| ▲ | whizzter 11 hours ago |
| For reference, this city is about as north as Anchorage Alaska and today they got less than 7 hours of sunlight and it'll continue to decrease for the next 3 weeks. The Nordic countries generally still wants to increase their wind and solar power, but the big issue during winters is when there's cold air high pressure systems we get neither sun nor wind, having an energy storage that can hold up to 5 days worth of energy should help us nudge past them. Hydro-energy exist (mainly Sweden and Norway, but I think some in Finland as well), but it's fairly built out so stable non-fossil power needs to be nuclear, or wind/sun + storage (that hasn't been good enough so far). |
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| ▲ | Reason077 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| > “Hydro-energy exist, but it's fairly built out so stable non-fossil power needs to be nuclear, or wind/sun + storage” Interconnectors also exist (and more are planned), which means, for example, that Norway can buy wind energy from the UK when it’s cheap and abundant, in preference to using stored energy from their hydro lakes. That way they effectively get more out of existing hydro lakes, which in Norway is already a very significant storage capacity. |
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| ▲ | citrin_ru 2 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | > Norway can buy wind energy from the UK Even Southern England cannot get enough wind energy from Scotland to fully utilise wind farms because transmission capacity is insufficient. I would imagine a transmission line to Norway will be even more expensive than to England. | |
| ▲ | tordrt 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Theres not going to be built any more interconnectors from Norway anytime soon. Electricity became a lot more expensive in Norway after building several interconnectors to UK and mainland Europe. Importing high prices from the failed energy politics of UK and Germany which both have among the most expensive electricity in the world. This has been a huge debate, and the general concensus seems to be that joining ACER and building inrerconnectors to mainland Europe was a big mistake. | | |
| ▲ | kragen 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Does that mean Norway is making a huge amount of money exporting electricity over those interconnections? | | |
| ▲ | yxhuvud 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Yes. But that is money the consumers don't see. | | |
| ▲ | teiferer 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | About 90% of Norway's 40 GW energy production (mostly hydro) is state owned. By exporting energy and thereby getting other countries to pay, the money literally goes to the norwegian people. Not directly into their bank accounts, but into their govt budgets, which they later pay less in taxes. | | |
| ▲ | varjag an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Norwegian power generation is sized for the domestic market, so tax income from selling excess is marginal at best. The power bills however have indeed crept quite a way up. This was especially noticeable in the first winter of the Russian invasion, when the Nordics had to subsidize the bill that suddenly dropped on short-sighted German energy policy. | |
| ▲ | bear141 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Do they actually pay less in taxes because of this? I’m not arguing. That is great and I would appreciate if you could provide a source for me to read. | | |
| ▲ | varjag an hour ago | parent [-] | | We do not but there's a social consensus about the value people get from this taxation level. However the excess power price which is not a domestic supply/demand outcome is a lot harder to sell. |
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| ▲ | TeMPOraL 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Right, but people tend to be oblivious to anything that's not on their bank accounts. |
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| ▲ | theodorton 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | There are government subsidies for consumers to either have a fixed price or a price cap on electricity in Norway as a political response to the increase. This would be harder to pull off if not most of the profits from export didn’t land in the public sector (either taxes or government owned energy companies). | | |
| ▲ | kragen 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Norway has experience circumventing the resource curse/Dutch disease with undersea oil. Hopefully they'll manage it this time too. |
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| ▲ | 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | parineum 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | That seems counterintuitive to me. Electricity prices don't go up because you have access to expensive power, it goes up because you don't have enough cheap power so you have to buy the expensive power. It seems like Norway just wouldn't have power if they weren't connected to other sources, not that they'd have more cheap power. | | |
| ▲ | jltsiren 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Electricity prices go up when you have access to customers who are willing to pay more. If grid connections to other regions are limited, people in regions with a lot of cheap generation (such as Norway) pay low prices. But if you add grid connections without increasing generation capacity, prices start equalizing between regions, as every power company tries to sell to the highest bidder. Norway could power itself fully with domestic hydro. But it chose not to, as the power companies make more money by importing foreign power when it's cheap and exporting hydro when it's not. | | |
