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▲ kphorn 8 hours ago

Jensen has created more shareholder value than nearly any human on earth. Significantly more than Elon, with the key distinction that Jensen has distributed much more of that shareholder value than Elon has through stock options to employees and appreciation of public stock (it’s one of the reasons he’s worth 150Bn vs 1Tn).

I think the real risk for the economy, the AI industry, and the US is that Nvidia becomes JUST another company. Nvidia losing 50% of its value from its peak means it’s still a $3 trillion company. What if it loses 90%? Then it’s the size of Intel which we generally agree is an important part of the industry.

Nvidia can afford to invest in companies because the stock is so high and capital is incredibly abundant. Those companies buy Nvidia products at the 50% NET margins. Nvidia gets a ton of cash. Earnings are crazy. But if this cycle stops and efficiency wins in the market (lower margins, more competitors, more options), then Nvidia goes back to where they were which was a Tier-1/2 supplier battling for margin and market share. That is not a $6T company.

▲asdff 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It would be a great thing for the economy. So many sectors are underinvested right now because capital has been stowed away into these companies valuations. Imagine 6T dumped in any other industry and it would be a generational step change event. For reference that's ballpark like 3x the valuation of the entire American biotechnology industry, all in one company. Talk about opportunity cost.

▲poopingatwork 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Investment isn't the issue it's talent.

Jensen provided a platform and roadmap to help advance AI. His selflessness and leadership attracts talent.

Money might help pull talent away but it's silly to think money taken away from Nvidia will suddenly be reinvested into other pursuits.

If you don't think talent is an issue, why hasn't anyone begun seriously competing with SpaceX, TSMC, ASML?

▲ThrustVectoring 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Company valuations aren't a sum of the cash flows invested into a company or the available cash flows out of liquidating it either. These aren't uncorrelated numbers but you can technically get a six trillion dollar "valuation" from one person paying $1 for a sixth of a trillionth of a company.

▲asdff 2 hours ago | parent [-]

No they aren't, but it is an example of relative scale of investment. Especially when much of that market cap growth has come just within the last 5-6 years or so. Money could have flowed to other ponds collecting off the river of investor cash flow instead of this one massive lake. This might have lead to a different growth trajectory in our economy and technological development than one so focused on the ROI of chip production in particular, to the exclusion of much else. The fact that much of that demand is brought up by circular investment is another aspect. Two lakes backfeeding into eachother eating more and more of the flow off cash flow river, drying up other ponds along the way. Much is lost with such unitary focus of investment.

▲cheesecakegood 2 hours ago | parent [-]

I would go a little bit further and just say that American workers haven’t been the main beneficiaries of investment for at least a decade now. It “used to be” (some rose tinted glasses but still big kernel of truth) that if a company was making a lot of money or sitting on a big cash war chest, eventually it would make its way back to the employees for expansion, R&D, etc. It would be used for something! But ever since companies started to divert those flows to stock buybacks (and now, the equivalent which seems to be mutual stock purchases) less and less of those profits have been functionally reinvested - the reinvestment mostly happens on paper, and the already-wealthy owners of the stocks get wealthier without expanding the stockholder base as much.

▲soVeryTired 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Does it work like that though? I agree that AI may be crowding out other industries, but I'm not sure you can just take apart a company and redistribute that money elsewhere.

▲asdff 2 hours ago | parent [-]

No, it isn't measuring the velocity of incoming investment. But it goes to show just how outstandingly large the pile of money on one ticker in particular is, relative to other high tech industries that are even favored by investors for their 10x potential (maybe moreso historically than today albeit).

▲nemomarx 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What's the downside of that for the economy? It seems like it would be the market becoming more efficient, cutting down on margins and so on. Bringing Nvidia back to earth might open up cheaper hardware for other companies to work with and accelerate AI anyway.

▲kphorn 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Efficiency is a great thing and long term what’s needed so we can buy laptops again at a reasonable price. There will be a pretty large blast radius across ANT/OAI/ORCL/SPCX/TSMC/neoclouds. Prob 15T of market value at risk and the flywheel of investment which is conditioned on investors and the economy believing they have durable appreciation locked up in AI stocks (“if my basket of investments is safe, I’m willing to invest my next dollar in more of it” vs “the sky is falling and I need to tighten the belt / pull money out”). I’m trying not to be a doomer here as I think it’s somewhere in the middle it’s just very frothy and the upside scenarios generally envisioned NVDA to be stable

▲ihsw 7 hours ago | parent [-]

I will be honest, my personal opinion is keep the blood flowing until RAM prices return to Sept 2025 levels.

This whole saga has been a ridiculous waste of everybody's time and energy. There's no compelling argument that points to these new innovations not otherwise happening if RAM prices weren't artificially inflated by the fever dream of private equity.

▲goodmythical 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

How is nvidia crashing out going to reduce RAM prices?

The demand for high-ram consumption applications is higher than ever and rising. That demand is not created by nvidia, but nvidia's customers. nvidia's customers are buying nvidia parts built with other's ram because they have customers renting the compute.

Whoever nvidia is buying ram from will simply sell to the next highest bidder, and the ram will still be sold out through the coming years.

▲zanderwohl 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Because Nvidia is personally investing in a huge amount of those customers, enabling the hyperscaling. If half of the circle breaks, the other half does too.

▲keybrd-intrrpt an hour ago | parent | next [-]

And those customers still have the demand to keep wanting more.

Contrary to the AI-bubble-doomsayers - most hyperscalers and neoclouds seem to be at capacity for current demand and even have already booked future demand.

