| ▲ | ch4s3 2 hours ago |
| It seems like a place like Manhattan might benefit from first up-zoning the low slung sections that are currently 4-8 stories. My point here is that I'd start with trying to build enough housing before spending political capital on marginal things that neither unlock supply nor generate much revenue. |
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| ▲ | nickv 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| You're right, when I think of a place that has an overabundance of 2 floor single family homes, I think of Manhattan. |
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| ▲ | asdff 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It isn't that which is the issue. It is the fact greenwich village has been at the same height since even before Don Draper's time. You see, the suburban enclaves of long island and upstate and new jersey and the comparatively more built up areas of manhattan do have the exact same issue with regards to housing, and that is there is little room in the zoned capacity to legally add any more housing. In 1961, NYC adopted a zoning plan that saw zoned capacity reduced by 80%. These sort of changes to zoning happened around the country in the 1960s and 70s in response to red lining being made illegal. If you can't prevent black people from living near you by law, maybe you could instead prevent anyone from living near you and guarantee a supply side crisis such that the wealthiest individuals in the economy are who can afford to be your neighbors, and in 1961 surely they won't be black. You should look up the median income differences between a white nycer and a black nycer today, it is shocking. Median household wealth for whites just within the scope of new york state, not even at city resolution, is nearly 15x higher (1). Today, 80 years later, we have kept the racist-by-transitive-property laws on the books all over the country. And as such, cities remain highly segregated by both race and class. Civil right era in terms of housing was essentially a failure to achieve any change from this status quo. 1. https://comptroller.nyc.gov/reports/the-racial-wealth-gap-in... | | |
| ▲ | bobthepanda an hour ago | parent [-] | | With historic landmarks or districts you can generally transfer unused development capacity to other sites. Grand Central famously was spared from demolition but its unused zoning rights have been transferred elsewhere. | | |
| ▲ | asdff an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | One issue with using hollywood accounting for zoning is failing to consider the context of the site, especially in terms of infrastructure and job access, in favor of historical protections. All that subway capacity and walkability to so many jobs in greenwich village for example is being squandered by punting potential upzoning elsewhere. | | | |
| ▲ | bragr an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | Sure but they are still a finite resource. Once you've transferred those rights to a super tall luxury condo building, you can't readily transform that into affordable middle class and lower income housing. |
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| ▲ | javanissen 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Do you live here? I do, and I’m astounded by the number of 1- to 3-story buildings and surface parking lots (!) dotted throughout Manhattan, especially outside of the skyscraper clusters in midtown and downtown. There is an unbelievable shortage of housing that is solvable only by increasing supply and building upwards. It’s not even single-family homes; why are there any one-story buildings in the lower east side? | | |
| ▲ | ch4s3 an hour ago | parent [-] | | It's really shocking how much underutilized space there is in Manhattan and near Brooklyn/Queens. |
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| ▲ | ianm218 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It has a huge amount of areas that are underdeveloped relative to demand. Many areas with height restrictions that block basically all new developments. For example West Village is one of the most in demand zip codes in the entire world caps new builds around 80 feet. East village caps housing @ mid rise so new grads who live there spend half their income on housing. He is right. | |
| ▲ | ch4s3 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | You'll notice I specifically said 4 to 8 story buildings. |
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| ▲ | bityard an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| If someone tried to "up-zone," wouldn't they incur enormous popular and media backlash for demolishing buildings and displacing communities that have been there for decades just so they could build high-rent luxury skyscrapers? I feel like that was the backdrop to about half the movies I watched in the '80s. |
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| ▲ | 8note an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| i think upzoning which requires kicking people out of the homes they currently live in is spending more political capital than changing tax policy to get more utilization out of the existing empty houses. The people that have second luxury homes in new york are the people that spent through the roof to avoid mamdani being elected |
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| ▲ | stvltvs an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Is increasing housing the goal of the tax, or is it just raising revenues to balance the budget? |
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| ▲ | 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
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| ▲ | throwaway27448 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Why not both? To suggest otherwise is absurd. If I might put my tinfoil hat on for a moment, I think the recent obsession with upzoning is to distract from the possibility of regulating landlords—as if there were any large number of people opposed to upzoning before.... |
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| ▲ | bjourne an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| How do you know it's ineffective? Other targeted taxes, such as alcohol tax, tobacco tax, congestion tax, etc., have been shown to be very effective. |
