| ▲ | tekno45 2 days ago |
| any stats on your returns so far? |
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| ▲ | pawelduda 2 days ago | parent | next [-] |
| Turkey reported high winrate until Thanksgiving |
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| ▲ | m-hodges 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Not my project, but author said on X: > Why predict the future when 73.4% of all Polymarkets resolve as No? https://x.com/sterlingcrispin/status/2043398710013595857 |
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| ▲ | gruez 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | | That logic doesn't work because not every bet have even payouts. If there's a market for whether a dice rolls 1 or not, the odds might resolve to "no" 83% of the time, but if it only pays you $1.1 per dollar wagered on "no", you're still losing money. | | | |
| ▲ | 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | | [deleted] |
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