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nippoo 9 hours ago

I can't find the original source, but I remember reading a study showing that this rise was closely correlated to states which had legalised or loosened laws on gambling!

kamikazeturtles 9 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> In states that allowed online betting, the study reported a 10% increase in the likelihood of bankruptcy and an 8% increase in debt collection amounts — outcomes that tended to appear about two years after the practice was legalized.

https://www.npr.org/2026/04/04/nx-s1-5773354/legal-sports-be...

sciencesama 7 hours ago | parent [-]

kalashi is coming

wslh 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Are there markets where people can bet on bankruptcy rates too? Gambling increases bankruptcies, and then people gamble on the bankruptcies.

mrbombastic 4 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Relevant snl skit: https://youtu.be/wXZNuwY_5-U

silverlyra 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

after word spreads of easy pickings, funds swell into bankruptcy rate contracts. the success stabilizes average losses across Kalshi portfolios; the bankruptcy rate falls.

after smart money then moves to predicting the period of the oscillations, …

boringg 7 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Double or nothing!

malux85 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I can see the potential link there, but my intuition says that the SKYROCKETING cost of living is probably more to blame.

cybercatgurrl 2 hours ago | parent [-]

i think you mean the ever increasing greed of the 1%

triage8004 23 minutes ago | parent [-]

One and the same until we off of a corrupted unbacked fiat based print on demand system

tibbydudeza 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The old adage of bread and circuses ?.

mc32 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

TV and social media have been the modern bread and circuses for a while now. Gambling continues to be a vice.

EA-3167 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Not to mention fools and their money parting.

artursapek 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It's so disgusting watching how much sports gambling and "prediction markets" have exploded in recent years

ryandrake 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I'd argue that, while a portion of this rise obviously consists of troubled/problem/addicted gamblers, a huge part of the rise of gambling is from desperation: The public's growing belief that the traditional wealth-producing ladders have all been pulled up, and that gambling is the last remaining hope that normal people have of making decent money.

"Work hard all your life and retire with a pension." - fantasy in 2026.

"Invent something new and capitalize on it." - not realistic in the face of gigantic, powerful, all-owning corporations who will squash you.

"Buy an existing business and live off the proceeds." - impossible without existing wealth.

"Become a famous pop star or sports hero." - as improbable as ever.

People have no hope anymore, and hopeless people turn to random chance as the last and only remaining option.

prewett 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think "huge part ... is from desperation" needs a citation. Gambling has been known to be a vice for millenia. There was an article on here not long ago where a reporter did sports gambling for a year for a story; he started off Mormon, disinterested in gambling, with $10k from the company, and after he lost it, he put himself on the state self-exclusion list because now he had a problem with gambling. The null hypothesis is that gambling is a vice, so to make it about desperation needs some evidence.

Also, "traditional wealth-producing ladders have all been pulled up" is nonsense. The stock market is available to all comers, and long investing is a traditional path. There was a story here a few years ago about a black janitor in NYC who died and left $7 million to the MoMA (or some such); he had invested $10k a year in the stock market. People in the trades still make good money. People on this site also tend to be in the making good money careers. I saw a bunch of young couples--and not the techy-looking ones, either--at the open houses this spring in the midwest. Also, one should not extrapolate one's situation at 25 to be the same at 45; if you've done reasonable savings, 45 should looking wealthier.

brailsafe 5 hours ago | parent [-]

You're asking for a citation on an intentionally speculative comment, offering your own wall of unqualified anecdotes that come up every time someone claims young people are desperate, and mean nothing unless someone fills in details with whatever they want to believe.

Usually what it comes down to is that the ladder hasn't been pulled up if you've got a step ladder to the new starting point, or have already been a tradesperson with a scarce skillset in a low cost of living area that only exists because it's cheap (midwest) for long enough to not have to destroy your body doing it on an ongoing basis.

COVID and the subsequent two years have literally halved the value of money, which was great for people who already owned homes or had a huge amount in the stock market, but otherwise many will be waiting another 5-10 years before income from work catches up with what it used be worth. Major layoffs have been happening every year since.

rayiner 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The rise in gambling isn’t caused by “desperation.” It’s caused by the loosening of social taboos against gambling. Gambling isn’t common in say Bangladesh even though conditions there are much more desperate than anywhere in the U.S.

_DeadFred_ an hour ago | parent [-]

About that...

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/395220862_The_Growi...

https://www.gamblinginsider.com/news/29632/bangladesh-launch...

ryanchants 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> "Become a famous pop star or sports hero." - as improbable as ever.

It's even more improbable. For both of those, your starting to see more and more of the current generation that are children/nieces/nephews of the already famous. They have the financial comfort to pursue it, and the family connections in the industries.

