| ▲ | tenacious_tuna 8 months ago | |
> This seems to pretty much ignore AI and robots which will be able to do all/most of the work way before 2060 Just like self-driving has revolutionized trucking, even before 2020! /s | ||
| ▲ | tim333 8 months ago | parent | next [-] | |
I've always thought the Moravec/Kurzweil prediction of human level AI around 2029 was reasonable and that was predicted from about 1990 based on extrapolating a log graph and it hasn't really budged. It seems roughly on track. Progress is patchy - you still can't have a robot come round and make coffee but on more abstract stuff like IQ tests they passed 100 last year and recently got 136 https://cryptoslate.com/openais-o3-scores-136-on-mensa-norwa... Also give the trucks a chance! The first one with no driver in should be going from Dallas to Houston around now https://www.govtech.com/transportation/what-to-know-as-self-... | ||
| ▲ | Qem 8 months ago | parent | prev [-] | |
Also flying cars are just around the corner, since the 1950s. | ||