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| ▲ | ryandrake 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I just don't understand this mentality. My wife is a stay-at-home mom. We are lucky that we can afford to do this. Most of our kid's friends have both parents working and they pay for child care. If suddenly they were able to have that childcare paid for, that would be wonderful! It doesn't affect our situation at all. Why would we oppose it? I don't need to have my own "waiver" payment in order for me to be in favor of my neighbor's burden being lifted. It's like free school lunch. We pack our kid a lunch every day, but some families rely on the school-provided free lunch. It's never even occurred to me that we should get a $3/day payment because we don't take advantage of free lunch. Having free lunch available is unequivocally a good thing, regardless of whether we personally partake. | | |
| ▲ | vlovich123 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | There's two things I think you've overlooked. One thing is that politically it's easier for benefits to remain sticky if everyone benefits from it vs a subpopulation. That's why universal income has stronger support than welfare benefits. Additionally, when you don't have means testing, the bureaucracy is a lot more straightforward and politicians can't mess with it by effectively cutting the program by increasing the administrative burden. > We are lucky that we can afford to do this. This is the second piece. What about people who are on the margin who aren't wealthy enough to do this and the subsidy would hep them achieve this? The subsidy could help the mom stay home and maybe do part-time work from home even. The thing that's easiest to miss when you're well on one side of a boundary is only looking at the other side of the boundary instead of also looking at where that boundary is drawn. | | |
| ▲ | ryandrake 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I addressed your second point in another comment. If voters thought there was a societal advantage to financially encourage stay-at-home parenthood with a subsidy, I'd be open to listen to the pros and cons of that, too, but that's kind of a separate issue. This one is about easing the burden for those who already pay for professional childcare, including those on the margin. The first point is just unfortunate humanity crab bucket mentality. "Others shouldn't benefit if I don't." I don't think there's anything we can do about that :( | | |
| ▲ | ndriscoll 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It's not a crab bucket mentality. Subsidizing one group that competes in the same markets (e.g. only dual income families, who compete with single income families for housing in desirable areas to raise kids) actually increases costs for the unsubsidized group. It doesn't just make them relatively worse off, but absolutely worse off. It shifts the margin of who can afford a single family lifestyle, all else equal. Since it's subsidizing specific behavior and not merely being poor or whatever, people will naturally look at whether they think that behavior ought to be incentivized, or whether the government should stay neutral. My wife is also a stay at home mom, and I've argued before that an increase in the child tax credit with a phase out for high income (so we might not qualify) makes more sense than a childcare credit/deduction for this reason. Then you're just subsidizing having kids, which seems fine to me (assuming we're subsidizing anything) since that's sort of necessary to sustain society. | | |
| ▲ | chlodwig 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Yea, more dual-income families means: - Bidding up the price of housing - Fewer parents active in overseeing the schools, volunteering to fix up the community, etc. - Less general slack for parents to help each other out - Fewer mom friends around during the day, less social life for existing stay-at-home moms - Peer pressure and implicit societal pressure to work a career - Parents sending their kids to camps and aftercare, rather than having kids free-range around the neighborhood and play with friends, so fewer playmates for the non-camp/non-daycare kids. | |
| ▲ | gopher_space 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | The number of people in this thread workshopping their libertarian edge cases on an item of immediate importance strongly suggests the crab bucket. The comments don't reflect an understanding of the situation people are in or a grasp of the dynamics that led to it. | | |
| ▲ | ndriscoll 2 days ago | parent [-] | | How is advocating for a larger unconditional child credit libertarian? As someone else in the thread pointed out, it's effectively UBI for children. It's literally advocating for more people to receive government subsidies. It's not even a crazy proposal since we already have a refundable child tax credit, so it's a matter of making it bigger. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Anything that might lead more towards decentralizing societal structure away from the state and quasi-state subsidized institutions back towards family units is considered "libertarian" on HN. Truly universal childcare "UBI" puts the power back into the hands of parents, rather than society taxing then lording over the head of parents as to which people are allowed to care for their children with it, just not funded in a libertarian manner. This is seen as a reduction in the power of the state which is a libertarian aim. So we've come to a crossroads where something profoundly un-libertarian is viewed by the anti-libertarians as libertarian because it incidentally achieves some of its aims. | |
| ▲ | 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | slg 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > One thing is that politically it's easier for benefits to remain sticky if everyone benefits from it vs a subpopulation. That's why universal income has stronger support than welfare benefits. It is funny to say this in this specific conversation. The exact logic you are using to support rebates for stay at home parents applies to childless people. So why are you drawing the line exactly where you are drawing it and why is that a better place than where this policy is currently drawing it? | | |
| ▲ | ryandrake 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | If the logic was applied even more generally, it would read: "If any Group X gets Benefit Y, then everyone must also get Benefit Y." Applied universally, it totally defeats the point of subsidies. | | |
| ▲ | hellojesus 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Yes, but that should be the point. Public goods are defined as nonrivalous and nonexcludable. Subsidies fail these conditions. On what grounds should we delegate nonpublic goods/services be provided by the government and not the private sector? | | |
| ▲ | chlodwig 2 days ago | parent [-] | | The argument is that producing children has massive positive externalities; there is value created for society that is not captured by the parent. In economics terms, all gains-from-trade for the child's future labor is a positive for society that the parent will not capture. Or for illustration, imagine nobody had any children. You would get to retirement age and find you could not buy food because there was no one to farm, you could not get healthcare because there were no more doctors and nurses or construction workers to build hospitals. Of course the tricky thing is that not all children produce positive externalities, some have massively negative externalities and a naive subsidy might encourage the wrong kind of reproduction ... Anyways, if you don't want any subsidies, one policy change is to eliminate general social security and simply have each retiree get the social security money paid only from their own children. Social security is not a savings plan or insurance, what it actually is is a socialized version of the current generation of children paying for their parents retirement. The non-socialized version is just the parents getting money of the kids that they raised themselves, and if you did not put in the work of raising kids, you don't get social security. |
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| ▲ | jmpman 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I’m unable to get the electric car tax credit for this year because my income is too high. However I’m likely to be laid off next year. Seems like I should get the benefit as my group status will change. | |
| ▲ | efitz 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Yes. |
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| ▲ | vlovich123 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Childless people are free to start businesses to provide services that can take advantage of those rebates. The argument you’re making in general is a valid one about subsidies, it’s a weird argument to make regarding children since having children is the only way society survives. Unless your claim is that we’re overpopulated but generally people in developed countries are not reproducing, and a meaningful part of that does appear to be the cost. So the answer is that this specific subsidy is net beneficial as we want to make it easier for people to have and raise kids, not least of which because it produces better adults when those kids grow up and makes society healthier. | |
| ▲ | hellojesus 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | This is a great point, and the obvious answer is the government should provide zero subsidies or welfare programs. Every single program creates moral hazard and deadweight loss. Iterate your question to conclusion, and you will arrive there. What the government should encourage is charitable donations, and when I say that, I mean the mere act of it. There should be no tax incentive for doing so. Where children are concerned, if anything, perhaps make the sales tax on child-related services zero, and increase sales tax on luxury goods associated with sink or dink households. At least that methodology provides the opportunity to forgo the penalties. |
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| ▲ | chlodwig 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I dislike the perversity of taxing people than only giving the money back to them if they arrange their life in a way that policy-makers prefer (two income family). I especially dislike it when the subsidized choice of institutional childcare is more inefficient (paying for a lot of overhead), worse for the environment (extra people commuting), and worse for the kids (kids in groups that are classes that are too large for their age, taken care of by a rotating cast of minimum wage workers instead of by their own parent). And yes, I think parents who successfully home-school their children should be given the money that government schools would have cost them. | | |
| ▲ | libraryatnight 2 days ago | parent [-] | | This strikes me as part of the disease of thinking like a tax payer and not a citizen. It's about the service/resource availability, not the money. And your system seems to create more perversion than what you're reacting to - a bunch of people keeping score to make sure they get theirs. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | In AZ we offer ESA to homeschoolers, vouchers to charter or private school kids, and then normal tuition free public schools. That way the service/resource is available to all children regardless of who the parent picks to provide it, according to what the family sees as their best option. It's not about who gets the money, just that the resources are available. I think very rarely does the state or society have a better view in aggregate of what is best for each family, particularly when you consider the asymmetry of millions of families having time and information to contemplate their circumstance vs voters or bureaucrats having complete inability to put any real thought on the child on a per-child basis. |
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| ▲ | harikb 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | +1 This whole mentality of voucher system is selfish. Even if we consider it as an "efficiency" problem, it is far cheaper for a person to be paid to take care of N children (where N is not too large), rather than have the have the mom, who is probably qualified in some other field, take care of just their children. | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It’s not any more selfish than wanting subsidy for childcare. A voucher system is about choice. Parents get to have some financial assistance to make it possible for them to stay at home and be with their kids, or to provide their children with experiences that aren’t just sitting in the daycare center’s room. If they want to do things differently, why shouldn’t they be able to? Why does providing assistance have to mean centralized control of what assistance looks like? > the mom, who is probably qualified in some other field Parents are plenty qualified to take care of their kids. And their qualifications in some other field doesn’t mean that working that field is better for them or their kids or the country. Having strong family structures and time together is pretty valuable. | | |
| ▲ | kelnos 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | If I as a taxpayer am going to subsidize someone else's activity, then why shouldn't I get a say in how they perform that activity? If it costs $100/child at a daycare facility, but $200/child for someone to be a stay-at-home parent, and you're asking me, a random taxpayer, to pay for one of those for someone else, from a financial perspective I will likely prefer to pay for the former. Now, I personally don't get to decide where tax dollars go, but I could easily imagine there are enough people with this preference that it could influence public policy. Having said that, if it's actually significantly better for a child to have a SAH parent, I might change my tune. (My mother was a SAHM, and I think that was great for us growing up.) | | |
| ▲ | kortilla 2 days ago | parent [-] | | The ask isn’t for more for the parents who stay at home, it’s for the equal amount. In your system you’ve created a messed up incentive where parents are better off just sending the kid to the daycare and having the mom sit at home and do absolutely nothing. |
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| ▲ | michaelmior 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Why does providing assistance have to mean centralized control of what assistance looks like? I generally agree with you, but often the reason that these programs work economically is that those who don't choose to use them still contribute. There are (at least) three different categories: (1) caregivers who will care for their child themselves regardless of whether or not free care is available elsewhere, (2) caregivers who will find care elsewhere regardless of the cost, and (3) caregivers who will make use of free care if available, or otherwise, care for their child themselves. I think the group (1) has a tendency to be higher income. It's certainly not true of everyone in that group, but I would wager that a significant number of people in that group do not need the financial assistance. Those people not using the free resource, but still contributing to funding it is what makes it economically viable. | |
| ▲ | rrrrrrrrrrrryan 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Vouchers are just a bribe to get people to actually vote for higher taxes that fund social services that they themselves aren't going to use or benefit from. "Why should I pay for taxes that don't benefit me?" is an aggressively American view toward the social contract. People who make money pay taxes, those pay for things, and citizens (not taxpayers) get to use those things if and when they need them. | |
