| ▲ | breppp 3 hours ago |
| On the other side, iran's launch capability had fallen by 92% since the start of the war https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-889435 Iran is actually attacking their former close friends at the gulf uninvolved civilian population centers more often than it attacks Israel EDIT: fixed to 92% |
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| ▲ | wodenokoto 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| They are attacking close friends who literally harbor the armies attacking Iran. The logic seems very straight forward imho. Attack the US army bases and pester the nations that allows those bases in hopes that they might ask the us to get bend. |
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| ▲ | spwa4 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | They've attacked everyone they possibly could with ZERO regard for anything. They attacked Cyprus! They've attacked Turkey. They've attacked Afghanistan (are you seriously going to claim Afghanistan is harboring the US army?) They've attacked everyone they possibly could attack, zero exceptions. Next time all the gulf countries will know: get America and everyone else to launch attacks against Iran from your soil. Make sure to participate. Why? Iran will attack everyone regardless of alliances, who attacks, whether anyone attacks at all, what bases exist, whether or not they participate, or whether they avoid hostilities. So obviously, it's better to be part of the hostilities against Iran, to have an army on your soil that will protect at least some of your territory. | | |
| ▲ | spaghetdefects 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | They're attacking US/Israel assets in all of those countries. It's effective too, the US is pulling out and showing that they are not a reliable ally. Just today the US told all US citizens to leave Iraq. | |
| ▲ | chomp 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The US is keeping aircraft in allied bases in Cyprus, and a permanent one in Turkey. Haven’t seen anything about Afghanistan. Iran’s attacks make sense to some degree. | | |
| ▲ | prewett an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | > Haven’t seen anything about Afghanistan. Yeah, that's because about the Taliban took it over about 5 minutes after the US left Afghanistan a few years ago. It was a complete mess. | |
| ▲ | bdangubic an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | to all degrees |
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| ▲ | aaomidi 6 minutes ago | parent | prev [-] | | Iran rejects attacking Cyprus and Turkey. Like, they clearly have no issue taking responsibility when they want to. So you really can’t say with that level of confidence if they’ve hit those. |
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| ▲ | breppp 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > The logic seems very straight forward imho. Attack the US army bases and pester the nations that allows those bases in hopes that they might ask the us to get bend If only they attacked the American bases as opposed to also attacking civilian infrastructure such as oil facilities and residential neighborhoods If only they had skipped gulf countries who had pushed the US not to strike and refused to let the US use their bases to attack Iran (all of them) If only they hadn't attacked countries without any bases such as Azerbaijan Then I think your arguments would have had more merit | | |
| ▲ | gravisultra 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | They've attacked many US bases. They've also retaliated against US/Israeli business interests when the US/Israel did the same to Iran. Iran is waging a very strategic war and quite a moral one I might add. They even gave evacuation orders to Tel Aviv neighborhoods they were targeting military installations in. | | |
| ▲ | dogma1138 37 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Iran is running around like a headless chicken, they gravely miscalculated their capabilities in 2024 and are paying the price ever since. | |
| ▲ | Hikikomori 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Israel uses human shields for their bases? Imagine that. | |
| ▲ | breppp 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] |
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| ▲ | spaghetdefects 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Where are you getting that 95% number from? Given that Trump has announced multiple times that the US has "won the war", I don't see how that could possibly be credible. Iran continues to launch successful attacks against Israel and Israel/US assets across the entire region. |
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| ▲ | breppp 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | For example here from March 10 detailing a progressive decline by 92% in ballistic missiles https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-889435 Previously I had seen 95% somewhere else but cannot find the link, but that's close enough. The reason why this is credible is Iran is limited by its amount of launchers, and Israel is very effective at destroying these. With complete air superiority and drones flying over, it's very easy to spot the heat signature for a launcher. Add to that the launchers that were effectively buried at the start of the war when the openings to Iran's underground missile storage facilities were bombed. https://understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-updat... | | |
| ▲ | aaomidi 5 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Launch numbers are not an indicator of launch capacity fwiw. Iran’s fewer launches are now hitting their targets more. | |
| ▲ | spaghetdefects 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Jpost is an Israeli propaganda outlet not a credible source. In fact Iran just hit Tel Aviv again. | | |
| ▲ | breppp 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | That's hardly true, but sure try this one or just google yourself https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/global-affairs/iranian... | | |
| ▲ | spaghetdefects an hour ago | parent [-] | | Like I said, Iran just hit Tel Aviv again. They do this every day in addition to destroying Israeli/US assets across the Middle East. There has been no slow down, despite Trump announcing nearly every day that Iran has been defeated. The western media is shambles trying to spin the reality of the situation. https://x.com/MintPressNews/status/2032983767430664447 | | |
| ▲ | breppp an hour ago | parent [-] | | As far as I can tell what you see today in your link is a fire caused by the pieces that fall after a successful interception, these are not as dangerous as an actual missile, as they lack a warhead, especially for Israelis that are indoors while in alarms. In any case, you are arguing something else. It is a fact that the number of ballistic missiles Iran is capable of launching had fallen sharply, this is very easy to see by the reduction of alarms in Israel, which is served by an open API. You are arguing whether missiles ever hit. Because Iran ability to launch had fallen sharply, less Israeli citizens are hurt and less interceptors are needed. This is also progressive, as the days pass, Iran loses more and more launchers and is less capable of launching more missiles. Therefore even in the unlikely event of an Israeli interceptor crisis, the situation is rather favorable to Israel |
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