| ▲ | ecshafer 5 hours ago |
| The CPF sounds pretty clever. It covers a major individual cost and need (retirement, medical, housing) instead of just throwing it into a tax. It makes the government money. This sounds like a win win kind of policy. |
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| ▲ | everforward 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| To me it sounds like a tax structured in a strange way so it doesn't obviously read as a tax. It's essentially a forced loan to the government at subpar rates. The "tax" is the delta between what the government pays out for the bonds vs what a bond of equivalent risk in the free market would have paid. The magnitude of the investment also probably makes it impractical for anyone but the very wealthy to retire before that starts paying out. Most other countries have lower rates on their retirement schemes, which makes it feasible for more people to live on their savings for a few years before the government retirement scheme kicks in. E.g. in the US it's pretty feasible for the upper middle/lower upper classes to retire a few years before Social Security kicks in, especially if they're willing to live frugally. |
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| ▲ | gruez 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | >It's essentially a forced loan to the government at subpar rates. The "tax" is the delta between what the government pays out for the bonds vs what a bond of equivalent risk in the free market would have paid. Yeah there's even a term for it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_repression | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It’s almost impossible for an upper middle class couple to retire in the US before their 65 unless they have some type of government provided or private company provided health insurance like teachers, police officers, military etc. It’s about $25K a year for a decent plan which is doable. But you have to hope that Republicans - and yes this is a political issue - don’t successfully kill the ACA and make it impossible to get insurance at any cost if you have a pre-existing condition. If you are old - you will develop a pre-existing condition. My parents are 83 and 81 and retired at 57/55. But my mom was a teacher who still gets benefits through the government and my dad gets benefits from the one factory that didn’t shut down in our hometown. I’m 51 and even if I could retire early financially, I wouldn’t do it and stay in the US. Play the smallest fiddle for us. I “retired my wife” at 44 in 2020 8 years into our marriage when I did a slight transition to an industry where remote work with travel is the norm (cloud consulting + app dev) and we have traveled a lot including doing stints as “digital nomads”. We are staying in one of the countries that we might retire to as a Plan B for six weeks starting next week. Even now that we moved to state tax free Florida and my wife hasn’t had to work in six years, she keeps a current CDL because she can get a job as a school bus driver easily for the benefits and someone will pay me for independent consulting if I lose my job. | | |
| ▲ | glimshe 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The FIRE community and my own personal situation prove you very, very wrong. It's absolutely possible for a upper middle class family to retire in their 50s, even in their 40s, if they live frugally. | | |
| ▲ | aprdm 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | "Live frugally" , "FIRE" , "work in tech" All incompatible with 99% of the upper class, neither do they want to eat ramen to retire early. You're also one medical disaster away from being "very very wrong" | | |
| ▲ | jandrewrogers 9 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | I know several people with normie jobs (not tech related or government) and normie lifestyles that saved up enough money to never need to work again by 50 while still maintaining their lifestyle. Most still work because they have no idea what to do with their time even though they don’t need to work anymore. You can easily derive that this is possible from the median household finance statistics published by BLS, never mind the upper class. It isn’t that hard if you care to do it. | |
| ▲ | snake42 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | FIRE doesn't depend on having a tech job. Its all about income to expense ratio. Planning for medical events is something that gets talked to death in these communities. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | How do you plan for a potential quarter million dollar medical bills over a couple of years? | | |
| ▲ | Retric 39 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | Good insurance is one aspect including long term disability coverage if you haven’t retired. That’s the thing medical expenses when young are unlikely enough insurance is a viable strategy. Long term it’s worthwhile to move to a country with a less expensive medical system. You can move basically anywhere in retirement and be better off. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 22 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Again like I have been saying, good insurance is predicated on the open market and ACA being around and not being killed by Republicans. Even if they don’t outright kill it, they are trying to put in a “death spiral” where only sick people use it and insurance companies don’t want to participate. LTC not discriminating against pre-existing conditions is also post ACA. |
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| ▲ | 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | snake42 an hour ago | parent | prev [-] | | The same way that an employed person would plan for this. Catastrophic insurance plans put a cap on how much your medical bills can be. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 an hour ago | parent [-] | | An employed person since the ACA hasn’t had to worry about lifetime caps… Oh and catastrophic insurance plans only have to cover pre-existing conditions since the ACA - which one party is actively trying to kill. |
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| ▲ | mech998877 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | 90%+ chance the person you are replying to has health insurance that will cover them in case of medical disaster. | | |
| ▲ | glimshe 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | I absolutely have health insurance, the most expensive available on my state. That doesn't protect me 100%, but what health insurance (including the ones available at most companies) does? People who have poor money management skills believe that FIRE=Ramen and no health insurance... In fact, it's about getting a 30K car (the one I bought new 3 years ago) instead a 70K car despite having the money. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | And what happens when the Republican Party gut the ACA and you have a pre-existing condition. Do you know what life was like trying to get insurance with a pre-existing condition before 2012? | | |
| ▲ | scottyah 43 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Then they can just skip insurance. Most people don't need it, especially if they already have a lot of money (which is what FIRE means) | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 34 minutes ago | parent [-] | | Obviously said by someone who is young and never had or knew anyone that had an expensive medical procedure like a friend who is 45 who I have known since 2003 and is cancer survivor and now has to have open heart surgery |