| ▲ | fragmede 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Parents are plenty qualified to take care of their kids. Are they really though? I mean, I was raised by mine, and I've done well enough for myself, so that system can't be too bad, and most of the rest of humanity has also been raised by parents, for since... before there were humans. But if we look at this from first principles, it doesn't actually make sense. First, we let just about any random pairing of two humans, one of which has a uterus, can be a parent. Think of the most average person you know, then realize that half of everyone is dumber than them. Then put them with someone else that's just as dumb. Now give them a baby. And then add sleep deprivation on top of that. Seriously, it's a wonder that the human race has managed to survive this long. Experience is another thing. Even the most talented brilliant person needs to practice to reach their full potential. Raising a child as a skill is no exception. So we're gonna have absolute amateurs each raise a child, and then, most likely, throw all that learning and experience they did away and not have 10 more. Practice makes perfect, so let's not do that. What sort of training do we give parents before and during their parenthood? Before we send people off to do a job, non-stop for 18 years, how much training do we give them? Four dedicated years of college with plenty of lab and field work? Not in the slightest. Parents are expected to fund their own education for this job. Finally, the incentive structure is misaligned. Children don't make any financial sense, since the passage of child labor laws. Don't get me wrong, those laws are a good thing! But from an economic intellectual standpoint, it doesn't make sense to fuck up your life like that. Birth rates in the developed world reflect this. It's obviously a problem though, because children are our future and without them, humanity dies out in a generation. So omg holy shit, have kids. Societally, we need them. Society's only allegiance is to it continuing, and it doesn't without kids. Unfortunately they can't show an ROI in a single quarter, so we'll have to figure out a better mechanism for it, but for something so important, our future, shouldn't we want our best and brightest people on the problem? Yet we don't spend rationally. In the US, the school shooting industry (what schools spend on security in response to school shootings) is a multi-billion dollar industry. That money would be better spent on counselors and on the teachers. But back to my point, we'd rather have unpaid amateurs raise children on their off hours, instead of hiring professionals to do it? And make them pay for it as well? Make that make sense! The failure modes are known. Children get molested, abused, killed. Raised wrong. Those are corner cases, for sure, but I wouldn't argue that those parents are qualified to raise kids. Still, that's how we've always done it, and holy shit kids are cute, and you love yours, so of course we think parents are qualified to take care of kids, but we don't actually do any qualification except in the worst cases that we know about. Everyone knows somebody that knows somebody that had a bad childhood and didn't get the government called on them though. Children being raised by parents we assume are qualified is how we always done it, so the system works well enough, because humanity hasn't ended. But if you were designing a system, you wouldn't do it that way. |
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| ▲ | aeternum 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Good government policies generally avoid step functions otherwise you get perverse incentives. For example, if you lose too many benefits when you get a job, it can easily make getting a job yield negative expected value, this is bad because often it stunts future career potential. There may be families that cannot quite afford to be a stay-at-home mom even though they want to. Providing the waiver also increases the overall fairness. In rural areas there are generally far fewer childcare options, so this becomes a benefit that accrues to those that live in cities. Not very fair. | | |
| ▲ | slg 2 days ago | parent [-] | | My house has never been on fire, should I get a tax rebate for never needing service from the fire department? Government services exist to help people who need them. The idea that government services need to have the same net effect on every citizen is unusually popular in the US and is part of the reason we have worse government services than our peer nations. | | |
| ▲ | aeternum 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Fire protection is generally widely supported because almost everyone shares in the benefit, the protection is a benefit whether or not you need service. The reason we have worse government services is because there's no attempt to make them fair, the benefits are almost always highly skewed along partisan lines and thus usually not passed. | | |
| ▲ | slg 2 days ago | parent [-] | | >Fire protection is generally widely supported because almost everyone shares in the benefit, the protection is a benefit whether or not you need service. The same is true for things like childcare and education. Improving outcomes for the next generation doesn't only benefit them and their parents, it improves the entire society. >The reason we have worse government services is because there's no attempt to make them fair, the benefits are almost always highly skewed along partisan lines and thus usually not passed. You're just debating whether "everyone gets the same" is a better definition of "fair" than "everyone gets what they need". The only way for the government to satisfy the former without UBI (which I would support) is for the government to offer extremely limited services. That's the situation we're in. Because as I have said in another comment, the same argument that applies to stay at home parents applies to childless people so offering any childcare support is unfair according to the "everyone gets the same" definition. | | |
| ▲ | aeternum 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Need is ill-defined. People have all kinds of different ideas for what they need. I think it's worth considering what has significant majority support. For example I believe it's something like 80%+ support some kind of childcare subsidy or tax credit. Some childless probably make up the 20% just as some would prefer not to have a fire brigade. At that level of support just pass the subsidy / tax credit and let the families figure out how to apply it (paid daycare or homecare). |
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| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This is more like saying you'll get a tax rebate if you move from your family home you built with your bare hands into a megacorp built condo complex of equal value and fire risk. | |
| ▲ | pcthrowaway 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > My house has never been on fire, should I get a tax rebate for never needing service from the fire department? If you live in a city, there's a good chance your house hasn't been on fire because of the work of the fire department. | | |
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| ▲ | czhu12 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Isn’t the idea that many families want to have a stay at home mom, but can’t afford to and are forced to work. Therefore a waiver would help with this? | |
| ▲ | somenameforme 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | In most of those other households, it's highly probable that they wish they could have a stay-at-home-parent but can't afford it. A small payment can help nudge people over the line where it suddenly becomes financially viable. A voucher type solution would also work great for families that would also prefer to e.g. hire a private nanny instead of sending their child to daycare. | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Also, stay at home mums often like to sometimes be able to use child care facilities. I doubt they feel cheated that they don't use it on the majority of days they prefer to spend with their kids... | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent [-] | | But why not let them go to child care on those days, get those reimbursed, but also use the funds for other things (like supplies for raising kids at home, or to pay for other activities you take them to that aren’t just daycare)? | | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Because the point of subsidising care is to remove cost barriers to parents getting back into work or dealing with other stuff or socialising kids in a day care environment, not to turn parenting into a profit centre | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Why would providing vouchers turn parenting into a profit center? That’s a cynical way to portray one side of this when you probably don’t take the same harsh view of the other side. The point of subsidizing care isn’t to get parents “back into work”. It’s to help people raise children. That’s it. You’re gatekeeping what this is for as a way to justify unnecessary centralization and a lack of choice where choice is possible. | | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Providing vouchers to pay for daycare doesn't turn parenting into a profit centre. Providing parents with $12k per child per annum which they can either spend on daycare or anything else they want if they don't need daycare does (and has the opposite effect of the current policy: it keeps the opportunity cost of daycare the same and lowers the relative value of going back to work) | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I'm still lost as to why it's OK for daycares to be taxpayer subsidized profit centers but it's bad for a parent to receive the subsidies instead because some other parent may hypothetically be turning a profit on the kid if they just feed them pork and beans and stuff them into a closet. | | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I'm still lost as to why you think taxpayers need to pay people who don't need free stuff for not using the free stuff? I mean, if parenting during the daytime is so unpleasant or expensive parents need a $12k subsidy to stay at home, they can just use the daycare... right? | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | So your position is what, the people who currently weren't getting free daycare don't need it because they were already getting by? You went straight to what people "need" but then ignored the whole schtick we're discussing was NM going from means-tested to universal childcare even for people that don't "need" it. I'm willing to accept that position, I'm not necessarily for free childcare, only believe that if childcare is to be free it should follow the child. I don't see at all how a mom taking care of a child "needs" the money less than a daycare worker/company taking care of the child. What you're proposing is just yanking the money away from them in a tax, then lording it over them that they have to take the latter if they want the cash back -- trying to track to which caregiver the money goes instead of just providing the resources for the child and let the parents decide what works best for their family. | | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > You went straight to what people "need" but then ignored the whole schtick we're discussing was NM going from means-tested to universal childcare even for people that don't "need" it. Nope, I'm the one explicitly not ignoring the major rationale behind providing universal free childcare, which is that it removes a massive disincentive to using childcare (it's expensive), with the result that parents are less likely to work or take on other responsibilities some of the time and less likely to take their kids to nurseries to help socialise them. People who mostly look after their own kids still benefit from the free care when they do need it, and those who would prefer to look after their children 24/7 regardless are essentially unaffected[1], unless of course they are the sort who upon seeing others enjoying a free lunch, become preoccupied by the thought the food supplier should probably pay them for having a full stomach. [1]I mean, someone's paying a little more tax at the margin, but that's spread over a lot more people and the stay at home mums barely feature... > I don't see at all how a mom taking care of a child "needs" the money less than a daycare worker/company taking care of the child. You don't understand why daycare centre employees would like to earn a living? Or you don't understand that paying some trained professionals to look after your kids in a big building might cost a bit more than staying at home with them and maybe buying an extra meal or two? I mean, if there is some stay at home parent that finds looking after their own children during the daytime such a burden they "need" an extra $1k per child per month to do it... they should probably just use the free childcare. > What you're proposing is just yanking the money away from them in a tax, then lording it over them that they have to take the latter if they want the cash back Nope. Actually, when it comes to yanking money and telling people they can get the cash back if they do something (have an infant kid and quit their job to look after it) that sounds rather more like your proposition of giving indiscriminate cash handouts to parents. I am pointing out that subsidising the amount of third party childcare parents actually want to consume requires considerably less tax money to be yanked away and has a different set of incentives. | | |
| ▲ | kortilla 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > I mean, if there is some stay at home parent that finds looking after their own children during the daytime such a burden they "need" an extra $1k per child per month to do it... they should probably just use the free childcare. The fact that you argue for daycare workers to be paid but not parents is honestly astonishing. “No, we will not give you $100/day for your kid but we will happily give $100/day to BabyCorp to watch your kid” is a really fucked up policy stance unless you explicitly want to break children apart from their families. If that’s the goal, just explicitly say it. | | |
| ▲ | 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The fact that you argue for daycare workers to be paid but not parents is honestly astonishing. I think it's even more astonishing that you are arguing that it's normal for parents to have so little love for their own child they should bill the government for time spent with them. If my stay-at-home mum was like that, I'd definitely have preferred the full time daycare. It was even possible for her to send me to daycare some of the time without breaking the family up! | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | They are arguing the exact opposite, that parents love their kids enough they might move mountains to take care of the kids themselves if only they get get a bit of the taxes the state is sucking dry from their family back, enabling it to economically happen. |
