| ▲ | cattown 2 hours ago |
| This article is kind of playful, but I think there’s a serious point here that’s not discussed enough. We’re being asked to usher in huge productivity gains by introducing AI to our workflows, but we’re not asking how does it help us? Not a lot of us stand to directly gain from our employers becoming more productive. I know everybody is afraid of getting fired and replaced with AI or whatever right now. But we should be seriously asking in our next all hands meetings if 10x’ing our productivity can get us some days off. Or when our paycheck is going to be multiplied accordingly. So far we’re all kind of being chumps about this, bragging on Linkedin about all of our new found AI productivity while accepting less job security and no increase in comp. |
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| ▲ | _moof 31 minutes ago | parent | next [-] |
| Whenever a new way is found to improve efficiency, choices have to be made about how to distribute the new surplus. Choices are made by people who have power and imposed upon people who don't. The people with power under current systems don't care about the people who do the work. They care about getting rich. So if there's an efficiency gain to be had, all of that new efficiency is going to be put towards increasing output or reallocating work. None of it - under current power structures - will ever go towards allowing workers to work less, because workers aren't the ones deciding where it will go. |
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| ▲ | d4mi3n 27 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Unless one choses to bargain. Perhaps collectively. | | | |
| ▲ | porknubbins 9 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | My employers who are introducing AI are not laughing evil supervillains hoovering up all the excess profits, they are normal people who wanted long careers and are as nervous as anyone about competition amd what AI will do to organizations if people become truly redundant. | | |
| ▲ | hilariously 2 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Cool well my employers fired me for an AI psychosis trip so I am glad you are working for those ones who "wanted long careers" and "are nervous as anyone" because hoboy is that not what we are seeing in the ownership class right now. |
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| ▲ | TheWrongGuy 10 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | "Hence too the economic paradox, that the most powerful instrument for shortening labour-time, becomes the most unfailing means for placing every moment of the labourer's time and that of his family, at the disposal of the capitalist for the purpose of expanding the value of his capital." - some crazy radical economist, nearly 200 years ago | |
| ▲ | jlebar 9 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Choices are made by people who have power and imposed upon people who don't. In a capitalist society, choices are made according to supply and demand. In a world where there's a positive supply shock (in this case, there's a lot more programming available for purchase today than there was a year ago), supply goes up. We therefore expect the price for the good to decrease. This has nothing to do with power or whether people care about xyz. It's a consequence of the economic system we live under. You can desire to live under a different economic system! That's logically coherent. But if you want the laws of supply and demand not to apply to you, that's what you're asking for. Honestly I'm getting tired of this narrative. People take the benefits of capitalism for granted (indeed most of us on this forum do very well for ourselves relative to the average person in our country and around the world), but we blame all of its downsides on "bad people". | | |
| ▲ | ncallaway 3 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Right, but a day off would reduce supply. And 2 days off was not a system dictated by God, which we are obligated to keep in perpetuity (in fact, most religions dictate 1 day off, not 2). So, we could, as a society, just choose to make a 32 hour workweek “full time”, and mandate overtime pay after that. There’s no reason, even under capitalism that we must allow all of the productivity gains to accrue to the benefit of solely those at the top of an enormous pile of wealth. In fact, I think if we choose to do that as a society, it will end horrifically. |
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| ▲ | Cakez0r 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The reality is that most people are paid for their time, not for their output. I think most contracts for salaried employees are along the lines of "work n hours a week". If you want to get paid for output, you can't be a salaried employee. |
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| ▲ | nlawalker an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Salaried employees aren't paid for their time, they're paid for a combination of their output and their availability. Availability used to be strongly coupled with time but technology has introduced some flexibility there. | | |
| ▲ | mastazi 9 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Can you give some examples of jobs that are usually done by salaried employees and are paid by output? All the examples I can think of, are usually done by independent contractors. | | |
| ▲ | toofy a few seconds ago | parent [-] | | i think we could say with absolute certainty that someone with a subpar output will be fired. don’t pretend there aren’t expectations of a certain level of output. |
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| ▲ | cm11 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I don't think this is the reality. It is part of it, but people get paid different salaries, why? Some are more productive than others. Aside from leadership's (and society's) biased ability to determine value, these people theoretically get more because they contribute more. | | |
| ▲ | NooneAtAll3 an hour ago | parent [-] | | while productivity is correlated with salary, generally the ability to ask for a raise, to defend your pay and office politics navigation would be more impactful on average |
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| ▲ | raincole an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | They are paid for what they collectively output. The only reason that people seem to be paid by their time is that it's hard to measure each one's output individually and granularly. | | |
