| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago |
| > If you’re not changing your mind, it’s likely you’re not actually having an argument If you've made up your mind (even if, theoretically, it could be changed) why would you have an argument about it in the first place? Discussing the already settled is rather boring. Unless one is grandstanding for some other purpose, people move on once they've made up their mind. They don't keep exploring the same ideas over and over and over again once they've settled. Argument is there to explore that to which you have not yet made a mind. Your mind won't change because there is no basis on which to change from. |
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| ▲ | endominus 5 days ago | parent | next [-] |
| This response is indicative of a completely different perspective on the idea of "argument" (and "making up your mind," a phrase that does not appear in the than the original article and would not fit with the framework of understanding expressed therein). The belief that your mind should or even can be "settled" on an issue - that you can examine the evidence, weigh it, judge it, come to a definitive conclusion, and then never think about it again - is not universal. There exist people who think probabilistically; issues are not definitively decided in their mind, but given some likelihood of being one way or another. Such people tend to have much more accurate understandings of the world and benefit greatly from constructive debate, revisiting the same issues over and over again as new evidence is brought up in these arguments. If you'd like to know more, I recommend reading the book The Scout Mindset by Julia Galef. |
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| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > "making up your mind," a phrase that does not appear in the than the original article and would not fit with the framework of understanding expressed therein While it does not explicitly appear, a mind cannot be changed if it was never made. Change, by definition, requires something to already exist. > revisiting the same issues over and over again as new evidence is brought up
in these arguments. Right. But they can't change their mind as they never established something that can be changed. This is the state before a mind is made. It is possible that a mind will never be made. For complex subjects, it is unlikely that a mind can be made. | | |
| ▲ | endominus 5 days ago | parent [-] | | >But they can't change their mind as they never established something that can be changed. "I am 70% confident that candidate X will win the upcoming elections." "Oh, new polling data has come in that shows more support than I previously knew about? I'm now 80% confident of their victory." Why do you think change cannot occur unless a belief is certain? | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I have no mind formed when it comes to anything related to politics. I'm not sure how anyone reasonably could. There is so much information, and even more information not accessible, that making a mind is completely beyond grasp. If one thinks they have, I suspect they are out to lunch. Perhaps confusing their state with tribalism or some such similar quality. The fact that most people seem to enjoy a good political argument now and again solidifies the idea that they don't actually have a mind made. People lose interest in arguments once they've settled. Argument occurs in the state where one is unsure. It is how humans explore and learn about the world they don't yet understand. | | |
| ▲ | endominus 5 days ago | parent [-] | | You realize that examples can extend to other topics? "I am 60% confident that recursion is the best method for this algorithm." "Having had more time to study potential options, I am now 75% confident." "I am sure that I parked my car here." "Oh, you're right, we were on the east side, not the west." "I am predicting that I will enjoy the movie tonight." "Given the expressions of people leaving the cinema ahead of me, I am rapidly reconsidering my prediction." Your objection seems to primarily come from a difference in definition for "changing one's mind" - the way you describe it sounds to me like a fundamental shift in an axiomatic belief, whereas I, and many others, use it simply to indicate that we are updating a probabilistic map. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | We have already discussed the semantic implications. What else are you trying to add here? I think it went over my head. | | |
| ▲ | endominus 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Your original issue with the article was that once you've "settled" an issue, there is no reason to argue about it. I pointed out that a number of people do not "settle" issues in the way that you describe, and that argument serves to update their information and beliefs constantly. You stated that a mind "cannot be changed if it was never made." I disagree; one does not need to have an absolute belief in something to "change their mind." By definition, any update of beliefs is changing one's mind. My mind changes often, but usually by small increments. A key part of that is argumentation; I constantly seek out counterarguments to my own beliefs to see if new data or points of view will sway me. In the absence of that, I argue against myself, to see if I can find flaws in my logic and update accordingly. By that logic argument, as described by the original article, is extremely useful for ensuring that one's beliefs accurately reflect reality. To me, your position that an issue must be "settled" in one's mind (whatever that means, because I don't think you're perfectly clear on that) before you can be said to "change your mind" doesn't make sense. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > By definition, any update of beliefs is changing one's mind. My mind changes often... So would you say changing one's mind is a case where one seeks a different religion (where beliefs are thrown around freely)? I can't imagine believing in something unless it is essentially irrefutable (e.g. 1+1=2). And where I have beliefs, I'm not going to argue them. What purpose would that serve? I have already established the utmost possible confidence in that belief for it become one. I have no remaining compulsion to keep trying to see what more can be learned when I am certain there is nothing more to learn. To continue to want to learn more about something you are certain can be learned about no more must be the definition of insanity. If we want to lean on definitions, the dictionary is equally clear that a belief hinges on acceptance. "I am 60% confident that recursion is the best method for this algorithm." means that I don't know. "I don't know" is not a state of acceptance. That is not a belief. | | |