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| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | >Nope, I'm the one explicitly not ignoring the major rationale behind providing universal free childcare, which is that it removes a massive disincentive to using childcare (it's expensive), with the result that parents are less likely to work or take on other responsibilities some of the time and less likely to take their kids to nurseries to help socialise them. The major incentive for providing childcare subsidies to everyone but stay at home parents (who now have net negative in this whole scenario post-tax) is to disincentive stay at home parents. If the idea was just to aid with childcare the aid with go with the child. You're purposefully excluding stay-at-homes from the definition of childcare, which is false and disingenuous. >You don't understand why daycare centre employees would like to earn a living? Or you don't understand that paying some trained professionals to look after your kids in a big building might cost a bit more than staying at home with them and maybe buying an extra meal or two? No I don't understand why daycare employees would want to "earn a living" any more or less than anyone else. I also don't understand why the fact their expenses are higher means a larger value was provided. If I dig for gold for 10 hours with an expensive machine and you dig for 1 with your bare hands, and we both end up with the same amount of gold I haven't created more value than you. >I mean, if there is some stay at home parent that finds looking after their own children during the daytime such a burden they "need" an extra $1k per child per month to do it... they should probably just use the free childcare. All well and good until you have men with guns showing up to tax the cash and force that incentive, the same men magically saying it is childcare when anyone that the parent does it. Goal here is clear, destroy the family unit as equal playing field in consideration of what is considered childcare, and put childcare corporation on a pedestal instead. >Nope. Actually, when it comes to yanking money and telling people they can get the cash back if they do something (have an infant kid and quit their job to look after it) that sounds rather more like your proposition of giving indiscriminate cash handouts to parents. I am pointing out that subsidising the amount of third party childcare parents actually want to consume requires considerably less tax money to be yanked away and has a different set of incentives. This is essentially the argument against taxation -- I actually 100% agree with you here and it's part of why I'm an ancap who is staunchly against this yanking. It is the argument for eliminating all child subsidies / welfare / public schooling which I think would be the absolute best thing for children we could possibly do. However if we have them, I'd like to see them apply equally rather than just payments to places like your proposed "profit-centers" of childcare corps. I will say you've handily played into the hands of the intertwining of the rich business owners with government to enrich themselves at the expense (via threat of violence of armed revenue collection agents) of stay at home moms. | | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > The major incentive for providing childcare subsidies to everyone but stay at home parents (who now have net negative in this whole scenario post-tax) is to disincentive stay at home parents. If the idea was just to aid with childcare the aid with go with the child. You're purposefully excluding stay-at-homes from the definition of childcare, which is false and disingenuous. The objective of providing free childcare to anyone that wants it is to enable people to avail themselves of free childcare. Just like free firefighting and police services; it's not "false and disingenuous" that I don't get to define myself as emergency services and invoice the government for my services if I manage to keep my home crime and fire-free without their assistance. Nor is my tax bill and other people getting their fires put out at taxpayer expense a disincentive towards using a fire extinguisher if I think I can handle it myself. > No I don't understand why daycare employees would want to "earn a living" any more or less than anyone else. I also don't understand why the fact their expenses are higher means a larger value was provided. If I dig for gold for 10 hours with an expensive machine and you dig for 1 with your bare hands, and we both end up with the same amount of gold I haven't created more value than you. Value is also determined by the fact that stay-at-home mums are willing to look after their own kids for free, and childcare professionals are not. I'm not sure why a self-professed ancap is having such a great difficulty understanding that markets enable people and companies to charge to look after others' kids (with or without government intervention), but do not enable people to charge for looking after their own. As for parents who want to earn a living as much as childcare staff, now they can go and earn that living without having to pay most of their salary to someone else to look after their kids... > All well and good until you have men with guns showing up to tax the cash and force that incentive, the same men magically saying it is childcare when anyone that the parent does it. Goal here is clear, destroy the family unit as equal playing field in consideration of what is considered childcare, and put childcare corporation on a pedestal instead. In between the tedious cliches, you seem to be ignoring the fact that childcare that costs $1k per month isn't on a "level playing field" with childcare that doesn't. It's not putting something on a pedestal to remove the bill. Makes it easier for parents to decide to work if they want to, but I thought ancaps liked that sort of thing... > It is the argument for eliminating all child subsidies / welfare / public schooling which I think would be the absolute best thing for children we could possibly do The absolute best thing we could do for children is to ensure that those of them who have low-earning parents stay at home on their own with no daycare and no education?! Sorry you managed to complete nearly two whole posts of pointless nitpicking in the guise of being pro-family and then you hit me with this!? I mean, I get the people that think it's so important to incentivise stay-at-home parenting or to avoid any child being even slightly poor that the government should pay every infant's parent at least as much as daycare centres currently cost... that just happens to be very expensive. Don't get self professed ancaps who freely admit they don't care how/if the kids get looked after arguing the system that costs the taxpayer significantly less and doesn't disincentivise participating in labour markets is a worse one than the alternative of handing out max_childcare_costs to every parent... | | |
| ▲ | mothballed a day ago | parent [-] | | >The objective of providing free childcare to anyone that wants it is to enable people to avail themselves of free childcare. The objective of excluding the parent from that has been made pretty clear at this point, which is a deliberate choice to destroy the family unit. >Value is also determined by the fact that stay-at-home mums are willing to look after their own kids for free, and childcare professionals are not. The free market value of taking care of 1 child under some arbitrary standard of care is not meaningfully impacted by the fact an arbitrary person might do it for free, anymore than the fact I might be willing to search for gold for free reduces the value of gold. It will have some effect in aggregate, but that effect would impact the whole market so is meaningless in the context of differentiating a universal payment. >Makes it easier for parents to decide to work if they want to, but I thought ancaps liked that sort of thing... It indeed does make it easier to decide to work if you're now getting taxed to cover $12K per child of every child in the whole state going to daycare, and you get none of that for your own kid unless you put them into daycare yourself because magically your own childcare doesn't count. >The absolute best thing we could do for children is to ensure that those of them who have low-earning parents stay at home on their own with no daycare and no education? I said from the beginning I wanted a waiver. i.e. reduction of taxes. I would put taxes at 0% and free up lots of jobs and returned tax money to low-earning families so they could afford more for their children, which I think is the best thing possible for them. With the added effect they can spend that money freely rather than having a state lord over them what one public school they can spend it on or lording over them with their own stolen money what childcare provider they can use. The reason why I would argue for equal subsidies if they're provided is I believe either no tax, or equal subsidies is the most liberty minded solution. The solution where the state forcibly taxes and then lords the money over you depending on whom provides the childcare is the lowest-liberty solution of all of them. That is why I'm a temporary ally of the policy alternative I reference. | | |
| ▲ | notahacker a day ago | parent [-] | | Got it, family units are destroyed by kids spending some time at nurseries. Free market values aren't determined by what the free market actually pays for services (absolutely nothing for parenting your own kid, potentially a lot more for looking after someone else's) but by weird analogies to gold (children of course also being a commodity). Parents are of course, famously transactional in their relationships with children, with the key priority being maximising how much the government spends on their care. If daycare is subsidised absolutely everyone will claim the maximum amount (just like the alternative you propose!) because otherwise all the burden of paying for it will fall upon stay-at-home mums (I dunno, maybe the income tax on their massive parenting salaries?) and not spread across the wider taxpaying base, the highest paying segments of which generally aren't parents of infants. Putting up taxes is bad, but putting up everyone's taxes much more to subsidise -checks notes- people who enjoy looking after children so much they'd prefer it to free daycare is better. But the best possible thing for low-earning families is for them to have to lose all benefits and pay for care, schooling, medical bills etc, because if there's anyone that pays more into the system than they get out of it, it's low income families... Not gonna lie, if it requires this much compounded nonsense to construct an argument against childcare vouchers, the case for it is much better than I thought :) |
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| ▲ | hellojesus 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | The act of subsidizing childcare doesn't only help stay-at-home parents work, it forces everyone in the market to work more to maintain their same standard of living. Flooding the market with new labor increases the supply
Against a fixed demand, this lowers wages. So everyone not getting the subsidy feels pressure from stagnating wages plus the increased tax burden. Let's assume that all those new laborers get paid and therefore demand also increases, moving the equilibrium so some of the wage stagnation pressure is dampened. It's still not going to offset the effect of new labor and taxes. All this does is modify the equilibrium of supply and demand in the market such that those not receiving the subsidies (or evem those not receiving as much subsidies as others) are negatively impacted through lifestyle discrimination. | | |
| ▲ | notahacker 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > Let's assume that all those new laborers get paid and therefore demand also increases, moving the equilibrium so some of the wage stagnation pressure is dampened. It's still not going to offset the effect of new labor and taxes Let's not make the absurd assumption that parents continuing their careers and more daycare centres in operation must be net negative for economic growth. Even if that was the case, the alternative proposal to subsidise parents equally large amounts whether they use it to pay for childcare or not would result in a larger tax burden paid for from a smaller economic pie. |
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| ▲ | angmarsbane 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Because processing reimbursements and extra record keeping is exhausting and adds to the mental load for Moms. Keep it simple, safe, and reliable. |
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| ▲ | tempfile 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > We are lucky that we can afford to do this. > It doesn't affect our situation at all. Why would we oppose it? This is rather noble of you, but the reason is obvious. If the playing field were "levelled" then you wouldn't have to be lucky. It is all well and good that you are lucky, but there is a certain population who want to emulate your choice but are unable to, because they are missing precisely the marginal amount that the childcare provision costs. It is a political choice to say that those people should not be able to pursue home-care of the children in order that we can avoid giving out a rebate. | | |
| ▲ | ryandrake 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I never said I opposed a subsidy to encourage stay-at-home parenting. By all means, we should propose it and study its pros and cons. But the lack of that subsidy should not cause someone to oppose a paid-childcare subsidy. | | |
| ▲ | tempfile 2 days ago | parent [-] | | >> Would make sense IMO to provide an equal value waiver to those who take care of their kid rather than send them to childcare. > I just don't understand this mentality. I don't understand. Wasn't your original comment opposing an equal value waiver? |
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| ▲ | 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | erikgaas 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Right. I agree, but I think you are appealing to generosity when it works just as well if you appeal to greed and selfishness. If I'm a parent who does not intend to take advantage of the program and therefore not to get any benefit directly, and I assume the program is done well and not rushed, I could reasonably expect: - More parents able to be in the work force (immediately)
- Better metrics for the young children entering. Especially for at risk.
- Savings from less crime in the future.
- Higher attainment of students when they enter the work force later.
- Higher birth rate??? (probably not but this one is interesting regardless) My understanding so far is that this leads to spending savings in addition to QOL of life improvements. And that's just for me. I want to live with less crime and less tax liability. Asking for additional waivers imo just increases the cost in areas that will not as directly achieve the benefits of the program as stated. The only reason to ask for it is as a negotiation tactic. I think the most important thing is to focus on the quality of the program and make sure the resources are there. And to make sure opportunities persist to prevent "fade out". I think that might have been the difference between Oklahoma's success in pre-k vs a program in Tennessee. | | |
| ▲ | Izikiel43 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > Higher birth rate??? (probably not but this one is interesting regardless) Why probably not?
Childcare before primary school is a huge expense in the US, I think the largest for a healthy kid, around 24k$ per year where I live, so basically every other child is another 24k$ to the budget, or one parent not working. With this approach, having 2 or 3 children is more feasible, and the money saved from universal childcare could be in part invested for college or the child's future. | | |
| ▲ | hellojesus 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Let's go with this (I pay a little more than $24k/yr/kid for care now). Does the influx of gov mandated childcare centers reduce the annual expense for parents?
If so, it does so at the cost to the current workers by reducing their salaries. If not, now you've put every taxpayer on the hook for 24k+admin_expenses per child per year.
