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bix6 7 months ago

We need to start making manufacturers pay for their negative externalities.

Aurornis 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Manufacturers aren’t making tires and then turning them into microplastics alone. Pretending consumers aren’t part of the problem is misleading.

We could add fees to tire manufacturers, but be honest: It will just get added to the price of the tire. That’s fine if the goal is economic incentives or funding remediation, but people start to lose interest in such fines as soon as they realize it comes out of their own pockets instead of from some imagined slush fund manufacturers are keeping to themselves. (See similar problems with conversations about tariffs, which people only like until they realize they will be paying for them.)

BriggyDwiggs42 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Manufacturers don’t make tires expecting them to not be driven on, so that’s besides the point, but regardless.

The goal should be to tax manufacturers so that there’s a strong incentive/an opportunity for market competition to produce tires that don’t shed microplastics.

meowkit 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Its just one disincentive. Tax driving overall to push people to more efficient (from a tire plastic/energy usage) standpoint.

Use those taxes to fund public transportation.

brianwawok 7 months ago | parent [-]

America generally isn’t laid out that well for public transit. You could build it and have it for free, in many places no one would ride it.

nox101 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

plenty of places in America could have far better public transportation than they do. Take the Bay Area vs Switzerland

Size: Switzerland 15,940 mi², Bay Area 6,966 mi²

Population: Switzerland 8.85 million, Bay Area 7.76 million

So given that, the bay area is twice as dense as Switzerland

Miles of train tracks: Switzerland 3,241 miles, Bay Area ~300 miles?

SF Bay Area has a bay, Switzerland is all mountains so it's not like Switzerland is particularly easier to cover in public transportation

Plenty of other places in the USA could be covered in trains. LA for example used to have the largest public transit system in the world. It was all torn down between ~1929 and ~1975. A few lines have been created since but, the problem in the USA is, except for maybe NYC and Chicago, public transportation is seen as a handout to poor people instead of the transit the masses use like most saner places. (Most cities in Europe and Asia). Getting it back to that point seems nearly impossible. Building one track at a time, each taking 10-20 years with Nimbys fighting them all the way means the density of tracks always is too small to be useful, and so no usage.

rsanek 7 months ago | parent [-]

is there a statistic that can show us the density distribution? my intuition says that the bay area would have a pretty gradual slope (people living mostly everywhere of mostly low density), whereas Switzerland would have lots of areas mostly uninhabited while having a few high concentration cities.

looking at the two respective largest cities: Zurich is about twice as densely populated as San Jose.

this has a huge impact on public transit viability.

nox101 7 months ago | parent [-]

There are maps

https://luminocity3d.org/WorldPopDen/#8/46.894/7.127

vs

https://luminocity3d.org/WorldPopDen/#8/37.766/-120.721

those are the same zoom level.

I'd argue they show the bay area can sustain far more trains than it currently has.

If you check a Swiss train map you'll see they cover tons of tiny cities.

It's true that Zurich is more dense than San Jose. Some would suggest that's part of the problem. San Jose is less dense because it's missing the public transportation and therefore everyone needs a car, everyone needs places to park that car when shopping, working, sleeping. Everyone is driving to the city so lots of large roads are needed for the cars and so everything expands into car infrastructure. Public transportation enables urban density.

CalRobert 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

True, America bulldozed their cities to build parking lots and roads, which made them much worse for anything but driving.

lotsofpulp 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Public transit only works if people don’t have an option for private travel in a luxurious car.

rscho 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

You never went to western Europe or rich Asian countries ? You should try it and see for yourself.

lotsofpulp 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

I have, and everywhere people use public transit, it’s far more expensive or tedious to use a nice, big car. The houses, driveway, garage, and parking situation are inferior to those of 90% of the US, where you can easily take a Ford F150 or full size SUV almost anywhere you want.

Cars need space. Walking and bicycling (and public transit) need density. The environment for optimizing for each of those is completely opposite.

