Remix.run Logo
breppp 2 hours ago

For example here from March 10 detailing a progressive decline by 92% in ballistic missiles https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-889435

Previously I had seen 95% somewhere else but cannot find the link, but that's close enough.

The reason why this is credible is Iran is limited by its amount of launchers, and Israel is very effective at destroying these. With complete air superiority and drones flying over, it's very easy to spot the heat signature for a launcher.

Add to that the launchers that were effectively buried at the start of the war when the openings to Iran's underground missile storage facilities were bombed.

https://understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-updat...

aaomidi 5 minutes ago | parent | next [-]

Launch numbers are not an indicator of launch capacity fwiw.

Iran’s fewer launches are now hitting their targets more.

spaghetdefects 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Jpost is an Israeli propaganda outlet not a credible source. In fact Iran just hit Tel Aviv again.

breppp 2 hours ago | parent [-]

That's hardly true, but sure try this one or just google yourself

https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/global-affairs/iranian...

spaghetdefects an hour ago | parent [-]

Like I said, Iran just hit Tel Aviv again. They do this every day in addition to destroying Israeli/US assets across the Middle East. There has been no slow down, despite Trump announcing nearly every day that Iran has been defeated. The western media is shambles trying to spin the reality of the situation.

https://x.com/MintPressNews/status/2032983767430664447

breppp an hour ago | parent [-]

As far as I can tell what you see today in your link is a fire caused by the pieces that fall after a successful interception, these are not as dangerous as an actual missile, as they lack a warhead, especially for Israelis that are indoors while in alarms.

In any case, you are arguing something else. It is a fact that the number of ballistic missiles Iran is capable of launching had fallen sharply, this is very easy to see by the reduction of alarms in Israel, which is served by an open API. You are arguing whether missiles ever hit.

Because Iran ability to launch had fallen sharply, less Israeli citizens are hurt and less interceptors are needed. This is also progressive, as the days pass, Iran loses more and more launchers and is less capable of launching more missiles. Therefore even in the unlikely event of an Israeli interceptor crisis, the situation is rather favorable to Israel