBright 5 hours ago | parent [-]

A cavalry charge was tried once in the opening days of WW1. A machine gun took care of it. Tanks have machine guns.

P.S. Horses where then relegated to hauling equipment around, not combat. This persisted even into WW2. The Germans used horses extensively for transport. You don't see it much in the documentary films, as the cameramen were instructed to not show the horse drawn stuff. They wanted to present the image that the Wehrmacht was mechanized.

amelius 11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

My guess is that Hegseth saw this tiktok showing a vision of robots deployed by the Chinese army:

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/z5I8HDkrKbI

delaminator 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Students are idealistic. The real world has a habit of blunting that.

observationist 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

As much as I agree with a lot of these principles, in principle, the crux of the fight is Anthropic feeling and behaving like they're entitled to be involved in things far beyond anything they're legally allowed to be, and the military leadership telling them, rightly, to take a hike and not let the door hit them on the way out.

Effective Altruism is a deeply silly, flawed, unserious, superficial way of engaging with the world if this, FTX, and shrimp welfare are the outcome of people putting it in action.

What Anthropic wants is to be able to go back and pontificate and sue a government if they determine that their terms of service have been violated. In order to enforce that, they wanted oversight, access, and to intervene if they felt it was being put to a purpose they disagreed with, namely surveillance or autonomous weapons/killing, etc.

As an AI platform, they can decide if they want the military to be able to use the software. I'm 1000% on board with this. They don't get to sit an Anthropic employee down and say "ok, now you watch these soldiers and make sure they follow the rules, and if they do anything wrong, you hit the big red button that shuts them down." They don't get to program a Claude oversight agent to do that, either. That messes with realtime operations. They don't get to go back and sue "ackshually, we looked at these logs and determined that you violated rule 102.3a in the contract, because one of the terrorists was participating from an IP address determined to reside in the continental US" or whatever.

Anthropic doesn't get to hold the US military accountable. It doesn't get to do oversight. It doesn't get to constrain its scope of operation, through legal threat or active intervention or contracts or otherwise.

Chain of command and rule of law constrain the US military. Congressional oversight and rule of law hold it accountable. A private contractor, no matter how noble or principled, doesn't get extra privileges.

Anthropic playing political games, advocating for unelected and unaccountable power to be granted a private corporation, is what got them designated a supply chain risk, and I can see the argument for it. Depending on how much effort they put in to hassling the government and pushing for their side, it remains to be seen whether the designation sticks.

And in principle, I also see the utility of being extremely heavy handed when slapping down a private company trying to make a power grab like that. Either through ignorance or incredible arrogance and entitlement, a private company and industry needs to learn their place in the grand scheme of things. Anthropic isn't special, their place is right alongside all the rest of we the people; they don't get extra privileges because they feel strongly that they're particularly right or righteous.

OpenAI effectively said "yeah, rule of law, thumbs up, sounds good." and took the $200B on the table. Anthropic was pushing for extra private oversight and accountability, and it doesn't matter if it was surveillance, autonomous weapons, or not eating babies - the particular rule doesn't matter, the precedent being set of private corporations getting a say, at all, beyond legal limits, is the point. No company gets to tell the US military what to do or what not do, or hold them accountable post-hoc, or constrain available options, because if they absolutely need to break a technicality for a good reason, when national security and defense is under consideration, a private company's rules and terms of service is the very last thing in the world that should be important to that discussion.

I'm a Snowden fan and absolutely want the global surveillance apparatus to vanish, and don't want an AI singleton dystopia, and I'm probably waaayyy more liberal and liberty minded than is reasonable, but even I can understand where this line in the sand is, and why it's there. I'd be shocked if Dario lasts the year as CEO, it's clear he's ill equipped for real world, adult decisions.

micromacrofoot 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

When I was a kid just the rumor of "selling out" could kill the popularity of something, now it's often the goal.

burgreblast 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

But ma, look at our stonk price!

moogly 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> My, the world has changed.

Has it though? I'd say it's morphed, not changed. This is still, underneath it all, Hanseatic League and East India Company domination style colonialism, but adapted to and shaped by the digital age.

The US has pretty much all throughout its history had its military-industrial complex and warfare as an economic motor too, and in view of this, it's inevitable that software gets integrated.