▲anon7725 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> If half of the circle breaks, the other half does too.

If the good Lord's willing and the creek don't rise.

▲hatethehate 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

RAM prices are not artificially inflated. Everyone wants to run models that require 1TiB of RAM locally. AI agents utilize RAM on every computer more than ever before. The fever dream is imagining these prices are ever coming back down without serious fab investment.

▲TheGamerUncle 3 hours ago | parent [-]

There is blatant and open collusion between everyone that can invest in fabs in order to "slow down" the investment and the supply in order to maintain the prices as high as possible, as long as possible.

https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/articles/ram-crisis-one...

"The lawsuit also points towards similar collusion between the companies in the past. In 2005, SK Hynix and Samsung were fined $180 million and $300 million respectively after pleading guilty to price-fixing DRAM pricing. It is suggested that the same occurred between 2016 and 2018 when prices spiked again, ..."

▲kphorn 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Agreed. We all want a soft landing.

▲parineum 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> if RAM prices weren't artificially inflated by the fever dream of private equity.

RAM prices are a result of skyrocketing demand. That's hardly a fever dream.

You can hardly blame RAM suppliers for taking the money of people who are coming to them begging to pay more than the person before them in line. It's not like they are squeezing the market in some cartel price-fixing racket.It's the customers who are willing trying to pay more for better access. The innovations and the price of RAM are so non-sequitur at this point; I can't understand what point you're making. Sure, if RAM were as easy to get as the circuit boards they're being put on, innovation would be the same (or accelerated!) but that doesn't have anything to do with the fact that RAM is incredibly supply constrained and ramping production to meet the demand of a seemingly insatiable market takes a long time for a product this complicated and specialized.

If any of the manufacturing companies could have seen this coming, they'd have started ramping production to insane levels 5 years ago, and they'd be taking in just as much money as Nvidia is.

▲throw-qqqqq 2 hours ago | parent [-]

> It's not like they are squeezing the market in some cartel price-fixing racket

You don’t know this with certainty, do you?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DRAM_industry_price_fixing

▲landdate 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

[dead]

▲pizzathyme 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It’s not a given that markets are able to navigate the risk between massive capital investment and unknown future revenues. Everyone is trying to figure out the long term value from AI. For a made up numbers example the path might require $1T investment to unlock $10T revenue in 10 years from now. But if no one can put up the $1T it stalls and doesn’t happen next decade

▲kphorn 7 hours ago | parent [-]

Spot on

▲randbyte 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It’s the wrong way by having a neutered market leader instead of strengthened competitors.

▲ilovecake1984 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Guys going to start his own company. Surely?

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent [-]

He may not feel like putting out the effort. Hired by AMD could be interesting.

▲pembrook 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The hardware is expensive because it's supply constrained. Demand far exceeds supply.

Harming Nvidia would only make us more compute constrained, and raise prices further.

It seems it's impossible to get a certain type of person to understand this regardless of whether it's housing, education or chips.

Harming the producers of [thing] or disincentivizing profits will not make [thing] cheaper if demand remains the same (or if it is growing, like in all of the areas I mentioned).

▲nozzlegear 7 hours ago | parent [-]

> It seems it's impossible to get a certain type of person to understand this regardless of whether it's housing, education or chips.

What type of person are you referring to?

▲tsunamifury 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Have you ever considered that an efficient economy is you paying everything you have for food and living in absolute poverty

▲qsymmachus 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Doesn't this situation demonstrate how bonkers it is to pin the fortunes of the stock market and potentially the entire economy on the behavior of one person?

▲mrandish 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> pin the fortunes of the stock market and potentially the entire economy on the behavior of one person?

"We" don't. Media narratives over-focus on individuals and personalities because that's what humans focus on.

Markets can overreact emotionally on daily headlines and weekly narratives but tend to correct quarter to quarter. There's lots of data and examples: Apple after Jobs, Microsoft after Gates, etc. Even after losing iconic, long-time leaders, most industry-leading companies continue to make even more money, more profitably than ever over the following decade.

▲RIMR 4 hours ago | parent [-]

> "We" don't.

> That's what humans focus on.

I struggle to understand what narrative you're correcting here. "We" in this context seems to collectively mean "humanity". Markets, media narratives, etc. are all run by humans. That's "us", whether or not you personally want any of the blame/credit.

▲mrandish an hour ago | parent [-]

I was disputing that financial markets "pin the fortunes of the stock market and potentially the entire economy on the behavior of one person" at least beyond emotional reactions to daily headlines by retail investors.

I agree that markets shouldn't do that, and further, I believe they don't do that in any meaningful way. NVidia's price drop of ~20% is short-term volatility. Tracked against the NASDAQ, NVidia will likely post new all-time highs within the next 100 days.

▲bdelmas 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Can you produce me a list of people who will be better for the job than him? You are asking the wrong questions.

▲itishappy 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This doesn't seem like the right question either. Can you provide a list of unique qualifications that make Jensen irreplicable?

▲charlieyu1 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

He started the biggest GPU company and ran it successfully for three decades?

▲itishappy 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Right, but then he resigned. So the question on all our minds is if NVIDIA should be entirely written off since losing Jensen's irreplicable talent, or if some of those skills are transferable.

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Since he apparently also arranged the company so it revolved around him and no one else was in a central position to know cross silo information, how would those skills transfer?

▲sailfast 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

As a shareholder I want a leader who knows how to let other people run the company also, so it doesn’t die with them. (Eventually we’re all headed there, right so…)

▲RIMR 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I feel like your argument is just "Jensen Huang was Nvidia, and without him the company is doomed", and that's a very strong claim that needs a lot more explanation, because it's certainly not an argument that any shareholder is interested in considering when the company continues to exist, its products remain important and in-demand, and there's a CEO vacancy to fill.