| ▲ | endominus 5 days ago | parent [-] | | >So would you say changing one's mind is a case where one seeks a different religion I have no idea what you mean by this. I explained in detail what changing one's mind entails. It has nothing to do with "irrefutable" or deeply held convictions. You have a nonstandard definition of belief. First of all, "I don't know" is absolutely a state of acceptance. It is acceptance that the information is not fully reliable. Most things are unknowable; the vast majority of held beliefs are not arrived at through irrefutable logic but by simple trust in consensus. I believe that certain food is nutritious, even though I have not run tests on it myself. Data might arise later showing my beliefs to be false; that is why I assign probabilities to my beliefs, rather than certainties. Second of all, your fallback to a dictionary definition is flawed in two ways. The first is that various definitions of "belief" exist; one of which (from https://www.wordnik.com/words/belief) is "Assent to a proposition or affirmation, or the acceptance of a fact, opinion, or assertion as real or true, without immediate personal knowledge; reliance upon word or testimony; partial or full assurance without positive knowledge or absolute certainty; persuasion; conviction; confidence." (emphasis added) Another definition given is "A conviction of the truth of a given proposition or an alleged fact, resting upon grounds insufficient to constitute positive knowledge." The second way this argument is flawed is that dictionaries are descriptive tools, not prescriptive. That is to say, dictionaries are not arbiters of truth in language but merely reference documents for possible meaning, and where they differ from common usage, it is the dictionary that is incorrect. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > "I don't know" is absolutely a state of acceptance. Yes, it absolutely is acceptance that you don't know. It is belief in not knowing. But that's not what we were talking about. Context must be considered. > Assent to a proposition or affirmation, or the acceptance of a fact... Curious choice. The GCIDE is not among the usual 'authoritative' dictionaries, and for good reason. It takes its definitions from a publication written in 1913. It is not a modern dictionary. Unless you've invented a time machine... It is interesting from a licensing perspective, but little more. Of course you are absolutely right that anyone can make up a random definition for a word on the spot. They can even publish it in a book if they so choose. But you know that wasn't what you were talking about when you brought up "definition" and you know that didn't change going forward. Context must be considered. > The second way this argument is flawed is that dictionaries are descriptive tools, not prescriptive. Hence the poking fun of your "By definition, any update of beliefs is changing one's mind." comment. It even prefaced with "_If_ we want to lean on definitions" to highlight that it could not be taken in a serious way. Did you not read the thread in full before landing here? Context must be considered. I, for one, thought the discussion we were having was rather interesting. I have no idea why you thought anyone would want to read this blatantly obvious, horribly off-topic slop. |
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| ▲ | padjo 5 days ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| This is quite a close minded position that leaves you vulnerable in changing circumstances. Very little is known with absolute certainty outside of mathematics. I think a better default is to revisit topics every now and then, listen to the counter arguments and change your position if you think it is warranted. |
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| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > Very little is known with absolute certainty outside of mathematics. Absolutely. As you've read in other comments, mathematics is of the few areas where I have found room to make up my mind. For everything else, straight up: I don't know. The only way to change my mind from "I don't know" is to make it "I do know", but, as you say, outside of mathematics that realistically isn't going to happen. We collectively don't know and it is unlikely that we will ever know. > This is quite a close minded position that leaves you vulnerable in changing circumstances. Okay, but what in the mathematics that I have made my mind up on do you believe is prone to change? Do you anticipate that we will eventually determine that 1+1 actually equals 4 or something? I will change my mind if in the unlikely event that incontrovertible proof does somehow come to be. I accepted it is theoretically possible to change minds. But, as I said, which is key to the whole thing, I will not spend my days arguing that 1+1=2 until I find out different. I am confident enough that 1+1=2 that I don't have to make that case to myself in front of others. Argument is a device for when you are unsure of something and want to learn more. There is no mind to change as you haven’t established a mind yet. | | |
