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Meta hiding $27B in debt using advanced geometry(stohl.substack.com)
294 points by FreeQueso 6 hours ago | 142 comments
almog 3 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

While I've seen a lot of news lately about SPVs being used to finance data centers off balance, as a non-economist I just cannot wrap my mind around the problem of issuing a 25Y bonds that is tied to purchase of GPUs that have so far proven to be replaced by a new generation every 2-5 years. Assuming that Meta (or any other company for that follow this structure) extend the lease in 4 years, they'll likely want to use newer GPUs, the LLC that owns the data center will have to issue new debt, both to buy the GPUs but also to serve the older debt and so forth. To me it seems that for this to not crumble eventually, the company that leases the GPU (Meta in this case) must either: 1. Be able generate generate profit that converges to a sum which exceeds the debt issued + coupons. 2. Be able to sell those GPUs for profit (can't really see that happening unless a real supply crisis hit the chip industry).

I'm most likely wrong but the choice of tying a bonds with long duration to an asset that rapidly depreciates in value seems to me like something that is likely to fail in some way or another.

mrandish 30 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It would be deeply ironic if this data center (or similar ones using creative accounting), are among those featured in the TV commercials Meta has been running in expensive national prime time slots in recent weeks.

I've seen at least two different commercials each focused entirely on the personal story of a relatable, folksy person living in a small town in a fly-over U.S. state, talking about how the town was declining and times were hard - then Meta built a new data center nearby and this person along with many others got jobs there and now things are great. They are very well-produced with cinematic shots of rustic small-town main streets, dusty pickup trucks in rural settings and local high school football games. Aside from the obvious brand-washing, it would be extra on-brand if it turns out Meta doesn't even own the data center but still tries to take credit for it.

exacube 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I asked ChatGPT to make this more readable since it's a mix of satire and actual information:

(Clarification: I used a diabrowser.com feature to clarify the article, which uses ChatGPT underneath)

==============

Meta wants to build a huge AI data center campus in Louisiana. It costs about $28–29 billion. Instead of just borrowing the money itself and putting the debt on its own balance sheet, Meta uses a maze of LLCs and contracts to:

- Get $27.3 billion of debt raised by a special company called Beignet Investor LLC (80% owner of the project).

- Keep that debt off Meta’s official balance sheet, even though:

▫ Meta designs the campus,

▫ pays for overruns,

▫ pays the rent,

▫ guarantees the value at the end,

▫ and will basically be the only user.

In real life, this is basically Meta borrowing to build its own data center. On paper, it’s “someone else’s” debt.

Why is this off-balance-sheet?

The accounting rules say you only have to put an entity on your balance sheet if you “control” it and take on most of the risk/benefit.

Meta’s position is: “We don’t control this JV company, even though we do all the important things and take on all the risk.”

The rating agency in the piece is mocking this. They list all the ways Meta obviously controls and supports the project, then say: under current accounting rules, if Meta insists it doesn’t control it, we all politely pretend that’s true. So the $27B debt doesn’t show up on Meta’s balance sheet, even though economically it’s Meta’s problem.

master_crab an hour ago | parent | next [-]

I asked almost this same question a few weeks ago here:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45628186

But the one thing that doesn’t compute is the commitment. There is a long term obligation now incurred by meta to use this infrastructure. If it’s a capital lease I assume this is now a liability on their books (and disclosures)?

Fade-Dance had a fairly reasonable answer to it:

Maybe they don't want to securitize their core assets and introduce a new favored class of investor. Ex: If they are securitizing their AI data centers as part of the initial capital raise, those investors would be higher up the capital stack. They would get the datacenter in a theoretical bankruptcy before the bond/equity holders got their cut of the liquidation. Intel securitized their new fab builds with Brookfield and Apollo and, as a shareholder at the time, it didn't feel great. No idea what the precedent is regarding Meta by the way, just a thought. Maybe they think that the lenders are a bit "overzealous", and they want to push the risk of things like write down on GPU racks entirely onto external parties who are apparently all too happy to take the risk. I'm guessing it's a mix of both, combined with the fact that we're seeing some copy and paste thinking. This is proving to be a way to get fast access to the huge private credit market. I would assume there must be some very wide deal flow pipes cranking currently, so why not tap into them if the demand is there in the other end.

Spooky23 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I think it’s naive to focus on “what is meta getting” from Beignet.

