| ▲ | KnuthIsGod 4 hours ago |
| Global sales of Porsche, Audi, Mercedes and BMW brand ( BMW Group sales increased marginally, but includes) have all declined. The end is in sight for German cars as Chinese made electric cars take over. I have had several German cars.
Never again !
Sticking to Japanese and probably Chinese cars in the future. German cars were decent once.
Now they are notorious for poor long term reliability. |
|
| ▲ | brianpan 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] |
| If we're comparing notes, I traded in my Model 3 for a BMW i4 and I couldn't be happier. It's a nicer car and more fun to drive! JD Power and Consumer Reports both rate BMW above average. BTW, my impression of BMW maintenance from prior decades is expensive and not great reliability. I care about it less now with EVs because there is so much less regular maintenance. No oil changes, no brake pad changes, etc. |
| |
| ▲ | skylurk 2 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Yep. EVs are a once in a lifetime chance for EU and Chinese manufacturers to catch up again or even leapfrog Toyota. Until recently Toyota was 20 years ahead wrt reliability and upkeep. Soon, battery weight and performance will be the main differentiator of vehicles. | |
| ▲ | dotancohen 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Counterpoint. After driving my Model 3 in 2022, a colleague bought his first non-BMW: a Tesla Model 3. His only complaints were the seat and the handling. Everything else he liked better about the Tesla. This from someone who owned three or four BMWs. | | |
| ▲ | the_pwner224 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | You can get a BMW for $40k or $120k. Big spectrum. As another datapoint, I have one of those higher tier BMWs and even the top trim Lucid's interior feels like a downgrade compared to my car. The $50-80k BMWs also feel cheap and crappy to drive when I've tested them. Tesla can't compete on anything except their ADAS which is superior. If you're transitioning from a barebones 330i then yeah the Tesla is probably better. But it's not even close when you compare to the top end German vehicles. |
| |
| ▲ | lotsofpulp 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I would hope a car that costs ~$30k more is nicer and more fun to drive. |
|
|
| ▲ | rr808 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Japanese and Chinese are very different buckets. What is the long term reliability of Chinese cars? Nobody knows. |
| |
| ▲ | thaumasiotes 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | I wouldn't be too concerned. Hyundai used to be synonymous with "garbage". | | |
| ▲ | linksnapzz 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | People who have purchased Hyundai/Kia products w/ the GDI Theta II engine would, perhaps, take issue with "used to be". | | |
| ▲ | Braxton1980 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | One engine issue due to a manufacturing flaw shouldn't be enough to counter their massive change in produt lines over the years | | |
| ▲ | jmb99 14 minutes ago | parent | next [-] | | I have a decent amount of second hand experience with used cars, through my brother who is a mechanic and spent a number of years working at a used car dealership. Hyundai/Kia is the only company he ever had to do engine replacements for at said dealership, and he did dozens. All under 200k km (frequently right after the extended warranty on the engines ran out, and occasionally on the second or even third engine for the vehicle). These are cars with good service history and otherwise in excellent condition. Sometimes cars they got on trade, sometimes purchased from auctions, sometimes customer cars (after they were sold). No rhyme or reason, just a genuinely bad design that was “fixed” but never fixed. The only other universally-bad major component is JATCO CVT transmissions. I think his record was an Infiniti QX60 that had 95k km and a blown transmission. Most small vehicle/sedan CVTs he did were in the 160-190k km range, with some lasting as long as 250k km. And of course they were not repairable, since even if parts were available, the entire thing grenades leaving basically nothing left to rebuild. Point being, “one engine issue due to a manufacturing flaw” is drastically underselling the issue, at best. It is an incorrectly-engineered engine that fails prematurely when built within specification, except when the tolerance stackup lines up in your favour and you perform much more frequent maintenance than prescribed. Oh and the affected engines were manufactured over about 15 years (and there’s signs that their current GDI 4-cylinders are still affected). | |
| ▲ | randerson 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The E-GMP Hyundai/Kia EV platform is also unreliable. Around 1 in every 50 of these cars will suddenly lose power while driving due to ICCU failure. Search any forum for the EV6 or Ioniq 5 and this is all over. Mine broke down and got towed back to the shop so many times, where it sat for ages because my dealer was sharing a single EV-qualified tech with 2 other dealers. I eventually had the car Lemon Law'd. As far as I know this issue is still unsolved after 4+ years. (The software recall made no difference.) I loved the car when it was working though. | |
| ▲ | olyjohn 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Maybe just anecdotal evidence, but i'm noticing a lot of Kias with no brake lights. I'm suspecting bad body control modules are going to become more of a thing as these cars age. I noticed when GMT800 trucks were blowing DRLs constantly and lo and behold there's a TSB for that. So I don't think I'm imagining things. | | |
