>2060...economic collapse...will poverty among the elderly be common, but a big chunk will be forced to work...

This seems to pretty much ignore AI and robots which will be able to do all/most of the work way before 2060. Probably before 2040.

Maybe the future is more AI/human uploads and less bio models.

polski-g 8 months ago | parent | next [-]

SK is at the point they should look into human cloning. They won't have the manpower to staff the DMZ at this rate.

> This seems to pretty much ignore AI and robots which will be able to do all/most of the work way before 2060

Just like self-driving has revolutionized trucking, even before 2020!

	▲	tim333 8 months ago \| parent \| next [-]
		I've always thought the Moravec/Kurzweil prediction of human level AI around 2029 was reasonable and that was predicted from about 1990 based on extrapolating a log graph and it hasn't really budged. It seems roughly on track. Progress is patchy - you still can't have a robot come round and make coffee but on more abstract stuff like IQ tests they passed 100 last year and recently got 136 https://cryptoslate.com/openais-o3-scores-136-on-mensa-norwa... Also give the trucks a chance! The first one with no driver in should be going from Dallas to Houston around now https://www.govtech.com/transportation/what-to-know-as-self-...
	▲	Qem 8 months ago \| parent \| prev [-]
		Also flying cars are just around the corner, since the 1950s.