| ▲ | seanmcdirmid 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Washington state has the same problem to a lesser degree. California pays more for cheap Washington hydro, which causes the costs to go up for us, although I guess not as drastic as Norway since our electricity is still considered cheap. | | |
| ▲ | yxhuvud 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Norway still have cheap electricity in the grand scheme. It is just more expensive than it used to be. |
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| ▲ | fulafel 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > It seems like Norway just wouldn't have power if they weren't connected to other sources, not that they'd have more cheap power. This is not the case as Norway and neighbouring Sweden have plentiful hydro. It's especially valuable as it can be regulated to complement wind/solar fluctuations, essentially replacing storage. | |
| ▲ | sgc 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Obviously the presumably large amount of money spent to interconnect could have been spent adding local production and storage. It would be a waste of money if there was a reasonable path to local energy independence that was neglected. | |
| ▲ | Hamuko 38 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | It’s basic supply and demand. And by linking to other grids, you increase demand since there’s now more customers for your supply. What they have (comparatively) less is supply since the supply in those markets is shite in comparison to what Sweden and Norway have for their local demand. |
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| ▲ | 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | fulafel 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > the big issue during winters is when there's cold air high pressure systems we get neither sun nor wind Wind does better in the winter. See eg here for Canada monthly stats: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=251000... Also, wind does better at night than day, which may be related or not. |
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| ▲ | baq 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > there's cold air high pressure systems we get neither sun nor wind AKA https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunkelflaute |
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| ▲ | bryanlarsen 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Hydro energy generation is fairly built out, but the Nordics have lots of places suitable to build out hydro energy storage. Hydro generation requires a flow to dam, but storage doesn't. |
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| ▲ | Tuna-Fish 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | We don't really. Hydro storage requires reservoirs where you can freely adjust the water level. Most of our lakes have shorelines that have been built out, and the property owners get really angry if you suggest frequently adjusting the water level significantly. The largest planned hydro storage projects are using decommissioned mines, and those are going to run out quickly. | | |
| ▲ | fifilura 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You could just build a back-channel for the existing hydro-dams? Those reservoirs are only full for a short period and that is when you dont need pump energy. | | |
| ▲ | 2000UltraDeluxe 14 minutes ago | parent [-] | | But where? In Finland, at least, the land is relatively flat when compared with Norway and Sweden, and with a large rural population there aren't really any good locations. In my local area, we had major flooding this spring because the hydro plant operators were sleeping on the job (or whatever they did instead of regulating water levels). And that was a simple 2m increase in water levels. NO/SE have some more geographically suitable locations, but last time I checked, flooding them was considered too environmentally destructive too the local environment. |
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| ▲ | bryanlarsen 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | You could use the ocean for the bottom level and an artificial reservoir for the top level. You're not going to noticeably affect ocean levels. Or just use a large lake. You're not going to noticeably affect the water levels of a large lake. You might pump 10 billion litres of water, which is .02% of the volume of Mjøsa. | | |
| ▲ | vkou 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | > You could use the ocean for the bottom level and an artificial reservoir for the top level. You're not going to noticeably affect ocean levels. Then you have to deal with the problem of sea water corroding everything it touches. > You might pump 10 billion litres of water, which is .02% of the volume of Mjøsa. It's not the amount of water that you pump, it's the amount * the elevation delta. Where are you planning on getting the elevation delta from? Neither of these challenges is technically insurmountable, but this is a field where capex + opex/KWH is everything. | | |
| ▲ | bryanlarsen 9 hours ago | parent [-] | | > Where are you planning on getting the elevation delta from? Elevation delta is not hard to find in Norway! A typical pumped storage facility uses 100m of delta; I imagine Norwegian ones would use more. > but this is a field where capex + opex/KWH is everything. And pumped storage is significantly cheaper for seasonal storage than any proposed alternatives. The original post is efficient for heat storage, but converting low grade heat to electricity is not efficient. | | |
| ▲ | skybrian 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | For some applications, you don't actually convert the heat to electricity. This sounds pretty cheap if it works out: https://austinvernon.site/blog/standardthermal.html | |