| ▲ | calvinmorrison 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | what it with cheap imports and no DRLs? 9/10 cars driving in the rain seem to be grey nissans that are invisible 30 feet away |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | dietr1ch 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Yeah maybe I'll get a Chinese car in 50yrs |
|
|
|
| ▲ | toephu2 an hour ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| ICE cars are on the way to becoming obsolete. Japan doesn't produce many strong competing EVs at the moment. Why are you sticking with Japanese cars? why not American? But yes definitely Chinese EVs in the future when they come to America/Europe. |
|
| ▲ | etempleton 2 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Porsche / Audi are selling a lot more cars then they were 10-15 years ago. I think they will be okay. Chinese brands will cut into all establish automaker sales, but the German cars have strong brands that symbolize luxury. Look at Land Rover. There are cars are completely unreliable and they are selling more than ever at increasingly ludicrous prices. I agree with you, but luxury car manufactures largely sell leases. So they are designing their cars for that market. |
| |
| ▲ | monero-xmr an hour ago | parent [-] | | I am very much interested in electric cars that look like normal cars. I understand the battery changes things. But why they have to shit up the design of 75% of electric cars is nonsensical to me |
|
|
| ▲ | jacquesm 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| I don't mind paying more for a European product, and as for the 'poor long term reliability': we don't know what the long term reliability of Chinese vehicles is yet. Not that it really matters, my car is 27 years old this year and I won't be getting another one but that has to do with wanting a car that is doing what I want it to do rather than what it wants to do. |
| |
| ▲ | dottjt 4 hours ago | parent [-] | | I don't know if this is paranoia, but one fear I have for high-tech Chinese products is that if a world war were to start with China, that they'd have the ability to remotely disable these kinds of products. | | |
| ▲ | jacquesm 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | After the Israeli attack using pagers I think this is no longer paranoid at all. The same goes for Chinese built cloud connected hardware, especially if it is grid connected, contains heater elements or batteries. Inverters, solar panels, vehicles, 3D printers, the list is endless and all of these are either potential fire starters or ways to destabilize the grid. Used maliciously the potential for misery is pretty large. All this crap that wants to connect to the cloud from a country where your average citizen has very limited access to the internet should give you pause: if the Chinese government thinks these connections are A-ok then they must see some advantage, especially if all the services are supposedly free of charge. | | |
| ▲ | eru 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | > The same goes for Chinese built cloud connected hardware, [...] It goes even more for American built or American influenced hardware. | | |
| ▲ | jacquesm 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Probably, yes, but this subthread is about war with China. | |
| ▲ | jopsen 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Yeah, but until this whole Greenland debacle few people would imagine a war with the US. |
| |
| ▲ | tehjoker 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | China is much less likely to attack civilians. Don't project america and israel's way of war onto others. I would imagine part of their strategy is to win hearts ad minds. America just kills and kills and kills and wonders why we arent loved. | | |
| ▲ | ericmay 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | Hmmm, what’s your sample size? Which wars has China been involved with and how have they treated civilians? If Taiwan is invaded how do you think things will go if some number of Taiwanese people are defending the island mixed in with the local populace? Will the PLA call in an airstrike on an apartment with a sniper, or do you think they’ll go the hearts and minds route? Part of the problem with your statement here, in my view, is you’re suggesting that the United States or Israel’s “way of war” is. It the default, or that in comparison to how other countries treat civilians may actually be more humane. I don’t think there’s a large sample size, or any particularly strong evidence to suggest how China will treat civilians. And if you take into account how China has treated its own people, it’s not much better or worse than the United States. Maybe worst, actually, since Americans do have a legal right to protest. | |
| ▲ | anonzzzies 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | in case of war, you cannot know that; if they can blow up millions of phones or routers (setting houses on fire) or ignite cars? i agree with you that currently there would be no reason to even project such an image: better to win with trade and trinkets and dialog. I would say thats always the case but he ho. | |
| ▲ | jacquesm 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | > China is much less likely to attack civilians. They were pretty happy to attack their own civilians, I see no reason to think why that would be different abroad. > Don't project america and israel's way of war onto others. I'm not projecting, merely being cautious. Besides, I have no illusion about either America or Israel doing something similar, especially not with their current upper cadre but this subthread is about China). > I would imagine part of their strategy is to win hearts ad minds. I would imagine it isn't. See also: partnering with Putin in the war with Ukraine. > America just kills and kills and kills and wonders why we arent loved. Yes, but they're not alone in that. | | |
