| ▲ | dmix 2 hours ago |
| Iran also isn't hitting Israel because they know Israel will go after Tehran and the regime more directly. They were the ones to target the Basij police, industrial and steel plants, government buildings etc. America is mostly constraining itself to bombing the coast and military assets, with a focus on the strait. That plus most of Iran's attacks on Israel didn't do anything and likely still won't. Which is why Iran focused on the weaker gulf states even when Israel was involved. |
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| ▲ | ChrisMarshallNY an hour ago | parent | next [-] |
| I would be worried about staying in the Jumeirah Burj Al Arab, these days. I suspect that Iran knows that going after Dubai would upset a lot of American (and Sunni) billionaires. |
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| ▲ | illliillll an hour ago | parent [-] | | The service might be a bit poor, given that Burj Al Arab has already been closed for months since Iran struck it in the beginning of March. | | |
| ▲ | ChrisMarshallNY an hour ago | parent [-] | | Ah. Makes sense. I have been deliberately avoiding keeping up with that mess. ...which I now return to... |
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| ▲ | DonnyV an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The north of Israel has been completely evacuated. But yeah Iran didn't do any damage. lol |
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| ▲ | dmix an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | The north of israel also wasn't evacuated for the recent Iran campaign. That was in 2024 and they didn't evacuate for the recent ground invasion they did in Southern Lebanon. | |
| ▲ | emosenkis an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You seem to be woefully uninformed on this subject. Far northern Israel was evacuated in 2023 and has long since moved on to reconstruction. No significant damage in the area was directly from Iran, it was all from Hezbollah (their proxy militia in Lebanon). | |
| ▲ | spwa4 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | ... was at one point partially evacuated. It isn't currently, and hasn't been for years at this point. You may be confused with southern Lebanon, which is. |
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| ▲ | sudosysgen an hour ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Iran has recently demonstrated the ability to execute accurate strikes in Jordan. If it can do so in Jordan, it can do so in Israel once Israeli air defences are similarly degraded. Doubly so because many missiles meant for Israel were intercepted by Jordan. Iran knows Israel won't stop itself from attacking for too long. So they are going to wait until that point and they are likely going to try the same targeting methodology to paralyze Israeli airbases. If they manage to do so, they will be able to significantly reduce the US/Israeli strike tempo and to be more successful using drones, not even missiles. |
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| ▲ | dmix an hour ago | parent [-] | | This assumes Iran is maintaining consistent stockpiles and still has the capability of large attacks, including their fancier missiles which can avoid SAM systems. It's been well reported the number of drones/missiles Iran fired has consistently decreased. Israel and the US destroyed most of their missile factories so Iran is going to be conservative with how they use them. At the peak Iran fired 650 missiles at Israel and only killed 28 people, mostly from hitting a single residential building. These days Iran is only firing small salvos into gulf states and only 20-30 drones at a time. I'd be surprised if they could pull off 2025 numbers when they fired a hundred at Israel. | | |
| ▲ | sudosysgen 33 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Iran has been getting consistent impacts on US bases in Jordan essentially every day for the past few weeks, and they are well defended. At the end of the day Iran has more missiles than the US has interceptors. So when you get to the point when you're talking about running out, they just don't need to launch big salvos anymore. |
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