And once a person has invested in a car (the car itself and a home with enough space to store the car), and they use that car on a daily basis to commute to work or drop the kids off at school, they will be very unlikely to support taxes to pay for public transit, something they will almost never use, since they are already leaving the house in a car, they are going to do all their errands while out in a car.

fosk 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Different population (and business) density for most of America which is entirely suburban except for the dangerous downtown areas.

CalRobert 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Weirdly the Dutch take the train plenty and also have lots of cars

amanaplanacanal 7 months ago | parent [-]

And also have the best bike infrastructure in the world. I wonder how the average car miles driven per year compares between the Netherlands and, say, the US.

FredPret 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You also need law and order. Years ago living in Toronto, I stopped taking transit when the crazies started getting on the train along with the innocent commuters.

adrianN 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There is evidence all around the world that this is not true.

amrocha 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Making driving way more expensive takes care of that.

Vilian 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Because everyone need to search each existing technology that's they are going to use to see if they are dyeing because of that, and don't forget that don't exist replacement for tires because the incentive don't exist

ihm 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Consumers are not part of the problem. There is literally no action a consumer can take to ameliorate this situation because there are no tires produced that don't have this problem, and many consumers need to have a car to live.

amanaplanacanal 7 months ago | parent [-]

Sure there is. Drive less, walk and take public transportation more. People can change their behavior if they are incentivized to do so.

And as others are pointing out, buy and drive smaller cars.

deprecative 7 months ago | parent [-]

Public transit doesn't exist for most folks (in the US), walking isn't feasible (for most in the US), and driving less is not feasible (in the US).

The only options to buy smaller cars which means you're now at eye level with a giant truck that doesn't give a single fuck about anyone on the road.

We need robust public transit and pedestrian focused infrastructure with samn multi-purpose zoning. None of these are happening in the next five years at least so it's on manufacturers to eat the cost which they won't do. This means we all get even more micro plastics in our testicles, ovaries, and/or brains.

DecoPerson 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Manufacture in country A and sell in country B. Or vice versa.

But never manufacture and sell in the same country, or the government might try to get you to pay for your negative externalities!

And now, there’s this annoying predicament where as you introduce more laws and more enforcement, you only cripple your own economy and rarely cause any significant improvement along the lines of what you hope. Look at Australia — we have all these appliance safety laws, but all of the appliances are made overseas and there’s no good point for the government to inspect and enforce compliance with those laws. I just bought a generic vacuum sealer from an online shop the other day. It was cheaper than buying at a brick & mortar store, even with delivery, and it definitely does not comply with Australia safety standards.

We’ve killed our local industry, and our economy is suffering for it. I don’t think the answer is to remove the safety/etc laws, but instead to tax all imports enormously. Be aggressive and unfair so that local industry is immediately viable. It’ll be painful, but it’s what most countries need. Comparative advantage turned out to be a terrible basis for international trade.

danielheath 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

This is what tariffs do well. When you tax a local manufacturer, you impose an equal tariff on imports.

seventhtiger 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

That only makes it fair within your country, but it doesn't remove the self-crippling effects.

david-gpu 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

That is why international agreements like the Montreal Protocol are so important.

revscat 7 months ago | parent [-]

That was 40 years ago. In the interim capitalism has won and democracy is failing. Agreements like Montreal will never happen again, at least not in our lifetimes.

Look no further than the failure of the Paris Agreement and the ascent of authoritarianism worldwide. No one cares about environmental agreements, certainly not those in the rarified airs of billionaires, oligarchs, and other captains 9f industry.

david-gpu 7 months ago | parent [-]

> Agreements like Montreal will never happen again

They happen all the time. Just look at how the European Union operates on a day-to-day basis.

This and the Montreal Protocol wasn't achieved with a self-defeating attitude, though.

antisthenes 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Montreal Protocol is Global. EU Agreements are EU-Only, and Europe is only a small part of the World, comparatively, and almost irrelevant manufacturing wise, compared to China/India/SE Asia/USA combined.