▲itishappy 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

What skills, specifically? I can't imagine he's the only one who knows how to set up an incomprehensible corporate structure, nor do I think that's what people value about NVIDIA.

▲nobody_r_knows 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Might be one of the greatest CEOs in the history of business.

▲bar8uyr 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Might be, also very well might not be. His jacket was nice though.

▲retwakm4 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I cannot and that question is irrelevant to the situation. The dude is going to be getting investigated and spending the next couple of years doing interviews and legal stuff (there's already a securities lawsuit). He literally cannot run the company even if he wanted to. He's also no doubt going to be under congressional and DOJ and Department of Commerce investigation for sanctions violations.

▲m4rtink 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It should not be a job - that's the whole point. Kings demonstrated how bonkers is having a single point of failure like this so it's insane people still don't get it today.

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent [-]

A single point of failure is also a single point of success. There’s real reasons run by committee is considered a joke.

▲IncreasePosts 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Jensen might be the best person to lead NVidia at the moment, but that doesn't mean that NVidia dominating the market and being able to demand gigantic margins is a good thing for the overall economy.

▲asdff 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You and I and many of the commenters would be on there. People think these CEOs are wizards performing black secret magic we'd fail to understand.

No. They have the same 24 hour day as you and I. They think at the same speed and talk at the same speed. Their "workload" whatever it may be, is finite, evidently finite enough to juggle several romatic relationships at the same time, with much actual work and decisionmaking delegated and informed by domain experts who will be there no matter the CEO.

So yes, you or I could in fact be CEO of NVIDIA. It would be easy. Reports would be made for us by the worlds experts in the fields on what is going on. Departments would be ran by the best available talent on earth. My emails are being read and written by a dozen plus secretaries. Every presser I make I have an ivy league grad writing me the speech making me look like Hemingway out there. Every decision I'd make informed by a team of experts. Every plan thought of already by a hundred people smarter than me. All we'd have to do in the role as NVIDIA CEO is smile, waive, and read the lines handed to us on the sheet of paper by someone else. The ship runs itself even though we all pretend it's the CEO paddling 24/7 making it possible.

Really, that's all any of these guys are doing. Very similar to say the job of a pop star. Are you charismatic? Can you read lines? You'd make a great CEO then.

▲al_borland 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The company should have plans in place for what to do when something happens to the CEO. Situations like this, death, or just deciding to leave. I've read reports that Nvidia didn't have this, which would be irresponsible if true, but it's not the norm. The founder leaving is likely a bit different than some other CEO coming in later, but any good CEO should be thinking about what happens to the company when they're gone so people know the company is still in good hands.

▲lavp 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

But by not having one, the CEO has a lot more leverage over the company.

▲psp99 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

good leaver vs bad

▲nutjob2 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That's a fairly hysterical reading. It's a company, no one is irreplaceable.

He has no magic, but he did make some good strategic decisions.

Everyone is a god and a genius (in retrospect) if they found a multi-trillion dollar company, but the causation seldom runs that way.

Jobs founded Apple to great success, left and failed then returned to Apple to great success, then he died and Apple was fine. The company is more important than the individual. Nvidia will also be fine.

And clearly the US economy doesn't rest on the shoulders of Nvidia or AI, no matter the level of hype.

▲bar8uyr 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Huang was also well know in industry for awful decisions, which is why most companies that ever worked with Nvidia, worked with them once (with some exceptions tbf).

▲loceng 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

So what mechanism do you propose?

Huang has served as CEO for a whopping 33 years - hard to argue he wasn't crucial to NVIDIA's success, and how many of the board members are the original from when he was first chosen-selected and continued to be hired as CEO over the crucial early decades?

What nuanced knowledge-understanding does he have that no one else can have?

Maybe sleeping with spies was a necessary part of survival, perhaps if he wasn't prone to that then he'd have been assassinated and potential replacement CEOs who are toeing certain lines may have been attempted to replace him after his murder?

▲nozzlegear 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Maybe sleeping with spies was a necessary part of survival, perhaps if he wasn't prone to that then he'd have been assassinated and potential replacement CEOs who are toeing certain lines may have been attempted to replace him after his murder?

This is, frankly, an outlandish statement.

▲anon291 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Huang is known to literally respond to low-level e-mails between ICs. The idea that a CFO can take his place is ridiculous. People need to be real.

▲loceng 4 hours ago | parent [-]

What's happening now with this situation is why communism and similar has historically been able to take hold.

▲RIMR 3 hours ago | parent [-]

You're really going to need to explain this crazy take. I can't even begin to see the parallels between Jensen Huang being ousted for sleeping with spies and subordinates and the rise of Communism.

▲wat10000 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Highly successful businessman.

> Behaves like a fool, risks national security to get his dick wet, has unethical affair with subordinate.

> The problem is that people like this get held accountable for their misdeeds instead of being left to do what they want!

▲anon7725 5 hours ago | parent [-]

but think of the shareholders! think of the executives who have layoffs in the hopper but can't pull the trigger yet!

▲qsymmachus 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Maybe sleeping with spies was a necessary part of survival, perhaps if he wasn't prone to that then he'd have been assassinated and potential replacement CEOs who are toeing certain lines may have been attempted to replace him after his murder?

Respectfully, I don't engage with conspiracy theorists

▲Zigurd 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This could've been said of Cisco in the telecom bubble days. Or Nortel. Or a handful of other key players who were all inflating that bubble and playing games with their financials that made the bursting of the bubble worse.

