| ▲ | embedding-shape 17 hours ago |
| > When the shutdown ended in mid-November, Reynolds’s team had just two weeks to get on budget. It failed. The plan the group submitted would cost too much and take too long. “Our last hope was that NASA headquarters would understand what had gone on and give us some leeway,” Reynolds says. NASA did not. After nearly 10 years of work, AXIS was dead. If the scientists haven't left science behind after an experience like this, probably nothing will. What an absolute kick in the nuts to have a decade of your life erased because someone did a keyword search for science projects to stop, in the name of saving money, while at the same time wasting even more money on other things. I think I should feel angry, but I just feel sad for all the humans involved here, I hope they manage to come out with a more positive perspective than I'm able to here. |
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| ▲ | oersted 17 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| Oh scientists are leaving science in droves, certainly. Often becoming sales-people for deep-tech companies, which is rather sad. This is the most recent shock, and probably the biggest one, but academia has been becoming toxically metrics-driven, authoritative and political for a long while, weirdly more than in industry. It has nothing to do with scientists of course, they are the last ones that would want this. It's a never-ending squeeze from the top. And also the fact that so many students were pushed to study pure sciences, which is great in principle, but some of these degrees only prepare you to stay in university as an academic, and there's only so much budget for that. |
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| ▲ | nextos 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | True, also very precarious and unstable. It is now common not to get a long-term contract until your 40s. Given the massive pay gap with industry and scarce funding, it's natural lots of innovation has shifted to industrial labs. | | |
| ▲ | oersted 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | In EU there are laws that force universities to give researchers a permanent contract after a couple years. The result? Everyone gets fired every couple of years. In certain fields, this implies changing country every couple of years. Not that the university is paying much anyway, often the opposite: the researcher gets their own grant and they are forced to pay a cut to the host university, or to their group leader. It can get rather feudal. | | |
| ▲ | jltsiren 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | The actual law is more that you need an objective reason for a fixed-term contract in any sector. A genuine project (such as the completion of a PhD) is an acceptable reason. The availability of funding is not. In practice, it has been accepted that postdocs can have fixed-term contracts, because it's a trainee position. Similarly, an assistant professor can have a fixed-term contract before tenure. Both of those are in some sense against the spirit of the law, but the legal system tends to favor consistency and reasonable outcomes over strict adherence to the law. European universities have more postdocs than American universities, because there is more research funding available. But then there are fewer faculty positions for those postdocs, as the universities themselves are not so well funded. That creates a constant stream of researchers looking for other opportunities, which American universities used to take advantage of. Universities tend to operate strictly on a budget, because they only have limited discretionary funds. While a business may choose to buy things it believes it needs, because it expects to make money in the future, a university generally needs to secure the funding first. If you are a researcher, you don't get an office, a laptop, and some lab space simply because you need them to do your job. You may get them if an external funder explicitly chooses to pay for them. I had some visibility into the funding of Finnish universities during the transition to the current system. Under the old system, core funding was more generous. Each university allocated the resources between various units and individual professors, which involved a lot of politics. If someone was particularly successful in obtaining external funding, they might not have enough office/lab space for all the people they could otherwise hire. The funding model gradually changed to address issues like that. Departments had to pay internal rents to the university for the facilities they used. The government started allocating some of the core funds according the success each university had in obtaining external funding. And at some point, they moved most of that money from core funding to grant overheads. | | |
| ▲ | oersted 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | As far as I remember, from when I was closer to academia, in NL postdocs had to be offered a permanent contract after 3 temporary contracts, with a maximum of 1 year per temporary contract, or something like that. I believe this wasn’t exclusive to postdocs and it is a general law for most professions. In recent years in Spain they aggressively decreased that threshold to the point where most employees need to have permanent contracts. Interestingly it has led to significant growth because, among others factors, it has increased consumer confidence, and it has been a much smaller burden on companies than expected. Perhaps the term “permanent” contract is confusing to some. It’s not in the sense of a functionary or tenure, where you virtually have a job for life unless there are extreme circumstances. A permanent contract is an indefinite contract, one without a specific end, where firing you needs to be properly justified, but you can be fired, certainly. |
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| ▲ | dmd 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| One of the researchers in my department had a study canceled because something they did "engendered a robust hemodynamic response". Whoops, keyword match. |
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| ▲ | gignico 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| We all should feel sad and angry. That said, this was never about saving money. This is about keeping scientists under tight control by the government, in order to suppress research on climate change and other controversial topics. If the government can cut your grant at any time without notice or appeal you will think twice before publishing results that go against their ideology, or even before publishing a criticism on Twitter. This is true especially if you are not tenured, which accounts for the majority of the academic world. |
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| ▲ | IsTom 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I just want to vent: climate change is not a controversial topic, it's an inconvenient topic for people making a lot of money. | | |
| ▲ | yongjik 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Maybe off-topic, but sadly, climate change is an inconvenient topic for everyone. There's one thing that the poor, angry, ready-to-eat-the-rich masses hate more than the world warming up, and that's higher gas prices. Polices to reduce fossil fuel usage by making them expensive are strikingly unpopular across the world, regardless of how much they say they hate fossil fuel CEOs. | | |
| ▲ | Theodores 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | Not really, it is different in America, where everyone is utterly car dependent. Raise US fuel prices from barely nothing to barely nothing plus a tenth of a cent and TikTok explodes with Americans sat in cars, junk food in hand, saying some utter nonsense about how crraazy the new gas prices are. Meanwhile, in Europe, where petrol prices have always been vastly higher than what any American has ever paid, if the price goes up, then meh. Same deal in Asia, it is not as if Japan has riots due to the price of 'gas'. There is a funny side to this, sometimes untold atrocities are committed, maybe with a decapitation strike here, a double-tap on a school there, maybe with a few mosques for palate cleansing purposes, for nobody in America to care about that, just their gas prices. Zoning comes into it too. Where I am, in the UK, there are many minimum wage jobs where the staff will be walking, getting the bus or getting the train to work. Apart from anything, many businesses just do not have car parking spaces for customers, never mind staff. The class of journalists are heavily car dependent though, so, for them, gas prices are going to be huge news, because it affects them. They just have to go to a garage forecourt, interview a few 'talking heads' about how atrocious the prices are, and they have their story. I write this having not been to a petrol station in thirty years, and currently living in a block of twelve flats (apartments) where nobody has a car. We do have a fantastic selection of hedgehogs, foxes, rabbits, squirrels and birds though, all alive due to the magic of practically no cars. But none of us are going to make the news for saying 'meh, keep Hormuz closed, good riddance to it!', whilst feeding monkey nuts to named squirrels (on TikTok). If we were slurping on McDepression Meals, moaning about gas prices from a massive truck that cost $50K, then we would get 'heard'. | | |
| ▲ | JohnMakin 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | Have you considered the fact the majority of the US is not designed for public transit, or it doesn’t exist at all? Most cities aren’t even walkable let alone practical for bike transit due to long distance commutes and lack of infrastructure?“hurrr americans are just addicted to cars” is a really reductive take. | | |
| ▲ | watersb 25 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > Have you considered the fact the majority of the US is not designed for public transit, or it doesn’t exist at all? There exist societies that have made different choices. The car dependency isn't an act of God. |
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| ▲ | Eddy_Viscosity2 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The controversy is over whether we should learn more about it and take appropriate actions, or ignore it. This fundamental disagreement makes it a controversial topic. Reminds me of the when all the catholic priests were molesting kids and being moved around instead of outed and prosecuted. This was also a controversial topic too for the same reasons. Some people wanted to take action, while other (more powerful) people wanted to ignore it. | | |
| ▲ | defrost 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | In the US, sure. In Australia we established a Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse, looked at all the schools and institutions regardless of creed (and, it turned out, the Christian Brothers were the clear worst of the worst - although few came away unscathed) and then put a senior Vatican Cardinal on trial. TBH it's been a lot harder to get the worst carbon offenders under close scrutiny in a very public eye. | | |
| ▲ | jordanb 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Check out the timing. The sex abuse scandal broke in the US in the late 90s/early 2000s and the fight went on here for many years before it spread to the rest of the church. The church in Rome was blowing it off as an American problem for many years. That Australian commission was established in 2012. The battle had already been going on for well over a decade in the US. If you want to see how things were going early on you can look at things like Sinéad O'Connor stuff from 1992: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sin%C3%A9ad_O'Connor_on_Saturd... | | |
| ▲ | defrost 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The Australian Commission wasn't the first effort in a known problem ongoing since first landing, it was the peak response in Australia after many decades of battle ... has there been a national effort of a similar scope in the US ? | |
| ▲ | 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | SiempreViernes 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | As a leading exporter of coal Australia isn't really a good example of a serious climate actor. | | |
| ▲ | HDBaseT 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Australia has the highest number of solar panels per capita in the world.