| ▲ | geye1234 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > For everything else, straight up: I don't know. Montaigne said something similar, and Descartes' response was to attempt to make everything as certain as math. It didn't end well :-) Surely there is some middle ground? (I haven't read all your comments so perhaps you say so somewhere.) Not all objects of knowledge yield the same certainty, or precision, as quantity. That is not a fault in them or us, it is just in their nature. But we can have a fairly good idea. Examples are too obvious to enumerate. If we dichotomize between "knowing with the certainty of math", and "not knowing", we end in some pretty weird places. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > Surely there is some middle ground? Is there? It seems quite binary from my vantage point. Of course, I'm not oblivious the fact that I'm arguing, so, that means I don't really have a clue. Perhaps the middle ground, if we are to call it that, is actually the division of "I don't know and I don't care" and "I don't know but wish to learn more"? Now, one could find a change in emotion there, transitioning between care and lack of care. While emotion is related to the mind, I'm not sure that is what a "made up mind" or "changed mind" refers to. As far as I can tell, as it is used, people consider refer to the mind in that context to be something rational or logical, not something of the arbitrary emotional whim. > If we dichotomize between "knowing with the certainty of math", and "not knowing", we end in some pretty weird places. How so? You've piqued by interest. | | |
| ▲ | DavidPiper 5 days ago | parent | next [-] | | Not OP, but it seems to me the middle ground is making observations of evidence and making conclusions based on that - the scientific method, if you will. > How so? You've piqued by interest. To paraphrase Tim Minchin: Is non-mathematical knowledge so loose of a weave that every morning we are struck by the decision of whether to leave our house via the front door or by the window on the second floor? Jumping out of an upstairs window to leave my house in the morning is a pretty weird place :) EDIT: I suppose you could make a mathematical argument for the front door, but I'd be inclined to see it as a scientific argument that might need to use mathematics as its language to quantify the reasoning. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > it seems to me the middle ground is making observations of evidence and making conclusions based on that I still only see two states there. "I don't know", and should you be able to reach a conclusion, "I do know". I did suggest that there was a possible subdivision of "I don't know" into "I don't know and I don't care" and "I don't know but wish to learn more". You could argue that taking in observations only applies to the latter case, maybe? Or, perhaps the middle ground, if we are to call it that, is making up your mind on the scientific method? If you believe in the scientific method then you don't need to transition beyond "I don't know" for anything it observes. You can simply lay your trust in the scientific method and forget about the rest. > Jumping out of an upstairs window to leave my house in the morning is a pretty weird place It could be that walking through the wall is the best way to leave a house but I (and presumably you) just haven't figured out how to do it yet. I don't know. | | |
| ▲ | DavidPiper 4 days ago | parent [-] | | Hmm I agree with some points and disagree with others. Let's start with maths again, where we seem to be in agreement: Assuming (as we both seem to be for now) that mathematics is pure expression of logic and reason: if you can prove something mathematically, you "know it", and if you can't prove it mathematically, you "don't know it". With apologies to real philosophers, let's call known mathematical facts "truth". It is possible for things to be real without us being able to express their truth accurately. This is what science does: it/we make observations and adjust our understanding based on experiments that make use of those observations. These experiments can be complex - like firing electrons through sheets of metal to determine their physical structure - or they can me simple - like attempting and (for now) failing to walk through a wall. Based on the results of those experiments, we make technological progress, and potentially in the future, we will discover some technology, or a "more correct" fact about humans, or walls, that will enable us to develop a technology that allows us to walk through them. However, in our current moment, we can scientifically demonstrate that it is better to leave the house by the front door than to attempt to walk through the wall. Again with apologies to real philosophers, let's call these kind of empirical facts "knowledge". With these definitions, knowledge and truth are not the same thing. We could look at truth as "perennial knowledge" or perhaps knowledge as "temporary truth until proven otherwise". Knowledge is falsifiable. Truth is not. Mathematics itself has a whole branch of study dedicated to measuring how likely knowledge is to be true: probability. As our scientific knowledge, and technology improves, we're able to better see, measure and interpret the world, and the probability that our knowledge is truth gets higher. There are of course local maxima, and there are also step-changes with technological innovations and so on. My argument is that we can "know" both "truth" and "knowledge", but knowledge is subject to change over time with appropriate evidence. Importantly, you can draw logical/mathematical conclusions from knowledge and call that truth. E.g: that people cannot walk through walls is knowledge, and therefore that leaving the house via the front door is a BETTER option than through the wall is a logical truth. ---- Breather time ---- Now we come to the third part of the spectrum: > If you believe in the scientific method Belief/religion/dogma/etc. These rotate the direction of reasoning and say: "We KNOW the reason, and evidence to the contrary is not able to change this belief". (See also: "motivated reasoning"). In effect, "belief" is a way of creating "truth" just like mathematics. And it suffers the same "problem" that "once proven, it cannot be unproven". The distinguishing difference between belief-as-truth and mathematics-as-proof is that people can't walk through walls. So my question for you is: Is the best way to leave your house