Before the cloud? More than 21 years ago that damn cloud icon was in every Visio network diagram.

It's not AI based. "Autonomous" is just the term Oracle uses to communicate that the database has a ton of self-management features, and that it was a big area of focus over time. If you use the recent versions it's a much less admin-heavy database than is conventional for an RDBMS. For example it can notice what queries are slow and add indexes for you, automatically. That's ordinary statistics and planning, GOFAI if you like.

Disclosure: I have a part time job with Oracle in the research division, so I very much have conflicts of interest, but OpenAI should listen to me anyway (and this post is my own opinion, obviously). Postgres is great and I use it in personal projects, but the amount of effort our industry collectively puts into working around its limitations and problems is a bit concerning. According to the blog post, their "solutions" to the problems mostly involve just not using the database, which is no solution at all. They could just subscribe to a managed Oracle DB in Azure and every problem they're having would go away. The cost is surprisingly not much different to a managed Postgres. Specifically, in the current version:

- Database nodes scale horizontally and elastically. There is not such a thing as a primary master and read replicas in an Oracle cluster, although you can have read-through cache nodes (they are not replicas). And because of the unusual way Oracle clusters are integrated with the hardware there also isn't such a thing as replication lag within the cluster: writes are fully synchronous even when scaling horizontally and reads are always up to date.

- Database clusters are HA. Node lists are automatically distributed to client drivers. If a node fails or you do a rolling upgrade on the cluster, it's transparent to the client beyond a minor elevation in latency as they retry. You can not only do rolling upgrades but also roll them across major versions.

- The MVCC engine in Postgres is strange and unique. Other databases don't have concepts like vacuuming or attendent table/index bloat. This isn't unique to Oracle, but nonetheless switching to something else means a massive productivity drain gone, just like that.

- You can do schema changes and do them online. They say they don't allow users to create new tables which I'm sorry but that's ridiculous. It's not their fault but I'd consider a database to which you can't add tables to be basically broken. You can even do arbitrary schema changes online in Oracle because the db can create a new table and copy the data across to the new schema whilst doing incremental sync, then do an in-place rename at the end. That works under heavy load.

- You can disable indexes, marking them as invisible to the planner whilst still maintaining them.

- You can multiplex transactions onto sessions and do db-side connection pooling, without things like "bouncers", so idle connection management is less of an issue.

- You can derive 95/99th percentile latencies from v$active_session_history because the wait times for every SQL statement are available.

- You can audit schema changes along with everything else.

On pricing, at these scales it just doesn't matter. An ExaData cluster might actually be cheaper. I knocked up an estimate using Azure's pricing calculator and the numbers they provide, assuming 5TB of data (under-estimate) and HA option. Even with a 1 year reservation @40% discount they'd be paying (list price) around $350k/month. For that amount you can rent a dedicated Oracle/ExaData cluster with 192 cores! That's got all kinds of fancy hardware optimizations like a dedicated intra-cluster replication network, RDMA between nodes, predicate pushdown etc. It's going to perform better, and have way more features that would relieve their operational headache. Even if it was a lot more expensive, OpenAI is opportunity-cost constrained right now, not capital constrained. All time their devs are finding complicated ways to not put things in their melting database is time lost to competitors.

You need to add indexes on cloud-hosted instances too, perform migrations there as well, and launch new features in your application in both cases. Almost everything you're talking about has little to do with whether you're self-hosting or using a cloud provider. You still have to deal with most of it either way.

EDIT: Don't get me wrong, I've also managed Kafka clusters, ClickHouse clusters, Elasticsearch clusters, etc. and I have my share of Zookeeper horror stories. Some of the tools I just mentioned are definitely not maintenance-free. But in my experience, you can't really compare PostgreSQL to them.

It's actually probably a more difficult problem at scale.

When you have a single smallish schema, you export, restore, and write automated tests that'll probably prove that backups in 10 minutes ( runtime, development time few days / weeks ). Either the transaction runs or errors, and either the test passes or not.

The problem when small is obviously knowledge, skills, and procedures.

Things like:

- What if the monitoring that alerts me that the backups are down, is also actually down. - What do you mean it's no longer "safe" to kubectl delete pvc --all? - What do you mean there's nobody around with the skills to unfuck this? - What do you mean I actually have to respond to these alerts in a timely manner?

The reality is, when the database is small, it typically doesn't cost a whole lot, so there's a lack of incentive to really tool and skill for this when you can get a reasonable managed service.

I typically have those skills, but still use a managed service for my own startup because it's not worth my time.

Once the bill is a larger than TCO of self-hosting you have another discussion.

> Doing backups and validating backups is very error-prone and time consuming

Right, but regardless of using a managed database service or self-hosted database, this is something you probably are doing anyways, at least for a production service with real users. Sure, the managed service probably helps with you with the details of how the backup is made, where it's stored, and how the restore process happens, but you still need to validate your backups and the rest, so replicate that process/experience with your self-hosted setup and you're nearly there.

> occasionally digging into kernel bugs

Haha, been there! We recently had outages on kube-proxy due to a missing `—set-xmark` option in iptables-restore on Ubuntu 24.04.

On any stateful server we always try to be several major versions behind due to issues like above - that really avoids most kernel bugs and related issues.

> occasionally digging into kernel bugs

No, it doesn't. I've been self-hosting a multi-node, highly available, and fault-tolerant PostgreSQL setup for years, and I've never had to go to that level. After reading your whole post, I'm not sure where you're getting your information from.

We use barman too, but we do hourly and daily restores into different database instances.

So for example our prod db is tootie_prod We setup another instance the restores from barman every hour and renames the db to tootie_hourly.

We do the same thing daily.

This means we have backup copies of prod that are great for customer service and dev troubleshooting problems. You can make all the changes you want to _daily or _hourly and it will all get erased and updated in a bit.

Since _hourly and _daily are used regularly, this ensures that our backups are working too, since they are now a part of our daily usage to ensure they never break for long.

Not OP, but:

Barman on the host with a cronjob for physical backups and as archive/restore command for wal archiving and point in time recovery.

Another cronjob for logical backups.

They all ship to some external location (S3/SFTP) for storage.

I like the above since it adds minimal complexity, uses mainly native postgres commands and gives pretty good reliability (in our setup, we’d lose the last few minutes of data in the absolute worst case).