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sgnelson 5 days ago

This is interesting due to the tying of DPRK and PRC. It seems hard to say how much coordination there is between the two, but whatever it is, it appears to be greater than zero. While not necessarily surprising, I wonder if this public attribution will make it harder for the PRC to deny involvement with both the DPRK's efforts and their own.

jmyeet 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

I don't think Chinese support for NK has ever been a secret anymore than the the US support for South Korea has. And it's in China's backyardd so they've got way more of an excuse.

And if you think that doesn't matter, look at the Monroe Doctrine [1].

Taken further, the so-called Cuban Missile Crisis should really be called the Turkey Missile Crisis. The US (through NATO) placed Jupiter nuclear MRBMs in Turkey, only hunddreds of miles from Moscow. The USSR responded by doing the exact same thing, by placing nuclear weapons in Cuba. And the US almost started World War 3 over it.

It was the USSR who stepped back from the brink and, as a result of a secret agreement, the Jupiter MRBMs were quietly removed from Turkey [2].

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monroe_Doctrine

[2]: https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/jupiter-missiles-and-...

veqq 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

> The USSR responded by doing the exact same thing

This paints it as tit for tat, but to advert invasion the Cubans asked for the missiles over a year later than the missiles were placed in Turkey. The resolution combined these separate issues.

churchill 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Why is this comment downvoted? You have the right to see China, USSR and NK as immoral regimes but there's nothing non-factual here.

charonn0 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

The topic is cybercrime and espionage, not nuclear brinksmanship or colonialism. Whatever parallels can be drawn don't seem to be very relevant, so the comment comes off as an attempt to deflect criticism.

kace91 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

Maybe it wasn’t clear, but I think the comment is explaining the importance for superpowers of keeping their immediate surroundings politically aligned - china wants NK on their side for the same reason neither the US or the URSS wanted nukes on their doorstep.

5 days ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
codpiece 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It was still a fascinating aside, and it's not like HN stays on topic in a thread. I learned something today.

corimaith 4 days ago | parent [-]

I do wonder what's the state of history education today when one only learns a basic history event today, and through a layman's forum post which is surely going to have all the complete perspective as opposed to setting out an explicit agenda.

skinnymuch 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You can’t separate colonialism and imperialism from Korea. As if any of us know what Korea would be doing if the west didn’t invade then sanction among other things.

corimaith 4 days ago | parent [-]

North Korea invaded South Korea after US pressured South Korea to disarm. North Korea was the imperialist actor here.

skinnymuch a day ago | parent [-]

That’s not what imperialism means. At all. Next you’ll say China wanting reunification with its own people is imperialism but NATO in Ukraine isn’t. Or they can be equivocated.

I haven’t heard about the disarming stuff. I don’t think that part happened.

the_af 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> The topic is cybercrime and espionage, not nuclear brinksmanship or colonialism.

Those are all closely related topics in geopolitics.

5 days ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
corimaith 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The causality between missiles in Turkey causing the Cuban Missile Crisis is unsubstantiated by historical facts from the Soviets own perspectives.

It's more that Cuba requested nukes first, the USSR opportunistically took, then they to resolve the crisis they took that opportunity to remove Turkish missiles. It wasn't really a tit for tat on part of the USSR's intentions, Cuba was the primary agent here.

Not that it really mattered later on once ICBMs are developed.

jmyeet 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

From Khrushchev's own words (27 October 1962) [1]:

> Your missiles are located in Britain, are located in Italy, and are aimed against us. Your missiles are located in Turkey.

> You are disturbed over Cuba. You say that this disturbs you because it is 90 miles by sea from the coast of the United States of America. But Turkey adjoins us; our sentries patrol back and forth and see each other. Do you consider, then, that you have the right to demand security for your own country and the removal of the weapons you call offensive, but do not accord the same right to us? You have placed destructive missile weapons, which you call offensive, in Turkey, literally next to us. How then can recognition of our equal military capacities be reconciled with such unequal relations between our great states? This is irreconcilable.