Israel, the most recent settler-colonial state (of course some people try to claim it's not using various mental gymnastics, but I'm not fooled), was the experiment and has become a model for how to intermingle the industrial-military complex with society to the degree they two become indistinguishable, and with backing of the West it's been a very profitable and, I hate to say it, successful model.

Here's[1] a review of a book about the subject, talking about the state incubating start-ups and spawning a tech sector for the sole purpose of warmongering.

[1]: https://theconversation.com/the-harvard-of-anti-terrorism-ho...

discreteevent 15 hours ago | parent [-]

Be careful with this "they are all the same" logic. As an empire, I would rather have the WWII to 2016 USA than the current one and the current one to Russia.

moogly 15 hours ago | parent [-]

You're quite right that there are degrees in hell.

dfxm12 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Maybe not war, per se, but still relevant to this topic, around this time, there was a famous AT&T whistle blower (Mark Klein) who described the company's role in domestic surveillance by the NSA.

Maybe companies are more open about it today, but it is hard to make such a wide assertion.

tastyface a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The reckoning will come.

Watch as the same people pushing for war today will pretend they were always against it 10 years from now.

I guess we're just doomed to repeat the same cycles.

thegreatpeter 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What are some examples of a tool the military wanted but the company refused to allow them to use it and getting away with it?

refurb 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It’s like cheating on a spouse, it’s not much of a claim to say “id never cheat” when there are zero opportunities to do so.

Same with the claims from companies like Google - “dont be evil”. Easy to say when there is nothing on the line.

But when the choice is between your claimed morals and the future success of your company, those morals disappear in a hurry. But they were never strongly held in the first place.

toyg 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You have to recognize that boomers, with all their faults, took military action seriously. And Silicon Valley looked up to the likes of John Perry Barlow and 60s counterculture.

Their kids don't give a shit.

paulddraper 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> My, the world has changed.

Revisionist history.

When you graduated in 2007, the leading tech companies were Microsoft, Google, IBM, Cisco, Apple, Intel, HP, Oracle, Qualcomm, and Texas Instruments.

How many refused DoD application of their products?

I only recall one -- Google. (And it actually first agreed to Project Maven before later backing out.)

wyldfire 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> the world has changed.

It's the effect of a cult of personality. People don't feel like they want or need this. But they're on board with the cult.

stinkbeetle 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> When I graduated in 2007, it was common for tech companies to refuse to let their systems be used for war, and it was an ordinary thing when some of my graduating classmates refused to work at companies that did let their systems be used for war. Those refusals were on moral grounds.

I don't think it was very common really.

I think for the most part it was tech companies whose systems were not being used for war who like to boast that they refused to let their systems be used for war. Or that they creatively interpreted "for war" that since they were not actually manufacturing explosives, they could claim it was not for war.

gbin 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Didn't the silicon valley basically bootstrapped with defense contracts?

a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
ozzymuppet 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don't think the world has changed. There's just a madman in the white house. Look at the "Presidents" tweet for god sake... how is this normal?!

"THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA WILL NEVER ALLOW A RADICAL LEFT, WOKE COMPANY TO DICTATE HOW OUR GREAT MILITARY FIGHTS AND WINS WARS! "

"The Leftwing nut jobs at Anthropic have made a DISASTROUS MISTAKE trying to STRONG-ARM the Department of War, and force them to obey their Terms of Service instead of our Constitution. Their selfishness is putting AMERICAN LIVES at risk, our Troops in danger, and our National Security in JEOPARDY.

Therefore, I am directing EVERY Federal Agency in the United States Government to IMMEDIATELY CEASE all use of Anthropic’s technology. We don’t need it, we don’t want it, and will not do business with them again!"

slantedview 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Let's not imply the world changed on its own. Trump changed it.

jmyeet a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

When people (myself included FWIW) warn about the dangers of American imperialism, it's because:

1. As President Eisenhower said in his farewell address in 1961 [1], every dollar spent on the military-industrial complex is a dollar not spent on schools or houses or hospitals or bridges;

2. Every American company with sufficient size eventually becomes a defense contractor. That's really what's happened with the tech companies. They're moving in lockstep with the administration on both domestic and foreign policy;

3. The so-called "imperial boomerang" [2]. Every tactic, weapon and strategy used against colonial subjects are eventually used against the imperial core eg [3]. Do you think it's an accident that US police forces have become increasingly militarized?