If we're talking about Global climate or pollution impact, the EU alone agreeing won't cut it.

maeil 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

> This and the Montreal Protocol wasn't achieved with a self-defeating attitude, though.

What's clear is that the attitudes of those of us in favour of such measures has only achieved the opposite is the last decade, as the user you're replying to has rightfully pointed out. Optimism has gotten us nowhere.

maeil 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

They're not self-crippling, that's the whole point of internalizing negative externalities.

XorNot 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

...and then the price is added to the price of tyres. Like, where do you think the money is going to go? People can't easily substitute their car use, and there's nothing out there replacing rubber that's road legal, so all you're doing is just adding a tax to car use.

You could do this just as easily with gas taxes, registration fees or any other system.

danielheath 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

> People can't easily substitute their car use... so all you're doing is just adding a tax to car use.

So long as you don't have to pay the actual costs associated with your car use, why would you _want_ to find an alternative?

> You could do this just as easily with gas taxes, registration fees or any other system.

Registration fees tax ownership of a car, not use. IMO that's... not great; if you want to own a car you rarely drive, why should you pay for everyone else's pollution?

Gas taxes could be a fair way to target CO2 emissions, but (given heavy EVs don't pay them) are a poor way to target tyre particulate pollution.

As a response to particulate pollution specifically, a tyre tax is quite closely targeted (although possibly ill-advised for other reasons, as I mentioned in my comment).

Spooky23 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Well the political party going into power believes they have a mandate to go back in time to when things were great.

Right now that means protective tariffs are a fashionable “something” to do.

CalRobert 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Is taxing car use bad?

XorNot 7 months ago | parent [-]

Ask your poorer constituents.

I work from home and get paid an enormous salary. I literally do not care. But (1) in turn I make decisions which are purely convenience based because of that disposable income and (2) I'm just one vote.

The message you'll be selling to everyone else is: "hey, that multi-thousand dollar vehicle you use for getting to work because there's no public transport and your job requires you on-site? Pay more money to have it."

Or did the US not just have an entire election apparently determined by the price of eggs and the cost of living?

CalRobert 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

I can’t really afford a car and take the train to work. It is paid for in part by high taxes on personal vehicles.

maeil 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

As has been mentioned dozens of times in these comments, do it by car weight. Then poorer constituents do have a choice.

XorNot 7 months ago | parent [-]

You are simply ignoring that there are generally economic thresholds before the best answer is to do something different, and excises and other fees simply modify costs but don't change the overall picture.

People with more disposable income have much more ability to make long term, efficient economic choices by forgoing short term gains or even taking losses.

It's similar to subsidizing roof top solar panels: there's a not unreasonable argument that this is just a hand out to the fairly wealthy who own houses, when we could more efficiently use that money in a government program to build industrial scale solar which benefits everyone through net lower emissions/prices.

tonyedgecombe 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Then other countries will retaliate with tariffs on the goods you export. Ultimately we are all left worse off.

maeil 7 months ago | parent [-]

> Ultimately we are all left worse off.

This is simply not true. Protectionism can have massive benefits. China making it impossible for foreign companies to gain serious ground there independently has been incredibly beneficial, else they wouldn't have done it. I happen to live in Korea which is similar in ways, and here too it's an enormously good thing for the country and its citizens.

The dream that protectionism is bad by definition is truly one of the biggest deceptions in economy of the post-Reagan era.

It's a great thing because it's basically funneling money from global megacorps to local corporations - which might still be huge, but nothing compared to e.g. Coca Cola or Google. This is a positive thing for everyone except for those companies' shareholders, and in a way the US as that's where almost all these megacorps are based.

This is really an important thing to realize, and I can't stress this enough. It's exactly like the EU imposing lots of regulations on Apple et. al. Apple isn't just going to take their bags and not sell there, nor have they raised prices to EU customers as a result of these rules. They simply comply.

