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declan_roberts 3 hours ago

So what are we going to do about China?

epistasis 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

We don't have to do anything about China, "China’s CO2 emissions have now been ‘flat or falling’ for 21 months"

https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-ha...

China is building clean energy for a good chunk of the world, including itself.

A better question may be: What is the US going to do to make up for its historical emissions? The US got wealthy by creating far more emissions than China, and all those historical emissions are now a problem for the rest of the world.

If people in the US try to turn climate action into a blame game, it will end very very poorly for the US.

ahmeneeroe-v2 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

>If people in the US try to turn climate action into a blame game, it will end very very poorly for the US.

Pure fantasy. What will happen to the US and who will do it to us?

epistasis an hour ago | parent [-]

The US can't even get countries to enter trade agreements anymore, because it's throwing around threats of large tariffs and annexation of others' lands. The world could drop the dollar as the reserve currency, something that was gradually happening but is now accelerating.

If the US starts trying to force other countries into climate action without taking into account its own contributions, the US will likely cut out of the global economy, and become far poorer as the rest of the world surpasses its wealth through vigorous trade.

The US was the sole remaining superpower, but has recently decided to only occupy a much weaker position with a mere "sphere of influence" and ceding leadership in other parts of the world to others. The US is signalling to allies in Europe that it will no longer lead, that the prior world is over and the US is bugging out, meaning Europe will gain far more influence.

The more that the US attacks others without providing any leadership, the less that the US will be able to take from the world. Up until recently, the US's position of massive economic strength was largely due to it's dominant position among nations and the goodwill that others had towards it. Turning the climate problem into a blame game on other countries would further weaken the US's position and options.

seanw444 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Climate reparations now!

hannob 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If the rest of the world wants to still have an industry once we finally decide to seriously use green technology, they should quickly catch up to China - if that's still possible.

While China is still very reliant on fossil-fuels, and particularly dirty coal, they're at the same time working on dominating the post-fossil age at astonishing speed. After they already dominate solar and batteries, they're working on doing the same for a number of other future green industries. They are already dominating future technologies like Green Methanol that most people in Europe or the US have never heard of.

doug_durham 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

A troll response I presume. Or perhaps sarcasm without the indicator.

declan_roberts 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Not a troll comment. China produces as much or more CO2 as much as the next 5 countries combined.

It's logical to start with the king of greenhouse emissions if you want to stop global warming.

renjimen 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Not per capita. The US is still the worst large country. If you account for offshoring manufacturing then the US looks even worse.

https://ourworldindata.org/co2-and-greenhouse-gas-emissions

rayiner 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The climate doesn’t care about per capita obviously.

renjimen 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Climate doesn't care about political borders either.

But per capita is more informative when thinking about policy for curbing emissions, which is how we actually change our effect on the climate.

Hikikomori an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

The rest of the world produces more than china. Checkmate.

reducesuffering 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Why should should per-capita be most important? If country A keeps their population stable and emissions under control, but country B of the same starting population, keeps doubling their population and doubling their emissions, why should country A have an increasingly declined allowance of emissions when they were more responsible in keeping their total emissions down (by not having as many people)?

Scarblac 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Because per capita is the only thing that makes sense.

If China were to split into 10 countries each emitting 10% of what they do now it'd be the exact same emissions, but according to you it would be much better.

Similarly if the EU would become one country, that country would be high up on the list, much higher than member countries now! Oh no!

Looking at per capita emissions is much more fair.

Anyway, China's emissions are falling since last year ( https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-ha... ). What's the US doing?

chucksta 2 hours ago | parent [-]

It can't realistically be solved at a per capita level though

renjimen 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Individuals can of course make choices to reduce their emissions, Americans more than most since they're starting higher. Buy less new stuff, eat less meat, fly less, etc.

But policy is where real change needs to be made, and the effects of policy still scale with population in most cases.

Scarblac 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Maybe we should start trying before we conclude that.

shoxidizer 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If country B splits into countries C, D, E and F, all of which emit less than country A, has it found an effective way to reduce emissions? Should all countries adopt the Monaco lifestyle to defeat global warming? I guess if you want to find a fair way to measure administration of land you could emmisions per hectare or rainfall.

layer8 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

China has a declining population, and had a one-child policy for many years.

Also, you don’t want all the low-population countries to each start contributing as much to global warming as the US.

hiccuphippo 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Because some countries pay others to pollute in their stead?

markdown 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Because country A just outsourced their emission production to country B.

generj 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

China is rapidly going green.

reducesuffering 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Is the US even more rapidly going green? https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/co2?hideControls=false&...

China's emissions were 10 billion tons CO2 in 2017 and have increased every single year to 12.29 billion tons CO2 in 2024. Meanwhile, US decreased from 5.22 to 4.9 in the same time

shoxidizer 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Both these trends have reversed in 2025.

US emissions icreased by 2.5% https://rhg.com/research/us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-2025/

China's emmisions have decreased by <1% https://e360.yale.edu/digest/china-emissions-decline

michaelmrose 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

1/4 the population. Per capita we are 65% worse not considering how much of China's pollution is on our behalf

Windchaser 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Yeah, and don't even get me started on historic emissions.

China has only produced significant CO2/capita in the last decade. The US and Europe are responsible for the accumulated GHG that have gotten us into the current mess. We blew nearly the entire CO2 "budget" for keeping us under 2C of warming, just by ourselves, so it's kinda odd to be pointing fingers at the foreigners who are just now halfway catching up to what we're emitting now.

laffOr 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There is no need for ordering right? All countries can start acting at the same time.

smt88 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You can't really isolate China's emissions. They manufacture a huge proportion of the goods the rest of the world needs to operate. The green countries are essentially outsourcing their pollution to China.

legitster 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The plan was always to put economic pressure on China to catch up to the rest of the developed world, but we can't exactly tell someone else to stop crapping their pants while we are still crapping our pants.

maxglute 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Emulate them?

PRC solar power production last year conservatively will diplace ~45 billion barrels of oil, or 10%-20% more than total global consumption per year. It's just retarded eco accounting that attributes emissions to renewable manufacturers while fossil exporters don't get any penalties for extracting emissions.

Every year of PRC solar prevents doubling of oil, basically they're like the only significant country whose net contribution is negative for how much carbon sinks they manufacture. So the answer for US+co is obviously stop exporting oil and lng, and start exporting renewables.

BigTTYGothGF 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The same China that, added more new solar capacity in 2024 than the US currently has total? And is currently at 36% of its total energy use from renewable sources compared to the US's 23%? And has ~32GW of nuclear plants in construction compared to the US's 2.5GW?

I hope we steal their playbook.

dyauspitr 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

China is going to be fully green in a decade or two. India in 3 or 4.

idiotsecant 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Nothing? China is solving the problem on their own. They already make substantially less carbon per person that most of the west. If we want to be like China it's a simple proposition: be OK with Manhattan project level investments in power transmission from places that have lots of renewables to places that need renewables.

rayiner 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Climate is determined by total CO2 output, not per capita.

That’s a real problem, because China, and all the poor countries in Asia and Africa aren’t going to stop increasing their CO2 output per capita until they reach western standards of living.

Windchaser 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Sounds like we should pioneer better low-emissions tech, then, and pass it along to them. We've got more expendable income and a better tech base from which to do that.