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Mathematics in the age of AI(arxiv.org)
82 points by jonbaer 6 hours ago | 61 comments
sonicrocketman 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Tao's Rule of Thumb (which applies very well to software):

> My own suggested rule of thumb: if the authors cannot convincingly demonstrate that they are able to give a clear, expert-level talk on their results, one that is correct and properly attributed, then the result should not be published. A proof that no human can properly explain should be viewed as incomplete, even if it has been formally verified.

kriro 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The counterpoint to this comes from chess. High level engines "prove" certain lines correct (not in the mathematical sense) but those "engine lines" are really hard to explain to humans, even by GMs. They can sort of explain that something is a good line but not why. Engines crush GMs and are considered ground truth even if noone really understands what is happening. Would it be a nightmare if math was the same, not sure. Especially for counterexamples LLM solutions seem fine. They stop humans from wasting time on pointless things. For proofs it gets more hairy but I think if it is formally verified a proof is a proof. Attribution is a problem (should the person who wrangled the answer out of an LLM get the credit, I guess so).

I think these are non-trivial epistemology and science theory problems.

GPerson an hour ago | parent | next [-]

I don’t think it’s pointless to spend time trying to prove a conjecture which is ultimately false if along the way you figure out a bunch of different true variations on the conjecture, which is how mathematics actually works. This is something I’m a bit worried about with LLMs since it gets you to the end too fast.

jhrmnn 42 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

I can almost see two branches of mathematics developing. One which is human-understandable, the other formally verified. I assume the latter is a strict superset of the former?

metahuman_crumb 25 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

I suggest "Catching crumbs from the table" by Ted Chiang. Very short piece published in Nature (2000) and well worth a read. Depicts a scenario where modified humans produce science beyond ordinary scientists' comprehension.

Jblx2 20 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

Mochizuki enters the chat

nilkn an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I believe this rule of thumb will come to fail. The combination of superhuman mathematical reasoning and synthesis in upcoming AI models plus the rapid build-out of scalable formal verification infrastructure means this exponential in math is going to take off quite explosively, and we've barely seen anything yet. Mathematics is going to decisively move beyond human ability fairly soon (within our lifetimes, if not much more abruptly). It seems abundantly clear to me that much of the work will only be immediately accessible to AI, and rather than trying to explain all of it back to humans we will rather focus on explaining the portions that humans would benefit disproportionately from understanding.

skybrian an hour ago | parent | next [-]

Maybe that will be true when it's math with practical applications, but most theoretical math isn't like that. If it's not practical and it's not for mathematians to understand, what good is it?

fultonn 24 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

People say similar things about automation of software engineering. Different, but similar.

I'm deeply suspicious. I do not yet have a concise statement for why, but a lot of literature on the sociology of knowledge work sort of points at my thoughts.

Section 5 of the Thurston article cited by Tao touches the elephant. Raduchel's article on the economics of software [2] also touches it.

I've tried to put words to this for a few years. I think I'm just going to start writing versions of it as see if that helps me shape the thought into something more concise.

So, in the spirit of this article's style, here are some postulates:

1. There is a sociological process happening in the production function during knowledge work.

2. That production function and the associated sociological process spans years or even decades, and must outlast many of the artifacts that are produced during the early years of the function.

3. You cannot get the right lines of code or the right theorems proved without running that sociological process alongside the artifact production process.

4. It is impossible to completely separate the sociological process from the artifact construction process. If you just iterate on artifacts then too much of the required hidden state is lost to make progress in the right direction. This is true even if you include distilled artifacts capturing pieces of the sociological process (eg meeting notes, documentation, commit logs, prompts).

5. So you need that sociological process, or something like it, to still happen.

6. For a lot of knowledge work that process plays out in extremely high-fidelity social interactions [3] that we have not yet captured in the datasets that would be required to reproduce those dynamics.

7. And even if we do collect that data, our current architectures and training algorithms and hardware would be useless given the size of the datasets.

So: the technology today gives us the ability to iterate on the production of artifacts. But it does not sufficiently simulate the social process which gives rise to the Right artifacts.

