| ▲ | Kimi K3 Is Competitive with Fable; Kimi K3 and Fable Is SoTA(fireworks.ai) |
| 151 points by piotrgrabowski an hour ago | 81 comments |
| |
|
| ▲ | apatheticonion 37 minutes ago | parent | next [-] |
| I love the Chinese models. I use DeepSeek exclusively and now Kimi K3 offers a great planning assistant for more advanced coding tasks. DeepSeek v4 Flash is extremely fast and is able to handle pretty much anything I've thrown at it (I use mostly Rust, PSQL, Angular and Terraform). I self host Bifrost as my LLM gateway, though I wish LLM vendors would do monthly/daily automatic billing (like VPS providers do) rather than prepaid + auto-top up. It's annoying maintaining a non-refundable minimum balance across vendors, I would rather be billed for my exact usage. OpenRouter helps, but I don't really like it as a service and not a fan of the mark up. |
| |
| ▲ | skeledrew 4 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Prepaid means someone can't sign up, use a bunch of inference, then cancel their card and disappear into the sunset. VPS is a more long term investment where it's harder to switch and it doesn't cost the provider much if a few users jump out without paying for a month. | |
| ▲ | arikrahman 25 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The best part is using harnesses like reasonix or whale make cache hit at a rate close to 98%, making requests converge to practically free. And that's with unsubsidized American providers like cloudflare or Digital Ocean. | | |
| ▲ | mlazos 9 minutes ago | parent [-] | | How can you be hitting cache on what I think are novel LLM prompts … |
| |
| ▲ | copperx 33 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | What don't you like about the service, besides the mark up? | | |
| ▲ | apatheticonion 4 minutes ago | parent [-] | | For me, the only utility OpenRouter gives me is billing consolidation - I don't really need the routing capabilities because I use Bifrost for that. As a router, it's not very feature rich. For example I restricted the available models to the ones I want to use however the `/models` endpoint still lists all the models, making my LLM client list the 200+ models available on the service (even though they will throw an error if I try to use them). With Bifrost, I can also create model aliases with custom configuration - for example I can create a model alias `deepseek-v4-flash-nothink` which disables thinking. I can create `deepseek-v4-flash-caveman` which injects the caveman skill (to save tokens) etc. Plus I can contribute to Bifrost, which I can't do with OpenRouter. |
| |
| ▲ | ronsor 32 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Have you looked into OpenCode Zen or OpenCode Go? https://opencode.ai/zen | | |
|
|
| ▲ | culi an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| A third the cost, open source, and won't refuse every other request because of some vague possible connection to cybersecurity concerns. |
| |
| ▲ | dgellow an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | My questions about strawberries got blocked as too dangerous! I’m not joking | | |
| ▲ | shikon7 29 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Strawberries are a well known weakness of LLMs, as they have a hard time to count the numbers of "r"s in them. Maybe that's why, because they fear that weakness could be exploited somehow. | | |
| ▲ | skeledrew 23 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Probably need to be taught by someone of Latino origin. Learning to roll them "r"s could help. | | |
| |
| ▲ | teaearlgraycold 9 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | I asked about Tiananmen Square and it said it knew nothing about it. A real life “Doesn’t look like anything to me” moment. |
| |
| ▲ | villish 34 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | From the blog post moonshot refers to it as open source but only mentions releasing the weights. | | |
| ▲ | culi 13 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | So far all the Kimi models have open sourced their code, their weights, and published technical reports explaining their training methodology. I expect the Kimi K3 Technical Report will come out July 27 and they usually publish the code and the weights alongside that. | |
| ▲ | charcircuit 23 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | The weights are the "source" of a model. | | |
| ▲ | villish 6 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | I want to caution against this line of thinking. NSA's fast16 program silently altered data during nuclear simulations, and that is also possible within open weight models. There is no reason to think there is anything like that currently, it also cannot be dismissed. Open source would include the training data so you could create a similarly capable model. | |
| ▲ | tadfisher 21 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | If weights are the source for models then ELF binaries are the source for software. | | |
| ▲ | RobMurray 3 minutes ago | parent [-] | | clearly not true. the weights are the preferred form for making modifications. Do you really think people should be downloading hundreds of TB of training data and running make to build the model on their own cluster of GPUs? |