According to General Boris Surikov [2]:

> 'Khrushchev and his Defence Minister, Rodion Malinovsky, were at Khrushchev's estate on the Black Sea. They went for a walk and Malinovsky pointed in the direction of Turkey and said: 'That's where the American rockets are pointing at us. They need only 10 minutes to reach our cities, but our rockets need 25 minutes to reach America.' Khrushchev thought for a while and then said: 'Why don't we instal our rockets in Cuba and point them at the Americans? Then we'll need only 10 minutes, too.'

This article goes on to quote the Soviet Ambassador to Cuba, Alexander Alexeyev, who was a direct witness and a go-between between Khrushchev and Castro:

> 'On 14 May 1962 I was called to a meeting of the Defence Council at the Kremlin. Khrushchev said, in effect: 'Comrades, I think it would be a good idea to instal rockets in Cuba. Do it clandestinely. I don't want it known in the US until November (after the mid-term Congressional elections). Alexander Alexeyev, how will Fidel react when we present him with our decision?'

[1]: https://microsites.jfklibrary.org/cmc/oct27/doc4.html

[2]: https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/the-cuban-missile-crisi...

corimaith 4 days ago | parent [-]

>From Khrushchev's own words (27 October 1962):

That dosen't refute anything from his own words as a justification as opposed to his primary goal to provide Cuba with defence here to deter a US invasion. As others have pointed out, the USSR was annoyed by these placements in Italy and Turkey earlier, but they did not declare war or start a crisis over it beforehand. It's more that Turkey was a bargaining chip here.

>>Our aim has been and is to help Cuba, and no one can dispute the humanity of our motives, which are oriented toward enabling Cuba to live peacefully and develop in the way its people desire.

You need to place here in context that the Jupiter missiles in Turkey were already obselete but the US had the overwhelming advantage in a nuclear strike with their Atlas ICBMs in USA at the time, relying more on a fleet of intercontinental bombers that could targeted by NORAD.

Removing nukes for Turkey did little to change the strategic calculus, but it did heavily deprive the USSR of an opportunity to change that calculus with Cuban nukes at the time, which was a major factor in Kruschev's later removal from power.

4 days ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
mopsi 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

jmyeet 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

> ... the US preying on its neighbors the way Russia and China are currently doing

Well, that's a matter of perspective isn't it? Cuba, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Colombia, Panama, Puerto Rico, Chile, El Salvador, Venezuela, the list goes on. There's a Wikipedia page dedicated to all the US backed coups since 1945 [1] it happens so often.

We've had a post-WW2 history of deposing democratically elected countries (in the Americas and elsewhere) to suit the interests of Western corporations. Who exactly are we protecting?

> ... it was a policy aimed at keeping wars between European colonial powers away from the newly independent countries in the Americas

Where is Moscow?

> ... people in the Americas shouldn't have to die in wars just because one European king insulted another.

Ok, but what about American belligerence? Pinochet and Noriega spring to mind.

Aso, I reject the contention that colonial wars were the product of European kings insulting one another. The interests were and always have been material. Even the Crusades (which were sold on Christian conflict with Islam) were fundamentally materialist in origin.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_r...

bgwalter 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You better edit the Wikipedia article to remove the propaganda. According to that, since Roosevelt the Monroe doctrine has been repurposed for hegemony in the Western Hemisphere:

Starting at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monroe_Doctrine#Roosevelt_Coro... and further.

StanislavPetrov 5 days ago | parent [-]

It is clear through any remotely honest reading of history that hemispheric hegemony was the whole point since Monroe. If you go back and read the speeches and literature from ~200 years ago from the time of Monroe it is pretty explicitly stated.

MangoToupe 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

> For starters, this propaganda often mischaracterizes the Monroe Doctrine as the US preying on its neighbors the way Russia and China are currently doing, when in fact it was a policy aimed at keeping wars between European colonial powers away from the newly independent countries in the Americas.

...so we can freely do as we please. Of course we've been preying on our neighbors. We've been invading and deposing all across the Americas to force alignment with our interests for well over a century now. We even have terrorist training camps hosted on our soil: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_Hemisphere_Institute_f...

What, do you think that our invading Grenada, or Panama, is somehow in their interests? It's a flagrant violation of international law and sovereignty. To imagine that this is somehow an abnormal deviation from our "protection" of our neighbors is... well, I honestly didn't realize anyone thought that way anymore.