As an example to stimulate your imagination, Walmart has settled as recently as 2019 to resolve liability due to weak internal controls that allowed “third party affiliates” to bribe local officials and others in various ways.

bluGill 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

If the llc declares bankruptcy does meta have to pay the bank for it - or can they buy the assets at fire sale prices?

friendzis 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I have skimmed through the article and if I get the details through all the humor, satire and sarcasm even remotely correct, the major assets are actually the duality of payment obligations and residual value guarantees, both from meta. One could include cost overrun protection at the construction time too.

The "fire sale prices" would be so delicious as to guarantee that the entity(-ies) involved stay solvent as long as meta stays solvent.

detourdog 5 hours ago | parent [-]

My personal experience with LLC loans and banks is that the bank is using the assets as collateral and me as a backstop.

mcny 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I thought the whole point of LLC was to limit liability so you wouldn't be liable for debt beyond your paid up capital? Why would you ever sign a personal guarantee?

hattmall 22 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

>Why would you ever sign a personal guarantee?

So that they will lend you the money...

It's not always required, depends on the amount and the business.

detourdog 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The liability I’m shielded from is not debt I specifically requested. I’m shielded from unknown events.

hrimfaxi 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Why would the CEO have the personal liability here and not the board? Does Sundar Pichai have to personally guarantee loans for Google? That would be weird since the CEO could be fired.

svnt 2 hours ago | parent [-]

No, but this person’s LLC is not capitalized quite as well as Google, and the bank is adjusting the loan to account for that fact.

bdangubic 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

banks are not stupid… you can’t just open LLC, borrow billion bucks, spend it and then be like “oops, LLC mates, not liable”

htrp 4 hours ago | parent [-]

You can if you are Meta and are willing to litigate the hell out of it.

notatoad an hour ago | parent | next [-]

“If you are meta” in this case means “if you have a billion dollars already, and a credit rating that you don’t want to destroy.

Nobody is trying to pull one over on a bank here. Pricing the risk of the loan is a bank’s whole business, they’re happy to loan to meta because meta is meta, and they’re a good candidate for a loan.

hrimfaxi 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Do you think any CEOs of gigantic corporations are personally liable for any loans made by the companies they work for? I would be incredibly, incredibly surprised to hear if that's the case.

svnt 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

More like if you are Meta and are viewed as a lucrative business opportunity by the bank.

YetAnotherNick an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

Then why don't they do it? It's the easiest money they can ever make. Even I can litigate the hell out of it if I get $27B, take the money and close the LLC.

richiebful1 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

"Me" in this case being a stand-in for the principal owner, which could be a corporation, individual, or group of individuals

typs 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Meta doesn't actually owe the bank anything in this setup. That would be Blackrock and the other private creditors.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Mechanistically, how would the LLC achieve bankruptcy?

wmf 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Meta would have to not renew the lease and somehow nullify the residual value guarantee. This would leave the LLC with no revenue at all. If the RVG works there should be no chance of bankruptcy.

jmalicki 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

you just... file for bankruptcy like any other person or corporation?

loeg 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Yeah but when you come to bankruptcy court with significantly more assets than debt, they aren't going to let you sell the business for pennies.

I'm asking how you would believe this vehicle would go broke, which is the usual reason to go to bankruptcy.

tjwebbnorfolk 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Corporate bankruptcy happens for a lot of reasons other than being "broke". Chapter 11 is a court-supervised way of restructuring your debt. This has a lot of utility in many situations other than not being able to pay.

gruez 3 hours ago | parent [-]

It'll go before a judge and creditors would be able to object, so if it's just a ploy to get rid of debt you can be certain it'd be contested.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

A lot of comments praising this summary, but I'll criticize it: it's still too verbose, and misses the point.

Meta wants to fund this project, but doesn't want the debt on own its books (because it would impact its vanity AA credit rating). Debt investors are happy to finance a special purpose vehicle guaranteed (in a non debt way) by Meta at a credit rating almost as good as Meta's (say, A). No one is confused this is Meta getting financing for their own project; they've just put it in a wrapper for vanity credit score reasons.

Levine wrote about it and his writing is better than ChatGPT, this snarky website, and obviously mine: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2025-10-29/put... .

illwrks 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

So… ‘vanity’ ratings… what’s the point of them then.

rsync 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think "vanity" is the wrong term because their existing credit rating, which they attempt to preserve, impacts all other borrowing (and possibly other agreements and finance vehicles, etc.) that they undertake.

