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epistasis a day ago

ACA has saved tons of lives. Due to the intense opposition, it was not structured in a way that could save money, but rather structured in the way that it could get through congress.

Additionally, as somebody who was around pre-ACA, I can not tell you how much better, in every single way, the post-ACA healthcare world is. Pre-existing conditions? Access to healthcare as an individual? These are life-changing possibilities, especially for entrepreneurs.

There's a very clear type of fallacy you are engaging in here that only works in politics: you're taking a vague general idea X, ignoring all particulars, and then lumping an idea Y together as if they identical and that any change in that general direction of Y could ever be different than what happened with X. There's no intellectual rigor or honesty in that sort of thinking, yet it somehow pops up throughout all of politics.

slg a day ago | parent | next [-]

>Additionally, as somebody who was around pre-ACA, I can not tell you how much better, in every single way, the post-ACA healthcare world is. Pre-existing conditions? Access to healthcare as an individual? These are life-changing possibilities, especially for entrepreneurs.

The failures and politicization of the ACA have caused us to be a little too dismissive of its successes and popularity.

Protections for pre-existing conditions and allowing children to stay on family plans until 26 in particular have made an incredible difference in a lot of people's lives and are wildly popular. So much so that it would be close to political suicide to try to remove them as evidence by Republicans controlling all three branches of government including both chambers of Congress and there is no serious talk of repealing them.

There is belief among a lot of its supporters that universal healthcare would have a similar wave of support if enacted and that the opposition is mostly irrational political arguments rather than people's true feelings about an actual policy. This is why the "ACA" polls higher than "Obamacare" despite those being two terms for the same legislation.

pyronik19 a day ago | parent [-]

ACA is horrible for the middle class. The only reason it retains any type of popularity is because the media refuses to associated ballooning cost to cost redistribution that it enables. Preexisting conditions? Middle class family picking that up. Subsidy? Middle class family picking that up.

ComputerPerson 34 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

This is unfair to the ACA and factually incorrect. ACA subsidies (median household size) [1] are designed to start above the 50th percentile (income) [2].

The details matter. If you're a single person living alone at an income of $70,000.00, you're below the median household income and "picking up" other people's subsidies, but that's not indicative of the country.

[1] https://www.healthcare.gov/lower-costs/

[2] https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/demo/tables/p60/286...

nradov 30 minutes ago | parent | prev [-]

In a wealthy and civilized society we have a moral obligation to care for all of our citizens. Some of them have pre-existing conditions and can't afford to pay market rates, so the middle class is going to have to subsidize them one way or another. Whether that subsidy comes in the form of higher insurance premiums or higher taxes hardly matters.

tptacek a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I agree with you about the ACA (as an opponent of single-payer). Prior to the ACA, members of my immediate family were uninsurable on the individual market --- not insurable at a higher rate, not insurable with exclusions, but literally uninsurable: their only options were employer-provided group coverage or state catastrophic safety net coverage programs. The twist: neither has any chronic health conditions. The underwriting refusals were based on symptoms reported in previous engagements with the health care system.

cactacea a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> These are life-changing possibilities, especially for entrepreneurs.

I would quit my day job and completely focus on my side business if I didn't have to worry about healthcare.

HumblyTossed a day ago | parent | next [-]

And this is precisely why nothing will ever change. I tell everyone who will listen to me on my soap box, we will never get universal healthcare until we divorce healthcare from employment (by that I mean, make it to where businesses cannot offer benefits at all).

Personally, I would retire early. I have enough to cover bills and reasonable HC costs, but the way it is now, I'll just keep plugging away for a few more years.

hombre_fatal a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I also think about people stuck in bad relationships they'd otherwise leave.

roncesvalles a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Then you should consider emigrating to a country with universal healthcare such as Canada.

cactacea a day ago | parent [-]

Funny enough there's a very good chance I'm a Lost Canadian. I filed my application for proof of citizenship in February and am still waiting to hear back. Hopefully soon.

Obscurity4340 20 hours ago | parent [-]

Keep us posted. Seriously

etchalon a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I was wondering one day why it seemed like so many YouTubers were Canadian.