Furthermore, we didn't enforce this doctrine when France invaded (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capture_of_Saint_Pierre_and_Mi...), nor in the Falklands war.

Look I can understand not thinking america is "evil" or entirely machiavellian, but it seems just as absurd to take any noble intentions we claim to have at face value. The monroe doctrine is as good an example of this as any.

corimaith 4 days ago | parent [-]

>Panama

92% of Panamans supported the invasion to despose Noreiga and actually would have preferred the US do it earlier back during his second coup.

Truth be speaking, I would where you are getting your history, if not just from skewed leftist internet Podcasters. Not mentioning the larger context of the Cold War and the opinions of the people on the ground does look more like lying by omission.

MangoToupe 4 days ago | parent [-]

I read history books like anyone else, the cold war was just straight retarded, and we trained Noriega (at the very school I already linked to). Furthermore just because I want someone to invade and liberate us doesn't mean it's not a violation of international law and sovereignty.

corimaith 4 days ago | parent [-]

>The cold war was just straight retarded

That's not an opinion that most will agree with, certainly from the USSR and the USA's own perspectives. I do wonder the kind of grades one would get if they wrote that down in a history class in any nation. And the more you understand history, both US and the USSR's actions do make perfect sense given their local contexts that most would be making the same decisions in the same position.

>I want someone to invade and liberate us doesn't mean it's not a violation of international law and sovereignty.

I tend to think more about what is the best course of action that benefits the people on the ground and the long term. The idea of sancrosanctity of "sovereignity" is better understood as a social construct to justify oppressive power structures, as it's reflection in reality is highly contentious. The same with International Law, you are taking a literalist position when International Law is better understood as gentlemen's agreements, which is irrelevant in the context of the ontological conflict between two sides that supercedes the notion of law in the first place.

jmyeet 4 days ago | parent [-]

There's been a lot of revisionist history with the World War 2 and the Cold War that really understates the USSR's instrumental role in defeating Germany.

Fascism was popular in the US. Henry Ford shared his thoughts by publishing The International Jew [1]. Hitler was a fan. Ford was mentioned by name in Mein Kampf. We had the Business Plot [2] in 1933. There was a Nazi rally at Madison Square Garden in 1939. The German American Bund was present until 1941.

On the other side of the Atlantic, Stalin had initially sought an anti-German alliance with Britain and France but was rebuffed, leading to the deal with Hitler.

The US had ~400,000 casulaties in the European campaign and none really until D-Day in 1944. The USSR lost somewhere between 26 and 30 million people in WW2, something only really revealed by a 1959 census. Had Germany defeated the USSR and taken MOscow in 1941-1942, we would live in a very different world.

The result of World War 2 was that Hitler lost but the fascists won. Under the guise of fighting Communism (eg the Truamn Doctrine, leading to the Korean and Vietnam wars). NATO was an imperial project. Charles De Gaulle (in the 1960s) went so far as to say Western Europe was in danger of becoming a US protectorate.

We all know about Operation Paper Clip (I hope) but less known is how Nazis found their way into NATO. Adolf Heusinger went from Hitler's Chief of the German High Command to Chairman of the NATO Military Committee. And he wasn't the only one [3].

So when that commenter called the Cold War "retarded", I suspect they're referring to how the US took up Nazi Germany's fight against Communism.

The whole Red Scare was terrible for average American citizens. It was used to dismantle the labor movement and unions and ultimately led to Nixon, Reagan and Clinton and the destruction of real wages and living conditions.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_International_Jew

[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Plot

[3]: https://www.historynet.com/these-nato-generals-had-unusual-b...

wrp 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Regardless of how unhappy Beijing may be with things Pyongyang does, North Korea is of such obvious strategic importance to China that they are unlikely to ever waver in their support of the regime or even try to hide it.

energy123 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

China kept backing Khmer Rouge despite the millions dead and even invaded Vietnam to protect them. Amoral, self interested actor at best. There's nothing North Korea could do to their own people to change the support.

hetman 5 days ago | parent [-]

In fairness, the US kept indirectly funding the Khmer Rouge even after evidence of their atrocities came to light for their own strategic geopolitical reasons.

