| ▲ | conception an hour ago |
| You are missing a critical third - people organize and via unions or the polls push back and require less work. There is no reason we aren’t working seven days a week beyond people fighting not to. |
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| ▲ | simias an hour ago | parent | next [-] |
| I'm very pro-union but I feel like at this point attempting to organize will just speed up the process of replacing as many people as possible with machines, not slow it down. It's too little, too late. I don't understand what kind of society we're building right now. Anthropic and other AI labs at $20T valuations, the 1% monopolizing all the wealth and the rest of us out of a job and fighting for the scraps? There seems to be some sort of magical thinking within the AI crowd at the moment, that it'll all work itself out in the end. - Build the God Machine - ?????? - POST-SCARCITY UTOPIA! |
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| ▲ | iugtmkbdfil834 an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Maybe, but from simple game theory perspective assuming one assumes this is the end product, union gives at least a chance at favorable outcome. | |
| ▲ | Ar-Curunir an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The middle part is most likely that many will die. (This is not an endorsement!) | | | |
| ▲ | 10111001 23 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > I'm very pro-union but I feel like at this point attempting to organize will just speed up the process of replacing as many people as possible with machines, not slow it down. It's too little, too late. Honestly, I think the only shot workers have is unionization plus really aggressive political action. The problem is successful action will require setting aside pretty much all the culture war issues that are used to divide the working class, and I don't really see that happening. If anything culture-war polarization is getting worse. It will also require some formally-privileged groups like software engineers to jettison their self-deceptive libertarian delusions, and properly understand their true role in society (software engineers should have unionized pre-2022 when we had more economic power, but economic comfort and those delusions prevented it). | | |
| ▲ | rayiner 3 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | [delayed] | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 13 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | The trouble with unionization is that it doesn't really address supply and demand, just bargaining. There are a dozen un-pulled levers available to bring aggregate labor supply and demand in balance. Overtime law, vacation policy, retirement policy, education funding, tax law (this is a big one -- taxes are obscenely lopsided on the labor/consumption economy vs the capital/investment economy), and so on. We need to pull those levers instead. Yep, it's going to be a helluva fight. |
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| ▲ | redwood an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | No one is giving them a 20T valuation. That's an order of magnitude larger than the market is currently targeting | | |
| ▲ | npc99 33 minutes ago | parent [-] | | They are probably adding up Anthropic + a number of other companies |
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| ▲ | donbox an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | But but but... organizing.. be it in form of democractic/market processes (non-violent or otherwise) can act as a speed breaker. | | |
| ▲ | pixl97 an hour ago | parent [-] | | Hopefully we're not too late. Large companies have been spending millions in propaganda and attacks to ensure that people in the US think that unions are pure communism. By the time we get enough people to make a difference there may be T100's stepping on our bones at this point. | | |
| ▲ | solyin 29 minutes ago | parent [-] | | The problem is everyone's financial cliff is different. If I lost my job today, I have enough saved up to last me X months. Yours is Y, someone else's is Z. I'm going to go hungry at the end of X plus whatever. But since you're going to go hungry at Y plus whatever, we aren't forced to agree on what the right time to stop and stand up is. Z over there has rich parents so they've got longer. Nevermind poor W over there who doesn't, and has shorter. What a convenient little trap we've set for ourselves. If everyone's money was set to run out at the same time, there'd be problems. |
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| ▲ | lkey 14 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | > I'm very pro-union BUT You are 'pro' an abstract, unrealized union, which is not 'pro union' at all. You have abdicated your obligation to align your actions with your stated beliefs. Do not give up before trying. Do not believe the hype that your labour power doesn't matter. Even Amazon couldn't stop their most exploited workers from unionizing, is your company bigger that that? Is your position weaker than theirs? Worse that can happen is that you started talking with your fellow workers and they aren't interested. Just because SV is run by several millenarian cults doesn't mean you should take their delusions about neo slavery and feudalism (Thiel/Yarvin; your doomerism stems from here) or apotheosis (anthropic, EA) as inevitable. You should assume they believe their own hype, but not assume they understand material reality outside their insular social bubbles. Thiel's last 3 or 4? attempts at building his techo-utopia collapsed before even starting; They have no motion outside of what they can purchase. |
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| ▲ | LeBit 6 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I work in a unioned environment. I use AI. My boss would never dream asking I crank more because I now have AI help. That guy saying there were only two possible outcomes doesn’t know about the beauty of unions. |
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| ▲ | dotancohen an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > There is no reason we aren’t working seven days a week beyond people fighting not to.
