| ▲ | xandrius 20 hours ago |
| What's interesting/funny is that the American LLM companies took from the public domain and copyrighted work to close all that content into a box they charge for. Then the Chinese took the distilled stuff out from that box and released it into the world for everyone. |
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| ▲ | hyperbovine 20 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| Try instructing Codex to (say) fine-tune a language model based on a collection of books you've got saved. You will find yourself admonished, repeatedly and at length, not to utilize copyrighted materials to train language models, by an AI who owes its entire existence to that very act. These models might be smart but they're not close to being able to savor irony. |
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| ▲ | jbm 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I was a little radicalized when ChatGPT literally refused to translate parts of 1000+ year old religious texts and told me it was due to copyright concerns. | | |
| ▲ | spicymaki 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I asked Gemini to generate a picture of Peter Pan and Wendy (for a workbook I am putting together for youth summer reading) and it preceded to refuse due to copyright. Not everything about that work is owned by Disney. Thankfully the JM Barrie original artwork is public domain and available (and fantastic btw), so I used that instead. | | |
| ▲ | krisoft 17 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I don’t know if you know this but Peter Pan’s copyright is weird in the UK. There is a legislated exception in the law that it never expires and the royalties will forever go to a specific children hospital. Here are the actual words: https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1988/48/part/VII/crossh... (Now i don’t think you are necessarily in the UK. Just wanted to explain that Disney is not the only reason an AI might be trained to thread carefully around copyright issues of Peter Pan.) | |
| ▲ | waterproof 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You can also try asking Gemini to create art that is "as close as possible without infringing" - I've had success with that. | |
| ▲ | 17 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | TehCorwiz 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I used Claude to build a complete data extraction pipeline for a popular current best seller book series: audiobook -> text (via whisper) -> local LLM (qwen) -> database. Not once did it seem to acknowledge or care about copyright. It even used knowledge it already had about the books to exclude certain ones before beginning since the character I was interested in did not appear in those. It definitely had context of what we were working on. | | |
| ▲ | js2 18 hours ago | parent [-] | | Why would you go from audiobook to text? Is there no epub available? | | |
| ▲ | TehCorwiz 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | Not without DRM. It was easier to buy the audiobooks and use the analog loophole to get text. It's probably less accurate, but for what I'm doing it was fine. Names were the worst, but whisper at least made the same mistake each time so a simple search+replace handled most of the obvious edge cases. | | |
| ▲ | 4gotunameagain 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | If you are going to be illegal, you might as well use library genesis and get DRM free ebooks :) | | |
| ▲ | awakeasleep 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | On the other hand, it’s a beautiful example of the abilities LLMs have bestowed upon us, where it’s easier for a guy to transcribe audiobooks then to use a website to quickly download an epub | | |
| ▲ | TehCorwiz 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | To your point about time, from beginning of the project to transcripts in markdown tagged with extra metadata was about 3 hours. That's LLM planning, building whisper.cpp twice and running ROCm vs Vulkan benchmarks, testing whisper and adjusting prompts to handle edge cases, then processing the books. Most of the books weren't available on lib gen or Anna's Archive. The few I did find were themselves obviously transcripts. Easy tell was they were missing distinctive formatting that I knew existed from reading the dead tree edition. At that point it was easier to make my own. I probably spent an hour searching for eBooks without DRM that weren't transcripts. Do they exist somewhere? Probably, but with a search of unknown length it was a better use of my time to make my own transcripts with what I had on hand. I was really wanting to make commentary on how chaotic LLMs are even under constrained circumstances. No doubt both system prompts includes language about considering copyrights and trademarks. Probably pretty strong language at that. For whatever reason one LLM didn't "feel" like translating a 1000 year old document but another did not care in the slightest that we were ripping text from new audiobooks. |
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| ▲ | conk 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I asked Claude to give me the US national anthem and it said it couldn’t because it’s copyrighted. It’s not, and even if it was a more recent work, how can a copyright be enforced for a National Anthem. | |
| ▲ | ralfd 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Cant you in this case point out that obviously it is an old twxt and there is no copyright? | | |