Australia has extremely high uptake on EV's given the cheap solar. Australia is about as serious as you get in terms of climate action without being unreasonable. We need power, you can't switch off coal overnight. We also need the country to remain afloat, we cannot turn off all natural resource exports either. | |
| ▲ | defrost 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Australia's a good example of a country that sells out its resources for a pittance NSR in exchange. We can talk about Indian coal companies (Thermal), global steel demand (Metallurgical), US natural gas extractors, etc. Still, at least we have the vast areas untouched by modern man: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rh9IkUUgaww |
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| ▲ | HWR_14 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Is that better than the US response? By the time the Royal Commission started, the total amount the Catholic Church in the US had paid out was approaching a billion dollars (back when a billion dollars could buy you instagram). Dioceses have continued to pay since then and many had to file for bankruptcy protection in the US. That seems like a more severe response than a single cardinal getting arrested. | | |
| ▲ | defrost 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | The comment I responded to seemed to imply that the US was hung between two paths and took no action. I'm pleased to hear a response was made and hope Eddy_Viscosity2 sees your comment. | | |
| ▲ | Eddy_Viscosity2 11 hours ago | parent [-] | | There were consequences, but only eventually as the depravity of what was happening became ever more apparent as the list of victims willing to speak out grew. But in all the places this was happening, it was an open secret that it was happening for years before any meaningful response occurred. The first victims to speak out were not believed and even punished for how dare they accuse the holy priests of such behavior. Will we see a similar tipping point for climate change where people on mass begin facing the issue head on? It hasn't happened yet. |
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| ▲ | glitchc 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It's important to note that the US has the largest number of Protestants (across all denominations) among all countries. | |
| ▲ | brookst 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It’s true. In the US reality itself has become controversial. Maybe the oligarchs’ lies are just as valid as objective reality? Who can say! | |
| ▲ | DFHippie 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Everyone wants someone else to deal with it. It's like we have a live grenade and rather than defusing it or disposing of it we keep passing it around hoping it explodes on someone else. | |
| ▲ | kakacik 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I see no controversy there, yes we should take some very strong action since we literally crap where we live and we only have 1 self-contained room for it all, the debate (not controversy) should be about which steps are most efficient, while not ruining the economy albeit some acceptable setback is probably unavoidable. So no to dumb fuckery EU did with biofuels (for which vast rainforests in ie Borneo had to be cut down forever), no destruction of local automotive industry while rest of the world couldn't care less. And Yes to many other, saner activities, of which some are done, in some places. | | |
| ▲ | wredcoll 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | You're being downvoted, probably for being abrasive, but I agree with your overall point. When I was younger and more naive, this
> "the debate (not controversy) should be about which steps are most efficient") i is what I thought (american) politics meant. When people talked about things being political or arguments related thereto, this is what I imagined happening. Then I grew older and saw it was mostly people whining about gays getting married or who was allowed to have an abortion or what activities minorities were allowed to participate in. Very depressing, frankly. |
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| ▲ | gignico 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Indeed! Not scientifically controversial at all, but politically controversial, unfortunately. | | |
| ▲ | foxglacier 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Yes, the controversy is political because it's about controlling people. There's never a right answer to political problems because they're at the edge of deciding what the objectives should even be and how the good and bad outcomes should be distributed among people. Didn't you ever look at history and think "those silly people 100s or 1000s of years ago made a mistake and ruined everything"? Those people were no different from you - they believed their political beliefs were the right ones. There will be beliefs you hold which future historians will look at as mistakes too. | |
| ▲ | mothballed 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | So scientists are getting a reality check. Even scientists have customers, in their case the government. In the private sector a customer can change their mind, even often for a retarded reason, and suddenly decide to stop employing your services. Turns out that happens in government to. We're all employed at the convenience and service of our customers, if they change their mind, ultimately that's their decision that can be made at any moment at which point the most practical next move (assuming the customer is unwilling to change their mind) is to either find another customer or offer a different service. Probably a good opportunity for them to stop and reflect that they're not from a special caste or class, and gravity / global warming / all the rest effect them and the plebs all the same and that includes their exposure to the labor market. Their pleas that it is somehow special when it happens to them falls on deaf ears considering the government funded or employed scientists who have any expertise or position to comment on economics (like Milton Friedman) would preach with their loudest voice from the ivory tower that the plebs duke it out in Darwinistic free-market competition. | | |
| ▲ | Windchaser 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I think this misses the mark. The outrage or sadness is not primarily over "I'm going to lose my job", but the harsh reality that much of your country is not that interested in scientific reality and realizing that your country actually is solidly on the decline. If I had to choose, I'd rather I lost my job for some reason, but my country is passionate about science and curiosity and understanding, compared to living in a country where I kept my job but the culture was inimical to science. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | Scientific interest didn't magically change the day Trump took office. What did was the economic realities of scientists in the USA. The character of the wheeping and gnashing of teeth from the scientific community took on a new flavor once the bread source appeared in peril. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 11 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The anti-science right was a lot easier to ignore when they weren't actually ripping apart the US scientific apparatus, yes. How is that remotely demonstrative of a conspiracy? | |
| ▲ | Windchaser 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Scientific interest didn't magically change the day Trump took office. What did was the economic realities of scientists in the USA. The character of the wheeping and gnashing of teeth from the scientific community took on a new flavor once the bread source appeared in peril. Sure, but again, this misses the point. Regardless of how conservatives talk about science, if Congress keeps on broadly funding research, then scientists can fairly focus on actions over words. It's only when Congress cuts funding that we're forced to reckon with the fact that most Americans don't actually prioritize science. So: yes, it's the funding cuts that cause the frustration and sadness. But not because this results in a personal job loss, but because this shows how our country is going downhill. Speaking personally, two of my siblings took government buyouts, but still then moved out of the country. You can be ok with your own personal job loss (particularly when it comes with a fat check), but unhappy with the direction the country is going. It's kinda weird that you keep making this about the impact to personal finances, rather than the impact to principles. Wouldn't you feel frustration and disappointment if your homeland was acting contrary to your principles? | | |
| ▲ | JuniperMesos 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | A lot of the people affected are people who want to leave their homelands and be in the US instead. So they were already putting up with their homelands acting contrary to their principles. |
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| ▲ | wredcoll 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | What a wonderful example of why we need more scientific education in this country, not less. | |
| ▲ | garte 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It is often hard to put an economic value on research in general. That makes the whole "labor market" highly different from the rest of the world. | | |
| ▲ | ambicapter 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | GP is saying everyone should bend the knee to the power of the dollar, not that they care about a nuanced understanding of the world. |
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| ▲ | QuantumGood 13 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It's a propaganda talking point. "Controversy" is generally as much a manufactured product as possible, because it assists propaganda goals. | |
| ▲ | scrollop 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | And these same people likely fund "reports" and "news" with misinformation to make it confusing for the average person. | |
| ▲ | 999900000999 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | In theory it can also be beneficial to historical cold countries like Russia and Canada. It’s entirely possible Russia will find itself with a pacific warm water port. Perhaps tons of tundra frost will become fertile farm land. Of course this is at the costs of billions of climate refugees having to migrate as well as a bunch of other side effects | | |
| ▲ | pvaldes 11 hours ago | parent [-] | | > It’s entirely possible Russia will find itself with a pacific warm water port. You are 100% right. Yes, some people could believe that huge mistake. Global effects will still catch them. The atmosphere and the oceans are global systems that don't care about frontiers. Warm oceans in Russia means extra hot waters in the equator belt, that means Hurricanes on steroids. This nice Russian port in Putingrade could be destroyed each year by the extreme weather. And nobody could navigate safely in huge stormy areas of the oceans. > Perhaps tons of tundra frost will become fertile farm land. Perhaps we will find that the peat soil starts releasing methane at a level never seen before. And that we enter in an unstoppable cycle of global extinction, just after dismantling science for fun. Weee!. This planet has resorted to that nasty trick a few times before. Once it starts and self-feeds there is not enough money in the planet to bribe the ecosystems. They will fall until the next stable level of energy available. A level that may grant, or may not grant, minimum conditions for plant survival. Humans can't live without plants. But a few rich choosen ones will go to Mars, party all night and it will feel like a Tattoine's adolescent dream! Being rich only works if there are a much bigger amount of people that fix your needs and breeds your food. Money in Mars can't buy you a tuna sandwich when all tunas went extinct. Mars will became a very disappointing place in no time. A place that hates us with passion, with probabilities of survival abysmally lower than the earth. This people will be done the first time that the life-supporting machines will fall. Something that would never happen in the Earth. The earth? will be fine. Go fast-forward several million years in the future and some organism will be seen traveling in machines fueled with petrol made of human corpses. | | |
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| ▲ | drnick1 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > I just want to vent: climate change is not a controversial topic, it's an inconvenient topic for people making a lot of money. If you’d like to do your part against climate change, you can start by walking everywhere today, avoiding heating and cooling your home, and never flying a plane again. These are changes I’m not willing to make, so the issue isn’t just inconvenient for the wealthy—it’s inconvenient for everyone. It’s easy to shift the problem onto others without doing anything about it yourself. | | |
| ▲ | wredcoll 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | What a pointless comment. "Climate Change" isn't caused by flying a plane, it's caused by flying thousands of planes every day. This is a real distinction because the individuals you are talking to do not have any meaningful way to affect the 40,000+ flights per day. Just as a random example. If your next response is going to be "well if everyone stops taking flights that would affect them all", then yes, congratulations, you've discovered what laws are and how democracies work. | | | |
| ▲ | anigbrowl 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Username checks out. I do live that sort of lifestyle and I think your agument is bogus. Different people engage in different amounts of carbon-producing consumerism, but it's notable that different developed countries have quite different carbon outputs, indicating that it's possible to achieve the goal of lowering the collective carbon footprint without immiserating the population. | |
| ▲ | esarbe 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | That's a ludicrous proposal. A whole planets' society's structural problems cannot be solved by an individuals action. Your own attitude explains the 'why'. This is a systemic issue that needs systemic fixing. | |
| ▲ | xp84 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Indeed. File under "bitter pills to swallow." It's so easy to sit in an air-conditioned house, with our 2-day delivered Amazon stuff, and just make pronouncements like degrowth, etc. Meanwhile about 99% of the humans who live in places that haven't fully industrialized are either working feverishly to industrialize like us, or are trying to find a way to move to an industrialized country because of how incredibly hard it is to live where they are. I also suspect that our most committed enviro-leftists genuinely believe that their lifestyle is already fully aligned to their values -- they don't even own a car, take transit everywhere! They pay an extra $25 for carbon offsets when they fly, and they "recycle everything"! They live in a blue state that mandates high levels of "clean energy" in the power grid. They do not ask themselves where the factories are built that make the wind turbines or solar panels, what powers their buses and trains and makes the cement that the streets are paved with. What powers the diesel trucks that bring their organic produce and manufactured soy products to Whole Foods for them. All this isn't to even comment on where climate change actually is on the 2 axes of "Non-issue ----> existential threat" and "Completely avoidable if we start now ----> Entirely outside human control." I'm just saying that I suspect nearly every Western climate change activist would be filled with regret if we started making every societal decision to truly optimize for climate concerns to the exclusion of all other priorities. | | |