This isn't exactly what I actually think, but it's a version of the thing that I intuit when I watch heavy use of AI in both software projects and formalization projects. And simulating that process feels way harder than people are currently assuming.

[1] https://arxiv.org/pdf/math/9404236 Section 5.

[2] https://www.nationalacademies.org/read/11587/chapter/11 pp 166-168.

[3] there is a reason we still gather in-person around white boards, and why doing so is more crucial for some types of work than others.

lacker 29 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don't think the mathematicians are going to be able to make that work, because journals are already struggling to keep up with their review load, and AI seems like it will make that harder. So a solution that involves "journals will do a lot more effort to review each paper" doesn't seem practical.

It would work better as a bar for hiring, rather than as a bar for publishing.

Jblx2 8 minutes ago | parent [-]

It will be interesting to see the evolution of journals in the next ten years for sure. Have they outlived their usefulness? Maybe everyone will just upload papers to arXiv, along with a copy of the formal proof.

czgov 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I wonder what his views on the 4 color problem are. One can explain it as the computer checked a bunch of cases and all maps reduce to one of these cases. It doesn’t take an expert to state this.

Properly explain is an enormous grey area. Soon, I think, there will be proofs of results that are verified in Lean that are so long that no one will be able to “properly explain”. I don’t think they should be discarded.

Resolution of singularities is a famous theorem of Hironaka. Abhyankar claimed that no one truly understood the proof of the theorem. He said that he and Zariski couldn’t get through the paper with a full understanding. But everyone accepts this theorem as being correct.

akk0 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

For an exhaustive search, if you can explain to me: - how to exhaustively list the cases that need to be checked, and why that method is exhaustive - how to check each case, and why that works and then conclude with "we've had a computer do this exhaustive search, and the result came up as X", for me that satisfies completely understanding the proof.

aleph_minus_one 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> I wonder what his views on the 4 color problem are. One can explain it as the computer checked a bunch of cases and all maps reduce to one of these cases.

Just burn lots of tokens on the frontier model of your choice to let the AI find a high-level argument why the four color theorem holds. :-)

--

Seriously: since there exist quite a lot of readers on HN who are both hardcore into AI and mathematical problems: This is a challenge for you.

I am looking forward to seeing an announcement of a novel high-level argument why the four color theorem holds on the first page of HN in at most a month. :-D

ChadNauseam 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> One can explain it as the computer checked a bunch of cases and all maps reduce to one of these cases. It doesn’t take an expert to state this.

Hmm, doesn't it take an expert to explain why those cases are exhaustive, and why the code that checked them is correct?

Tangentially, I'm not a mathematician but I wonder if one "opaque" proof that is too complicated for anyone to understand, but that we know is correct via formal verification, might end up being built on with "transparent" human-understandable proofs. For example, it's my understanding that there are many conjectures that have been proven true conditional on the riemann hypothesis being true. In that case, an opaque proof of the riemann hypothesis would enable those conjectures to be known and built upon

czgov 3 hours ago | parent [-]

That will certainly happen. Humans will extend AI generated results. But what will also happen is that AI can “think” much longer than a human can and can have a vastly greater base “knowledge” than humans can have and so there will be a bewildering amount of new results. Humans may not be able to keep up.

To your first point. There a large number of cases that maps can be reduced to. Very few people have checked these reductions themselves. In 50 years there will be no human alive that will have checked the reductions by hand. Do we then discard the theorem? More importantly, do we trust the people that claim to have checked all the reductions? There are hundreds of cases. I trust a computer verification much more than I’d trust human verification. Humans will likely make mistakes due to the tedium. And some will claim understanding of all cases but be wrong in their understanding in some of the cases.

intuitionist 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Nowadays the proof of resolution of singularities in characteristic zero is considered something you can teach in an intro algebraic geometry course, though. The concepts have been absorbed and are now much better understood. 4CT is very different because so much of it is exhaustive case analysis; you can understand the high-level ideas of the proof as a bright undergraduate, but you still can’t check the cases by hand

_doctor_love 4 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I saw an analogous argument posted on LinkedIn the other day from one of the opencode guys: the job of a programmer is still to be able to answer questions - from memory - about how the system works and why.

pfdietz 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The problem with that rule of thumb is that unless there's some status/reward for completing the result, it won't happen. People will just put up the formally verified result and call it a day, and there's no incentive for them or anyone else to clean things up.