The example I like to give is China's high speed rail. China started building HSR only 20 years ago and now has over 32,000 miles of HSR tracks taking ~4M passengers per day. The estimated cost for the entire network is ~$900B. That's less than the US spends on the military every year.

I really what Steve Jobs would've done were he still alive. Tim Apple has bent the knee and kissed the ring. Would Steve Jobs have done the same? I'm not so sure. He may well have been ousted (again) because of it.

Then again, I think Steve Jobs was the only Silicon Valley billlionaire not in a transhumanist polycule with a more than even chance of being in the files.

[1]: https://www.archives.gov/milestone-documents/president-dwigh...

[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imperial_boomerang

[3]: https://www.amnestyusa.org/blog/with-whom-are-many-u-s-polic...

esafak 21 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Thank you for mentioning the term 'imperial boomerang'. You really saw it in the militarization of the police after the Iraq War. Gone are the donut munchers.

tw04 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> I really what Steve Jobs would've done were he still alive. Tim Apple has bent the knee and kissed the ring. Would Steve Jobs have done the same? I'm not so sure. He may well have been ousted (again) because of it.

Given that Steve Jobs was best friends with Larry Ellison, I’d say he wouldn’t have bent the knee because he would’ve been standing hand in hand with Trump, just like Larry.

lp4v4n 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

>1. As President Eisenhower said in his farewell address in 1961 [1], every dollar spent on the military-industrial complex is a dollar not spent on schools or houses or hospitals or bridges;

This humanist view unfortunately doesn’t hold anymore in the modern world. Boomers will be happy as long as not a single dollar is spent on housing, so that their own homes can appreciate in value. Republicans would rather burn money than spend it on houses, hospitals, or bridges that might benefit immigrants or “other people” more than themselves.

I used an American political party only as a reference, but the same phenomenon can be seen in many countries around the world. Society has become incredibly cynical and has regressed a lot in terms of humanity.

FpUser 21 hours ago | parent [-]

>"Boomers will be happy as long as not a single dollar is spent on housing"

Not sure what boomers you are talking about. I for one am disgusted at what is happening with the things in general and with the housing in particular. I do not want my house to appreciate Ad infinitum. I do not want to have ever growing class of have-not's so that few jerks can own the governments and half of the world.

jmyeet 20 hours ago | parent [-]

Just so we're on the same page, the GP was reeferring to "baby boomers", as in people born 1945-1965. Maybe you know that and that's when you were born. I don't know. But "boomer" has taken on a slang meaning the latest few years for someone who's simply not tech-savvy or is otherwise out-of-touch.

Generational politics has definite limits and isn't absolute but it's also true that the Baby Boomer generation as a whole enjoyed the great opportunities and wealth generation opportunities in history. They fled to the suburbs, subsidized by the government every step of the way, and then basically pulled up the ladder behind them. They also refuse to quit.

And then when crime receded (and there are multiple theories for why this happened), they moved back into the city, bought up all the real estate and then blocked building affordable housing there too.

I personally have a theory that the parting gift of the Baby Boomer generation will be to get rid of Social Security and Medicare since they don't need it anymore.

staticman2 7 hours ago | parent [-]

> I personally have a theory that the parting gift of the Baby Boomer generation will be to get rid of Social Security and Medicare since they don't need it anymore.

They do need social security and Medicare. Studies show even with social security and Medicare half or more might struggle in retirement due to insufficient savings.

unethical_ban a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

As the Heritage Foundation has said, we are in a cold civil war for our country and right now, the authoritarians are winning.

throwpoaster 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What we now call Silicon Valley was created by the Navy in the late 19th century because they needed advanced radio technology to coordinate Pacific patrols. From then to about five years before the time you’re talking about, schools and tech companies worked closely with the military.

On the timescale of the industry as a whole, working with the military has been the norm and we are seeing a reversion to mean after about two decades of aberrant divergence.

SilverElfin 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The world changed in many ways. America now resembles China or Russia in terms of authoritarianism and oligarchy.

See https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47270470

> Dean Ball: What Secretary Pete Hegseth announced is a desire to kill Anthropic. It is true that the government has abridged private-property rights before. But it is radical and different to say, brazenly: If you don’t do business on our terms, we will kill you; we will kill your company. I can’t imagine sending a worse signal to the business community. It cuts right at heart at everything that makes us different from China, which roots in this idea that the government can’t just kill you if you say you don’t want to do business with it, literally or figuratively. Though in this case, I’m speaking figuratively.

kmeisthax a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The Overton window has not shifted, at least not among rank-and-file tech workers. There was very loud and vocal internal opposition to building and selling weapons[0]. They all lost the argument in the boardrooms because the US government writes very big checks. But I am told they are very much still around.

