> I have 0 doubts some people are seeing 5x productivity boosts because of the stuff that is regularly posted on HN - stuff that used to take months taking days.

I will cede this: it indeed seems like you can throw together a shitty half-working prototype very quickly using LLMs. There's been a deluge of half-working prototypes, but years in and where are all these projects now? No study has concluded anything near a 5x improvement.

Besides, my actual opinion is that even if these actually gave a large productivity improvement, it's wouldn't be worth it. The negatives are simply too large:

- the concentration of power they are pushing for;

- the environmental effects of training;

- the disinformation they spread at scale (which in practice is their primary use-case);

- the adverse effect on a shared reality from the fact that they cannot reliably answer questions, yet are presented as doing so;

- the adverse effect on a shared reality from their sycophancy (do the rich surrounded by yes-men seem in touch with reality?);

- their anti-social nature, as they discourage engaging with other people in favour of solipsism masked by a poor simulacrum of personhood;

- their weakening of labour power because of the managerial class' belief that they will soon replace workers (whether or not they actually can is not particularly relevant);

- the large-scale plagiarism they enable;

- lastly, their weakening of already incredibly lax standards of engineering from our field.

The promise of more software does not even come close to outweighing all of that.

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orangedog an hour ago | parent [-]

It's just from my personal experience when I rarely use Claude, I can get it to produce things in minutes that would take me hours. They're not shitty, I can review what's been generated and it's better than I would have done. Similarly with the UIs we build here, they would take days or weeks and we can put them together in a few hours.

I can't speak to you other issues but these are here to stay and I think the only realistic way forward is to learn how to use them.

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uv-depression an hour ago | parent [-]

> It's just from my personal experience

I guess let's just ignore the evidence, then.

> I can't speak to you other issues but these are here to stay and I think the only realistic way forward is to learn how to use them.

People only say this about things that they want. Ignoring the consequences of one's actions is not a neutral position. Societies are perfectly capable of banning things (yeah, you can probably sneak a local model through a hypothetical law, but it would end the industrial scale problems).

	▲	orangedog an hour ago \| parent [-]
		> I guess let's just ignore the evidence, then. There isn't any evidence. It's pretty much all anecdotal. I can only speak from my experience. > People only say this about things that they want. Ignoring the consequences of one's actions is not a neutral position. Societies are perfectly capable of banning things (yeah, you can probably sneak a local model through a hypothetical law, but it would end the industrial scale problems). We're not going to ban these models, though. Which means we have to figure out how best to live with them.