| ▲ | jandrese 39 minutes ago | parent [-] | | That's not really true. Pay raises have lagged behind productivity gains for decades now and the gap is only growing wider. |
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| ▲ | kbar13 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | is this not backwards? salaried employee means you get paid the same amount no matter how many hours you work. | | |
| ▲ | majormajor an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | There is a lot of regulatory stuff, particularly around benefits, that push people towards nominally 40hr salaried contracts even if they don't need all 40 of those. "Salaried" vs hourly is increasingly a scam anyway, but all that benefits stuff is something that would have to evolve. And it could, if people find the political will. | |
| ▲ | hexis 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | typically there is a floor, at least de facto. | | |
| ▲ | Cakez0r an hour ago | parent [-] | | The contracts I've seen have an explicit floor, not a de facto one. I.E. The contract says the minimum number of hours you need to work. Some countries also have overtime laws which create a ceiling. Either way it doesn't change that being paid for your output is the realm of entrepreneurship and submitting bids for project work. | | |
| ▲ | gbear605 8 minutes ago | parent [-] | | At least for my software job in the US, and other salaried jobs I’ve seen, there are explicitly no hours listed, and it’s supposedly based only on your output. In practice though, if your butt isn’t in the seat 40 hours a week or so, and usually more, the boss will be mad. |
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| ▲ | bwhiting2356 33 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | When you work for a startup, or a zero-to-one project, it's hard to say you're even paid for your output. You're paid for probabilistic/expected future value output. | | |
| ▲ | RevEng 6 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Every meeting, every memo, and every prototype is output in terms of the employees doing that work. Whether it's directly saleable is irrelevant. The investors base the value of their investment on the expected future value of the company, but the people being to do the work are being paid for the work they are doing regardless of what the future value of the company becomes. That is if they are paid a salary. If they are given shares, then that compensation is entirely dependent on future value. |
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| ▲ | aetch 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I think it’s the other way around. Hourly wages are paid directly for time at work | | |
| ▲ | zdragnar an hour ago | parent [-] | | At least in the US, there are regulations around what constitutes "full time" employment, and many benefits (such as insurance) are tied into being offered only for full time employees, or at different tiers between part and full time. As such, you are still expected to work a minimum amount of time. That's what you're signing up for. Fixed deliverable contracts- completing certain objectives- tend to either specify those things as minimum performance expectations, or are for contractors rather than employees. |
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| ▲ | bigmadshoe an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Yes but you are missing the point: our time can now make the company way more money. Can’t we demand a piece of this? | | |
| ▲ | Aurornis 39 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | > Can’t we demand a piece of this? You can demand whatever you want. You could demand a million dollar salary if you wanted. The challenge is that there are a lot of very qualified devs who would do it for less. Labor is a market. Supply and demand determines your wages. There are always hand-wavey arguments about unionization fixing this, but when other developers are hungry for those jobs and willing to go around the union to work them for pay then that doesn’t really work at scale. There are several unionized software development groups in the US. They don’t have a good track record of getting significantly higher pay or even getting their demands met from their limited strikes. | | |
| ▲ | bwhiting2356 20 minutes ago | parent [-] | | I was in the musician's union for 12 years before I got into tech. There were some silly rules, like someone couldn't be both a musician and and orchestrator on the same show, because it's "doing 2 jobs". It's like saying you can't be full stack. You couldn't fire people who were bad at their jobs and stopped putting in any effort. There was a profit sharing agreement that the union rejected, because it would come at the expense of higher base salaries, and then they wondered why there were only big producers that first developed the show out of town. Some rules I actually liked. Rehearsals started and ended _exactly_ on time to avoid overtime (showing up late was the only reason you could be fired, which was a useful compromise). But generally, the union was the yin to the producers yang, and an adversarial position as worker advocate was where they wanted to be, they didn't want more ownership. If someone gave me the chance to join something more like a worker-owned coop, where the workers on the business and vote on how it works, I would actually be down. There's a grocery store down my street like this and it's a great place. I don't know how this would actually work in tech. If there's no startup capital, no one will have a salary or benefits for years until there's a profit (if at all). And capital comes in exchange for ownership of the future upside. |
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| ▲ | throw0101a 26 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Can’t we demand a piece of this? If your company is publicly traded, you can buy its stock. |
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| ▲ | sieabahlpark an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | [dead] |
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| ▲ | paulhebert an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Right, the AI companies don’t even try to pretend it’s good for the average person. The message could be “we’ll all do more by working less.” Instead it’s, “some people will lose their jobs while everyone else works the same amount or more” |