The realpolitic of international relations very often follows the words of the British prime minister, Lord Palmerston: "We have no eternal allies, and we have no perpetual enemies. Our interests are eternal and perpetual, and those interests it is our duty to follow."

fluoridation 4 days ago | parent [-]

So there is a universe out there where the US would have supported/allied with Nazi Germany had it been convenient?

arrosenberg 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Sure. If Smedley Butler has been less disillusioned by his work history and successfully carried forward the business plot it’s pretty easy to imagine.

dboreham 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Hardly difficult to imagine when you look at when WW2 began vs when the US became involved, and why.

immibis 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes, this one.

fluoridation 4 days ago | parent [-]

What do you mean? Some US companies did business with Nazi Germany, famously IBM and of course Ford, and of course there were nazi sympathizers in the US, but to my knowledge the US never supported Germany at that time.

AngryData 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

I mean the US had no problems selling Nazi Germany arms at the start of the war. The US only really took a side after Germany told the US to stop also supplying war materials to their enemies, which Germany viewed as merely prolonging the war and deaths, and when the US ignored them because they were making too much money Germany stopped buying and doubled down on blockading material support to allies.

0xDEAFBEAD 4 days ago | parent [-]

>I mean the US had no problems selling Nazi Germany arms at the start of the war.

This claim doesn't appear to be true: https://www.reddit.com/r/AskHistorians/comments/1k6yi1z/comm...

firen777 3 days ago | parent [-]

It's both frustrating and all too common to see blatant historical falsehood being casually thrown around as if it's well known fact. Doubly frustrating knowing that in order to rebut such falsehood, you have to either do your own lengthy research to find the evidence of __absence__ (which is a lot harder comparing to the evidence of __existence__), or hopefully someone else already did said research and more hopefully you can unbury it from the increasingly enshittified google search.

And by the time you managed it the falsehood already netted a few dozens/hundreds/thousands more victims in the best case scenario where the rebuttal actually managed to attach itself right next to the falsehood.

Regular folks just can't compete with professional disinformation spreaders and their horde of victims.

0xDEAFBEAD 3 days ago | parent [-]

My idea is a little "!" which pops up on the comment byline if the comment fails an AI fact check. AI fact checks are obviously far from perfect, but at least it would be a start. @dang

chasd00 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Anything happens to North Korea and all those starving people flood into China. I think that’s why China supports North Korea.

mytailorisrich 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

China did not, and still doesn't, want US troops at its border. That's why it originally intervened and why it supports North Korea. At the time there was also a further risk that the US might invade China.

wkat4242 4 days ago | parent [-]

That doesn't have to be the result of it. A more humane regime in NK doesn't mean reunification has to happen. And, part of the reason those US forces are in South Korea is the threat of the North. By threatening US involvement in case of an attack.

moomoo11 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

How did they manage to brain control millions of people like that? I mean it’s so ludicrous to an outsider.

rtpg 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

In the initial era of the split between North and South Korea, South Korea both was run by a bunch of people who had a history of outright killing leftists, and the United States was involved in similar actions.

The lack of serious offramps to reunification, along with not as huge a delta in quality of life between north and south for a long time (aid from other countries sure helps!), allowed the DPRK to establish itself as its own nation.

Now there is the surveillance state apparatus allowing the DPRK to exist in its current form in perpetuity. And even if tomorrow they showed up and said "let's unify Korea", South Korea (even ignoring all the ideological reasons it might not want to) would likely be unwilling to absorb an extremely poor country and pay for it (see the painful experience of Germany's unification).

There is probably no off ramp that exists unless people are willing to let the elite walk away clean from the situation in one way or another, and it seems hard to imagine such a future.

And if you are a north korean elite and you are allowed to travel to northern china, you will see a place where things are running more smoothly, but you're still going to see places with massive amounts of internal controls and restrictions. So who's offering the upside to some regime change here?

brabel 4 days ago | parent [-]

> see the painful experience of Germany's unification

I had thought that Germans from both sides were overwhelmingly supportive of re-unification, even if it would cause short-term pain??

jonasdegendt 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

It's my understanding there were plenty of USSR nostalgics in the east given how long it took for the free market to "trickle down" and the east to catch up economically. They never did catch up all the way anyway.