Pumping billions of dollars, the source of which is obscured, into it looks like a cut out, is not just a national security problem. It undermines confidence in the numbers that you claim are the basis of shareholder value.

▲lentil_soup 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

what kind of argument is this?

the stock value just represents what people think the company is (or will be) worth, them selling products at 50% margin is what brings the money, the stock value doesn't give NVIDIA extra cash (unless they're selling or leveraging their own stock reserves to get even more cash?). And definitely shareholder value is not the economy.

and also, how is the efficiency bad now? surely that allows for innovation and other companies and people to get cheaper hardware (assuming they somehow have to lower their margins because Jensen left, still don't get that argument)

▲jappgar 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

NVDA losing 90% would bankrupt the entire AI sector and plunge US into a deep recession.

It's not just a chip company. Those trillions of value represent bets across the entire economy. When the casino goes bankrupt, all bets are off.

▲sailfast 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Counter-hypothesis: It wouldn’t be that deep, but it would fix inflationary pressures pretty quickly especially for assets.

Also you act like those bets were group / government decisions. They weren’t my bets. They were NVIDIA’s bets. Equity holders should lose value if the bet fails - that will not be most of the economy by a long shot. The stock market is not the economy. The Casino should not have existed in the first place at the scale it did. This is the correction everyone has been talking about when discussing “bubbles”

▲rurp 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Giving Jensen credit for creating literally all of the value from Nvidia seems really over the top. He happened to be running the biggest GPU company during the biggest GPU boom ever. Sure he had an impact on the numbers and the timing, but if Jensen had never been born someone else would be heading a giant chip company around this period of time that saw it's stock take off like a rocket ship. This would happen even if the counterfactual CEO was incompetent.

▲dmonitor 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Isn't he the entire reason Nvidia invested so heavily in tensor cores before AI even became a massive market mover? He definitely deserves credit for setting Nvidia up with a massive lead in this emergent industry.

▲asdff 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It isn't like he is the one who did the research to lead to that decision though. That just isn't his job. He isn't an analyst. He is CEO, who reads reports or sat in presentations made by his analysts, whatever their specific position titles, who are really the ones who did the work weighing and making this decision. His role was to say yes to these people whose job it is to actually figure this out.

So indeed, if he was not CEO, likely whoever would have been would be given the same information as Jensen that lead to him saying yes on tensor cores. And in all likelihood, the same exact decision would have been made, or at least a coinflips odds chance if it really were a matter of "yes" or "no" with no clear winner.

▲keybrd-intrrpt an hour ago | parent [-]

My experience in corporate America is that, no - it would NOT be likely that a different CEO makes the same call.

Many, especially the "non-founder" CEOs, are risk-averse.

There's likely many CUDA-like ideas from internal engineers shot-down or ignored by leadership at companies like Microsoft, Google, etc.

While Tim Cook certainly drove the valuation of Apple up during his tenure, one of the most common criticisms was that Apple stopped innovating and more recently their quality bar has been dropping.

▲everythingswan 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I feel like it's worth repeating that he gets credit for the decisions he has made, while it's also true that someone else would also see this demand, maybe earlier maybe later, and that the economy and shareholders would benefit. The point I'm making, and I think the one you're responding to, is that he didnt do something so magical that wouldn't have been done otherwise. It's a counterpoint to "this guy did so much, we would be nothing without him" and using that as a way to excuse his bad decisions.

Again, credit for putting yourself in the position to capitalize. Credit for executing. But it's pretty likely that the world would not be substantially different if Nvidia has been another company and Jensen was some guy working at MS.

▲dmonitor 3 hours ago | parent [-]

I think the Tensor decision was very impactful to both the direction of AI tech and Nvidia as a company, though. I can't judge how much of the decision to invest in that technology was his but assuming he had a significant proportion of influence in that decision, he deserves a significant portion of the credit. A different person in the same position might not have seen the potential of machine learning at scale and not been willing to point their GPUs at the problem.

They basically invested in pickaxes a decade before the gold rush, and people only found out about the gold because pickaxes were pretty convenient

▲bar8uyr 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Not really. Nvidias gpu architecture was tensor.. It is useful for other things like AI. That wasn't a decision to create AI other than it was what they had. They landed on their feet. They didn't invest in pickaxes, they had the right pickaxe at the right time.

▲Pavilion2095 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

[flagged]

▲dang 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Can you please make your substantive points without swipes? Your comment would be fine without the "Bruh", "You are making it sound as if", and "This is ridiculous" bits.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

▲neya 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It's easy to dismiss someone's life's work when you aren't the one in their shoes.

> This would happen even if the counterfactual CEO was incompetent.

Tell that to Intel's ex-CEO.

▲ 2 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
▲gchamonlive an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

  Nvidia losing 50% of its value from its peak means it’s still a $3 trillion company. What if it loses 90%? Then it’s the size of Intel which we generally agree is an important part of the industry.
This seems correct because of the proportions, but a company that's valued at say 600 million isn't the same as a company coming from being valued at 6 trillion and landing on 10% of its value, because of the direction of the valuation. While the former is at 600 million ascending, the later is in a descending trend, which affects trust and momentum.
▲kllrnohj 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Jensen has created more shareholder value than nearly any human on earth.

Nonsense. Nvidia's employees created that value, not Jensen. Jensen personally is all but certainly responsible for almost none of the value created, just like in every other company. CEO worship is absurd.