And for sports, the level at which you have to be competitive is getting younger and younger. So much more sports science/nutrition going in at the middle school/high school level.

Those were two fields that seemingly were still meritocratic, but that is fading fast, if it ever existed at all.

flopsamjetsam 7 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> And for sports, the level at which you have to be competitive is getting younger and younger. So much more sports science/nutrition going in at the middle school/high school level.

For endurance-based sports, online coaching has really accelerated this as well.

For skills, you still really need in-person coaching.

AirMax98 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

It’s also kinda the case for sports too — I literally just watched LeBron throw an alley oop to his kid a few nights ago.

HerbManic 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Spot on. Gambling is their Hail mary shot at getting the life they were promised.

phil21 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Eh I dunno. In my experience the “working class” sports gamblers who very likely should not be engaging in regular betting are not participating in bets that would be remotely life changing. And they know that. They are putting down $5-20 bets with maybe $100 payouts on parlays or whatnot. They talk about it maybe paying a utility bill or pay for drinks at the bar for game day.

Multi-state lotteries seem to be far more of the “hopeless” case where there is actually a life changing amount of money up for grabs. But far less consistent dopamine hits. The regular low stakes sports gamblers who piss away their paychecks in small chunks over time are doing it for those small wins and chasing the next one.

That’s not to invalidate the point people feel hopeless, I just don’t think the average “degenerate” Fanduel bettor really is chasing that sort of thing.

mothballed 2 hours ago | parent [-]

In most forms of gambling you could drop your whole paycheck on gambling and still not end up terribly off. You'd be in about the position you would be in if you had to go to a check cashing place to cash your paycheck, although with more volatility. Dropping your entire paycheck worth of volume on slots and you are down what, like 5-10% on average -- most people have that much margin to spend on savings/discretionary/retirement.

Where you get in trouble is where you're cycling through multiples of your paycheck on wagers, recycling your bets. Then you're getting eaten for multiples of the house take on your income.

TylerE 42 minutes ago | parent [-]

The problem is your typical slots player doesn't have the discipline to stop after running their roll once. They turn the $100 into $90, then the $90 into $81, then the $81 into...

concinds 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> while a portion of this rise obviously consists of troubled/[...], a huge part of the rise of gambling is from desperation

Is that really so? It's a get-rich-quick scheme and absolutely no one is under any illusions otherwise, including the people gambling their rent money. They know it's a very long shot and that most people don't make bank, but they hope it'll go different for them.

WallStreetBets, just another form of gambling, is filled with posts of people losing everything but it doesn't seem to stop newbies.

The gap between troubled/problem/addicted and "desperate" has to be paper thin, if it exists at all.

mullingitover 7 hours ago | parent [-]

> and absolutely no one is under any illusions otherwise

Having a gambling addiction kinda requires that you operate under a lot of illusions in your reasoning.

moneycantbuy 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

yeah it seems winning the lottery is now our best chance for survival.

estearum 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

IMO prediction markets are an interesting tool but you can just ban sports gambling and keep 100% of their value and remove 90% of their downsides.

rapind 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Prediction markets are 90% sports gambling.

estearum 8 hours ago | parent [-]

So?

rapind 7 hours ago | parent [-]

So prediction markets solely exist as a way to sidestep regulation of sports gambling (mostly) and insider trading secondarily. It's just grift.

estearum 5 hours ago | parent [-]

That conclusion doesn’t follow from the premise at all lol.

Low-effort complaining, not interested.

neaden 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I'll be honest as someone who doesn't gamble my perception is the prediction markets are just people with inside information using that to con money out of people. I don't see the value in it.

estearum 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Well if you think of the point as "winning money" then that really sucks (which I've discussed in prior comments as a big problem for overall participation). If the point is instead to extract and compress information into a simple numerical prediction, then the insider trading is arguably a feature more than a bug.

Not to say it shouldn't be viciously punished, to be clear.

idle_zealot 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Can you explain the value you're talking about?

estearum 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Highly liquid markets are good information compression systems, but existing financial markets tend to be impossible to disaggregate with regard to any discrete event you care about.

vkou 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

You can also ban 100% of gambling advertising and get 100% of the (dubious, but I'll humour the possibility) 'benefits' of gambling, while removing 90% of the downsides.

estearum 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Agreed with that too

gwbas1c 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Having recently seen a thread here where a lot of people threw a lot of shade on gambling: I really recommend finding that source.

That being said: I'm more likely to believe inflation to be the cause; and I think it's a bad idea to use this to fan moral panic

john_strinlai 8 hours ago | parent [-]

>I'm more likely to believe inflation to be the cause

based on what?

margalabargala 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Based on how much they like gambling.