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| ▲ | tedsanders 8 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | To truly prove some incidental usage data made no difference we'd have to (a) identify any of their de-identified data that came from their usage of ChatGPT, (b) train a bunch of expensive giant models, and (c) ask them all to solve the Navier-Stokes Millenium problem until hitting some level of statistical significance. It's just not feasible to run experiments like this to prove whether a piece of data has an effect on model behavior. As a parallel example, can we prove the phase of the moon had no impact on the NS solution? No, not without a bunch experiments run at different phases of the moon. There's no reason to believe that anything they did in ChatGPT led to our solution; it's just impossible for us to truly prove it. And knowing most of the recipes we use, there's really no reason to think such contamination happened. I've asked the team to make a clearer, less-lawyerly statement here - let's see what happens. (I work at OpenAI.) | | |
| ▲ | lambda 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | So, one way to prove that the data played no part is to trace and show that it wasn't used in the training process at all. If the data was never used in training, then it couldn't have played a part in the training process. You're right; if the data was used in training, then it gets much trickier; it would be very difficult to show whether some particular data had a significant effect on the outcome. This is one of the big problems with giant models like these; it becomes nearly impossible to discern what is and isn't plagiarism, or copyright violation. It would in theory be possible to have things like n-gram databases or rolling hashes of training data, somewhat similar to OLMoTrace (https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.07096), which would allow for detecting whether particular documents ended up in the training data or not (you'd have to keep this for every model used in the whole training chain, as synthetic data generated by earlier models could be influenced by training data that wasn't included in later models). I'm sure there are practical issues with providing such a tool, but I think that it's necessary if you want to be able to categorically say "no, this document has never been present in the training data of this model." Or look at it the other way: if your model wasn't influenced by things in your training data, why include them in the first place? Clearly, you train on all of these documents because they influence the model. Yes, it's hard to trace the exact influence of each one. But if they're not affecting the output, then why not just stop training on them? You could just not train on any private documents; only train on public, traceable data. But instead, you choose to train on these private documents, so you have to admit, your model and its outputs are influenced by them. | |
| ▲ | dgellow 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > As a parallel example, can we prove the phase of the moon had no impact on the NS solution? No, not without a bunch experiments run at different phases of the moon. That reads as incredibly dismissive and condescending. What makes you think you’re in a position to communicate like that when engaging on such a sensitive topic? | | |
| ▲ | tedsanders 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | I intended no dismissiveness or condescension. My hope was to explain why it's hard to prove whether something affects model behavior. In the case of the moon, we have a strong prior belief that it makes no real difference. But it's hard to prove, because what if there's an unexpected impact from tides, cosmic rays, grid voltages, holiday traffic, etc. Models trained under slightly different conditions could have slightly different weights and behave slightly differently when solving math problems. Similarly, I have a strong expectation that, for example, a thumbs up signal from a ChatGPT chat will not meaningfully affect long-horizon mathematics work in our latest model, but it's always possible that it could. I think the plausibility of the ChatGPT route is higher than the tides, but still incredibly low. I respect Tristan and Levant a great deal and I'm bummed that this controversy has erupted (I acknowledge this will ring hollow if you think it's our fault). It reminds me a bit of the Frontier Math controversy, where people on the internet boldly claimed over and over again that we had trained on the Frontier Math evaluation set, even though we had not. | | |
| ▲ | dgellow 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | We aren’t dummies, we know it’s hard to prove exactly how significant of an impact that would have on the result. Nobody expect you to do that. There are a lot of steps and things that are possible to check _before_ the need for such a strict definition of „proof“ | |
| ▲ | ImPostingOnHN 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | You seem to jump over the principal issue of whether any data from the researchers used to train or otherwise affect the model which produced the OpenAI proof. We can judge for ourselves the impact and degree of that wrongdoing, but it seems OpenAI is confirming: yes, that is what happened, but with more words. |
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| ▲ | nairboon 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I think there is a much easier way to prove that the ChatGPT usage of Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge (possibly also the ChatGPT usage of Córdoba and Martínez-Zoroa, if they use it) had no influence on OpenAI solving the Navier-Stokes problem. If the internal OpenAI model is as capable as you claim (being able to solve a Millenium problem without using unpublished insights built on years of work from mathematicians), then it should be able to demonstrate this capability again. How about OpenAI solves another Millenium problem within the next two weeks, that doesn't coincide with the parallel discovery/solution of other teams of mathematicians, using ChatGPT for preliminary proofs & write-ups. | |
| ▲ | hexomancer 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | So you definitely did train on their data, you just think it is unlikely that it impacted the final model significantly? | | |
| ▲ | tedsanders 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I have no idea if their data was trained on. For example, if they used ChatGPT, asked a math question, and clicked the thumbs up button, that could have provided a small reward signal. I highly doubt this sort of feedback made a difference to a problem like Navier-Stokes, but it's not something that's feasible for us to prove one way or the other. Edit: Also, if they opted out of training, then we didn't train on it. | | |