| ▲ | kmacdough 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > A typical pumped storage facility uses 100m of delta Most projects seek 200-600m. This map doesn't even consider pumped hydro <200m: https://maps.nrel.gov/psh > And pumped storage is significantly cheaper for seasonal storage than any proposed alternatives. Based on what? Cost is particularly variable for pumped hydro. It can be one of the cheaper options when stars align. But you need 1) a suitable geography that minimizes the cost of damming or digging a resivoir with sufficient head 2) available for development without too much backlash 3) Near enough grid resources to minimize infrastructure and line losses. I'm surely leaving pieces out. It can be cheap, but it has far more hoops to jump than alternatives like batteries, hot sand and other "storage-in-a-building" designs which can be built where needed and using fairly standard industrial construction. |
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| ▲ | magicalhippo 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | True, but that disrupts ecosystems. Or so the argument against go building storage dams go. That said, there's been a fair bit of talk here in Norway recently about tax incentives blocking hydro owners from upgrading old generators, improving efficency. Apparently a lot of currently unused power available if they "just" did that. | | |
| ▲ | tempestn 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I wonder if it's possible to also increase the amount of generation on existing dams? I could imagine there being situations where there's excess peak flow capacity but it isn't utilized because the flow rate would be unsustainable. But if we're looking for storage it could make sense. | |
| ▲ | foota 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I think hydro storage is a lot less disruptive because you don't need as much space. Traditional hydro reservoirs have to last all season. |
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| ▲ | beambot 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Hydro doesn't work so well when things freeze over. Geothermal on the other hand... | | |
| ▲ | bryanlarsen 10 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It doesn't get cold enough for long enough for lakes to freeze solid. | | |
| ▲ | bawolff 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | I imagine the thaw/freeze cycle would be hell on the equipment to run pumped hydro storage. Are there extant succesful examples of pumped hydro in cold regions? | | |
| ▲ | kalleboo 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You have Juktan in northern Sweden which was pumped hydro from 1978-1996, and now they want to re-build it back into pumped hydro again https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Juktans_kraftstation | |
| ▲ | 7952 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Surely the turbines could be fed from subsurface water that is not frozen. | |
| ▲ | bryanlarsen 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | A reversable pump-turbine is not significantly different from a standard hydro generation turbine, and there are tons of examples of those operating in cold regions. | |
| ▲ | gpm 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > Are there extant succesful examples of pumped hydro in cold regions? There's some pumped hydro at Niagara falls in Canada, which is far enough North that it should see a bit of a that/freeze cycle but is still a relatively mild climate. Don't know anything about what issues this does/doesn't present to them, just happen to know it exists. | | |
| ▲ | numbsafari 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | For reference, Niagara Falls is at roughly the same latitude as Barcelona and Milan. Vääksy, Finland, is approximately 1,250 miles (2k km) north of there, slightly north of Anchorage, Alaska. | | |
| ▲ | gpm 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | Latitude is a poor point of comparison here, North America tends to be substantially colder than Europe at the same latitude. Or concretely Niagara Falls goes from an average low of -6.44 C in February to 21.0 C in July. Barcelona an average low of 4 C in January to 20.2 C in August (according to the internet). But yes, it's warmer than Finland, just cold enough to see something of a freeze that cycle. |
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| ▲ | Tuna-Fish 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | There's not much geothermal available when you are standing atop the baltic shield. | | |
| ▲ | jabl 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | They tried in southern Finland not long ago. At great expense and spending a lot of time they managed to drill down 6-7 km until they figured out that the porosity of the rock down there was so poor that it was impossible to make the project economical, so it was cancelled. The idea was to pump this heat directly into the district heating grid. | |
| ▲ | baq 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Either fusion or drill baby drill is necessary. Watt’s steam engine was absolutely horrible, but it was the worst steam engine ever built. If Finland builds the worst deep geothermal ever that still works, we can hope for better ones. Yeah I know drilling through ~8-10 kilometers of rock is kinda hard… they know, they tried, maybe it now is a good political climate to try again? | | |
| ▲ | distances 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > Yeah I know drilling through ~8-10 kilometers of rock is kinda hard… they know, they tried, maybe it now is a good political climate to try again? The Finnish 7 kilometer geothermal drilling failed commercially, I guess that's what you're referring to. Is there any reason to assume drilling deeper would work? Ref. https://fi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Otaniemen_syv%C3%A4rei%C3%A4t | | |
