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| ▲ | krisoft a day ago | parent | next [-] | | You say that as if a lottery assigns companies what product they shall make. Or that they found their product designs in a kinder egg. They had an idea which they thought will be valuable. And they worked bery hard on making that idea a reality. People complain that companies don’t have leadership with long term vision. The leadership of NVIDIA heard the idea of GGPU computation and put the resources behind the idea to make it a practical reality. Here the gap between “nerdy idea” to “product sells like hot-cakes”, is measured in decades. That is not just luck. | | |
| ▲ | wnmurphy a day ago | parent | next [-] | | Finding yourself making matrix multiplication machines for computer graphics, then suddenly an unrelated technological revolution requires that exact hardware? They absolutely got incredibly lucky. | |
| ▲ | buellerbueller 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | This is survivorship bias. Show me a Jobs-like track record and then we can talk business genius. This guy had 1 at bat and (to mix sports metaphors) we don't know if he skated to where the puck was heading, or if the market happened to converge on this thing because it was available. Also, your comment has a hefty dose of survivorship bias. Lots of companies have long term visions they think will be valuable, and work very hard towards making them a reality. Few succeed. You're counting the survivors, not the attempts. Furthermore, you fail to demonstrate that a different CEO of NVIDIA would have done something different. |
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| ▲ | SR2Z a day ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This take is crazy; NVIDIA not only built the GPU, *they created the demand.* For a very long time there was nothing like CUDA. They're working on an open-source self-driving car. Back when they were a gaming company, they sponsored the gaming ecosystem. Jensen Huang cheated on his wife AND conspired to evade arms control regulations, but he's still a genius. | | |
| ▲ | buellerbueller 14 hours ago | parent [-] | | What are you're doing in your comment is a fallacy known in economics called survivorship bias. The NVIDIAs of the world are vastly outnumbered by corporations who made a long term bet that failed, but because you're counting the successes, not the attempts, you see vastly inflated outcomes. Count the attempts to make these long shots, and Huang appears very lucky indeed. Crystal ball? Hardly! He couldn't forsee the outcome of 3 (is it still 3, or has the body count grown) affairs. To prove Huang is a genius, you'd have to demonstrate that a different CEO of NVIDIA would have done something different. | | |
| ▲ | SR2Z 11 hours ago | parent [-] | | NVIDIA is 33 years old! How much more successful does the largest corporation in the world have to be for you to admit some skill was required? Another two decades? > Crystal ball? Hardly! He couldn't forsee the outcome of 3 (is it still 3, or has the body count grown) affairs. Fortunately, I'm not claiming that Huang is a genius at getting away with affairs. I'm claiming that if any CEO can be called a genius at running their business, Huang can. | | |
| ▲ | buellerbueller 8 hours ago | parent [-] | | I'm not saying Huang is skill-less, and by making that claim in your comment, you are moving the goalposts. I am saying it is not obvious that he would have done genius-level better than a different CEO. Your best claim is that Nvidia is the biggest company in the world; therefore Huang is a genius. Maybe; some days Apple is also in the running for biggest company in the world. By your metric Tim Cook is therefore a genius. This makes me seriously doubt your metric. | | |
| ▲ | SR2Z 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | Tim Cook did not build Apple from the ground up. Steve Jobs did, and if he were still in charge he would still unquestionably be a genius. You can doubt my metric, but it is quite difficult to grow a company to a trillion dollars while staying in charge the whole time. |
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| ▲ | drysine a day ago | parent | prev [-] | | "happened"? |
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