| ▲ | ipython 5 days ago |
| I was just at a conference today where one of the presenters referenced the "Trust barometer": https://www.edelman.com/trust/2025/trust-barometer According to that study, 23% approved of the statement "I approve hostile activism to drive change by threatening or committing violence". It's even higher if you only focus on 18-34 year olds. Full report here: https://www.edelman.com/sites/g/files/aatuss191/files/2025-0... |
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| ▲ | kylehotchkiss 5 days ago | parent | next [-] |
| This week in Nepal, before all the other news hit the fan, GenZ did exactly that, and overthrew the current leadership. 30 lives were lost along the way. The military took over for security purposes, and asked the leadership of the movement whom they wanted for an interim government. It was not the happy, peaceful democracy we all long for. It was a costly victory. But I feel happy the legitimate grievances the protestors held will lead to change. I hope they can find some candidates who will stand for them and reduce corruption, and do the best they can to help with the economy. |
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| ▲ | perihelions 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | "Not peaceful" is an understatement. They burned innocents alive. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/new-updates/former... ("Former Nepal PM Jhala Nath Khanal’s wife Rajyalaxmi Chitrakar burnt alive as protesters set his house on fire") IMO it's far too early for anyone to declare any kind of victory, in that unresolved, chaotic power vacuum. No one can guess where that will go. | | |
| ▲ | underlipton 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I believe that was after 19 students, non-violent protestors, were gunned down by security forces. It's a tough proposition. The goal is for the elite to have the awareness, humility, and political courage to not let things get so bad. But that point is well before Dauphines lose their heads. It's when peasant children are asking for bread and not getting any. Maybe before even that. Don't reach that tipping point and you won't careen towards the other atrocities. | | |
| ▲ | xvector 5 days ago | parent [-] | | They were not intentionally killed, the security forces were untrained in the use of rubber bullets and shot them directly at protestors rather than having them ricochet off the ground. | | |
| ▲ | nradov 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | That statement reflects a basic misunderstanding of small arms. If you shoot at someone, regardless of whether you're using less-than-lethal ammunition, death or serious injury is always possible. This was absolutely intentional by the soldiers and those who gave the orders. Don't try to claim it was some kind of accident, regardless of training or lack thereof. | |
| ▲ | johnnyanmac 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I really love the rising justification as of late of "they didn't know" for reckless manslaughter. They're called "less lethal" for a reason. It's not a paintball that splatters on impact (and even then, those can also harm). Even a properly shot rubber bullet carries injury risk if you're too close. What's all that police training for? | |
| ▲ | ratelimitsteve 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | if you point a gun at someone and pull the trigger, then they die from injuries caused by the shot you fired, you killed them. what goes on in your little secret heart between you and jesus might matter to you, but to the real world everyone else lives in you killed them. whether you meant to shoot them in a non-killing way is irrelevant, doubly so if you never learned how to but decided you were qualified to do it anyway. | |
| ▲ | whatevaa 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | No difference. Not knowing does not excuse responsibility. Should have figured it out after first death. | |
| ▲ | 4 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | camillomiller 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | As in the case of the United Healthcare CEO, we are very quick to demonize the immediate violence and killing, and rightly so.
But in doing that, we definitely overlook the many thousand uncountable lives that the behavior of the single person might have indirectly killed. | | |
| ▲ | tirant 4 days ago | parent | next [-] | | That is all hypothetical. Everyone with certain level of power and wealth could then hypothetically be accountable to thousands of deaths just by mere action or lack of action. Every single politician with power to decide on budgets could be accounted for it. And that still does not justify the death of any of them. | | |
| ▲ | camillomiller 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I agree that it's quite hard to draw a line and it's a slippery slope, but what UH was doing certainly isn't comparable to cutting state budget for political or financial reasons. | |
| ▲ | impossiblefork 4 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | >And that still does not justify the death of any of them. Surely everyone is the physical cause of everything that results his action or inaction? We differentiate the world through all the interactions and then we get some langrange multipliers and whatnot, or we do it more carefully taking non-linear effects into account to still get some notion of responsibility. Surely these people you mention are in fact responsible, and surely that should make them targets in case they increase deaths, destroy people's potential etc? |
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| ▲ | ebiester 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Except that United is doing the same thing it was before, with only a few months where they dialed back the pressure until their stock price started lagging. |
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| ▲ | pas 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | of course the question is where's the line between public-money-gold-digger and innocent wife? Jhala Nath Khanal was PM for less than 1 year in 2011. But he was still in politics, leading party that was part of the governing coalition. | |
| ▲ | gg-plz 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [dead] | |
| ▲ | wolfcola 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [flagged] | |
| ▲ | potato3732842 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | scheme271 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | It was the former PM's wife not the former PM. Also heads of state are probably a lot safer than fishermen or loggers. | | | |
| ▲ | umanwizard 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | The PM of Nepal is the head of government, not the head of state. |
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| ▲ | SilverElfin 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Attacks on free speech - like social media censorship or bans - makes democracy not possible. It removes the process for peaceful and civil change. The protestors had to go there as a result. But revolutions also tend not to result in something better most of the time. | | |
| ▲ | grafmax 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | And yet many of the greatest accomplishments of humanity over the past few centuries have been shepherded by violence - abolition of slavery, the global transition to democracy, and decolonizatiom. | | |
| ▲ | NeutralCrane 4 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Only if you cherry pick. Abolition of slavery in Britain occurred without mass violence or war. Decolonization happened through violence and revolution in some instances. In many others the colonizers simply grew weary of the colonies and left. | |
| ▲ | transcriptase 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but humanity has not abolished slavery. Most recent stats estimate ~28 million people worldwide in the forced labour category that most would mentally associate with the term. That rises to nearly 50 million going by the modern definition that includes forced marriage, child rearing, and subservience without recourse. Yes, in 2025. Sadly the United States abolishing slavery for ~4 million within its own borders in the 1860s did not represent humanity as a whole. On paper the problem is solved because it’s illegal to openly buy and sell another person. In practice the exact same treatment and de facto ownership and exploitation of other people remain without any meaningful enforcement in many parts of the world. | | |
| ▲ | arw0n 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Going from institutionalized forms of slavery common around the globe for thousands of years to the almost complete absence of it in today's world is still a major accomplishment. Three hundred years ago, slavery was seen as natural by many, today that would be an absolute fringe position almost no one would feel comfortable stating out loud. That is progress, even if it is not yet enough. | | |
| ▲ | transcriptase 4 days ago | parent [-] | | I’m sure modern slaves appreciate the fact that their situation, while in practice virtually indistinguishable from past eras, is no longer institutionalized. |
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| ▲ | ForOldHack 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Prison labor = Slavery. | | |
| ▲ | Aloisius 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Prison labor = slave labor, not slavery. Prison = slavery. I blame how slavery is taught for the confusion. Slavery itself is a legal state where one's autonomy is fully controlled by another. Forced labor is something people commonly use slaves for, but the absence of labor didn't make one free - a slave allowed to retire was still enslaved as was a newborn born into slavery even before they're first made to work. |
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| ▲ | ethbr1 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > abolition of slavery, the global transition to democracy, and decolonization It's notable that all of those are pre-democratic. | | |