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| ▲ | theptip 35 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think it’s pretty naive to ask your employer for a day off. As experienced by companies, the market is more competitive than ever. Whoever slows down will get eaten by some hungry upstart that is willing to work 996 to eat the incumbent’s lunch. It’s a Prisoner’s Dilemma. The only way to get this outcome is to coordinate at a level higher than individual market participants. In other words, get your government to implement UBI - tax all companies (or if AI really takes off, just compute) and redistribute to the people. |
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| ▲ | mastazi 18 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | > I think it’s pretty naive to ask your employer for a day off. Someone said the same before 1938, probably [1] I think it's possible that AI will bring as much of a shift to our lives as the industrial revolution did, so it might be necessary to make some adjustments, just like we did back then. [1] https://www.history.com/articles/five-day-work-week-labor-mo... | |
| ▲ | lazide 31 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | lol, this government is going to just throw anyone trying into the meat grinder. The only way to do this is to bypass the authorities. |
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| ▲ | moduspol an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Computers and the Internet ushered in huge productivity gains. Despite many people losing their jobs as a result, it's tough to argue society isn't better off. I think that's the key difference with AI, though. It's not like I'm losing my job, but at least I have a robot at home that cleans the house and does my laundry. People are having their livelihoods threatened while their utility bills go up because of datacenters, and the only substantive impact in their personal lives is that now they have to deal with chatbots and low effort automated customer service agents even more. I'm OK with accepting a job that pays 10x less if the efficiencies from AI mean we're all living in abundance and life is >10x cheaper. But it's unclear if/when we'll move beyond marginal business impact, aside from in software development, I suppose. |
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| ▲ | esikich 35 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | I think it's impossible to argue we are better off. This comment is so detached from reality it's almost offensive. Education is unaffordable, health care is unaffordable, homes are unaffordable, the rich have gotten massively richer, the middle class has been gutted, suicides are up, birth rates are down... I could go on and on. It's gotten better for the 1% but the rest of us are being boiled like frogs. To the point where we've (you've) literally forgotten we used to be able to raise a family on a single income. But I guess we have video games and door dash, so sure, we're better off. | | |
| ▲ | zeroonetwothree 3 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Median income is vastly higher. Did you live before ~1990? Standard of living was a lot lower back then, it’s pretty apparent. |
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| ▲ | Ancalagon an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Is society better off? Honest question, you used to be able to support a family of four with a single 9-5. | | |
| ▲ | bryanlarsen 32 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | And that support was a family of 4-6 in a 1200 sq ft house, eating out <6x a year, vacations were picnics at the local beach, one car that you did your own maintenance on, one tv, only one set of good clothes (your Sunday outfit), et cetera. Most places in the US can still support a family at that same level of expenditure on an average income. | |
| ▲ | kylenessen 33 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | My great grandfather supported a family of 7 making brooms. He didn’t own the broom factory. He was an employee, and was paid by the broom. My great grandmother stayed at home to raise 5 children. There was even enough to lend to the local grocery store, apparently. This was at the turn of the 20th century in Canada. | |
| ▲ | bwhiting2356 43 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | More household work was done in this era, before grocery stores sold prepared food, before washing machines. And more people lived in less square footage, with grandparents living in the home, less privacy and autonomy. I don't know if we've made the right trade, but it's not the case that a single worker's income was paying for the kind of lifestyle a family of four now has. | | |
| ▲ | esikich 33 minutes ago | parent [-] | | How is this relevant? The houses built in the 60s aren't affordable either. Look at median income and median home prices. You're telling on yourself. Average families aren't buying prepared food and they have a washing machine from the 90s they bought on craigslist. There's a 90% chance if you are on this site, you are not average. You are a part of the haves and you need to consider that you are living a very different life from the average American, which all this productivity should be helping but fucking clearly isn't. | | |
| ▲ | Auracle 20 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > The houses built in the 60s aren't affordable either. Far, far more people and the same amount of land. > Average families aren't buying prepared food and they have a washing machine from the 90s they bought on craigslist. Well, that's just not true. The average person is absolutely terrible with their money. Not only are they buying prepared food, they're paying someone to drive it to their house. | | |
| ▲ | iamnothere 5 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > Well, that's just not true. The average person is absolutely terrible with their money. Not only are they buying prepared food, they're paying someone to drive it to their house. The average person is doing this? Do you have sources/stats or are you just going on vibes, or are you looking at people in your (likely non-average) peer group? |
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| ▲ | fyrn_ an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Shareholders = society.