ViktorRay 4 days ago | parent [-]

Today the areas that were previous controlled by East Germany overwhelmingly vote for right wing parties though.

I believe the AfD political party in Germany won significant support in those areas of Germany that were once behind the Iron Curtain.

immibis 4 days ago | parent [-]

Yes, they won control of an entire state and almost won another.

People vote far right because they're fed up with the status quo, and perceive the far right can't be that much worse when everything is already so bad. Politicians who are not far right would do well to take this into account in their politics. Sadly, they don't, and history repeats.

rtpg 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

I don't think that people are like... against unification in principle, but if you are looking at it from the perspective of the State.... lots of pain and money, and at least in the German experience there was plenty of decent state enterprises for West Germany to (glibly) pillage from. People will handwave about North Korean resources, but even those are more or less accessible via China.

And on top of that at the end of the day Germany now has this bloc that votes "the wrong way" in all of its elections. Glib analysis though.

The German split was resolved 35 years ago and is still visible. How much time would a reunified Korea take to equalize itself? If you're a person who cares only about the economics of it all, how long do you think it would take for the payoff of unification to occur? Just seems quite long.

brabel 3 days ago | parent [-]

Would you consider that half of the USA also votes the wrong way too? And the UK? London people tend to think the rest of the country votes wrong as well. There is a divide in most countries, I think Germany is not that different, except for the fact that it actually was split up before!

forgotoldacc 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Nearly every authoritarian country starts with people promising good things. A lot also start with rebels fighting against a group that led a massacre. They're underdog groups with popular support.

Then those underdogs take over. They become paranoid about the possibility of being killed themselves, so they repeat the massacres they fought against. A lot of people who supported the new regime think it's just a few remaining enemies being taken out. It won't happen to them. Then the government starts laying out methods to solidify their control. The list of things seen as traitorous and against national interests grows. It becomes a frog in a boiling pot situation. By the time people realize they might be a target, the system is too complicated and widespread to take down alone, and a new generation of youths have been raised knowing only the current system. And to those youths, things are stable. The most terrifying thing to people raised in stability is the idea of losing that stability. So keeping your head down and following the law is much better than absolutely anything else.

And with the absolute control of information that NK has, a significant portion of people really don't even know a better world exists out there. And they're terrified of anyone that even talks about shaking things up.

Ray20 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

It looks like a liberal fantasy. The truth is that along the rivers that run on the border with China there are posts with machine gunners every 100 meters. Brainwashing is obviously nearly zero-effective, since they have to resort to machine guns.

immibis 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Not limited to non-Western countries btw. We are also vulnerable.

doikor 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

For the first couple decades while it was ahead of South Korea economically (in large part due to support from China/USSR) it was not that bad but during that time the system of absolute control by the Kim family was setup and once it was up it is too late to really do anything due to how absolute/brutal the control is (you say anything wrong and you and your whole extended family end up in a prison/death camp)

Basically people are willing to put up with a lot if their lives are getting better (economic growth). Problem with that is what kind of system of control an authoritarian government can setup in that period of growth.

stogot 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Less of brain control, and more like slaughter of anyone who disagrees or rolls their eyes. Read accounts of those who escaped

ryan-ca 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Empiricism in the face of a totalitarian regime is difficult.

madmaniak 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

It's funny to say that because we're living in a bubble too.

bfg_9k 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

I mean, same could be said about South Korea. It would instantly drag their GDP per capita down by more than half, and that's not even counting how much money would need to be spent to re-develop NK.

alexey-salmin 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

If both counties sustain their current trajectories, in 50 years it will be NK re-populating and re-developing SK. And the "if" here is mainly about NK, chances of SK getting out of the death spiral are very thin.

the_af 5 days ago | parent [-]

I recently read/watched videos about the "population time bomb" in South Korea and how it's almost irreversible now. It really surprised me, it's one of those things that's hard to visualize. And it's not even long term!

wkat4242 4 days ago | parent [-]

They can always allow more immigration. National populations don't grow only by births.

the_af 4 days ago | parent [-]

Apparently, due to cultural, political and economical issues, South Korea cannot/won't do this. I suppose it theoretically could, but in practice it would mean it would cease to exist as it is now.