Religious edict - most prominently the Sabbath in Western civilization - have mandated a day of rest every seventh day for at least 3000 years. |
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| ▲ | stuaxo 28 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Sure but proper weekends are much much more recent. But far away enough that we need to look at this again and get more time back to the workers. | |
| ▲ | Cyph0n 27 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Did religious edict also eliminate child labor, give us more humane working hours, and establish labor laws? Or was that because of unions? |
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| ▲ | mcdonje a minute ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The 4th is UBI |
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| ▲ | Aurornis 33 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think you’re not seeing the whole picture about pushing back: It doesn’t happen in a vacuum. People have options to organize and push back but it doesn’t automagically make their demands possible. Companies also have options to push back, move the work to other locations, withdraw from markets that aren’t conducive to work, and now, look at automations. Much of this unionization conversation has lot the plot about how unionization is about collective bargaining, but you still have to bargain. Both sides have options and you can’t come to the bargaining table with a belief that you can get whatever you want by threatening to strike or quit. There are limits to this and they’re decided by markets and technology. |
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| ▲ | smallmancontrov 27 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | and politics. The last wave of worker bargaining wins happened in the wake of the Great Depression when the last of the capitalist prosperity gospel promises were defaulted upon and the electorate finally became willing to consider alternatives other than giving rich people everything they wanted all of the time and hoping it would trickle down. I'm hoping we don't need another Great Depression this time, a collapsing economy brought about by mistaken belief by those on top that they should have the right to keep it all... but that might be exactly what we need. We'll see. | | |
| ▲ | Aurornis 13 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Politics also doesn’t happen in a vacuum. You treat organization and politics like they’re neat tools that the populace only needs to wake up and discover, after which they get everything they want. The Great Depression politics example is useless when we’re discussing AI knowledge work in a global economy. People in one country could organize to try to force companies to give them more money for less work that they can do with AI. They could try. It might work for a while. Then companies in every other country would jump on the opportunity to use the same AI to do the same work without those restrictions. | | |
| ▲ | smallmancontrov 8 minutes ago | parent [-] | | "Growth mentality" is only convincing if you're actually delivering the growth, though. If your threat is that demanding more will mean our billionaires have a lower number than their billionaires... your offer is not compelling. Take a hike. |
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| ▲ | 25 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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| ▲ | uludag 26 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I think even apart from unionizing, if all/ the employees at company aren't AI jockeying, more work isn't necessarily demanded. I realize you have to have relatively decent management too. I consider myself extremely lucky to work for a company that hasn't been beating the drum of AI maximalism and our work load in general has stabalized. Obviously things can change but in general I feel AI jockeying is the exact opposite of showing solidarity with the people you work with. |
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| ▲ | oytis 25 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| That's what German unions did in the 90s. In the end it only undermines productivity of the national economy while competitor countries eat your lunch. |
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| ▲ | teekert an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I'm pro unions and come from a social county. I'm self employed though, if I start relaxing, my "competitors" outrun me instantly. Bye bye assignments. This seems like primary school level reasoning to me, I also don't understand the premise of the article. What stops me from working more than others is being smarter than my competitors right now. Not being smarter in any objective, fixed way. To keep it that way I must constantly evolved, learn. Yes, micromanaging AIs is more intense for me than coding, and feels more tiring, I hope that (or I) will change, somehow. |
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| ▲ | bnorton 37 minutes ago | parent [-] | | I started asking for specific example/answers each time a conversation stopped before of the end of the task. I got the sense that frequent checkpointing is baked into Opus 5.5. I then added some language that amounts to “carry this through to completion only stopping if you’re truly blocked” and it really helped lengthen the loop |
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| ▲ | rayiner 43 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Somebody should do a economic analysis of how technology affects unions. I bet the availability of automation has a lot more to do with the downfall of the unions than the political changes that are commonly described to that phenomenon. Similarly, I bet the availability of AI will have a devastating effect on any white collar unions. |
