| ▲ | App Store 2026 in numbers: AI, pricing, abandoned apps(obelisk.club) |
| 31 points by Peter216 2 hours ago | 24 comments |
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| ▲ | aurareturn an hour ago | parent | next [-] |
| I think the app store will be in trouble in the future. I think most non-gaming apps will be replaced by a single AI app that is like a super assistant to you. No need to book on Booking.com app if you can just have your assistant look for what you actually want. Likewise, I think Google Search is in similar amount of trouble, if not more and faster. Why do you need to search on your own if AI can search 20-30 websites in seconds and find what you're looking for? Same for things like Microsoft's cash cow Office suites. In fact, Claude already has docs built in. This is why I think big tech went all in on AI. All their cash cows are under huge threat by AI-first products. |
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| ▲ | raxy 25 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Am I one of very few people that believes LLM apps don't solve or replace a large number of apps. Take all these basic lifestyle CRUD apps. Maybe it's a skill issue on my part, but whenever I've tried to use LLM apps over any sort of medium-to-long-term time scale for tracking something (ie. endurance running training), within about a month it begins hallucinating, recalling the wrong things, linking the wrong bits of data to other bits of data (dates, distances, heart rate data, workout paces etc), and it does all of this even when pointed to a basic spreadsheet or simple text file to keep it onboard with what happened where. It just seems to look at these files, and then look at it's own context and confuse all the details based on its own context. Every other month, some brand new shiny model is released and it's exactly the same deal every time. I think the underlying technology simply can't deal with these sorts of goals. A whole range of apps for lifestyle tracking don't seem under threat, in my opinion, if this is the best its capable of. Many other things I can't imagine wanting an AI to do for me, especially anything involving payments, bookings. There was a discussion the other day on here about AI being used to order takeout. Why would somebody want to delegate one of their last personal decisions to a LLM? | | |
| ▲ | mjburgess 9 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | What you're saying is true now, but given the existence of grok-bot and similar dots (et al.) there is now an amassing amount of training data for "personal assistants" -- so in a couple of generations time, you'll find frontier models will be extremely capable in these areas. Harnesses have been developed for this, and its also fairly trivial to do large scale verifiable-rewards post-training for "personal assistant" style things. eg., invent a booking website, invent a PA GUI-aware harness, and reward the model when a successful booking takes place. Do that 1bn times. | |
| ▲ | aurareturn 6 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I don't doubt your experience with a basic lifestyle CRUD app today. However, about 1 year ago, AI coding agents were laughed. Now the vast majority of code is written by them. Intelligence getting exponentially cheaper per token. At some point, there will be an inflection point where "it just works". | |
| ▲ | littlecranky67 18 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I am in the pro food-order delivery department. I just want to tell my phone, "Hey Siri I want to order at Restaurant X, we are two people, no desert - make suggestion" and it shows me the order on the display with total price, arrival time and the selected food items. If I want, I can command changes - or simply say "Yes thats good, confirm the order" and be done. This is especially useful as I mostly order the same things across 2-3 restaurants, that is most of the time the suggestion is probably right. | |
| ▲ | ElFitz 11 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | A good alternative for your example is to make it create a stateful artefact (Claude) / whatever OpenAI calls ChatGPT. And there, it has a database of sorts, running god knows where on god knows what, and you have a single-user web app that you may or may not ever open and see (since your favorite AI agent can just read and update it for you anyway). Today it’s still something the user has to suggest / request. Tomorrow? If they put a bit of effort these models will reach for building these one-off ephemeral or long-lived hyper-custom apps the same way they now reach for a python sandbox for basic arithmetics and statistics. Looking for a flat? Scheduled task + CRM like artefact for it to monitor, maintain, and update. Looking for holidays? Your own personal shareable moodboard with destinations and what not. Have a use case or task for which chat or editing text docs is a frustrating way of correcting or giving feedback? Have it build a dedicated, custom artefact just for that. When you encounter a use case where LLMs limits show, make them build tools. |
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| ▲ | pxtail 44 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Assistant booking a place for me is last thing I'd want, I want to see ratings, photos, overall look&feel of the place, not spin the wheel and get some random place booked | | | |
| ▲ | pjmlp 16 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I very seldom use travel agencies, because the last thing I want is someone's else opinion on how my travel is supposed to be like. | |
| ▲ | pocksuppet 32 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I think the single AI app will be thoroughly enshittified. You ask for a hotel and the assistant operator is normally getting 20% of your payment as a kickback, so it shows you the highest price it thinks you'll pay, but 40% if it's a certain chain so it only shows that chain. Everything will be like this. | |
| ▲ | kristianc 17 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > No need to book on Booking.com app if you can just have your assistant look for what you actually want. Browsing through hotels is one of the best parts of the entire experience. | |
| ▲ | p2detar an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | That and there would be a kind of service by Apple itself that builds apps for you on the fly. | | |
| ▲ | aurareturn an hour ago | parent [-] | | This is where I believe Apple is making a mistake by not going all in on AI. People think it's some kind of genius move or very Apple-like move to not join the AI race. But who is actually going to build apps on the fly better, faster for you? Siri or Opus 9? Siri or GPT 10 Astra? When many tasks are done better on a single AI app, the iPhone moat will be greatly diminished which will open up competitors to iOS and Android. | | |
| ▲ | pocksuppet 32 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Are there any real examples of apps built on the fly better and faster? | | |
| ▲ | aurareturn 3 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Many requests on ChatGPT used to be able handled by some app before. I paste a screenshot and ChatGPT automatically knows to extract the text for me. Needed an expensive/inconsistent app before. | |
| ▲ | TeMPOraL 28 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Technically, any case where LLM casually writes and runs a nontrivial piece of code to fulfill your random request would qualify. |
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| ▲ | q2dg 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Very interesting, thanks! Could bé another similar report about Google's App Store? Thanks again! |
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| ▲ | carlos-cute an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Thanks ! I would be interested if it exists figures for MAC App Store only... |
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| ▲ | jonathanstrange 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I'd rather be interested in what apps actually make money and how much but I suspect there is no public data for that. |
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| ▲ | p2detar an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | I bet it's pretty close to a Pareto distribution with 20% of the apps making 80% of the total App store revenue. You can guess which apps those are from Apple's top/editor's choice charts. | | | |
| ▲ | entropy47 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Not public, but services like sensor tower make a decent guess based on (I assume) a small set of people who are willing to install what's effectively spyware for $$$. |
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| ▲ | Smalltalker-80 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Its probably just me, but I had to scroll all the way to the bottom, mentioning something about Macs, to verify that this was only about the Apple app store. |
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| ▲ | owais_1897 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] |
| there are many apps but only few of them are worth it |