| ▲ | lmm 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Many slaving countries were democratic as it was understood at the time. All modern democracies disenfranchise some people e.g. the young, people with criminal convictions in some countries. | |
| ▲ | fraggleysun 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Could you please clarify your statement? | | |
| ▲ | ethbr1 5 days ago | parent [-] | | >> Attacks on free speech - like social media censorship or bans - makes democracy not possible. GP stated this. Parent replied with a list of scenarios where violence created progress, albeit none of which featured universal democracy before the violence. IOW, they are loudly agreeing with each other. | | |
| ▲ | komali2 5 days ago | parent [-] | | At least in the case of the USA, then, there's still no universal democracy. Corporations have far more powerful and influence, in basically every election you can only vote for a neoliberal, and plenty of people get disenfranchised. | | |
| ▲ | ethbr1 5 days ago | parent [-] | | It seems like bike-shedding to equate complete lack of franchise with vote dilution. They are very different levels of democratic access. |
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| ▲ | rbanffy 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Attacks on free speech - like social media censorship or bans - makes democracy not possible The use of social media to spread misinformation with a specific agenda also makes democracy impossible. There has to be a line, however fuzzy, somewhere. Remember Trump used misinformation to steer a crowd who then stormed the Capitol. Incitement should never be covered by free speech protection. |
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| ▲ | Karrot_Kream 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Nepal isn't a good comparison to the US. Nepal has been extremely politically unstable now for years and was wracked by a giant earthquake too. Nepal doesn't have stable governing institutions. In 2001 a disgruntled member of the royal family massacred the rest of the family, kicking off 20 years of instability. | |
| ▲ | tootie 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Didn't the government open fire on protesters killing over a dozen people the day before the protesters turned violent? | |
| ▲ | cakealert 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Translation: The government lost support of the military. GenZ were allowed to topple the government. | |
| ▲ | smeeger 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | corruption is only made worse by angry mobs tearing things down. what is erected afterwards is almost always worse ironically. the only way corruption is reduced is citizens becoming smarter somehow and slowly allowing the elite to get away with less and less bad behaviour while also creating an intelligent incentive structure for the elites as well as everyone else to drive productive, pro-social behaviour. whats going on in most of the world and nepal is the opposite of that | | |
| ▲ | ImPostingOnHN 5 days ago | parent [-] | | As you stated, one avenue of resolution has the prerequisite that 'citizens become smarter somehow', however that seems unlikely, particularly since the ruling power is actively sabotaging education. | | |
| ▲ | smeeger 4 days ago | parent [-] | | the common people are cheering on the damage so i wouldnt say it meets the criteria of sabotage. more like enabling it. and yes its unlikely thats why things are so terrible |
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| ▲ | w10-1 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Kudos for citing actual facts/studies. But these are about sentiment, which in a digital age where personality has been reduced to opinion and thus amplified for effect, might be both manipulated and less significant. By contrast, acts of bombings and other political violence were both more common and widespread in the 1970's and 1980's than now.[1] In those cases, people took great personal risks. [Edit: removed Nepal, mentioned in other comments] [1] https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/OPSR_TP... |
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| ▲ | autoexec 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| "threatening or committing violence" could mean almost anything.
It isn't hard to find evidence of people (especially young ones) equating speech with violence. I imagine that "I support assassination to drive change" would be even less popular. |
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| ▲ | zdragnar 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Have we already forgotten the absurd amount of support the murderer of the CEO of UnitedHealthcare? Maybe it wasn't 23%, but it was certainly not insignificant. > It isn't hard to find evidence of people (especially young ones) equating speech with violence. I don't think anyone conflates the phrase "threatening or committing violence" with "threatening or committing calling you a bad name". Yes, there's too much equating speech and violence, but the particular wording of threatening or committing imho is largely still reserved for the physical variety. | | |
| ▲ | lores 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | If a mafia boss orders a hit, he is no less guilty than the one who pulls the trigger. If a CEO orders vital funds to be withheld from those who are entitled to them, knowing many will die, he is similarly guilty of murder. The mafia boss can be sent to jail, the CEO won't. The corporate veil may keep you pristine inside the cynical circles of power, but all the people see is impunity. When murderers act with impunity, what redress is there but counter-violence? It is unfortunate, but many people have lost hope the system can change, so revolution is getting more likely, and revolutions are seldom peaceful. | | |
| ▲ | DecoySalamander 5 days ago | parent [-] | | The CEO of a healthcare insurer is not involved in "withholding" funds. At best, he sets up policies that distribute a limited amount of funds among millions of claimants who are all in need of help to some degree, but he does that job poorly. If this juvenile logic is applied further, aren't you guilty of the same crime? There are people in need of life-saving drugs and treatments, yet you're just sitting behind your computer withholding funds. | | |
| ▲ | ImPostingOnHN 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | This sounds like airlines saying they have a right to bump people who paid for a ticket because the airlines couldn't figure out a business model that earned them an acceptable amounts of money without doing it. UHC does that, except instead of denying you the seat you paid for, they deny you care you paid for, and you suffer and die. The problem is the conclusion that we must allow this so that their business economics can be sound, so that they can continue to exist. We should instead conclude that being horrible to people is bad, and any business model that requires it should not exist. Brian saw a company that he knew ahead of time was horrible to people, that he knew ahead of time decided that many of their customers must die, and indeed this was critical to the company's economics and business model, and thought, 'You know what? I want to be a part of that. I like that so much that I want to be the one in charge of it.' Why that job, instead of the millions of others? Well, we can take a gue$$. He had to make his nut, no matter who he hurt along the way, right? Meanwhile, as an arguably less-horrible person, I see a job posting for startups that use AI to scan terminal cancer patient records for timely funeral business leads in exchange for offering crypto credits that can be applied towards a coupon for palliative care AI chat or whatever, or makes drones and AI systems for tracking and identifying government critics for later persecution, and I have to click 'next' because my soul is worth more than the salary. What a fuckin' chump I am. | | |
| ▲ | AceyMan 4 days ago | parent [-] | | Airlines operate under completely different optimization (game) theory, which makes for an absolutely horrible choice in your analogy. |
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| ▲ | lores 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | 1/ There is no "distribute a limited amount of funds". There is even less a "distribute a limited amount of funds after shareholder profit and massive executive paychecks". Customers have bought coverage; if the company overissued policies, they make a loss, or they go bankrupt and their own insurers cover the existing claims. Anything else is privatised profit and socialised losses, which even a callous teenager just blown away by their first glimpse at Ayn Rand should find objectionable. 2/ I carefully said "entitled to" to avoid a debate about personal responsibility and limit the conversation to "paid for a life-saving service they did not receive", which everyone will agree is wrong. 3/ If you think the CEO did not issue orders to make it as difficult to claim as possible, and drag the process as much as possible, you are a fool. Denying help to a human is one thing. Denying them help after they paid for the help so you can buy a yacht another thing entirely. |
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| ▲ | elcritch 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Still the trend of calling speech a form of violence likely has the counter effect of legitimizing violence. It’s not hard to go from “speech is violence” thoughts to “well they used violence (speech) against us so it’s okay if I use violence (physical) against them”. | | |
| ▲ | kbelder 4 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Absolutely, and I am sure that is exactly why speech is claimed to be violence. It's to enable and legitimize violent retribution. | |