The rest of us are just the help |
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| ▲ | throw0101a 31 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Computers and the Internet ushered in huge productivity gains. “You can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.” — Robert Solow * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Productivity_paradox * https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-solow-productivity-pa... Connectivity/the Internet gave a bit of a boost during the 1990s, but the numbers pearked around 2004: * https://www.milkenreview.org/articles/the-rise-and-fall-of-a... * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Rise_and_Fall_of_American_... * https://www.csls.ca/ipm/31/gordon.pdf | |
| ▲ | danny_codes 5 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | >I'm OK with accepting a job that pays 10x less if the efficiencies from AI mean we're all living in abundance Well, you won't be living in abundance. All productivity gains will go to the oligarchs. You will have slightly less than you had before. Instead of cleaning the floor yourself you'll work the extra hour for the oligarchs doing whatever the robots cant. That's the path America is on at present. | |
| ▲ | shimman an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Is this a joke? Income inequality is at it's highest (even worse than the gilded age), deaths of despair are at their highest as well, people can't afford childcare (a years worth of childcare costs more than college), people are losing access to health insurance en masse; but we're suppose to think society is truly better off? What brand of edibles do you have there 'bud? I'd like to fly into that realm of alternate reality for a bit. Also when have any efficiencies gained by employers benefited workers? Being honest here because the only time workers have truly gained anything was due to solidarity between workers in the forms of strikes + workplace sabotage. |
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| ▲ | ikjasdlk2234 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think the feeling is if we want to even keep our current footing in the market we have to increase productivity by 10x because everyone else is as well. And if everyone else is, the productivity floor is raised but every other competitor has done the same so we don't have 10x the economic output, maybe only a marginal increase. If that is true, then there will be no days off because we have just reset the status quo. edit: spelling |
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| ▲ | paulhebert 43 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Exactly. All the employers are still sharing the same sized market. There’s not more money going around for them to earn. But they’re also paying hefty AI bills so there’s less money for salaries. The AI companies just swoop in and take some of the money that was going to the working man |
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| ▲ | giancarlostoro an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Meanwhile my employer still has not given us any AI tooling. I build more things for personal use and for niche hobbies that are more refined, polished and documented than most employers have ever given me in terms of project requirements. Everyone keeps saying the bottleneck was not how fast you can write the code. I believe the bottleneck is two-fold: coding without architecting and no solid business requirements. I do agree though, give me AI tooling, and I will build you cities, but pay me to match it. |
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| ▲ | armada651 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| When your labor force makes gains in productivity you can choose to do one of two things: 1. Reduce working hours
2. Grow the economy Guess which option was last picked in 1868 and never again despite massive gains in productivity? |
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| ▲ | majormajor an hour ago | parent [-] | | Are we really so sure that reducing working hours can't, itself, lead to improved economic health? Such as by increasing distribution of income flows, and increasing time available for economic consumption? One of the greatest tricks of the modern era in the US has been to convince everyone that making the slice of pie bigger for the richest people is necessary to grow the economy. | | |
| ▲ | 37 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | Aurornis 37 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | > and increasing time available for economic consumption? Where is that additional money going to come from? I think you’re missing some important factors in your analysis. |
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| ▲ | JimDabell 39 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > We’re being asked to usher in huge productivity gains by introducing AI to our workflows, but we’re not asking how does it help us? Not a lot of us stand to directly gain from our employers becoming more productive. How much money do you think the average developer would be making if we all were using punchcards instead of typing? Inputting machine code instead of using a compiler? Every time we increase our productivity, we can build bigger and better things for the same amount of effort. This makes us more valuable than before. Our output grows and the world’s appetite for software grows with it. This has been true for the entire history of the software industry and it’s the reason why developers are very well paid. You may not see it at the individual level, but we are reaping the rewards of increased productivity at the macro level. |
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| ▲ | apt-apt-apt-apt 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Same answer as for most hope-filled employee questions sadly: You get to keep your job. You agreed to accept X pay for 40 hours, do it or we'll find someone else who will. |