Imagine if, say, Germany ruled that to sell Coke in Germany as an international company, you have to set up a 50-50 owned JV with an existing German company unrelated to Coke. You think Coke is neither going to give up on Germany nor are they going to raise their prices. They're simply going to be making less of a profit in Germany. Great for everyone. It has played out this way in every country with such rules in place.

antisthenes 7 months ago | parent [-]

> China making it impossible for foreign companies to gain serious ground there independently has been incredibly beneficial, else they wouldn't have done it.

Is it actually protectionism that gives most of the benefit here, or just comparatively cheaper labor costs, massive economies of scale (aided by a huge domestic market), disregard for other countries' IP, and a willingness to make targeted sacrifices (e.g. environmental impact) ?

Like if you're realistically looking at why China became an industrial powerhouse, it's unlikely protectionism is responsible for more than a few % of that success. The rest of it is simply favorable factors that I listed above.

> protectionism is bad by definition is truly one of the biggest deceptions in economy of the post-Reagan era

It is just one of the tools in the toolbox of a country, it's not inherently good or bad. For example they way it worked out for USSR and post-CIS countries is absolutely bad. The way it worked out for China is good. But there are multiple confounding factors at play and you can't look at it in such a simplistic way.

maeil 7 months ago | parent [-]

> Is it actually protectionism that gives most of the benefit here, or just comparatively cheaper labor costs, massive economies of scale (aided by a huge domestic market), disregard for other countries' IP, and a willingness to make targeted sacrifices (e.g. environmental impact) ?

All of these have benefited China. I was pointing out how protectionism has done so, independently of the other factors. Those were not necessary for the protectionism to be beneficial. The mainstream assumption in the West in the post-Reagan era has been that this is impossible, that any form of protectionism must be a net negative when you consider the effects on all parties involved.

Of course it depends on the implementation. Blindly slapping massive tariffs on everything and calling it a day just hoping it will work out isn't necessarily going to benefit anyone.

acidburnNSA 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Also we need incentives to convince people to choose to drive lighter and smaller cars. Carrots and/or sticks should be considered.

Alternatively, new tire technologies could maybe also solve the problem.

forgotoldacc 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

If it's not already obvious, in a lot of places, when regulations are promoted to reduce waste and benefit public/environmental health, a large number of people will get angry and vote for those who'll want to maximize damage just because. If regulations promoting smaller cars were ever suggested in these places, some smiling politician would announce a mandate that vehicles be 5 tons or greater with anything smaller being banned, and compilations of people who worried about the environment would be circulated and heavily mocked online.

AnthonyMouse 7 months ago | parent [-]

This is misunderstanding why people respond that way.

There are a lot of people who can't easily change their behavior, e.g. because your theory is that they should buy smaller cars but their business requires a vehicle that can carry heavy loads once a week and they can't afford to buy a separate vehicle for that so the larger vehicle has to be their daily driver. Then a tax meant to induce a change in behavior is received by them as an unavoidable tax hike, which they naturally resent and oppose, and because of the nature of politics they'll then propose the opposite of whatever you're trying to do to them.

What you really need to do is to make it more possible for them to do the thing you want. For example, right now if you want to have a modern compact car for most use and an old truck you use once a week for truck stuff, you have to register and insure two vehicles. That isn't currently economical, but it's what you want to happen so they're not just driving the truck at all times.

What you want to do is to make it economical. Only charge a registration fee for someone's primary vehicle and waive the cost for a second one, and make insurance work in such a way that having two vehicles doesn't have any higher liability premiums than driving the same total number of miles in one vehicle.

Then they can do what you want, and in fact have the incentive to, because the smaller car will save them gas most of the time but they still have the truck when they need it.