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| ▲ | mattmanser 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | 99% of people have poor money management skills? It's statements like this that makes FIRE a fringe scene. | | |
| ▲ | scottyah 43 minutes ago | parent [-] | | you're saying 99% of people think FIRE = ramen? I doubt that many even have heard of it |
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| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | And health insurance as soon as the ACA is gutted and you have a pre existing condition? Sure I could retire to Costa Rica or Panama. One of those are a plan B and we will be in CR for six weeks and we are both learning Spanish - I am. decent at it. I bet you also your idea of upper middle class is not statistically valid. https://dqydj.com/household-income-percentile-calculator/ | | |
| ▲ | chasd00 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Costa Rica is on my retirement shortlist. I really like it there and have taken the family for vacation a couple times. I've driven the whole country pretty much North to South. Puerto Jimenez is one of my favorite places but it's very rural. There's some nice areas an hour or two North of San Jose as well. I've met a handful of US families that, when the pandemic hit, just sold everything they owned and moved to Costa Rica. As far as central america goes Costa Rica is a bright spot of stability and like a functioning government. I live in Dallas so pretty much have to know a little Spanish but there isn't much of a language barrier at all. You could do a lot worse than Costa Rica. | |
| ▲ | glimshe 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I didn't get where I am by taking random bets, but I'll say you'd lose your money here. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Were you around and trying to get health insurance before 2012? I was. The startup I worked for shut down and while I had a well paying contract lined up literally the next week, I couldn’t get health insurance at any price because of a pre-existing condition even though at the time, I was a part time fitness instructor and I had just gotten through running my first (and last) two half marathons. If you are betting on the stability of the US health care system outside of employer funded health care, that is a monumentally stupid bet with one party actively trying to kill the ACA. | | |
| ▲ | Jach 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | So what did you do? Clearly you didn't die. Did you just have no insurance for the week before the new job started, or what? This also happened to you while you were working and slightly between jobs. So it's not really a FIRE concern if the concern is the US messing up the health care system even more in that it would effect everyone whether working or not. Generally speaking, an answer to mitigating a lot of types of risk with a FIRE model is: you just go back to work for a while. This is easier the younger you are. Edit: Also I thought COBRA would have been a more recent thing but it was Regan era. So did you not have employer-sponsored coverage with the startup? | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | No, my then fiance/now wife and I canceled our wedding we had planned, and went to the courthouse and got married six months earlier so I could get on her insurance. Also, just so happen I did end up in the hospital three weeks later because something happened that affected my breathing for an entire year. And how do you “go back to work” if the entire reason you need to go back to work is that you have a health condition? If you haven’t checked, jobs aren’t that easy to come by quickly in 2026 in tech like they use to be. Sure I could find someone to give me a contract if not hire me full time - but we are still back to not having insurance . The US messing up insurance on the open market is the concern and it being back like it was pre ACA. That only affects the unemployed under 65. As far as being between jobs - usually you can get COBRA for a limited amount of time - not an option for FIRE. Oh yeah, that brings up another point, I did pay for COBRA for two months back then. The contract I had paid more than enough to afford it. Then the acquiring company shut down their insurance plan and COBRA wasn’t even an option | | |
| ▲ | scottyah 40 minutes ago | parent [-] | | You do know you can have a wedding even if you're already on-paper married? The ceremony really has nothing to do with the legal act. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 27 minutes ago | parent [-] | | So wouldn’t it go against everything that FIRE stood for to spend money on a wedding after you lost your job? |
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| ▲ | bjourne 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Statistics! Can a person below the median income afford to retire early? The answer is a resounding no. Can a person the top 10th percentile (upper middle class) afford to retire early? Yes. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | https://dqydj.com/household-income-percentile-calculator/ So the top 10% is a household income of $250K and most of those couples didn’t reach that until their 40s. They aren’t making $225K as an L5 at 25 years old like a former intern/new grad I mentored when I was at BigTech Most software developers won’t even see above $160K inflation adjusted during their career. Most work in second tier cities in the “enterprise”z. | | |
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| ▲ | carlosjobim 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Thanks for living frugally. Since you now have some spare money, I decided it's time for a rent increase. And a tax increase. |
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| ▲ | everforward an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Without digging into this too far, I do think it’s possible but it does require starting early and sticking to the plan. I’m not one of those people, but I know people who are. The mean household income for the 4th quintile is 115k a year. The mean of the middle quintile is 70k. There’s a theoretical 45k a year spread if you earn like the 4th quintile and spend like the 3rd (evidently possible since a lot of people live in the 3rd quintile). Even ignoring compound interest, if you can hit that 4th quintile at 30 and you lose half the spread to taxes, by 55 you have 25 years of saving 22.5k/year for 562.5k in savings. It’s probably not the most fun thing, but I do think it’s doable. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 an hour ago | parent [-] | | Here are the numbers for context: https://dqydj.com/household-income-percentiles/ The median household income doesn’t earn the median wage every year from when they started working. That’s just a snapshot and it’s highly correlated with age. I’m 51, I damn sure couldn’t afford to max out my 401K. That means I was 25 in 1999. I definitely could afford to max out my 401K - which was then $10K a year - when I was making $35K a year. Especially when new grads are coming out now with student loan debt. |