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| ▲ | slg an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | That's why it has to be collective. That's why OP mentioned saying it in an all hands. That's why there's always discussion of tech worker unions despite our high pay. Any one of us try to push too hard on this sort of thing on our own and they'll "just find someone else" who would happily take our place. | | |
| ▲ | ipaddr 37 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Might have been possible before mass migration flooded the market with cheap labor and jobs connected to one employer and immigration status. | | |
| ▲ | slg 22 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Classic American politics right there: Person 1: "We need class solidarity against the billionaires." Person 2: "No, it's the immigrants' fault." |
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| ▲ | bruhFaaahNo an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Except all the people who drilled such mandates into our heads are dying off. These things persist over time only so long as we keep discussing them. We're really failing to meet the moment before us by merely repeating the propaganda of elders that glaze over on live TV trying to act authoritative and useful to humanity. Exploitation of youth is no less ageist than telling gramps look in the mirror. |
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| ▲ | bix6 17 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I will be automating the things that annoy me so I can spend time on the things I like. |
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| ▲ | vanuatu an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think equity compensation should be normalized (or ideally allow employees to choose the % of their compensation is equity vs. cash) so every employee can partake in the upside of the company. |
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| ▲ | ipaddr 32 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| You are not the 10x factor and can't use it to increase your wage. If you leave the next person is a 10x factor because of ai. Now if AI providers all increased prices they could get a raise. |
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| ▲ | stego-tech an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| If workers got time off relative to the productivity gains achieved of the past fifty years and considering the comparatively stagnant wages over that time period, we’d only be working 2 to 3 days a week, tops. The author might be being playful, but an increasing amount of folks at or past their breaking points definitely aren’t. |
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| ▲ | whatshisface 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Working out why the workweek is 5 days, non-negotiably, even if you'd be willing to be paid less in proportion, comes down to realizing that it's being maximized subject to the constraint that everybody would flip out if it was 6, and then working out why it's being maximized. What it's telling you is that a company would rather have 4 people working 5 days a week than 5 people working 4 days a week. The reason for that is, productivity drops a lot when it's spread out over multiple people. The reason behind that is communication overhead - the more context an individual carries in their heads, the less likely their role will exist on an hourly basis in the industry. So, if anyone wants AI to give us another day off, we need to think about how it can reduce the cost of "context switching" a whole person on and off a task, without simultaneously formalizing our roles so much that it gives us all five. ;-) |
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| ▲ | majormajor an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | > Working out why the workweek is 5 days, non-negotiably, even if you'd be willing to be paid less in proportion, comes down to realizing that it's being maximized subject to the constraint that everybody would flip out if it was 6, and then working out why it's being maximized. This ignores a lot of historical fighting (sometimes literally!) to get it down to 5 in the first place. If everyone sufficiently "flips out" about it being 5 then the problem of "reduce the context switching problem" is something the owner can try to figure out. Cause otherwise, you could find a perfect solution to that problem, and still not have leverage to make ownership actually change anything vs just raise expectations that much higher. (Meanwhile, some companies are trying to import 996 and push it past 5 for white-collar work anyway, so any sort of non-political, non-disruptive action seems doomed to fail since the status quo is moving the wrong direction.) | | |
| ▲ | whatshisface an hour ago | parent [-] | | The "flipping out" aspect is something that does not seem to have a lot to do with technology at this time or in the past. | | |
| ▲ | majormajor an hour ago | parent [-] | | >The "flipping out" aspect is something that does not seem to have a lot to do with technology at this time or in the past. How so? Without technology we wouldn't have a "work week" in the first place and work would be much more directly tied to survival of the community and generally less negotiable in the first place. The "flipping out" came about precisely because technology changed what work was and what the conditions around it were while people noticed that those new expectations and conditions didn't actually seem necessary for their survival (or even much to their personal direct benefit vs the benefit of business owners). Any technology that lets more be done with less time is an opportunity for a population to make an attempt to claim some of those gains for themselves. | | |
| ▲ | whatshisface an hour ago | parent [-] | | The past had slaves too. The feudal arrangement of tenant farmers was only one system of labor. I don't think union bargaining was ever tied to specific advances in technology. | | |