That is an immediate blow to everyone except those benefiting more than their increased tax burden. The benefit is lower wages for those competing against the new laborers and likely higher government tax inflows? | | |
| ▲ | Izikiel43 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > If not, now you've put every taxpayer on the hook for 24k+admin_expenses per child per year. That is an immediate blow to everyone except those benefiting more than their increased tax burden. Sure, you have that short term impact, but it seems NM society has chosen to take on the burden for this. Long term impact for this measure however is worth it, as the state children will be better educated, and will commit less crimes, at least that's what research says. So long term you will have more taxpayers, and maybe hopefully have to spend less in security. |
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| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Why wouldn't you want your friends to better be able to afford what you have, by getting an equal value stipend to stay at home if you're for universal childcare? There are many families that might be only one or two tuitions away from being able to stay at home with their child like they had wished, and assigning the waiver/voucher to the child instead of to the daycare can make that happen. And no it's not a free lunch. If stay-at-home in a family isn't reimbursed, they are actually worse off, because now they have an additional tax they are paying that they did not have before. So now even more people like you who wanted a parent to stay at home are driven out of it because their family budget comes upon this tax. | | |
| ▲ | stickfigure 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Let it go. Everyone gets some tax benefits that others don't. Childless people get many fewer social benefits than people with children. We don't need to quibble over microgrievances. | | |
| ▲ | hellojesus 2 days ago | parent [-] | | We shouldn't provide any welfare services. Then we will all be equal. For as much as you Elsa folks quible about people being against giveaways, what is so harmful about not giving thigs away involuntarily? |
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| ▲ | ryandrake 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I'm not sure I follow, but I'm open to being wrong. The point of this subsidy is not to encourage people to move from paid-childcare to stay-at-home. That's a totally separate economic decision. The point of it is to ease/eliminate the burden of those who require paid-childcare. If we think there is a societal advantage to financially incentivize parents to stay-at-home with a subsidy, I'd be open to looking at the cost/benefit, but it's a different issue. And I am not significantly worse off if my neighbor's childcare burden is lifted. Not every tax dollar I spend needs to come back to me in the form of a benefit. | | |
| ▲ | 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > And I am not significantly worse off if my neighbor's childcare burden is lifted. This seems like an unrelated consideration though. You may be significantly worse off. Maybe the government that provides this raises taxes considerably to make this work. Or maybe they take on crippling debt. Maybe their credit rating goes down. |
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| ▲ | omarspira 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | So if I pack my kids lunch but other kids get a "free" lunch I'm worse off? Yes there is no "free lunch" I'm paying a tax for something I don't need. The comment you are replying to already anticipates this. How is it not the same argument? Your budget comment also puzzles me. What if my existing family budget is put under stress by the "free lunch tax" so now I'm even further away from being able to pack my own lunch? How is it different? Because it's a "new" tax? You can make the same argument for any tax then. At the end of the day are your children better or worse off if their future fellow citizens are growing up under roofs that can't afford childcare or healthcare or food? For someone that seems to know enough about costs and incentives and tradeoffs you seem to have quite a constrained view. Also, I'm curious about your waivers claim re costs because I would think given the scenario you laid out that would make the program more expensive. Your taxed for things other people use more than you. That's what society is. The point of the comment you are replying to is that people obsess over this as if they are being personally violated when really it is often just greed in the face of the common good. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It's very convenient that it is greed when the stay at home mom wants an equal voucher, but not greed when a mom joins a capitalist for-profit enterprise for whatever wage she can avail herself of with the childcare bill footed by everyone else. Which is precisely what we are discussing. | | |
| ▲ | pempem 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Your argument smacks of insincerity due to its limited scope of viewing SAHMs as moms providing childcare. 1/ You haven't mentioned how that SAHM must get a cooking credit, healthcare, retirement or house management credit or anything else in the litany of jobs required outside of immediate childcare and costs incurred by simply existing as a woman. Just a voucher for the hours, I assume, at which childcare would be open and none of the other hours 2/ A SAHP (thats stay at home parent) should be incentivized by raising wages and allowing life to be more affordable but your argument seems to be very focused on "moms" and "capitalist enterprises" and does not consider the reality that when SAHMs were more economically viable, it was not viable for all families. | |
| ▲ | omarspira 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Make it a progressive tax then? The point was many people can afford to help others to make society better for all. But you only want to pay taxes for what you're personally interested in? If you think stay at home needs to be prioritized in some way, as another comment mentioned, that's a separate argument. You are also relying on scenarios that don't even sound plausible. If someone can barely afford stay at home and this tax makes it that painful for them, then make it more progressive. Then again I'm not sure they are equivalent. At the end of the day a majority deciding something like this is in the common interest and you having a problem because you won't personally take advantage of it sounds like greed to me. No one should be going broke because of this tax. If you think capitalist mommy is making too much while you foot the bill then wouldn't the remedy be to tax her more? Are you worried about people who can't afford the tax or do you just resent some people for getting societal benefits while also making more than you? | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I'm not talking about "prioritizing" stay at homes, I'm talking about just giving them the same thing the company/entity that would be taking care of their kid would get paid for doing it. I'm speaking of removing the prioritization for commercial childcare. | | |
| ▲ | omarspira 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Semantic games. At the end of the day if x is prioritized more than y and you want x and y to be equal you do want a relative boost in the priority of y. So fine. As I said I'm not sure they are equivalent or how this specific objection can't be applied to any other tax in a way that feels implausible. Should I get a voucher if I pack my kids lunch? Why are we "prioritizing" commerical food preparation? | | |
| ▲ | varnaud 2 days ago | parent [-] | | >Should I get a voucher if I pack my kids lunch? Yes. And no. The gov gives the child X$ per week/month/year. The child parents use that money to take care of the child. Society benefit from children that are well taken care of. Mechanisms to ensure that they are well taken care of are needed. Well funded daycare centers are one of the mechanism. A well funded household with a parent/grand parent/uncle is another one. In both case, an agency is in place to ensure the wellness level of the child. |
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| ▲ | jrflowers 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > I just don't understand this mentality. It is bad faith reasoning. If you imagine a person that does not want women to participate in the workforce but wants to express that in a way that doesn’t sound repugnant, it is pretty easy to see how someone would come up with that. The way you can tell that it’s bad faith is by looking at the context that “pay women to stay out of the workforce” gets brought up. In this case it is framed as an alternative to providing childcare, but those two ideas have nothing to do with each other. As a society we could do both. The “pay women to stay out of the workforce” or “pay for childcare” dichotomy is completely made up, and folks that engage in that particular type of make-believe are either profoundly intellectually lazy or being intentionally disingenuous. | |
| ▲ | throawayonthe 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | because your wife (and in turn your household yes) deserves to be compensated for the socially valuable labour first of all? | |
| ▲ | prepend 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > It doesn't affect our situation at all. Why would we oppose it It affects you like if your neighbor got a $5000 tax credit and you didn’t. It’s community money paying for it so it impacts you because it is your tax dollars being spent. | | |
| ▲ | KittenInABox 2 days ago | parent [-] | | If my neighbor already gets a $5000 tax credit remodeling his bathroom or installing a new/greener boiler. Should I get $5000 for not remodeling? | | |
| ▲ | jtbayly 2 days ago | parent [-] | | You have demonstrated the point of the policy. What is it that is being incentivized here? Leaving your children and working all day. | | |
| ▲ | pempem 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | No. Are men "leaving their children and working all day"? Should we not pay them to stay home? This view is either fully gendered or assumes that all families are made up of two people and one person's wages should support a family. Neither are the conversation on this table. The conversation on this table is:
Our current economy, in nearly every state and for every metro requires more than minimum wage to rent not own, an apt and live, not save for the future. Childcare has gone up 30% in the last few years alone and wages, as you have likely experienced, have not. We cannot continue to expect people with choices to have children given this economic situation. Trust me. You want people to continue having children, and you'd prefer them to be positive additions to society, for your own well-being in old age. | | |
| ▲ | jtbayly a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Sorry if I wasn’t clear initially. The point is that women should not stay home. Yes, this is “fully gendered” because reality is fully gendered. Far and away the majority of childcare is performed by women. Always has been. Always will be. The emphasis on jobs over children as where we want women’s energy, time, and attention to go is what is being demonstrated by this policy. We will pay you to leave your children with others. We will not pay you to take care of your children. Why anybody thinks this will result in more children being born is beyond me. Sure, it might make it “easier” in some sense to have children, but what it teaches is job > children, and that is going to result in people learning to deprioritize children. As intended. | | |
| ▲ | pempem a day ago | parent [-] | | "We want women's energy and time" seems to indicate "not women" want women's energy in time. If you will not pay "women" to take care of "their children" rather than, say..."the future of society" or "our children" then women will not have a child. And that is exactly what you're seeing happen. Women worked in all times. Every single time period you can think of. Population is dropping because a/ we have rights as women and are outstripping men on every measurable term within just a couple generations of access b/men are not stepping up to create something more equitable Men have been offered the chance to step up and change the current (and yes its current, not a "natural state" of affairs) dynamic. The idea that you're striking on is defining my life for me and quite frankly, with your benefit in first position. That's not going to work. |
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| ▲ | hellojesus 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Childcare has gone up 30% in the last few years alone and wages, as you have likely experienced, have not. This is a major statement, and I don't think it's fully qualified. Why have childcare expenses imcreased by 30% in the past few years? There should be an arbitrage opportunity if costs have stayed fixed. If costs have increased, is it due to general economic pressures or increased regulatory burden? If the former, wages should catch up (and flooding the market with additional labor likely will exert downward pressue market wages). If the latter, then why on earth are we passing such nonsense regulation? In either case, moving out of a major metro is always an option. | | |
| ▲ | pempem 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Hi Jesus According to a quick google and the census:
|| Approximately 3 in 4 Americans (or about 86%) live in a metropolitan statistical area (MSA), with the percentage of the U.S. population in these areas reaching an all-time high. As of 2024, nearly 294 million people—or about 86% of the total population—resided in a metro area, a trend that continues to grow. If we think the wage differential will keep up in less populated areas, that is no longer occurring either. We do not live in a perfect capitalist system and many trades, activities and services are given benefits and protections for a variety of reasons. There are other places - outside of the US - that have provided this tax credit. Its not shameful to learn from other countries and adopt things that are going well and are beneficial both to the freedom of people and the economy. |
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| ▲ | Izikiel43 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > What is it that is being incentivized here? Getting all children early education, which has been shown to have huge effects later on in academic performance (better) and criminality (less). Let's say college is optional for the individual, as the child/teen decides. Why is primary/middle/secondary school free and public, but daycare/preschool not? The child can't decide for itself, and there is data showing that having early education benefits everyone. | | |
| ▲ | jtbayly a day ago | parent [-] | | Does this provide education or care? Being in childcare in and of itself is not correlated with better outcomes. Only high-quality care produces such results, and greater hours in non-family-member childcare results in long-term negative outcomes in for example impulsivity and risk-taking, regardless of the quality of the care. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2938040/ |
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| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Exactly. If the incentive was to take care of children, the money would go with the child whether they are taken care of by a stay at home or someone the state can tax income from. | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent [-] | | 100%. This is also why it makes sense to have money move with the child regardless of whether they’re in public schools or home schooled or at a private school. |
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| ▲ | KittenInABox 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | If I'm already benefiting from a new boiler, I don't need another new boiler just to get the $5000 tax credit. This is silly. There are benefits to being a working parent vs a stay at home parent and if you have access to stay at home care you simply don't need it. This is like getting mad that my workplace offers pet insurance when I have no pets so I demand the money anyway. Or demanding a trophy for not participating in a competitive sport. |