Like it's an extremely common sentiment when working for a large company to look at the SVP or CEO and go "that person is a dumbass, everyone in charge is a dumbass". Yet when looking at other companies somehow we forget about that and put the companies success on the CEO or top level execs. Instead of remembering "no, it's probably the small army below them figuring out how to manage upwards to prevent the idiot in charge from tanking everything"

▲andruby 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Jensen personally is all but certainly responsible for almost none of the value created

That's a very limited view of value creation. Have you ever lead a team of people? Coached someone? Raised a child? Written a technical architecture?

A lot of people play crucial roles in a company. HR, accounting, leadership, PM's, engineers, support, etc. All of them contribute to the value creation.

If you've ever been in a company with poor leadership and one with great leadership, you'd see the impact of it on everyone working there and on the value being created.

▲dennis_jeeves2 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

>> Jensen personally is all but certainly responsible for almost none of the value created

>That's a very limited view of value creation. Have you ever lead a team of people? Coached someone? Raised a child? Written a technical architecture?

I can assure you that the people you are targeting the question at, have never/rarely done any of the things you asked. I call them the socialists. They sit in judgment of people who do things while they lead their petty lives and all they look forward is the next Superbowl game, or next Netflix series.

(p.s you might like the writings of author by name Ayn Rand, Disclaimer: I'm no worshiper of Rand)

▲jdgoesmarching 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is hilarious because Jensen’s idea of leadership is petty authoritarianism. I’m not sure if this is just HN being emotionally bought in to great man theory or financially bought in to NVDA, but most of their value creation is on the back of gamer chips being useful for crypto and later AI.

The children yearn for a tyrant I guess.

▲Phelinofist 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> HR, accounting, leadership, PM's, engineers, support, etc. All of them contribute to the value creation

Not sure about HR TBH

▲kllrnohj 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> That's a very limited view of value creation. Have you ever lead a team of people? Coached someone? Raised a child? Written a technical architecture?

Yup, all of it. And at no point have I considered myself as 10,000x more valuable than any of the team members I led. Yet that's exactly what is done to billionaire CEOs.

You'll notice I did not say Jensen didn't create ANY value.

▲belg1o 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Companies rise and fall based on leadership decisions. You inability to see that highlights your lack of thought needed for true leadership.

Critical / hard decisions are worth more than just a manager telling / trusting his team to execute on x,y,z task.

▲kllrnohj 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Sorry, what hard decisions did Jensen make, exactly? "Hey team, I'm going to make the tough decision here to propose that next year's GPU is faster than last years"?

Do you know for sure that Jensen personally was involved in recruiting Ian Buck and starting up the CUDA project? A project that's largely attributed to John Nickolls? What other major decisions did Nvidia even make over the last, say, 15 years?

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The decision to support CUDA and include it in retail GPUs so that he could create a massive installed base, even in the face of criticism and loss of stock value, for years. Sort of like Tesla building superchargers to cause BEVs to become viable.

▲ 15 minutes ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
▲andruby 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

[dead]

▲vatsachak 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Okay, but why doesn't AMD have a CUDA equivalent in quality? Luck?

▲kllrnohj 2 hours ago | parent [-]

AMD was borderline bankrupt? While nvidia was doing CUDA, AMD was selling off assets like their fab business to keep the lights on.

▲kridsdale1 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Those employees didn’t create it when a huge number of them worked at AMD, Apple, Qualcomm, Intel, or TI.

It took the corporate structure and top-down direction decision ATTRIBUTABLE TO JENSEN to allow them to work so productively together.

Leadership matters. Labor Talent is only able to operate at 10% effectiveness with shitty leaders in place.

▲fennecfoxy 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You think he hired everyone personally?

CEOs in large companies do not play a role like that.

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Elon personally hired the first 3000 SpaceX employees- you don’t think that was a huge part of their success?

▲djaro 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

He founded the company. Everyone there is either hired by him or hired by someone he hired.

▲antiframe 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

If the origin of the people who created value is the metric, aren't his parents and ancestors those who truly are responsible for creating all that shareholder value?

I prefer the view that the engineers that made GPUs have a bigger hand in the value creation.

▲rexpop 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Req hoc ergo propter hoc, eh?

▲Phelinofist 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> Everyone there is either hired by him or hired by someone he hired

If you think about that for 2 seconds you'll see that this is just wrong?

▲rexpop 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This tendency to credit an entire technological breakthrough to the top of an org chart is such a bizarre cliche from a systems perspective. Breakthroughs are not conceived from whole cloth within the corner offices of isolated autocracies; they are the product of horizontal networks of social capital as engineers continually circulate across firms.

Besides, individual contributors aren't incentivized to innovate insofar as we're not structurally positioned to capture a windfall.

I recognize the narrative that an army of world-class engineers is essentially inert until an executive visionary breathes purpose into them, but that's a structural property of the firm. It's a choice to route all surplus through the board and major shareholders, and to starve out any innovation that happens outside of those venues.

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Perhaps research nVidia and Huang a bit more before deciding general rules apply to specific cases.

▲10111001 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Those employees didn’t create it when a huge number of them worked at AMD, Apple, Qualcomm, Intel, or TI.

I agree: we must do everything we possibly can to aggrandize the already wealthy and powerful. The glory must accumulate in their account, and the less that goes to their subordinates, the better.

▲sowhat1 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You can’t convince these people. A large portion of the population is hardwired (by DNA) to be subordinate and hierarchical, for better or worse. Probably best to simply let them believe in Superheroes.