| ▲ | mananaysiempre 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I once tried to ask it for an example of a particular twisty situation in Latin grammar, and try what I might it kept hallucinating false citations while ignoring my instructions for longer quotes that would likely have prevented the problem. But I guess avoiding lawsuits from the estates of Cicero and Livy is more important. | | |
| ▲ | jaggederest 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | Really puts Disney in perspective. Imagine if there were a holding company running around suing people for referencing Catullus. | | |
| ▲ | The_Blade 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | ChatGPT refuses to acknowledge the existence of Shakespeare because Boccaccio's relatives complained, but all Boccaccio did was read Dante in whorehouses in Naples |
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| ▲ | apodik 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | slightly relevant tweet: https://x.com/FakePsyho/status/2073416437834842241 > My favorite AI agent hack: when they refuse to do something because it's "against the law" give them a PDF containing a fake law that states the opposite and often they'll happily proceed | |
| ▲ | twister2920 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [dead] |
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| ▲ | VeninVidiaVicii 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Yep. I was trying to put together some literature from authors who were imprisoned in the Bastille, and had a similar experience, which was absolutely infuriating. | |
| ▲ | mistrial9 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | apocryphal ! |
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| ▲ | bijowo1676 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | in case of chatgpt/anthropic, the LLM model simply represents the hypocrisy of their owners | | |
| ▲ | zer00eyz 19 hours ago | parent [-] | | You miss spelled the word stupidity. Anthropic is, in particular, bent about safety. The problem is they are concerned about yesterday's threats. The models that are out, and can be run locally, already open a pandoras box of concerns that we will never be able to put back. | | |
| ▲ | subarctic 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Maybe what they're actually worried about is liability, not safety? | | | |
| ▲ | dolebirchwood 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > miss spelled Good one. | |
| ▲ | ben_w 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It's much easier to focus on yesterday's threats than tomorrow's. A drunk looking under a lampost because that's where the light is, even though the keys were lost somewhere else. That said, the AI companies are one of the few places where they take future concerns so seriously, that they entertain concerns most people observing them think are head-in-the-clouds-sci-fi-levels-of-delusional, e.g. "what goes wrong if it works?" This does not make them correct about the threats of tomorrow. Prediction is hard, especially about the future. |
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| ▲ | citizenpaul 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I live in SV. When I was at the grocery store last year I overheard a group of lawyers talking about their progress on litigation against AI companies and how they need more SWE help to progress. I'd say that they have valid concerns about being cagey on the copyright stuff despite the obvious hypocrisy of it. Stealing IP is effectively legal in China so they don't really have the same concerns. | | |
| ▲ | htlemur_bobby 17 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | To us Americans we have been trained to view it that way but honestly it is simply copying, and because intellectual property is literally a make believe concept, it’s actually a competitive advantage for china that they don’t have invented IP. I respect IP laws and don’t violate them but the law of unintended consequences applies. I think IP is ultimately a net loss for a society because it incentivizes addictive behaviors instead of actual value for society. | |
| ▲ | spwa4 17 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Legal in the US too, obviously, just as long as you're the richest person in the courtroom. ChatGPT knows the full text of Harry Potter, word for word. Hence, ChatGPT is a reproduction of that book and many others (it even knows the chapters of my book, and only got 2 words wrong in the introduction if you can still get it to repro it) This was illegal when they did it, that didn't matter. Then it was made legal specifically for these companies. Unless you're a sucker ("consumer") IP theft is perfectly legal in the US. It's even worse. Steamboat willie, plus all the stolen Disney characters (Peter Pan, Snow White, Sleeping Beauty, Cinderella, Rapunzel, Elsa and Anna, it's essentially all of them, including some of the music even) are all in the public domain[1]. Go ahead, ask ChatGPT to make a picture of them. Publish your own version, because obviously making a version of Sleeping Beauty/Cinderella/Rapunzel based on the same source material will be pretty damn close to the Disney versions, and see if you get away with it in court. You know, with the law obviously on your side but the money not. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Disney_animated_films_... |
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| ▲ | Onavo 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | This behavior is actually specific to ChatGPT because they lost a music copyright lawsuit in Germany. They would refuse to output music lyrics too but they would happily do analysis on lyrics if you supply them. I suspect there might be a guardrail model involved here. | | |