| ▲ | majormajor an hour ago | parent [-] | | Sorry, I'm drawing a blank on much history of slaves in a extremely-low-technological society or how it was imposed or ended in those societies, could you provide some examples of what you're meaning exactly by bringing slavery up? Feudalism or other things happening in those centuries is well into the technological era. Are you saying you can't think of examples from the past of the introduction of technology changing labor dynamics or organization? Say, mechanical agriculture? The changes are hardly going to always be good - there's no determinism of "new technology means society will get 'better'". But they've often been periods of change, and such periods are when it's easier to influence the direction if you happen to care about the direction of the change. |
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| ▲ | cm11 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This analysis makes sense to me. I'll add that the little bit of research that's come out suggests individual people are as productive in four day work weeks as five, which doesn't contradict your point. The other thing is that if leadership is better—they have stronger vision and coordinate the silos (of people or teams) themselves—the communication overhead is less. The more each level needs to communicate, sync, and align with each other, the more it reflects the top not doing it. This is so thoroughly normalized today that it's hard to see otherwise. As you move down the hierarchy, the theory embedded in the chosen org structure that most tech companies have, is that less communicating should be necessary. This is what middle managers (and product managers) are supposed to be for—coordinating and communicating to take that off the plate of their subordinates. The lack of leadership above is why the managers below get hired. Those managers then do the same and eventually ICs need to coordinate amongst themselves. | |
| ▲ | ikr678 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Its not a communication overhead, it's that business owners want to maximise their returns on their fixed operating costs subject to the 5 day limit.
One extra staff member in a traditional office is extra software license, extra seating, extra hardware, extra HR/payroll/insurance, extra risk, extra training etc etc. Remember to thank your unions for the weekend. | | |
| ▲ | whatshisface an hour ago | parent [-] | | If it was utilization of fixed capital that motivated the maximum-length workweek of today and centuries past, they wouldn't mind who was on the shifts or how many so long as there were three of them. | | |
| ▲ | majormajor an hour ago | parent [-] | | I'd be surprised if the jobs where it highly matters which employer covers the shift weren't significantly outnumbered by the ones where it generally doesn't. Labor-as-a-commodity has been an explicit goal of a lot of industrialization management methods. |
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| ▲ | qazxcvbnmlp an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I think this is where one of the biggest gains in productivity from AI will come from. Even if it levels off at current levels of “intelligence” a 30% reduction in team size will save alot of communication overhead. We think of productivity as linear to the number of employees, but it’s more of Log(N) for knowledge work because of the communication overhead. If your AI spend and employee productivity improvement ends up being proportional to headcount thats a linear gain that used to be Log(N). | | |
| ▲ | whatshisface an hour ago | parent [-] | | The drivers behind the asymptotic scaling are the tasks that can't be compartmentalized into prompts, the same tasks that couldn't be compartmentalized into a request for another person to do. |
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| ▲ | thaumasiotes an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | > What it's telling you is that a company would rather have 4 people working 5 days a week than 5 people working 4 days a week. The reason for that is, productivity drops a lot when it's spread out over multiple people. Why make that assumption? The company has a lot of per-employee fixed costs, which means that it's much more expensive to have 5 employees than 4 employees under the assumption that total productivity is exactly equal in both cases. (And the further assumption that you pay more productive workers more than you pay less productive workers.) If you want flexibility on the work week, get rid of the concept of "full-time employee" status and make everyone contractors. |
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| ▲ | 11101010010001 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| just don't call it organized labor. |
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| ▲ | jrflowers 17 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Benefits from productivity gains only go to shareholders gp, it’s the foundational truth that underpins the whole world economy :-D |
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| ▲ | trinsic2 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think people should use AI to start their own business instead of working for someone else's vision. I mean if you're working for someone else your choices are limited. And I'm not saying that you should be mistreated. I'm just saying you have more control of your life when you're working for yourself. |
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| ▲ | ux266478 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > Or when our paycheck is going to be multiplied accordingly. That doesn't increase shareholder value, so it would be a violation of the c-suite's fiduciary responsibility. Sorry, the extra capital will instead be used on stock buybacks. |
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| ▲ | rootusrootus an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | <insert required disclaimer here that fiduciary duty does not require using every opportunity to increase shareholder value> | |