| ▲ | lambda 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > it's not something that's feasible for us to prove one way or the other. This kind of question is exactly what a company named _Open_AI and founded as a nonprofit is supposed to be doing; open research on AI that helps inform, rather than obscure. Anyhow, you do have the data available about the documents in the user's accounts, what they opted into (or were forced into via non-negotiable ToS), and whether they pressed a "thumbs up" button. You can answer whether the data entered the training pipeline or not. Yes, how much influence it had is an open question, and one that would be good to have research on and better tools for exploring, but I'll accept that it can't currently be answered precisely. But whether the data entered the trianing pipeline can be answered. And how to provide better tools for quantifying and tracing this kind of thing is exactly what should be studied. | |
| ▲ | hexomancer 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I think it should be incredibly easy to verify this. Just look at the training data and see if it contains any of the chats. It should be trivial for a company with tens of thousands of super-genius agents at their disposal. | | |
| ▲ | tedsanders 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Two steps would be needed. (1) We'd have to identify their chats. How would we do this? We'd need them to share their chats with us so we could look for matches. (2) We'd have to prove those chats changed model behavior. How would we do this? We'd need to retrain many models with those specific chats removed, and ask those models to solve the Navier-Stokes problem many times, and keep doing this until reaching the desired level of statistical significance. #1 requires their cooperation and a bit of work on our side. #2 is extremely expensive and not really feasible. | | |
| ▲ | lambda 6 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > (1) We'd have to identify their chats. How would we do this? We'd need them to share their chats with us so we could look for matches. According to the statement by Tristan Buckmaster, he was in communication by email and calls several times over the past week with you (OpenAI that is, not you personally), asked about whether his chats were trained on, and was declined an answer (https://cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/statement.pdf). However, it seems like there was great pressure to hurry the release to compete with Anthropic's recent release, so he was unable to get an answer in time. The mealy mouthed statement in the release "We (the researchers and the agents) did not see any of their work through any means until they released it publicly — in particular, no specific user data was accessed in order to solve this problem. While unlikely, we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models ." is realy not much. If OpenAI had wanted to be transparent about this, you could have worked with him to identify if his data was used in the training of your new model, and actually made a somewhat more certain statement on that basis. But you have chosen not to; it was more important to scoop Anthropic on this than it was to be transparent about your training data. > (2) We'd have to prove those chats changed model behavior. How would we do this? We'd need to retrain many models with those specific chats removed, and ask those models to solve the Navier-Stokes problem many times, and keep doing this until reaching the desired level of statistical significance. Just the information from step (1) would improve transparency. Yes, you still can't prove one way or another how much the effect of the training is. But if it's included in the training data, it provided some effect. | |
| ▲ | testaccount28 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > we'd have to prove that firing the gun caused the murder. how would we do this? we'd need to redo the murder many times, with and without my client firing his pistol. that's extremely expensive and not really feasible. therefore, we must acquit. | |
| ▲ | daveguy 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | #2 (prove those chats changed model behavior) is pretty straightforward if the anonymized data from chats can be actively searched by a model. In fact, it could be very clear if the provenance of context is traced. If anonymized data from chats leak into the context of an actively running model it would clearly influence the answer. |
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| ▲ | WarmWash 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Just because something is in the training data, doesn't mean it is the root of an LLMs output. Turn off web search and ask a model what a random redditor said about a random topic in 2015. You will only get hallucinations at best, even though that comment is definitely in the training set. | | |
| ▲ | lambda 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | Sure. But it's possible to say: if the document isn't in the training data, it isn't the cause of the output. If it is in the training data, the question gets more complicated. |
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| ▲ | SpicyLemonZest 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | What they're saying, and I think this was the clear implication of the blog post too, is that the training data definitely would contain these chats and the only question is whether it got encoded into the weights. |
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| ▲ | fuglede_ 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Presumably, given that you also operate in the EU, you would have asked for their explicit consent before you did, so you could just check for that? |
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| ▲ | dgellow 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | That’s also what I understand. If true yet another disgusting behavior from the company |
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| ▲ | magicalist 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > identify any of their de-identified data that came from their usage of ChatGPT "de-identified" seems more of a euphemism than normal in this context, given the very unique work they were doing. | | |
