| ▲ | intrasight 6 hours ago |
| So is downpayment on a house. I would buy the house and just pay for tokens as needed. The house will get more valuable and that wealth would buy a lot of tokens in the future - which will probably get cheaper. EDIT: or buy AAPL. If I had bought Apple stock instead of buying a Mac LC II in 1992, then I would have about $2 million in Apple stock. |
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| ▲ | paxys 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| Or more simply – $25K (+ tax) put in a savings account will earn about enough interest to pay for a $100/month AI subscription indefinitely. And at the end of it you still have the $25K. |
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| ▲ | AbsurdCensor 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Not 'more simply', there are basically zero savings accounts that are going to net you a 5%+ interest rate to give you that $100 a month. And that $25k becomes less valuable over time. $25k is now only worth $19k because inflation. | | |
| ▲ | spacephysics 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Money market/treasuries (even ETF like SGOV) gets pretty close to 5% when typical savings rate is a bit under If treasuries “fail” we have a different class of problem. | | | |
| ▲ | mkjs an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Do you think the hardware will still be worth $25k once it is five years old? | | |
| ▲ | AbsurdCensor an hour ago | parent [-] | | Do you think monthly AI 'subscriptions' are going to be $100 a month in 5 years? These people using these would probably be on $200/month subscriptions and with that OPs assertion of 'shoving away and paying with interest' makes no sense. |
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| ▲ | kphorn 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It’s basically impossible to compete on economic terms with deeply subsidized hardware that is widely available to rent or as a service with zero commitment. For general inference there’s no ROI that makes this work vs subscriptions. 25k for computer now, plus 9-10% sales tax, plus operating cost, plus time and cost for R&D tinkering with models, harnesses, and infra (assuming highly capable engineering talent that can get paid for your human inference) vs a HEAVILY subsidized subscription at 200 per month with free R&D has a pretty long ROI (15 years?) At API costs, it’s like 6 months if you’re heavy on inference.
For training, specialized models will have their own ROI that makes this worthwhile. Then debate renting capacity and the platform to choose | |
| ▲ | sanderjd 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Isn't there something to be said for owning your own hardware though? | | |
| ▲ | bigyabai 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Not if it's 5-10x slower than a remote inference server. Mac prefill latency is exhausting. |
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| ▲ | bilbo0s 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This is the real answer. Unless you need privacy for your inference this instant, paying for credits can get 80 to 90 percent of people everything they need. Of course if you do need that privacy, then forking the $25K over to Apple is a no brainer. | | |
| ▲ | intrasight 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | I don't need privacy, so it would be financially imprudent for me to spend 20 grand on such a machine. But I have a financial management client who does need such privacy, and if I get more fully engaged with them then I would be able to justify getting a loaded Mac. | |
| ▲ | throwa356262 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Why is this a no brainer? There are both cheaper and faster options out there. |
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| ▲ | physicalecon 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [dead] |
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| ▲ | chrsw an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Where I’m from $25k is the down payment on a parking space in a garage, not an entire house (or condo). |
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| ▲ | saturn8601 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| >The house will get more valuable Depends on where you live. Also keep in mind population decline so long term, im not so sure. Prices already dropping in less desirable places (everywhere outside of most blue areas) (Assuming you are talking about the US sorry if not) |
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| ▲ | ziofill 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| where are downpayments so cheap? I'll move there ^^' |
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| ▲ | kridsdale1 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Yeah my down payment 10 years ago was $200,000. The house has appreciated 0%. I sold meta shares to buy it. Those would be worth a million now. … I wish I hadn’t just calculated that. | | |
| ▲ | selectodude an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Having a place to live is an investment in your health and wellbeing. Can't live in a stock option. | |
| ▲ | christoff12 20 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | At the time, were you aware that you could borrow against your portfolio? |
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| ▲ | alistairSH 35 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Detroit, Cleveland, etc. Basically huge swaths of the rust belt. Plus a smattering of small towns in the south. | |
| ▲ | weakfish 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Well, this is all assuming a 20% down payment, which anecdotally as a 26 yr. old, nobody I know is able to achieve. All my home-owning friends put 3-7% down. Granted, most are using first-time homebuyer loans which are generally more favorable. In RTP (NC), a ~$400k house at 5% down is $20k | |
| ▲ | intrasight 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | There are 70 houses for sale in Pittsburgh for $25K or less | |
| ▲ | derwiki 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Coshocton, Ohio, plenty of houses for <100k | | |
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| ▲ | d_runs_far 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Had I done that as well, then maybe I wouldn't have gotten intrigued by HyperCard, then Director/Authorware, then Flash, then HTML, then... |
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| ▲ | garciasn 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| With the way RAM prices are going up, you could expect to make 20% profit on any purchase. |
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| ▲ | intrasight 5 hours ago | parent [-] | | I tripled my money on my RAM purchase of three years ago. So, yes, for short-term appreciation that's hard to beat. But I don't think it's something that will continue. |
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| ▲ | physicalecon 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
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