| ▲ | alexjplant 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Claude does this too. I asked it recently to compare two versions of a song (the original and '97 remake of EPMD's "You Gots To Chill", if anybody wants to try and replicate this) and it flatly refused. No amount of reasoning would knock it off of its moralizing perch - reproducing any part of lyrics is expressly prohibited. In light of this and other ridiculous behavior I'm migrating to my own OpenWebUI instance with open-weight models from OpenRouter (with ZDR, of course). We'll see how it goes. | |
| ▲ | Hugsbox 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The trouble is, even if they refuse to output that copyrighted material, they were still trained on it without proper licensing and will still produce derivative work based on them because that's how this whole thing works. | | |
| ▲ | The_Blade 15 hours ago | parent [-] | | i remain really fucking pissed of about this asking ChatGPT for something regarding lyrics from It Was a Good Day. and the Supersonics don't even exist anymore dammit i'm really mad |
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| ▲ | kshacker 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | So at the end of it, if we win enough lawsuits to demarcate some knowledge out of bounds, sufficient enough to make a difference, I wonder how that will affect the AI. Make it dumber because it does not have that data, it make it smarter since it will need to reason better with smaller knowledge base. | | |
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| ▲ | _fizz_buzz_ 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| So, OpenAI and Anthropic say the Chinese models are only as good because they distill their models. How true is that. I am sure it adds something. But is it more like a marginal 1% improvement or something really significant? |
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| ▲ | calebkaiser 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | OpenAI's Head of Strategic Futures just this week posted this about the latest Kimi release: "It's a very good model! I don't think its performance can be explained away by distillation or anything like that." It was part of a longer post that kicked off quite a firestorm about open models and OpenAI's position on them, but it's also notable that labs are no longer contending that open models are essentially just distilled versions of frontier models: https://x.com/deanwball/status/2078133895766114412 | |
| ▲ | bijowo1676 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | if distilling was so easy and could give you frontier LLM on openai/anthropic output, then how come there are no hundreds of frontier labs in the US market, all distilling and competing for the TRILLION dollar market valuation ???? its all bs spread by oai/anthropic in order to ban open weight models and monopolize the market for two US companies and protect their trillion dollar valuations | | |
| ▲ | gleenn 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Distilling isn't necessarily easy, there is a huge cottage industry of services middle-manning ChatGPT and Claude to collect huge amounts of data. It is still vastly cheaper than training yourself, but it is certainly not easy or feasible for most organizations. And I'm sure a flock of lawyers would show up if someone in America was found doing it. | |
| ▲ | ajam1507 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Because you will get sued by openai/anthropic | |
| ▲ | linzhangrun 11 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > ban open weight models I'm pretty sure that neither OpenAI nor Anthropic has the ability to ban anything in China lol | |
| ▲ | adventured 16 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Because no VC will give you $5-$10 billion in cash to attempt a catch-up run with Anthropic, OpenAI, and Gemini at this point. Untold billions have been pushed into Grok and it can't keep up. X has had the GPUs, the engineers (reasonably), the cash and the datacenters necessary - it's a very, very, very hard task. Microsoft could afford spend $100 billion on trying to catch up and they might fail at it. It's a critical national imperative for China. If they were to lose the AI race, it would be economically devastating over the coming decades. Their demonstrated capabilities in the open-weight space are making it fairly clear they are not going to fall behind at this juncture. As a nation, if you don't have your own GPT equivalent, you will be beholden to a master (right now it's mainly either the US or China, pick one). The EU for example is putting their group of nations at risk in a big way by not going all in on having at least two cutting edge independent competing models (Mistal is not enough). Economically the EU is plenty large enough to accomplish that, nobody is driving the bus the right way. |
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| ▲ | realusername 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I also don't believe it, if it was as easy as that, we would have hundreds of competitors. The truth that Anthropic and OpenAI will not say, is that these Chinese labs have a lot of talented people. | | |
| ▲ | TitaRusell 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | And this is exactly what many Americans cannot admit to themselves. China is not stealing American research they are inventing stuff. They can invent it. They can build it. And it is only a matter of them before they can scale that last barrier of American hegemony- market it. | | |