| ▲ | krapp 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | zdragnar 5 days ago | parent [-] | | This is nonsense; assaulting and killing people is illegal except in self defense. In no way whatsoever does the second amendment legitimize violence. | | |
| ▲ | krapp 5 days ago | parent [-] | | The second amendment literally defines a free state by its capacity for armed revolt, in other words, by violence. Spend ten seconds around American gun culture. American gun owners absolutely believe the second amendment justifies violence, and Americans have believed as much for two centuries. Hell Thomas Jefferson thought any healthy democracy should have an uprising every 20 years or so. That it happens to be illegal to shoot people under most circumstances is merely a formality. The founding fathers absolutely intended popular violence to be an integral part of the American political system, as a counterbalance to the potential violence of the state, because they inherently mistrusted the state. The only debatable facet of this is what specifically they meant by "militia." Then again, the constitution was written when drawing and quartering was still practiced, along with slavery, and before the industrial revolution. Maybe the intent of the founding fathers as regards the second amendment no longer has a place in modern society. Unfortunately it can't be touched without triggering a full scale civil war so we're stuck with it and its consequences. | | |
| ▲ | zdragnar 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > The only debatable facet of this is what specifically they meant by "militia." There's not too much to debate there; many militias existed at the time. Every state had them! Further, every border was susceptible to foreign aggression, and the frontier borders were too vast to be policed or patrolled by soldiers to protect civilians from war or banditry. Civilians needed to be able to protect themselves, and the militias needed people who could shoot prior to enlisting, as the nation was constantly under threat. > The founding fathers absolutely intended popular violence to be an integral part of the American political system This is also not broadly true, barring some choice quotes intended to stir up support for the war. It was intended as a last resort against a tyrannical government. The assassinations of presidents have no legal foundation within the Constitution itself, despite it happening. Likewise, American gun culture doesn't promote assassinating politicians, but rather being prepared in case of the fall of the Constitution itself. France would be a much better example of a country that embraces violence as a matter of course in politics. | | | |
| ▲ | hollerith 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | >The second amendment literally defines a free state by its capacity for armed revolt Aren't you confusing the text[1] with what one person, namely Thomas Jefferson, said about it? [1] "A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed." | | |
| ▲ | krapp 5 days ago | parent [-] | | >Aren't you confusing the text[1] with what one person, namely Thomas Jefferson, said about it? If I am, then so are the Supreme Court, the NRA, militia groups, the Republican Party and much of the country. At some point one has to admit that the purpose of a system is what it does and the American system does violence very well. |
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| ▲ | cryptonector 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The second amendment literally defines a free state by its capacity for armed revolt, in other words, by violence. Armed revolt is something people all over the political spectrum always want to leave the door open to (except once they have total power). |
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| ▲ | motorest 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Have we already forgotten the absurd amount of support the murderer of the CEO of UnitedHealthcare? I hope not, because that would mean people would already forgot why supporters were describing it as reacting towards violence with violence. | |
| ▲ | pxc 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Depends on what you consider to be "support", but this report is pretty interesting and says something like 24% of US adults sympathize greatly with Mangione, and 63% have some non-zero level of sympathy for him. Outright approval for his actions isn't directly quantified by this poll but is undoubtedly lower than that 24% figure. One interesting thing is sympathy for Mangione doesn't seem very strongly influenced by income level or level of education. The two biggest mediators seem to be political alignment and age. It seems the vast majority of US adults under 50 have a significant amount of sympathy for him, with only 28% expressing no sympathy at all. https://www.cloudresearch.com/resources/blog/mangione-suppor... | |
| ▲ | hattmall 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I think it would be much higher than 23%. I think most people would argue justification in using violence to oppose violence. The question would be what percent view the utilization of profit driven policy resulting in deaths as violence, and I think that too is pretty high. | | | |
| ▲ | honeybadger1 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | probably the best point that has been made is that there are a lot of younger people who think killing someone is a way to solve a conflict or problem | |
| ▲ | SV_BubbleTime 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | >Have we already forgotten the absurd amount of support the murderer of the CEO of UnitedHealthcare? Oh yea. A guy was murdered with an illegal handgun and an illegal silencer. and not one single Democrat usually so hot to call for more gun control did so. Must have slipped their minds. | | |
| ▲ | Fezzik 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I’d encourage you to do a bit more research. An entire state banned ghost guns and bump stocks following the CEO’s murder, just 9 days after it happened… and it was Democrats, as it always has been, that passed the law over majority Republican objection. You can find loads of articles about Democrats continuing to push for gun reform. https://bridgemi.com/michigan-government/gun-reforms-among-m... | | |
| ▲ | SV_BubbleTime 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Thanks, but I live here. Michigan has been trying to ban 3D printed guns for years before UnitedHealth CEO was murdered. That was just during the session and a coincidence, not cause. | | |
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| ▲ | joecool1029 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > I imagine that "I support assassination to drive change" would be even less popular. Except for in Japan? I noticed in all those reports Japan was at or near the bottom of countries measured for trust in their government. I was never able to find polling with regard to sentiment on Shinzo Abe's assassination but the majority of the country opposed the state funeral for him: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Shinzo_Abe#Re... | | |
| ▲ | lmm 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Opposing his state funeral is very different from supporting his assassination. | |
| ▲ | soraminazuki 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Sure he was a right wing divisive figure and I'm not saying that wasn't a factor, but opposition to the state funeral had more to do with the use of taxpayer money IMO. | | |
| ▲ | PaulHoule 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | It was more than that. A remarkable number of Japanese came to the conclusion that the shooter was right about the relationship between the ruling party and the Moonies. | |
| ▲ | vkou 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | His public image took a nosedive after his death. I think that had far more to do with it than saving a few yen. | | |
| ▲ | soraminazuki 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I know, but there would've been opposition to a state funeral regardless. The Japanese public perceived the state funeral and the decision-making process behind it as corrupt. Here's a Japanese article from when the decision was made. Note that the scandal leading to his assassination, which was a significant issue in its own right, isn't even mentioned. That's because the decision to hold a state funeral was itself very scandalous. https://www.nhk.or.jp/politics/articles/feature/89302.html | | |
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| ▲ | Lerc 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It will be a range of opinions within that area, but even at the tail there are a concerning number of people. One person in a thousand prepared to commit violence for political ends can be enough to turn a country into chaos. | | |
| ▲ | Aeolun 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Because one person in a thousand is equivalent to a small military force. | | |
| ▲ | greedo 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | That would be much larger than a "small" force. In the US that would approach the size of the active duty Army. | |
| ▲ | collingreen 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Only if armed and organized |
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| ▲ | ipython 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | If you read the linked pdf, “attack someone online” is a separate subcategory (27%) | |
| ▲ | toughquestion 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [dead] | |
| ▲ | cryptonector 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > It isn't hard to find evidence of people (especially young ones) equating speech with violence. That incites violence. Thinking we're oppressed when we're living lives that are immensely better than that of any oppressor of the past... We must stop that. |
