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New study shows: EV batteries last much longer than expected(electrive.com)
60 points by kungfudoi a day ago | 48 comments
davedunkin 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

How can I get my Nissan Leaf to read this paper? Its range has dropped to 50% of new and a refurbished replacement pack cost 150% the value of the car, which is in otherwise excellent condition. It has only 70k miles.

hedora 17 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Leafs don’t have active battery management. As far as I know, they’re basically the only widely available EV in the US with this problem.

Just replace the car, as much as that sucks.

rasz 7 hours ago | parent [-]

Apparently Honda IMA (NiMH) 1 and 2nd gen not only lacks active thermal management, it also doesnt have any BALANCE management!?!?!

2006-2011 Honda Civic IMA battery repair WITHOUT buying new cells https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGfQchiLtG8

Its almost like Japanese do it on purpose to push BS Hydrogen.

Tostino an hour ago | parent [-]

Their hydrogen obsession has set the world back decades.

bdangubic 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

what is fascinating about your comment to me is thag the value of your car has dropped precisely because people fear battery issues. my friend had a 2015 Tesla S in pristine condition, just a ridiculous car. replaced the battery so now we have 50k miles new battery like-new Tesla S that he could not sell for more than $30k. wild stuff…

even though most people don’t do it, on more expensive cars it actually makes serious financial sense to replace the battery but on cheaper cars it does not!

aprilthird2021 16 hours ago | parent [-]

Your friend's Tesla did not drop in resale value because of the battery. If anything a new battery would make those who fear battery degradation more willing to buy this used car.

It dropped because Teslas in general have a high maintenance cost associated and a high insurance cost (because insurers also see it as costly to maintain). High maintenance cost tends to sink a car's resale value.

I know the car does not need oil changes or have the possibility of various failure modes an ICE car has, but when it does have an issue, like a dent or a scrape, etc. the cost to repair is much higher.

cobri 12 hours ago | parent [-]

As of 11/13/2024, Consumer Reports rates Tesla as the lowest maintenance and repair costs over the first 10 years of ownership, not factoring in insurance or collision repair.

https://www.consumerreports.org/cars/car-maintenance/the-cos...

thejazzman 10 hours ago | parent [-]

They didn't ask me about my $15k battery replacement that occurred the day after my warranty expired

Doesn't much matter how good the cells are when the wires in the pack just magically corrode

pcdoodle 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Since the Leaf has a smaller battery, it get's more wear and tear per trip.

Astronaut3315 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It also lacks active thermal management. That's more or less a requirement for long battery life.

cowmix 19 hours ago | parent [-]

THIS. The ARIYA is the first EV they've widely released (last year) with any active thermal management. I live in AZ, and all my friends with Leaf's all have had to have their batteries replaced at least once.

All my Chevy based EV/PHEVs have had great battery life (so far) - knock on wood.

BonoboIO 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I think this is the answer. That is also a problem for hybrid powers vehicles, the battery is small and it gets charged and discharged 0-100 / 100-0 very often, if you use the hybrid as intended.

Some manufacturers limit this, but in a few years we will see a lot of hybrids that have batteries that barely work and will not deliver the expected ev only distance by a lot.

teamonkey 19 hours ago | parent | next [-]

A lot of Toyota hybrids (but I believe not PHEVs) use NiMH batteries, which are longer lasting than the Li-ion batteries used in EVs and can withstand more charge cycles.

omgwtfbyobbq 16 hours ago | parent [-]

They last longer because they are treated gently compared to lithium packs in EVs (shallow/frequency cycles, lower charge/discharge rates, etc).

When used in the same duty cycle, most lithium cells/packs should last longer than the same capacity NIMH cells/packs.

teamonkey 3 hours ago | parent [-]

They’re used on hybrids because they’re more longer-lasting than Li-ion for the duty cycle hybrids have.