| ▲ | eru 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | > They were pretty happy to attack their own civilians, [...] Yes. > [...] I see no reason to think why that would be different abroad. Well, you can look at the history of the PRC so far. > I would imagine it isn't. See also: partnering with Putin in the war with Ukraine. It's not all that much of a partnership. They are mostly squeezing Russia dry with cheap oil, and press territorial concessions out of the Tsar in the East, when he's busy in the West. |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | anonzzzies 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | I do not think it is paranoia. But we can have this from anywhere. American devices, EU devices; if I cannot analyse the firmware, ICs etc, what is going to guarantee these are not remotely exploitable. Even if Porsche never built such a thing on purpose, the car is connected so someone can break in, hack it and do stuff including possible overhead the battery so it ignites. It does not have to be on purpose quality wise either: I had 2 spicy pillows in my life (and I have a lot of gadgets, including fully Chinese ones); a Samsung flagship phone and a macbook air. Both just unannounced got very hot and broke open: no fire but still... So I would say it is possible for a state actor to remotely hack, take over and ignite your Samsung and Macbook as apparently it can already almost happen without hackers. What to do about it? Without just fully open sourcing hardware and software, I do not know. I mean that would not help a lot if no one reads it and finds the issues/vulnerabilities, but at least we stand a chance, vs now. Unplugging from internet is not really a thing, although, when it comes to cars and airplanes i would rather see it mandatory non connected. | | |
| ▲ | jacquesm 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | People don't realize that every device with a LiPo is only one (possibly malicious) update away from becoming a fuse. | | |
| ▲ | Liftyee 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | Meh, often the LiPo protection logic is hardware based to prevent just this sort of mistake/sabotage. Some protection chips are software-configurable or reprogrammable, but the parameters are again limited (by design). Perhaps you could cause long-term damage by programming it to manage the battery poorly, like repeatedly charging/discharging it deeply. I think "every device" is just fearmongering. No software Apple/Huawei push could immediately make a phone or laptop combust. Electric cars, 3D printers, etc... I'm not so sure. | | |
| ▲ | anonzzzies 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | You cannot (I don't know) use the cpu, gpu etc to overheat it quick enough, during charging, to get it over the threshold? But even if that is not possible, de-activation would he possible; finding a 0 day as nation state and using it to disable all iPhones currently connected in the US? |
|
|
| |
| ▲ | dathinab 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | it's not paranoia chips with backdoors which would allow exactly something like that (or many other things) have been found more then once in recent years AFIK through a fancy personal car stopping working is the least relevant target. Network backbone, smart phones, and other core infrastructure is a much more relevant target. And even for cars all the non-personal vehicles (e.g. ambulance, trucks, police ...) are much more relevant targets. | |
| ▲ | jazzyjackson 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Certainly anything that downloads over the air updates. I'm not mad that our government turned down import of EVs from a country that became an adversary | |
| ▲ | longitudinal93 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Disabling them is one thing. Having them auto-drive to select locations and self-immolate is another entirely. | |
| ▲ | wslh 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | The reverse is clear for Chinese people. Do you remember when, in the early 2000s, the US sold a Boeing 767 intended for Chinese presidential use, and Chinese authorities later reported finding numerous hidden listening devices on board? There is a Chinese Wikipedia article about the incident [1], but no dedicated English one. More information in English can be found here [2]. [1] https://zh.wikipedia.org/zh-cn/%E6%B1%9F%E6%BE%A4%E6%B0%91%E... [2] https://www.flightglobal.com/chinese-vip-jet-was-bugged/4121... | |
| ▲ | mamp 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Sadly, the US is more likely to at war with Europe than China |
|
|
|
| ▲ | thesmtsolver2 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Suddenly most of the world doesn't care about human rights? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BYD_Brazil_working_conditions_... https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2024/10/human-rights-... https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3v5n7w55kpo |
| |
| ▲ | luigi23 4 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | yes, because when cars were bad and chinese brands were cheap, it was virtuous to pinpoint human rights vs 'chinese cars are yucky and i want to look cool'. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instrumental_and_intrinsic_val... | |
