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lccerina 3 hours ago

Everyone: things suck, better move my stuff on a small home server. The hyper-scaler mafia: NOT ON MY WATCH!

The only silver lining is that newer devices will have to scale down memory, so developers will have to ditch memory-sucking frameworks and start to optimize things again.

stingraycharles 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I’m just afraid that prices of $everything will go up soon and will not come down anymore, like they did after Covid.

If it’s temporary I can live with it.

I guess this was inevitable with the absolute insane money being poured into AI.

FrankBooth 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

We useless eaters are to be priced out of life soon enough.

dgxyz 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Traditionally that hasn't gone well for the rich folk.

brador 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Truer than even you dare to admit.

How many useless living humans do you know? They go somewhere. Something happens to them. Whatever it is it’s about to happen to 30% of the population.

What’s the opposite of survivor bias?

iso1631 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> I’m just afraid that prices of $everything will go up soon and will not come down anymore, like they did after Covid.

Just like the price of labour. Your salary went up and doesn't come down

In the UK weekly earnings increased 34% from December 2019 to December 2025.

CPI went up 30% in the same period.

Obviously that CPI covers things which went up more, and things which went up less, and your personal inflation will be different to everyone elses. Petrol prices end of Jan 2020 were 128p a litre, end of Jan 2025 they are 132p a litre [0]. Indeed petrol prices were 132p in January 2013. If you drive 40,000 miles a year you will thus see far lower inflation than someone who doesn't drive.

[0] https://www.rac.co.uk/drive/advice/fuel-watch/

roysting 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Traps tend to only go one way.

cube00 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>If it’s temporary I can live with it.

Given this has been going on for years at this point, the high prices of graphics cards through crypto and now AI, it feels like this is the new normal, forever propped up by the next grift.

dgxyz 3 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't think this ideology and investment strategy will survive this grift. There's too much geopolitical instability and investment restructuring for it to work again. Everyone is looking at isolationist policies. I mean mastercard/visa is even seen as a risk outside US now.

lazide 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Yup, when you can’t trust partners (or even nominal allies), what else is there but isolationism?

dgxyz 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

It's not really isolation but exclusion. Push all risks as far away from you as possible.

lazide 2 hours ago | parent [-]

When everything ‘outside’ is a risk, what would you call a summary of that policy?

dgxyz 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Well a risk has an abstract level and is either increasing or decreasing. You can look at your risk profile over time and work out how to define policy going forwards. It takes a long time to make changes at country level.

US is medium risk and increasing rapidly. Run away quickly.

iso1631 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

cooperation.

Sure you have to isolate certain rogue states - North Korea, Russia, USA. Always the way.

Fervicus 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> I don't think this ideology and investment strategy will survive this grift

Big tech will be deemed "too big to fail" and will get a bail out. The tax payers will suffer.

dgxyz 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Big tech has already failed. Which is why it got into politics.

buran77 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

> I’m just afraid that prices of $everything will go up soon and will not come down anymore, like they did after Covid.

That's how inflation works. In this case it seems more narrow though, there's hope the prices will go down. Especially if the AI hype finds a reason to flounder.

b3lvedere 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The main thing that the powers that be have always underestimated is the insane creativity the common people have when it comes to wanting things, but being forced to use alternative ways. Not going to say it won't suck, but interesting ways will indeed be found.

roysting 3 hours ago | parent [-]

You’re going to find what, ways to make hand crafted survival RAM and drives in your backyard chip foundry?

Call me cynical if you like, but I don’t see this optimism that assumes the banal idea that somehow good always wins, when that’s simply not possible and in fact bad-guys have won many times before, it’s just that “dead men tell no tales” and the winners control what you think is reality.

louiskottmann 2 hours ago | parent | next [-]

People will find a way to not need as much RAM, and thus the devices that require it.

Same way the price of groceries going up means people buy only what they need and ditch the superfluous.

zozbot234 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The Chinese have end-to-end production capacity for lower capacity, lower performance/reliability consumer HDDs, so these are quite safe. Maybe we'll even see enterprise architectures where that cheap bottom-of-the-barrel stuff is used as opportunistic nearline storage, and then you have a far lower volume of traditional enterprise drives providing a "single source of truth" where needed.

lazide 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

One way of putting it, is the winners are ‘the good guys’.

lowdude 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Unless people notice that they just built lots of useless datacenters and push back towards a mainframe + terminal setup, because ah sorry, modern software just runs much better that way, and you can save money on our inexpensive laptop with subscription model

dgxyz 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Saw this one coming and got my personal stuff out. It's running on an old Lenovo crate chucked in my hallway.

Work is fucked. 23TB of RAM online. Microservices FTW. Not. Each node has OS overhead. Each pod has language VM overhead. And the architecture can only cost more over time. On top of that "storage is cheap so we won't bother to delete anything". Stupid mentality across the board.

roysting 2 hours ago | parent [-]

It is one tiny sliver of silver lining that “storage/memory/compute is cheap” nonsense that has produced all kinds of outsourced human slop code. That mentality is clearly going to have to die.

It could even become a kind of renaissance of efficient code… if there is any need for code at all.

The five guys left online might even get efficient and fast loading websites.

Honorable mention of the NO-TECH and LOW-TECH magazine site because I liked the effort at exploring efficient use of technology, e.g., their ~500KB solar powered site.

https://solar.lowtechmagazine.com/about/

dgxyz 2 hours ago | parent [-]

I think your ideological perspective is spot on.

We went from using technology to solve problems to the diametric opposite of creating new problems to solve with technology. The latter will have to contract considerably. As you say, many problems can be solved without code. If they even need to be solved in the first place.

On the efficiency front, most of what we built is for developer efficiency rather than runtime efficiency. Also needs to stop.

I'm a big fan of low tech. I still write notes on paper and use a film camera. Thanks for the link - right up my street!

ckbkr10 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> The only silver lining is that newer devices will have to scale down memory, so developers will have to ditch memory-sucking frameworks and start to optimize things again.

No. Prices will just go up, less innovation in general.

lazide 2 hours ago | parent [-]

A few places will have no choice - low price elasticity, combined with things that need to actually work.

theandrewbailey 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

At least we can add "use the least amount of RAM and drive space" to our AI prompts.

/s

zozbot234 2 hours ago | parent [-]

Well you can do that, but then the AI won't be nearly as smart as it was before...