There are better techniques for hyper-parameter optimisation, right? I fear I have missed something important, why has Autoresearch blown up so much?

The bottleneck in AI/ML/DL is always data (volume & quality) or compute.

Does/can Autoresearch help improve large-scale datasets? Is it more compute efficien than humans?

There is a field of AutoML, with its own specialized academic literature and libraries that tried to achieve this type of thing but didn't work very well in practice.

Years ago there were big hopes about bayesian hyperparameter optimization, predicting performance with Gaussian processes etc, hyperopt library, but it was often starting wasteful experiments because it really didn't have any idea what the parameters did. People mostly just do grid search and random search with a configuration that you set up by intuition and experience. Meanwhile LLMs can see what each hyperparameter does, it can see what techniques and settings have worked in the literature, it can do something approximating common sense regarding what has a big enough effect. It's surprisingly difficult to precisely define when a training curve has really flattened for example.

So in theory there are many non-LLM approaches but they are not great. Maybe this is also not so great yet. But maybe it will be.

AFAIK, it's a bit more than hyper-parameter tuning as it can also make non-parametric (structural) changes.

Non-parametric optimization is not a new idea. I guess the hype is partly because people hope it will be less brute force now.

> There are better techniques for hyper-parameter optimisation, right?

Yes, for example "swarm optimization".

The difference with "autoresearch" (restricting just to the HPO angle) is that the LLM may (at least we hope) beat conventional algorithmic optimization by making better guesses for each trial.

For example, perhaps the problem has an optimization manifold that has been studied in the past and the LLM either has that study in its training set or finds it from a search and learns the relative importance of all the HP axes. Given that, it "knows" not to vary the unimportant axes much and focus on varying the important ones. Someone else did the hard work to understand the problem in the past and the LLM exploits that (again, we may hope).

> The bottleneck in AI/ML/DL is always data (volume & quality) or compute.

Not true at all. The whole point of ML is to find better mappings from X to Y, even for the same X.

Many benchmarks can’t be solved by just throwing more compute at the problem. They need to learn better functions which traditionally requires humans.

And sometimes an algorithm lets you tap into more data. For example transformers had better parallelism than LSTMs -> better compute efficiency.

> There are better techniques for hyper-parameter optimisation, right?

There always are. You need to think about what those would be, though. Autoresearch outsources the thinking to LLMs.