LeifCarrotson 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Incentives and penalties need to also exist to encourage manufacturers to offer smaller cars. Many domestic manufacturers are finding that giant luxury SUVs and 100+ kW high-end BEVs are highly profitable, and aren't even selling small and light vehicles at all for customers to choose.

danielheath 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Tyre wear is proportional to the fourth power of wheel load; reducing weight per wheel is the key here.

Hiwever, taxing new tyres may be counterproductive, since encouraging folk to keep using their worn tyres is not a good outcome for road safety.

potato3732842 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Tyre wear is proportional to the fourth power of wheel load; reducing weight per wheel is the key here.

No, it's not.

You're taking a very loose rule of thumb for road surface wear and baselessly applying it to tires.

Tire wear follows the rubber the tire is made out of. Soft rubber wears faster. Once you control for that it's acceleration and braking loads (i.e. driving style) that dominate. After that is when weight starts mattering.

If what you said was even remotely true then heavy vehicles would get obviously less life out of tires compared to compact cars when in reality they get about the same

david-gpu 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

> If what you said was even remotely true then heavy vehicles would get obviously less life out of tires compared to compact cars when in reality they get about the same

Are you assuming that the tires of heavy vehicles have the same thickness as lighter vehicles? My bike has much thinner tires than any car, and they can last ten thousand kilometers.

danielheath 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

I'm not sure where you're getting these ideas from. Best estimate I can see of prime mover tyre lifespan is 40,000-120,000 km.

I'd be quite happy if I could get that kind of lifespan out of my cars tyres.

antisthenes 7 months ago | parent [-]

> I'd be quite happy if I could get that kind of lifespan out of my cars tyres

Are you saying you can't even get 40,000 km out of your car tyres? You might have a defective product on your hands or need to look into the way you drive or inflate your tires.

qwerty_clicks 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Tires these days are expensive. To make them cheaper, they have reduced quality as well. Likely wearing faster and with worse material

Tiktaalik 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

We need alternatives to cars too.

SideQuark 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

We need to start making consumers pay for their negative externalities.

Until the externality cost is not baked into product cost it won’t be paid for.

beala 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

You can tax producers, who will then increase prices. Or you can apply a tax to the product directly, and make it appear that the consumer is paying. But who is actually paying it is a question of tax incidence and a function of demand and supply elasticities.[1]

1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tax_incidence

Aurornis 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Making manufacturers pay is equivalent to making consumers pay.

The price is passed on to the consumer. The idea of “making manufacturers pay” in commoditized markets like tires is a feel-good myth. Any additional fees will go to the consumer price.

mvkel 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Consumers are ultimately the party responsible for this pollution though, so we should pay.

Spooky23 7 months ago | parent [-]

Paying taxes doesn’t reduce the harm. You can’t change a complex system with one knob.

amanaplanacanal 7 months ago | parent [-]

Raising the cost incentivizes finding alternatives. Your statement would only be true if no alternatives are ever available.

HeatrayEnjoyer 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Customers have a price ceiling though.

SideQuark 7 months ago | parent [-]

And producers have a price floor. In competitive markets production costs are nearing zero long term profits for manufacturers, so the externality costs must be passed on to consumers or the good stops getting made, since running at a loss isn’t a sustainable business.

7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
bdangubic 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

consumers are already paying heftily… in virginia we pay 4.56% on the value of the vehicle every year plus there is an electic vehicle tax and also million other taxes and fees added.

funny that state with “don’t thread on me” license plate is a bastion of socialism where you are not allowed to own a car but have to pay each year to the state for the right to own the car… the problem of course is all that insane amount of money collected will never be used for anything other than to pay for pensions for former government employees :)

amanaplanacanal 7 months ago | parent [-]

Don't know about your state in particular, but most places in the US vehicle and fuel taxes are not enough to pay for road maintenance, and it is being subsidized out of other taxes.

My state realized a couple of decades ago that they were going to have the same kind of problem with their pension system and recreated it to be self-funding. They still have the old pensions to cover but at least they aren't continuing to dig themselves a deeper hole.

bdangubic 7 months ago | parent [-]

The original commenter stated:

"We need to start making consumers pay for their negative externalities."