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| ▲ | kelvinjps10 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | https://mrmoneymustache.com/blog/
Read this story and more in the fire community, it's not impossible | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Does that answer the question about what happens when the ACA is gutted and you can’t get insurance at any price with a pre-existing condition? That happened to me right before the ACA went into affect. I was engaged to my now wife and we moved our marriage up early so I could get on her insurance. |
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| ▲ | kelvinjps10 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | With health marketplace you can get insurance, or you can get a PPA service, or save money into a HSA, like there is multiple ways to do it. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Until the Republican Party finally succeeds at gutting the ACA or make it so bad that insurers wing cover it. Let’s say you maxed out your HSA for 20 years and have $200K - that can be wiped out with one uncovered major medical incident the HSA max is relatively low. |
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| ▲ | apercu 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | So Texas also doesn’t have income tax but my siblings house (assessed at a lower value than mine) is assessed property tax almost triple wha mine is, dwarfing my state income tax plus property tax. Not sure about Florida - YMMV. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | My property taxes are $3000 a year. They were around $7K a year before we moved. We also downsized to a two bedroom condo -1200 square feet - from a 3500 square foot house in the most expensive county in GA (Forsyth) after my step son graduated in 2020 and after Covid. We sold our house for twice what we had it built for 8 years earlier and bought our condo for the same price as we paid for our house in 2016. Florida - especially when you live in the same county as DisneyWorld - is heavily subsidized by tourism |
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| ▲ | throwway120385 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The other way to avoid a pre-existing condition is to just avoid medical care entirely. | | |
| ▲ | atomicnumber3 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Ah yes, the 4chan retirement plan. Die of a preventable cause at age 42 while waiting for your captcha. | | |
| ▲ | paulddraper 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | If you accept that cancer is a death sentence, it’s not absurd to “self fund” your insurance with a nest egg. You can shop around quite a bit for non urgent care, and get good cash discount. | | |
| ▲ | greedo 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | If you accept cancer as a death sentence, you're an idiot. I had cancer at age 41. If I left it untreated, sure I'd be dead, probably by age 43. But I'm not an idiot, I had good health insurance, I was treated, and now that health event is over twenty years in the past. Had I self-funded with a (non-existent) nest egg, I would still be in debt over $600k. Instead, my insurance had to deal with that... | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | 600k once in 40 years is cheap compared to the total cost of insurance, especially when you consider the compound interest you could have made on premiums not paid, plus with the freedom to get cancer care cheaper someplace privately outside the US. Your insurance company got the last laugh by a long shot. A typical family on insurance would pay $600,000 (between their take-home and the reduced wages paid by employers to cover insurance) in just 25 years, and that's before considering the opportunity cost of lost investments/yield. | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 an hour ago | parent [-] | | Are you really suggesting that a family should not have insurance at all and save the money? I have been working for 30 years and have never once paid more than $10K a year for insurance across 10 jobs 15 of those years were a family plan. Hell one of those jobs was with Amazon - the company with the shittiest benefit package in all of BigTech and even then I only $12K with a family plan. Right now we pay around $10K - my wife myself and my adult but under 26 (step)son |
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| ▲ | paulddraper 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | While I won’t argue insurance wasn’t overall beneficial in your case… There is no way that $600,000 is the cash price for cancer treatment (especially 20 years ago, but also today). The average cost of cancer treatment is $150k [1], and lower with cash price + shopping. [1] https://treatcancer.com/blog/cost-of-cancer/ |
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| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | How much of a nest egg do you think would let you afford a major operation like heart surgery or cancer care? | | |
| ▲ | paulddraper 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Read the qualifier. And heart surgery is ~$60k. [1] That's <36 months of insurance premiums according to the earlier poster. [1] https://cost.sidecarhealth.com/ts/heart-bypass-surgery-cost-... | | |
| ▲ | raw_anon_1111 an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | I have never in my 30 year career paid more than $10K a year for health care across 10 jobs and that’s including working at Amazon with their shitty benefit package | |
| ▲ | mothballed 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | It cost $30k for a loved one just to go to the hospital when their heart "felt weird" but absolutely nothing turned out to be wrong and all they did was run a couple quick scans and tests. I do agree with the overall idea of what you're saying that usually the premiums are way more than what you could get care for if you just saved the money, but the numbers on the website seem very wrong. I realize it's a total anecdote but from loved one's bills it is $20-30k just to get in the door and that is if actually nothing is wrong and there is no heart attack yet they're quoting $30k for an actual heart attack care. | | |
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| ▲ | watwut 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Even a minor one. |
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| ▲ | skrtskrt an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > The magnitude of the investment also probably makes it impractical for anyone but the very wealthy to retire before that starts paying out... But they can pull out for housing right? That's an enormous portion of most people's expenses. If I didn't have to worry about housing, I could be living large on less than half of my salary, I would certainly semi-retire at least. | | |
| ▲ | everforward an hour ago | parent [-] | | Sort of. So far as I can tell, you can withdraw to buy housing but I don’t think you can pay rent out of it. The loans are also 75% max loan-to-value so I think until you can get 25% of the purchase price in your account you have to pay CPF and rent (or live with family). Also, not an economist, but I suspect the forced savings has a wildly inflationary effect on housing prices. You can’t do much else with the money until you retire, so I would guess the price of housing rises up to match the forced savings rate. |