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| ▲ | davidguetta 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Its sad but most gouvernement also truly don't change (especially when they protect class inequalities) unless theres an actual threat of actual violence through social upset. I tell you that as a french person. The myth of possible peaceful changes at the political level is nothing but a myth precisely. Shooting people like kirk does not seem particularly useful for such goals tho |
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| ▲ | mothballed 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Is it possible that violence is just more rational for today's 18-34 y/o than it was at some other points in recent history? |
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| ▲ | Lerc 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | The argument against using violence to achieve you ends is that if everyone does it, it is bad for everyone. If those who do it do not face repercussions then they will gain undue advantage, motivating everyone to match their actions, which again, is bad for everyone. The solution is the social contract and the rule of law. If enough people agree that anyone taking that path should face repercussions sufficient to not grant a net advantage, then enforcement of the law prevents others from taking the path of violence to reach parity with the violent When the rule of law is eroded, which it has been, in the US and worldwide. Then it does indeed become more rational to use violence to restore the rule of law. Unfortunately it also increases the motivation towards violence for personal gain, that makes the task of restoring the rule of law all that more difficult. Countries have spent years trying to recover that stability once it is lost. | | |
| ▲ | tossandthrow 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Rule of law in itself is not a worthwhile institution - and is not enough to keep violence at distance. You need protection, non corruption and a level of equality to be protected by that rule of law. I think that is what mostly has been eroded - also the poorest 10% need a reason to believe in rule of law. | | |
| ▲ | ethbr1 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Rule of law is necessary but not sufficient. The others don't matter if it's lacking, because social contracts without contracts meaning anything are worthless. | |
| ▲ | 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | noduerme 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | You make a good point. For example, the rule of law in North Korea or Equatorial Guinea is whatever the HMFIC says it is. And that's written in law, the police and courts enforce it, all proper and aboveboard in a legalistic sense. Just not in common sense. As far as the poorest 10%, though: There is always a poorest 10%. And a poorest 50%. If you're in the middle class or higher, you have every reason to prevent the poor from revolting and taking what you have. This can be accomplished by a vast array of carrots and sticks. Some countries lean more toward the carrot - we call them liberal democracies. Autocratic states use the stick. But although greater wealth inequality may be a good indicator of the tendency of the lowest 10% to become lawless, it is not a good indicator of which method is used to keep them in check. Cuba has pretty amazingly low levels of wealth inequality - essentially everyone's poor. Keeping them from rebelling, however, is all stick, precisely because any kind of economic carrot would undermine the philosophy that it's better for everyone to be poor than to have wealth inequality. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Very good points. For the most part, the bottom 10% in most liberal democracies are much better off than most people in most autocratic states. Wealth inequality isn't great but the existence of wealthy people in successful countries helps fund service for the entire population. Yet I saw a poster the other day titled "class warfare" with a picture of graveyard saying that's where the "rich" will be buried. People don't understand at all how counties and economies work and how this system we live in works vs. the alternatives (I'm in Canada btw). | | |
| ▲ | TFYS 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | > Wealth inequality isn't great but the existence of wealthy people in successful countries helps fund service for the entire population. I think it does the opposite. Those services were mostly built during the last century after the war when conditions were just right for people to get those policies implemented. Since then the wealthy have mostly been lobbying against those services, dodging taxes, spreading propaganda justifying the inequality, etc. Now we're seeing the results of this work by the wealthy. I also think it's wrong to assume the wealthy are the creators of that wealth just because they have it. It can also be the result of using positions of power to get a larger share of a pie baked by a lot of people. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 5 days ago | parent [-] | | This is factually not true. For example: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=111000... The top 1% of highest income in Canada pays 21-22% of the taxes. Their share of the income is about 10%. So they "rich" are paying for services everyone else is getting. The top 10% pay 54% (!) of the taxes. Their share of income is about 34%. The top 0.1% pays about 8-9% of the taxes. So in Canada the rich are absolutely paying for the services everyone else gets. That's before accounting for their indirect contributions to the economy by running businesses, employing people, taxes paid by companies, etc. Maybe some random billionaire has some scheme that reduces their taxes. But most of the the rich pay way more taxes than others. | | |
| ▲ | TFYS 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I wouldn't call people working for a salary rich, which most of the people in those groups are. They pay plenty of taxes and many of them probably support funding public services as well. I meant the actually wealthy, who use their political power to reduce those services and the taxes they need to pay. They don't help fund them unless they are forced to, and currently they are not because the political power of their wealth has become larger than the political power of regular people. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Most people in the top 0.1% are quite rich. There are quite a few CEOs and founders of large companies that are billionaires from income they got from those companies (and paid taxes on). Maybe you need to give me more examples. Who are "actually wealthy" people in Canada who do not pay any taxes whatsoever and contribute nothing to the local economy/country? e.g. they avoid paying GST or HST, they avoid paying property taxes, they don't pay capital gains taxes? I do agree that some rich people (and also not rich people) campaign for a smaller government and less taxes. I don't think that's an unreasonable position. There is a sweet spot for taxation and taxes in Canada are quite high. It's not a zero sum game (e.g. we have people leaving Canada to go to lower tax countries like the US). | | |
| ▲ | tossandthrow 5 days ago | parent [-] | | There are many books on this, you can start by picking up eg. Marianna mazucato and rutger bregmann to get some contemporary views. In unequal societies governance is controlled by less people and they tend to divert money into activities that increase their wealth instead of benefitting everyone - this has in particular happened in the west over the past 40 years. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 4 days ago | parent [-] | | Show me the data. Everything I see around me, in data and anecdotally, tells me that in my unequal society (Canada) everyone is doing better and governance is not controlled by rich people. The current government that won the elections would not be the preferred government of the ultra rich who want to make a little more money on the backs of everything else (which honestly is not a thing as far I can tell). Marianna Mazucato's writings look interesting but I'd have to dig in more. Rutger Bregman seems like much less of an expert in the domain and I'm not sure his ideas vibe with me but might take a look. | | |
| ▲ | TFYS 4 days ago | parent [-] | | Thomas Piketty has collected that data. He showed that the rate of return for capital is larger than the rate of growth, meaning capital owners are getting an ever increasing share of the economic output. Income inequality doesn't really account for this, look into wealth inequality. The wealthy are also good at hiding their wealth to avoid taxation and publicity, I'm not sure how much the studies consider that. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 2 days ago | parent [-] | | That is the wrong question to ask and. "The wealthy are hiding their wealth" sounds like a conspiracy theory. I think we have pretty good visibility into the really wealthy (e.g. we know pretty well who is on the short list of billionaires in Canada and more or less what they own). Banks report any movement of money >$10k, real estate is tracked, company ownership is tracked. That there is some large number of really wealthy people hiding in plain sight doesn't compute. We can't disprove the idea that some person living on the streets in East Vancouver is actually a billionaire hiding their wealth but even if so that percentage of those people in the total population isn't going to move the needle vs. all the known rich people who can't really "hide". If there are ways to legally not pay taxes then we'd hear about them and use them. Billionaires do have some options most of us can't pursue but I think the idea that the rich hide their wealth and don't pay taxes is mostly a myth. Prove me wrong... Here's some data to try and support my claim: https://www.statista.com/statistics/467384/percentage-of-pop... The % of the population in low income families has been declining. Here's a broader time horizon: https://www.statista.com/statistics/467276/number-of-persons... We'd need to plot that against income/wealth inequality but I expect that has increased over this period. This isn't consistent across Canada, for example in Alberta:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/583120/low-income-popula... There's virtually no movement since 1976 (the percentage is somewhat lower today). I'm assuming the threshold for low income represents some more or less equal standard of living. We can look at some other metrics like life expectancy: https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/can/can... This has consistently improved since the 1950's which doesn't seem to support the theory that the broad population is doing worse. If you think you have a better metric that shows that most people are worse off due to the increasing wealth/income gap then let's see it. Random by the way is that I just saw an article today about the wealth distribution in Canada and the data point there was that the top percentiles wealth has declined since 2019. Obviously the top 0.1%/1%/10% still own a lot of the total wealth (I think the figure was something like 56% of the wealth in the top 10%) but that's what you'd expect in a free capitalist system. ( I think the article was related to this report: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/13-605-x/2025001/article... ) Another random by the way observation is that I think the ability of some random person to get ahead is probably unprecedented. Never has knowledge been so accessible (Internet) and various means of production be so accessible and cheap (content creators, apps, prototyping equipment, etc.). |
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| ▲ | bluecheese452 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | So their after tax income is far higher than their share of the population? Give me 50% of a country’s income and I will be more than happy to pay 60% of the tax. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Why should they pay for more than they get? Not fair. Start a successful business, take some chances, and maybe you'll pay more tax. Heck- many software engineers are likely in the top 10% in Canada. | |
| ▲ | naijaboiler 3 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Heck I will gladly pay 90% |
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| ▲ | Jepacor 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The percentages really don't tell you that much. To illustrate with an extreme exemple, if the top 0.1% earns a million, and the government taxes a single dollar on them and nothing on anyone else, the top 0.1% would pay 100% of the taxes. But it obviously would not be enough to help people in need. I don't know the particular situation for Canada, but I know that welfare benefits are getting worse in my country (France) | |
| ▲ | ratelimitsteve 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | when you calculate their share of wealth you only include income. when you calculate their share of taxes do you only include income tax? | |
| ▲ | tossandthrow 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Try for just one minute and don't think about this in terms of money, and you will see why your argument is completely failing. It is clear that one rich person who leisurely spend their morning getting ready for a business meeting does not provide any care to any elderly. Your comment is clear example of the type of misinformation that got us here. In the end money is an institution. You can only get things done, I if someone are willing to take money for work. And that only works when there is a certain level og equality. |
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| ▲ | skinnymuch 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Interesting how this is always about how liberal democracy (namely European supremacist nations like yours) who control the world as the global north and are the primary reasons for the “autocracy” I don’t know where you can even think the bottom 10% of the west/liberal democracies are better than “most” in those other countries. That’s a wild thing to think. Seems like typical western centrism and chauvinism. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Let's look at one example. The average income in Egypt is ~$1900 USD a year (it's probably worse now but this is a number I've seen). Low income threshold in Canada is about $20k (EDIT: CAD) a year and that's about the bottom 10%. So not sure what your point is re: wild thing to think. Do you think the average Egyptian is better off than the low 10% Canadian? How is it that because liberal democracies "control the world" that Egypt is forced to be an autocracy? Do they have no agency? If Liberal democracies so control the world how come some countries have been able to do better (China e.g.) | | |
| ▲ | noduerme 2 days ago | parent [-] | | >> How is it that because liberal democracies "control the world" that Egypt is forced to be an autocracy? Do they have no agency? This is exactly how I would have responded to the above comment. I'd just add that there is tons of evidence for liberal democracies attempting to help or entice those countries to become less corrupt, more transparent and more democratic. Saying that countries that have been independent of colonial rule for a hundred years, which incidentally were mostly handed democratic systems, have become autocracies because of liberal democracies want them that way is sheer insanity. Your point about agency should be the standard rebuttal to all forms of third-worldism that attempt to blame homegrown problems on external actors. But having someone external to blame for homegrown repression isn't just post-hoc rationalization. It actually serves to reinforce the oppression in those states, both as a pressure-release valve for autocrats, and the failure to evaluate internal problems serves as an underlying reason why they have not successfully overthrown those regimes and transitioned to democracy. Mostly, though, that type of talk comes out of the mouths of Westerners who know nothing about the situation in, e.g. Egypt. |
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| ▲ | tossandthrow 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | As sibling commentors say, this is just not true. As a society we have a capacity to work, and we divide that work using money. Your observation thst rich people pay for services is indicative of an oligarchy. When rich people pay, then it is not a plethora or small businesses, a democratic chooses government, or a consortium of investors bundling together to do something great. You are literally pointing out the failure of the west. | | |
| ▲ | YZF 4 days ago | parent [-] | | I don't think so. This is the success of the west. It's the least worse of all the other alternatives. Which other option has worked out better for everyone? Oligarchy would be the rich controlling the countries in the west. Other than in people's imagination and conspiracies there is no evidence of that actually happening. Was Trump the favorite candidate of the rich in the US? I very much doubt it. Do the rich gain more influence with their money - sure. But not more influence then the rest of the population. The 99.9% have more influence than the 0.1% in aggregate. The west is the only place on this planet where the corrupt rich do not have absolute control (see Putin). Is it perfect, no? Is it better than those failed attempts to make everyone equal, strong yes. The top 0.1%, 1%, 10% are still a lot of people. This includes many successful small businesses, it includes large businesses, it includes many. Those people have varied opinions on how countries should be run, just like all of us. But they also have a vested interest in having a safe and free and well functioning society. |
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| ▲ | efreak 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Relevant: > Hate begets hate; violence begets violence[...]Our aim must never be to defeat or humiliate[...]but to win[...]friendship and understanding. > The ultimate weakness of violence is that it is a descending spiral begetting the very thing it seeks to destroy, instead of diminishing evil, it multiplies it. Through violence you may murder the liar, but you cannot murder the lie, nor establish the truth. Through violence you may murder the hater, but you do not murder hate. In fact, violence merely increases hate. Returning violence for violence multiplies violence[...] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Violence_begets_violence#Words.... | |
| ▲ | Aeolun 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It is, however, frequently the way by which countries reset themselves. | |
| ▲ | von_lohengramm 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The argument against using violence to achieve you ends is that if everyone does it, it is bad for everyone. If you subscribe to Kant perhaps, but most people's argument against violence (and morality in general) is probably not Kantian. | | |
| ▲ | Lerc 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Well if surveys are to believed the predominant view in the US is that morality is dictated by God. I'm skeptical, but also, I have met people like that. I think the argument for not committing violence when you are able to do so without any form of repercussion comes down to a morality issue, you don't do it because it is wrong. That works at an individual level, At a societal level you cannot assume all people to be moral. When faced with the inevitability of not all people being moral (or not agree on the same set of morals) you need a secondary reason to prevent violence. I suspect quite a lot of people would accept the morality of violence to prevent more violence. That is where individual morality might weigh in on the aspect of whether violence is appropriate to establish or protect the rule of law. |
