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WorkerBee28474 7 hours ago

> So all of a sudden the nice town clinic has $2,500,000 in debt, raise prices accordingly...

From a financial engineering perspective this is wrong.

Both equity and debt have costs of capital. Debtholders expect interest, capital holders expect RoE. The money going to debt interest is money that would previously have gone to equity, but now does not because the equity is replaced with debt.

Crucially, the costs of debt is lower than the cost of equity because of the interest tax shield. Therefore, the vet clinic now requires less revenue to maintain or even increase its return to equity.

t0mas88 6 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Technically true, but RoE expectations from a PE firm are typically a lot higher than from the original owners of a small business.

And the LBO model is much less resilient to economic headwind. Let's assume a 25% EBITDA margin business, with most costs fixed (like the clinic example). Unfortunately revenue drops 20% because of external factors. It would maybe have a tiny profit left, tax would also be tiny and there is no interest to pay. The shareholders receive near zero, absorbing most of the problem for a year waiting for times to get better.

Now the same business, same reported EBITDA, but paying a large interest sum every year to the bank. If revenue drops 20% they can't pay their interest, and banks don't just wait for next year. Now the business has the restructure, agree with the banks what that looks like, or face a bankruptcy risk.

While the new PE shareholder has a better RoE due to leverage in the upside scenario, the business (and the PE) could be completely cooked in a downside scenario. For the PE this is a calculated risk, they optimise the overall portfolio. But for the employees and customers this isn't a great scenario.

JumpCrisscross 6 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> the vet clinic now requires less revenue to maintain or even increase its return to equity

The small-town vet would have probably accepted a lower RoE. More critically, they’d have been more willing to absorb shocks to said RoE than a lender will to their debt payments.