by walking through the wall? - If you answer "Yes", you are exercising belief - If you answer "No", you are exercising science - If you answer "I don't know", then your day-to-day actions will decide for you. (Unless, like me, you never leave the house and the point is moot.) | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > It is possible for things to be real without us being able to express their truth accurately. Of course you might not need to make up your mind for something to be real. It is very possible that there are real things that your mind is not even aware of, so if that is the case it would be impossible for things to become real only after you've made up your mind about them. > So my question for you is: Is the best way to leave your house by walking through the wall? I don't know and I don't care. Even if it is theoretically possible to know what is the best way to leave my house, the evaluation required to get there is in competition with all the other things I could be doing. I can find no compelling reason for why I would want to do that. Having no clue seems like a perfectly fine state to be in, in this case. I leave my house by way of door because someone once told me that was the way and I have blindly followed their gospel since. I've given it no further consideration and certainly haven't made up a mind about it or anything related to it. I don't know and that's fine. It could be that the door is the worst way to leave and that the wall is better, but it doesn't really matter, does it? | | |
| ▲ | DavidPiper 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > make up your mind / ... mind is aware of These are not at all the same as "express their truth accurately". > I don't care An interesting assertion, given the length of this thread. But I do agree it's possible to go through life only believing what others tell you. We all live in a world discovered and created by those who came before us. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > These are not at all the same as "express their truth accurately". Nor do they need to be, but making up your mind is the topic of discussion that we are having, so that is what we are going to talk about. > An interesting assertion, given the length of this thread. How so? I don't care about how to best leave a house, and us not moving on to that topic supports that. Using that idea as a rough analogy or example to grease discussions around the actual topic at hand is not the same as it being the topic. |
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| ▲ | geye1234 4 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | I mean, it's hard to know where to start. The sibling poster gave a practical example about leaving your house. Another might be: "what happens when I burn hydrogen in oxygen? Will it produce water, ammonia or a chocolate bunny?". Chemistry rather than simple quantity is our object here, so you can't know with the certainty of math. You can't know with absolute certainty that hydrogen won't suddenly change its properties today and give you ammonia or chocolate. Would you therefore answer "I don't know"? Another problem is that your position appears to be self-refuting. Your proposition is that "Everything I know, I know with the certainty of math, or not at all". Which of the two does this statement itself fall into? If it's with the certainty of math, why do you make an exception for this non-mathematical proposition, and how do you justify it, and how do you deal with the ensuing infinite vicious regress? If not at all, obviously it means nothing. You also need to know with certainty that "something exists". This is true even if the objects of your thought are mere mental images, because even then, mental images exist. Quite a few other problems but these initially spring to mind. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > "what happens when I burn hydrogen in oxygen? Will it produce water, ammonia or a chocolate bunny?" I don't know. Does it matter? Even if I plainly see it produce a chocolate bunny, for what reason would I need to make up my mind on that? I fail to see the utility. "I don't know" remains a sufficient state going forward. > Which of the two does this statement itself fall into? I don't know. > If it's with the certainty of math, why do you make an exception for this non-mathematical proposition, and how do you justify it I don't know. And I don't have a justification. For what reason would I need one? > and how do you deal with the ensuing infinite vicious regress? Infinite regress implies making up a mind, no? But since there is no real need to do that... | | |
| ▲ | geye1234 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > Does it matter? Even if I plainly see it produce a chocolate bunny, for what reason would I need to make up my mind on that? I fail to see the utility. "I don't know" remains a sufficient state going forward. That's a different question. I'm not asking whether you have a reason to make up your mind on the question, just whether it's rational to think one or the other. Couple more questions: Is math an area where you can make up your mind? Do you know whether you know the answer to the question I posed above? Which was: >> "Everything I know, I know with the certainty of math, or not at all". Which of the two does this statement itself fall into? | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 4 days ago | parent [-] | | > I'm not asking whether you have a reason to make up your mind on the question I am. It is central to the discussion. If there is no reason to make up your mind, why would you do it? > Is math an area where you can make up your mind? I don't know. > Do you know whether you know the answer to the question I posed above? I don't know. If I were to dedicate the resources necessary to come to know, what advantage would I gain? |
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| ▲ | filoleg 5 days ago | parent | prev [-] |
