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infecto 4 hours ago

Is this really the worst thing? People keep bringing this up but it’s the Nasdaq 100. It would be shocking if we were talking about the SP500.

baggachipz 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It almost was. S&P decided against it at the last minute, despite saying they would initially.

quickthrowman 3 hours ago | parent [-]

The S&P committee never said they would. Space X asked and the committee said no. They should not have asked.

rconti 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

#1 rule of sales. If someone is trying to sell you something, you _probably_ don't want it. Eg, they need the sale more than you do.

The very fact that they were asking the question is such a huge red flag.

inigyou 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Them needing it more than you doesn't mean you don't need it too.

Bought an air mattress recently. Way better than a sleeping bag on the ground, even though I can also manage that.

marcosdumay 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The most insistent the salesman, the highest odds you got a bad deal.

But we are thread is about corruption (probably with bribes, and stealing the money of people that didn't participate on the transaction), while everybody keeps pretending is a consensual sale.

pessimizer 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Did you buy it from a door-to-door salesman, or did you seek it out?

fecal_henge 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

See, a positive outcome from investing in inflated stock.

floren 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

I've started telling basically that to the solar salesmen who come by every few days: if it was so great, you wouldn't have to pretend to be from PG&E or tell a bunch of half-truths about how utilities work.

DesiLurker 2 hours ago | parent [-]

problem with solar is that in itself it is great, but here in US if you look at the cost per watt produced it is heavily inflated with permitting and marketing costs. which is basically their margins till it becomes barely profitable to you. otherwise most of solar system cost has been fallen quite a bit for last decade plus.

dont believe me, look up how much a open loop DIY system costs.

floren 18 minutes ago | parent [-]

Oh yeah solar is getting good but the guys who come to your door and say they'll give you a $0 electric bill just sign here are peddling something that's maximally profitable for them

groundzeros2015 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It went through the formal process to adopt. Almost certainly public discussion online had an influence.

quickthrowman 3 hours ago | parent [-]

They don’t meet the inclusion criteria. The committee went through the motions to be diplomatic, not because there was ever a chance of it happening.

FireBeyond 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

No, but they did hold research sessions and they did draft the policy and the rules and all the updates and have them go through legal... they were planning to, until they saw public sentiment, or other influence. It'd be misleading to claim it was never a consideration.

khurs 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes

Index and other funds are forced to buy as their contractual mandate is to follow the index or methodology set out by the fund.

lokar 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

They have some flexibility.

And beyond that there is a lot of capital in active funds that use an index as their benchmark. So they don’t have to buy anything, but they are trying to beat their benchmark so not buying is an active decision with risk.

tjwebbnorfolk 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

ok but who is forced to buy the nasdaq 100?

khurs 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

quick search:

https://www.justetf.com/uk/search.html?search=ETFS&assetClas...

tjwebbnorfolk 3 hours ago | parent [-]

ok, who is forced to buy these ETFs?

These are all products that people and funds can choose to buy or not buy.

dghlsakjg 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I'm going to assume this question was in good faith, and ignore that you are seemingly spamming it as a 'gotcha' all over this discussion.

If I'm already invested, and they change the rules on me in a way I don't like, I have to sell, and that's a taxable event.

So if I have invested in a Nasdaq index, and I don't want a massive exposure to SpaceX prematurely, I am forced to close my position and immediately pay taxes on the profits. I pay the taxes, and now my investing capital is reduced because Elon wanted to force index funds to buy SpaceX stock, which indirectly forces all current owners to buy SpaceX.

It's not future buyers so much as people that are already exposed, and were probably not counting on getting rug pulled by the Nasdaq.

So no, you are correct that no one new to investing is forced to own SpaceX stock, but millions of existing fund holders are now exposed to a stock in a way that simply wasn't possible when they put their money in, and will be penalized if they don't want that.

Symbiote 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

People already own them, and have owned them for months or years before the rules were changed for SpaceX.

There's a cost to selling, the brokerage fee plus in many countries there's then taxes due on any profits. Many people would prefer to have unrealized gains where they can pay the tax years ahead, when they need the money.

(Also please don't make the same comment 4+ times.)

wpasc 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

leaving the word 'forced' aside (purposefully), pension funds, 401k holders, and many passive investors end up buying these things. you're right that no one is "forcing" them, but people who try to invest responsibly with little control over the day-to-day which is most people place trust in the institutions who do that investing for them.

I don't think that the claim of "the Nasdaq is misusing their institutional trust" is a controversial claim. Moreover, one of the things that people choose when they (401k, pension funds, passive investors) is institutional mechanisms that prevent potentially mispriced items from entering their portfolios.

deaton an hour ago | parent | prev [-]

The problem is a lot of passive investors own large quantities of that ETF, and to take their money out now they have to pay a tax penalty, so they are forced to invest in SPCX due to the rule change.

Its also a matter of principle. They had a seasoning period to allow for market price discovery over time, and they created a process to waive it for one company. Its not unreasonable to say that that is a bad thing.

stackghost 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Index funds, for starters.

tjwebbnorfolk 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Contrary to (apparently) popular opinion, index funds are not people.

rmunn 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Correct. Index funds are owned by people. For example, I have invested a large chunk of my retirement savings in an S&P 500 indexed fund (as many, many other people do). Whatever stocks the S&P 500 list, are what I end up owning; if I don't want to own one of those, I have to either roll that money into a different fund (which IIRC has limits, can't do that too often without tax consequences) or take the money out (and pay a tax penalty for withdrawing it before retirement).