Alls I was trying to say is that consumers are already paying crazy money. 26 states have property taxes on cars! In VA even with all that PLUS a special tax for EVs PLUS most of the roads around the DC metro area are tollroads it is still not enough :)

I was being facetious talking about pension funds - what I was basically trying to say that whatever money is collected isn't going to where it should be going - if there is a budget shortfall (and wouldn't you know - there always is...) money gets appropriated to other things...

amanaplanacanal 7 months ago | parent [-]

Yeah my first paragraph was the important one. Building and maintaining roads is really expensive.

bdangubic 7 months ago | parent [-]

No doubt. And in the United with all the corruption happening at the Local levels it is A LOT more expensive than it needs to be (just look at what happens when some major issue arises - https://www.forconstructionpros.com/infrastructure/article/2... - this was fixed in two weeks - if this project was actually done as "normal" infrastructure project it would have take a year at a cost of like $891 million).

But money is already being collected for these things through 89 different taxations - so more revenue is 100% not the way to fix this problem.

Palomides 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

the majority of the pollution probably comes from semi trucks rather than passenger cars, due to the huge weight and number of wheels

emmelaich 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Agree, the damage to the road (and the tyres, presumably) is proportional to weight^4.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_power_law

> The fourth power law (also known as the fourth power rule) states that the stress on the road caused by a motor vehicle increases in proportion to the fourth power of its axle load

missinglugnut 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

I hate that the 4th power law is called a law. It's not a law of nature, it's a lazy curve fit.

Think about this...if car does 'x' damage to the road, 2 cars does 2x damage. 2 cars welded together side by side (axle to axle so the axle count stays the same) would also do 2x damage, but the 4th power law says it does 16x damage.

If it's wrong by a factor of 8 in the simplest thought experiment it's not a law. You can obviously make a heavy load act like many small ones, or concentrate a light load so it does a lot of damage.

Constant * X^4 just coincidentally went through the data in a single 1950s dataset...and for some reason we're calling it a law 70 years later, when it's really just a loose trend that we could easily break with a little engineering. And we probably have broken it...tires, roads, and vehicles have changed a fair bit in 7 decades.

vel0city 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

If you're welding the two cars together connecting the axles you're still having 8 contact patches instead of 4, so the axle load is the same as 2 separate vehicles they're just moving in tandem.

You'd need to stack the two cars on top of each other to increase the axle load. In which case I'd say it's not obvious how much more the road wear would be without looking at data.

I'm not saying the 4th power law is absolute truth, I truly don't know what the wear patterns would look like on a modern surface. But your example isn't proving it wrong at all.

icehawk 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

> Think about this...if car does 'x' damage to the road, 2 cars does 2x damage. 2 cars welded together side by side (axle to axle so the axle count stays the same) would also do 2x damage, but the 4th power law says it does 16x damage.

Are you removing the two inner wheels from the axle? Those would also support weight

rapjr9 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

A little off topic, but what are the roads releasing into the environment as they wear down? Asphalt is often somewhat radioactive since it's made from oil? Is there benzene in there? What is the scale of asphalt nanoparticles compared to tire nanoparticles?

snibsnib 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Where i live, 80% of all vehicles are passenger vehicles. I'm not sure that the extra wheels on semis would make up for that difference, especially with the slow increase in size of passenger vehicles.

Retric 7 months ago | parent [-]

Something like 98% of ware from road vehicles is caused by semi’s vs 2% from cars and trucks.

20% * 18 = 3.6 vs 80% * 4 = 3.2, so barring some 3rd category semi’s would have more tires. They also have a lot more weight on each of those tires.

Aurornis 7 months ago | parent [-]

Road wear is proportional to weight.