Li-ion is not universally better, but its energy density makes it better for EVs, and economies of scale mean that they’re becoming as cheap or cheaper than NiMH cells even if the hybrid duty cycle will make them degrade faster.

moepstar 19 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Not only that, those small batteries do cost a disproportionate amount of money to replace.

If you want a real world opinion, check the EVClinic blog…

dzhiurgis 17 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Nissan probably did more damage to EV image than good. Even then it's NZs most popular used EV.

verisimi 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> a refurbished replacement pack cost 150% the value of the car

When I researched evs, I couldn't make the economics make sense. 7 years for a car lifetime seems outrageous.

Tagbert 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Where do you get 7 years? That is not true of most EV. Even the worst ones, like the early Leafs did better than that.

vel0city 18 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The economics of that seems solid to me. If the battery is bad in year 7 it's replaced under warranty.

Panzer04 21 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This has always been true for anyone who knows anything. Batteries rapidly deteriorate from 100%, but the degradation gets slower the more capacity has already been lost.

Even for consumer devices, battery aging and capacity loss is very slow after 70%, and they are exposed to much harsher conditions than EVs (no temp control, daily full cycling, etc).

TexanFeller 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Very slow degradation after reaching 70% capacity is cold comfort when EV batteries are barely adequate for many people at 100%. EVs typically start with ~300mi range. 70% of that is 210mi. I live in the city, but my parents live ~150mi away from the city along a route that has zero superchargers and only a handful of slow chargers along the way. I couldn't even visit my parents reasonably on a single charge, therefore my next car(s) will be a hybrid. Hybrid sedans can give me the traditional ~600mi range so I can drive from Austin to Ft. Worth and back before filling up a small tank.

MostlyStable 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Hybrids are great. If they had slightly larger battery range (50ish miles), I'd probably go that route myself. More people should probably be choosing them.

But I think that the situation you are posing: quasi regularly driving a trip that is >100 miles with no ability to charge at all is actually pretty uncommon. And even in your case, since you are driving that far (and visiting family), I assume you are staying overnight. You can get a portable lvl 2 charger for a couple hundred bucks that will plug into a dryer plug and charge your vehicle back to full overnight. (admittedly. this assumes the drive is in ideal conditions and you get the full 210 miles; given where you are going and the apparently lack of infrastructure, if this is mountainous at all, then yeah....very well might not make it)

To me, the issue that actually affects more people is that if you need a family sized vehicle, your options are A) pretty limited and B) almost all >$60,000. For a single person, or a childless couple, EVs are pretty accessible, for families, that's much less true.

lukevp 20 hours ago | parent | next [-]

There is a ton of infrastructure between Austin and Ft. Worth, it’s almost a contiguous city at this point. And there are no mountains in the vast majority of Texas, it’s very flat. There are a lot of chargers on that route, not sure what OP is talking about.

TexanFeller 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Austin to Ft Worth is not the route to my parents, it’s a separate drive I sometimes need to do. Yes there is good charging along that route, my point was that a hybrid could make that trip without wasting time for charging or filling up.

MostlyStable 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I totally missed that they had actually specified the route, and was just commenting on a generic one (which is why I guess it might be mountainous, definitely places in the West where you can drive >100 miles without charging infrastructure....just also not many people to visit).

vel0city 20 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

As someone with two kids, a Model Y or a Mach E are very reasonable vehicles for a family. Both are under $60k.

MostlyStable 20 hours ago | parent [-]

That's fair. I was basically taking my family's "worst case" scenario (10+ hour drive, 2 kids, 2 dogs, + luggage) and assuming that was typical, when in actuality that's probably as rare a situation as the one I was replying to. We can, just barely, make our current vehicle + roofrack work with 1 kid and 2 dogs when we visit my parents, but since we are planning a second kid, we are looking around for something larger.

For anyone not trying do to both kids + dogs, there are probably a lot more options.

dzhiurgis 15 hours ago | parent [-]

Model Y is very spacious. I can take 2 kids + week worth of glamping gear. I did fit 3 kids in back before, but you'll probably want to get slimmer seats (which are far cheaper than upgrading 3 row car). It's ridiculous how versatile this car is.

gambiting 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

We have a Volkswagen e-Up with a max range of maybe 150 miles, we drive it every day with longer trips on the weekends and I literally never even had to charge it outside of home in the few years I owned it.