| ▲ | bcrosby95 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > if we started making every societal decision to truly optimize for climate concerns to the exclusion of all other priorities. Effectively no one is arguing for this. You're ranting about a ghost. | |
| ▲ | esarbe 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | That's a straw man argument. Voluntarily opting out of a high-CO2 lifestyle will do exactly nothing. Demanding that anyone recognizing the threat of climate change and demanding a different approach "first change their lifestyles" or using their lifestyles as an indicator of commitment is ludicrous. This is a global systemic issue that cannot be fixed by individual action. Game theory tells you why. Besides that; all the nice and shiny things you mention - the busses and trains and the cement - can be produced and operated at fraction of their current CO2 cost. Wind mills and PV panels offset their CO2 cost by magnitudes if they are replacing fossil fuel industries. There's a middle ground between "lets burn it all to the ground" and "let's go back to the savanna". | | |
| ▲ | drnick1 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | > This is a global systemic issue that cannot be fixed by individual action. Game theory tells you why. Nothing will change (and nothing has fundamentally changed since the climate scaremongering started), because people in the West do not want to change their lifestyles, and people elsewhere aspire to a Western lifestyle. There is nothing you can do about this. I am not not going to eat less meat or drive my car less than I find convenient to please some leftist eco-warrior. | | |
| ▲ | esarbe 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | There have been many systemic changes since we started to understand the physical mechanism behind climate change and the dire consequences of unmitigated climate change. Within 20 years Europe has shifted to almost 50% renewables in their electricity production, the US is at 25% and China at 30% (and rapidly growing). Demand has been cut massively through energy efficiency laws. CO2 emissions have been reduced enough that the IPC now sees the RCP8.5 scenario as unrealistic. We've already changed quite a lot. And this despite you not cutting back on meat or on driving. Think about it. > There is nothing you can do about this. I am not not going to eat less meat or drive my car less than I find convenient to please some leftist eco-warrior. You don't do "it" to please some leftist eco-warrior, but because "it" is a unsustainable lifestyle. Whatever shape "it" actually takes. |
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| ▲ | wredcoll 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > I also suspect that our most committed enviro-leftists genuinely believe that their lifestyle is already fully aligned to their values -- they don't even own a car, take transit everywhere! They pay an extra $25 for carbon offsets when they fly, and they "recycle everything"! They live in a blue state that mandates high levels of "clean energy" in the power grid. You did it, you torched the strawman. |
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| ▲ | remixff2400 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This is just a poor strawman/false dilemma: you don't have to be 100% or 0% for something to be effective or true. You're not addressing the actual claim (_why_ climate change is controversial, and particularly why the current structure makes it particularly controversial to corporations, etc.), you're just making a non-sequitur that everyone is affected by it. It's like someone saying "tax fraud by billionaires is a massive issue" and responding "well, did you declare every single dollar on your tax forms hmm?": they're both issues, but the former is obviously a much more impactful, structural and relevant one. You're trying to nullify their argument by attacking the "purity" of the person, but that doesn't negate the truth of their point. This is like a greatest-hits of common logical/debate fallacies (strawman, false dilemma, non-sequitur). | |
| ▲ | wat10000 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collective_action_problem There's a reason it's called a "problem." Doing the thing on your own is not a solution to it. | |
| ▲ | pstuart 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Sure we can all do our part as best possible, but this requires systemic change. Required reading: https://orionmagazine.org/article/forget-shorter-showers/ |
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| ▲ | adornKey 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It is best to say that it is a religious topic. Everybody has strong opinions about it, but nobody has ever bothered to look into any details of atmosphere physics. Everybody thinks he knows everything about the subject, but nobody ever checked anything. If people go into the details of some absorption spectrum they risk to get cancelled. It's religion - and a strong one. With dogmas, taboos and holy authorities. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 14 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | If the bible cited even 1/1000th as many studies and experiments as the IPCC Reports, it would be a very different book. > If people go into the details of some absorption spectrum they risk to get cancelled. On the flickering smidgen of a chance that you are making this complaint in good faith, the reason why nobody feels obliged to walk you through the science is because for decades there has been a raging denial-of-service battle where the anti-climate-activist side spams questions under the pretense of "I'm just a curious individual, just asking questions" (JAQing off) when in fact they are exploiting the asymmetry between asking and answering a question. It takes 1x effort to ask and 100x effort to compile a good answer and you can only tell that the question was being asked in bad faith at the end when, after having the question thoroughly and convincingly answered, the JAQ-off completely fails to update their priors and immediately rotates to another misunderstanding that validates their politics. And then another, and another, indefinitely, because the JAQ-off never wanted to learn, they always just wanted to promote their politics. If the science community opens its arms to this, it gets stabbed in the heart. Ask me how I know. Our response is twofold: 1. Don't assume good faith until someone invests effort to demonstrate it 2. Point to the IPCC reports, which are one of the most monumental assemblies of knowledge, observation, and experimentation in human history. These days, "the simplified IPCC reports are still too hard for me" isn't even an excuse because LLMs exist and are good at explaining the scientific basis for climate issues. Whichever detail of whichever absorption spectrum you have in mind has almost certainly been studied by a hundred authors across a dozen labs who have also studied and answered 5 more questions about the absorption spectrum that you didn't think to ask. But the information is out there: go get it! Once you have invested effort in digging into the IPCC report, finding a study, reading it, building a question -- then you can go to a particular researcher and ask a particular question. You will get an answer, because you pass gate #1. But right now you are very far from passing gate #1 because you have put in no work to formulate a good question. | | |
| ▲ | Straw 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Interestingly, the IPCC reports themselves (not the summaries for policymakers) are quite optimistic. IIRC something like, if we do nothing to abate emissions, climate damages in 2100 will cause damage equivalent to ~3% of GDP per year. (With GDP being many times higher than now per capita). Hardly a catastrophic prediction! | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | I know, right? They bend over backwards to not be "alarmist," even perhaps a bit more than they should. But of course this wins them zero credit from their political opponents, which is an important lesson about politics: seeking middle ground with someone bent on destroying you is a fool's errand. |
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| ▲ | adornKey 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The IPCC has been in defensive mode for a few years now. They made claims that absolutely made no sense and haven't answered to obvious criticism for years now. Only now they are very slow in backpedalling. Why should anyone still trust them? You can read IPCC reports all day long - if they still contain obvious flaws - it's not going to impress... If you check related websites you find a lot of propaganda - and very little science. They stopped caring about using arguments years ago. I looked for science there and only found low quality rubbish. The only thing going for them is the argument from authority. But once you know people in academia this doesn't work any more. I personally know a climate scientists (he published 40 papers). He showed a lot of signs of mental issues - most likely he is completely nuts - From experience I've seen that competent guys don't go to work in academia - it's mostly a cargo cult society for guys from the 2nd and 3rd intellectual league. Just look at them - I've seen more religious nuts and real flat-earthers there than anywhere else. I know a lot of guys in academia and even the most sane one is still leading the UFO-club... | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 12 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | On one hand we have the IPCC with concrete claims, detailed explanations, piles of survey papers expanding the details, and piles of novel and confirming work behind each survey. On the other we have adornKey, with vague accusations and smack talk that feel like they came from a LLM, still stuck at gate #1. Sad. | |
| ▲ | t0mpr1c3 12 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The IPCC has been in defensive mode for a few years now. They made claims that absolutely made no sense and haven't answered to obvious criticism for years now. Only now they are very slow in backpedalling. Why should anyone still trust them? You can read IPCC reports all day long - if they still contain obvious flaws - it's not going to impress... If you check related websites you find a lot of propaganda - and very little science. They stopped caring about using arguments years ago. I looked for science there and only found low quality rubbish. > The only thing going for them is the argument from authority. But once you know people in academia this doesn't work any more. I personally know a climate scientists (he published 40 papers). He showed a lot of signs of mental issues - most likely he is completely nuts - From experience I've seen that competent guys don't go to work in academia - it's mostly a cargo cult society for guys from the 2nd and 3rd intellectual league. Just look at them - I've seen more religious nuts and real flat-earthers there than anywhere else. I know a lot of guys in academia and even the most sane one is still leading the UFO-club... Thank goodness honest citizens like "AdornKey" are around to pinpoint the precise reasons why the international community of climate scientists are crazy, stupid, closed-minded, and ignorant. I am certainly glad that "AdornKey" made this laser-focused contribution to my understanding. | | |
| ▲ | Ancapistani 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | While I wouldn't argue that academia is "crazy, stupid, closed-minded, and ignorant", I would absolutely argue that they are ideologically homogenous. The whole community is rife with political signaling and affinity groups. | |
| ▲ | teddyh 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Please refrain from personal attacks. | | |
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| ▲ | Windchaser 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > It is best to say that it is a religious topic. Everybody has strong opinions about it, but nobody has ever bothered to look into any details of atmosphere physics. Everybody thinks he knows everything about the subject, but nobody ever checked anything. If people go into the details of some absorption spectrum they risk to get cancelled Wat I am just a climate science hobbyist: my graduate work was in another science field, but I follow the field a bit and read some of the hot papers. But even in my day job we still use a fair bit of atmospheric physics. I have to run into atmospheric physics a fair bit and it's not my area of training. I know that the friends and colleagues who are in research deal with it much, much, much more intimately. This comment is wildly, and weirdly, off the mark. Atmospheric physics is no more a religion than steel metallurgy or rainforest ecology is. It's grounded in hard experimental data and observations. | | |
| ▲ | 11 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | adornKey 11 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Great! But the number of people that actually bother to check some numbers are very small. Even guys that scored well in related tests in university usually don't have the slightest clue how any relevant spectrum looks like, and how the numbers add up. | | |
| ▲ | Windchaser 6 hours ago | parent [-] | | This is really vague. Are you saying that some of the commonly-accepted science is significantly incorrect? If so, which parts? |
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| ▲ | tovej 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It's only a religious topic to climate change denialists. | | |
| ▲ | fuzzfactor 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Not only that but with somewhat less fervor those having fairly strong faith in superstition really add up after a while too. Combine both and it can be the most bizarre trend in non-cognizance that many have ever seen. Very often displayed by those who wouldn't recognize the difference between a CO2 spectrum and the brain scan of an accurately diagnosed mentally deficient patient. Some conditions you just can't fix. Regardless it makes you wonder what kind of medication some people are on, and if they took too much even if it was to no avail. | |
| ▲ | t0bia_s 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | By your rethoric, do you consider yourself as climate alarmist? Maybe try to be honest to yourslef first and then you'll understand, why it is really just about opinions that vary. No need to labeling opposition. | | |
| ▲ | tovej 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | So you're labelling me a climate alarmist before I have made a single statements about the climate crisis? I have also not used any rhetoric that wasn't first introduced by the parent, so you also have no evidence of my rhetoric. Do you see how that is a dogmatic (some might call it religious) response? To the point: the evidence is overwhelming, and there is nothing alarmist about reacting rationally to it. Anyone denying human-caused climate change is also doing so in the face of this overwhelming evidence, so the label is rather accurate. I would happily label climate deniers with any negatively charged label you can think of: simpletons, propagandists, accelerationists, fundamentalists, reactionaries, fascists, useful idiots. Depends a little on what their role is which label sits best, but they all apply. | | |
