| ▲ | red_admiral 2 hours ago |
| They've certainly turned out different than Scott Alexander predicted, once the markets were opened up to people who are not in the wider rationalist community. Not foreseeing the amount of sports betting that would take place, is kind of a failure of rationality in the first place, and I say this as someone who absolutely respects the community in general. |
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| ▲ | creatonez an hour ago | parent | next [-] |
| You should have lost your respect for the "rationalist" "community" a long time ago. They are aggressively wrong about everything, and most of them are eugenicists. |
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| ▲ | emsign an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | They WANT to think in absolutes which is a red flag in a person. | |
| ▲ | SpaceManNabs 29 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I lost most of my respect for g...n when i noticed he he was one of those IQ guys | |
| ▲ | wizzwizz4 39 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | They were right about Bitcoin getting big (though I'm not aware of anyone putting their money where their mouth was), and they were a decent source of information leading up to the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic (which probably saved a handful of lives). Just because they're almost always aggressively wrong, that doesn't mean they're aggressively wrong about everything. | | |
| ▲ | gzread 14 minutes ago | parent [-] | | It does mean you probably shouldn't listen to them, because the expected value of listening to them is negative. |
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| ▲ | unmole an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | > most of them are eugenicists. [citation needed] | | |
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| ▲ | everdrive 9 minutes ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| >once the markets were opened up to people who are not in the wider rationalist community. It's important to remember that for a brief time, people argued that gatekeeping was generally and usually a bad thing. |
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| ▲ | ModernMech an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| The failure of the rationalist community is they mistook rationalization for rationality. |
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| ▲ | DonHopkins 24 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Why make better predictions, when you can make better excuses, and be wrong in much more sophisticated ways? | |
| ▲ | uoaei 21 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | I may use different definitions than you, but I put it as "they conflate rationality and reason". |
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| ▲ | SpicyLemonZest an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| They didn't foresee the amount of sports betting that would take place because sports betting was illegal almost everywhere in the US until 2018. |
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| ▲ | thesquandered an hour ago | parent [-] | | Christie's finest legacy. Not sure how accountability would even look on something like this. |
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| ▲ | MattGaiser 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
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| ▲ | Zigurd an hour ago | parent [-] | | I would go with rationalism being a delusion of tech bros rather than blaming a failure of rationalism on those lumpen proles inventing silly sports propositions. | | |
| ▲ | SpicyLemonZest an hour ago | parent [-] | | Do you know someone in particular who blamed sports betting on "lumpen proles"? It kinda seems like you're making up a person to get mad at here. |
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