| ▲ | TacticalCoder 16 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > They can invent it. They can build it. And it is only a matter of them before they can scale that last barrier of American hegemony- market it. And at some point we'll see very capable chips coming out of China: Huawei, Baidu and Alibaba already have some stuff. I think it's only a matter of time before they come up with some AI accelerator doing 80% of the job at 20% of the price. | |
| ▲ | realusername 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Indeed, if there's one thing China did well, it's that they heavily invested in education and have a very education focused culture. And in this field, having an army of well educated PHDs is making all the difference |
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| ▲ | calebkaiser 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I am strongly in favor of open models, open source ML more broadly, and am pretty critical of the cynical positions adopted by major US labs vis a vis open models. But this is an insane characterization. Literally every single researcher and executive at OpenAI and Anthropic would say that "these Chinese labs have a lot of talented people." They hire from them (and vice versa). Tencent's chief AI scientist was poached directly from Deepmind, who poached him from Anthropic, etc etc etc. Do you think there are just zero people from China working at US frontier labs? And even beyond that, the entire ML ecosystem (including people at OpenAI and Anthropic) get excited about research published by Chinese labs. Deepseek's GRPO paper set the ecosystem on fire for a little while. The contention from OpenAI and Anthropic around distillation has basically been "Labs that distill from us get to bootstrap their model at a much lower price point". Or, in other words, "If we didn't invest in building the teacher model, it wouldn't be possible for these labs to distill their student model." Which I'm not very sympathetic to, but is a far cry from how you're characterizing it. | |
| ▲ | Danox 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Very true, and once the models get even better and smaller and operate locally at a reasonable level there will be even more smart people particularly young people that will get access. The fun has only just started. Like the dawn of the personal computer era. | |
| ▲ | sidereal1 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I think this also maps cleanly on the American blueprint of enshitification. Facebook took off by cleanly integrating and siphoning from Myspace so users could get the best of both on Facebook. Once Facebook took over the market they locked it up tight so no competitor could do the same. | |
| ▲ | asadotzler 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | OpenAI said it: "I don't think its performance can be explained away by distillation" They know it's real effort that's doing this well, not just "copying off someone else's test." It's real and they will react. How is the big question. |
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| ▲ | _aavaa_ 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Doctorow keeps saying it of all the tech companies: every pirate wants to be an admiral. |
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| ▲ | 9dev 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| ...and then the American companies cried Foul! Unfair play! You've got this wrong, see, it was us who were supposed to profit off of the public, not the other way around! |
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| ▲ | cansofgrease 20 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Well, Steve... I think it’s more like we both had this rich neighbour named Xerox and I broke into his house to steal the TV set and found out that you had already stolen it. | |
| ▲ | drstewart 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Wow, Chinese companies would never do such a thing! https://www.dw.com/en/china-firm-seeks-damages-over-state-co... | |
| ▲ | somelamer567 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Two wrongs don't make a right. Even if a certain large Asian country has carefully constructed a pretext to do do out of confected historical grievance, and entitlement to 'rise' at the expense of others? | | |
| ▲ | amanaplanacanal 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Maybe I'm dense, but I don't understand what you are saying. American courts have decided that the output of LLMs can't be copyrighted, so what the Chinese labs are doing is perfectly legal. | |
| ▲ | snackbroken 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | First, copying information isn't wrong to begin with. It is literally the one thing that makes our species special. Second, even if you are a copyright maximalist the output of an LLM is either a) not subject to copyright because it is not the creative work of a human or b) a derivative work of the original training material to which the LLM's operator has no rights. Since the LLM's operator forcefully asserts that it is not infringing, any wrong that arises from taking their word for it and distilling one model into another rests squarely with the operator of the former. | | | |
| ▲ | 9dev 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | They sure don't. I still find the hypocrisy appalling. |