| |
| ▲ | dymk 21 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | The weights are the output artifact, the training corpus and system are the source. | | |
| ▲ | culi 8 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Kimi publishes their code and a technical report on their methodology. But I think the weights are still important. It means anyone with the resources could run the same model on their own hardware. |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | fnordpiglet 43 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Interestingly the reality of the open source release is they are opening up to full distillation by the closed source model providers at a deeper and more fundamental level. If anything the open sourcing will help Anthropic and open ai ladder up faster. Open source has always been about mutual cooperation towards a goal and has never closed the door to commercial success. All the hand wringing about open weight models putting closed providers at a disadvantage doesn’t get what working in the open actually does for commercial interests - it is like science in the open - it enables and lifts all boats. Likewise commercial success doesn’t close the opportunity for competition or more open source work - it’s the economy of activity and competition that matters overall. When things stagnate is when closer concerns turtle up and collude on not competing for each others turf. The future is good and better for everyone the more work is in the open and the more work is in the commercial space. It’s good all around. | | |
| ▲ | skeledrew 15 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | The closed labs don't really benefit unless the open model has something extra they don't have though. Meanwhile the open model dilutes their customer base and seriously cheapens their offering (which is a heck of a good though IMO). | |
| ▲ | linkregister 29 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | I'm happy that Kimi K3 is indeed SotA and its open weights are due to be released soon. It's also true that Moonshot and other labs distill from Claude. This has been reported on extensively. I don't think there's any alpha for Anthropic distilling from this model. I do not mean to discount the tremendous amount of innovation regarding MoE and quantization that Moonshot has accomplished. But its training with synthetic data is essentially distillation from frontier labs. |
| |
| ▲ | mikae1 42 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | For regular chat users it's $19 while Claude is $20... | | |
| ▲ | AlexErrant 41 minutes ago | parent [-] | | $20 users don't get access to Fable. It's $100+ tier only. | | |
| ▲ | skeledrew 20 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | I'm a $20 user and was given $100 extra usage credit today, "for Fable" (I'll be sticking to Sonnet and sometimes Opus TYVM). | |
| ▲ | mikae1 38 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | True. However, I believe most non-programmers don't need access to the fanciest model, but just want to use a good LLM without constant nagging about usage limits. Then 19 vs. 20 is true? | | |
| ▲ | culi 3 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | No "19 vs 20" is not true for "Kimi vs Fable". It might be true for "Kimi vs Opus" or whatever. Anyways looking at pricing plans is not a good way of comparing the price of LLMs. It makes more sense to look at cost per token: Kimi K3: $3/$15 (input/output)
Fable: $10/$50
| |
| ▲ | potwinkle 35 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Still no. If you're only getting Opus-class you can still end up paying less by just using an equivalent Chinese model on OpenRouter. | | |
| ▲ | mikae1 30 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Not talking about me or HN users in general. These companies likely need regular peeps to begin using their services in order to become profitable. Not sure these are the ones who will buy from OpenRouter. |
|
|
|
| |
| ▲ | OutOfHere an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Or biology or chemistry. | |
| ▲ | estearum an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | hmm almost like the exact race-to-the-bottom + arms-race dynamic all the doomers have been warning about | | |
| ▲ | andrewmutz 44 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | One man's offensive penetration tool is another mans defensive tool. In the recent HuggingFace/OpenAI incident the safety controls stood in the way of the defenders, not the attackers: https://www.thestack.technology/hugging-face-hacked-turned-t... | | |
| ▲ | estearum 41 minutes ago | parent [-] | | You're presenting further evidence of lack of effective control over these systems as... a mitigating factor...? | | |
| ▲ | californical 34 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Why do you assume they're disagreeing with you? | | |