So whether the index funds do or don't buy a certain stock has direct implications for real, non-millionaire, people.

moomin 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

No, they're just owned by people. Most of whom aren't billionaires.

quickthrowman 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I don’t even have access to a NASDAQ fund in my 401K. You have to go out of your way to buy the NASDAQ 100, QQQ and /NQ or /MNQ futures are the most popular instruments for getting exposure.

I have a tiny minute slice of SPCX from owning VTI total market ETF but my 401K holds no SpaceX.

malfist 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Okay? Just because you don't have access to that investment vehicle doesn't mean others aren't using it. What type of reasoning is this? "I, personally, am not too badly effected, therefore it's not a problem"

And guess what, your VTI which does track NASDAQ as part of it's index is effected by this inclusion rule.

danielmarkbruce 3 hours ago | parent [-]

His reasoning is valid. Compared to the S&P500, it's a small sum of money. Most people aren't buying a fund that tracks that nasdaq index. The total effect isn't that large.

malfist 2 hours ago | parent [-]

His reasoning isn't valid.

Not only is he wrong that it doesn't impact him, because VTI is impacted, but the whole premise is wrong. "I'm not harmed" does not mean things are fine. If I go murder your neighbor, will you come to my trial and demand I go free because you weren't harmed? Should the judge let me go because he wasn't harmed?

stackghost 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

>QQQ and /NQ or /MNQ futures are the most popular instruments for getting exposure.

QQQ tracks the Nasdaq 100. It's an index fund. If the index includes a new ticker, then QQQ has to buy it.

Buying QQQ doesn't seem like going out of one's way. I don't understand your comment. "ETFs and chill" is a very common investment strategy.

lokar 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

You could buy QQNE :)

quickthrowman 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There’s an order of magnitude more money indexed to the S&P 500, you have to go out out your way to buy QQQ since NASDAQ 100 and total market funds are uncommon in 401K options for employees.

QQQ is more volatile and higher risk than the S&P 500, the people buying it should understand that.

tjwebbnorfolk 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

And who is forced to buy QQQ?

lokar 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Many retirement accounts have limited options, leaving few passive index options. I sort of doubt many would offer qqq but not s&p, but it’s possible

stackghost 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I'm not sure why that's relevant. The original discussion was about who's forced to buy NDX 100 stocks like SpaceX. The answer to that is "index funds".

Asked and answered. Whatever cute point you're trying to make is rendered moot by real market dynamics and index inclusion rules.

wredcoll 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Why was musk/spacex so interested in having the rules broken to include spacex stock? Do you think maybe there was a reason that involved musk benefitting??

NetMageSCW 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Who forces them?

malfist 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Literally the index. If you track the NASDAQ as part of your index you must obey it's inclusion rules.

tjwebbnorfolk 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Contrary to (apparently) popular opinion, index funds are not people.

So, who is being forced to buy that index?

rossng 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

A lot of employer pensions will have limited fund options. (At least in the UK, maybe the US works differently.)

Quite likely that the only sensible one for most people (~global equities) will track S&P 500 internally. So essentially employees are being forced to hold whatever the index includes.

Hopefully it's less of a problem with Nasdaq, but it was a real worry.

pessimizer 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Turns out people (and institutions like municipalities and pension funds) sometimes buy index funds before SpaceX enters the NASDAQ 100, and changing their policies over a single event would be a great effort and expense, and set a bad precedent. Sounds crazy, but it's true.

Nobody has any idea what point you're trying to make, and the fact that you're repeating yourself and not being clearer makes everyone suspect that you don't have any idea either.

hk__2 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Ok but there are very few indices following NASDAQ, compared to S&P 500.

shagie 3 hours ago | parent [-]

It's not NASDAQ as a whole... it's NASDAQ 100.

https://etfdb.com/index/nasdaq-100-index/ are the ETFs that track that index.

khurs 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Funds often have institutional investors. Many of them Pension Funds (i.e. ordinary every day people) and when the institutional investors signed up, they didn't do so expecting Nasdaq rule change.

jovial_cavalier 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

that is the whole point of an index fund - they buy whatever is in the index so you can get exposure to the total market. The scandalous thing is that an IPO'd company is going to have a lot of volatility for weeks to months after it goes public, so they typically do not allow any newly listed company to be included in the index for up to one year. This is for the benefit of retail. People have put their entire life savings into these funds because they are viewed as the optimal tradeoff between risk and return. Those people are now contractually obligated to either sell everything or expose themselves to spacex's IPO price movements.

metadat 3 hours ago | parent [-]

There are many different kinds of index funds, most don’t participate in Nasdaq 100.

runarberg 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

So you are saying it could have been worse, and therefor it is not that bad. I feel like this may be a logical fallacy.

It is like saying that the worst thing about twin earthquakes in Venezuela was not the fact that there were two of them, because there could have been three.