| ▲ | asdff 3 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] | | Don't ask german car companies what they were doing between 1939 and 1945 | | |
| ▲ | cromka 3 hours ago | parent [-] | | We all know that. Doesn't mean we need to be OK with that forever should any other company attempt that? |
| |
| ▲ | light_hue_1 4 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | No one cared to begin with. Just look up the horrors involved with Apple phones. People want their fancy devices. Doesn't matter if slave labor is involved. Doesn't matter if we need to add nets to prevent laborers from killing themselves instead of putting up with the horrible conditions we force them into. |
|
|
| ▲ | cortesoft 4 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-] |
| Are all German cars the same? Is there a reason they all declined together, in your opinion? |
| |
| ▲ | Grimblewald 3 hours ago | parent | next [-] | | no OP, but as someone who comes from a family where German cars were king for several reasons, who have all become disillusioned and now buy Asian cars, where the reason is simple. American style corporate greed infested German auto-manufactures and it shows at every level. It is most obvious with things like subscription services for basic function, like acceleration or the seat heaters you already paid for, but it has been present in a more insidious way for far longer, like intentionally breaking good design so that small cheap and easy to mass manufacture parts break at predictable schedules. These are then quoted to you at $900+ for a part that will cost you 60 through china, for what is a plastic mould, some magnets and a wire. The cheap replacements work just fine and last just as long. So, over time, we've become so fed-up with it, and it is a problem present from bmw, vw, audi and beyond, that we just started going with Toyota/Hyundai or Chinese EV's etc, and no one has a gripe since. Repairs when required are cheap and easy, often easily done at home, cars drive almost if not just as well, mileage is comparable, joy of driving is comparable, overall there is simply no value left in German cars beyond the status symbol, something we care little for. | | |
| ▲ | anonfornoreason an hour ago | parent | next [-] | | I always loved BMWs from the 80s and 90s, but settled on Volkswagens because I was just a poor teen or early 20 year old. Finally got the means to buy a top of the line X7, and have regretted the purchase for may of the reasons you listed. The software is garbage, the car is too fancy (electric folding seats) but poorly implemented so it’s just frustrating. Total nanny car, can’t turn off backup beeping alerts. Rear row of seats randomly go to full hot on the climate system. New battery is $700. Can only use a BMW battery installed by a BMW technician with computer access (they are coded and only a tech with the keys can pair the new battery to your car). Should have just bought a damned minivan, but the wife likes it and doesn’t want to get rid of it. The enthusiasts car company is no more. | | |
| ▲ | SoftTalker 19 minutes ago | parent [-] | | I love my older (80's and 90's) Mercedes. Reliable and pretty simple to work on. But I would not buy a new one for similar reasons as you cite for your BMW. But parts for the older ones are getting harder to come by. The Classic Center isn't what it once was. You used to be able to get almost any part for any car but many things are NLA for cars that are only 20-30 years old. |
| |
| ▲ | avidiax 2 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | I haven't bought German ever, but everything I hear seems pretty negative. Some of the recent models have plastic timing chain guides and have turned the engine around so that the timing chains are in the back. The only innocent explanation is that the car is only meant to last 10 years at most, so saving the money on plastic instead of metal and screwing whoever owns the car when the timing chains need to be redone (or ruining the engine when the chain fails) is out of scope for their quality team. There were many older models of BMW that had an electric water pump. If that sounds silly, well, it is. And it failed frequently and was again, very difficult to replace. I just don't have any respect for German automotive engineering. Reliability is job #1. And the company's themselves, well, "collusive" is a pretty good term. I saw an estimate that German auto industry collusion resulted in about $10k of additional cost per vehicle to U.S. buyers. The cases have somehow been kept quiet, but they've at least been caught holding back innovations until the other automakers have a competitive response, and gaslighting regulators into allowing higher emissions from diesels in the name of reducing the size and filling frequency of the AdBlue tank. I've also heard that there's another layer of this in the parts suppliers. Explains how a wiper motor or wiper body module is somehow hundreds of dollars. | | |
| ▲ | etempleton 2 hours ago | parent [-] | | The majority of German Luxury cars are leased more often than bought outright. I think it was Audi where 80% of new car purchases were leases. They are not building the car for long term ownership. They are building the car for people that want to change cars every 3 years. |
|
| |
| ▲ | Braxton1980 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] | | Hey. He has ancedtoal evidence he used to make a sweeping generalization about all cars based on country even though that grouping has little to no value in the cars themselves. |
|
|
| ▲ | Braxton1980 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-] |
| Does this also apply to electric cars? They use different platforms most of the time. |