My local model never says no. I never get banned. If I want to do security stuff, reverse engine, there it goes! Do I wanna chat about politics? No problem! Do I want it to analyze medical stuff? I don't get to hear that it's not a doctor and I should call 911. Do I want to explore legal docs, no problem! There are lots of things that cloud models will say no to! I read that don't even agree to help with advanced biology and chemistry topic much. I also never run out of tokens, no 5 hr limit. I can run it 24/7. I don't run out of tokens. I can run 16 sub agents at the same time, non stop! 1-4 billion tokens a month? No problem. Any agent harness I want! No restrictions. Privacy all day. My own true system prompt, not something someone has determined, no filters. Furthermore, there are many open weight cloud models that don't have equivalent online. For a while before cloud models got good at math, the best model at math was DeepSeekv2 Math and there was no API. The only way to use it was to run local. All sorts of audio models, image/video models, etc. No multiple subscription needed. Private UI for my family, kids included (I can guard what kids infer). Got a friend that really needs some tokens? I give em access through private VPN. Telling someone that they are paying for decades of Claude for local AI is like telling someone they are paying for decades of public transport when they buy a car. Sure, you are right, but ...

If I want to go out of business that is what I would do. Most of the data I have here could never be shipped to a service provider, I'd be in lawsuits for the next decade or so and die bankrupt.

LLM subscriptions are heavily subsidized. I’d be surprised if Claude 20x costed the same after a decade.

If you know you will pay Claude a few thousand bucks a year a decade adds up too, owning the hardware could just as well end up cheaper because you can sell it or as others have alluded the price to rent could get much worse.

The bet we (self-hosters) are making is that once these companies IPO, they will be forced to do whatever they have to do to make money. i.e. price increases, more throttling of subscription non-usage-based accoutns, etc.

They are subsidizing all of us to the tune of $billions in losses per month. That can't go on for a decade. Probably not even for another 18 months.

I still use all the tokens Claude will give me on the max plan. But I also run deepseek v4 locally for overflow and for... contingencies.

True, they're subsidized, I'm not. But I don't have their utilization so I figure it would always be more expensive to run this locally.

I got mine just a few weeks ago for about $750 each. I am a decent programmer and have Opus optimizing the inference engine. I know enough to keep it on track, but GPU programming is something I have literally never done, before, but now I know enough about Volta and how to optimize it to be dangerous.

Kind of ironic, but it's the only way. I just really like this as an option. For a household LLM I have the IQ4_K_XL quant and plenty of capacity for everything you could want in a household LLM and it is trustworthy enough to not rm -rf /, etc.

And yeah that is a really nice amount! You can run and compose a lot of interesting models, vision capabilities. IDK. Plus this level of model is far more interactive in the sense that it can implement a well scoped ticket or unit of work but its not going to magically just figure some things out without guidance or a spec :)