CEOs are bound to sociopathically amoral behavior - not by the law, but by the Pareto-optimal behavior of the job market for executives. The law obligates you to act in the interests of the shareholders, but it does not mandate[1] that Line Go Up. That is a function of a specific brand of shareholder that fires their CEOs every 18 months until the line goes up.

In 2007, Big Tech had plenty of the consumer market to conquer, so they could afford to pretend to be opposed to selling to the military. But the game they were playing was always going to end with them selling to the military. Once they were entrenched they could ignore the no-longer-useful-to-us-right-now dissenters, change their politics on a dime, and go after the "real money".

[0] Several of the sibling comments are mentioning hypothetical scenarios involving dual-use technologies or obfuscated purposes. Those are also relevant, but not the whole story.

[1] There are plenty of arguments a CEO could use to defend against a shareholder lawsuit that they did not take a particularly short-sighted action. Notably, that most line-go-up actions tend to be bad long-term decisions. You're allowed to sell low-risk investments.

atmavatar 21 hours ago | parent [-]

Complaining loudly about working with the government to build weapons and then continuing to build them isn't the same as people refusing to work for companies that handle weapons contracts. The window has indeed shifted, with tech workers now merely virtue signaling on social media.

RcouF1uZ4gsC a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> My, the world has changed.

No. Your tech experience was an aberration.

For almost all of history, including recent history, tech and military went together. Whether compound bows, or spears or metallurgy.

Euler used his math to develop artillery tables for the Prussian army.

von Neumann helped develop the atom bomb.

The military played a huge role in creating Silicon Valley.

However, to people who grew up in the mid to late 90s, it is easy to miss that that period was a major aberration. You had serious people talking about the end of history. You had John Perry Barlow's utterly naive Declaration of Independence of Cyberspace which looks more and more naive every year.

kypro a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

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rmm78 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

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ptaksh a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

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tedd4u a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

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testaburger a day ago | parent | next [-]

CBC news (canadian outlet) released an investigation on this yesterday, and found:

> While the facility was functioning as a school, CBC News has confirmed a previous New York Times report stating the building was once part of an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) base.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/iran-school-bombing-investigat...

Assuming AI was used for finding targets, perhaps the training data was out of date?

18 hours ago | parent [-]
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senectus1 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

my understanding that it was an Israeli missile that hit that school. i doubt we'll get to know anything about that.

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tedd4u 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Read the article. NY Times develops several facts that support it being part of a US volley, not Israel.

tedd4u 18 hours ago | parent [-]

Reuters now reporting "U.S. military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school that killed scores of children"

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-investigation-p...

globalnode a day ago | parent | prev [-]

waves to the censors

buzzerbetrayed a day ago | parent [-]

You realize that’s a narrative you made up in your head right? There is no evidence that it played out like that at all.

globalnode a day ago | parent [-]

They've boasted that that's how it works. Doesnt matter, seems the parent comment has been "removed", lol.

xdennis 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> It is incredible how far the overton window has moved on this issue.

> When I graduated in 2007, it was common for tech companies to refuse to let their systems be used for war,

In 2007 the US was the sole world hegemon. It could afford to let the smartest people work on ad delivery systems.

In 2026, in certain fields, China has a stronger economy and military. Russia is taking over Europe. India and Brazil are going their own way. China is economically colonizing Africa.

The US can't afford to let it's enemies develop strong AI weapons first because of the naive thinking that Russia/China/others will also have naive thinkers that will demand the same.

---

People were just as naive with respect to Ukraine. They were saying that mines and depleted uranium shells are evil. But when Russia attacked, many changed their minds because they realized you can't kill Russians with grandstanding on noble principle. You kill them with mines and depleted uranium shells.

Hopefully people here will change their minds before a hot war. As the saying goes, America always picks the right solution after trying all the wrong ones.

raffael_de 13 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> moral grounds

more like fashionable virtue signaling that survives only the least amount of inconvenience

ses1984 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

The only difference between now and 2007 is the curtain has been pulled back revealing how things have always worked.