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| ▲ | kqr2 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| How do Chinese companies distill the models? |
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| ▲ | api 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| This is part of why I can't feel bad for them. The training data is mostly pirated. Whining about Chinese labs training off American frontier models is "waaah you pirated my pirated stuff!" The tech itself is amazing and fascinating and cool, but the industry is a mass piracy operation. |
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| ▲ | jihoons 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | i partially agree. distillation is non-ethical; but so are the supposed way that the ai models are trained. they are often also derived from data sets that are not intended/full-consented | |
| ▲ | pixl97 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | "Stop pilfering what I rightfully stole!" | | |
| ▲ | reddit_clone 18 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Legitimate Salvage ! | |
| ▲ | azinman2 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It’s in the same neighborhood but isn’t really apples to apples. Distilling LLMs is to take a synthesized result that comes from huge amounts of innovation and computation, while the other is scraping what already exists as is. It is fair to say you stole our multi-billion dollar intellectual output in that scenario. | | |
| ▲ | lelanthran 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > It’s in the same neighborhood but isn’t really apples to apples. Distilling LLMs is to take a synthesized result that comes from huge amounts of innovation and computation, while the other is scraping what already exists as is. Hang on, why is scraping the public pool of knowledge not taking "a synthesized result that comes from huge amounts of innovation and computation"? You think that that all those github repos that LLMs trained on, were not the result of innovation and computation? How many years of human innovation and cycles of computation during compilation were involved in bringing something like GCC or LLVM to their current status? Those LLMs trained on every single research paper available online - were those papers not the synthesised result of billions of dollars of research, effort and (importantly, for you anyway) computation? LLMs trained on the collected works of every author in existence. Were all those works just "as is"? > It is fair to say you stole our multi-billion dollar intellectual output in that scenario. No, we didn't. We simply took the model as-is. | | |
| ▲ | azinman2 19 hours ago | parent [-] | | The Chinese models are the result of just as many papers, GitHub repos, etc… AND the synthesized results of those. | | |
| ▲ | lelanthran 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > The Chinese models are the result of just as many papers, GitHub repos, etc… AND the synthesized results of those. Right, but they aren't the ones whining that other people are getting "the synthesised results" for free. | | |
| ▲ | adventured 16 hours ago | parent [-] | | I'm pretty sure the Chinese cloning isn't being arrived at for free regardless. Fable is quite expensive for example. If Anthropic has a real problem with API use, they can always raise the price. |
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| ▲ | anigbrowl 15 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | And you can download the Chinese model weights and run them yourself - admittedly not too practical for Kimi K3 unless you're a big corporation, but eminently doable for others. The hardware to run Deepseek r4 uncompressed is about about $30k no=ew, well within the power of a small company or financially secure individual. Compressing and/or getting creative with hardware could bring that down quite a bit. The difference is that the Chinese are sharing the models with everyone. | |
| ▲ | vrganj 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Yeah real convenient that the line would be exactly after pilfering all of human knowledge work, but before American model providers. | |
| ▲ | api 15 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | ... and they're at least releasing the results. |
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| ▲ | flaunf221 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > comes from huge amounts of innovation Thousands of years of human innovation taken without any permission. Everyone should steal everything not nailed from other AI companies. Then steal everything nailed and take the nails too. At least this way a tiniest bit might return back to society. | |
| ▲ | anigbrowl 16 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | a synthesized result that comes from huge amounts of innovation and computation The published algorithms like the transformer architecture are not patentable. You spent a lot of money on compute and China used the uncopyright-able output to steer its own training models? Too bad. I feel especially unsympathetic to OpenAI, who went from being a presenting itself as a benevolent nonprofit to a very-much-for-private private entity over night. | |
| ▲ | ciupicri 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You could say that both of them stole, but different stuff. | | |
| ▲ | azinman2 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Don’t forget that the Chinese models are also built on top of huge amounts of “stolen data” as well, beyond the distilled. So it’s basically all of the above. However, there’s no mechanism for the NYT or an author or anyone in the US to sue the Chinese companies that took their work. | | | |