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| ▲ | danans 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > The "tax" is the delta between what the government pays out for the bonds vs what a bond of equivalent risk in the free market would have paid. It also robs the individual's freedom to gamble with their retirement funds while expecting/demanding a bailout when shit hits the fan. In the USA we have thoughtful policies that allow people over a certain amount of wealth invested in key industries to do that. | |
| ▲ | alistairSH 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | That's not all that different than US Social Security. SS has a much lower required contribution/tax rate, but the overall scheme seems similar (lower than market returns, etc) and naming (despite SS actually being called a tax, many residents think of it as a required personal retirement savings account). | | |
| ▲ | everforward an hour ago | parent [-] | | SS is different mostly in that you’re not really loaning money to the government. The money coming in today mostly goes right back out as payments. There’s also an upper limit on SS taxable income. I forget what it is, but basically the entirety of the top quintile isn’t paying SS on their entire income. I want to say it’s like 90k, but it’s been a while since I looked. | | |
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| ▲ | ww520 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It’s not a win win policy. The citizens lose massive amount of their money to government on the bond yield delta. It preys on people not knowing the effect of long term compound interest. Edit: in fact interest delta is how banks make their huge profits except the government here does it by force. |
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| ▲ | cm2012 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | The average person does not make meaningful interest or investment income, its not practical to on individual small salaries. | | |
| ▲ | Aurornis 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | In this case the citizens are forced to save, but the interest they're given is less than what they would have earned by saving the same amount on their own. Also, the average person in the United States does have meaningful investments toward retirement age. |
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| ▲ | foxyv 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Why does the government get to decide when we retire? |
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| ▲ | paxys 5 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | You can retire whenever you want. The government decides when to start funding it. As for why - the same reason why they get to decide what side of the road you drive on and what laws you follow. They rule the patch of land you were born on, and if you don't like it you can either participate in the system (assuming it's a democracy) or leave. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | This boils down to a "Might makes right" claim. It doesn't answer the question why. Only how. | | |
| ▲ | jonahx 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | It definitely answers why. You are asking for an appeal to some moral justification. But there isn't one, and it doesn't matter. That's the whole point of "might makes right". | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | In an attempt to steelman, you are saying: "There is no moral justification for the government setting a retirement age, but they are able to. So it doesn't matter." | | |
| ▲ | philwelch 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The government doesn’t set the retirement age. You can retire whenever you want. There are no laws against a 50 year old retiring and living off his own savings, nor against a 70 year old continuing to work. There is a minimum age to collect old age benefits from the government. The justification for that should be obvious. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | The choice between working and starving to death is not a choice. If your savings have been taken by the government, then you don't have a choice. The justification is to force people to work until they are too old to do so. Then steal whatever they have left with medical bills and price hikes on necessities. | | |
| ▲ | jcranmer 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > The justification is to force people to work until they are too old to do so. Actually, the justification is to prevent old people from having to work. Retirement didn't really exist until the creation of pension systems in the late 19th century, and the modern social security system was a poverty alleviation measure introduced in the 1930s. Hell, social security was initially resented by older workers because of the cover it gave employers for firing them for being too old. | |
| ▲ | philwelch 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | And if I was emperor, I would abolish payroll taxes and phase out Social Security. Unfortunately, we live in a democracy. | | |
| ▲ | mothballed 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Social security was sold to the populace for purposes of voting as "insurance." Lawmakers straight up admitted they purposefully wrote the law in a confusing way[] -- resulting in evasion of democratic scrutiny and the scrutiny of the constitution. Then they briefly switched to not calling it insurance just for the purpose of scrutiny of the courts. Social Security constitutionality was ruled on just months after the 'switch in time that saved 9' associated with a threatening to pack the courts and evade the checks and balances built into our "democracy." They ruled it was covered under 'general welfare' in a way that was totally historically inaccurate. Furthermore, FDR and congress purposefully had it packaged in an omnibus style bill to evade democratic scrutiny over the individual portions, by purposefully torpedoing other aid to needy individuals if SS didn't pass, so that lawmakers wouldn't be able to vote on democratic view of SS but rather being damned in a catch-22 where they'd be accused of not helping out the needy in other ways. Basically the whole thing was designed to not only evade democracy but also the constitution. [] Recollections of the New Deal, by Thomas H. Eliot, pp. 102-115 (Northeastern University Press, Boston, 1991). |
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| ▲ | mothballed 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | But the CPF isn't represented as benefits from the government. It's represented and claimed to be your own savings that you have set aside. At gamed bond rates where the government skims off the top. |
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| ▲ | jonahx 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I'm just saying it is the answer. To make an overly dramatic analogy, if you were kidnapped and asked why the kidnapper was able to hold you against your will, the answer is because they've chained you up and they have the gun, and so on. That's literally the answer to why. The fact that what they're doing is morally wrong is completely irrelevant. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | I know why they are able, what I want people to think about is "Why." The kidnapper has a reason. |