| ▲ | baq 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yeah, that’s the one. Economics of this are hard - but money is numbers in computers, it’s just a question of how serious the government is with getting it done - physics-wise it gets like 10-15C warmer with every km, which is important for the delta T obviously. I know nothing about drilling the extra couple km, though, only assuming it can be done with enough engineering. | | |
| ▲ | distances an hour ago | parent [-] | | I understood that temperature wasn't the problem. How it works is that you pump water into one well, and get it out from an adjacent one. The main problem was permeability, they couldn't get the necessary flow rate between the wells. | | |
| ▲ | baq 33 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Ah good to know, I for some reason thought it wasn't hot enough. Sounds like they need to figure out horizontal drilling 8km deep in volcanic rock. |
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| ▲ | Tuna-Fish 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Or just fission, we know how to do that. 8-10km is not anywhere enough, the Baltic Shield is ~50km thick. | | |
| ▲ | baq 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | You don’t need to drill to magma, just deep enough to get to 120-130C rock. (‘Just’) | | |
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| ▲ | teiferer 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| That hydro is regularly turned off when it gets too cold. |
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| ▲ | dofdial 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| invest in saving/harvesting energy. Better than producing when solar is cheap as hell and you get no-solar-harvesting because of your location |
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| ▲ | einpoklum 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I'm not ruling out Nuclear in general, but let's remember that: * Energy can also be carried northward from other areas in the same country or neighboring countries, where there are more sunlight hours or more wind. * Geothermal energy sources, e.g. https://www.rehva.eu/rehva-journal/chapter/geothermal-energy... * Increase in solar panel farm area * Improvements in panel efficiency (which continue) * Improvement in energy use efficiency ... in some combination, and with decent storage, might get even the Nordic countries to cover their needs. |
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| ▲ | Tuna-Fish 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | 1. The southernmost spot in Finland is too far north, and the scramble that happened in EU at the loss of Russian energy supplies made it crystal clear that we can not trust any other country to help in times of need. 2. We have no geothermal sources sufficient for production of electricity, it can only be used to slightly reduce primary energy use during winter, but it will raise electricity use during winter. 3. Helps not at all, because 0 times however large number you like is still 0. 4. Likewise. 5. Improvements in efficiency do not help you stay alive when it's -30°C. The option up here really truly is "do we use fossil fuels, or do we use nuclear". Renewables do not help. They are nice to have, and it makes sense to build them because they complement the reduced output of nuclear in summertime, and because the lower cost/kWh can help some industry, but that's all. | | |
| ▲ | jltsiren 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The difference between baseline and peak electricity consumption in Finland is >2x. That's mostly driven by heating. Because renewables make electricity cheap on the average, utility companies invest in cheap heat storage systems such as sand batteries. They use electricity when it's cheap, store the heat, and distribute it when it's needed. As for nuclear, the challenge is finding companies that are able and willing to build it. Areva and Rosatom both failed at the "able" part. And a power company (I think it was Fortum) recently stated that they would consider building new nuclear reactors with German electric prices but not with Finnish prices. There is more to that than a power company asking for subsidies. Finland is a small country. Olkiluoto 3 alone generates >10% of the electricity. Newer reactors would likely be smaller but still ~10% of the total. Finnish power companies are too small to take risks like that on their own. They can't build new reactors at their own risk, in order to sell the power in the market. Before a reactor gets built, the power company needs long-term commitments from industrial users and utility companies to buy power for a guaranteed price. Such commitments would make sense for the buyer with German electricity prices but not with Finnish prices. | | |
| ▲ | epistasis 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | I think this is exactly right, and people are focusing on the wrong risk with nuclear. It's financial risk, not safety risk, that is the biggest burden for more nuclear. Finland was very very wise and savvy to get a fixed price contract for Olkiluoto 3. The final cost was far far far above its price, and France ended up paying that price. I'm not sure if you'll see a builder go down that route any time soon again. | | |
| ▲ | intrasight 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | > It's financial risk, not safety risk If that's the case, then why does the indistry demand the repeated renewal of the Price-Anderson Nuclear Industries Indemnity Act? | | |
| ▲ | epistasis 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | Well that covers the financial risk from the safety risks... but even if it were purely about safety it's an act that's part of making the safety not be an issue. Unless it were not renewed, then it would be a problem agai. |
