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epistasis a day ago

Fascinating they're going this direction when solar and batteries are so cheap in Texas...

Nearly all new additions to the grid are solar, wind, and storage right now on Texas' grid. Not because of Texas regulations, but because Texas' grid is one of the few grids where generation decisions are all made by independent investors trying to make money.

Especially with the shortage in gas turbine manufacturing, very surprising! Not sure if this says more about Microsoft or datacenters.

bob1029 a day ago | parent | next [-]

West Texas is like Costco for natural gas.

There are cases where the fields can produce more than the pipelines can carry away. If you put your gigantic gas turbines right next to the fields you can obtain access to some extremely cheap fuel. They might even pay you to burn it sometimes. Negative gas prices are a thing.

epistasis a day ago | parent | next [-]

And despite that, when there's any sort of price pressure, like there is for new electricity grid additions from investors, solar and batteries completely dominate the choice over natural gas in Texas.

Look at the map for 2026 of the grid buildout in Texas at the bottom of this page:

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67205

All solar and batteries (yellow and black), with a few tiny blue dots for gas. It was the same story in 2025. And it will be the same story in 2027 because solar and batteries are getting even cheaper.

These are all decisions from private investors, trying to make money, and choosing solar and batteries over gas in the market where gas is the cheapest in the world, gas is like a waste product that's hard to get rid of.

Why would Microsoft choose dirty energy when all the profit-driven investors are choosing cheaper solar and storage?

ElevenLathe a day ago | parent | next [-]

This is just a guess, but is the reason the same one that the gas is cheap all the way out in BFE west Texas? In other words, even if you could generate electricity from wellhead gas more cheaply than a bunch of wind turbines, solar panels, and batteries just west of Fort Worth, can you actually export it to east Texas where all the demand is? The solution here being: let's build our giant demand machine directly on the steppe and skip all that expensive infra, because data is much cheaper to move than energy.

bob1029 a day ago | parent | next [-]

> data is much cheaper to move than energy

It's something like 5-10 orders of magnitude cheaper to move information over fiber than it is to move the energy required to produce that same information through a [pipe/power]line.

Doches a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I know this is nitpicking, but as a Texan I have to correct you on a point of grammar. The “west” in “West Texas” (and similarly for the other regions) isn’t an adjective; it’s part of the proper noun and should be capitalized. So it’s “West Texas,” not “west Texas.”

Yes, this is weird and no, I have no idea why we do it, but it’s really weird to read “export it to east Texas” — to the extent that I had to re-parse the sentence to figure out what you meant.

ElevenLathe a day ago | parent [-]

Thanks for this. I'm past the edit window now, but both ways felt wrong and I just picked one. I suppose "western Texas" and "eastern Texas" is what I should have written to avoid the problem.

cucumber3732842 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

> let's build our giant demand machine directly on the steppe and skip all that expensive infra, because data is much cheaper to move than energy.

Who cares if it's cheaper. It's that you're moving less of it. The more processing you can do near the source the smaller and cheaper your pipe out to the consumer can be.

Cut the tree on the hillside. Mill it in the valley. Then spend your precious boxcar volume shipping only the finished lumber out of the valley.

ElevenLathe a day ago | parent [-]

Right, shipping finished lumber is cheaper (per dollar of value) than shipping logs. That's exactly my point, but the lumber is bits and the electricity is the logs. A datacenter is a mill for turning electricity into bits!

SJC_Hacker 19 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Does that graph take into account capacity factor ?

qsxfthnkp2322 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Because management at big tech could give any shits about you or where they live.

It’s easy to see.

sidewndr46 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Replace "extremely cheap" with "zero cost" and you've got it correct. Texas at night is an endless sea of flare stacks. We burn off an unbelievable amount of natural gas just to get rid of it.

otterley 21 hours ago | parent [-]

I've often wondered how this is lawful under the EPA. Obviously it must be, but it seems like a gross oversight to allow people to just burn natural gas and allow its byproducts to escape into the atmosphere yet not get any useful work out of it.

bob1029 9 hours ago | parent | next [-]

The alternative is significantly worse.

otterley 5 hours ago | parent [-]

Which alternative are you thinking of?

bob1029 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Allowing methane to escape unburned

sidewndr46 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It's legal because the government allows it. How else would it work?

otterley 13 hours ago | parent [-]

Thanks, Captain Obvious. ;) the underlying question was why (although I used the word how and that’s on me).

gnerd00 a day ago | parent | prev [-]

West Texas is also a basket of methane leakage -- see CarbonMapper et al

jambalaya8 a day ago | parent [-]

looks like a terrible idea from my perspective also.

softwaredoug a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

While the US stays oil rich, we should expect the US to be a laggard in ending use of fossil fuels. China and EU are not oil rich, they’ll make a faster transition.

Of course it’s idiotic to actively hobble clean energy. Or to put your finger on the scale for one source of energy, like the current administration does.

But it’s not crazy to argue for “energy abundance” where the market just picks the cheapest energy on the market in the US and that just gradually moves cleaner over time.

epistasis a day ago | parent | next [-]

Well what I'm saying that is that on the Texas grid, solar and storage and wind are the cheapest energy, and being deployed in massive amounts because only on the Texas can an investor make money by providing the cheapest energy. (For most utilities, they take a fixed rate of profit and are incentivized to use the most expensive possible energy if they can get away with it.)