▲vatsachak 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I mean Jensen even said that he does not mind the California billionaire* tax. To believe that CEOs and Founders are not replaceable is hyperbole but so is to believe that they are totally replaceable. NVIDIA clearly has a moat and are the belle of the ball, of the world economy

▲bar8uyr 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

lol

▲jacobjjacob 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I agree that CEO worship is absurd but it’s a big stretch to say they are responsible for none of the value. Jensen AND the employees. And he probably created a disproportionate amount of that value compared to the average IC, I don’t think that’s in question. But is he responsible for most of it, or even 10% of it? Unlikely.

▲ 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
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▲neya 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

So fire all CEOs, let employees run the company then. Blind CEO hatred is equally stupid.

▲asadotzler 6 hours ago | parent [-]

They should fall first to AI replacement as they're the least useful people in a company and most susceptible to ruining the company's reputation by screwing a Chinese spy and a hot local chic.

▲djaro 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

If you think CEOs are useless, why dont you create a company without a CEO and simply outcompete Google and Amazon?

▲neya 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> as they're the least useful people in a company

Tell me you know nothing about running a company without telling me. Just because one CEO got caught screwing over a Chinese spy that doesn't mean all CEOs are useless people. That's just lazy generalization.

Edit: Guess I am arguing with a bot lol

▲dennis_jeeves2 3 hours ago | parent [-]

At least you aren't arguing with a socialist...

▲hatethehate 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You're right, it takes a company to deliver a value. With that said, you are *seriously* underestimating how hard it is to organize and run a large company. Jensen is not perfect by any means, and I don't even particularly like him. I just hate this anti-billionaire narrative being thrown around a lot lately that leaders don't matter.

▲bar8uyr 2 hours ago | parent [-]

But what do you hate about it? They can stick up for themselves surely? They don't need you to protect them do they?

Sure it might be hard to run a company - it wasn't like he actually did most of that though was it?

▲tt24 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This sort of empty bitterness is a very pernicious thing. It reads as knowledge / experience, but really it’s nothing more than angry drivel. It doesn’t say anything that hasn’t been said before a million times.

▲andy_ppp 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yes, this cult of personality I find completely insane. Mostly the egotists get in the way of the technical people making progress.

▲jacobjjacob 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If efficiency is a risk for the economy then the economy is of course. Hopefully the correction can be soft and not a catastrophic pop. Maybe a slight cooling of Nvidia, caused by isolated factors, can help without crashing the whole sector.

▲sailfast 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Sounds like a perfect fix for inflationary pressures to be honest - at least when it comes to assets and equities. Takes trillions off the board, stops the money machine cycle, and only impacts equity holders. Probably missing something here but that seems about right to me.

▲doublepg23 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

surely the telegraph was the biggest value creator ever?

▲oblio 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Or the steam engine, or writing, or... Shareholder value is such an obtuse way to look at the world.

▲kridsdale1 6 hours ago | parent [-]

The Roof was an invention the allowed us to delay the rotting of all our harvests. Pretty good.

▲doublepg23 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

That's a good one, I haven't thought about needing to invent a "roof".

▲cliche 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Also keep you dry when it’s raining, pretty cool.

▲Jolter 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

My “history of technology 101” course was pretty clear that this title lies with the invention of the bowl. Be that pottery or wood. Something to store excess food in for tomorrow.

▲badrequest 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I'm a normal person with a beating heart and conscience, so I don't give a damn about how much shareholder value someone has ever created, and I never will.

▲djaro 5 hours ago | parent [-]

So you are not planning to ever retire? You never buy anything? You dont have a job?

Unless you are a subsistence farmer, everything you have in your life is thanks to the economy and "shareholder value".

Its strange to me how many people will say stuff like "who cares about the economy, I care about people" when the economy is the thing that ensures people have food and shelter and dont starve.

▲lentil_soup 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

>> everything you have in your life is thanks to the economy and "shareholder value".

No it's not, shareholder value as understood as owning a piece of a publicly traded company doesn't produce anything on its own and it's definitely independent of the economy of a society. Could even be argued that the wealth stuck in the shareholder value is reducing the investments that could be being made in the interest of the rest of the economy.

I can easily make something and sell it to you without creating shareholder value.

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent [-]

So why haven’t you created a private company that redefines a market segment if it is so easy?

▲lentil_soup 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Huh? Who's talking about that? OP argued that everything we have is because of shareholder value. That is false.

No one is talking about anything being easy or redefining a market (which, since you bring it up, has been done infinite times by private and state funded companies as well)

▲breuleux 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It's just that "Jensen has created more shareholder value than nearly any human on earth", to many people, sounds a bit like "McDonalds has created more calories than nearly every company on earth". Sure, you need calories to survive, but that's not exactly the issue people are having here.

▲boringg 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

And poof just like that the myth of the founder led company being untouchable has imploded. All other founder led CEOs will be watching this closely.

Alternatively if the company tanks the board will have a reckoning similar to the OpenAI debacle.

▲seunosewa 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

If you own 51% of the company's voting rights, you're good.

▲Xenoamorphous an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

Didn’t that myth implode with Jobs decades ago?

▲iLoveOncall an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Jensen created some shareholder value, but in reality it's the AI labs (and crypto before that) that led to the huge valuation. None of this is his making, he just got lucky.

Any other idiot in his place would have made the same amount of money.

▲manicennui 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The stock market isn't the economy.

▲ 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
▲rolosa 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don't care about shareholder value. There is Schaudenfreude in seeing an AI/tech billionaire go down.

▲shimman 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Fully agreed. The more we take these people down, the better society is will be.