| ▲ | twbarr an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Fiduciary responsibility also requires long-term thinking. If AI is writing the code, I need the smartest, most well-rested supervisors I can get. | |
| ▲ | jmye an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Sorry, the extra capital will instead be used on stock buybacks. Given how start-up (and thus equity) heavy this board is, that should also directly multiply total comp, even though it was meant as a vapid snipe and isn't actually vaguely valid outside of a handful of very large companies. |
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| ▲ | denkmoon an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Tech workers _are_ a bunch of chumps. Temporarily embarrassed billionaire startup founders. The vehicle for this is a union, and tech workers abjectly refuse to unionise. |
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| ▲ | pseudosavant an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| While I agree with the playful sentiment of the post, this isn't what happened for factory workers as their work has been augmented by automation. Ford makes twice as many vehicles per worker in 2025 than they did in 1960. Did the auto workers get 20-hour work weeks? Nope. I have to ask myself why we think us white collar knowledge workers are so special? Even if I do dream of a time where automation leads all of us to a 3-4 day work week. |
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| ▲ | chipsrafferty 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Right. If I am producing 10x more output then I expect to be getting paid about 8x more or working 8x less. |
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| ▲ | swatcoder an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | You should talk to your union rep about that, because renegotiations like that won't happen on the individual basis just because you think its right. And almost all lack the leverage, individually, to make it happen. Of course, until just recently, Big Tech workers were so proud to be on top of the world that they didn't think unions made sense for them. Were you among them? Has that changed? | |
| ▲ | 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | arjvik 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | something something you're paid the amount the market values your work, which in today's job market is an order of magnitude less than the profit you bring the company | | |
| ▲ | r-w 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Well then why make it easy for my work to get devalued? It's not like workers are sitting on the sidelines here, they (I'm aggregate, at least) hold all the power. | | |
| ▲ | majormajor an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | The US still largely believes everything that Reagan Republicans preached about the "evils" of taxation and regulation of oligarchy, despite the US economy overall (and the "average joe") doing quite well in the era that followed "soak the rich" taxes being passed. So many claims about how it would lead to far better lives for everyone, but the working conditions and general affordability have basically gone down for 40 years. Imagine bringing back the white collar work in the 80s, with a private office with a door, and people whose jobs were to help coordinate and schedule things even if you weren't an exec, instead of you just having a phone to answer all hours of the day. | |
| ▲ | codebje an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Sounds like an argument for organised labour to me! |
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| ▲ | rootusrootus an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | > in today's job market is an order of magnitude less than the profit you bring the company Then why have we not all been fired already? Sounds like an instant win. | | |
| ▲ | codebje an hour ago | parent [-] | | Wouldn't the parent's post mean that you bring profit to the company, but you're worth less than the full amount of that profit because, should you demand to be paid more, you can be replaced by someone who won't demand more. (Has there actually been a lot of terminations in the US tech industry, or is that an odd biasing mechanism causing me to see such things as bigger than they are?) |
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| ▲ | BrenBarn 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > We’re being asked to usher in huge productivity gains by introducing AI to our workflows, but we’re not asking how does it help us? More flour more water. More water more flour. |
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| ▲ | monkaiju 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I mean productivity gains don't usually go towards making the workers life any better. Also I'm still less than convinced there are any net productivity gains from AI anyway. |
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| ▲ | coro_1 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | AI copy pasta misses beats. I've seen people forget to review their comms, and create a lot of confusion, wasting time actually. |
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| ▲ | codex_dev_33352 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | codex_dev_33352 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | aaron695 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | calvinmorrison 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| well productivity gains are largely met with higher standard of living, quality of life and the upward movement of the lowest classes, for one. |
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| ▲ | passive 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | That's not generally true in the US over the last 40 years, where the gains from productivity increases have been accumulated almost entirely by the top classes. Yes, lower classes have access to many more conveniences then they might have had in earlier decades, but they are working far more hours, and their expected lifespan has started decreasing. | | |