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| ▲ | Ekaros 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | >2. We have no geothermal sources sufficient for production of electricity, it can only be used to slightly reduce primary energy use during winter, but it will raise electricity use during winter. The project for properly deep geothermal for district heating in Espoo was not resounding success. And that is 6,4km deep hole in southern part of Finland. My understanding is that it somewhat worked. But not as good as expected. | |
| ▲ | trueismywork 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > The southernmost spot in Finland is too far north, and the scramble that happened in EU at the loss of Russian energy supplies made it crystal clear that we can not trust any other country to help in times of need. That's the failure of European union | | |
| ▲ | buzer 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Note that even if Central Europe did have sufficient energy for export it wouldn't really help during crisis. To get the energy to Finland it would need to either go thru the Baltic Sea via undersea cables or via Northern Sweden. We have seen that it's not necessarily good idea to rely on the former during the crisis as those lines can easily be cut, they have been multiple times in just past year or so by certain commercial ships "accidentally" dropping their anchors. As for latter Sweden, doesn't currently have capacity for it and I don't think they have been very interested in increasing it, currently Finland often benefits from the fact that there isn't enough transport capacity between Southern and Northern Sweden electric grids so Finland gets some cheap electricity from there. | |
| ▲ | Tuna-Fish 22 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | That's true, but it doesn't matter. It's not something we can change. | |
| ▲ | Teever 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I don't think it's necessarily a failure of the EU for member states to prioritize stability and independence of their electrical grid. Texas having their own grid is not a failure of American federalism. |
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| ▲ | energy123 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > 3. Helps not at all, because 0 times however large number you like is still 0. Show me your Monte Carlo simulation where wind (which is negatively correlated to solar) and 8 hours of battery storage are factored in, along with small amounts of gas peaking plants. | | |
| ▲ | Maxion 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You don't even need to open up R or Pandas to understand that solar is not viable in the winter. Here's the official meteorology insitutions sunshine data:
https://www.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi/1991-2020-auringonpaiste-ja... Here's some solar production data over the seasons in visual form:
https://profilesolar.com/locations/Finland/Helsinki/ What is also important to know is during the winter is that while production on average shows numbers every day, in practice that production comes only during the few actually sunny days in December when the panels aren't covered in snow. Go even a bit up north from Helsinki and unless you keep your panels clear of snow manually, you'll hardly make anything between Nov and April. EDIT: Here's a reddit thread where someone shares real production data:
https://old.reddit.com/r/Finland/comments/1i6onkk/solar_ener... | |
| ▲ | adrianN 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | In case people want to play with a toy model: https://model.energy/ | |
| ▲ | Tuna-Fish 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | We have the problem of stable high-pressure polar air masses potentially parking over the country. Whenever that happens, we get 2 weeks of dead calm, coinciding with the coldest weather that occurs in the country. At the time of the year when there is no solar. |
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| ▲ | pcdoodle 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | NedF 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | bjourne 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Right, the worst case scenario is cold temperatures, transmission problems (say days after a storm), lull, and nuclear and hydro power malfunction. However, it should be pointed out that winters are usually quite windy and there are only a few days per year you get very cold temperatures coupled with nearly no wind at all. |
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| ▲ | alvah 10 hours ago | parent [-] | | "there are only a few days per year you get very cold temperatures coupled with nearly no wind at all" This is a terrible handwave. How many days per year, in the middle of winter, in a cold country, are you OK with having no power? | | |
| ▲ | kieranmaine 9 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The system in the article works alongside gas and wood chips heating, so there are other options in place if the sand battery cannot be "charged". FTA: > The project will cut fossil-based emissions in the Vääksy district heating network by around 60% each year, by reducing natural gas use bu 80% and also decreasing wood chip consumption. | | |
| ▲ | Maxion 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Not really, we're currently borderline. If OL3 goes down, and it's simultaneously cold over the nordics + northern germany and the baltics, and no wind, our industry will have to shutdown. |
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| ▲ | trollbridge 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | This would be an argument for widespread backup power, actually. If every residence had enough backup power to get through 24 hours, it would be far easier to deal with these relatively rare doldrums. |
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