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| ▲ | cyberax 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| LOL. Why not just build bunkhouses and then rent out bunk beds there? For a cool $5000 a month. Because that's the end goal, isn't it? Manhattan is _already_ one of the densest cities in the world. It needs a good _downzoning_ to be liveable again. |
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| ▲ | bombcar an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | If everyone who wants to pay $5k a month to live in NYC is able to; I’ll be super happy and pleased for them. | |
| ▲ | javanissen an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | > bunk beds… $5000/month The market prices full one-bedrooms at less than this in most of Manhattan. Flophouse beds would cost a fraction of this and they would get cheaper the more of them you have. They’d also slow the growth of rent price in NYC. Let’s take your example at face value. Suppose Manhattan added one million beds to its existing ~3.8M bedroom housing stock via the “missing middle” housing that you described, perhaps over the next ten years. These might have small private bedrooms and shared kitchen/office/bathroom facilities. They might even include dorms, but I’ll focus on single-room occupancy units. You’d get the space for this from some mix of re-developing office buildings or upzoning or re-developing low-slung buildings. The rent of these single-room occupancy units would be a fraction of the rent of a normal place. The people living there would be far less rent-burdened than they would have been otherwise, freeing up more income for consumption or savings/investment, boosting economic activity. Some of them would be new residents, whose income taxes (if they pay them) and spent dollars/sales taxes would be a net benefit to the city budget. Some of them would otherwise become transiently homeless due to affordability concerns, which would be destabilizing for them and expensive for the city due to homeless program spending. Others would be people who currently live in apartments but would move to these units because they prefer cheaper rent, greater privacy (they might be sharing a room today), a newer building, or the greater efficiency of having multiple bathrooms. Maybe right now they are sharing e.g. a four-bedroom one-bathroom apartment with three strangers in Hell’s Kitchen for $1400/month. These people would otherwise be in the housing market for a full apartment, and removing them leaves more full apartments for people who want to occupy them, either alone or with roommates. Ergo we get downward pressure on full apartment rents. The flophouses and dorms and SROs were a key part of the housing market that kept Manhattan more affordable and therefore livable in the 20th century, when density was up to 40% greater than it is now. It was deeply shortsighted to get rid of them. The idea that we should downzone even further makes no sense to me; you get to decrease affordability and decrease the economic benefits of agglomeration to the local economy at the same time, all so… there are fewer people on the subway, I guess? I disagree with the “too much density” argument on its face anyway. Density has clear economic benefits via agglomeration and productivity gains; diverse and dense housing stock via upzoning increases affordability via supply/demand and filtering effects; and the way you manage density is through appropriate infrastructure spending on housing, services, and public spaces which—you guessed it!-becomes cheaper per person the denser you build. Seoul has twice the density of Manhattan. I live here. The thing making Manhattan unlivable is that a one-bedroom is $4500 in the east village due to not enough supply. Fix the housing costs by building more of any and all kinds of housing and then we can deal with the other problems via better governance and increased tax revenues. There’s nothing we can do otherwise that isn’t just rationing or some other bandaid solution. |
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| ▲ | Daishiman 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| In Manhattan the low zones are due to the soil not being good for higher construction. Lower Manhattan and midtown are made of basalt stone that is extremely strong and apt for skyscrapers. |
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| ▲ | ch4s3 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Bedrock is only a little lower in the "Midtown Gap", and in any case a lot of those 4 story buildings could be 8-10. | | |
| ▲ | bobthepanda an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | the real reason midtown is where it is, is because that is where the train stations are due to the city banning surface running railways south of 42nd St. (The remaining surface railways north of that point have been covered up.) As a result, Midtown is now one of the few places in New York's metropolitan that can reach the millions of people in the five boroughs and the suburbs all at once, which means the labor market is substantially larger than what it is in Lower Manhattan or Downtown Brooklyn, and makes it massively more attractive for employers. | |
| ▲ | organsnyder 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I'm guessing it would be tough to make the numbers work demolishing a 4-story building and building one that's only 2-2.5x the square footage, especially with today's interest rates. | | |
| ▲ | ch4s3 an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | That's pretty hard to say in a blanket way, I wouldn't want to speculate. But there's never a bad time to fix zoning. | |
| ▲ | cucumber3732842 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | You'll lose a ton of square footage to compliance. Those wide doorways with non conflicting doors, wide staircases, required clearances around everything, all the other stuff that's been done to old apartments that isn't compatible with modern codes. So that 2.5x square footage is more like 1.5x when it comes to the number of units of like quality/liveability you can pack in. |
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