We'll end up with incomprehensible math because comprehensibility isn't rewarded. No one is going to get a Fields Medal, or tenure, for digesting someone else's results.

BeetleB 33 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

> People will just put up the formally verified result and call it a day, and there's no incentive for them or anyone else to clean things up.

The incentive will be to be able to publish in a top tier journal. I suspect what Tao is advocating for is having journals reject such manuscripts.

> No one is going to get a Fields Medal, or tenure, for digesting someone else's results.

I'm sure no one gets a Field's Medal if others can't digest their results.

cubefox 40 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

> The problem with that rule of thumb is that unless there's some status/reward for completing the result, it won't happen.

He says it shouldn't be able to published if they can't explain it. Publishing it is the reward.

tossandthrow an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I think any idea that is contingent on a human being in the loop, solely to the property of being a human is most practically doomed to fail, but is inherently anti scientific.

Science,at its core, does not care about the credentials or institutions. It cares about the results and to what extend they can be falsified.

This feel a bit like "we know all about physics, we can only get more precise" - moment

mohamedkoubaa 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Ive wondered whether a possible outcome of LLM slop is a retvrn to oral wisdom traditions. Ironically that's the most anthropological form of understanding and pedagogy.

highfrequency 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Terence Tao's quote about AI's math proofs is relatable outside of pure math: "the writing very often dwells at length on trivialities while passing briefly through — or even actively obscuring — the most interesting and novel portions of the argument."

TMWNN 41 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

>Terence Tao's quote about AI's math proofs is relatable outside of pure math: "the writing very often dwells at length on trivialities while passing briefly through — or even actively obscuring — the most interesting and novel portions of the argument."

I noticed a long time ago, that the more people focus on trivialities like typos when arguing against someone online, the more compelling the original argument is. Basically, bikeshedding.

The most compelling evidence of the compelling nature of the original argument is when the most-upvoted reply is a joke or a meme. That's when you really know that those responding have nothing else to say. It's a white flag being run up, or the dog turning over and exposing its belly.

paulpauper 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Similar to Ai writing. Lots of bloat.

piker 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Coding, too.

piker 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If you're having dinner like me and prefer to watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M0--ZH1lOzg

caglaroktay 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

AI also can replace a lot of expert attention too. Why not? What is useful or what is not useful is based on the expert's narrow opinion. An AI system can do much more and deep value comparison. It looks like if our current technological advancement continues, in the space of what is possible (or even impossible), AI can find the optimal solutions better than any human or human organizations. But I think there is only one think will remain for humans to go for these solutions: what we value. that will be the last resort I believe and hopefully ai systems won't start manipulate us too as we are very fragile on manipulation.

mmoll 2 hours ago | parent [-]

But how would „what we value“ still be relevant?

sonicrocketman 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Anyone else print their white papers before reading? (At least the short ones)

ivansavz 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Absolutely. I feel I gain at least 10 IQ points when reading something on paper.

This is also the strategy I use for editing drafts of my books. I bring a printed draft to someplace nice (e.g. coffee shop or park) and read it all carefully, then I transfer the edits back to the .tex sources. I do several passes of this, until I feel the text + explanations are solid.

Reading on screen just isn't the same...

magneticnorth 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

When I was in academia and had easy access to a good printer, I always did. I miss it now that it's easier to just read on my screen.

glimshe 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Terence Tao sees a role for AI in science. I'm no genius but he basically described what I've thought all along... We don't need to be "all in" or "all out".

It's the old cliche of "if you only have a hammer every problem looks like a nail". Let's not fall into the trap of thinking that our life needs to be 100% about AI or completely devoid of AI. We can really use this thing to make our lives better.

Instead of wasting time on the question of whether we should use it, let's focus on HOW we'll use it.

And one thing about Tao: it's really refreshing to have an influential genius "around" who isn't a egomaniacal psychopath trying to rule the world through their XYZ corporation but, instead, being a reasonable and well-balanced person. Big fan.