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| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Of course it affects your situation. It’s paid for from taxes so it takes away from other things you as a taxpayer could have, right? But also if the goal is to incentivize raising children, someone who wants to raise their child in a family centric way rather than outsourcing it should have help too right? But leaving those arguments aside, I also think that only subsidizing daycare is too one size fits all, just like with public schools. If people want to raise their kids differently, they should be able to get assistance. Like if I want to not have a single daycare provider but want to instead take my kids to a few different activities during the day (like to a museum and then a swim class and then baseball or whatever), why shouldn’t tax funds be made available to offset the costs of those things? | | |
| ▲ | ryandrake 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > It’s paid for from taxes so it takes away from other things you as a taxpayer could have, right? I don't expect every tax dollar I spend to come back to me in the form of a direct benefit. > Like if I want to not have a single daycare provider but want to instead take my kids to a few different activities during the day (like to a museum and then a swim class and then baseball or whatever), why shouldn’t tax funds be made available to offset the costs of those things? I would be 100% open to this sort of taxpayer-funded educational enrichment for families who can't afford it themselves, depending on the usual criteria, like how well-run/efficient it is and so on. |
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| ▲ | Aurornis 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Would make sense IMO to provide an equal value waiver to those who take care of their kid rather than send them to childcare. This is a great way to kill a policy. It would technically be most fair if every parent was given the same amount of money per child, period. Then they could do what they needed or wanted with it. But doing so would not only increase the costs dramatically (by a multiple) it would give money to many parents who didn’t need it for child care. That’s great in a hypothetical world where budgets are infinite, but in the real world they’re not. The more broadly you spread the money, the less benefit each person receives. If you extended an equal benefit to parents who were already okay with keeping their children home, it’s likely that the real outcome would be reduced benefits for everyone going to daycare. Now you’re giving checks to parents who were already doing okay at home but also diminished the childcare benefit for those who needed it, which was the goal in the beginning. | | |
| ▲ | ceejayoz 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > The more broadly you spread the money, the less benefit each person receives. But this is true in the other direction, too. Means testing costs money, time, and ensures some needy folks fall off the program. For example, Florida did drug testing as a condition for welfare benefits... and it cost more than they saved. https://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/18/us/no-savings-found-in-fl... | | |
| ▲ | hedora 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | It’s a red state, so the goal was probably to waste as much welfare money as possible, while also reducing benefits. They’re doing this on the federal level now. Most popular government programs have been cut or sabotaged, and as a result the debt is increasing by $4T. | | |
| ▲ | pbhjpbhj 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Well, it's not wasting money when you redirect it to a drug-testing company your friends own. |
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| ▲ | alach11 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Florida did drug testing as a condition for welfare benefits... and it cost more than they saved It's more complicated than that. Of the 6352 people who applied for TANF, 2306 dropped out during the process. Then of the 4046 TANF applicants remaining, only 2.6% tested positive for drugs. The vast majority of media coverage focused on the 2.6% being less than the ~8% drug-use rate in the general population. What we don't know is of the people who dropped out, was this due to unintended reasons (privacy concerns, the inconvenience of the drug test, missing deadlines) or due to the intended reason (people self-selecting out because they knew they would test positive and become ineligible for 12 months). We'll never know the real breakdown, but it's misleading to say "it cost more than they saved". | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | The state tries to take kids away from people who use drugs, so I would expect custodial parents to be below the average drug use of the general population. | |
| ▲ | ceejayoz 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Nah, the article addresses that theory too. > An internal document about Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, or TANF, caseloads stated that the drug testing policy, at least from July through September, did not lead to fewer cases. “We saw no dampening effect on the caseload,” the document said. |
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| ▲ | harikb 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Please read the article. Since 2019, they had a program that was means tested. The new proposal is to expand it to all parents > With Monday’s announcement universal child care will be extended to every family in the state, regardless of income. | | |
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| ▲ | non_aligned 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > But doing so would not only increase the costs dramatically (by a multiple) it would give money to many parents who didn’t need it for child care. And while no-strings-attached payouts appeal to rational geeks, they usually lead to public perception problems. If you give a voucher for childcare to a parent struggling with addiction or a gambling habit, they will probably send the kid to childcare. If you give them cash, they probably won't. It's a minority that might not be worth fixating on from a rational policy-making point of view, you bet it's the minority that will be in the headlines. Selfishly, I'd like cash in lieu of all the convoluted, conditional benefits that are available to me. But I know why policymakers won't let me have it. | | |
| ▲ | mapt 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | If you give a no-strings attached cash payment for childcare to a parent struggling with addiction or a gambling problem, they will probably not send the kid to childcare, and instead take the cash. If you give a no-strings attached cash payment for childcare to a parent struggling with a paying their rent problem, they will also probably not send the kid to childcare, and instead take the cash. And then everybody's rents will go up because families with children have more capability to pay. Nothing is ever a perfect system, but there are many more things wrong with the current system than concerns about the equity BETWEEN different working class families in different situations. Some of those dysfunctions will happily consume most of an incrementalist policy solution to an arbitrary problem. Direct provision or vouchered provision of necessary goods and services has a lot of minor problems, but it happily mitigates our ability to let one problem eat an unrelated solution. | |
| ▲ | _mu 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > rational geeks Geeks are as emotional and irrational as everybody else. They are even worse in fact because they can rationalize their behavior even harder. | | |
| ▲ | mc32 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It’s referencing rational geeks and not all geeks or geeks who believe they are rational but just actual rational geeks. | | |
| ▲ | _mu 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Oh, oh okay, okay, wow, well, that's an important clarification then. |
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| ▲ | gamerDude 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | In Poland, they have a "universal child benefit" that pays a stipend for every child you have. They do pay for it and it is expensive, but apparently it made a large reduction in child poverty, so that's a win. From my understanding, it also reduced women in the workforce and reduced investment in childcare infrastructure since more mothers were then taking care of children at home. So this is possible, it just depends on what you want to incentivize. | | |
| ▲ | voidfalcon 2 days ago | parent [-] | | The US has a similar thing with the child tax credit. It looks like Poland pays out the equivalent of about 220 a month while the child tax credit pays the equivalent of $180 per month. If you only count the refundable portion it is $140. Relative to the cost of living its worse, but the concept seems similar. | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent [-] | | There are also state-level subsidies in virtually all states, depending on things like your income. |
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| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > The more broadly you spread the money, the less benefit each person receives. If you extended an equal benefit to parents who were already okay ... By your own argument, this policy dilutes the value New Mexico / Feds were prior giving to the poorer parents who met the means testing New Mexico used before, then, no? Because this isn't the beginning of "free" childcare in NM, they are just expanding it beyond the prior poverty-line times 'X" means testing. Ergo per your logic "real outcome would be reduced benefits" to the poorer parents who already had subsidized childcare. Edit: accidently switched "childcare" to "healthcare" a few times, flipped back | |
| ▲ | giantg2 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | "But doing so would not only increase the costs dramatically (by a multiple) it would give money to many parents who didn’t need it for child care." And that's the argument against many of these policies - removal of the needs based testing. Odd to see you defend the policy on the very basis others attack it on. | |
| ▲ | jmpman 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I would very much be considered someone who doesn’t “need” the funding, but when deciding between having a 3rd child or just sticking with 2, I wasn’t comfortable enough to afford 3 in daycare and helping 3 through college. However, I expect my offspring to be significantly greater economic contributors to society than the average. It would have made sense for society to fund my childcare to incentivize me to populate the earth. | |
| ▲ | ericd 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | >Now you’re giving checks to parents who were already doing okay at home but also diminished the childcare benefit for those who needed it, which was the goal in the beginning. They're the ones who are basically paying the vast majority of the cost of this program, what's the problem with a small fraction of it coming back to them? Especially if it reduces the bureaucratic overhead of running it? | |
| ▲ | qaq 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | "it would give money to many parents who didn’t need it for child care". Looking at data like 77% of US workers would face financial difficulty if a paycheck was delayed by just one week. I would imaging % of people with kids who don’t need it for child care is fairly tiny. | |
| ▲ | koolba 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > But doing so would not only increase the costs dramatically (by a multiple) it would give money to many parents who didn’t need it for child care. This exists. It’s called the Child Tax Credit. If the children have any parent that is working, whether it is one or two, by definition they need more money. | |
| ▲ | jtbayly 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The real reason this is “bad” is because the policy actually being implemented is, as the GP comment demonstrates, to get women into the workforce. This requires the goal to be getting them out of the home away from their children. Thus, you must relatively penalize mothers who stay home and care for their children, which is what this policy does. Of course, it is worse for children, worse for families, worse for mothers, worse for just about everything except “business.” Edit to add: It is only better for the business and the economy short term, because ultimately it results in a lower birth rate and below replacement level fertility is the main problem we currently have for the near-future economy | | |
| ▲ | stickfigure 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | You're reading waaaay too much into this. Nobody is getting penalized, this is a crab bucket mentality. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Yes they are. If you stay at home you now pay an additional tax on top of everything else. | | |
| ▲ | stickfigure 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Nobody's being targeted for additional tax. But correct, benefits aren't being spread evenly across the population. That's how pretty much all social benefits work. Hell, think about how childless people must feel about this. Or the child tax credit. Nothing is "perfectly fair", but sometimes public policy is good enough. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Childless people are getting the best deal of anyone. They get new social security payers with a better invested upbringing, all for paying out a pittance and offloading most of the cost onto parents -- all the meanwhile having their social security payout almost completely untied to making the investments needed to get their payment. Childless people basically get their cake and eat it too under the social welfare scheme of most western countries, getting the benefits of children without having to deal with much of the drawbacks. | | |
| ▲ | stickfigure 2 days ago | parent [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | The idea is that social security is fundamentally on a path to running out of money and resembles a pyramid scheme. The young are paying into benefits for people older than them. So the childless people are being “taken care of” by others’ kids is the argument, I think. | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | You don't pay "into" social security. You pay up. The people you paid are dead and won't be returning your money. Yours will be funded by now-children. That investment lies by far on parents, with some pittances paid into property taxes for schools or low-income welfare programs. | | |
| ▲ | stickfigure 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Irrespective of how it technically works, the fairness principle is "you paid in therefore you are paid out". Childless people aren't getting a better or worse deal than anyone else. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | But you are missing the inputs. Social security requires two inputs 1) "Paying in" 2) Raising up the next generation to pay it back out. Without both, the entire system collapses and goes insolvent. If I do (1) but barely do (2) I am subsidized by the people that do both (1) and (2), if my payout isn't linked to (2). The genius of social security argument about the childless "paying in" is they rightly identify their pay out is fairly proportional to (1) but nearly completely decoupled to (2). Thus it poses an argument on the surface that makes sense but is actually incredibly false. | | |
| ▲ | stickfigure 2 days ago | parent [-] | | As long as population holds constant, it doesn't matter who does/doesn't have kids. Some people have more, some people have fewer, some people immigrate. It all works out in the end. Childless people pay into the system like everyone else. They aren't freeloaders. As a parent myself I find this kind of savior complex incredibly embarrassing. We have kids, great. I'm glad our government offers tax benefits, services, and an immigration process to encourage population stability. But let's not pretend we're Atlas holding the nation on our shoulders. | | |