| ▲ | t0bia_s 6 hours ago | parent [-] | | Climate change denialist or alarmist is labeling. You belive in something and other don't. Your arrogance to opposite opinion does not bring anything new to dialogue. |
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| ▲ | 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | phs318u 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > nobody has ever bothered to look into any details of atmosphere physics. I’m sorry but this is demonstrably wrong as the simplest search of reputable scientific journals would show. | |
| ▲ | pastel8739 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You’re clearly referring to something specific, what is it? | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | One example is that whenever patents expire on some refrigerants or related process somehow magically at that same exact moment Dupont or other chemical IP behemoth magically find a new one safe for the ozone, the science magically all aligns at that moment, and congress/EPA finds the time to change the law before one iota of generic industry can squeeze out. I think the generic idea of the science and global warming is real but there is a whole industry around gaming the conclusions and gamifying what concern pops up when to magically align with whatever the guy with the most influence and self-dealing is hawking at that time. | | |
| ▲ | rainsford 14 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The problem you're describing is non-scientific interests putting their thumb on the scale of scientific questions. The solution to that problem is more science, not more politicized control of science. Elsewhere in this comment section you're defending politicians as customers of scientists demanding politically convenient science. But that's exactly what produces the non-scientific conclusions you're talking about in this post. What you really should want is for science to be held to a gold standard of fidelity to the facts, and for politicians who push them in other directions should be voted out of office. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 12 hours ago | parent [-] | | >The problem you're describing is non-scientific interests putting their thumb on the scale of scientific questions. The solution to that problem is more science, not more politicized control of science. You won't likely "more science" your way into thumbs off the scale, that is going to have to be achieved from largely non-scientific means. >Elsewhere in this comment section you're defending politicians as customers of scientists demanding politically convenient science. This is a cleverly packed lie, one attempted to paint me as a hypocrite, that you not only not quote but also chose to not address directly. The reason why is obvious -- flood the zone with indirect pointers to supposed lies to wear down the counterparty. But just this once I'll entertain it, though I know this deceit doesn't stop once engaged. > defending politicians as customers of scientists I am stating the politicians are the customers of the government-employed scientists. What I am "defending" is not living in a fantasy. Of course you can wax philosophical about "we the people" or whatever but at the end of the day the summation of congress+executive has constructive possession of the purse and executive management of scientific employ. > ... demanding politically convenient science. and I used the verbatim word 'retarded' alluding to what I thought of it ... a very strong defense of that particular customer, after which I suggest they might get a new one. > ut that's exactly what produces the non-scientific conclusions you're talking about in this post. There's a genius amount of terse deception to unpack here. The slight of hand is you use 'customers of scientist demanding politically convenient science' but then claim 'exactly what produces' these conclusions are ... the non-scientific output of work of scientists rather than the output of politicians who are customers. If they are producing non-science they are not acting in capacity of scientists yet somehow they escape your damnation here despite being the very people producing it by reading of your statement. Your sentence is one tightly packed logical contradiction that simultaneously guards scientists as providers of facts while simultaneously claiming the scientists themselves are producing non-scientific conclusions by chaining that as the output of the work. If they are scientists of fidelity acting in capacity of such then practically by definition they aren't to be blamed for non-scientific conclusions and are not the "producers" of such regardless of whom their customer is. > What you really should want is for science to be held to a gold standard of fidelity to the facts The scientist who depends on a salary to survive who wants fidelity of facts should look for customers demanding that. Expecting to produce fidelity from someone demanding infidelity means you end up broke or you become corrupted. The demand from government is infidelity. In fact what I'm "defending" is looking elsewhere away from politicians at this time because your aspiration of "should be voted" is at odds with the current reality of "they were not." | | |
| ▲ | Supermancho 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | > I am stating the politicians are the customers of the government-employed scientists You can restate the ideology over and over. It doesn't change reality. There are many parties involved. I have agency as well. It's all very pedestrian to be reductive, but it's not compelling. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | >You can state the ideology over and over. This is rich considering it's the first time I stated it in this particular sub thread as the person I responded to was both too chickenshit to quote what I said or respond directly where I said it because it would betray that their portrayal was bad faith and full of shit. The "reality" check, in fact, is coming for the scientists who are still suspending belief that they too were not better than the plebs who could be shit-canned in a millisecond by the whims of the "parties" involved (but muh reductive portroyal! Also science is in chaos!) and have to go on a "pedestrian" and "reductive" mission to use their "agency" to find a new "party." Time to face the music, "scientists." | | |
| ▲ | Supermancho 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | More noise. Lovely. Do you think how often you say something has any bearing on a base assumption from which all your conclusions are drawn, is not an ideology? Oh boy. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | Of course not, go "make noise" about science being in "chaos", say it a lot. The "scientists" seem to have no problem saying the shock of their plight over and over with the hope it will change the "base assumptions" of the "ideologies" influencing their employment. But as you say, it doesn't change reality. | | |
| ▲ | amanaplanacanal 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | If it changes the minds of the voters, then different people will be in charge of the funding. Is that not how it works? | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | This is saying that "saying something over and over" will change reality. This was ridiculed by the person I was responding to so I decided to play along with it, but I'm open to that being true if we're revising that outlook. |
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| ▲ | adornKey 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Ozone is an interesting topic. CFCs seem to be very potent climate gases. But I haven't checked any calculations about them, yet. I'd love to see a good analysis of the absorption-spectrum. Adding something new to the atmosphere has a lot of warming potential - but the question always is how fast it reaches a level of saturation. For ozone and CFCs years of media coverage haven't brought any insight. Having 3 different updated versions of Dupont-products in the atmosphere could be good or bad - most likely people haven't bothered to check, yet... But they're all full of furious knowledge. People "know" that banning CFCs "cured" the ozone hole - but they don't ask why it shrunk too early, and why the situation hasn't changed at all for decades now... I think most likely the banning was good - but the reasons don't really make sense. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 13 hours ago | parent [-] | | > most likely people haven't bothered to check Searching "cfc concentration in atmosphere" on scholar.google.com returns 60000 papers. Cruising the first few pages, most of them easily qualify as "bothering to check." Your estimation of the scientific community is five orders of magnitude off. | | |
| ▲ | adornKey 12 hours ago | parent [-] | | How about you get 1$ from me for every paper you found there that answers my question - and I get 1$ from you for every paper that is not relevant to my question? | | |
| ▲ | counters 28 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Deal. Put $10,000 in escrow and point me to your lawyer to work out the details. | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 12 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | scholar.google.com is right there. Put in the work or talk to the hand. | |
| ▲ | quietsegfault 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Your original claim was that people haven’t bothered to check. When someone pointed out there are tens of thousands of papers on the subject, you changed the question to find papers that answer my specific question. Those are not the same claim. You went from arguing that the research doesn’t exist to arguing that you haven’t personally seen research that satisfies you. |
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| ▲ | adornKey 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | This will go too far, but if you want to understand things, maybe HITRAN Database is interesting for you. There've been detailed calculations what is going on with absorption. How the absorption spectrums of relevant gases look like is a start. The next question is to check how much potential a gas has (how much energy is available in that spectrum?). HITRAN is an extensive database for the relevant lines. The results are interesting and a bit surprising... But all this has been explained and cancelled again and again... It's no good topic in any religious environment where nobody has bothered to get basic knowledge about the physics before. | | |
| ▲ | lakhim 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | make the argument explicitly. Here, I'll do it for you: doubling co2 levels should only lead to a 1c increase in temperature (~3w/m2 extra forcing). That ignores all the other things that happen besides co2 forcing alone. | | |
| ▲ | adornKey 12 hours ago | parent [-] | | Your numbers most likely aren't exact. But most interesting is what you mean with "other things" and how much this is expressed in numbers. And have you looked up any numbers about methane? | | |
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| ▲ | convolvatron 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | the experimental framework for finding out absorption spectra goes back like 100 years and is basically high school level science. not only that, we have quantum chemistry models that predict empirical results from atomic configurations that are 20+ years old and match that empirical data to a very high level of accurany. there is plenty of ambiguity to attack in climate modeling, but you chose the most settled and fundamental thing to poke at. |
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| ▲ | lakhim 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | dude make an argument or dont, this kind of half assed "I know something but the man won't let me talk about it" is annoying and useless. | | |
| ▲ | N_Lens 13 hours ago | parent [-] | | He’s probably a bot or paid to post misinformation to muddy the waters. The topic is highly financially charged despite overwhelming evidence on one side. |
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| ▲ | KolibriFly 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Even if you leave intent aside, the effect is the same: it teaches researchers that funding is conditional on staying within an invisible and shifting political boundary | |
| ▲ | 17 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | KolibriFly 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| And scientists are often exactly the kind of people who will try to keep going anyway |
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| ▲ | fuzzfactor 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Some individual projects are not worth the money on their own, but maintaining the ability of as many researchers as possible to continue to be at the top of their game, having ever-improving research chops in general is worth more than money can buy. It's still an extremely short-sighted and imbecillic action not to be increasing research opportunities at least as fast as other places like China in particular. |
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| ▲ | inigyou 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Such is life in fascism. This is why we used to try to avoid fascism. It sucks. Not only is it destructive, it's randomly destructive, nothing is sacred, there's no stability at all. Why would you invest or take out a mortgage if dear leader could destroy your life for no reason at any moment? It's like living in space where a random piece of debris could puncture any point on your hull at any moment and there's nothing you can do about it. |
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| ▲ | wredcoll 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | When ever asks about or attempts to defend fascism/strongman style systems with some kind of excuse that they "get things done", THIS IS WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENS. |