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| ▲ | mothballed 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | CPF makes a moral justification by arguing it is a "savings and pension plan" under the auspices of a moral justification of helping citizens set aside their own money. The very first thing you are greeted with on their website is that it's savings and an overview represents it as "setting aside" your own funds. The government makes a moral justification of a savings plan but then when we dig down to it it's all ether and really just a scheme for bond rate arbitrage for the government. The point isn't that might makes right is false, it's that the moral justification is a facade. | | |
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| ▲ | paxys 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | What question do you want answered exactly? Why we have governments and not anarchy? | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Why does the government get to decide when we retire? | | |
| ▲ | paxys 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Like I said, they don't. You can retire today. They decide when you get access to a national retirement plan. Citizens of the country vote for that plan and how it is implemented. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | I personally could retire today. Most people can't. There is no referendum I remember where we decided to raise the retirement age. It seems like our government just kind of decided to do so. |
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| ▲ | seanmcdirmid 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Couldn’t you say the same thing about social security or pensions? There is a lot of economic forces that direct people to work until a certain age, the government controlling a benefit is only one of them. As to why, you’ll need to dissect representative democracies in Singapore’s case. | |
| ▲ | rayiner 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | You can retire whenever you want, but you specifically would probably die in the wilderness. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | You apparently know very little about me. Edit: Although, when my time comes as it inevitably will, I think the wilderness would be a nice place to do it. Maybe in a tree. |
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| ▲ | coldtea 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | It doesn't (you can retire early), but it does decide part of what you will need to be saving and how. And the reason it decides that, apart from "because it can", is because many societies have seen what happens when it's left to individuals to take care of this, and they fuck it up in massive numbers, and the outcome of that then fucks up society. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | It is really easy to "Fuck it up" when greedy assholes jack up the price of necessities like food, shelter, and medical care. 66% of bankruptcies are due to medical costs. We should just socialize necessities like food, shelter, and medical care so there is no chance of "Fucking it up." That would cover the possibility of disability as well. It sounds to me like we have built a system to exploit people as much as possible. Treating them like farm animals. | | |
| ▲ | lotsofpulp 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | >We should just socialize necessities like food, shelter, and medical care so there is no chance of "Fucking it up." How does socializing work if there are insufficient workers relative to non workers? I.e. the supply of food/shelter/medical care is insufficient to meet the demand? | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | Why would there be insufficient workers relative to non-workers? Socializing health care, shelter, and food does not lead to a worker shortage. In fact, having a healthier and taken care of population leads to prosperity in general. In addition, it leads to reduced costs. Countries with socialized medicine pay a fraction of what America does for better health outcomes. | | |
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| ▲ | stackbutterflow 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | This question cannot be asked in good faith on a user board. It requires an 800 pages book on politics, history, philosophy, economics to be properly answerered and it would barely scratch the surface. You might as well ask similar questions about most basic laws and concepts behind how western societies work. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yes, you should be asking similar questions about most basic laws and concepts behind how western society works. | | |
| ▲ | stackbutterflow 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | We should each ask ourselves such questions and review our view on them from time to time during our life because they're important, but mostly by doing our own research and self study. But asking point-blank strangers such a vague question is putting an unfair burden on them. There's maybe a few hundred people worldwide who could casually drop a proper answer to your question while casually browsing hn. I believe it'd be more fair to start answering your own question to show how far you are in your intellectual journey on that topic. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | My own answer is this. We have created a system of exploitation where we extract value from people's labor and transfer it to an oligarchicy that is slowly increasing in power. Governments are captured by that ruling class and are unwilling to do anything that threatens them. In addition, they are slowly reducing the rights and social mobility of the middle and lower class in order to expand the power and capital of the oligarchy. Any money that is possessed by the working classes is then taxed in the form of increased living expenses or directly by the government until they can barely afford the necessities that allow them to continue working. Once they are no longer able to do so, they are discarded and allowed to die of preventable illness, starvation, drug use or exposure. |
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| ▲ | ecshafer 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The government decides when we can retire and they help us out. You can stop working today if you want, Government shouldn't pay you for it for no reason. Your duty as a citizen is to work and build your nation, eventually the government pays back that service with benefits. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | This isn't something the government gives you. It is something they have confiscated and held on to. > Your duty as a citizen is to work and build your nation What about the duty of the trust fund babies and idle wealthy? What about the duty of the capital owners? Why is the retirement age going up instead of down as productivity increases? | | |
| ▲ | scottyah 18 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | because lifespans are increasing much more, people are outliving what they used to and are using a lot more money in retirement than they used to. Old people used to sit in houses and watch grandkids, now they're flying to foreign countries for fun. | |