The "well of course" moment took me a day longer than it should have.

toomuchtodo a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Part of the reason why there is no effort to fix this, to keep you a slave to a job that provides healthcare. Imagine the reduction in labor supply and increase in labor costs if healthcare did not require employment. On can, in many cases (facts intensive), bail to a developed country with healthcare if you want to realize this dream earlier than whenever the US will achieve the outcome (and your life situation supports doing so). It could potentially takes years, if not longer (~5-10 years), for the US to fix healthcare as the situation continues to degrade for those who need affordable healthcare today.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47161587 (expat resources for those potentially interested)

https://relocateme.substack.com (a product of andrewstetsenko here, no affiliation, I just like resources that can help humans achieve their success criteria)

https://healthcareinfusion.org/ (for healthcare workers interested in Canada, likely does not apply to many here, but please share with others who might be seeking a path)

(i see this problem as a vulnerability management and exposure exercise to attempt to solve for, ymmv, no affiliation with any resources recommended)

tptacek a day ago | parent [-]

That's not how this system came into being. It's a path-dependent quirk of the tax codes of the 1940s. We got into this predicament because of WW2-era wage controls (a dollar spent on health care by your employer was literally worth more than a dollar in wages).

This is one major reason why most of the world's universal systems make private insurance work, and it doesn't blow up the way ours does. But I don't think employers are any happier about it than you are!

toomuchtodo a day ago | parent [-]

You are of course correct on how we got here, I argue we are still here for many reasons, one of which is what I stated. I mean, there is no will to fix healthcare, but lots of will to spend $100B+ to go to war with Iran, right? I simply do not see anyone who cares enough to fix this exceptional mess, even taking into account the coordination problem of doing so. We could treat this as an emergency requiring a fix, but we don't. Why? We can certainly find this will for, "low ROI nation state actions".

Can we afford it? Doesn't stop trillions of dollars for DoD spending for middle east wars or tax cuts for the wealthy, so that isn't an argument, that's subjective cover for not fixing it, we do lots of things we cannot afford (current sovereign debt outstanding is ~$40T, as of this comment). Can't be done? Almost every other OECD country has solved this in some way. Therefore, as a scholar of systems, the root cause I am left with via Occam's razor is "This is an active choice to not fix this suboptimal system, where the fix would be both more economically efficient and humane, For Reasons while the electorate is lied to or paid lip service."

Employers, who supposedly are unhappy with their healthcare costs, could form a coalition and lobby for legislation and fund PACs to fund candidates who would fix this state by state with universal healthcare systems (Canda's universal healthcare system started in a single province as an experiment, for example). Why don't they? Are the costs not high enough yet? They can't argue they don't have enough power, they already, in many ways, bend the US government to their will. They have the power, they actively choose to not use it to fix this system failure.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_purpose_of_a_system_is_wha...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_whys

tptacek a day ago | parent [-]

We spend more on pension and benefits than we do on wars. The United States government is a benefits manager with a standing army.

toomuchtodo a day ago | parent [-]

The evidence shows we could spend less and deliver more within the scope of healthcare delivery (this piece). We actively choose not to. The Pentagon hasn't passed an audit eight years in a row, I hear little that "we cannot afford to keep funding the military at these levels and with such inefficiency."

https://usafacts.org/government-spending/

https://usafacts.org/articles/how-much-of-the-federal-budget...

https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2025/12...

tptacek a day ago | parent [-]

I don't want to sound like I'm fundamentally arguing with you, because if I could swap our system with Germany's I'd do so in a heartbeat. But (a) the "money that should be going into health care and education is going to military" argument is highly rebuttable, so I'd be careful hanging my hat on it, and (b) everybody, literally everybody (except the AMA) agrees we're spending too much on health care --- the problem is that money goes to practitioners, so it's very tricky to talk about clawing it back.

bonsai_spool 23 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

> except the AMA

What an idle comment - where is the AMA on record saying that we should spend more on healthcare? Here's all the work they do to describe our increasing costs:

https://www.ama-assn.org/about/ama-research/policy-research-...