| ▲ | calvinmorrison 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | my dad grew up in a house without running water in a town where everyone worked in a mine and the lead was everywhere. he hitchiked to alaska for seasonal work in a fish cannery. Yeah I don't know... i think things are better than they were 40 years ago. | | |
| ▲ | Sl1mb0 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | There are still people in America who live without running water. There are still people who work on fishing boats in Alaska. There are still people who hitchhike. This is literally just an anecdote trying to deflect from contemporary problems. I don't see any value in this sort of discourse. Just because things may have been worse for specific individuals does *not* mean that current problems shouldn't be addressed. | | |
| ▲ | jmye an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | > Just because things may have been worse for specific individuals does not mean that current problems shouldn't be addressed. Suggesting that things are better now than they were in 1986 for the overwhelming majority of people is not, in any way whatsoever, suggesting that
"problems shouldn't be addressed". Come on. Y'all have got to start actually reading things before smashing that reply button. | |
| ▲ | calvinmorrison 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | oh no an anecdote! run away! | | |
| ▲ | shimman an hour ago | parent [-] | | You should, especially when said anecdote amounts to "shut the fuck up and be thankful to your corporate overlords peasant." |
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| ▲ | lostlogin an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > i think things are better than they were 40 years ago. In relative terms, they seem much worse, Americans standing isn’t what it was. In absolute terms, I don’t know. What’s the measure? | | |
| ▲ | jaggederest an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | I like FSI, which is a dimensionless number taking into account basically the functioning of society and the likelihood for unrest. (Fragile State Index) It's the highest, at the moment, that it's been since the 1800s. The nadir for the US was in the late 40s early 50s when we had a 92% top marginal tax rate and extremely high social cohesion despite massive WW2 debts. Needless to say the late 40s and early 50s was not exactly utopia, but substantially more stable. | |
| ▲ | Wobbles42 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The measure was clearly stated: the life style of that one guy's dad. He's the official consumer well being canary. | |
| ▲ | chrisweekly 41 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | What is the relevance of "Americans standings" circa 1986? |
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| ▲ | ux266478 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Things are better for you than your dad, presumably. Unfortunately, many Americans still live like that, so the conclusion doesn't hold water. |
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| ▲ | p-e-w 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | That hasn’t been true for decades in the West, even though per-capita productivity has been steadily rising since WW2. | | |
| ▲ | MichaelZuo 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Are you sure? From the data I’ve seen the bottom decile Americans consume significantly more per capita compared to even 2006. e.g. plane travel was completely absent amongst the bottom decile in 2006, like so close to zero mileage per capita per annum it was a rounding error. | | |
| ▲ | king_geedorah an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Is bottom decile consumption a good measure of economic health? In a way it seems it could signal the opposite, ie in the past the bottom decile was saving that money in an effort to change their economic conditions vs spending it now could indicate a lack of hope for upward mobility. To your example it seems worth noting that the quality of the air travel experience appears to decline over time as well. | | |
| ▲ | MichaelZuo an hour ago | parent [-] | | Bottom decile consumption is the best measure of economic health for the bottom decile… it clearly cannot be the best measure across the entirety of the population. Real physical consumption is by far the hardest metric to game or play tricks with. Yes technically, some probably are trading a bit of their future prospects for a nicer flight schedule, less red-eyes, etc… But I don’t see how that is relevant at all? |
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| ▲ | ux266478 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Yes actually, this is remarkably well studied: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2018/08/07/for-most-... I hate to imagine what this graph looks like today, given the massive amount of inflation that's happened in the last 6 years. | |
| ▲ | p-e-w 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Plane travel is a very poor proxy for quality of life. Home ownership, high-quality food, working hours etc. seem far more relevant. | | |
| ▲ | MichaelZuo 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Huh? People will, intentionally, work longer hours to afford more frequent plane travel. And to upgrade classes, perks, lounge access, etc… I’m pretty sure there are literally millions of people like that. |
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| ▲ | Hamster7330 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Wow. Yes. |
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| ▲ | winterbourne an hour ago | parent | prev [-] |
| It's a modern version of: "we're firing you, but your last task will be to train your lower-cost replacement". |