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shevy-java a day ago

Well, the current cronies that run the USA may seem to have won for the time being, but sooner or later the population in the USA will realise how much fudged up the orange clown is. Only about 30% approval rating - that will continue to dwindle.

dhosek a day ago | parent | next [-]

There’s a partisan floor¹ that’s in the neighborhood of 25–30% where people will vote for their party no matter what. The 2004 Illinois Senate election was a good test case where when the Republican nominee went down in self-inflicted flames and was hurriedly replaced with Alan Keyes, who had no in-state constituency and, being Black (which, no doubt was the cynical reason for his recruitment), eliminated the racist choice. He gained a mere 27% of the vote which is likely the floor for a major party candidate in a contested broad-population election (smaller-level partisan elections, whether for single congressional seats or in small states, generally have demographically skewed populations which can result in wider margins).

1. Although as I think about it, this may only be valid on the right side of the spectrum given the data points.

rrrrrrrrrrrryan 2 hours ago | parent [-]

We're obviously long past the days when people's politics could be mapped on a nice normal distribution, with some outliers at either end and a big group of moderates in the middle who vote differently depending on the election. Today the distribution is not only bimodal: there's almost no overlap at all.

Your politics are part of your identity now. It's part of how you define who you are, and according to the research, over 95% of people are completely entrenched and will never vote for any candidate from the "other" party. (This the highest since right before the Civil War.)

That said, while nobody's changing sides any time soon, people _do_ stay home on election day, and we're going to see that next election.

The races for the next couple decades will be won by the candidates and the parties who can drill up enough enthusiasm from their base. Preach to the choir so the choir sings, etc.

ndiddy a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The Democrats already tried out the idea that Trumpism would blow over and everything would go back to "normal" with Biden's 2020 campaign, but it didn't really turn out that way. Right-wing reactionary politics has been overrepresented in the US since its founding due to state based representation, and I expect that this will continue to be the case for as long as the US exists in its current form.

godshatter 9 hours ago | parent [-]

It would help if they actually ran a candidate that leaned more moderate than extreme. They seem to choose candidates specifically to rile up the Republican base. That makes sense if this is actually a football rivalry or something but if they want to get elected they need to appeal to the middle, which doesn't seem (at least from my perspective) to happen very often.

NoGravitas 9 hours ago | parent [-]

Biden and Harris were both centrist choices. Harris specifically campaigned with never-Trump Republicans by her side. It didn't matter. Republican campaign ads and their captive media ecosystem portrayed them as radical leftists.

thrance a day ago | parent | prev [-]

They'll immediately fall for the next such guy. Republican voters aren't actually reconsidering their views. Corporations and oligarchs have known no major blowbacks in decades and keep winning on every front, further eroding the Republic and its institutions little by little. And they won't stop until all that's left of America is an empty shell, a dead state like Russia, a sandbox for the Epstein class.

dylan604 a day ago | parent | next [-]

I hope we get to the Idiocracy timeline before the one you describe

breadloser a day ago | parent | next [-]

I still say the [Waldo](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Waldo_Moment) timeline fits closer. Just a bunch of empty signifiers stuffed into a costume.

WeAreCooked a day ago | parent | prev [-]

We are there now.

Nobody is working on solving death/aging.

You have to pay rent, go to work, companies have average Joe’s shilling for them.

The entire society is death marching toward - well - death! And nobody notices or cares in the slightest.

The vast majority of people think they will live for all of eternity “in heaven” and many others just don’t even think about it.

The shortness and pointlessness of their lives doesn’t even cross their minds - worse - they think the point is feelings!

And so it’s a war of who can have the best feelings for ~80 years and that’s it.

Doesn’t get any more idiotic than present day wealth inequality and total lack and void of real intellectual pursuits

lotsofpulp a day ago | parent [-]

What does solving death/aging mean?

Humans have figured out an easy medicine to reduce weight, which is the number 1 causal factor in morbidity/mortality.

There are also novel cancer immunotherapy medicines that are drastically increasing quality and quantity of life for cancer patients, like keytruda and blinatumomab.

joquarky 7 hours ago | parent [-]

> immunotherapy medicines that are drastically increasing quality and quantity of life for cancer patients

For wealthy cancer patients.

lotsofpulp 6 hours ago | parent [-]

It should be available to most Americans, via Medicaid/Medicare/Insurance.

I imagine it is available most Europeans/Canadians/Australians/etc too.

I guess they are wealthy though compared to the billions of people in poorer countries.

cannonpalms a day ago | parent | prev [-]

You are painting with extremely broad strokes here.

thrance 18 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Do you want me to expand on part of it?

throwawaysleep a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Painters with broad strokes have done extremely well the past few decades.