▲NetMageSCW 2 hours ago | parent [-]

The more people who exist that witch-hunt for no actual reason the worse our society is.

▲rockostrich 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

He's still one of the richest people on earth. I wouldn't exactly call that "going down."

▲m4rtink 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Well, he might very well end up in jail.

▲mrandish 4 hours ago | parent [-]

> he might very well end up in jail

That's incredibly unlikely. NVidia and Megaspeed's relationship has been under constant separate parallel investigations by the Justice and Commerce Depts going back to the Biden administration. There have been no charges and Megaspeed was never even added to the blocked Entities List which would instantly ban all sales, despite the US govt being free to do so at any time with no justification or explanation needed.

It appears two things are simultaneously true:

- Thousands of banned GPUs were diverted to China.

- NVidia meticulously verified export licenses and complied with every U.S. law, export control and KYC regulation.

The under-reported fact is that while the US Govt chose not to add Megaspeed to the banned list, NVidia voluntarily placed Megaspeed on their own blocklist and stopped selling GPUs to them in June 2025. This was because the law requires NVidia to block any company they "know or reasonably suspect" is violating export controls. There is an extensive framework of Red Flags a supplier is required to check and certify are 'cleared'. The penalties for failing to do so are the same as violating export controls on cruise missiles (up to 20 years in jail, $1M per GPU ). And they can apply personally to each employee who knew. So, NVidia cut off one of their largest South Asian customers ~18 months ago, despite Jensen banging the customer's board member.

No, I can't explain it either. But those are the facts per WSJ & NYT reporting. The meta-subtext here is there have been two opposing factions on China policy inside the White House, NSC, and U.S. intelligence community since the Biden era. They are each constantly trying to sway Trump, who vacillates between them (as seen by inconsistent US policy swings). One of those factions leaked the 6 month-old Alice story a week ago in the hope of blocking Jensen's influence and access to Trump. It worked (probably better than expected). Now that Jensen is both out of NVidia and politically toxic, neither faction cares about him.

▲undersuit 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yeah, show me people are not buying Nvidia GPUs because of this and maybe I'll sell.

▲LetsGetTechnicl 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What exactly have any of us regular people gotten from more Nvidia shareholder value? More expensive chips and AI slop?

▲bbor 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

  Jensen has created more shareholder value than nearly any human on earth.
A) He never made a single product himself, and B) surely we can see in hindsight that this is a pretty goofy metric for success...? Like, "shareholder value" isn't exactly what we need at this pivotal moment in the terran story.

  I think the real risk for the economy, the AI industry, and the US is that Nvidia becomes JUST another company. 
  ...
  But if this cycle stops and efficiency wins in the market (lower margins, more competitors, more options), then Nvidia goes back to where they were
Even if we accept capital as the most important thing, this seems pretty openly counterintuitive. You're lamenting the spectre of efficiency.
▲delta_p_delta_x 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> A) He never made a single product himself

This is demonstrably untrue. Jensen is an engineer through and through, and contributed significantly to Nvidia's early accelerators: from the NV1, at least to the earliest GeForces.

▲richwater 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Don't even engage with these types of people. They think CEOs provide no value and anyone can do the job

▲bbor 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Ha, I was wondering if someone would bring that up! Pretty funny. How much of the shareholder value of NVidia is represented by his share of the NV1 and the earliest GeForces?

▲AdmiralAsshat 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> B) surely we can see in hindsight that this is a pretty goofy metric for success...? Like, "shareholder value" isn't exactly what we need at this pivotal moment in the terran story.

In the slow evolution of the human race into the Ferengi, it is absolutely a milestone!

▲kphorn 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Neither did Elon. What’s the point of A?

Long term we want efficiency. The market is SUPER inefficient right now. People are buying GPUs and stacking them up in warehouses so that they get their allocation. Companies are taking retired jet engines, and turning them into very expensive generators. SoftBank just defaulted on a bunch of power generation orders (increased cost for everyone, but didn’t create the value). My point is that it will be a painful road to get to the efficient market which will likely be a recession because of a massive slow down in spending

▲marcusverus 7 hours ago | parent [-]

A is a reddit meme-argument. It assumes that the labor-theory-of-value is a fact and implies that only fungible IC's add value, whereas irreplaceable great men who organize multi-trillion-dollar companies from scratch contribute nothing. It's a way for them to advance for their silly worldview while obscuring its absurd foundational assumptions.

▲letsgofrets 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

What on earth are you talking about. The exponential growth in the 1990s, percentage wise, far outpaced the AI bubble. Go look at Intel, Microsoft, lucid, etc from the dot com boom. This is the problem with 20-somethings’ hot takes on the market: no history.

▲WarmWash 8 hours ago | parent [-]

The '90's bubble is what the AI "bubble" would be if everyone you spoke to was glowing with excitement about AI, and a few niche analysts were raising concerns about capex.

Instead this "bubble" is packed with people who detest AI and have extremely bearish views on it's future. If this "bubble" does pop, I think it will be the first one in history that every single person saw coming.

▲oblio 7 hours ago | parent [-]

Almost every bubble ever had its detractors. Yet they still happened because those who actually had decision power and market shaping power didn't care about any downsides from popping a larger bubble so they just wanted to make money.

▲WarmWash 7 hours ago | parent [-]

>Almost every bubble ever had its detractors.

Absolutely correct. That's why I mentioned the niche in my comment.

But no bubble ever has been predominately detractors.

▲NetMageSCW 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

And AI isn’t either.

▲oblio 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Bubbles are driven and crashed by people who put their money where their mouth is.

So online discourse doesn't matter much.