| ▲ | estearum 30 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > One man's offensive penetration tool is another mans defensive tool. seems to suggest the author believes there's some intrinsic equilibrium Which, 1) is definitely not proven and not guaranteed (open to proofs otherwise, not pithy sayings that have zero normative effect on reality) 2) is apparently "supported by" further evidence of lack of effective control, which does not feel like equilibrium whatsoever |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | toomuchtodo 44 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Race to the bottom for the investors, utility for the rest of us. The future is already here, it’s just not evenly distributed yet (Gibson). | |
| ▲ | skinfaxi 43 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Doom for whom? | | |
| ▲ | estearum 39 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Well considering it was just a few months ago that OpenAI had the brilliant idea of connecting these systems to autonomously run an actual protein synthesis wetlab, very possibly all of us. |
|
|
|
|
| ▲ | JSR_FDED 31 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Very interesting. They test Kimi K3 and Fable on a set of approx 1000 tasks grouped into 5 areas (SWE, Legal, etc). They put a router model in front that predicts whether Kimi or Fable is going to give a better cost for a correct result. (They believe that ultimately such a router model should be continuously trained on your own workloads so it makes the best decisions for you). Their router chose Kimi the majority of the time (72% in one category, all the way to 96% in another category), leading to cost savings in every category (from 1.5x to 50x depending). |
| |
| ▲ | crazylogger 6 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | > Oracle routing is a method for measuring the best theoretical performance by running the task through each model and then picking the cheapest correct option (the cost/performance ceiling). Their "router" is an oracle reference point where they choose the lower cost model after running both and therefore knowing who passed the test. The cost savings part is only Fireworks theorizing what would happen if an equivalent predicting router exists. That's a big if. | |
| ▲ | eli 14 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | There are a bunch of routers like this eg https://openrouter.ai/openrouter/auto |
|
|
| ▲ | Buttons840 22 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I have several thoughts about this, which I'll just iterate: 1) US export bans have made it so that Chinese companies have to compete using less-than-state-of-the-art hardware. This has forced Chinese companies to build more cost efficient models. Whereas, US companies have moreso tried to be state of the art by spending more money than anyone else on state-of-the-art hardware. 2) Xi Jinping has called for more open AI models (not to be confused with the closed models of OpenAI), and I'm happy to see a powerful world leader advocating for open-weight AI models. Whereas, the US seems likely to just ban models. 3) My impression is that, if China surpasses the US in AI development, there will basically be nothing that the US does better than the rest of the world--except for military spending--we spend a lot, but we don't necessarily spend well (something something Iran). I mean, if the US is no longer a tech leader in the world, like... what are we a leader at? Manufacturing? Healthcare? LOL. Are we a leader in any industry or by any metric? I wonder if China is attempting to remove the last jewel in the USA's crown with these AI releases. 4) It must be refreshing for companies to have access to a new model that isn't going to get pulled because the government bans it 2 days after release. And it's open-weight so it wont go away--amazing--what a shift in the market. 5) If it becomes clear that open-weight models are the future of AI, will that pop a huge bubble in the US economy? Maybe. But, on the other hand, these companies aren't just training AIs, they are also building data centers which will remain valuable no matter what happens. |
| |
| ▲ | shdh 14 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Implying that AI is the last jewel of the USA is too simplistic and ignorant. People are paying for tokens, that will likely continue even if open weight wins. |
|
|
| ▲ | johnhess 11 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Was this an out of sample test of the router or was it trained on these specific use cases/eval suites? |
|
| ▲ | nharada 41 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Is there something specifically with Kimi that's better here? As far as I know Kimi pricing is about the same as Sonnet 5 -- what happens if you use that model and Fable instead? Or Grok 4.5 which is even cheaper? |
| |
| ▲ | DennisP 19 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | The article says Kimi is better at some things than Fable. That's probably not true of Sonnet. | |
| ▲ | ralusek 37 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | One benefit of an open source one is that you can, as a large corporation, run it "locally" within your own data center. Even fine tune it. |
|
|
| ▲ | guessmyname an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Why SoTA instead of SotA ? “State of [T]he Art” versus “State of [t]he Art”. edit: Why is this a pedantic question? Do people think I’m mocking the poster of the link? I genuinely want to understand why they capitalized the “T” but not the “O”. How else do I ask this question without sounding pedantic? I’m ESL. |