| ▲ | sam1714 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Not for the majority of retirement savings in the US, where Social Security makes up only about 25%. In the case of 401(k)s/DC plans and private pensions/DB plans, the government allowed savings without "confiscation," i.e. immediate taxation. They gave us the benefit of deferred taxation if you wait until retirement age. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | What about the people who do not make enough to save and all their money goes to inflated living expenses? When do they get to retire? |
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| ▲ | goolz 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | These days I wonder about that duty I have. It sure felt obligatory some time ago. I thought of myself as a patriot and that the rule of law was something we we should be proud of. A country whose own anthem spoke of "liberty and justice for all". The current trajectory makes my question a lot of things, including this whole "government pays back that service with benefits" as it will be some time before I ever see a penny of SSI. A lot of our taxes in this country seem like a giant waste or are grossly inefficient at best. | | |
| ▲ | throwway120385 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | A lot of that here in the US is because we've lost the will to participate in the systems that establish these things. We leave that to other people, and those other people represent our interests poorly. The people in a democracy take a really long time to effect change. It can be a life's work for some people. But the premise is that if we can find common ground we can eventually see some of our ideas take shape. That does still work here, but we have to actually have real conversations with each other that respect each others' differences to get anywhere. | | |
| ▲ | scottyah 11 minutes ago | parent [-] | | After a bit it just comes down to motivation. Who wants to win more: 1. Someone who has everyone's best interests at heart so is unwilling to really run against anyone and is trying to balance out support for multiple conflicting groups all while learning the landscape and job or 2. Someone who knows they can use the position to get tens of millions of dollars, and are supported by a few large groups similarly motivated? This is how you get people like Va Lecia Adams Kellum and Karen Bass. |
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| ▲ | autoexec 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | > A lot of our taxes in this country seem like a giant waste or are grossly inefficient at best. It's our duty to elect people who use tax dollars wisely and to vote out officials who neglect their responsibility to the people and use tax money to enrich themselves and anyone else willing to bribe them. Our government is filled with grifters because we've failed to hold them meaningfully accountable for robbing us and failing to provide the benefits we're funding. Many of the grifters in government have been working hard to make it difficult to hold them accountable. They disenfranchise voters, they keep us afraid and our futures uncertain, they collude against efforts to reform the system they've established for their own benefit. Government was never going to just let us have "liberty and justice for all" the job was always on "we the people" to insist on it. We can't just pay taxes and expect everything to work out. We have to use the democracy we have to force the government to work for us and not just for themselves. If we've reached a point where that's no longer possible then it's our duty to "refresh the tree of liberty" until we have a government that works for us. | | |
| ▲ | c22 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Psychologically the deterioration of we the people's power happens at an even more basic level when children are taught to resolve their conflicts by seeking out an adult. |
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| ▲ | foxyv 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I wouldn't mind taxes if everyone paid their fair share and it went to improving the lives of everyone instead of the wealthy few. We live in the most productive times per capita that have ever existed. Why do we need to scrimp and save to buy food while the number of billionaires continues to climb? | | |
| ▲ | throwway120385 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Because we're failing to hold those billionaires accountable to the system that allows them to accumulate their wealth. | | |
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| ▲ | carlosjobim 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | There is no "we" and has never been. Anybody who talks to you about "we" or "us" or your "duty" is just seeking to exploit you, hoping that you're dumb enough to fall for it. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | There is in fact a we. It's just not based on race, religion, ethnicity, language, gender, or sexuality. "We" are the ones who create and work for a living instead of living off the backs of others. "They" are immensely wealthy oligarchs that exploit us using their ownership of land, buildings, communication networks and machines we need to survive. |
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| ▲ | 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | [deleted] | |
| ▲ | jcranmer 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | The government doesn't decide when you retire. The government decides when it is willing to pay you to be retired. | | |
| ▲ | foxyv 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Social security is an entitlement. They have taken money from your paycheck to fund it. In fact, they have taken more from your paycheck than they will pay back to you in order to pay for an aging population. The extra goes to bonds which the government then uses to reduce inflation when they decide to invade random countries or bail out a bank. Now, why does the government get to decide when I retire with my own money? | | |
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| ▲ | Aurornis 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > instead of just throwing it into a tax. It makes the government money It is a tax, but with extra steps. The reason it makes the government money is because they’re collecting the extra interest that citizens would have earned if they were free to invest it on their own. |
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| ▲ | paulddraper 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| It’s analogous to the US, where you put money into social security and then withdraw later. The only question is whether the fund is running at a surplus or not. The US has raided its fund to finance other government programs, and then will have to pay it back via tax revenues. |
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| ▲ | zozbot234 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| > It covers a major individual cost and need (retirement, medical, housing) instead of just throwing it into a tax. Forced saving makes it a tax. It's essentially no different than payroll taxes in the U.S. that fund Social Security. Buying government bonds is still marginally better accounting than a complete Ponzi scam like Social Security in the U.S., but even that ultimately amounts to the same thing - the government is paying itself, so it's a wash. |