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| ▲ | molsongolden 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | They also might be least aware of the consequences as they've grown up during the least violent time in US and human history. | | |
| ▲ | alickz 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I think a lot of them have a very romantic view about revolutions and their place in them Revolutions harm the poor and the disabled far more than they harm the able bodied and the privileged No one is making insulin when society collapses |
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| ▲ | ants_everywhere 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | unlikely. A more likely explanation is that pro-violence propaganda began swamping social media in 2016, which is 9 years ago. 18 year olds have been exposed to it nonstop since they were 9 and 34 year olds since they were 25. The people who are disposed to anger and violence move along the radicalization sales funnel relatively slowly. But already once you've shown interest, you start seeing increasingly angry content and only angry content. There is a lot of rhetoric specifically telling people they should be angry, should not try to help things, and should resort to violence, and actively get others to promote violence. Being surrounded socially by that day in and day out is a challenge to anyone, and if you're predisposed to anger it can become intoxicating. A lot of people want to say marketing doesn't work or that filter bubbles don't matter. But the bare facts are that we've had nearly a decade of multiple military intelligence agencies running nonstop campaigns promoting violent ideology in the US. And it would be naive to think that didn't make a difference. The same sort of campaigns were run at a smaller scale during the Cold War and have been successful in provoking hot wars. | | |
| ▲ | voidhorse 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I think you're right. Couple it with the increasing isolation driven by everyone being online 24/7 in lieu of interacting with each other in person and you have a recipe for disaster. Even though it's possible to be social on the internet, it has a strong distance effect and a lot of groups benefit by forging internet bonds over hatred, criticism, or dehumanization of others (who cares about the "normies"). In addition, in many cases one doesn't even need to interact with people for most needs (amazon etc) further contributing to isolation and the illusion that you don't need others. It's the perfect storm to make the barrier to violence really low—it's easy when you have no connection to the victims and you see them as less than human or as objects "npcs". | | |
| ▲ | ants_everywhere 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Your mention of "normies" and "npcs" reminds me of an unfortunate change I saw happen in autistic communities a few years ago. Those spaces used to be great places for people to ask questions, share interests, and find relief in a community that understood them. But over just a year or two, the whole atmosphere flipped. The focus turned from mutual support to a shared antagonism toward neurotypical people, who were often dehumanized. It was heartbreaking to watch. Long-time members, people who were just grateful to finally have a place to belong, were suddenly told they weren't welcome anymore if they weren't angry enough. That anger became a tool to police the community, and many of the original, supportive spaces were lost. | | |
| ▲ | collingreen 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I am not in these spaces so it's nice to get your summary. I agree that is tragic. I've wondered about this kind of shift being an inevitable response to the growing online trope of autism being the boogeyman used to shill everything from not getting vaccinated to making your kids drink your urine. The head of us health regularly talks about autistic people as a terrible tragedy inflicted on their parents and a net negative to society. I expect that kind of rhetoric would fuel hostility across any group. | | |
| ▲ | ants_everywhere 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I don't know that but it predates the current head of US health being a major public figure. At the time I did some data analysis on the usernames of people promoting these ideas. Before the Reddit API changes you could get statistics on subs that had an overlap of users. What I noticed was there was an overlap with fringe political subs. The autistic subs with more anger issues had more fringe political people in it and as the subs became angrier the overlap increased. Inevitably the most vocal and pushy angry people were active in those political subs. You can see similar things with the angrier comments on HN. I don't think it's an inevitable response to the things you mention. But it may be related. For example there's the term "weaponized autism" [e.g. 0]. That is, politically fringe and extreme groups talk and joke regularly about weaponizing autistic people as trolls. I think the autism forums became part of the recruiting funnel for this sort of extremism. At least that's the hypothesis that seemed to best explain all the factors. [0] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35947316/ # I don't know if this paper or journal are any good. It's just the top hit that seemed relevant. One of the authors is Simon Baron Cohen, a well known autism researcher. | | |
| ▲ | Karrot_Kream 4 days ago | parent [-] | | I'm very sympathetic to this as well but I'm curious if you know any leads on research investigating this area as I hesitate to draw a conclusion with a feeling. I participate in a lot of hobbies that have autistic folks in it and I watched the same anger spread into those communities along with the predictable good-vs-evil rhetoric that autistic folks tend to fall into. | | |
| ▲ | ants_everywhere 4 days ago | parent [-] | | Specifically about autism, I don't. There is an academic literature on trolling and social media, which you can find on google scholar or talking to ChatGPT or Gemini for introduction points. The papers I've read haven't been outstanding, but it's better than nothing. I thought about building tools to track it on Reddit, but with the API changes most of the existing tools have been shut down. There also used to be sites that tracked foreign influence activity but they've mostly stopped from what I can tell. I did use some of those tools to track inorganic activity in other forums (not autistic spaces at the time) and got a feel for what inorganic activity looked like. Then when I saw the changes in autistic spaces I was able to see the patterns I had already seen elsewhere. On Reddit at least, what usually happens is trolls try to become moderators. Or, failing that, they complain about moderators and fork the subreddit to a new sub they can moderate. Typically they'll show up as unproblematic power users for a few months before it becomes clear they're trolls. Once they have moderation powers it's basically over. At any rate, with LLMs it's impossible to track now. Your best bet if you're interested is to study how it works in known cases and then use your own judgment to decide if what you're seeing matches that pattern. | | |
| ▲ | Karrot_Kream 4 days ago | parent [-] | | You should totally write up what you were able to get. It's always helpful to understand how these kinds of influence campaigns start. At the very least researchers can build models off older insights even though places like Reddit are now closed off. | | |
| ▲ | ants_everywhere 4 days ago | parent [-] | | thanks for the suggestion, I am planning to at some point. or at possibly make a video about it. |
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| ▲ | mothballed 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | >A lot of people want to say marketing doesn't work or that filter bubbles don't matter. But the bare facts are that we've had nearly a decade of multiple military intelligence agencies running nonstop campaigns promoting violent ideology in the US. And it would be naive to think that didn't make a difference. Hmm, interesting thesis. I'm aware something like half of the Whitmer Kidnapping plotters were feds/informants, to the point a few were exonerated in trial. There's certainly some evidence the government is intentionally provoking violent actors. | | |
| ▲ | ethbr1 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I believe parent was referring to the US government and other national governments. It's on record that Russian and Chinese propaganda campaigns in the US were aimed at sowing division generally, more so than any particular viewpoint. | | |
| ▲ | ants_everywhere 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Yes that's correct. In particular, not just run of the mill division, but impersonating right and left wing militants both calling for violence. For example, just one that turned up at the top of a quick Google search > And the analysis shows that everyone from the former president, Dmitry Medvedev, as well as military bloggers, lifestyle influencers and bots, as you mentioned, are all pushing this narrative that the U.S. is on the brink of civil war and thus Texas should secede from the United States, and that Russia will be there to support this. https://www.kut.org/texasstandard/2024-02-14/russian-propaga... |
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| ▲ | throwaway48476 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Government employees are just trying to get promoted. So they entrap crazy people that they can then stop. |
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| ▲ | twoodfin 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Rational by what calculus? | |
| ▲ | throwaway250624 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [flagged] | |
| ▲ | philistine 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | ETH_start 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | There are record low deaths from extreme weather: https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-65673961 | |