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| ▲ | 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | timr 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > If the scientists haven't left science behind after an experience like this, probably nothing will....I think I should feel angry, but I just feel sad for all the humans involved here, I hope they manage to come out with a more positive perspective than I'm able to here. As someone who spent far too much of my life pursuing that goal, I have an unpopular opinion: US science needs some cuts. The first project (the space telescope) makes me sad, simply because it's pure science that probably wouldn't get done any other way. And it probably costs nothing, in the grand scheme of things. See also: climate data gathering, oceanology, etc. I don't support cutting things based on politics in any direction. But as you go down the article, you quickly run into projects that are, frankly, a gigantic waste of money -- like "determinants of health inequality" work which burns through money repeating things we already know (racism is bad! poor people are sicker!) and accomplishing exactly nothing: > Jenna Norton, a program director at the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDKD)...wanted to increase research into the social determinants of health—structural racism in home-loan practices meant that nonwhite people got iced out of home ownership and generational wealth, which forced them to live in neighborhoods closer to toxic sites such as factories and highways, without sidewalks and amenities. “It’s a challenging field to quantify, but we’re getting to a place in science where we can start asking these questions,” Norton says. Now the topic is verboten in U.S. grants. “That whole line of research has been shut off and censored because some people find the words ‘structural racism’ offensive.” It's laughably absurd to claim that "we can start asking these questions", because I'm here to tell you that ineffectual 'scientists' were doing the same research when I was a graduate student, which wasn't yesterday. This kind of stuff has always had ample funding, while legitimate researchers have to scrimp and wheedle to do anything novel. It sucked. It's not "censorship" to eliminate it, and the bureaucratic imperative -- along with being accused of "racism" if you cut it, as in this article -- essentially guarantees that it lumbers on for decades. Even in "harder" sciences, it's really a case-by-case basis. You see so much questionable science getting huge funding, simply because it's done by a consortium of big names, in trendy areas. Frankly, there were many days where I felt/feel that the US scientific funding process should just randomize grants who meet a basic competency threshold. It would be a much-needed revolution for younger scientists, though of course, it would also lead to endless squealing from beneficiaries of the current system. One of the side-effects of cutting any budgets related to science is that it leads to articles exactly like this one, quoting the people who lost funding. So while I'm saddened that a lot good projects are having a hard time, if it leads to a more focused funding of actual, legitimate science, I'm largely in favor -- even if "Scientific American" doesn't approve. |
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| ▲ | jfengel 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You seem strongly in favor science that you understand, and opposed to research that you don't take an interest in or have read. I don't think you'd accept news media accounts of space science. But you're accepting their synopses of social science without looking deeper. Perhaps I am wrong and you're actually an expert on sociology or some related field. But you are not accurately describing how the field works and what it does. It's hard to make the case for it when you're willing to dismiss its existence based on such a limited view of it. | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > You seem strongly in favor science that you understand, and opposed to research that you don't take an interest in or have read. Just say it the clear way, so that everyone can see what you're doing: if I don't like it, it must be because I don't understand it. | | |
| ▲ | nixon_why69 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I'm not well-versed in social science either so I don't have a slam dunk here, but I'd be very willing to bet it's more involved than you're portraying. To flip it on your space telescope, another one? They've been doing this for years, they're just going to tell us there's a lot of galaxies out there, boring. | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > To flip it on your space telescope, another one? They've been doing this for years, they're just going to tell us there's a lot of galaxies out there, boring. You’re not “flipping”, you’re just making a silly reduction. There’s tons of things we don’t know about black holes. We don’t need another study to tell us that poor people are sicker due to past racism. (One can certainly argue that it’s not worth the money to know more stuff about black holes. I am agnostic, but at least I see the difference in kind between the quality of the questions.) | | |
| ▲ | nixon_why69 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | Now imagine that there might be more depth to social sciences as well? Do you think we have it all figured out? Is Economics solved as well? | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Now imagine that there might be more depth to social sciences as well? I didn't malign all social sciences. > Do you think we have it all figured out? No. | | |
| ▲ | nixon_why69 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | Ok so its just specifically the stuff at the intersection of race and poverty that bothers you? I'm not sure where this is going. I mean, yes, there's some shoddy ideology-as-science at various universities but those people all still have jobs. That's not what got cut by DOGE, apparently. | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Ok so its just specifically the stuff at the intersection of race and poverty that bothers you? I'm not sure where this is going. No, it's bad science that bothers me, and this particular article prominently mentioned this example of bad science in like, the third paragraph. I quoted this at the top of the thread. But I appreciate the subtle insinuation! | | |
| ▲ | nixon_why69 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | From TFA (more like 10th graf after a lot on the NASA project): > research into the social determinants of health—structural racism in home-loan practices meant that nonwhite people got iced out of home ownership and generational wealth, which forced them to live in neighborhoods closer to toxic sites such as factories and highways, without sidewalks and amenities. “It’s a challenging field to quantify, but we’re getting to a place in science where we can start asking these questions,” That sounds like science to me, they're trying to quantify health outcomes relative to community environment. Later research can use the figures, just like with your black hole observations. One could say that maybe they should measure low-income communities in general with race as a dimension, but that doesn't make the whole thing "bad science". | | |
| ▲ | timr 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | Literally the thing I quoted in the top comment on the thread. Go read that comment. | | |
| ▲ | nixon_why69 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yeah, but measuring things that are poorly understood (to wit: community environmental factors on health outcomes) is part of the scientific process. Thanks for reminding me that you quoted that, I'm just not understanding the objection from then until now. Maybe other things are more important? Maybe they're not. Maybe black hole data won't be actionable for 500 years. I don't know, I'm also more interested in space than health so I'm with you if we had to pick one. But I wouldn't call this work "not science". | | |
| ▲ | gazebo2 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | >Yeah, but measuring things that are poorly understood (to wit: community environmental factors on health outcomes) is part of the scientific process. Is this really poorly understood? I think that's (partially) their point. I think we all pretty well understand that income correlates with health and that poorer people will tend to live in less healthy environments. |
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| ▲ | SanjayMehta 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | There is no such thing as social science. | | |
| ▲ | Windchaser 14 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I don't follow. Are there not sciences that primarily study a type of human relationship? Economics, for instance, which covers our financial relationships with each other. | |
| ▲ | archagon 13 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Having mingled and worked at length with PhD-level folks in both STEM and the social sciences, rest assured: social scientists are some of the smartest researchers out there, almost to a frightening degree. So your dismissal is genuinely chuckle-inducing to me. |
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| ▲ | mold_aid 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Perhaps better than "if I don't like it, it deserves to have its funding cut" |
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| ▲ | mech998877 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The replication crisis in science is particularly bad within the social sciences, and also particularly bad within sociology. When experts within a field are unable to converge on a result, it's pretty decent evidence that the field has a major problem. And for sociology, the problem isn't that the math is too hard, it's that the practice of sociology is pretty much a political exercise masquerading as science. | | |
| ▲ | t0mpr1c3 12 hours ago | parent [-] | | > The replication crisis in science is particularly bad within the social sciences This is true. Your conclusion is false and prejudicial. The problem is better characterized as social science is being harder to do well than we tohught. | | |
| ▲ | tbrownaw 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > > And for sociology, the problem isn't that the math is too hard, it's that the practice of sociology is pretty much a political exercise masquerading as science. > The problem is better characterized as social science is being harder to do well than we tohught. And the thing that makes it had to do well is that it's easy to know ahead of time what experimental result will best favor your existing beliefs. | |
| ▲ | wredcoll 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Well put. It's easy to attack people attempting to work on hard problems for not achieving perfect results. Which they don't. Because IT'S HARD. Weirdly, these critics never have useful suggestions to improve anything, it's all just personal attacks at one remove. I mean, frankly, we wouldn't need a lot of these studies if people in power were slightly more willing to just believe (usually minority) people who talk about the problems they have. Black soldiers were denied home loans after ww2; white soldiers were not; many white families therefor benefitted from owning a home (appreciation of value and safety/stability) in ways that black families did not. Do we need a study on that? I mean, it doesn't hurt anything, but we could also just read some reports and talk to some people and then realize "hey this is messed up" |
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| ▲ | TomasBM 13 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Do you have a specific example of a wasteful STEM research project that was cut? My (perhaps wrong) impression was that wastefulness was given as the reason for making the cuts, but that the cuts were done broadly and indiscriminately [1]. In other words, the actions don't match the stated goal of reducing wastefulness. They seem more like a punishment for the members of all scientific institutions, and deterrence for curiosity-driven research. [1] For example, the cuts to the STEM grants & projects didn't seem attached to any evidence of said projects' wastefulness. | |
| ▲ | fireflash38 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > work which burns through money repeating things we already know (racism is bad! poor people are sicker!) and accomplishing exactly nothing Why do we need to study the sun? We already know it goes around the Earth. Flippant, but the point should be clear. Some of the most taken for granted things can also be the ones least studied... And least understood. Wouldn't you like to know why being poor leads to worse outcomes? Perhaps confounding factors? | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yes, we should fund grants to make sure that the heliocentric model is still wrong. | | |
| ▲ | qsera 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | I just want to say that what you say makes a lot of sense to me and I am happy people like you are pushing against the narrative. |
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| ▲ | djeastm 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Yours is an "ends justify the means" argument, but are you comfortable with the way these cuts were done? Would you approve so robustly of your own research being cut with a keyword search for government-unapproved terms? | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Yours is an "ends justify the means" argument, but are you comfortable with the way these cuts were done? Generally no. But I also think that certain classes of keyword filtering were probably a good idea. Filtering for any grants with "structural determinants of health" and reviewing them intensively with the goal of defunding 99%, for example, is probably a good idea. > Would you approve so robustly of your own research being cut with a keyword search for government-unapproved terms? I mean, there's zero chance my research would have fallen afoul of any such terms, but let me put it this way: my field was completely up-ended by DeepMind. They not only won a Nobel for that work in record time, but used an approach so severely out of fashion that it couldn't really get any attention. I guess I'm saying: I don't think it would have been so bad to cut most of it, if it meant that we got more actual diversity in the field. | | |
| ▲ | Windchaser 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | > I mean, there's zero chance my research would have fallen afoul of any such terms, but let me put it this way: my field was completely up-ended by DeepMind. They not only won a Nobel for that work in record time, but used an approach so severely out of fashion that it couldn't really get any attention. Someone else mentioned that a project got cut because they used the term "engendered". The keywords search cuts were not exactly skillfully enacted. | | |
| ▲ | timr 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Someone else mentioned that a project got cut because they used the term "engendered". Well, assuming that this is not an apocryphal story, and that there's no other relevant missing details (e.g. "research into silly topic X also used the word engendered"), etc., then that's dumb. I'm not going to argue about hearsay. I will say this: before you believe such claims, you should verify them. They're often misremembered or completely made up. In particular, I'm not sure how anyone would know what keyword search was used to target their grant for review. |
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| ▲ | inigyou 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Like that program to study the mating patterns of sterile flies in Panama, right? They cut that because it was a $300k waste of money. Do you know what happened after they cut it? The US got a $300m infestation of those flies. | | |
| ▲ | mDyJzDPmBdG 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | How does it feel to spread miss-information on internet? The Panama barrier was broken by screwworms 2 years before the cuts. It was dumb decision but didn't directly cause current infestation. |
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| ▲ | raincole 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Thank you for providing your perspective. I really hope HN has a 'pre-vouch' button as I know your comment will be flagged in no time, even though it's quite articulated. | | |