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| ▲ | rco8786 33 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| History is not in the side of this argument |
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| ▲ | Buttons840 12 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Details are not on the side of yours. Care to elaborate and contribute at least something to the conversation? |
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| ▲ | nkrisc 42 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I agree, but I was commenting on things as I believe they currently are. |
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| ▲ | epolanski 15 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Unions worked in the pre-globalized world. Once companies can just outsource anything from manufacturing to services the only categories that can really unionize with success are those that can de facto block everything at once (port workers are an example). |
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| ▲ | Razengan an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Em96NVxO9Q — So This is Progress (Terry Jones, BBC, 1991) Apparently, minute hands were added to clocks so factory owners could extract more work from their employees. Medieval people used to own more property (though not technologically equivalent of course) and "owned" more of their time than the average person today. ---- As for the title of this post, I can testify to that: As a solo coder, AI has actually increased the amount of work I do - but in a good way! Even on non vibe-coded stuff, AI reviews keep helping me finding bugs and inconsistencies to fix that would have taken ages to even notice on my own but more than that, whenever I have the faintest idea about anything, I can immediately put it to practice and explore it further or move on to other ideas. Even when I'm outdoors away from my computer doing some normal life stuff in meatspace, I often think of stuff and pull out my phone and open the ChatGPT app to remote into my computer's Codex. This is actually fun. |
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| ▲ | pigpop 7 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > Medieval people used to own more property (though not technologically equivalent of course) and "owned" more of their time than the average person today. That's a pretty serious misconception unless by "medieval people" you mean the nobility. Common peasants had some hereditary title to the land they worked but the land itself was owned by the lord and the king. They were more like hereditary tenants but much worse off contractually than our modern interpretation of a tenant would suggest since they (and their progeny) were often obligated to remain on their land and work it without the option to go elsewhere. They paid their rent in labor and produce or sometimes money if they had any. They had parcels of land that are large by modern standards because they were farmers and they had to sustain themselves on what they grew on their land as well as give a portion of what they produced to the lord that actually owned the land. They may have "owned" more of their time in that they weren't employed in the modern sense but they still had to put in as much work as it would take to feed themselves and pay their rent. They absolutely had to perform the work their lord demanded of them which might include additional agricultural labor on other plots of land or threshing grain. It really wasn't a better system. Agricultural labor is gruelling without modern equipment. It's even worse when your life depends on it. Not being allowed to choose where to live or choose your occupation and having that apply to your children and your children's children is worse. Imagine if you were permanently contracted with your landlord. You could never move to another apartment and your children were obligated to live in the same apartment. On top of that you had to do the maintenance work for the building whenever the landlord asked you to and you still had to pay him rent on top of that. You'd still be slightly better off than a peasant because you wouldn't have to be a subsistence farmer. |
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| ▲ | __alexs 40 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Unions do not exist in a vacuum. They have to operate in the same fundamental power structures as everyone else. If union A is like "work less let AI take the slack" and union B is like "work the same, use AI to achieve more, let AI help us win" I'm joining union B every time. |
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| ▲ | spacebanana7 34 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Unions also require the right structural conditions. For example waste management generally has very strong unions in the developed world because 1) capital intensity 2) operations immediately seize on labour withdrawal 3) consequences of strikes are in a golden zone of painful but not existential so are tolerated 4) extract a relatively small proportion of local gov funds, so don’t create that much powerful opposition 5) labour force is locally concentrated and highly socialised. Those pillars of power don’t rely much on any particular legal or political system. | |
| ▲ | bdavisx 32 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | If you're not getting a part of that "achieve more" profit, why should you care? Because I don't see the profit being shared with the workers, at all. | | |
| ▲ | nkrisc a minute ago | parent [-] | | So it’s there for them when they’re no longer a temporarily embarrassed millionaire. |
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