| ▲ | m-hodges 2 days ago | |||||||
Not my project, but author said on X: > Why predict the future when 73.4% of all Polymarkets resolve as No? | ||||||||
| ▲ | gruez 2 days ago | parent | next [-] | |||||||
That logic doesn't work because not every bet have even payouts. If there's a market for whether a dice rolls 1 or not, the odds might resolve to "no" 83% of the time, but if it only pays you $1.1 per dollar wagered on "no", you're still losing money. | ||||||||
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| ▲ | 2 days ago | parent | prev [-] | |||||||
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