| ▲ | jfengel 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | I believe it's a fairly common attitude. Thus far it doesn't seem to be down voted. I wrote what I think of as a fairly coherent objection. I expect it to be voted down. Would you also recommend "pre vouching" for it? | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You didn’t write a coherent objection, you just said I didn’t understand what I was talking about. | | |
| ▲ | nilirl 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | From your original post, > repeating things we already know Not a terribly scientific stance. > while legitimate researchers have to scrimp and wheedle to do anything novel There isn't a normative standard for good research beyond doing good research. Some fields have an easier time setting up and controlling experiments, but no research can predict how useful it'll turn out to be. You're conflating control convenience for utility. > randomize grants who meet a basic competency threshold You ignore the political and economic system within which the scientific system sits. > if it leads to a more focused funding of actual, legitimate science, I'm largely in favor Again, your normative standard for what is legitimate. > simply because it's done by a consortium of big names, in trendy areas. They're trendy for a reason. Science is, at it's core, questioning things because someone cares about it. | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > There isn't a normative standard for good research beyond doing good research. Ah yes, the post-modernist rebuttal. There is no objective reality, so let's not have any standards at all. This isn't new, and isn't responsive. We've never had a normative standard, yet we pick and choose projects all the time. One can still tell the difference between someone asking a repetitive question and a novel question. I can also tell "good research" thanks to years and years of advanced training, which I have used here to tell you that most of this stuff you like is bad. > Some fields have an easier time setting up and controlling experiments, but no research can predict how useful it'll turn out to be. You're conflating control convenience for utility. If you can't do the experiment, you don't deserve scientific funding. Go get a grant from the National Endowment for the Arts or a left-wing think tank or something. | | |
| ▲ | nilirl 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > thanks to years and years of advanced training That's a laughable argument based on a claim of authority. Unfortunately, advanced training is not unique to you, and so, you don't get a singular say on what's good or bad. > so let's not have any standards at all. Do not misrepresent my point. My point was: if people care, even marginal reduction of uncertainty is worthwhile. > Go get a grant from the National Endowment for the Arts or a left-wing think tank or something. And there's your actual point. You hate that science is so affected by the politics of those who control the funding. But that's always been the case. Wars have done more for physics than curiosity. | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > That's a laughable argument based on a claim of authority. How exactly do you think that scientific grants are evaluated right now? I have some bad news for you... Anyway, I'm just telling you that I actually do have enough experience to know the difference between a good question and a bad one, and I'm applying that experience here. > Do not misrepresent my point. My point was: if people care, even marginal reduction of uncertainty is worthwhile. No, your point was that there's no normative standard for evaluating science. You said it like, three times. Here, I'll quote you: > There isn't a normative standard for good research beyond doing good research. Some fields have an easier time setting up and controlling experiments, but no research can predict how useful it'll turn out to be. You're conflating control convenience for utility. You like the research, therefore I don't know what I'm talking about, and who am I for having an opinion anyway. And then I tell you that I actually do have some relevant knowledge, and you dismiss the knowledge as "normative". Convenient! Reducing uncertainty is great. I'm all for it. Sometimes it's even worth paying for. Doing the 150,000th derivative observational study finding that poor people are sicker than rich people is not an example. Poor people are sicker than rich people. Let's move on. | | |
| ▲ | nilirl 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | > How exactly do you think that scientific grants are evaluated right now? I have some bad news for you A problem of authorization can be solved with delegated authority. I'm saying your use of it is as evidence for your reasoning is weak. Those are two different problems. > your point was that there's no normative standard for evaluating science. You said it like, three times. Yes, but you equated me saying "no normative standard" to "no standards at all." You setup a false dichotomy. My larger point was that what's normative is political. And you saying your standard should be the norm is also political. > You like the research, therefore I don't know what I'm talking about, and who am I for having an opinion anyway. And then I tell you that I actually do have some relevant knowledge, and you dismiss the knowledge as "normative". Convenient! You're placing words in my mouth. I didn't say I like the research, I'm saying I don't like your grounds for dismissing it. I don't dismiss your expertise but I reject it as sufficient evidence for your argument. > Doing the 150,000th derivative observational study finding that poor people are sicker than rich people is not an example. Poor people are sicker than rich people. Let's move on. If you cannot see the hubris here, if you cannot see how unscientific it is to conclude (reductively) the results of an experiment before the experiment, then we are at an end. Let's move on. | | |
| ▲ | timr 13 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Yes, but you equated me saying "no normative standard" to "no standards at all." No, I concluded that from a process of deduction, but fair enough. You're arguing that nobody can be qualified to critique the thing you support. > You setup a false dichotomy. My larger point was that what's normative is political. And you saying your standard should be the norm is also political. Yes yes. What's "normative" is now "political" (for some reason), and my standard is also "political" and therefore is not relevant. It's just another way to try to arrive at the same place through the back door: my standard is wrong, because it's "normative" (or "political", or whatever other word you use in the next post), but your standard is (again, for some reason) not those things. You don't like what I'm saying, so you reject my ability to say it. And when I catch you in this fallacy, you'll slip back to arguing that all research might be relevant to someone somewhere, and who are we to judge anyway, man, and blah blah blah. You're obviously just being big-brained and magnanimous. | | |
| ▲ | nilirl 13 hours ago | parent [-] | | Well, your deduction was unsound. And continues to be unsound. You can critique anything as long as you know you can be wrong too. > Yes yes. What's "normative" is now "political" (for some reason), and my standard is also "political" and therefore is not relevant. You're hand-waving. Your stance is political but not irrelevant. Your stance is philosophical (resting on chosen assumptions) and not empirically irrefutable. Not acknowledging that is why you fail to convince. You've made this argument about you and your ability to "catch" people. You have no argument that stands on its own construction. | | |
| ▲ | try_the_bass 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Having read through this whole discussion, and as an outsider: they're approaching this from a much stronger and consistent position than you. This is most obvious given how far you've moved the goalposts along the way. | |
| ▲ | qsera 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | What is your point man? Can you state simply? Is it that cutting funding for "science" is bad, without exception? |
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| ▲ | tovej 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | You're not being very rational. Please be civil and respond to the points, rather than give a "no you". |
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| ▲ | raincole 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | As I expected, the comment I wanted to 'pre vouch' is dead and flagged now. > I expect it to be voted down. Would you also recommend "pre vouching" for it? I expected your comment is upvoted, as HN community generally does to 'you don't know what you're talking about' kind of comment, so no. |
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| ▲ | rjsw 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | A fair bit of "science" is about providing training to the following generations. Sure, your example isn't going to turn up any new insights into structural racism but it is something that you can point grad students at to learn how to capture data. Diabetes is getting worse, just saying that "we looked at poor people's problems 50 years ago so don't need to look at them again" isn't going to flag it up. | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Diabetes is getting worse, just saying that "we looked at poor people's problems 50 years ago so don't need to look at them again" isn't going to flag it up. Great! Do actual research into curing/treating/preventing diabetes. Do randomized trials on nutritional interventions in poor communities! Do any of a million other things that might actually affect the problem. Do not: perform another observational study to see if poor people get diabetes more than rich people. | | |
| ▲ | thinkthatover 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | I agree that pure science should not be cut and prioritized. The more frustrating thing about the type of sociological research you critique is that it feels like that data already exists somewhere - between health insurance companies, google, social media, etc. We know that we can de-anonymize data to get very specific actionable data for advertising. American scientists should have a Mega API from Palantir to ask their questions as well, and it ultimately won't cost as much. Side tangent, I wonder how much China does these kinds of sociological studies, and the differences in infra/how they conduct the research. Lord knows we're not the only ones getting fat over here. | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Side tangent, I wonder how much China does these kinds of sociological studies, and the differences in infra/how they conduct the research. I mean...not to be too flippant, but they don't. They're busy with hard problems to actually get people out of poverty, and don't have to worry about pesky partisan politics getting in the way. Plus, like, Mao is not that far in the rear-view mirror, y'know? It would be at least a little bit ironic to spend a lot of time researching that question. | | |
| ▲ | nixon_why69 13 hours ago | parent [-] | | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sociology_in_China Data and research are actually useful when you're working on getting people out of poverty. It seems like you're hung up on some American culture war shit but this is a common sense observation. (Parenthetically, the reason poor areas of China are poor is that they were always poor. They didn't have 2-car garages and color TV and then Mao made them into peasants. They were always peasants. This is obvious. Mao made a lot of mistakes because he believed in ideology and rhetoric over reality and measurable fact. That's the lesson to learn.) |
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| ▲ | dluan 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | What the fuck | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | Intelligent response. | | |
| ▲ | dluan 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | America is facing a multi-generational technical decline never before seen that will do irreparable harm across all fields of research, let alone the human cost especially borne by young scientists who have more to lose, and your grand insightful take is that well, some of it deserved to get cut, when you're not even the one making the decisions of which ones do receive funding. | | |
| ▲ | timr 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | > America is facing a multi-generational technical decline never before seen that will do irreparable harm across all fields of research This sounds very bad! But since I'm not arguing in favor of technical decline and irreparable harm, it doesn't mean that my argument is wrong. > let alone the human cost especially borne by young scientists who have more to lose, I'm confused: is science funding a welfare state for people who want to be scientists, or is it a meritocracy by which we fund the development of science? > and your grand insightful take is that well, some of it deserved to get cut, Well...yes. > when you're not even the one making the decisions of which ones do receive funding. Erm, so what? I can't have an opinion on bad science? You're not making the decision either, but apparently you're allowed to have one. | | |
| ▲ | dluan 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | The arrogance and ignorance so voluntarily put up on display is mind numbing. Not only have I worked as a science funder for the past 15 years as the founder of Experiment.com and with countless partner foundations and grant programs, having personally funded and peer reviewed thousands and thousands of projects, I've also sat as a member of countless NBER meta science panels alongside NIH and NSF directors where everyone's main pressure is earnestly trying to improve the efficiency and returns of science funding. Mainly to combat the false beliefs around science funding that people like you have spread. The number one universal lesson of funding basic research, going back from Vannevar Bush to Carl Sagan to small risky out-of-bounds research, is that you don't pick and choose where impact comes from. You don't get to try and justify based on your political preference where you think the most progress will come from. That's not any of this works. The funding of a random jellyfish protein that eventually turns into the discovery of GFP only ten years later is not the kind of thing you can try and predict ahead of time or concoct on paper. If you don't understand how basic research and impact works, then yeah you shouldn't be allowed to have hot takes about the system that millions of scientists rely on. You're dressing up anti-intellectualism behind a sham of commitment towards meritocracy when you won't even support the people who deserve it on merit. Get lost. | | |
| ▲ | timr 13 hours ago | parent [-] | | > The arrogance and ignorance so voluntarily put up on display is mind numbing. Well golly. Mind numbing! > Mainly to combat the false beliefs around science funding that people like you have spread. What "false beliefs" are those? > The number one universal lesson of funding basic research, going back from Vannevar Bush to Carl Sagan to small risky out-of-bounds research, is that you don't pick and choose where impact comes from. You literally just bragged that you were a member of countless NBER meta-science panels alongside NIH and NSF directors.