Also, when people invoke the bogeyman of 'AMA' they treat it like the lobbies that tech companies belong to. The AMA is not enriching physicians or hospitals (which have their own lobby!) but generally espouses consensus perspectives among doctors while making money from administering things like a residency program application system.

It's frustrating for someone like you to make this statement which feels quite divorced from any fact when you would not do the same about a security topic.

tptacek 14 minutes ago | parent [-]

The AMA orchestrated the capping of residency slots through CMS/Medicare, which is the primary structural impediment to increased supply. Doctors in the US make integer multiples of what they do in Europe in part as a result of this.

I have to say: you can go either way on the AMA, I guess, but it's a weird hill to die on, isn't it? They're a trade group, not a public health organization. They exist for the benefit of their members.

toomuchtodo a day ago | parent | prev [-]

I appreciate you keeping me honest on this topic.

tptacek a day ago | parent [-]

Back atcha!

jonhohle a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Before I went indie, prior to ACA requirements I researched private insurance and found plans for around $3K. This year I’ll pay over $20K for a bronze plan for my family. 700% increase in less than a decade. Aetna left the marketplace input state and no pediatrician in a 10 mile radius takes the most cost effective ACA plan. The pediatricians we found are actually just GPs who have training in pediatric medicine, but we bring in the only minors they see. This is in a top-5 market based on population.

All of the providers have consolidated. I don’t know if ACA affected that or not, but wait times for checkups went from later this afternoon to sometime 6 months from now.

Part of my experience is going from corporate health insurance to marketplace, but in the past 5 years, ACA plans have consistently gotten worse and more expensive while service for those plans has gotten significantly worse in almost every way.

Who is it better for?

peezd a day ago | parent | next [-]

I think it's generally gotten better for insurance companies, at the expense of both end customers and providers (with the exception of providers that have vertically integrated into the ecosystem, e.g. Aetna/CVS, etc. to capitalize on the advantages that brings).

Not debatable that it has gotten worse over the last decade, mostly due to one party in the government intentionally doing what they can to chip away at the efficacy of the program, which when it launched was incredibly compromise heavy and should have been viewed as a first step towards a better, long term solution.

I had a local primary care I really liked; I never saw the Dr. there, just the Physician's Assistant typically. They were independent, and last year they made the change to go to a membership model. Basically $50/month just to be able to be a patient of their practice, and then use your insurance for care. In their notification she laid out the economics of where they currently were and it wasn't sustainable for them, based on how much they were squeezed, mostly by not being also a facility to be able to double bill insurance for facility fees + care fees. Also mentioned that the other 3 independent doctors in our neighborhood had all closed in the last 2 years.

dummydummy1234 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Out of curiosity what state are you in?

jonhohle a day ago | parent [-]

Arizona

cyberax a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Who is it better for?

People with pre-existing conditions. They were literally uninsurable before the ACA.

The insurance costs are also skyrocketing in the employer-sponsored insurance.

edgyquant 2 hours ago | parent [-]

If that’s the only benefit couldn’t that have just been made a law and left out all the rest? Healthcare system is worse than ever, I don’t know the cause but with its current prices I can’t imagine subsidizing it further being the answer

lotsofpulp a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

ACA premiums are literally taxes, the price you pay has nothing to do with your health risks.

You are paying more because a lot more healthcare is being delivered, to people who never used to either due to exceeding maximum benefits (we have the opposite today with out of pocket maximum), or being denied for pre existing health conditions.

So to answer:

>Who is it better for?

My 4 year old, who has received hundreds of thousands of dollars of cancer treatment, and will need a bunch more over the coming years.

jonhohle a day ago | parent | next [-]

> ACA premiums are literally taxes, the price you pay has nothing to do with your health risks.

Then turn it into a tax and be done with it. I don't shop for my tax collector and I don't pay taxes to companies with the biggest buildings in the city. Companies that don't actually provide health care, but just collect their pound of flesh from patients and providers, driving up costs for everyone.