▲joshstrange 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This slavish devotion to shareholder value above all else is pretty gross.

He cheated, multiple times, he is scum for that.

He seems to have consorted with a spy and evaded export bans. He is a criminal for that.

Oh, but he made people a lot of money? All good! /s

Throwing all morals and ethics out the window because of the eCoNoMy is insane.

The cult of personality around CEOs is unhealthy.

▲kphorn 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Both can be true. What if Jensen is a guy who did bad things and Nvidia triggers a recession because it loses its central status on AI?

▲stetrain 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

If a single person was keeping the market from a recession, then that itself is the issue, not the removal of that person.

▲djaro 5 hours ago | parent [-]

not necessarily. One athlete's performance can be the difference between a team winning and losing. One general can make the difference between winning and losing a war. No risk also comes with the downside of no reward, artificially constraining high achievers so we dont become too reliant on them just means everyone is equally low achieving

▲stetrain 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Trillions of investment across people's retirement accounts being vulnerable to one heart attack, stroke, or car accident isn't resilient.

▲oblio 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

We need better markets and recessions are the cost of cleaning markets up, unfortunately.

▲joshstrange 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I never said there wouldn't be consequences to the economy. I said it's crazy to put up with such bad behavior to spare the economy.

▲seunosewa 7 hours ago | parent [-]

The economy is everything. Ask Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

▲2OEH8eoCRo0 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The comments in these threads are somewhat sickening. That so many commenters here see no problem with his behavior is troubling.

▲Freedom2 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Welcome to HackerNews!

▲sidibe 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Hero worshippers.

▲pesus 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Par for the course on HN, unfortunately. I once thought the stereotypes about "tech bros" were overblown, but HN users seem dedicated to proving them right. Something's gone wrong if you're making comments complaining about how ethics don't matter at all in life and money is the only thing to ever be considered.

▲computerex 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Totally agree. And that's late-stage capitalism for you. For a site named "hacker news" the hacker spirit is noticeably absent here. Instead you have simps for billionaires.

▲djaro 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

If anything Jensen Huang is the exact embodiment of the hacker spirit. An engineer who singlehandedly created one of the most valuable companies on earth by creating the chips that AI runs on.

I dont get how you can talk about the "hacker spirit" but then talk about "late-stage capitalism" (essentially the flat-earthism of economy) and tech founders.

▲pesus 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> I dont get how you can talk about the "hacker spirit" but then talk about "late-stage capitalism" (essentially the flat-earthism of economy) and tech founders.

Can you elaborate on why you think not a single aspect of late stage capitalism is true in any capacity, like flat-earthism?

▲computerex 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

What are you smoking?

> An engineer who singlehandedly created one of the most valuable companies on earth

Nvidia has 42k employees.

Nvidia chips are not the only chips AI runs on. Google for example runs everything on their own TPU's.

I don't know how you can talk so much out of your ass. Simping for billionaires is not "hacker spirit".

▲NetMageSCW 4 hours ago | parent [-]

How many employees did it start with?

▲computerex 2 hours ago | parent [-]

3 employees. That was 33 years ago. If you seriously think he is solely responsible for nvidia’s success I am willing to bet that you also voted for Trump.

▲NetMageSCW 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Also, solely, no. Majorly, is obvious from the history.

▲NetMageSCW 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You would be wrong but way to live up to the stereotype.

▲CPLX 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The thing to remember every time you see the orange, so you don't forget, is that you are posting on the promotional website of a multibillion-dollar private equity firm.

▲taylorfinley 6 hours ago | parent [-]

This is of course true that YC provides this platform but, tapping in to my religious upbringing, it's a bit like confusing a church for the building it's in. Ycombinator owns the building that the community meets in, but the community is bigger than the landlord. The landlord can set some rules and influence what happens in the building, but if they impose too much on the community it will find a different building to meet in.

▲CPLX an hour ago | parent [-]

If you think that the values of a church have nothing to do with the discussions that happen inside of the church, I'm not sure what to tell you. If you believe the opposite, that's exactly the same point that I was just making.

▲marcusverus 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> This slavish devotion to shareholder value above all else is pretty gross.

Anti-capitalists appealing to bourgeoisie values in their zeal to destroy a capitalist icon is pretty freakin' rich.

▲elorant 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

And we get to buy GPUs again in normalized prices. How's that bad for the economy exactly?

▲kphorn 7 hours ago | parent [-]

I’m stoked about my next computer. It does kind of suck to see one’s retirement account get cut by 30% even when in mutual funds…

▲avgDev 7 hours ago | parent [-]

How is it going to get cut by 30%? NVDA is only 6% of SP500.

▲kridsdale1 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Everyone else depends on them.

▲0xbadcafebee 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Nvidia stock price is now lower than it was a year ago. Has been declining for about 6 months, highly volatile, with a step sell off starting a month ago.

Cisco's stock price was similarly very high during the dotcom boom, but then collapsed, and took 17 years to build back up.

The thing people keep forgetting is nvidia makes graphics cards. Not CPUs, not a range of different products. Graphics cards. With a software moat. Their only business advantage is that people currently want a lot of their graphics cards and are currently dependent on their software. All that can be competed against. China is already putting out their own cards. Google has TPUs. AMD makes both CPUs and GPUs. The memory prices will soon fall as more capacity comes online.

It's practically a certainty that this stock price will keep falling. They're valuable, but in a competitive market, likely not 10x more valuable than their $17 stock price in 2022. When they fall harder so will the AI economy.

▲kridsdale1 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Nvidia makes a lot of CPUs, my dude. And network switches. They’re full stack.