| ▲ | jtbayly a day ago | parent [-] | | Why do you expect the population to hold constant? That unsupported assumption is what you base everything on. Furthermore, if the population stays the same but ages, there will be major ramifications to SS. Furthermore, if the population remains constant but fewer and fewer people have children, then those who do have children bear more and more of the burden of providing for everybody else’s retirement. Responding with “so what, SS will cover me whether I have children or not” is kind of missing the point. And leads straight back to the first point. In a world that requires people to have a substantial number of children to survive (like our world with SS), economically disadvantaging people who prioritize having children is a huge risk. | | |
| ▲ | stickfigure 21 hours ago | parent [-] | | The US keeps makes up for its reproduction rate with immigration. It ends up being roughly constant. Nobody is economically disadvantaging people with kids. The question at hand is how much we as a society are choosing to advantage them with tax benefits and social services. Including free education! Having kids is pretty great. |
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| ▲ | 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | xorcist 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | s/women/men/g and do you still think your argument holds? |
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| ▲ | Pxtl 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Literally what Canada did under Harper, and then grew substantially larger under Trudeau. End result is that Canada's child poverty rate was cut in half over the aughts. https://x.com/trevortombe/status/1100416615202533377 And yes, it hit the same political hurdles you'd expect. A Liberal-party aide helped lose the 2006 selection by saying parents would burn it on "beer and popcorn". He's still around as a consultant and professional trash-talking commentator. This is ironic considering how the party championed it's success after they (rightly) expanded the program. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/liberal-apologizes-for-saying... | |
| ▲ | itake 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | I guess Youre not a fan of UBI? | | |
| ▲ | ian-g 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | That feels like an entirely separate policy. This one is about making sure small children have care, not whether or not people deserve a minimum guaranteed income | | |
| ▲ | Pxtl 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | This is basically UBI for parenting, so it's hard to see it as "entirely separate". | |
| ▲ | itake 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | A core tenant of UBI is the universal part: everyone receives the benefit. High income, low income, rich, poor. If you remove the cost of regulating a benefit, then there will be more money available for people to get this benefit. |
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| ▲ | mcbobgorge 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | I'm not the user you're asking but the same logic holds true for UBI, yes. The societies with the most effective social welfare programs do it via a robust and de-stigmatized social safety net. I think most of the common criticisms of UBI (it will make people lazy, its not fair, it will cause inflation etc) are silly, and I also generally support universal programs over means testing or exemptions. Still, I will be a skeptic until I see a somewhat large scale successful rollout of a UBI program beyond just studies and pilots. | | |
| ▲ | bongoman37 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Many of the Persian Gulf GCC nations essentially had a form of generous UBI since the early 80s. It has certainly made people far less enterprising and productive. Inflation hasnt happened since they import the vast majority of their requirements. It has led to increased religiosity etc since people are freed up to engage in religious activities all day long and don't necessarily have to develop skills like social competency or engage with others. | | |
| ▲ | vladms 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Many north African and middle eastern states tried to switch to democracy and that did not go as planned either, would that mean that democracy does not work? Any policy (UBI or others) must take into account the state and potential of the country. Based on the Gulf state UBI example (if correct, I did not check) it would mean that with their initial conditions UBI will not result in developing skills (although, thinking of it, maybe their purpose of giving UBI was close to the one observed, their ruler don't strike me as very progressive). | |
| ▲ | scoopdewoop 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | In a world where we produced so much that we have caused climate change and mass extinction, I can't imagine people being less enterprising and productive being a truly bad thing. | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | A weird side-effect of this is UAE/Dubai, and to a lesser extent some of the other gulf states, have become far more open to relative free trade and immigration as a result now that the citizen's cake is assured and immigrants are not much a threat. Now Dubai is a burgeoning hub of relative "free trade" and international commerce, with pretty lax visa rules for people from surrounding more trade hostile countries to run a business in a more business friendly environment, in a region that prior was fairly impenetrable. |
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| ▲ | bombcar 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | There are many things that may be better overall, but because they're not financialized, they don't show up on GDP and so are deemed "worthless." Breastfeeding doesn't move money around, but formula does; things like that. Cooking your own meal doesn't raise GDP beyond the cost of supplies, but door-dashing from a restaurant does. | | |
| ▲ | rml 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | In the book 'Double Entry' the author explains that the guy who created GDP was actually in favor of having family caregiving and household activities accounted for in GDP. If that had happened, different world | | |
| ▲ | bombcar 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | This actually DOES occur at the margins, in some cases. If you have a severely disabled child (who is on SSA), you often can get certified by the state and get paid as the caretaker. Then the action appears on the GDP. | |
| ▲ | toomanyrichies 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Thanks for mentioning this book. I just bought it, looking forward to reading it. |
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| ▲ | ch4s3 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | More realistically here, there’s a limit to the funding any individual state can come up with to fund benefits. Tradeoffs have to be considered and increased workforce participation increases the tax receipts that fund these programs. It’s not much more complicated than that. | | |
| ▲ | xp84 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | It's sometimes surprising to read a comment like this, which applies just common sense, basic math, and logic, instead of the typical online comment mixture of hysteria, panic, and portraying one's non-favorite "team" as a bunch of mustachio-twirling cartoon villains. | | |
| ▲ | ch4s3 2 days ago | parent [-] | | You read a lot of books about economics, history, and political science and suddenly everything starts to look like it's complicated. The recent trend of commentators shouting "it's actually not complicated" is troubling. I try to present commentary with some nuance and humility. I have a perspective, but I endeavor to leave room for the possibility that I don't have a full understanding or that my model of the world doesn't fit every set of circumstances. | | |
| ▲ | bombcar 2 days ago | parent [-] | | The key I realized is that there is always complexity, but the "simple" understanding is still "mostly" right. No complexity can make a $1 billion expense able to be paid with $1m of revenue. | | |
| ▲ | ch4s3 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > but the "simple" understanding is still "mostly" right. I rarely find this to be the case for anything big or important. |
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| ▲ | giantg2 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | I find it dubious that adding the people who don't find it financially feasible to use childcare to cover working hours will generate tax revenue to cover this due to the low income and low tax nature. Not to mention the addition of the cost from all the current paying families. | | |
| ▲ | motorest 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > I find it dubious that adding the people who don't find it financially feasible to use childcare to cover working hours will generate tax revenue to cover this due to the low income and low tax nature. You can actually think through your belief. The announcement provides a concrete number: $12,000 per child. Do you generate $12k in tax revenue? Note that this means direct and indirect tax revenue, not only from your job and what your employer earns from your work but also with your own expenses that you can cover by having a job. | | |
| ▲ | giantg2 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Yes, I understand that and still don't think that adds up. Things like SNAP for a family of 4 would be less than $12k per year. And that increased tax revenue would have to offset the currently working and paying families that will now use the program. We would have to wait for the experiment to conclude to see what the increased earnings for participants will be. |
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| ▲ | ch4s3 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > generate tax revenue to cover this due That's not the claim I'm making. Someone entering the workforce has tax implications for a local government far beyond their individual tax receipts and will increase their future earning potential. | | |
| ▲ | giantg2 2 days ago | parent [-] | | You imply an overall net netral to net positive. I find it hard to believe that would total $12k per year. If there are complicated n-order effects, then perhaps you should call them out instead of saying it's not complicated. | | |
| ▲ | ch4s3 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > I find it hard to believe that would total $12k per year. Again I didn't claim that. The tradeoff is generating some percentage of X benefit in economic activity vs some much lower percentage of X while X is also much larger. | | |
| ▲ | giantg2 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I fail to understand what value your initial comment holds. The grandparents of that comment was talking about financial feasibility of the program in the context of a proposed waiver. This necessarily implies that on-topic responses to that should be weighing financial feasibility of the program with and without the waiver. Your most recent comment seems to just be clarifying that your initial comment is just the same generalized explanation for the current expansion - expanding the benefit to the currently working higher earning parents where the return is unclear and logically dubious, thus providing some much lower percentage of X while X is much larger. The only way to claim what your comment is trying to is to also display some evidence that this current expansion will provide economic activity benefit beyond the previous program that had 4x poverty level means testing. Otherwise, it's simply "some much lower percentage of X while X is also much larger" vs the same thing with X being even larger. | | |
| ▲ | ch4s3 2 days ago | parent [-] | | The idea of extending the program to pay people who aren't using the benefit directly sounds nice in theory but would cost way more and incentivizes people to not work. This necessarily makes the broader version of the program even more expensive than it appears at first. A working parent using a daycare voucher necessarily pays taxes back into the system and so does the day care. This offsets the cost a little. Giving essentially cash payments to people who stay at home has no such offset. So it is much more expensive and disincentivizes people working which might slightly offset the cost. > Would make sense IMO to provide an equal value waiver to those who take care of their kid rather than send them to childcare There is no way this is affordable to New Mexico. They're estimating the cost at $600 million a year, of about 6% of their total budget next year. | | |
| ▲ | giantg2 2 days ago | parent [-] | | "A working parent using a daycare voucher necessarily pays taxes back into the system and so does the day care." This assumes the value of the parent working is greater than the value generated by the alternative consumer spending. "and incentivizes people to not work" This would only incentivize low income individuals to not work, which could actually be beneficial as it could drive a living wage increase in that labor segment if employers had to compete against the benefit. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | >This assumes the value of the parent working is greater than the value generated by the alternative consumer spending. I don't think the benefit is even contingent on the parent working, and it definitely isn't contingent on the value of their current and discounted future earnings appreciation being greater than the cost of sending the kids to daycare. From what I can tell you can put the kid in daycare then lay on a beach if there is anything of that sort in the New Mexican desert. I'm open to the argument that by certain measures "free" childcare leads to increased economic output, but they've certainly not crafted the program in a way I would expect someone with that aim to do it. |
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| ▲ | motorest 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > There are many things that may be better overall, but because they're not financialized, they don't show up on GDP and so are deemed "worthless." I think you're confusing GDP with a measure of worth or quality. It is not. Just because you can earn money doing double-shifts in a coal mine that doesn't make it better than spending the same time at a beach doing nothing. | | |
| ▲ | bombcar 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It's a confusion the whole world seems to have, even if you ask everyone and they'd deny it. GDP of a country is flat for 10 years, but everyone is happier and healthier and feels better? Bad country! GDP is soaring for ten years, but everyone is depressed, suicidal, deep in debt, overweight, and dying early? Good country! |
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| ▲ | 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | zamadatix 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I'm not sure there is equal value, in economic terms at least. A stay at home parent caring for 1-2 children comes at the opportunity cost of a full time worker, which would typically be a lot more than 12-24 thousand dollars this is saving them in childcare costs. On the flip side, a childcare worker in NM can care for the children of ~6+ such stay at home parents (depends on randomness of ages and number of children each had). None of that is a statement that it wouldn't be nice for everyone to be able to be paid as a full time parent, just that the economic value is not necessarily equal with a waiver. | | |
| ▲ | mguerville 2 days ago | parent [-] | | and these $12-24k are net dollars so the parents needs more like $20-40k of gross income to pay for it, but now they can have a small job or small business that nets them even as low as $15k and still come out ahead |