So Texas is not a laggard when it comes to clean energy, they are actually driving clean energy forward the most, because clean energy is the cheapest and most profitable energy. And that's despite Texas having natural gas that's insanely cheap right from Henry Hub.

What this tells me is that like most hyperscalers, Microsoft is not price sensitive on the electricity side, because energy costs are tiny compared to the massive capital costs of the GPUs. But why would they go this direction? What political influence would make Microsoft choose more expensive electricity, when in the past they've been fairly good at driving clean energy forward in their data center power choices, and they'd pay a premium on energy costs to go with clean energy?

tech_ken a day ago | parent | next [-]

I can think of a few angles that might have pushed them towards gas, mainly (a) they wanted on-demand generation cap, (b) they didn't want to get into the batteries game at the volume they'd require, or (c) they didn't want to deal with securing the space needed to produce 2.6GW of solar. Also yeah they're definitely not price-sensitive, any of the hyperscalars is more than happy to pay extra to get exactly what they want.

edit: for example that EIA list of new solar projects you linked indicates that the largest battery installations going up in '26 are all ~500MW, and that there are only four of them (of that size). I think the energy intensity of a multi-GW datacenter is the main reason that they're not going for solar here.

chasd00 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> But why would they go this direction?

sibling comment has it, they want to do power generation on site and not connected to the grid and all the PITA that come with that. Further, they can pitch power independence to the locals which removes a big argument from the anti-datacenter crowd. Finally, the power gen i saw at Stargate in Abilene TX which was maybe 10 units (if that's what they're called) took up maybe 30 acres of land so they're not very big compared to the rest of the campus.

phil21 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> What this tells me is that like most hyperscalers, Microsoft is not price sensitive on the electricity side,

What this should likely tell you, is that you are missing information and have an incomplete picture of the situation.

Or it could be MSFT just likes to spend extra money for no reason because they are simply stupid. I'm gonna go with the former though.

I'd be interested in all these behind the meter setups for large 24x7 loads that are being built using solar+battery though. I haven't heard of one personally, but I must be lacking information on the subject since you seem so certain these are common?

Symbiote a day ago | parent [-]

Maybe this counts, although it isn't built yet:

https://www.datacenter-forum.com/edora/eurowind-energy-and-e...

There are many datacenters in Denmark with decade-plus power purchase agreements from a specific wind farm, but with so much news recently I can't find if there's any operational with their own supply.

phil21 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Certainly interesting! Much closer to what I feel is actual green power w/o the greenwashing such as the PPA's other facilities tend to use while actually just buying from the grid as a whole to deal with the "hard" parts of reliable power.

My frustration is that reliable power is the expensive part. Anyone can stand up some nameplate capacity in renewables, net out their numbers and pretend they are 100% green power in a press release. All while drawing from the "free" battery the grid supplies them at night or seasonally and letting someone else deal with the dirty part of it all. It's just not very interesting to me, as it's mostly marketing.

This one does seem to be grid-tied, but is much closer to the vision of actually being powered down to that last 5% via on-site batteries and wind. Power is like many things - the last 5% of reliability (or 1%, whatever) is the hard and expensive solve.

I remain skeptical batteries are going to end up being a solution for major datacenter buildouts in most locations. But I've been wrong before, and would love to be wrong about this one perhaps the most!

HDThoreaun a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Solar makes sense for utility generation because demand goes down at night. For datacenter usage demand is effectively constant, so theyd need a fuckload of batteries which is where all the cost goes. It doesnt make sense to power 2.6 GW overnight fully on batteries. Much simpler, a.k.a faster, to just buy a plot next to an area with excess gas and build the whole thing there.

frollogaston 10 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

There's also no first mover advantage with clean energy, maybe the opposite

hvb2 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> But it’s not crazy to argue for “energy abundance” where the market just picks the cheapest energy on the market

Except that there's externalities not priced in. The consequences of those are becoming increasingly visible and very expensive to address

10 hours ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
wbl a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Oil is readily transportable and there is a global market.

frollogaston a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yet here in California, people keep making fun of Texas's power grid. California of all places.

credit_guy a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

But they are using wind:

> A majority of the generation will come from large GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV) turbines.

alex43578 a day ago | parent | next [-]

Unless the article specifies wind, GE Vernova makes gas turbines too.

nielsbot a day ago | parent | prev [-]

It's gotta be gas turbines, not wind.

dtagames a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Mostly it says that the oil business runs the show here in Texas, and in Washington.

epistasis a day ago | parent | next [-]

But I'm curious how oil could run the show for Microsoft though. Even if Microsoft wanted gas backup, they could add solar to the build, shut off the turbines during the day, and save money over an all gas setup.

Perhaps Microsoft had better ability to overturn local opposition to data centers if they had Chevron's political influence over the politicians too?

dtagames a day ago | parent [-]

What I meant was that all political and economic decisions here go in favor of oil. The war, the proposed laws to make Chinese EVs illegal, the softening of environmental regulations, etc.

Chevron and the US Government are joined at the hip, so these kind of deals "flow" naturally.

rconti a day ago | parent | prev [-]

DC?

teepo a day ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]