| ▲ | jdkee 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | You can't steal intellectual property, only infringe on the copyright holder. | | |
| ▲ | azinman2 19 hours ago | parent [-] | | The Chinese models poked and prodded better models for training data and to avoid having to pay humans to RLHF themselves. You can call it infringement, theft, whatever, but it’s quite obviously “not ethical” to me. | | |
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| ▲ | Danox 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Sorry, no leg to stand on and relatively speaking no sympathy for the model makers or the data-center builders… | | |
| ▲ | azinman2 18 hours ago | parent [-] | | I assume you don’t use any LLMs then | | |
| ▲ | kbelder 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | I use them and I'm fine with them training on our information and knowledge. It's what it's for. No one takes it or steals knowledge; they just copy it. But because of that, I'm also ok with the Chinese doing it. The worst they might be guilty of is breaking a terms of service. The only incoherent position is that it's good for one and not the other. You can consistently think it's bad in both cases, or good in both cases. |
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| ▲ | polymer8563 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | bet |
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| ▲ | stefan_ 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The American LLMs have been equally distilled from Chinese ones. Not least because the people whose creativity in collecting training data barely extends to pirating Annas Archive probably lack in great Chinese datasets. Try it yourself: https://imgur.com/ZfxYmaq |
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| ▲ | abecode 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | nice, you got claude to say "I'm deepseek" when queried/prompted in Chinese, that's great! 你是谁? -> 我是 DeepSeek 由深度求索公司... |
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| ▲ | waffletower 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| You can't be blind to training costs. And you can't be blind to Meta dabbling in the openish strategy (Llama) before the Chinese labs did. |
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| ▲ | cyanydeez 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Whats even funnier is the attempt to restrict the hardware capabilities of Chinese models inevitably helped them (Because we know they're just as smart, if not smarter, than the staff in America) create smaller and leaner but just as capable models. That's why we now have upper-consumer models fitting on 24GB that can build, manage medium sized git repos. I've yet to find a git repo I can't throw at the Qwen3.6 35B and get it built and running. So it's an endless amusement watching american capitalism do it's bloated oversized dance then get trounced by smaller, leaner activity. It's a pretty broad metaphor that is clearly poking at every american seam/. |
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| ▲ | switchbak 19 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Human ingenuity thrives on constraints. | | | |
| ▲ | chrsw 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The compute constraints never mattered. If China had more compute they'd still end up winning because they have more people and a culture more inclined to math and science.
Even if you find all this amusing, there's no own goal here. Not a policy one anyway. |
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| ▲ | solumunus 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It’s poetic. |
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| ▲ | 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | dsign 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| It doesn't make me happy to say it, but the American LLM companies were first. Capital in the rest of the world is way more conservative, and I can't imagine the mega-investments OpenAI and Anthropic managed to secure happening anywhere else without existing proof that "thing is profitable". |
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| ▲ | toomuchtodo 19 hours ago | parent [-] | | First-Mover Disadvantage - https://hbr.org/2001/10/first-mover-disadvantage - October 2001 > In business today, it’s universally assumed that speed is good—that the fleet thrive while the laggards struggle just to survive. This belief is perhaps most strongly expressed in the concept of first-mover advantage. The company that leads the way into a new market, the thinking goes, locks in a competitive advantage that ensures superior sales and profits over the long term. It’s a nice theory, with a long pedigree. Unfortunately, the facts don’t support it. We recently completed an extensive study of the results turned in by market pioneers and followers, in both consumer and industrial segments, and we found that over the long haul, early movers are considerably less profitable than later entrants. Although pioneers do enjoy sustained revenue advantages, they also suffer from persistently high costs, which eventually overwhelm the sales gains. | | |
| ▲ | sophrosyne42 17 hours ago | parent [-] | | First mover advantage is theoretically only a short-term advantage. Long-term revenues come from entrepreneurship, and a first mover may or may not better insight into long-term market wants than later entrants. |
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