Not everyone's use case is the same.

lukevp 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Temple Buccees has a supercharger, as do many other places. Still, Texas is not a great place for EVs. Everything’s so far apart. Instead of a Hybrid, how about a PHEV or an EV with a range extender? The problem with hybrids is they have all of the complexity of an ICE as their main drivetrain, whereas an EV drivetrain is much simpler, more powerful and more reliable. If you can get a vehicle where the gas / diesel is just there as a power plant for the EV, you get the best of all worlds, plus the gas engine can run at peak efficiency which gives you better fuel economy and if the ICE has issues you can still drive with just the EV part.

tstrimple 12 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

The average adult drives roughly 40 miles per day. An EV battery with 25% the original max would still satisfy literally hundreds of millions of Americans for the vast majority of their driving needs.

potato3732842 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Even for consumer devices, battery aging and capacity loss is very slow after 70%,

My laptop, power tools and iphone beg to differ....

dzhiurgis 17 hours ago | parent [-]

Do not charge them to 100% and you'll be sweet. For macOs there's free "Battery" tool on github. Charge your mover 1hr before moving and leave it half full. Power tools are trickiest as they sit full for months and months which is the most damaging. Still can estimate charge time tho.

ivewonyoung 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> This has always been true for anyone who knows anything

Not sure that's true. I have seen comments on HN multiple times over the years claiming batteries die in a few years and were almost never downvoted.

voussoir 18 hours ago | parent | next [-]

This might not be quite as strong a rebuttal as you were hoping for!

throwaway290 18 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

HN downvotes are not signal for truth, just popularity.

antisthenes 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> I have seen comments on HN multiple times over the years claiming batteries die in a few years and were almost never downvoted.

Car batteries - very unlikely. Cheap portable electronics made in China - all the time.

The problem with these comments is that there are at least 10 different battery chemistries, and dozens of potential use cases and duty cycles you can put a battery through.

So yes, some combination of that will make batteries die in a few years. Most won't.

Workaccount2 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's unexpected because batteries are rated based on full charge/discharge cycles.

But in reality it's comparatively very rare for those full cycles to happen. People overwhelming drive <40 miles a day and top off the battery regularly.

Gibbon1 16 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm not an expert but I've designed stuff with batteries for a long time.

A large battery with proper charge and thermal management will last much longer under light service. Which is exactly what you have with longer range EV's. A battery rated at a 1000 full discharge cycles will probably last 5,000 light duty cycles.

However people are mostly used to batteries in consumer products which utterly abuse cheap batteries to save money.

gnabgib a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Discussion (33 points, 3 days ago, 14 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42207110

a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]
[deleted]
ggernov 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

This is why I opted for a hybrid Camry over a new Tesla. I kept my previous car for 13yrs and still sold it for $11k.

agumonkey 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

After break pads, another good news I see :)

ivewonyoung 21 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

This was always "expected" by people in the know ever since the Model S came out in 2012 and there was real world data on cars with 100K+ miles.

Didn't stop the oil lobby anti-EV myths from spreading far and wide. And now both political factions hate EVs so expect even more people to continue to think batteries die in a few years.

EV companies wouldn't be warranting the battery degradation for hundreds of thousands of miles and several years if batteries died easily.

recursive 21 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> And now both political factions hate EVs

A significant fraction of people have now actually driven them. It's going to be increasingly tough to tell spooky stories about EVs when your neighbor/friend/coworker has been driving one uneventfully for 4 years.

bdangubic 20 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

2014 Tesla S, 80k miles, battery still getting me 230 range - not too much drop off.

99% of charges are at supercharger (which is also not supposed to be good for the battery)

datavirtue 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

We have been cut off from Chinese vehicles right when we need them the most.