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| ▲ | carlhjerpe 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | In Sweden we value equality and everyone working. If someone is wealthy enough to have a stay-at-home parent it's their choice to do so, we shouldn't subsidize the rich. It is good for children to go to a place where they learn to interact with others early. We give 480 days off to the parents to share (90 "mandatory" per parent), then they go to childcare. Individualism breeds privileged shits, if you want your kid to be one of those then you pay out of your own pocket. We subsidize childcare so everyone can afford to work. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | You don't subsidize the rich, yet you subsidize rich child care corporations (or high-level bureaucrats in the event it is public) at the expense of not subsidizing stay at home moms. You don't want people paid for taking care of their children, but it's OK if other people are paid for taking care of their chidlren. None of this makes sense. Especially not this false dichotomy that either you send your kids to daycare or they don't learn to interact with others early. | | |
| ▲ | carlhjerpe 2 days ago | parent [-] | | We live in different societies, yours is extremely on the individualism spectrum and ours is on the "common good" spectrum. We don't subsidize the childcare corporations here, we do what's best for society. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I might be wrong, but I believe in Sweden salaries are able to be publicly found. Find some high level people in the public or private childcares in your nation who are beneficiaries of these subsidies and then tell me how rich they are compared to the average stay at home mom. | | |
| ▲ | carlhjerpe 2 days ago | parent [-] | | There are barely any stay at home moms because it's socially detrimental, the ones who are are either social outcasts by lack of capability or religious oppression. We should not subsidize stay at home moms or dad's because it's bad for society, if they can afford to do it or stretch their economy to do it for other reasons it's their bad choice, and we allow free choice even if it's bad, that's why cigarettes are still allowed. I don't know who to look up, but if you have some suggestions I could look it up through ratsit.se | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I appreciate your honesty, there are not many willing to admit it's really about viewing stay-at-home parents as morally deficient. I have no interest in refuting the argument, it might be true, merely to point out I think why we're having so much trouble getting straight answers is that the underlying motivation is going unspoken. |
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| ▲ | dzink 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Depending on how they structure the childcare, women who want to stay with their kids can be childcare providers at one of the centers, so they take care of not just their kids but also others. Similar to the Israeli Kibbutz system. | | |
| ▲ | bluGill 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | One of the reasons to care for your own kids is you can give them individual attention. Unless you have so many kids that you are only caring for your own anyway your plan diverts their attention away to other kids (or those other kids get less attention) | | |
| ▲ | jjk166 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | The argument is that stay at home parents should get the same credit as childcare providers because they perform the same service to society. If you're only caring for your own kids, you are providing significantly less to society than those caring for many kids. You want to focus on raising your own kids, that's fine, but do it on your dime. | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > If you're only caring for your own kids, you are providing significantly less to society than those caring for many kids. I disagree with this. Perhaps caring for your own kids produces much better kids (and eventually, adults). And that may be more of a benefit to society than a large number of people being incentivized to create large number of kids whose care is just outsourced to childcare centers where they receive less attention. > You want to focus on raising your own kids, that's fine, but do it on your dime. Is this really an argument for anything? One could just say “if you want to raise kids you can’t afford, do it on your own dime” and undermine your perspective. | | |
| ▲ | jjk166 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > Perhaps caring for your own kids produces much better kids (and eventually, adults). And that may be more of a benefit to society than a large number of people being incentivized to create large number of kids whose care is just outsourced to childcare centers where they receive less attention. We're not talking about some vague value to society of kids. We're talking about the concrete value of the service being provided - an adult physically present in the vicinity of children to take care of issues, freeing up adults for other, more productive utilizations of their time. A stay at home parent who looks after only their own children does not free up any adults. > Is this really an argument for anything? One could just say “if you want to raise kids you can’t afford, do it on your own dime” and undermine your perspective. That doesn't undermine my perspective at all. Again the argument is that division of labor is more efficient. It costs society less to have one person raise multiple kids than it does for lots of people to raise their own kids. Even if you say only those who could afford to stay at home and raise their kids should have kids, they should still be utilizing this system to reduce total cost. If they choose not to participate in the cost reduction, they ought to shoulder the burden of the higher costs on their own. Recognizing that society kind of needs kids for the whole survival of the species thing, selfish actions that reduce cost savings for everyone ought not to be incentivized. | | |
| ▲ | ndriscoll 2 days ago | parent [-] | | If you're trying to be efficient, you could also put 100 kids in a room with an adult to do whatever as long as the adult can keep them alive, but most people would recognize that the services are not equivalent. It's not more efficient; it's lower quality. | | |
| ▲ | jjk166 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | That's literally the exact same argument. 100 being too many doesn't mean 1 is ideal. No one is saying there isn't some threshold beyond which quality drops, just that the threshold is higher than 1. | | |
| ▲ | ndriscoll 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Your characterization of the service provided is "adult physically present in the vicinity of children to take care of issues". That sounds to me like a lower quality "service" than what e.g. my wife provides, which is actually raising them, teaching them, giving them emotional support, taking them on errands around town, etc. Even with your own kids it's way more difficult to give them as much attention when there's 1 vs 2, so I find the assertion that quality of care doesn't drop after 1 to be dubious as well. |
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| ▲ | vidarh 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Perhaps caring for your own kids produces much better kids (and eventually, adults). In places with universal childcare provisions, one of the arguments is often that children in childcare tends to benefit from the extra socialisation. I don't know to what extent that is supported by hard evidence, but it's at least by no means clear that caring for your own children is a net benefit for society even direct economic arguments aside. |
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| ▲ | pbhjpbhj 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | >you are providing significantly less to society than those caring for many kids And getting paid considerably less. You're almost certainly providing proportionally more for your pay. A childcare provider can register and only look after 1 child, usually, but wouldn't because they want/need more income. Presumably nannies (careworker for children from a single family) are registered childcare providers where you are; would a nanny be subsidised able to get paid with a subsidy? | | |
| ▲ | jjk166 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It is cheaper per child to care for multiple children at the same time. It's basic economies of scale. Nannies and childcare providers that only look after a single child ought not to be subsidized, at least not nearly to the same extent as those who provide care more efficiently. | | |
| ▲ | somenameforme 2 days ago | parent [-] | | In an economy of scale, the quality of your product does not decrease. But when one person is looking after ever more children, their quality of care does decrease. So you're not incentivizing more efficient care, but simply worse care. It's akin to education - the general goal is to minimize the number of students per teacher, not maximize it. | | |
| ▲ | jjk166 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Yes, if you had one caretaker looking after thousands of children, quality would be poor. But that doesn't mean the optimal number is 1. A professional caretaker looking after a manageable number of children can certainly outperform an amateur looking after one or two, and a facility with multiple specialized caretakers can outperform the single professional caretaker. You don't want to minimize students per teacher, you want a healthy number of students per teacher. Class sizes are not optimal at 1. Below some minimum class size (which varies by age group) there is no benefit to further reduction, and sufficiently low numbers can be harmful. That's to say nothing of the additional cost of that labor to achieve such faculty ratios. | | |
| ▲ | somenameforme 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | You've gone from efficiency and economies of scale, to a "professional" outperforming an "amateur." Raising a child is not like making a widget. Endless studies [1] demonstrate that more early non-parental care leads to worse outcomes in just about every single way - worse behavior, health, attention span, long term higher likelihood of police encounters, and much more. An interesting one is that children who spend extensive time in daycare even end up less socially competent which is quite interesting since it runs contrary to one of the typical arguments in favor of daycare. But it's also not surprising if you think about it, because at home a child is getting vastly more attention and interaction than he would in daycare. And this is especially significant because that's just speaking aggregately. Obviously not all parents are created equal, but it turns out that even bad parents tend to be better than non-parental care, especially early on. If you isolated it only to active, highly involved, parents - the results would be exponentially better than they already are. [1] - https://search.brave.com/search?q=long+term+outcomes+of+dayc... | | |
| ▲ | jjk166 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | > You've gone from efficiency and economies of scale, to a "professional" outperforming an "amateur." These are one in the same. Economies of scale work because of specialization. > Raising a child is not like making a widget. Endless studies [1] demonstrate that more early non-parental care leads to worse outcomes in just about every single way - worse behavior, health, attention span, long term higher likelihood of police encounters, and much more. You didn't link to any specific study but that's the exact opposite of what the search results say [1]. The results suggesting that daycare has negative effects all seem to be from the Institute or Family Studies [2] which is a conservative think tank promoting traditional gender roles. If you have credible sources that state otherwise, please share them directly. > Obviously not all parents are created equal, but it turns out that even bad parents tend to be better than non-parental care, especially early on. Yeah, you're gonna need a specific source for that claim. [1] https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/children-youth/learning-deve... [2] https://ifstudies.org/blog/measuring-the-long-term-effects-o... |
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| ▲ | ndriscoll 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Amateurs regularly outperform professionals in schooling (they seem to perform somewhere between "at least as good" to "decently better" on average), and studies in the 80s found that 1:1 tutoring with mastery learning is wildly more effective than normal classes (with the average tutored student performing at the 98th percentile of control students). | | |
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| ▲ | hedora 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | One reason to send your kids to daycare is so they can socialize and make friends. Also, the daycares typically have structured programs that are fun and helpful for toddler development. |
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| ▲ | makeitdouble 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | I don't know if that's what they had in mind, but "stay at home mom" is probably not just men/women who solely watch their kid all day long. A full remote worker keeping their kid nearby would probably fit the same criteria, especially if the couple is both remote and they can split dealing with the chores. |
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| ▲ | motorest 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Stay at home moms do not provide a less valuable service than childcare providers. I don't know how can anyone arrive at that conclusion. > This policy appears to disincentives children staying with their mother even when it is preferred. This assertion is baffling and far-fetched. There is only one beneficiary of this policy: families who desperately needed access to childcare but could not possibly afford it. With this policy, those who needed childcare but were priced out of the market will be able to access the service they needed. I don't think that extreme poverty and binding a mother to homecare is a valid incentive cor "children staying with their mother". | | |
| ▲ | bluGill 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > With this policy, those who needed childcare but were priced out of the market will be able to access the service they needed. And the rich parents who can afford childcare are also given a subsidy. A married parent who wants to stay home but can't quite afford it is forced to work. Is this really what you want? If it is the poor your care about why not subsidies just them? | | |
| ▲ | motorest 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > And the rich parents who can afford childcare are also given a subsidy. That's fine. > A married parent who wants to stay home but can't quite afford it is forced to work. I don't get what point you think you're making. Do you believe that not offering universal child care changed that? | |
| ▲ | afthonos 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > A married parent who wants to stay home but can't quite afford it is forced to work. I’m confused; how does your preferred policy solve this problem? | | |
| ▲ | bluGill 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I don't have a stated preferred policy here. I'm questioning if the post I replied to really preferred this policy. Policy is a constant battle of unintended consequences. I clearly understand that nothing isn't immune from those consequences, and so I'm constantly adjusting my preferred policy trying to find the least bad compromise. |
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| ▲ | fridder 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | This isn't a perfect solution. If you want the most equitable then you go the UBI route. Otherwise you have to do fixes like this in order to make things better. Also you have to do the ROI on means testing |
