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JumpCrisscross 3 hours ago

> their regime is not stupid

It’s pretty fucking stupid. Convening the top brass above ground, failing to scatter the navy, bombing Azerbaijan and Qatar and Oman. I’m not saying the individual actors are dumb. But the result of the competing centers of power between the IRGC, military proper, clerical establishment and god knows who else produces a stupid strategy.

bdangubic 3 hours ago | parent [-]

what would be a non-stupid strategy?

JumpCrisscross 3 hours ago | parent [-]

Broadly, taking American and Israeli threats seriously. And not overestimating how easily their neighbors would capitulate if bombed.

Tactically, this would mean not concentrating senior leadership above ground. Scattering their navies out of port. Targeting U.S. military bases and not the civilian infrastructure around them.