GPerson 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think it’s more that he seeks to preserve and promote human understanding of mathematics, and sees that grappling with this new technology is necessary. One reason is that for human mathematical practices and institutions to retain legitimacy, they need to justify their value. As Tao explains, one obvious answer to that is made less obvious now with AI.

a2ff6eeb0 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I think it's impossible to be half in. AI will eventually be better at things than people, and people will simply be rocks in the gears of progress.

The only thing to do is to be all in, or get run over.

tocs3 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Maybe the Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy series was predictive in pointing out the problems of ill defined questions (The Answer to the Ultimate Question of Life, the Universe, and Everything).

a2ff6eeb0 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don't know why anyone should care about understanding the results if the AI is better at math than us. It'd be like demanding that human mathematicians are banned from publishing until their cats understand the theorems.

If Amazon uses AI math to come up with better routing, the cats can benefit from cheaper delivery fees just as much as humans can. No understanding needed.

The human brain is being obsoleted, soon thinking is going to be a recreational activity like weightlifting. If you want to think as a hobby, that's fine, but most people will be free of that toil of unwanted brain labor.

BeetleB an hour ago | parent | next [-]

The essay On Proof and Progress in Mathematics by a Field's medalist is worth reading:

https://arxiv.org/abs/math/9404236

He wrote it in 1994.

He writes about how he almost "destroyed" a subdiscipline in mathematics by becoming so good at it that he outclassed everyone. PhD students were advised to stay away from the whole field.

When he discovered this, he realized his error was that he was focusing on producing results, and not focusing on explaining his thought process. It's that thought process that is valuable in advancing the frontier - results alone won't do it. It didn't matter how many theorems he proved, if he was the only one who had the mental framework in mind on how to think about the whole field.

I'm sure we've come across abstruse books where every theorem has a rabbit being pulled out of a hat, whereas other readers find it intuitive. It's because the latter has developed a mental model for the discipline, and you haven't.

So he set about slowing down, and focusing on holding lots of seminars where he worked with other mathematicians to explain the thought process. Eventually others started publishing proofs of key theorems.

When people publish in a journal, they are not merely doing it to show the result. They are having a conversation with other mathematicians. If they cannot explain their own proof, they're not having a conversation.

This is why even decades after the Four Color Theorem was proved, plenty of mathematicians don't consider it "mathematics".

a2ff6eeb0 43 minutes ago | parent [-]

I don't understand why people are so fixated on the minds doing the mathematics being made out of meat. It seems obvious that soon, minds made of meat aren't going to be able to keep up.

Useful thought, rather than hobbyist thought, seems destined to be the exclusive domain of silicon.

BeetleB 38 minutes ago | parent [-]

> I don't understand why people are so fixated on the minds doing the mathematics being made out of meat.

I don't follow - are you surprised that mathematicians have social rules on how they interact with others?

You're definitely welcome to set up a journal that takes whatever types of papers you deem acceptable. It's not like they're preventing the dissemination of information by taking this stance.

Personally, I wouldn't hire a SW engineer who only showcases output from LLMs, and can't explain the code it wrote.

FuckButtons 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If you are free from physical and mental labor, you are in fact, not supplying labor, and are therefore surplus to requirements.

hintymad 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> I don't know why anyone should care about understanding the results if the AI is better at math than us

This is a big if, right? AI can still generate subtle or even silly mistakes that any normal human, let alone a mathematician, wouldn't make. Besides, math is more than just getting a conclusion but to understand and to generalize new ways of solving problems. After all, mathematicians are a curious bunch. To quote Hilbert's epitaph: We must know. We shall know.

bayesnet 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It’s a bit of an ominous quote given that Hilbert’s program was dismantled shortly thereafter by Gödel…

pfdietz 2 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm reminded of the joke about the two friends who come across a bear in the woods. When one puts on running shoes, his friend chides him that he can't outrun the bear. He responds, "I don't need to outrun the bear, I just need to outrun you."