Due to the scale of their population collapse, the influx of immigrants would have to be massive. Which country does that? It would completely overtake its native ethnic population... which unlike a country built on immigration like the US, is surprisingly homogeneous.

I'm no expert, I encourage you to read on the matter. It apparently truly is something that cannot be stopped now. It surprised me as much as it (apparently) does you.

By the way, countries that are better off, like the US, are largely helped by immigration indeed. Which is why anti-immigration policies would be like shooting themselves in the foot.

Ray20 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

> Apparently, due to cultural, political and economical issues, South Korea cannot/won't do this.

Because it's not a problem yet. What's going to stop them from doing it when the birth rate becomes a problem? Almost nothing.

> Due to the scale of their population collapse, the influx of immigrants would have to be massive.

Not really. You are mistakenly extrapolating the situation in the Western world, where purposefully brought in almost only criminals and freeloaders, to Korea. If you organize immigration of labor, then not so many immigrants will be needed

the_af 4 days ago | parent [-]

I'm not "mistakenly extrapolating" anything, I'm describing the current consensus by population experts. No need to debate me, I'm no expert, I'm just paraphrasing what experts believe. I'm as surprised as you are, I only recently learned of this.

> What's going to stop them from doing it when the birth rate becomes a problem? Almost nothing

Their birth rate is already a massive problem. The South Korean government already acknowledges this is a crisis, it's just that the measures that are politically/socially viable just don't cut it, and Koreans seem unwilling to consider more drastic measures. But the problem is already here, and acknowledged, and already impacting the population of South Korea (there's apparently a "loneliness epidemic" going on already).

Because of the shape the population pyramid takes (more old people than young people) once it reaches the tipping point, which in South Korea it already has, there's no going back. No matter how they try, they simply don't have enough young people to revert it anymore.

> If you organize immigration of labor, then not so many immigrants will be needed

This is not (just) about labor, it's about population decline. Even if Koreans dedicated themselves to having more children, it wouldn't be enough anymore. They are beyond the tipping point. They would need massive immigration to live there and have children there and effectively become "the new Koreans"... and this is obviously unpalatable to many.

I encourage you to read on this. Do not debate me: I'm not the expert here!

Ray20 4 days ago | parent [-]

> I'm describing the current consensus by population experts.

These are not experts, they are deep state propagandists.

I mean, fortunately (or unfortunately), such processes have been going on for decades, and these experts have been in business for decades. So, nothing prevents us from analyzing their early models, explanations, projections, and forecasts, and comparing them with reality in order to form an opinion about the level of their expertise

> Their birth rate is already a massive problem.

Not exactly. Low birth rate itself is not a problem. What is a problem is the future consequences of low birth rate . And these consequences generally have not yet occurred, i.e. there is no problem yet.

> Koreans seem unwilling to consider more drastic measures

Yes, because there is no problem yet

> once it reaches the tipping point

Then it will become a problem and nothing will stop them from bringing in some foreign labor to fix it.

> They would need massive immigration to live there

Not that massive. Your ideas about the required amount of immigration to fix the labor shortage problem are probably formed by extrapolating Western immigration processes. But the point is that you can’t extrapolate like that. There are no obstacles to carrying out immigration tens of times more effectively than the West does.

Just to understand how irrelevant this issue is for Korea at the moment: the twentieth century was quite a turbulent time for Koreans, and now quite a lot of ethnic Koreans live outside of Korea. Many of them know the Korean language, want to move to Korea, but even with repatriation programs, this is not such an easy process. Korea has so many Koreans inside the country that they are quite reluctant to grant residence permits even to other Koreans with foreign citizenships.

the_af 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

> These are not experts, they are deep state propagandists.

Deep state? I feel like I've stepped into a conspiracy theory. What does the deep state have to do with anything? Deep state from which country? The US? Korea?