So it's probably valuable to retain that credit rating.

The real issue here is how simple it is to game the rating agency in this way and how the market allows Meta to "launder" this activity through the ratings agency.

This is, in fact, a fairly close analogue to the housing crisis and the ratings laundering that was done with the CDOs[1]. The difference is, instead of drilling down to thousands of mortgages - each with different characteristics - you really just drill down to Meta ... which might not be too risky ...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collateralized_debt_obligation

illwrks 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Agreed. I know very little about financing but I’d bet if their rating fell that would trigger some debt repayment clause and the house of financial cards might wobble or fall.

…someone needs to shake the tree and see what falls out, like Peter Thiel did for SVB.

Aurornis 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

There are a lot of places where the credit ratings are hardcoded (to borrow a term) into funds. There are pension funds and other vehicles that might be bound to only invest in AA rated companies.

So if a company drops their AA rating it could force them out of a lot of funds and investment vehicles.

This complicated vehicle where the debt and assets are in another LLC isn’t actually tricking anyone in finance. If you’re reading about it from blogs then it’s already common knowledge. The structure isn’t actually a one way trick, it’s a set of tradeoffs and protections for the company. They probably could have achieved better terms going direct but with higher risk.

illwrks 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Instinctively I try and simplify things. It this was a person with an excellent credit score, it’s as if the person is taking on extra debt to start to create something they need, but trying to hide it.

Aurornis 24 minutes ago | parent [-]

But that simplification isn’t the whole story. If that person took on debt as part of an LLC they started, not their personal bank account, then they have certain protections in the event of default of the LLC.

They will also have to pay a premium and give up more for debt to the LLC because the lenders know this.

The same is true for Meta.

The finance world isn’t blind. None of us hear are stumbling upon hidden knowledge that the lenders didn’t already have.

bregma 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Still too verbose. Here's a TL;DR.

Meta is borrowing a whole lot of money and they're lying about it to investors.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent [-]

No one is lying or deceived here.

toomuchtodo 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Ehh, tell me the credit ratings assigned by rating agencies to mortgage backed securities circa 2005-2007. Its an ecosystem with misaligned incentives, and some cohort of investor will be left holding the bag. Big Tech, investment banks, and ratings agencies will get off with no consequences when this Jenga-esq capital apparatus eventually collapses.

robocat 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

A nice article on the underlying systemic causes of the crash:

https://archive.ph/2015.11.08-145615/http://www.wired.com/20...

SpicyLemonZest 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I don't see what's Jenga-esque about this capital structure. You've got some AA- bonds issued directly by Meta having to do with their core business, and some A+ bonds issued by different entities to fund their riskier and more speculative datacenter construction. If anything, wouldn't it be harder to track the risk if both these bonds were stuffed into the same bucket?

bregma 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Investor: Is this your debt, Meta?

Meta: (hiding debt behind its back) No. It's Jimmy's.

Investor: Now Meta, you know lying is wrong.

Meta: No it's not. All the kids do it so it's OK.

cyanydeez 2 hours ago | parent [-]

If it's related to AI, it's more like wash trading. The entire business interest in AI is making things look like there's a lot of investment when it's really just a small circle jerk of business interests.

It's just a more advanced crypto fraud.

emp17344 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It’s not necessarily lying, but it’s certainly deceptive.

ejoso 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Not even deceptive. This is relatively normal business practice.

It’s easier to think of this as “project risk” as opposed to corporate risk overall.

This isn’t different than creating a subsidiary to embark on a new program, with its own debts and assets, collateralized by a parent company.

It’s effectively the same as what happens every time a major movie studio starts a new film project.

svnt 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Usually subsidiaries’ debt is not also debt on the parent company, especially when said parent is publicly traded and subject to accounting/disclosure rules.

MonkeyClub 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don't get why Beignet doesn't also hire Meta and pay it to build the DC.

NetOpWibby 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Thank you, I actually understand what this is all about now.

selimthegrim 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is hilarious because I was at the Louisiana public utility commission meeting where the argument was basically it’s Meta borrowing the money so they’re good for it.

slurrpurr an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-]

reading is really hard. I'm so happy ChatGPT exists

RA_Fisher 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

They can get a better interest rate by using a specialty data center lender.

NewsaHackO 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

wow, what a great summary.

cm2012 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Very useful, ty

CPLX 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Is Meta actually obligated to repay the loans or not?