| ▲ | xvector 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | This kind of dooming extremist rhetoric is why we are where we are today. No, it is not the "last generation of a functioning world" and we will solve climate change like we solve every other problem. | | |
| ▲ | collingreen 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | There is a lot of info out there about the long term damage and destabilization driven by climate change. Telling people it doesn't matter is rude at best and dangerous at worst. Even your own flippant dismissal has holes though - what problem like every other problem have we solved well? Especially at this scale? History is full of nasty times; trying to avoid them isn't extremist rhetoric and calling it that is shitty. | |
| ▲ | sterlind 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > No, it is not the "last generation of a functioning world" and we will solve climate change like we solve every other problem. half-assedly, far too late and at tremendous cost, after multiple wars. but we will survive. | |
| ▲ | swagmoney1606 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | How? | | |
| ▲ | myroon5 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Emission offsetting currently only costs ~$50/human/yr: https://founderspledge.com/research/climate-and-lifestyle-re... | | |
| ▲ | bccdee 5 days ago | parent [-] | | When you purchase a "carbon offset," you are paying someone not to emit carbon that they otherwise would have emitted. You're not getting rid of any actual emissions. The current marginal cost of offsets is $50/person/year because nobody buys them. But if we all paid each other not to emit any carbon, what would the cars run on? Certainly you couldn't pay a person $50/year to stop using any transportation or power. Offsets are a dead end. | | |
| ▲ | xvector 5 days ago | parent [-] | | This is incorrect, offsetting also includes carbon capture through a variety of mechanisms (often trees). | | |
| ▲ | bccdee 5 days ago | parent [-] | | It can include that. But we also don't have a carbon capture method that scales to the point that it could balance out all our emissions, so tree-planting doesn't scale either. |
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| ▲ | chipsrafferty 4 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | Most scientists agree that we won't solve it. |
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| ▲ | BJones12 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | gnarlouse 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I don't think this is the right way to think about it. This is short term thinking--it doesn't solve the problem. This is just the road to more gun violence. | | |
| ▲ | yetihehe 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > it doesn't solve the problem. The problem is lack of long-term thinking. How do you instill long-term thinking when the people who should instill it have a lack of long-term thinking? Removing them from their positions is one solution. What others do you have? | | |
| ▲ | gnarlouse 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > Removing them from their positions Through civil action or through violence? It sounds like you're suggesting violence. | | |
| ▲ | yetihehe 4 days ago | parent [-] | | No, I suggest removing them through voting them out and voting for people who don't lack long-term thinking. I think this is the best way. But looks like it doesn't work. What do you suggest to do instead? | | |
| ▲ | gnarlouse 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Cool down politics, reject demonization, abandon your jersey, vote for politicians who demonstrate a track-record of putting people first. There are smart people on both sides of the aisle. The majority of people on either side of the aisle (I'm referring to general citizenry, though I think politicians, to a lesser extent, this also applies) are *good people*, who happen to come from different backgrounds and hence have differing motivations. These people are your neighbors, and we've all been participating in this insane social experiment where the box in the living room, or more contemporarily your hand, tells you about the monsters on the other team. It's precisely why a kid--incapable of the same long-term thinking for which you advocated--just made things a whole lot more distressing for all of us. The news cycles are designed to divide and separate us, and then the politicians play Risk with the political map on "who can we convince, who can we lock into our ideology". Both liberals and conservatives are guilty. Why do you think the republican party--which summarily rejected Trump in 2015--has turned into the MAGA machine it has today? Votes. The way it's fed to us is a sort of perverse culture war: who has the better culture: Bootstrapping Conservative White-nationalist Christians, or Socialist Neoliberal Atheist LGBTQIA+? It's an ill-formed question because first of all it's not remotely posed in good faith, and second of all even if it were in good faith, it's completely subjective in its criterion, so it's unanswerable. The only answer is to "Turn the TV off", as it were. No surprise then that I sit somewhere in the center, because I'm routinely bugged by good ideas on both sides of the aisle, though the noise. Not just from politicans, but from neighbors and activists. I've tried being hard democrat, I've tried being hard republican. The truth is "being a democrat" and "being a republican" is a stupid fucking jersey to own. Regarding a strict longterm thinker policy: Elon is a long-term thinker. Larry Elison is a long-term thinker. Jeff Bezos is a long-term thinker. JD Vance is a long-term thinker. Peter Thiel is a long-term thinker. None were directly voted for (ok, save Vance), and I believe all are invested in America tearing itself apart so they can construct a technofeudalist society post-civil war, and run off to explore the solar system. Or something. |
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| ▲ | 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | chris_wot 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | That way leads to civil war. | | |
| ▲ | JKCalhoun 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | With States redistricting/gerrymandering, a cold civil war has already begun. | | |
| ▲ | nradov 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Gerrymandering is hardly a new problem or a sign of a civil war, it's literally been happening since near the founding of the Republic. | | |
| ▲ | motorest 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > Gerrymandering is hardly a new problem (...) Gerrymandering is not new, but the overt and direct and very public claims that gerrymandering is being used to push an authoritarian regime against the people's wishes is something recent and very present. |
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| ▲ | tutorialmanager 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | MA gerrymandered their state to 100% dems in the early 90s. Was that the start of the cold civil war? | |
| ▲ | pclmulqdq 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | CuriouslyC 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Being intentionally obtuse to try and inject a political opinion is lame as hell, friend. | | |
| ▲ | pclmulqdq 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I'm not the one injecting politics here - the parent comment did that for me. I'm the one pointing out the hypocrisy. | | |
| ▲ | wewtyflakes 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | No you didn't. You assumed the other poster's intent then straw-manned their position. | | |
| ▲ | pclmulqdq 5 days ago | parent [-] | | We all know (probably including you, but I will give you the benefit of the doubt) that the "cold civil war" comment wasn't about gerrymandering in a general sense, which has been around for a century, but about a specific recent redistricting (and gerrymandering) bill in Texas. The sentence doesn't really make sense if you interpret "gerrymandering and redistricting" in an abstract sense because (1) it's not a new thing and (2) everyone does it. That is why they didn't need to state it to make the reference to the Texas news clear. If you were aware of the Texas news, you would also have drawn the obvious inference. However, equivocating this Texas idiocy with actual political violence (which is what the "cold civil war" comment does) is disturbing at best. | | |
| ▲ | wewtyflakes 5 days ago | parent [-] | | This is not what I was calling out. You made a bad-faith strawman argument, stating something of which I think you knew would be _not_ what the other poster intended (i.e. "I'm glad you agree with me..."). Your point would have been better made if it was posed like "What do you think of redistricting in Illinois and Massachusetts?" That would have stood on its own. | | |
| ▲ | pclmulqdq 5 days ago | parent [-] | | The poster made a comment using imprecise generalities that was intended to imply specifics. When taken as a set of generalities, it seems a lot softer and less politically pointed than it is. I treated what they said as what they wanted to say in order to expose what they meant. A strawman in the common usage of the term involves changing the argument to a weaker version that is not within the text you are arguing with. If you want to suggest that this is fallacious, you could call it a tu quoque fallacy, which was the point of the post. However, when you want to claim the moral high ground to forgive/soften a political assassination, it does matter that you are being a hypocrite about it. | | |
| ▲ | wewtyflakes 4 days ago | parent [-] | | That is a lot of word salad to dance around bad faith arguments. | | |
| ▲ | pclmulqdq 4 days ago | parent [-] | | Responding to a bad-faith argument by pointing out it is bad-faith is generally acceptable. | | |