I'm glad your child has received care. I'm very much behind the idea that pre-existing conditions should not preclude anything from receiving _care_. I'm completely opposed to mandating a private 3ᴿᴰ party be between me and my provider.

lotsofpulp a day ago | parent [-]

>Then turn it into a tax and be done with it.

Democrats tried, they did not get 60 votes in the Senate between Jan 2009 and Jun 2009. What we have is because at least 41 other legislators, including all Republicans, decided not to offer the US public this option, and since then Democrats have had nowhere near the numbers to enact any further reaching legislation, except the No Surprises Act in 2021.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_health_insurance_option

pyronik19 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

[dead]

nradov a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Without the ACA it would have been even worse. And by worse I mean that even if the premiums were lower, we would still have horrible limitations like maximum lifetime coverage amounts or exclusions for pre-existing conditions.

There is a legitimate shortage of physicians in many areas, especially in primary care. This has a variety of causes including bottlenecks in the training pipeline, shitty working conditions that drive experienced doctors out of the profession, and an aging populace that has drastically increased demand. More and more doctors are opting out of taking any sort of insurance and shifting to concierge medicine or cash-pay models.

th0raway a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

No system that saves money can pass in congress: that's the real problem that we cannot actually avoid. Forget pressure from large companies: So many of US costs come from very high salaries, and a lot of bureaucratic positions that don't exist elsewhere. Every dollar we pay goes to someone, and it's not just some random mogul here or there that will be OK anyway. Reform that really lowers prices means loss of jobs, which them will be blamed on the politicians who signed the bill into law.

sys32768 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Pre-ACA, I could afford family insurance. My family premiums went up ~$500 a month post-ACA, while the coverage worsened.

My afib ER trip three years ago cost me $7k out of pocket even though I left the hospital still in afib.

Today in my 50s, my deductible is now $8,500. My partner doesn't have insurance because she's not poor enough or rich enough.

We had an insurance rep come to my work last year who said after ACA they had some people whose premiums went up 900%.

So yeah, ACA is better in your world, but not in mine.

elevation a day ago | parent | next [-]

Yeah, since the ACA my coverage has remained the same while my costs have risen 10x; I'm in my 30s and my medical insurance costs 3x what my mortgage costs, and I still have $$$$ sized bills after a round of strep throat.

I would really like to just be able to get a true catastrophic policy which would cover unlikely risks such as cancer -- and then go on a cash basis for common meds and treatments. The ACA made this kind of insurance illegal, so my choice is to leave my family uninsured -- or let insurance soak up the money I might have saved for their college education.

nradov a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Your blame is misplaced. Costs are increasing in spite of the ACA, not because of it. Pre-ACA your family insurance policy was likely worse in some key ways: it probably excluded coverage pre-existing conditions and had a lifetime maximum coverage limit.

missedthecue a day ago | parent [-]

But then the blame might be correctly placed? If he had no pre-existing conditions and was on a no-existing conditions plan, that plan might have saved him a lot of money.

Imagine car insurance regulations changing in such a way to force underwriters to blanket-assume everyone has had a couple speeding tickets this year. I understand why we do it. We are ok with speeders paying more for insurance, and not ok with someone born with diabetes forced to pay more for health insurance. But it is the end result in any case.

nradov a day ago | parent [-]

Pretty much everyone who lives long enough will end up with some sort of pre-existing condition.

onraglanroad a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

So you support single payer where none of that exists?

unnamed76ri a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Yep. We were promised it would save us money. Instead, healthcare care costs skyrocketed thanks to Obamacare.

jandrewrogers a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

ACA also greatly increased costs. As an entrepreneur at the time, insurance premiums increased 25% overnight for the same plan. Many people had similar experiences.