That’s how you can decide if this is disingenuous or not. If Meta is obligated to repay the loan and used to synthetic means to get it off the balance sheet that’s a problem.

If they have in fact successfully transferred risk to other parties then that’s what deals like this are for. It’s the whole reason the concept of limited liability exists.

I am fully willing to believe it’s the former. But that’s the test.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I don't think Meta has a debt relationship with the loans involved here; that's the point. It does have strong contractual obligations to the wrapper business, though.

gruez 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>Is Meta actually obligated to repay the loans or not?

They aren't, but they're obligated to pay leases for it (they can't just build the datacenter and then walk away), which is kind of like having to repay the "loans".

jfengel 3 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm not an accountant, but "contractually obligated to pay" sounds like a debt to me.

If the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles don't require that to manifest on the balance sheet, then it sounds like the principles aren't very good ones.

xmprt 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Even if they aren't obligated to repay, they have to in practice because it'll impact their ability to get loans in the future. If the shell company declares bankruptcy and gets the loans off Meta's books no one will ever loan money to Meta again.

Aurornis 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

They would still be able to get loans, but the terms would be much worse.

Basically, if we’re reading about it from substacks and Matt Levine’s newsletter then it’s already fully common knowledge in the finance world.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Eh, debt investors have short memories. They buy 100 year bonds from Argentina, for fuck's sake. It might limit Meta's ability to do this SPV trick.

bgwalter 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

"None of this is unusual except for the part where Meta designs, builds, guarantees, operates, funds the overruns, pays the rent, and does not consolidate it."

So ChatGPT put this sentence in list form and reordered it a bit. AGI is imminent!

AndrewKemendo 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This might be the first time an explicit ChatGPT response survived being the top comment

I personally think it’s a great response and makes it clearer what’s happening

Times are changing quickly!

pezgrande 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

One year ago was taboo to say you were using LLM to help you code, today is the other way around...

Aurornis 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> today is the other way around...

It is definitely not taboo to say you’re writing your own code.

bdangubic 4 hours ago | parent [-]

could get you fired in more and more places though… :)

Aurornis 23 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

If you only see the world through crazy headlines, this probably seems true.

lawlessone 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

where?

lazide 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This isn’t to code. It’s tk summarize - something LLMs are usually good at, since they’re essentially lossy text/knowledge compression at their root.

int3trap 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yeah... no it's not.

AndrewKemendo 4 hours ago | parent [-]

This is testable:

Can you link to another one?

crazygringo 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Seriously. I thought about doing the same because I couldn't make heads or tails of the article, and then assumed it would just all be downvotes... glad to see it wasn't.

siliconpotato 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There are better articles explaining this: https://www.forbes.com/sites/petercohan/2025/11/25/metas-ai-... and https://www.wsj.com/tech/meta-ai-data-center-finances-d3a6b4...

skybrian 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

A quote from The Information via Matt Levine:

> The bonds for the Hyperion data center priced with a coupon of almost 6.6%, roughly a percentage point higher than Meta’s outstanding corporate bonds and in line with the average junk bond. That’s a higher yield than investors would expect given that S&P rated the Hyperion bonds A+, safely within the investment-grade spectrum.

Apparently the bond market is pricing the guarantees made by Meta to this other entity as not quite as good as bonds that Meta issues itself, and Meta is willing to pay the higher interest rate. So, not entirely a free lunch?

I guess sometimes a company wants to issue junk bonds and its rating gets in the way.

jbs789 2 hours ago | parent [-]

If the article is correct and they are 144A then they will also be a little less liquid. But yeah, I have to imagine everyone involved knows what’s up. Just happens to work for everyone (for now).

austin-cheney 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> This treatment is considered acceptable because the people who decide what is acceptable have accepted it.

Wasn't that the root of the 2008 crash? The debt spiral was acceptable because people were making enough money in the present that regulators were powerless to advise against it. In a sane world people often go to jail for decades when doing this at pennies on the dollar.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent [-]

The 2008 crash was in part caused by inaccurately rating synthetic bundles of subprime mortgage debt as extremely low risk (e.g. AAA). Subprime borrowers had a much higher risk of defaulting than a AAA rating implied.

On the other hand, Meta has great creditworthiness. And guarantees this vehicle. So... it's not the same.

austin-cheney 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

That's not accurate.