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| ▲ | drivebyhooting 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Except for the part where citizens get low returns and are forced to work their whole lives accruing minimal benefit. How is being a serf win win? |
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| ▲ | delta_p_delta_x 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Singapore is one of the last countries one will be a 'serf' in. The parent contributor has conveniently left out the fact that the 37% of CPF contributions is split 20-17 in terms of employee-employer contributions[1], and has a ceiling of S$8000[2], so if one earns more than that, every additional dollar goes entirely to them, which is also taxed at globally low income tax rates[3]. One can put all one's post-tax money into any stocks/bonds/funds, and there is also no capital gains tax[4]. [1]: https://www.cpf.gov.sg/employer/employer-obligations/how-muc... [2]: https://www.cpf.gov.sg/employer/infohub/news/cpf-related-ann... [3]: https://www.iras.gov.sg/taxes/individual-income-tax/basics-o... [4]: https://www.iras.gov.sg/taxes/individual-income-tax/basics-o... | | |
| ▲ | gruez 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | >The parent contributor has conveniently left out the fact that the 37% of CPF contributions is split 20-17 in terms of employee-employer contributions[1] This point is a shell game, because the employer's share is still effectively being taken from the employee. It's equivalent of "tariffs are paid by foreigners!" that's trotted out for supporting tariffs. | | |
| ▲ | kaashif an hour ago | parent [-] | | I almost feel like the employee/employer distinction is actually worse than tariff fakery because at least tariffs are somewhat confusing to the average person, so you almost see why they get fooled. But I feel like no-one would be fooled if you changed an e to an r on payslips (employee contribution to employer) - it's just obviously the same. |
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| ▲ | dmoy 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | $8000 is considerably above median income, no? | | |
| ▲ | InkCanon 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Yes. Bluntly put, the government maximizes residence of high net worth individuals, and a 37% forced purchase of low interest bonds would be outrageous to them. |
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| ▲ | spyckie2 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | You mean the US, right? Especially with the part 2? I know this may sound like a shock because you are privileged but 7% yoy return on capital is NOT the norm for the rest of the world. Just look at any other index not called the S&P or the Dow. Look up US exceptionalism. The US policy for retirement savings shackles the younger generation with a ticking time bomb. Forcing your own citizens to save money for themselves is a lot better than forcing your own citizens to pay for others. Which one is more morally cruel? HK has a similar forced savings, but that ROI is like 1 or 2% and the options to invest are paltry. Some perspective is necessary. Yes it’s not great but compared to the rest of the world it’s stellar. | | |
| ▲ | drivebyhooting 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | If ROI is lower than inflation then what’s the point of saving? So you can have an even worse standard of living after you retire? Forced investment in low ROI vehicles is just a tax by another name. | | |
| ▲ | spyckie2 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | Well, would you have a better standard of living with $0 or $1000 when you retire? Even if that $1000 used to be worth $10000, that $0 is still worth $0. |
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| ▲ | butterbomb 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | People don’t believe me when I tell them that there’s a large portion of even the American population that will happily accept the simplicity and safety of serfdom. | |
| ▲ | 3rodents 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I can’t speak for Singaporeans and every government has their detractors but the Singaporeans I’ve known loved their system and hated the western systems they were exposed to. They would laugh if you tried to describe their life as serfdom when compared to a life in the U.S. or Europe. | | |
| ▲ | InkCanon 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | I'll be blunt and say most Singaporeans have a very poor idea of how these policies work. Another major one - virtually all Singaporeans believe they own their houses, and it is a point of pride and financial security. Most houses are on 99 year leases, but the idea that is deeply lodged is that this is longer than you can live so this is inconsequential. While this is true if they only cared about living in it, houses have huge financial/investment value to Singaporeans. Despite the iron mathematical law that these houses must depreciate their lease value, most Singaporeans believe house prices will continue to rise based on historical trends. The math just doesn't work out. | | |
| ▲ | autoexec 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > virtually all Singaporeans believe they own their houses, and it is a point of pride and financial security. Most houses are on 99 year leases It's not as if the US fairs any better. Here you never own your home, you have to pay property taxes your whole life (basically rent) or it will be taken from you. Eminent domain means that they can take your property from you at any time even if you've kept paying them. Singapore has a home ownership rate of ~90% vs 65% in the US and prices are so unaffordable that on average people buying their first starter homes in the US are in their 40s! Most Americans, if they're lucky will get maybe get 30 years of their life in a home they own while they are still young and healthy enough to enjoy it. Last I heard Singapore only had about 1,000 homeless. Whatever they're doing with housing could probably be improved on, but they seem to be doing a lot better than we are. | |
| ▲ | zozbot234 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | 99 year leases make complete sense. Much of the value of a 'house' in an urban area like Singapore is actually in the land, and the value is being created by the community on a day-to-day basis. It makes no sense for that value to be captured for all future time by a single owner, that just encourages pointless speculation and makes it harder to allocate real estate towards its highest and most valuable use. | | |
| ▲ | gruez 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | > It makes no sense for that value to be captured for all future time by a single owner, that just encourages pointless speculation and makes it harder to allocate real estate towards its highest and most valuable use. How do 99 year leases fix the problem? Do people actually get kicked out at 99 years, or does the government renew it for a nominal fee? | | |
| ▲ | delta_p_delta_x 34 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | The overwhelming majority of homes in Singapore are HDB flats built by the government. These are torn down and new, taller buildings fitting more people built in their place. It's called the Selective En-Block Redevelopment Scheme, or SERS[1]. People sell their flats to the government and are given new flats in other neighbourhoods, while their old homes are torn down and new ones rebuilt. So, yes, in some way, they are 'kicked out'. [1]: https://www.hdb.gov.sg/residential/living-in-an-hdb-flat/ser... | |