That the ACA forced a large number of people to pay a lot more for literally the same product is not a good outcome for those people. Too many people try to pretend this didn't happen.

tptacek a day ago | parent | next [-]

No it didn't. The ACA slowed cost growth, which was already skyrocketing by the time it passed.

peezd a day ago | parent | next [-]

You are both sort of right and wrong; based on a quick analysis, knowing this isn't perfect due to how plans have different characteristics, and states had different characteristics..

in the 2000s (pre ACA); * Employer plans averages 6-10% increase per year * Individual plans averages 10-15% increase per year

Rollout (2010-2017) * Employer plans averaged 3-5% increase per year * Individual plans averages 0-10% the first couple of years, but spiked hard to 25%+ from 2016-2018.. with lots of volatility (one stat I found shows 130% increase between 2013-2019)

Post (2018 to today) * Employer Plans averages 4-6% increase per year * Individual plans were generally stable but with huge volatility; also expansion of gov't subsidies absorbed much of the increases for those earning up to 400% of fed poverty level

jandrewrogers a day ago | parent | prev [-]

The sharp discontinuity in insurance costs over a single year for many people when ACA went into effect isn't explained by your dismissal.

tptacek a day ago | parent | next [-]

All the stories I've heard about that came from people with bad insurance (for instance: insurance programs that could rescind coverage if you were diagnosed with something serious, and that functioned mostly as billing processors for routine care, which is where ~none of the expense in the system is). The ACA did effectively regulate those plans out of existence, so if you had one, and relied on it, it raised your cost.

But when we talk about the ACA's impact on cost, we're always talking in a macro sense. Every program has individual winners and losers.

cyberax a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Insurance prices _dropped_ in NY after the ACA was enacted. Not "slowed down the growth" but actually dropped in absolute numbers.

That's because NY had enacted a coverage mandate even before the ACA, so insurance companies were forced to offer policies to everyone. This resulted in a runaway spiral where only sick people were getting insurance.

The ACA forced all large employers to buy insurance, greatly increasing the risk pool.

nradov a day ago | parent | prev [-]

I don't believe you. It wasn't the "same plan". I guarantee that the plan you had before the ACA had a lifetime benefit limit, perhaps as low as $1M. Read the fine print. A single complex episode of care could easily blow past that limit and leave the plan member functionally uninsured.

jtbayly a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I lost my individual healthcare plan, and I couldn’t afford the new ones. Remember when they said you could keep your plan? Yeah, that’s the one I lost.

czgov a day ago | parent | next [-]

Would you have been able to keep your plan under the system before ACA? There’s a lot of context missing in your comment.

khriss a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I'm curious as to how your experience actually using the plan for more than preventive coverage? IIRC, plans before the ACA had a ton of customer unfriendly provisions which made the insurance far less usable in practice. E.g. denying coverage for preexisting conditions.

QuercusMax a day ago | parent | prev [-]

There was never a guarantee that you were going to keep your plan anyway, was there? Insurance companies are changing plans from year to year.

jtbayly a day ago | parent | next [-]

The plan was cancelled because of ACA requirements. I had had it for several years prior. Yes, plans change, but this was different.

QuercusMax a day ago | parent [-]

Which requirements made them cancel it? Was it a high deductible scam plan?

jtbayly 9 hours ago | parent [-]

It was a high deductible insurance plan, not a monthly subscription to all your healthcare needs. Why would you call that a “scam”?

And for the record, it was not as high a deductible as most “silver” plans on the exchange currently.

bonsai_spool 18 minutes ago | parent [-]

> It was a high deductible insurance plan

Why do you believe that the ACA would have wanted such plans cancelled? There's a very straightforward public health reason that's reminiscent of why states require drivers to have car insurance.

> And for the record, it was not as high a deductible as most “silver” plans on the exchange currently.

The plan would have been in effective over 18 years ago. Does your internet plan look the same now as it did 18 years ago? Your cell phone plan?

lovich a day ago | parent | prev [-]

It’s reminiscent of the screeching about how single payer healthcare would have death panels deciding who lived or died like that’s not a word for word description of insurance company actuaries or financial employees making the same decisions.

jvanderbot a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Keep in mind, I made no value judgement on ACA at all, just suggested that we learn about its opposition and, as you rightly point out, the difficulty of passing such legislation that can last over time.