This is debatable but subprime loans were mostly accurately rated. They were rated very low. That low rating was the ultimate precursor to the crash, because it means banks carrying those poorly rated vehicles needed to balance them with different highly rated vehicles to keep their own rating high enough to qualify carrying and lending other financial assets on their books. There were so many of these shitty loans that they had to repackage them to dilute their value/rating against their other highly rated assets, because there are limited number of highly rated assets any given bank could acquire at a moment.

That dilution was called a credit default swap, which is bundling under the guise of an insurance vehicle. This magnified the problem for two reasons: First these shitty assets can now be traded in large bulk and secondly any given bank can now carry more of them before further eroding their value. That proved catastrophic because this toxic debt could not be moved fast enough by anybody that held them. Its like hot potato or musical chairs, like Bitcoin. The only real difference between those credit default swaps and Bitcoin is only that everybody knows Bitcoin is intrinsically worthless and only exists as an instrument of speculation while many people actually thought these credit default swaps were real financial assets and that they were insured.

loeg 2 hours ago | parent [-]

The other parts of the 2008 crisis are even more dissimilar to this scenario than the MBS ratings.

cyanydeez 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Right, this is more like wash trading, in that companies like Meta are trying to syntehtically make it look like there's more assets involved in AI than there really are.

tyre 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Isn’t part of its creditworthiness how much debt it’s carrying? And if it’s shifting that off of its balance sheet, then it appears in better shape than it actually is.

venturecruelty 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Enron had great creditworthiness, too. They are, famously, a very rich and powerful company today.

sethops1 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Except they're taking on a huge amount of debt, enough that it would lower their credit rating, which is why they're trying to offload it ...

underlipton 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Until they don't. Lest we forget that Facebook's new handle was borne out of a pivot that's sunk almost a hundred billion dollars while being having been largely sidelined/abandoned. (I know that they're still doing a good deal of R&D, which is good, and a worthy investment, but 1) Carmack left, and 2) We apparently don't judge corporations on whether or not they're contributing to society, but only on whether they're in the red or black.)

p4bl0 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Relevant excerpts to understand what's at play here:

> (…) this is functionally Meta borrowing $27.30 billion for a campus no one else will touch, packaged in legal formality precise enough to satisfy the letter of consolidation rules and absurd enough to insult the spirit.

> The structure maintains a precarious technical separation that, under current interpretations of accounting guidance, allows Meta to keep roughly $27 billion of assets and debt off its own balance sheet while continuing to provide every meaningful form of economic support.

mertd 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is hardly a secret. Matt Levine blogged about it: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2025-10-29/put...

lxgr 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Does it need to be a secret to be noteworthy, especially if it’s apparently working despite not being a secret anymore?

mertd 4 hours ago | parent [-]

I meant to say it's not new information. The blog post I linked is from a month ago. It is also more accessible for casual reading.

lxgr an hour ago | parent [-]

> I meant to say it's not new information

So? As usual, xkcd 1053 applies :) https://xkcd.com/1053/

gorgoiler 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It’s buried in the article but this about a debt vehicle created to finance a “2.064 GW hyperscale data center campus”. That’s approximately equivalent to a One-Third-Gorges Dam (one tenth of the Three Gorges Dam.)

Downstream of the capex to build the data centre is, presumably, a sister capex to build a power station. At what stage do these come hand in hand? Or does this financing include provisions to pay the electricity bills for the next ten years which, in turn, gets used by the power company to finance the construction of a new power plant? The power company gets some kind of heads up?

If I finance the construction of a mile long dinner table due for late November 2026, presumably some of that had to trickle down into a local turkey farm, lest everyone go hungry?

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> Or does this financing include provisions to pay the electricity bills for the next ten years which, in turn, gets used by the power company to finance the construction of a new power plant? The power company gets some kind of heads up?

Mostly things like this, yeah. The hyperscalers don't want to get into the power business.

cyanydeez 2 hours ago | parent [-]

They also need artificial demand to keep the valuations of their data centers high, so generating multiple business interests creating wash trading benefits their interests.

underlipton 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Of course not. We're eating roast beast. (I'm saying that the entire endeavor is a fairy tale that we're misguidedly bringing into live-action.)

clipsy 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> One-Third-Gorges Dam (one tenth of the Three Gorges Dam.)