| ▲ | zozbot234 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | If the lease gets renewed at market value then there's no point in speculating about what that land might be worth in the farther future. It's a key difference from a system where all of the future value must be captured at once by a single owner. | | |
| ▲ | gruez 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Doesn't that just turn into a property tax of 1% per year, without a massive tax bill every 99 years? 99 years is long enough that there's going to be at least 2 owners, which means all sorts of strategizing required on how to plan for the renewal of the lease. |
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| ▲ | delta_p_delta_x 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I think Singaporeans have a decent idea, and given their quality of lives, they have no problems with the trade-offs. If they do, they leave. And many go back, because the trade-offs in the West are even worse. > Despite the iron mathematical law that these houses must depreciate their lease value SERS means that houses slated to be torn down are resold back to the government at near-market rates excluding the effect of the 99-year leasehold. In Singapore, the government owns everything, even ostensibly 'freehold' land. If they want to run an MRT line under your house, and they need to tear your house down to get to it, they will force you to sell your house and your land to them. Has happened before, will absolutely happen again. It's an island city-state smaller than London. There is literally no space anywhere else. | | |
| ▲ | zozbot234 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > If they want to run an MRT line under your house, and they need to tear your house down to get to it, they will force you to sell your house and your land to them. Eminent domain exists in the U.S. and other developed countries too. The point of it is largely to prevent any single owner from "holding up" a non-trivial project like an MRT line. | |
| ▲ | InkCanon 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I think whether houses should be sold on a 99 year lease vs property is a large and separate question. The vast misunderstanding of it still remains - the idea that a house is owned, not rented. Selective properties might be bought back. But the fundamental invariant of this whole situation is that all 99 year leases will worth 0 eventually. Any rise in prices now only increases the eventual depreciation. And add on that massive loans are taken out on depreciating assets, so it's not an investment, it's a liability. And the significant majority of Singaporeans bears this liability on their books. | | |
| ▲ | delta_p_delta_x 28 minutes ago | parent [-] | | > 99 year leases will worth 0 eventually. That's not how it works. The flats aren't valued for their space in the sky; they are valued for the land they are attached to, and their proximity and connections to other communities and infrastructure. I've already said that flats slated for SERS are bought back by the government at market rates well in advance of their leases expiring. > The vast misunderstanding of it still remains - the idea that a house is owned, not rented. What you seem to greatly misunderstand is that land in Singapore is at an extreme premium, the likes of which is hitherto unseen anywhere else. With this context in hand, the idea of traditional 'home ownership' is fundamentally flawed in the first place, because unlike much larger countries, there isn't a large suburban or rural zone in which a new city can just be sprouted up. 750 square kilometres is all you have, and if you have to recycle existing land to maximise its use, so be it, and if it means 99-year leases, then that is the cost. Given average human lifespans, the Western concept of a 'freehold' doesn't really make that much sense anyway, unless you want monarchies, oligarchies, or corporate dynasties monopolising prime land and settling into an even more predatory outright rental economy, which is already seen in most large cities elsewhere. |
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| ▲ | nosianu 5 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Unless we scale back our lives significantly, and are fine with a lot less stuff and vacations and devices and modernized living (houses and transit today are vastly more complex systems than a few decades ago), there simply is no way to let a large number of people live like rich people. I grew up in East Germany, and while it was a total failure, they got at least one idea correct in the workers paradise: We need to work. (Never mind the implementation, I already said it was a total failure, okay? It's about problem recognition, not about the quality of the solution.) And you know what? I'm actually like my grandfather, who without any need whatsoever continued to work well past retirement, privately, painting a house here, doing some paint shop there, designing and installing a sun dial somewhere. He only got off the scaffolding on a house's paint job a week before he died. I too would hate to just laze around. I LOVE doing useful stuff. I worked and made money many times as a child already, and it was always fun! What stopped the fun was the coming of The West (which I too went to the streets for and wanted, still, "side effects may apply"). While I studied CS I took a job in a chocolate factory, not because I needed the money, but because that's what I always did and was used to. Being in the production of stuff is actually FUN! Except then came some western management idiot to make it clear fun is over. I had just setup a machine to work as efficiently and as well as possible (because that's fun!), so now I had to wait a few minutes for it to finish. Just a few minutes, no time to start something else. So I briefly sat next to it and waited for it to finish. In comes the management idiot, immediately jumping on me, why am I lazing around??? That's not what they pay me for! Just an anecdote, and of course it is much better in knowledge jobs, but that, and the fact that the money accumulates towards the top is what I think is a HUGE problem in today's capitalism. No wonder they have to make live as miserable as possible for the working majority, because there is no fun. The managers and owners think we don't want to work, and treat us accordingly. But it is THEM who are responsible for much of that. | | |
| ▲ | drivebyhooting 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Working as a painter for lack of imagination of what else to do is not fun. It reminds me of being “institutionalized” from Shawshank’s redemption. | | |
| ▲ | bubblewand 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Adult coloring books are a thing. I could definitely see a person enjoying a version of that, that also had a purpose beyond killing time. | |
| ▲ | nosianu 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | [flagged] |
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| ▲ | temp8830 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | You get lots of vacations? And fancy transit systems? Where do you live and work? |
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