I agree that "To no avail" could be read as "was worthless" to an adversarial reader, but trust me when I say it was meant as "which didn't save it from being opposed and stripped over time". As in "the studies and facts don't move the politics"

It should be obvious the messaging is oppositional along party lines. Every chip away at ACA makes it a worse program, and is celebrated by half the electorate. This is a core problem with the legislation. A second iteration on top, or in place, would have to learn from this and work to make the program stickier.

lvl155 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Let’s be honest, it was DOA. Even Gruber admitted to it later. The whole thing was basically a scam.

Edit: I will never understand why people think ACA was so great. It was a bad policy because they couldn’t get it through whole. They passed it with all the compromises that made it DOA. You can’t fix something when you are still in denial about it being bad. ACA is not a transition to universal healthcare when you allowed massive consolidation in the space with some of the biggest companies in this country. Good luck deconstructing that mess.

lovich a day ago | parent [-]

> I will never understand why people think ACA was so great.

I would never have healthcare without it due to pre existing conditions from childhood. I literally was going to be locked out of healthcare barring becoming wealthy enough to afford everything out of pocket until it passed. And that’s really wealthy not just software engineer money. I know a lot of doctors are offering routine services for cash at a discount in increasing amounts but if you need anything with a hospital or a specialist it’s a nightmare to even find out the price before agreeing to the service.

yieldcrv a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Republicans finalized things to address medical costs and chiseling at hospital billing - regulations promulgated during Democrat regimes - so I would say there is bipartisan consensus for the actual arguments, if people listened to the actual arguments instead of seeing a no-vote as an opposite nonsensical ideology.

This has been one of the opposition points - don't just give a handout to insurance companies without addressing their billing practices

The original ACA did not have consensus for some of the proposals to address the billing practices such as existing and new state healthcare programs having collective bargaining. And yeah I think the original ACA was unworkable, compromise is taught as a good thing to children in this country, but it just means "the wrong answer".

The tweaks now, alongside the original democrat led ACA, alongside the parts that were stripped out I think could have better consensus

does need a rebranding though.

The only thing that will actually lower costs in our society is healthy people. And right now, everyone is unhealthy and not doing preventative measures due to expense.

expedition32 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The real problem with universal healthcare is that it immediately completely eradicates religious charity.

Any single mom who works as a stripper can go see a doctor who doesn't have the slightest inclination to judge- you're just a number in a government database. Everyone's getting free shit no questions asked.

Telemakhos a day ago | parent | next [-]

I don't know that "inclination to judge" is a necessary component of religious charity. Religious charities beyond healthcare give out a lot of "free shit no questions asked," and usually without any attempt at proselytization. Catholic hospitals are not known for turning down patients due to moral judgements.

If there's a benefit to religious charity, it lies not in the "inclination to judge" but in maintaining a multiplicity of authorities. Combining everything under the government umbrella gives you a totalitarian society; a liberal democracy restrains the power of government while allowing for competing authorities in other spheres, like medicine, religion, academia, and the press. Giving the government the power to mandate or withhold medical treatment for political opponents (think Soviet "sluggish schizophrenia" as a diagnosis for removing dissidents from public life) seems more worrying than strippers getting free healthcare.

edoceo a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Where is the problem here? Religious charity exists in places with universal healthcare.

Pragmata a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>ACA has saved tons of lives.

The ACA has killed a whole lot more lives than it has saved by causing healthcare costs to spiral up.

If you begin with something that is obviously incorrect and trivially debunkable, perhaps that's indication that you should review your priors.

strictnein a day ago | parent | prev [-]

> ACA has saved tons of lives

It was the Medicaid expansion that has been cited as saving lives [0]. An expansion that has almost nothing to do with the rest of the ACA.

> "There's a very clear type of fallacy you are engaging ... There's no intellectual rigor or honesty in that sort of thinking"

So you're claiming that the person who posted that is not only falling into a fallacy, but they are neither intellectually rigorous or honest? I think you're reading a lot into their comment which seemed pretty benign, but possibly contrary to your viewpoint?