Pedantically, that's one ninth of the Three Gorges Dam. One tenth would be the 0.3 Gorges Dam.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Levine wrote about this here: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2025-10-29/put... .

yellow_lead 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Unfortunately I didn't find a mention of any mathematical geometry in the article.

sega_sai 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This have been covered by FT a while ago: https://archive.ph/zs7ul ( https://www.ft.com/content/d0344253-b0a2-4c6d-8b97-520243678... )

asah 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

LOL "The entity is named “Beignet,” presumably because “Off-Balance-Sheet Leverage Vehicle No. 5” tested poorly with focus groups."

randycupertino 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Meta's accounting games are entirely reminiscent of Enron, who famously named their off-balance sheet debt-hiding special purpose vehicles after Star Wars "Jedi 1, Jedi 2," Jurassic Park, "Raptors 1 through 7," and the crooked CFO's kids "LJM" etc.

cyanydeez an hour ago | parent [-]

AI companies are running the same frauds as multiple, but I think cryptocurrency/FTX is more apt. They're creating artificial demand by trading contract with themselves and using those assets to make it look like they've got more revenues & assets of value.

NewsaHackO an hour ago | parent [-]

I assume you have no proof of this, correct?

venturecruelty 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

"A Love Letter to Enron" would sound really bad in the deposition.

seanmcdirmid 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It’s a fitting name for Louisiana at least. But this place is next Monroe which is…nowhere near New Orleans.

dfedbeef 3 hours ago | parent [-]

We get it you want it to be named Boudin

seanmcdirmid 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Delta would be a good name. It’s fairly near to the delta in reality.

lathiat 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This entire thing was a masterpiece I love it.

SOLAR_FIELDS 4 hours ago | parent [-]

It definitely has the Voltaire/Onion like snark and cynicism with biting accuracy that really gets me going. We need more well informed rants disguised in heavy sarcasm

shrubble 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Monroe LA is the former headquarters of Lumen, they realized that their corporate headquarters was a white elephant and donated it to the local university I think. However that means there is available power capacity from the local power company and of course, fair amounts of fiber optic cable nearby.

skizm 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Serious questions: won't banks and ratings agencies simply treat this as Meta's debt since it it effectively Meta's debt? What changes if this was on their "official balance sheet"? How does playing with the wording actually help Meta overall?

ryukoposting 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The crux of this article is that they won't treat Meta's debt as debt, because Meta intentionally structured this debt to circumvent the agencies' definition of "debt." Should they change their definition of "debt?" Maybe, but what incentive do they have to do that, is any formal definition bulletproof to circumvention, etc.

What's very interesting to me is what happens when Meta doesn't exercise those lease options. If there isn't some kind of penalty for declining the option, well...

cyanydeez an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

As in the 2008 crash, the ratings agencies were disincentivized to accurately rate these vehicles because they were superficially masked and paid by the companies asking them for ratings.

JoshTko 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I’m guessing Meta isn’t the only one doing this

epistasis 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You would guess right, and I have even heard that this sort thing has been standard practice for a long time, without nefarious intent.

The problem is that even standard practice, without nefarious intent, can cause massive financial collapse. If, say, the vast majority of economic growth were being focused into such vehicles, the lack of transparency could make people misanalyze the situation and result in bad valuations that collapse when it all becomes transparent.

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Right.

> I should say that the big tech companies did not invent this technology to build AI data centers. This sort of thing — project finance, non-consolidated joint ventures, borrowing out of boxes — has a long history in a lot of capital-intensive industries.

Levine attributes a recent increase to private credit.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2025-10-29/put...

barchar 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Yeah, it's very dumb to own real estate like this directly for a c-corp

hrimfaxi 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Is it dumb for tax reasons?

barchar 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes. 21% CIT + 15-20% LTCG for the owners.

RE throws off much income.

It's also difficult to transfer the RE to another entity without realizing gains.

daemonologist 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It seems to me that the lengthiness and opacity of the report is part of the joke, and therefore running it through ChatGPT kind of misses the point. (The "FSG analyst" would have intentionally spread a layer of BS on top of everything to make it a lot of extra work to understand that the debt should actually be on Meta's books. Of course it's satirical so it calls out its own absurdity instead of actually burying it.)

As has been mentioned though if you purely want the info there are more succinct articles out there, e.g.: https://www.forbes.com/sites/petercohan/2025/11/25/metas-ai-...

totallymike 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Folks in the comments here begging ChatGPT to teach them how to read

Aurornis 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This article is poorly written. It’s so desperate to be clever and edgy that it’s hard to get the facts out of it.

