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| ▲ | dundarious an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | Radars and bases along the path of travel from Iran to Israel have been progressively degraded. Various interceptor types also have low stockpiles at present. I'm absolutely not an expert keeping well-informed, but my understanding is that Jordan's recent losses mean much of the path is now relatively clear of air defenses, and Israel would have to mount most/all defenses from their own territory for the first time. But Israel is at-present not engaging in the war, preferring to let US do the work, as a minister recently stated. Regardless, it may be attacked, depending on IDF actions in Lebanon. | | |
| ▲ | dmix 35 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Iran also isn't hitting Israel because they know Israel will go after Tehran and the regime more directly. They were the ones to target the Basij police, industrial and steel plants, government buildings etc. America is mostly constraining itself to bombing the coast and military assets, with a focus on the strait. That plus most of Iran's attacks on Israel didn't do anything and likely still won't. Which is why Iran focused on the weaker gulf states even when Israel was involved. | | |
| ▲ | ChrisMarshallNY 29 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | I would be worried about staying in the Jumeirah Burj Al Arab, these days. I suspect that Iran knows that going after Dubai would upset a lot of American (and Sunni) billionaires. | | |
| ▲ | illliillll 18 minutes ago | parent [-] | | The service might be a bit poor, given that Burj Al Arab has already been closed for months since Iran struck it in the beginning of March. | | |
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| ▲ | DonnyV 27 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The north of Israel has been completely evacuated. But yeah Iran didn't do any damage. lol | | |
| ▲ | emosenkis 4 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | You seem to be woefully uninformed on this subject. Far northern Israel was evacuated in 2023 and has long since moved on to reconstruction. No significant damage in the area was directly from Iran, it was all from Hezbollah (their proxy militia in Lebanon). | |
| ▲ | spwa4 a minute ago | parent | prev [-] | | ... was at one point partially evacuated. It isn't, and hasn't been for months at this point. |
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| ▲ | sudosysgen 29 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Iran has recently demonstrated the ability to execute accurate strikes in Jordan. If it can do so in Jordan, it can do so in Israel once Israeli air defences are similarly degraded. Doubly so because many missiles meant for Israel were intercepted by Jordan. Iran knows Israel won't stop itself from attacking for too long. So they are going to wait until that point and they are likely going to try the same targeting methodology to paralyze Israeli airbases. If they manage to do so, they will be able to significantly reduce the US/Israeli strike tempo and to be more successful using drones, not even missiles. |
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| ▲ | flyinglizard 42 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | The Israelis are the only ones that can, and want, to strike back. Besides no one weeps for missiles falling on Israeli cities, so that doesn’t serve the Iranians at all. Lots of much softer targets for Iranian missiles which can’t do anything to Iran. | | |
| ▲ | achenet 35 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Forgive the uninformed question, but doesn't Saudi Arabia also have significant armed forces? Given that Iran has closed the Straights of Hormuz and attacked several other Arab states, and has conducted strikes in Saudia Arabia itself, wouldn't that give Saudia Arabia a solid reason to strike back? | | |
| ▲ | ABoredBirb 7 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Arab militaries, whilst sometimes well equipped, are thoroughly incompetent, possibly by design. They are not a major factor here. | |
| ▲ | vjvjvjvjghv 17 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | From what I have read, their armed forces aren’t very motivated. There are stories about pilot trainings where the pilots were a bunch of rich guys that got into their jet, took off with full afterburner, did some fun loops and landed after using up their fuel. Saudi has the advantage that they have the US doing the dirty work for them. No need to do much themselves. | |
| ▲ | 8note 22 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | last time ksa went to war it was against yemen, and didnt go very well. | | |
| ▲ | tibbydudeza 8 minutes ago | parent [-] | | A show army - the monarchy don't trust an army of rural peasants - they might get ideas and stage a coup. |
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