[0] https://news.uchicago.edu/story/new-research-shows-medicaid-...

czgov a day ago | parent | next [-]

Your linked to article does not demonstrate what you claim it does. Your reasoning is wrong.

Medicaid expansion was a big part of the ACA.

mcphage a day ago | parent | next [-]

> Medicaid expansion was a big part of the ACA.

Well see, first you narrowly define the ACA to be "everything that didn't help"...

strictnein a day ago | parent | prev [-]

> "Findings suggest Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act saved about 27,400 lives between 2010-22, including among younger adults."

> "Their findings show that Medicaid expansions led to a 12% increase in enrollment and significantly reduced mortality—not just among older adults, but also younger ones, who accounted for nearly half of the life-years saved."

Huh? Did you read it? My point was that we could have just expanded Medicaid to achieve this.

czgov a day ago | parent | next [-]

It was the Medicaid expansion that has been cited as saving lives [0].

Medicaid expansion saved lives. That is true and not in dispute. Other lives were saved too. It wasn’t just poor people who obtained life saving care from ACA. In an alternate world where only Medicaid expansion occurred fewer lives would have been saved than were saved with ACA as it exists now.

blitzar a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> we could have just expanded Medicaid

Laws need votes.

If we are going to be unbound by reality then we could "just" put a medbed to cure all diseases, reverse ageing, and regrow limbs using quantum space-age tech in everyone's home.

strictnein a day ago | parent [-]

Too many people think snark is a substitute for insight.

The major GOP complaint about the entire thing was that it was the federal government forcing people to buy a product from companies. The Supreme Court ruled that it had that power.

blitzar a day ago | parent | next [-]

I missed the part of your insight where the GOP would have voted to expanded Medicaid to all.

If they are down for it, I can make a call and it would be a near unanimous vote.

czgov a day ago | parent | prev [-]

The ACA was the Republican plan until championed by Obama. The Republican goal was to say anything to denigrate their own plan. Romney later became the nominee for President and it was his plan that the ACA was largely based off of.

Republicans fought hard to discredit their own plan. They just wanted to move to the right of whatever it was that the black man championed.

dylan604 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Paid for how? The expansion of people not on medicaid to be paying in was supposed to be how expanding medicaid could be achieved.

strictnein a day ago | parent [-]

The Feds pay ~$150 billion a year and the states pay ~$20 billion a year for that Medicaid expansion. Those are increases on top of previous spending.

How are we paying for that? Debt.

On top of that, the ACA provides $100 billion a year to subsidize the healthcare markets.

a day ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
epistasis a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> An expansion that has almost nothing to do with the rest of the ACA.

That's a very strange assertion, it's literally "the ACA medicaid expansion" and was a key part of the whole thing.

I'm saying most political argumentation is dishonest and not intellectually rigorous, and that's what the comment was doing. It wasn't arguing based on facts or data or actual specifics, but rather according to vague political ideologies.

That's one reason that I believe politics are discouraged on HN. It turns off our brains and we start using less interesting or useful ways of thinking.

ButlerianJihad a day ago | parent | prev [-]

"Saved lives" or "Could Save Lives" is a ridiculous, un-falsifiable, and unprovable claim.

First, it involves twisting correlation and causation into an Escher knot. Secondly, it's not even what cited source says.

Yes, "reduced mortality along a timeline for a certain demographic" is a good and desirable statistic, but there is no way that it translates into the self-aggrandizing and sensationalistic "ACA/Medicaid saved tons of lives" (whatever "tons" is supposed to mean, in terms of lives. Perhaps grossly obese people died less.)

solid_fuel a day ago | parent [-]

> "Saved lives" or "Could Save Lives" is a ridiculous, un-falsifiable, and unprovable claim.

Just because you don't understand statistics doesn't mean the claim is ridiculous. You have a pattern of assuming that your rather poor understanding of the world is the ground truth, but it just isn't. People who actually understand statistics and medicine are the ones making the claim, you're just standing here crying "nuh uh" because you disagree with the conclusions but your opinion doesn't mean shit without some backing evidence, which you have consistently failed to provide.

You really owe this forum better, if you want to participate here.