ChatGPT isn’t really a solution because the source is both low quality and has questionable motives. Going to any of the other good articles on the subject that have been linked in this comment section is much better.

parliament32 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It's well written for its target audience, people who are used to reading financial analyses.

Aurornis 23 minutes ago | parent [-]

Hard disagree. I read a lot of well-written financial analyses and this isn’t it at all.

The target audience is people who want to be angry at Meta and think that they’re smarter than finance people.

venturecruelty 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Don't say "I'm critical of AI", say "I have questionable motives"!

bdangubic 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

this is the future of human-written articles - they will obligatory be written like this as 99% of article comments on HN these days is “oh, this is AI written.” :)

turtlesdown11 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It's actually written quite well, you just have to understand the underlying financial documents and methodology.

Things that are hard to read because you lack context is not the same as poor writing.

Aurornis 21 minutes ago | parent [-]

No it’s not. It’s sarcastic, snarky, sneery content that appeals to a certain group.

The actual subject matter has already been covered well by good writers like Matt Levine, WSJ, and others.

turtlesdown11 6 minutes ago | parent [-]

first experience with satire?

rs186 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It is not the reader's fault if the article is unreadable in the first place.

Not to mention that asking help to explain a text is extremely common. I can read English, but I have never read a US supreme court ruling. There are much better ways for me to understand those rulings to me as a non-lawyer.

tyre 4 hours ago | parent [-]

Many SCOTUS opinions, especially the major ones, are very readable! The justices and clerks are excellent writers.

The most publicly notable cases (on things like abortion, gerrymandering, gun control, etc.) aren’t so tied down in complex precedent or laws the average person is unfamiliar with.

Although, even some of those (like, for me, issues around Native American sovereignty or maritime law) are quite readable as well.

epistasis 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The difficulty understanding this piece comes from lack of knowledge about finance and ratings, not from an inability to read. The blog assumes a large amount of financial knowledge which is not common among the HN audience.

walletdrainer 4 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

This whole blog reeks of WSB, pretty sure the target audience is not people with a large amount of financial knowledge.

crote 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It seems fairly understandable even without financial knowledge?

1. Facebook creates a shell company.

2. The shell company borrows billions of dollars, and builds a data center.

3. Facebook leases the data center.

4. The fact that it is technically only a four-year lease with only one possible tenant can conveniently be ignored, as Facebook assumes essentially all possible risks. The shell company could only possibly lose money if Facebook itself goes under, so the lenders can treat the loan as just as reliable as Facebook itself.

5. Because Facebook technically only has a four-year lease, it can pretend it doesn't actually control the shell company: after all, it can always just decide not to renew the lease. The fact that is assumes essentially all possible risks can conveniently be ignored, so Facebook can treat it as a separate entity and doesn't have to treat the debt as its own.

So the lenders are happy because there's no real risk to them, and Facebook is happy because they can pretend a $27B loan doesn't exist. It's a win-win, except for the part where they are lying to their shareholders about not taking on a $27B loan.

pyvpx 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It is so hopelessly depressing. I was wrapt reading it from start to finish and thoroughly enjoyed it as few recent articles at length have been.

And then going to the comments, excitedly no less, to find…this?

Jfc :’(

kuberwastaken 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Soo they just borrowed money from themselves to pay for their data center? Nice.

loeg 2 hours ago | parent [-]

No, the capital comes from someone else. IIUC, private credit.

a-dub 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

even a really strong shot of cafe bustelo failed to make this an interesting read.

colinbartlett 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Can anyone comment about how common this (apparently legal) practice is?

sbierwagen 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

A couple thousand of them in the US https://carta.com/data/spv-spotlight-q3-2024/

SoftTalker 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

MBAs gotta have something to do.

SpicyLemonZest 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Setting up a separate company for a major construction project is so common that it would be surprising to hear someone didn’t do it. The structure of the OP makes it hard to understand if there’s some more specific aspect he’s objecting to.

rufusdali 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

About as common as breathing.

stevesimmons 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> The Outlook is Superficially Stable, defined here as “By outward appearances stable unless, you know, things happen. Then we’ll downgrade after the shit hits the fan.”

turtlesdown11 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

remember that time Facebook spent $10s of billions on the metaverse?

loeg 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

They continue to spend $4B/quarter on this as of 2025Q3 financials.

hrimfaxi 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

What's your point with this comment? How can we ever hope for another Bell Labs if we decry companies taking risks on things no one even asked for?