Semi tires are hard, long-lasting compounds relative to soft consumer tires with deep treads and soft rubber.

rootusrootus 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

> Road wear is proportional to weight

No, it scales at the fourth power of the axle weight.

Retric 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Hard long lasting compounds don’t actually make up for fully loaded semi’s weight. They are much larger tires and with consistent heavy loads may only last 25k miles (or 100k with light loads).

So more and much larger tires and fairly similar lifespan = they liked make up a significant majority of tire pollution.

hackernewds 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

there are 200000x the number of private cars. are you sure?

bsder 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Your estimate isn't even close--you're off by about 4 orders of magnitude.

Fact: In California, the number of trucks is about 300K vs cars at 14M (about 40x).

Fact: California AADT on roads for trucks ranges from a couple of percent up to almost 50%. Very few roads have less than 10% AADT from trucks.

Fact: Damage to roads goes as fourth power of axle load.

Speculation: Given that tires are the primary means to transmit that damage to the roadway, it wouldn't surprise me if the trucks are responsible for the vast majority of tire particulates.

Reference: https://dot.ca.gov/-/media/dot-media/programs/traffic-operat...

Palomides 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

it's widely accepted that trucks cause the majority of road wear, considering the tire is the softer part in contact there, it seems pretty plausible

I don't have a citation to point to, though!

edit: there are roughly 100x registered passenger cars in the US as semis

SideQuark 7 months ago | parent | next [-]

Well, given a semi only averages 8x the miles of a car per year, your initial claim is wrong.

https://afdc.energy.gov/data/10309

vigna 7 months ago | parent [-]

Hi SideQuark. I'm writing you here as there's no contact email on your profile--I wanted to ask you if you ever tried a SAT solver on RomuTrio to find cycles (or you can give me some hints). I'm referring to this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22457101.

You can write me at sebastiano.vigna@gmail.com. Thanks for any info!

BTW, thanks for explaining that you cannot prove things about a single permutation using random permutations--it's so obvious that it is very difficult to explain, and the same absurd argument pops over and over.

Aurornis 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Road wear depends on weight.

Semi truck tires have hard, slow-wearing compounds.

Spooky23 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

A fully loaded tractor trailer has 5 axles and weighs 80,000 lbs, it does 9000-10000x more damage than a passenger car.

This is why states operate weigh stations — overweight trucks cause significant damage.

qwerty_clicks 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

Semi’s drive 12+ hours a day most days of the year. Passenger cars just go to work and they store and back.

psychlops 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This seems like an easily corruptible idea. For example, who measures the negative externalities? Certainly there are many, also certain is the ambiguity in measurement. Plenty of ways to game the system and for the system to play favorites.

hx8 7 months ago | parent [-]

It's actually very common to fine manufacturers for negative externalities. We even tax some manufacturers for some negative externalities. For example, we have a federal tax on cigarettes that pay for some health programs.

UniverseHacker 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

In this case, how can the negative externalities actually be mitigated with money? Maybe R&D to develop a less toxic tire?

bamboozled 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Isn't the plan to basically destroy all regulation in the US from Jan 2025?

Hammershaft 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

revenue neutral externality taxes are great policy but terrible politics...

123yawaworht456 7 months ago | parent | prev | next [-]

you folx really hate working class scum, don't you

revscat 7 months ago | parent | prev [-]

I personally doubt that the American government has the power to be able to do such things. Regardless, the incoming administration will under no circumstances impose such restrictions, or push for them to be created. I seem to recall that the previous Trump administration removed restrictions around asbestos, to give you an idea.

Libertarians gonna libertarian. Even if it kills everyone.

rootusrootus 7 months ago | parent [-]

> Libertarians gonna libertarian. Even if it kills everyone.

Plenty of blue states have shot down additional taxes. When it comes to pigovian taxes, nearly everyone in America is a libertarian.

revscat 7 months ago | parent [-]

Oh, absolutely. If you look at voting records, the overlap between neoliberals and libertarians is incredibly strong in this regard.