Tell me more about how the "universal lesson" is that you don't pick and choose. We do it all the time. You just don't like my opinion, but you can't argue on the merits, so you resort to this stuff. > You don't get to try and justify based on your political preference where you think the most progress will come from. Great. I'm not doing that. This isn't hard: there's such a thing as derivative, bad science that is unlikely to lead to novel results. It's fair to critique research on those grounds. "Social determinants of health" is a perfect example of this kind of science. I don't even disagree with the conclusions. I just think the science is terrible and shouldn't be funded. It's not just this area: observational nutrition research is generally abysmal science, and shouldn't be funded, yet is common. There's a replication crisis across the sciences, with certain fields being overrepresented. This is not an imaginary problem. Arguing that we don't filter science for quality, is of course, dumb and wrong. We do it all the time. It's just that some fashionable fields are able to bypass this test, because some folks substitute politics and indignance for logic. > You're dressing up anti-intellectualism behind a sham of commitment towards meritocracy when you won't even support the people who deserve it on merit. Get lost. You know, for a person who wants desperately to appeal to scientific authority, you resort to personal insults a lot. You'd think, if you were truly on the winning intellectual side of this, you could deal with the actual argument. | | |
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| ▲ | Avicebron 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It's actually more contrusctive to outline what the post you both are replying to you don't like and more specifically why? | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | > It's actually more contrusctive to outline what the post you both are replying to you don't like and more specifically why? Come on. I wrote a multi-paragraph post with an argument (I am the OP), and the parent wrote: "what the fuck" in response. Reply to him and ask him what he thinks is so offensive, don't ask me to make an intellectual rebuttal. I honestly shouldn't have responded at all, but I couldn't resist because of the commenter's profile. It's just so common to see someone in science who won't even engage with an argument like mine, and dismisses it with profanity/insults. | | |
| ▲ | Avicebron 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | My bad, on mobile, I think your stance deserves a more thoughtful critique. Source: was in academia for a bit post 2010 and pre-2024, there was some seriously weird unscientific stuff being peddled. | | |
| ▲ | estearum 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | Note: There is always some seriously weird unscientific stuff being peddled literally all through the entire course of scientific history. Did you not study the history of science at all during your jaunt through academia? Not to say we need to just lay down and accept the badness, but it's total nonsense to suggest that your exposure to some badness is an indictment of the enterprise. |
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| ▲ | 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | ModernMech 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | So where are researchers who want to study topics you don't personally like supposed to get funding, in your view? | | |
| ▲ | timr 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > So where are researchers who want to study topics you don't personally like supposed to get funding, in your view? I'm sorry, was I not clear enough? Bad research should not get funding. Or at least, it shouldn't get it for decades and decades, while producing no results [1]. One's desire to do research into irrelevant questions does not entitle you to support in the name of "science". [1] I'm OK with some crap science getting funded if every renewal is random! | | |
| ▲ | estearum 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Just because the medical system hasn't adapted to the (frankly astounding) findings produced by SDOH research doesn't mean it's not valuable or should be stopped. The takeaway from SDOH is that social determinants are by far more powerful forces on people's health than actual medicine. You would prefer we spend all of our money on the 10-15% of health outcomes determined by actual medical care and simply ignore the remainder, and you argue this from a point of "logic?" | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > (frankly astounding) findings produced by SDOH research I'm telling you, these same "astounding" findings were around 20 years ago. I learned about them when I was an undergraduate. They haven't changed. Things can be astounding and still be old news. Quantum mechanics were astounding in 1930. Doesn't mean we should firehose money into standard model research. The world moves on. > You would prefer we spend all of our money on the 10-15% of health outcomes determined by actual medical care and simply ignore the remainder, and you argue this from a point of "logic?" No. Next question. | | |
| ▲ | estearum 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | I suspect, based on your disposition towards it, you actually are not keeping up with the latest in SDOH research, and so I'm not sure where your confidence comes from as to whether we're firehosing money into "standard model research" or whether we're building a more refined and useful picture of stuff that was more vaguely understood 20 years ago. Is this a field you've been following closely, or am I listening to the equivalent of a person with no interest in quantum mechanics complaining that nothing new has happened in quantum mechanics? | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > I suspect, based on your disposition towards it, you actually are not keeping up with the latest in SDOH research, Man, you guys keep finding fun new ways of saying "if you don't like what I like, you must be uninformed". Instead of doing that, inform me: what revolutionary new finding in SDOH have we discovered in the last 20 years? Prove me wrong. > I'm not sure where your confidence comes from as to whether we're firehosing money into "standard model research" or whether we're building a more refined and useful picture of stuff that was more vaguely understood 20 years ago. That's called a metaphor. Feel free to substitute any other example that you feel better illustrates the concept of "studying a question we already know the answer to". Knowledge is always fractal, so it's not particularly responsive to argue that there might be something we don't know about the thing we've already intensively studied. Of course there might be...but when there are lots of questions we don't know the answer to, it's smarter to focus on those, instead. | | |
| ▲ | estearum 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | Sure here's one revolutionary new finding in that timeframe: that a person's social/cultural environment affects DNA methylation and gene expression for the rest of their lives. Here's another one: a person's perception of whether they "are" rural is actually a better predictor of their health outcomes than whether they actually are rural. I.e. two neighbors living side by side in suburban America, the one who perceives themselves to be rural will have dramatically worse outcomes than the one who perceives themselves to be urban/suburban. These are both potentially useful things to know as we try to eliminate extreme health disparities between Americans. You seem to think we have all the answers though, so what's the answer? How do we do it? FWIW, the specific cited research where she's trying to quantify the health impacts of living near pollution sources is actually important for e.g. lawsuits where people try to hold corporations accountable for poisoning their children. Any value in that? | | |
| ▲ | timr 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Sure here's one revolutionary new finding in that timeframe: that a person's social/cultural environment affects DNA methylation and gene expression for the rest of their lives. This isn't revolutionary. But it's a perfect example. This is a completely derivative conclusion from something I learned in molecular biology as an undergrad. The only "new" thing here is saying that poor people live in environments, since we've known for literally decades that DNA methylation is affected by environment. > a person's perception of whether they "are" rural is actually a better predictor of their health outcomes than whether they actually are rural. OK. Great. I'm poor if I think I'm poor. Roger. > These are both potentially useful things to know as we try to eliminate extreme health disparities between Americans. You seem to think we have all the answers though, so what's the answer? How do we do it? I don't know! You tell me how your "potentially useful" information provides a solution. Win me over! | | |
| ▲ | curt15 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | >This is a completely derivative conclusion from something I learned in molecular biology as an undergrad. The only "new" thing here is saying that poor people live in environments, since we've known for literally decades that DNA methylation is affected by environment. It's one thing to theorize a causal relationship, but informed policy-making needs actual data that can only be obtained by legwork. What aspects of the social/cultural environment are we talking about? What genes are being expressed differently? What are their estimated health or economic impacts? | | |
| ▲ | timr 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | It wasn’t a “theory” (at least no more than any other scientific fact), and telling me that someone found a relationship between two things doesn’t tell me that someone proved the relationship was causal. But sure, let’s say I accept your (implicit) assertion that this genetic relationship is solid, causal and clear. How does it help solve the problem? It’s a perfect example of research that does nothing except making people feel virtuous for doing the research. Academia is loaded with this stuff, and if you point out that it’s a waste of time and money, you get indignation and faux outrage for having the temerity to “question discovery”. Y’all keep coming back with “there are always things we don’t know!” as if this is somehow an argument for funding literally any question (and any bad methodology) that someone labels as “science”. It isn’t. | | |
| ▲ | estearum 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Realistically yes, science and academia are loaded with "waste". The vast majority of questions there's nothing interesting or useful to discover. The problem is that we don't know ex ante which questions fall into that category (except you, obviously, you do know this, but just don't want to share the secret sauce) And no I think people are coming back with "there are things we don't know that seem highly relevant to understanding and improving our population's wellbeing." The two ingredients to fixing a problem are knowledge and action and it's not scientists' jobs to be doing the action part, and while one could argue we have all the knowledge we need, a reasonable counterargument is that the only way we know we have the knowledge we need is when action is taken (and successful). And we're obviously not there yet. |
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| ▲ | estearum 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > This is a completely derivative conclusion from something I learned in molecular biology as an undergrad. The only "new" thing here is saying that poor people live in environments, since we've known for literally decades that DNA methylation is affected by environment. Yes, just like approximately everything we've learned about cosmology in the last 100 years are completely derivative conclusions from relativity lmao. There's what, <5 things we've discovered that are not completely derivative over 100 years and billions of dollars of research? > I don't know [how to mitigate health disparities]! You tell me how your "potentially useful" information provides a solution. Win me over! Huh? I didn't claim to have all the answers lol, you did. | | |
| ▲ | timr 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Yes, just like approximately everything we've learned about cosmology in the last 100 years are completely derivative conclusions from relativity lmao. OK, cool. Let's not do more of that, then. I just said that I could see the difference between the questions, and that they're not likely to get funding elsewhere, not that we should absolutely fund more black hole space telescopes. > There's what, <5 things we've discovered that are not completely derivative over 100 years and billions of dollars of research? No. Not in the same class as "are poor people sicker than rich people", or "does gravity cause things to fall down". Next question. | | |
| ▲ | estearum 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | FYI we've discovered precisely 0 (zero) things in cosmology or physics more broadly, or even material science, in the last 100 years that aren't derivable from relativity lol. Does your tirade copy/paste to that entire field too? |
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| ▲ | ModernMech 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I understand you personally are of the opinion that it's bad research, but thank God you're not in charge of funding research, because I pay taxes too and I think it's good. But that begs the question -- how do you determine what is relevent and irrelevant research, beyond just consulting your personal feelings? Because if you have a sure and nonbiased way to do that which will satisfy all the current stake holders (the entire tax base and US population), I think everyone would agree we should that! But if you don't have a proposal beyond "I don't like it, it's bad" then I'm sorry, the current system with all its flaws (delegating funding decisions to renowned experts in their respective fields rather than the sensibilities of the HN comment section) is far superior to that. | | |
| ▲ | timr 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > but thank God you're not in charge of funding research, because I pay taxes too and I think it's good. Oh stop with the silly straw men, already. I think research is good. I did research for decades of my life. I am against bad research. > how do you determine what is relevent and irrelevant research, beyond just consulting your personal feelings? Because if you have a sure and nonbiased way to do that which will satisfy all the current stake holders (the entire tax base and US population), I think everyone would agree we should that! Well, I proposed one way (which you completely ignored, in order to accuse me of being biased): just fund stuff at random. I don't think you're being a sincere interlocutor, but you've stumbled upon a legitimate class of argument: how does anyone separate their personal bias from objective evaluation of science? The current system sucks at this, and is not only loaded with bias, the bias is built into the system. We probably not do worse to just set some minimum objective bar for competency (degrees, institution, basic review for research viability, etc.) then fund whomever passes the bar at random. | | |