| ▲ | gpm 6 hours ago | parent [-] | | I wouldn't expect poking at millennium problems to be that rare in ChatGPT. They were uniquely successful - but it's probably not easy to check de-identified data for the presence of any of their work on the problem because it would blend into a haystack of less successful work on the problem. |
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| ▲ | 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | PhunkyPhil 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | (a) identify any of their de-identified data that came from their usage of ChatGPT. You don't need his login information, you just need to identify if anyone was approaching the NS problem using his method. Nobody else on earth (presumably) besides him, his team, and at best OpenAI were approaching the problem this way. | | | |
| ▲ | pu_pe 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Why wouldn't contamination be possible? I can believe the data is de identified so you couldn't simply prompt the model to "follow this guy's approach", but it's entirely plausible that there is a very tiny amount of data about this approach in your dataset, and it comes precisely from this researcher. | |
| ▲ | Chance-Device 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Please answer this question: do you or do you not train your models on anonymized user data, where those users have opted out of such training? The blog post appears to imply the answer to this is yes, as otherwise I assume it would be impossible for this contamination to have happened. | |
| ▲ | lukewarm707 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | "There's no reason to believe that anything they did in ChatGPT led to our solution" do you think that the model's proof was unrelated to being fed a solution that was close to completion? any comment on openai allegedly trying to drop attribution for alpöge and then threatening buckmaster? | |
| ▲ | numeri 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | That's such a shit parallel example that it borders on dishonest. There are hundreds of incredibly strong scientific priors that would have to be disproven for the moon to contribute to the solution. If a model was trained on this data, even if it was trained using methods that lead you to believe it unlikely to have learned details about the proof (e.g., maybe it was only used to train some kind of reward model, which played a minor role in the overall training and would thus be very unlikely to transfer details of a proof), you wouldn't have to disprove large swathes of known science to be wrong. | |
| ▲ | franktankbank 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | What about ripping off the prompts? | |
| ▲ | shadowgovt 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It is, perhaps worth considering that the reputational community might not care about the difficulty for the AI builder to verify pedigree. If OpenAI's answer to this problem is "We can't know," then the rational conclusion may very well be "If I seek to have my reputation attached to the discovery of the solution, it is not sane to use the AI as an assistive tool, lest it scoop me on my own work using my own work. After all, they don't know it doesn't do that..." | |
| ▲ | daveguy 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | If the model has access to the "anonymized" data from chats, and the model is capable of building its own context from data that it can search through, including this data. Then it looks pretty damning. An independent review of the data traces from CoT and tool use involved in producing the result should make it clear one way or the other. Seems like discovery in a civil lawsuit could be very productive. | |
| ▲ | andrepd 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > As a parallel example, can we prove the phase of the moon had no impact on the NS solution? No, not without a bunch experiments run at different phases of the moon. The _gall_ to say something like this. Do you perhaps think we are all stupid?? This very blogpost claims not to know if their work was used as input for this model. I don't even understand how that is possible, surely you can know if something is part of the training data, even if you are in the dark about what impact it actually made, qualitatively. The moon.... > Knowing most of the recipes we use, there's really no reason to think such contamination happened. Yeah sorry but I don't trust you. I don't trust people or companies that have shown themselves to be dishonest before. Especially when the previous paragraph is comparing plagiarism and training data contamination with, _the phases of the moon_. Might even be you're actually telling the truth, but the boy that cried wolf and all that. ----- As an aside, I would bet very good money at how most (all?) these companies are flouting their ZDR. | |
| ▲ | dermacentor 6 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [dead] | |
| ▲ | fn-mote 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] | | |
| ▲ | yorwba 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | How sure are you that the phase of the moon is not an input to the system somewhere? http://www.catb.org/jargon/html/P/phase-of-the-moon.html | |
| ▲ | shadowgovt 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | One of the wild things about how these models work is how often things that aren't sampled directly end up a variable in the model via secondary signal. They aren't keying queries by phase of the moon. But if, for example, more people talk about camping outdoors when the moon is full, and they're using conversation topic and timestamp as signal in what eventually becomes training data, it's not impossible the model has learned something about moon-phases. That's the kind of thing that's hard to prove had no impact on an answer. |
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| ▲ | EthanHeilman 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | A careful reading of "we cannot rule out that de-identified data derived from their usage of our products helped improve our models" could be saying that yes they trained on it but they don't know if that training data resulted in an "improvement" to the model. That is, they can't rule out that the only reason the model found this solution was because it had been trained on this approach. The term ruled out is very open ended and gives them significant flexibility of meaning. They may have the information to determine exactly what happened, but they haven't looked so they can't "rule it out". | | | |