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| ▲ | crazygringo 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > This policy appears to disincentives children staying with their mother even when it is preferred. It does no such thing. If you could afford to be a stay-at-home mom before, this isn't going to make any significant difference to that. Think of whether it would make sense if you applied your logic to other areas -- do public schools disincentivize people sending their kids to private schools? That would be absurd to say. Creating choice where there wasn't any before doesn't "disincentivize" anything. It gives people options to make the choices that are best for them. | |
| ▲ | clickety_clack 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I totally get the reasoning behind that, but the majority of women are not stay at home moms, and most families don’t have the resources to make it happen. Society is just not oriented to family creation, and both women and men (to a lesser extent) take a hit when they decide to start a family. The entire world is in a fertility crisis now that could easily endanger the very society we live in, with all the ideals and principles we take for granted, and that calls for solutions that may not end up being absolutely fair to everyone in it. If the tradeoff is between childcare that actually works versus a watered down version because we are also paying people who don’t avail of it, I think the former option will do most to support families. | | |
| ▲ | rpcope1 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I agree with you except the part about the policy making a dent. Scandinavian countries have all sorts of "universal childcare" and benefits, and their TFR is still going straight into the shitter. All this talk about expanding the GDP and going towards total workforce participation IMO is why family formation is slowing to a crawl (I mean look at South Korea, where it's all about being a workaholic and they basically will cease to exist in maybe 50-100 years, literally). If we want to continue as a nation or entity of people, I believe the people and the government are going to need to put their thumb on the scale in a way more aggressive way, including both childcare credits for all, paying stay at home parents a salary, major cultural changes (including our own version of the Soviet Mother Heroine/Order of Parental Glory that carry real status with them, perhaps), and economic and cultural pushback on being a DINK or similar. We have no future the way we're going, and these sort of policy interventions have been tried elsewhere and they don't do shit. We really have got to rethink a lot of things, in a way that's probably painful or irritating to the readership here, otherwise we're basically done. | | |
| ▲ | lotsofpulp 2 days ago | parent [-] | | You don’t want just kids, you want well raised kids. Badly raised kids are easily a net negative, so just paying people to be parents isn’t going to work. The only thing that might incentivize people to think about the long term is getting rid of all old age benefits (including continuous bail outs of broad market assets by the federal government by sacrificing the purchasing power of the currency). Right now, we take productivity from people who sacrifice to raise kids well and give it to those who don’t raise kids well, or not have them at all. This obviously leads to an arbitrage opportunity (as evidenced by DINK lifestyles). I do not see any other way other than to remove this arbitrage opportunity. Which probably will not happen in any democracy due to old people’s voting power. | | |
| ▲ | seanmcdirmid 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I beg to disagree. In Switzerland, a lot of emphasis is put on assimilation to a Swiss identity via pre-school and school. Now this eventually raises the bar for parents to raise their kids, but it also acts to Swissify immigrant kids quickly as well (and 25% of the residents in Switzerland are not born as swiss, many of those are refugees from African countries that America has problems dealing with). America's DIY hands off parent-focused system consistently has the worse results of all the world's developed countries, and is proving to be worse than even developing country systems. | | |
| ▲ | lotsofpulp 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Switzerland has not achieved a replacement rate TFR since 1970. https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/che/swi... Any sustainable policy would obviously result in a TFR of at least the replacement rate. | | |
| ▲ | seanmcdirmid 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I have no idea what TFR has to do with anything here. So Swiss people aren't having kids like they were before, that is not relevant to education outcomes, maybe they are just really good in teaching sex education. | | |
| ▲ | lotsofpulp 2 days ago | parent [-] | | A sub replacement rate TFR leads to extinction, not to mention wreaks havoc on government policies that have long been dependent on growth. | | |
| ▲ | seanmcdirmid 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Switzerland has a high immigration rate, so they aren't going to be hit by this in the short term, and in the long term I don't think they are going to sweat some population loss. |
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| ▲ | TulliusCicero 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Would make sense IMO to provide an equal value waiver to those who take care of their kid rather than send them to childcare. From the government's point of view, they want more people out in the workforce, so it probably doesn't make sense that way. | |
| ▲ | thinkingtoilet 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Sure. Right after I get all my tax money back from all the userless wars we've fought in the last 20 years because I was against them. | | |
| ▲ | ndriscoll 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Weird to assume people who support an increased child credit aren't also against devoting resources to pointless wars. | | |
| ▲ | thinkingtoilet 2 days ago | parent [-] | | That's clearly not the assumption at all. The idea that we can pick and choose what we pay taxes for is not a reality. That's not how this works. There are tons of subsidies, pork, and other ways my tax dollars get used that don't benefit me at all. Just because you don't have a kid or choose not to use the new system, doesn't mean you shouldn't pay your share of taxes, just like everything else in this country. | | |
| ▲ | ndriscoll 2 days ago | parent [-] | | No one said they're not going to pay taxes. They advocated for what they consider to be a better policy. What you're saying is like responding to someone who thinks we shouldn't start random wars with "we don't get to choose what we pay taxes for". Uh, yeah, we do get to advocate for and vote on how the government spends our money. We can and should point out that starting pointless wars is bad and we should encourage others to support a policy where we stop doing it. Arguing against specific uses and for other uses of taxes to build consensus for your point of view is exactly what people are supposed to do in a democracy. |
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| ▲ | patrickthebold 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I agree. Ideally we could just increase the tax credits so it's large enough to cover the childcare expenses (and other necessities), and let the families decide what is best. And yes, some people are going to do a bad job taking care of their kids and spend the money on something else. But my understanding is that it generally works well to just give people money, rather than pay for specific things. | |
| ▲ | jvuygbbkuurx 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This is how it works in Finland, but with some adjustments based on family income. You are eligible for up to 500€/month if you take care of your child. The other option being childcare costing up to 300€/month. | |
| ▲ | angmarsbane 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I see benefits for stay at home Moms, universal childcare means she has somewhere safe to drop her kid off while she goes to her own doctor appointments, or when she needs a break, or if there’s a family emergency she needs to attend to or even if she’s going into labor to bring kid number 2 or 3 into the world. There are a lot of stay at home parents that don’t have family near by or a reliable sitter and this can help plug some gaps. | |
| ▲ | forbiddenvoid 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | In what way does this disincentivize anyone? If you want to stay home with your kids, stay home with your kids. This is literally not preventing anyone from being a stay at home parent. | | |
| ▲ | programjames 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Lots of two-parent working families do the maths, and realize they would pay more in childcare than the income from a second job. This incentivizes one of them to stay at home. Here, the incentive is gone. This is worse for the economy and probably the family. | | |
| ▲ | macintux 2 days ago | parent [-] | | I can see arguments that it's worse for the family, but why is it worse for the economy to have two parents working? | | |
| ▲ | programjames 2 days ago | parent [-] | | Suppose childcare is $15k/year and you work minimum wage making less than $15k/year. Then there's less wealth to go around, just more in your pocket. But actually, you probably don't take home all the wealth you create, so it can actually still be better for the economy. It is still worse for the economy, but not for that reason. Probably because labor has a backward-bending supply curve, and most people are already working more hours than is optimal. As another commenter said, it would probably be better for the economy to make a 30 hour work week. |
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| ▲ | onlypassingthru 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Your taxes pay for the public service whether you use it or not. Take a look at your property tax statement and I bet you can find all sorts of things you may or may not use: parks fees, library fees, health/hospital fees, schools, etc. Should everyone who reads but doesn't use the public library get a book voucher? I'm a stay-at-home-reader, why shouldn't I get the government to subsidize my reading? | |
| ▲ | daveswilson 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | As a resident of New Mexico I can tell you that it is a miracle that we can afford to launch this program at all. Perhaps when the long-term economic benefits begin to pay out, we'll be able to pay people to support their personal preferences. As it stands, while I don't have kids at home anymore, I can see the long-term economic benefit to the state, and am very pleased that my tax dollars are helping to get this done. | |
| ▲ | mattmaroon 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I don’t get a voucher for not receiving medicaid or food stamps. Fairness is a concept meant to tame unruly preschoolers, let’s just solve problems. | |
| ▲ | hereme888 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Absolutely. Nothing is free. This means less resources for something else, marketed as "compassion". Mothers generally take much better care of their own children than childcare. Childcare was already previously available for low-income families. To incentivize women to work when they can afford to care for their children is very bad for a country in the long term. | |
| ▲ | eirikbakke 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Norway does this. Kindergartens are nearly free ($120/mo), but with a "cash-for-care" benefit for parents who choose to stay at home with the child ($750/mo). https://www.nav.no/kontantstotte/en | | |
| ▲ | magicalist 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > You can receive cash-for-care benefit for children between 13 and 19 months, starting the month the child turns 13 months, up until and including the month the child turns 19 months. You can receive cash-for-care benefits for a maximum of 7 months. so, no, extremely limited compared to what's being discussed. | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | I wonder why they don’t have the same allergy to a voucher program that is prevalent in the US on the political left. For some reason, letting people exercise their agency and do things their own way is seen as a threat here. | | |
| ▲ | OkayPhysicist 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It's not an allergy to vouchers. It's an allergy to diverting tax payer dollars away from public schools and into subsidizing religious indoctrination centers. There are good religious schools: I've been largely impressed by the Jesuit-run schools I've seen. But most religious private primary and high schools in the US are run by weird little cults that fundamentally fail to meet muster in the whole "not being thinly-veiled excuses for indoctrination" side of things. Americans are stupid enough without stripping them of what little education we do offer them. | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent [-] | | > It's an allergy to diverting tax payer dollars away from public schools and into subsidizing religious indoctrination centers. All schools are indoctrination centers. Some very progressive cities push a lot of political programming into their curriculums. Why does it matter if someone wants their child’s education to have THEIR flavor of religious indoctrination? The money follows the child. The money for kids staying in public schools stays with them. So it doesn’t divert anything away. |
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| ▲ | Pet_Ant 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Stay at home moms do not provide a less valuable service than childcare providers. They are strictly less efficient than commercial daycare because the adult-child ratio is much higher. How many women would be of out of the work for if they were taking care of children? Also, it prevents trickle down and the lifting of the poorest in society. | | |
| ▲ | SilverElfin 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Less efficient? No they aren’t strictly less efficient because they provide MUCH better quality of care. | | |
| ▲ | Pet_Ant 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | To less children. Even if the area under the curve was the same (and I suspect that there very much are diminishing returns) they have a very negative effect on the Gini coefficient and that is a negative externality that should not be incentivised. If your position is that people should not be compelled to contribute to overall society and the lifting of the boats of others, than there isn't enough alignment of values for a meaningful conversation. | | |
| ▲ | tomrod 2 days ago | parent [-] | | It does offer a potential backdoor to UBI while also encouraging desirable outcomes -- increased birth rate for wanted children, more people willing to foster, optionality for women to enter workforce, etc. I suspect there will be some fraud (I have 30 kids, wheee!) as well as foster/adoption abuse -- probably AZ's experiment with paying parents to home school would be instructive. |
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| ▲ | tomrod 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | At the median: probably. At the tails: probably not. |
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| ▲ | orthoxerox 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | However, they provide superior level of childcare. |
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| ▲ | jimbo808 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | While true, social policies do not need to provide an equal benefit to everyone. People who can afford to stay home with the kids are not the ones who need this sort of policy. | |
| ▲ | jrflowers 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This makes sense. If something objectively good happens, it is not actually that good if a completely different good thing did not happen. | |
| ▲ | koolba 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I’m sure people will find creative ways to scam the system where I watch your kids and you watch mine, and both of us get paid for it. | |
| ▲ | arathis 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Nonsense. Absolute Fucking nonsense. |
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