| |
|
| ▲ | luciana1u 26 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| we put a router model in front of two other models so the router can decide which model is better at deciding things. next we'll need a router for the router and eventually the entire internet is just routers routing routers to other routers |
|
| ▲ | mattvr an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Anyone have routing harnesses like this describes with Claude Code? Or other good routing platform recommendations? (yes, I know this article is about an oracle router) |
|
| ▲ | arjie 37 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Interesting. So the latest in the technology now is this model routing thing. Cursor estimated Composer + Fable works much better than Fable alone. And here K3 + Fable is supposedly better. Interesting. |
|
| ▲ | sbinnee 30 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Openrouter also features routing. Routing is indeed an option if you don’t need consistent behavior and allow switching models. |
| |
| ▲ | JSR_FDED 16 minutes ago | parent [-] | | It would only be inconsistent if the router chose different models for the same task. Considering that of 89 terminal tasks there were 11 that only Kimi got right, and 7 only Fable - having a router gives significantly more consistent results if you define consistent to mean correct. |
|
|
| ▲ | felipeerias 43 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Mythos/Fable was the state of the art back in March, if not earlier. |
|
| ▲ | stingraycharles an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| As always, benchmarks rarely paint the whole picture. It also seems like this article is somewhat biased, eg when Fable and Kimi are close but Fable wins it’s “dead heat”, but when Kimi wins it’s “Kimi wins”. GPT 5.6 seems to be missing as well. I am really eager to give Kimi K3 a try, but I’ll reserve my judgement until I’ve worked with it for at least a few days. |
| |
| ▲ | rogerrogerr 40 minutes ago | parent [-] | | The apparent bias may be explainable as it’s not remarkable for OpenAI or Anthropic to be slightly ahead. It _is_ remarkable for an open weights model to be better than the closed models from the trillion dollar (allegedly) companies. |
|
|
| ▲ | jrflo an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Hmmm, a company that hosts open models is telling us how good open models are... |
| |
| ▲ | JSR_FDED 23 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | They share their methodology and results. I learned things about the relative strengths and weaknesses of Kimi and Fable I hadn’t seen anywhere else. Should being in the model hosting business disqualify them from sharing? | | |
| ▲ | Avicebron 15 minutes ago | parent [-] | | People are allowed to say, "hey we make money off of this thing, it's cheaper and almost as good as the thing we can't money off". Other people are allowed to call them on that. |
| |
| ▲ | mrinterweb an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The don't only host open weight models. Also, why not promote this. If Fireworks thinks this big news might convert some new business doesn't make it not true. | | |
| ▲ | 30minAdayHN 43 minutes ago | parent [-] | | and in fact, it would be detrimental to business, if they wrongly promote Kimi, as they would pretty soon lose trust with their users |
| |
| ▲ | yogthos 43 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Anybody who's tried it knows that what they're saying is true though. |
|
|
| ▲ | hawtads an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| For model routers, do they have to retrain the routing model every time a new LLM is released? |
| |
|
| ▲ | Sphax an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| what are my options if i want to use a router like this ? who provides one ? |
| |
|
| ▲ | OutOfHere an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| They forgot to compare and incorporate GPT-5.6-Sol. |
|
| ▲ | lvl155 37 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It is not SOTA. Give me a break. Sure, run it on Cerebras to get speed but that’s pretty much its advantage. |
| |
|
| ▲ | refulgentis 42 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] |
| AI written drivel by an inference provider, hyping an open model that isn’t open, otherwise the inference provider would be hosting it, and the inference provider also does not have this router they trumpet available, in any form. I’d be amenable to it but I’m already aware of them lying about token throughout by 50-100% on AA and on Twitter, even when you get a dedicated server. Just too much lying piled up to extend courtesy here, even though you’re my favorite open model provider. Please, get your house in order, and if the house is so big that marketing drove this set, ask them to slow down a bit and market things that people can actually use / you actually provide. |
| |
| ▲ | JSR_FDED 11 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > hyping an open model that isn’t open Moonshot has committed to release it end of the month. |
|