| ▲ | ModernMech 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | > I am against bad research. Most people are against bad research, but not everyone agrees with you on what bad means. Maybe the research you label "bad", I label "good". Your opinion has just as much weight as mine. So where does that leave us on the question of who gets research funding? Or did you have a different definition of "bad" in mind that doesn't consult your biases? > One's desire to do research into irrelevant questions Who decides what's a relevent question? The president? Political parties? B/Trillionaires? Big Tech / Oil / Pharma ? You? > Well, I proposed one way (which you completely ignored, in order to accuse me of being biased): just fund stuff at random. Sorry I ignored it, but you only included it as a footnote to your reply, so I wasn't sure you were actually serious. You gave two ideas really: fund stuff at random and fund continuations at random but holding a minimum objective bar. I'll take them in turn: > just set some minimum objective bar for competency (degrees, institution, basic review for research viability, etc.) then fund whomever passes the bar at random. This is more or less how the system operates now. You get a PhD, you go to a good institution, get some results, publish some papers, submit a proposal, and then it's a dice roll from there whether it gets funded or not. You said you had a career in research so you know this. How do you do "basic review for research viability" to your liking that's different from what's done now? Because now it's done by experts in their respective fields. You seem to think that means "bias is built into the system", yes? How do you evaluate basic research viability without consulting people specifically for their biases to determine that viability? But funding continuations at random means that good research and bad research, whatever that means, would have a random chance of just not continuing. How does a country build long time-horizon research programs if they can just be defunded at the roll of the dice despite good results? How does that improve the system if good research can just randomly die and bad research can continue randomly as a matter of policy? > just fund stuff at random. Doesn't prevent bad research from being funded, as you admit. So to me, since both of your ideas aren't really designed to eliminate bad research but do work to eliminate biases, it seems like you're less concerned with not funding bad research, and more concerned with how biased you perceive the funding process to be. > you've stumbled upon a legitimate class of argument: how does anyone separate their personal bias from objective evaluation of science? That's my whole point, you can't. The system we've built is a compromise because so many people have an opinion on what should / should not be funded. You and I are biased and will never agree, so we leave it up to experts who are biased and will also never agree, but at least they know what they're talking about. So at the end of the day some things we both don't like get funded from a very small pot. Maybe a dice roll improves the whole process, but given the system has been wildly successful in producing technological breakthroughs despite inefficiencies and biases and disagreements, we shouldn't just go throwing wrenches in it just because it's biased. | | |
| ▲ | tbrownaw 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Maybe the research you label "bad", I label "good". Your opinion has just as much weight as mine. "Just as much weight" in what context? Who is evaluating these weights? For what purpose? The person you're arguing with appears to be claiming to be a domain expert. Are you also claiming to be a domain expert, or is this a case of "my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge"? |
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| ▲ | carlosjobim 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | From anywhere except from the tax payer. Lord knows there are academic institutions sitting on a lot of cash. | | |
| ▲ | ModernMech 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | Why not, I pay taxes too and I want researchers to study things you don't like. I don't want to fund the military, should they get their funding from Lockheed? Lord knows they have enough... | | |
| ▲ | carlosjobim 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | Exactly: You and every other tax payer is entitled to have an opinion on how the money is spent, so why your original comment about "topics you don't personally like"? |
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| ▲ | iwontberude 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Medium effort flame bait |
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| ▲ | roysting 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| There is a far deeper problem, a systemic and foundational one; and unfortunately the whole system and all its components are all so vetted to the current rotten and distorted system that no amount of good intentions or personal dedication or will can overcome it. Unfortunately for us all we are at the precipice of a chasm and the forces of nature are upon us. |
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| ▲ | MemoryHoleHQ 17 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Well, unfortunately, this is completely normal in science and it happened, basically forever. Scientific projects, especially the massive ones, go through several cycles, and they get completely stopped or even canceled during their life, and then later, sometimes decades later, they do restart. This happened with the LHC, ISS, James Webb telescope, the Hubble telescope, ITER, etc, etc, etc Now, I know that in certain circles is very common these days, to go around pretending that the likes of many current decisions never happened until now and that whoever is governing the USA is doing something unheard of and absolutely terrible that nobody else would even think of. But it's not, this is something normal (I'm not saying it's good, but it is quite normal in science). |
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| ▲ | qnpnpmqppnp 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | Quoting the article: > Applying for highly competitive grants with limited funding is what scientists have always had to do to carry out the science—a flawed process with few alternatives. But arbitrary cancellations and delayed disbursements are unprecedented. And justifying them on the basis of politics—prohibiting, for instance, grants that include language referencing diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI)—was unheard of until now. | | |
| ▲ | MemoryHoleHQ 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | > prohibiting, for instance, grants that include language referencing diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI)—was unheard of until now. This is great news. It was "unheard of until now" because everyone before this madness started ~ 2010, was sane enough to not put DEI criteria in grant allotments. I'm glad something is finally being done about these appalling discriminatory practices. The grants should go the best proposals, not to those with the proper genitalia, melanin content of the skin, and correct religion of those applying. Let's take this moment to welcome real science back. | | |
| ▲ | frickinLasers 13 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I'm not going to bother to write an essay like the other person. Here is a scientific outcome that directly impacts the quality of medicine a majority of American citizens receive:
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle... Research in progress to address these issues was cancelled by DOGE because "melanin content of the skin." "Do your own research" if you care to, or fuck off. | | | |
| ▲ | brorfred 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Just to show how DEI works at NASA, I share a DEI plan we wrote for a proposal just before the change of administration. This plan was rated highly by the agency. Which parts are "appealing discriminatory practices"? Inclusion Plan
Both PIs and collaborators recognize the negative effect that systemic barriers have on academia and the importance of facilitating the full participation, belonging, and contribution of different groups and individuals within our work environment in general and the proposed project in particular. The proposed project is small in scope with few paid contributors and a well-defined group of collaborators, but it is always important to have a strategy in place to develop a positive and inclusive work environment. The PIs identify three areas where systemic barriers may affect our working environment or where questions around inclusion are critical: 1 Hiring strategies.
The most obvious barrier against inclusivity in academia and STEM is bias (whether explicit or implicit) in recruiting staff and students. They will work closely with the recruitment and Diversity Equity and Inclusion (DEI) offices at their respective institution to create recruitment strategies which are as unbiased as possible. One of their affiliations is a minority (Hispanic) serving institution – a transformative engine of social mobility – that offers a remarkable opportunity to (i) ensure student recruitment plans include underrepresented individuals and (ii) increase participation of a diverse and inclusive talent pool in climate change science. Both PIs will also participate in hiring workshops and training offered by their respective universities. Finally, they will leverage each PI’s background and earlier experiences by providing feedback in recruitment strategies and hiring decisions to each other, along with collaborative feedback from the associated offices at their institutions. 2. Work relationships with Post Docs and between collaborators
It is also critical to create an inclusive working environment between PIs and Post Docs, enabling a positive collaboration between all members of the team. The two PIs will work with the hired Post Docs to write a career development plan during the first three months of their employment. They will also actively promote external mentorship for the Post Docs, either informally or via established mentorship programs, including AGU-endorsed programs Mentoring365 (a free and global mentoring platform for the Earth and space sciences community) and Mentoring365-circles (a peer-to-peer group mentoring program that allows early-career scientists to build skills and grow their network around common interests and objectives). Finally, they will ensure that the Post Docs are informed about how to report discrimination and how the University can support them during onboarding. Both PIs have participated in management leadership training and have experience in organizing the kind of collaborative work that the proposed project requires. They will continue their learning process by participating in leadership workshops with a focus on DEI provided by their institutions. 3. Interactions with stakeholders.
Inclusivity in stakeholder interactions is critical for a successful result. PI 2 will be the main lead for working with stakeholders, and as such leverage their experience and expertise from earlier projects where stakeholder inclusivity has been a critical component. | | |
| ▲ | SiempreViernes 15 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Bless you for trying, but that's clearly just a troll you are responding to. | |
| ▲ | tinyplanets 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Don't feed the trolls... MemoryHoleHQ is not arguing in good faith. | |
| ▲ | mold_aid 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I'd like to add that "DEI" is, in this administrative environment, often reduced to a collection of terms searched for and flagged without regard for context. Such that "diversity" might be flagged in a grant application that has nothing to do with racial or ethnic diversity. USDA is doing the same thing with ag funding, though I don't think the same level of chaos is appearing because there are still at the moment competent people below the true-believer management. But not for long, as soon as they complete their return to Kansas City, inevitably losing DERP holdouts (exactly as happened during the last Trump admin). | | |
| ▲ | MemoryHoleHQ 12 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Oh, if that's really your complaint about this all businesses, then yeah, let's all work together to clearly separate the DEI terms that apply to people and those that are actually scientific (like the diversity on crops someone mentions below). Then we can more easily get rid of these discriminatory measures in practice (the real DEI ones) and keep the false flags. Is that fine for you? Or that was just some red herring you were trying there? | |
| ▲ | defrost 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Yeah, but, like, what's the worst that could actually happen by eliminating crop diversity? Potato monocultures fed literal millions for a good while, Shirley it can't hurt to see grain cropping go that way. | |
| ▲ | sorry_outta_gas 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [dead] |
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| ▲ | MemoryHoleHQ 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | SiempreViernes 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Yet again, who is paying for this? This is a modern witch hunt. Since this can only mean the DOGE witch hunt we all clearly remember, I think Elon Musk was paying for it? But now it's just taxpayer money (if there is anything left after "contributing" to all of Trumps many funds). |
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| ▲ | wredcoll 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Mate, if you had to make a new account just to try posting this nonsense, it might be time for some self-reflection. | |
| ▲ | ModernMech 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The grants should go the best proposals, not to those with the proper genitalia, melanin content of the skin, and correct religion of those applying. I'm confused. At least at the NSF, about 60-70% of their awards go to white men. Are those the appalling discriminatory practices, or what do you mean? | | |
| ▲ | MemoryHoleHQ 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | jyounker 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > Surprisingly (or unsurprisingly) enough, blind tests did exacerbate
> this issue, so, far left ideologues started calling to an end to
> blind auditions since they ended up making orchestras "less diverse"
> instead of more You should really shouldn't subtly misrepresent the argument. The article states that blind auditions made orchestras much more diverse in some categories, but did not make much of an impact in others. As far as I can tell nobody except Anthony Tommasini is calling for blind auditions to go away. His position position is just weird and using it
to represent the opinions of most of the left is more than a bit disingenuous. | |
| ▲ | estearum 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You know you can't just put one topic into the grievance bucket (science funding), shake it around, then pull out a different topic (orchestral hiring practices) and expect to have a conversation, right? | | |
| ▲ | MemoryHoleHQ 13 hours ago | parent [-] | | Seems like you didn't read the thread properly, but who transformed this subthread into a discussion about DEI, was someone else. Now, I know that people that defend these discriminatory practices love to put them all into tiny boxes and prevent any proper comparisons, but what can I tell you, I just the kind of person that doesn't change their principles based on the target. So yeah, in a discussion about DEI, when someone complains that area A has too many "white men" and that's due to discrimination, it's completely valid to point you that when people with the same ideology tried to impose blind testing in area B, they ended up hiring even more of those, very awful, "white men" because it turn out they were the best ones for the job and where already being discriminated against. | | |
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| ▲ | jyounker 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] |
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