> Not exactly. Low birth rate itself is not a problem. What is a problem is the future consequences of low birth rate . And these consequences generally have not yet occurred, i.e. there is no problem yet.

Why "not exactly"? It's understood by everyone that low birth rate is a problem because of its rippling effects, which are not immediate. When I say "a massive problem" I mean "already in the near future".

But apparently it's causing problems for young people today, already.

> And these consequences generally have not yet occurred, i.e. there is no problem yet.

South Korean society is already quite unhealthy, and apparently for younger generations even more so.

To be clear: the numbers alone don't tell the full story. Population density is not the important metric here, but population aging is. There could be lots of Koreans today, but if the distribution is top-heavy, it cannot help them.

Let's do something else: link me a serious (non-conspiracy) study that there is no population decline crisis in South Korea, and I'll read it with an open mind. Be forewarned though, if it's a conspiracy article I'll ignore it.

alexey-salmin 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Time shall tell, but as of today I think this view is delusional. For native Koreans this would do roughly as much good as mass immigration into Americas did to native Indians.

wkat4242 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

> I suppose it theoretically could, but in practice it would mean it would cease to exist as it is now.

But it's going to cease to exist as it is anyway. One way or another. And the people that remain will not be staring at a wall waiting for it to end. Also, young people seem to have a radically different mindset there, which is what tends to happen when they see their parents screwing everything up.

Maybe the culture isn't there yet but it will be. Having said that, I would never be happy to live in a country with strict moral codes like Japan or South Korea. But I'm sure many people would be. In particular conservatives tend to love these societies, you often hear comments like "this is what we should do here in the US".

I'm a raging pro-lgbt polyamorous kinky progressive so for me it would be the wrong place. But there are lots of people that would love this kind of thing.

lovich 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

> But there are lots of people that would love this kind of thing.

Doesn’t the fact that the people in said culture have decided it’s no longer worth reproducing, en masse, because of how their life is, imply that a lot of people wouldn’t actually like that kind of thing?

the_af 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

I mean, I don't know what to tell you. You seem to be reacting in disbelief, "this cannot be true".

But reality shows it is happening, it is accelerating, and young people are part of the problem.

It's a real thing, and the consensus seems to be it's irreversible, however bizarre it may seem to us.

wkat4242 4 days ago | parent [-]

I just think life finds a way. Societies don't just disappear. They just change. There's too much value in Korea to just give up.

Will it disappear as we know it? Yes. But that is true everywhere. The America as you knew it in 2010 is also gone forever (and not for the better, unfortunately with its current politics). Same in Europe where the nazis are trying to take over. Change is a constant.

the_af 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Life doesn't always find a way. Mass extinctions are a thing. Even human cultures & ethnic groups have disappeared without a trace.

The South Korean population time bomb is a completely different thing to America in the 2010 changing.

Have you read what people who study demographics currently believe about South Korea. An informed opinion is really needed to discuss this, this is not about "feelings".

alexey-salmin 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Life finds a way, just not necessarily your life or your kids'

djtango 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Genuine question that I'm trying to learn about - the industrialisation of Japan and South Korea led to huge wealth creation and increases in quality of living. I know some of that is stagnating now and especially in South Korea things are difficult, but why isn't North Korea ever spoken of in those terms rather than always the GDP hit to South Korea?

the_af 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

What's surprising about this? It's not dissimilar to how the US behaves towards their less than savory strategic allies (or, historically, towards dictatorships as long as they were US-aligned).

wrp 5 days ago | parent | next [-]

Not saying it should be surprising. Just trying to answer the question.

thisislife2 5 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Exactly. It's the equivalent of something like western Five / Nine / Fourteen Eyes, that also share intelligence within the alliance.

ummonk 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don’t see any smoking gun here that would prevent the PRC from denying its involvement in these hacking efforts.

tonyhart7 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

in intelligence and cybersecurity community this are well known fact

after all chinese is the first one that has official military cyber unit (first in the world)

north korean following suit for monetary reason and have as far as Property (Hotel etc) on china mainland to run the operation from there

as for china??? they basically have an "laundry" business that can take dollar from korea in trade of supplies

5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]
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rr808 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Russia too after the public hand holding last week.