| ▲ | rfgplk 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > Why can't they rule it out? Is even OpenAI unable to track the provenance of all of their training data? Probably? I have a few hundred TB of training data for various small scale models and I can attest that I have _no idea_ what's in them. As in, literally zero. Half is scraped from GitHub and other hosting sites, other than that, I couldn't tell you anything else. At OpenAI's scale their entire pipeline is likely 100% automated. | | |
| ▲ | lambda 7 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Yeah, I'm sure it's completely automated. But that doesn't preclude being able to index and track what the sources of data are. For your data sets, I would hope you are including source information for where the data came frome. And at OpenAI's scale, I would presume they are doing some amount of rolling hashing or similar to weed out duplication, training on too much duplicate data can cause problems. AllenAI have at least attempted to add some amount of traceability to their models with OLMoTrace (https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.07096), by letting you find n-gram matches from the outputs in their training data. It's not the most useful, there's a reason that LLMs use full fledged attention mechanisms and not just n-grams, a lot of times the n-gram matches it finds aren't all that related to the given output, it might be better to supplement this index with a vector search or other ways of keeping track of what training data would have most influenced particular parts of the output. But anyhow, this is something that is an important question, and the big labs should be working on to make their products more trustworthy. Instead, they are hiding information about how they train, hiding their reasoning traces, and just producing output with no information on what might have influenced the training. | | |
| ▲ | ndriscoll 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Attributing training data seems pointless for trustworthiness. The way you trust a model is the same way you trust a human; you ask it to: 1. Provide a chain of reasoning from agreed premises. These days LLMs can even do this airtight with proof assistants.
2. Cite data sources for non-agreed premises. I don't care where the model learned a fact. It might not have ever read a document directly from the primary source. I want it to link directly to either widely agreed facts (e.g. standard textbooks, and if necessary school syllabi demonstrating that the text is standard) or primary sources (e.g. datasets).
Training provenance is irrelevant. It's neither necessary nor sufficient to deal with truth. |
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| ▲ | matthewdgreen 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The question is not "does OpenAI know", it's "can OpenAI attest that the usage of their products for confidential data is not going to cause that sensitive data to become known to their models". And right now the answer I'm reading is that OpenAI can't attest to that. | |
| ▲ | pbhjpbhj 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Aye, but do they train on user data in these circumstances or not? If they do, then almost certainly the model was influenced by the input of the allegedly plagiarised material. |
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| ▲ | Turn_Trout 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | OAI could check whether those accounts enabled training data. If "yes", OAI could trace whether that data was used in any related training process. If either of those answers comes out to be "no", then that's sufficient to conclude training data independence. We wouldn't need a full ablated re-training and solution attempt, contra tedsanders in a sibling comment. | | |
| ▲ | jonas21 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | > could trace whether that data was used The point of de-identifying data is to ensure you can't trace who it came from. It would be a serious privacy violation if they could. | | |
| ▲ | pbhjpbhj 7 hours ago | parent [-] | | If the model includes unique data from a person then that person can identify the data - the allegedly plagiarised material - and so re-identify it. There doesn't need to be a privacy breach to close that loop as it requires the person to identify the information is associated with them first. |
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| ▲ | causal 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Good chance their whole training pipeline is vibe coded so yah they probably don't actually know. | |
| ▲ | keeda 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | At the scale at which these models are now, regardless of whether they are proprietary or open weight or list their training datasets, there are hundreds of billions of works that have gone into trillions of parameters, each one providing tiny perturbations in some tiny fraction of the weights. It is probably impossible to attribute provenance to any specific input (which is also why the courts' finding of Fair Use is reasonable.) Which is why, as I said in a recent comment (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49530864) inadvertently leaking ideas to models is a grave risk for Intellectual Property. > The risk with IP, however, is a lot more grave. You may not even need to memorize the details of the IP verbatim, just the broad idea may be enough. It may lurk encoded in the weights forever, just waiting to be activated by the right prompt to start a chain of thought that unlocks further details. Heck, it may even appear as if the model suggested the idea itself. However, from a quick skim of the timelines, the specific discoveries, and all the he-said-she-said, so far it seems unlikely that OpenAI's model cribbed from the NYU / Anthropic pair, even if it would be impossible to prove. Maybe what might help is a timeline of when the other two were using Codex for their work, whether they had opted out, and how long it takes for user data to make it to the training of their internal models. That last bit may be considered sensitive information however, as it could give away a lot about their internal processes. | | |
| ▲ | dfdydx 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | There are two different things: - was item X in the training data - did the inclusion of X in the training data lead to Y I understand why the second is hard, but why is the first one hard? | | |
| ▲ | keeda 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yep, the last part in my post was suggesting some ways we could determine if "item X was in the training data" (as well as some potential blockers for that from OpenAI's perspective.) |
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