| > If you've made up your mind (even if, theoretically, it could be changed) why would you have an argument about it in the first place? Because, in most of those cases, my mind is made up given the information I’d had access to and the points I’ve seen/heard made regarding the topic up to this point. If an argument brings up new (to me) points and information, it is all a fair game, and I am not holding onto my “already made up” position that dearly. If I consider a position “already made up,” it is usually due to me rarely encountering anything new on that topic. But I am not going to pre-emptively declare “my mind is made up, and nothing can change it,” all it could take is a single piece of new info or a new point that I was yet to encounter. TLDR: the entire meaning of “my mind is made up on this topic already” to me personally is “over a course of a long time, I am yet to encounter any new materially relevant info on the topic that could change my mind, and all i keep hearing is the same stuff I heard before (but I am willing to change my perspective if there are any new and relevant points), so I expect the likelihood of my mind being changed on this to be low (given the low likelihood of any new relevant info being introduced)”. > Argument is there to explore that to which you have not yet made a mind. Your mind won't change because there is no basis on which to change from. Agreed wholeheartedly, except i would completely remove the “that to which you have not yet made a mind” part. |
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| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > I am not holding onto my “already made up” position that dearly. Perhaps this is just semantics, then? I wouldn't make up my mind until there is effectively no chance of there being an alternative I've overlooked. I'm confident enough in the available information to make up my mind that 1+1 does equal 2 (a topic I would find no interest in discussing further at this point; there is good reason we don't sit around all day talking about that), but for most things I don't have a mind made. If you can't hold it dearly, is your mind really made? | | |
| ▲ | filoleg 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Using your specific example: I consider my mind to be made up on 1+1=2, because I have zero idea what kind of a new information one could bring up to make me consider 1+1 not being equal 2. I am open to someone making such a point, I just consider the likelihood of that happening being insanely low (given the points I’ve encountered so far on that topic). All that “i made up my mind” means to me personally (stressing this part, because i know for a fact that it means an absolute “i won’t change my mind on this no matter what evidence you provide” to a lot of people) is “given all prior attempts and the evidence on the topic, I believe it is extremely unlikely you will manage to bring up any new legitimate argument to support your position, but I am open to hearing out what you got.” | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > I am open to someone making such a point Someone else is not you presenting an argument. You making an argument about what you know about 1+1=2 is what is boring. Let's be real: You're not going to do it. Why would you? You are already confident in your understanding. I mean, do it if you want. I'm not sure why you'd waste your time, though. You aren't going to gain anything from it. Only if you really had no idea what is going on and wish to understand a topic in more detail would you go down the road of getting into an argument. But when you are in that state you are not in a position to have made a mind. | | |
| ▲ | filoleg 5 days ago | parent [-] | | Agreed, I would not start an argument in favor of 1+1=2, just like I wouldn’t start an argument about sky being blue on a sunny day, because most people would just agree with me. The whole point of an argument is exploring ideas and learning something new, and I have zero new info on those topics that would go against what most already believe. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > The whole point of an argument is exploring ideas and learning something new Exactly. Which is why argumentation becomes boring once you are at the point where you feel there is nothing left that you can learn. Not only does it become boring, but it encroaches on the time you have to broach subjects you want to learn about, so there is great incentive to move on for that reason as well. But when you are in a state where you still feel there is something left to learn, where you might drum up an argument to continue to learn and explore, you're not going to make a mind. That would be nonsensical. So the idea of argument changing your mind isn't practical, even if theoretically possible. During argument, there is no mind to change. Once a mind is made, argument ceases (fake argument with ulterior motives aside). | | |
| ▲ | filoleg 5 days ago | parent [-] | | I feel like we broadly agree and are just griping over the semantics of what “made up my mind” means. > argumentation becomes boring once you are at the point where you feel there is nothing left that you can learn Agreed, but here is the thing: there are plenty of topics on which I feel like “there is nothing left to learn,” but that doesn’t mean to me personally that there is nothing left, it just means I believe it is extremely unlikely to find anything new. Just by the definition, I wouldn’t know if there was anything new I haven’t learned yet, otherwise I would’ve went and learned it myself already. So that potentially new stuff would have to come from elsewhere. However, I can definitely express my belief in the likelihood of discovering something new on the topic being extremely low, which is what i count as “i made up my mind” for myself personally. | | |
| ▲ | 9rx 5 days ago | parent [-] | | > I feel like we broadly agree I am not sure I am in a proper place to agree or disagree. I'm still in argument mode, which means I don't understand the topic well enough to be in a state where I could agree or disagree. I do hope to get there someday, but when I do get there you aren't to hear more from me on the subject! I'll have grown bored of it and will be on to the next. Such is the human condition. |
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