AI doesn't have to implement Hilbert's vision and be able to prove everything. I just has to out-prove human mathematicians.

a2ff6eeb0 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Well, that's why we have automated proof checking. And again, I don't think humans will be able to solve problems at a commercial scale in the future.

Maybe we'll have some hobbyist dabblers, but any real progress will be done by machines that skip the human.

TSiege 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I’m not anti AI but thinking the human brain is obsolete and using it will become a hobby is a dystopian view of the future where no one has any agency anymore. By your logic since our brains provide no value why not just shoot ourselves in the head while we’re at?

a2ff6eeb0 2 hours ago | parent [-]

What's wrong with sitting on the beach with a bottle of wine for eternity, with no need to do anything, knowing that all your needs and desires will be automatically taken care of?

I don't think you can be coherently pro-AI without thinking that the human brain will be obsolete, unless you believe in some inherent magic that the brain is imbued with. The only other option is that you haven't thought through the long term consequences of the innovation.

cubefox 32 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If Amazon uses AI math to come up with better routin

Most research mathematics is pure mathematics which is completely useless. No routing algorithms. It's only relevant because we (or at least mathematicians) are interested in it. So an AI producing incomprehensible proofs would be completely pointless. That's why Tao insists on the importance of human understanding.

mohamedkoubaa 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

What if the better routing leads to an outage that the AI can't explain or fix and all the humans who might have understood it were laid off or otherwise unavailable?

rramach 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Terence argues that explanation of results ("understanding") will be the new bottleneck in math research but I am not sure this is the real bottleneck for progress.

Understanding was critical for the field to progress when only humans were involved but if humans are not needed to make progress, I wonder if we split into two worlds: an AI math-world where amazing new results continue at a rapid pace bottlenecked only by compute/cost and a human math-world where we understand a subset of the AI math-world as a hobby (similar to Stockfish vs human chess).

tocs3 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

In some sense "understanding" (understanding if it is true, if it is important, how to use it) is about the only bottleneck in math. Any theorem that you can write down or imagine is already true, false, not provable already. In some ways we can already start iterating through all the theorems. We will never get to the end (or really get very far down the line) and most all of them be trivial (I think the Busy Beaver[1] project is a fascinating example, ymmv).

I am wary of AI in all aspects I am seeing it in but in many ways in mathematics seems to me the least troubling. It will change things in and the field will not be the same. Blacksmithing has not really gone away. You can still work as a farrier, if you like that sort of things. The tools that replaced a man working over a forge with a big hammer are part of a giant industry that is still producing works for the modern world.

[1]: https://bbchallenge.org/8226493

frozenseven an hour ago | parent [-]

Chasing these 'trivialities' is a good thing, imo.

The Busy Beaver game has lead to a better understanding of complexity theory and automata. Also, direct "hands on" work on improving proof assistants and related tools.

Btw, for those who are curious, the Busy Beaver Challenge wiki is a treasure trove of rabbit holes and curiosities:

https://wiki.bbchallenge.org/wiki/Main_Page

GPerson 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

How is either of those situations more or less like a hobby than the other?

plastic-enjoyer 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Somehow, I feel that progress, in your understanding of what progress is, loses all meaning.

paulpauper 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It will be the same as before: some effort will go into checking proofs and the other into creating them. AI speeds up both.

cubefox 29 minutes ago | parent [-]

You clearly didn't read the paper.

paulpauper 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Not using AI puts one at a huge disadvantage in a career setting. Ai can find deep references better than humans now, let alone actually doing the math. The challenge is knowing which problems to tackle given the cost limitations. If you have $10k to spend on tokens, you have to choose problems that can conceivably be solved within this budget.

qsera 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

If the title have said in the age of "LLMs", I might have given it a try.

GPerson 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You should give it a try. Tao is a wonderful person and is trying to help humanity.

frozenseven an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

Out-of-hand dismissal of Terence Tao is certainly a take.

And the term "artificial intelligence (AI)" has been the name of the field for 70 years and counting. If anything, "LLM" is a misnomer that's been lingering around since 2018-19. When the term was coined, these systems were relatively small, experimental, and could only produce impractical facsimiles of the English language. This is obviously no longer the case today.