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| ▲ | anigbrowl 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | What was the active verb in the post you replied to? |
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| ▲ | CuriouslyC 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | We're basically guaranteed to get one if we don't get two blue sweeps (or an independent party that fights the republicans) in the coming elections. The Republicans have rigged the game badly and have been escalating their use of advantage, Democratic states are going to start withholding taxes, and people are going to start taking shots at ICE in the streets. When that happens, it's already too late. | | |
| ▲ | 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | insurancesucks 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | It's rhetoric like this that gets people shot. "If my side doesn't win then the only way forward is violent." We didn't go to war with the Nazis because they wanted a border and were buying people flights home. | | |
| ▲ | nullocator 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | A mega prison in El Salvado frequently described as hell on earth - "home". Ya it's just clean fun border talk and the people black bagged by masked men are surely enjoying their complementary airline pretzels. | |
| ▲ | collingreen 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | > wanted a border and were buying people flights home This is a really really disingenuous way to describe what is happening, which I expect you fully understand. The bit I don't get is _why_ does this smirking, bad faith, intentional misrepresentation happen? What good actually comes from pretending and trying to mislead? I find this kind of thing extremely discouraging. Maybe that's the answer to my question? | | |
| ▲ | bdhe 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | It is a bit ironic to post this in a thread where someone who arguably wielded only words succumbed to someone wielding violence. From Sartre: > Never believe that anti-Semites are completely unaware of the absurdity of their replies. They know that their remarks are frivolous, open to challenge. But they are amusing themselves, for it is their adversary who is obliged to use words responsibly, since he believes in words. The anti-Semites have the right to play. They even like to play with discourse for, by giving ridiculous reasons, they discredit the seriousness of their interlocutors. They delight in acting in bad faith, since they seek not to persuade by sound argument but to intimidate and disconcert. If you press them too closely, they will abruptly fall silent, loftily indicating by some phrase that the time for argument is past. | | |
| ▲ | motorest 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > Never believe that anti-Semites are completely unaware of the absurdity of their replies. They know that their remarks are frivolous, open to challenge. But they are amusing themselves, for it is their adversary who is obliged to use words responsibly, since he believes in words. Here's a very recent example: Russia sending a drone swarm into Poland, and then making all sorts of cynical statements such as "those weren't even our drones" or "they were our drones but it was a false flag operation". |
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| ▲ | watwut 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | It happens, because itnworks well. For years and years, it allowed moderate Republicans to pretend their party goals are something they were not. It allowed center to pretend to themselves both sides are the same. It allowed us all to to just dismiss those who actually read what conservatives say and plan as paranoid. This dishonesty worked well and that is why it was used. |
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| ▲ | jackmottatx 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | aredox 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | akimbostrawman 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I think 1 is too many. How is that in anyway "strocking violence"? I somehow have the feeling you would agree if instead of trans it was white men... | | |
| ▲ | aredox 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | I won't "debate" with someone with so much bad faith he would say with a straight face "1 mass shooting is too many" when there are hundreds every year. Why don't you say the actual number? Why didn't Kirk say the actual number? Because it would make their argument -that trans people are such a menace to society they must be barred from their right to bear arms (for starters, because his hate of trans people was deeper than that)- ridiculous. It was a smear. Point. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politic... | |
| ▲ | aredox 4 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | “You will never live in a society when you have an armed citizenry and you won’t have a single gun death,” Kirk said a week after three children and three adults were killed at the Christian Covenant School in Nashville in 2023. “That is nonsense. It’s drivel. But I am — I think it’s worth it. I think it’s worth (it) to have a cost of, unfortunately, some gun deaths every single year so that we can have the Second Amendment to protect our other God-given rights. That is a prudent deal. It is rational. Nobody talks like this. They live in a complete alternate universe.” |
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| ▲ | brigandish 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | I fail to see how the response you’ve quoted would stoke violence against transgender Americans, but let’s say it could, what would that make the rhetoric Kirk received, given he was the victim of actual violence? | | |
| ▲ | aredox 5 days ago | parent [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | bigmealbigmeal 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I do personally believe that Charlie Kirk has done some damage to societal perceptions of transgender people. With that said, the person asked how Charlie's quote could stoke violence, and then you invented a significantly stronger, more inciteful quote (something Charlie didn't say) as an answer for why it stoked violence. This is not a response that will convince people of your position. I'm not sure on the best way to do that, but I believe it starts by staying clear about what was actually said. | | |
| ▲ | aredox 4 days ago | parent | next [-] | | >some damage to societal perceptions of transgender people Weird, how do we call people who do "some damage to societal perceptions" of black people? Of Jewish people? Why are you reaching for such a tortured expression, "some damage to societal perceptions of [some] people"? Isn't there already some other word for that? | | |
| ▲ | bigmealbigmeal 4 days ago | parent [-] | | No, there isn't some word for that. "Transphobia" is not the same as "damaging societal perceptions of transgender people". My colleague is transphobic. He hasn't damaged societal perceptions of transgender people, because he doesn't have a massive platform. Charlie Kirk, who I agree is transphobic, went one step further and actually impacted large groups of people's beliefs. Your assumption that I was minimizing the damage he did with my wording is the opposite of correct; I was using that wording to express that the damage he did was worse than simply being transphobic. Please do not assume the worst of me. |
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| ▲ | aredox 4 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | >you invented a significantly stronger, more inciteful quote (something Charlie didn't say) https://youtu.be/KivCRqfFcqY?si=hLN0akbswSlPm8pE But if we take 5 minutes to search, we can see Charlie Kirk has said publicly (and I quote): "There's a direct connection to inflation and the trans issue. You say, Charlie, come on. They couldn't be further apart. No, they're exactly the same. They're the same in this aspect—when you believe that men can become women, why wouldn't you also believe that you could print wealth?" (You are poor? Blame the trans) "The transgender movement actually matters even more than biomedical fascism" "the transgender movement is an introductory phase to get you to strip yourself of your humanity to mesh with machines" "if you stop being a man, then maybe you can stop being a human being" (Transhumanist scare you? Blame the trans - those non-human beings) Maybe you think I exaggerate? Luckily, he has made his personal opinion clear: "I blame the decline of American men. This never should've been -- someone should've just took care of it the way we used to take care of things in the 1950s or 60s" Tell me, how did things were taken "care of" in the 50s and 60s? What could that be a reference to? (Wink wink) Not convincing enough? Last direct quote from him: “The one issue that I think is so against our senses, so against the natural law, and dare I say, a throbbing middle finger to god, is the transgender thing happening in America right now” Really, who could think that when he said there are too many (how many? Doesn't matter, just believe it) mass shootings caused by trans people, he is inviting fear and hatred against them? Really, it would be dishonest to suggest such a thing, right? He was also openly racist and homophobic, but hey, how could I or anyone suggest he was stroking violence and stirring hate? |
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| ▲ | rbanffy 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | tossandthrow 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] |
| These studies are interest but should equally be interpreted as the desire for change - and I think it is reasonable to say that there is a huge desire for change. In particular regard anti democratic developments, an increasing oligarchy, and increased inequality. If I was a leader, I would take this really seriously and start to make some hard decisions. |