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npalli 5 hours ago

Great summary of the year in LLMs. Is there a predictions (for 2026) blogpost as well?

simonw 5 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Given how badly my 2025 predictions aged I'm probably going to sit that one out! https://simonwillison.net/2025/Jan/10/ai-predictions/

zahlman 3 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Making predictions is useful even when they turn out very wrong. Consider also giving confidence levels, so that you can calibrate going forward.

jjude 11 minutes ago | parent [-]

I use predictions to prepare rather than to plan.

Planing depends on deterministic view of the future. I used to plan (esp annual plans) until about 5 years. Now I scan for trends and prepare myself for different scenarios that can come in the future. Even if you get it approximately right, you stand apart.

For tech trends, I read Simon, Benedict Evans, Mary Meeker etc. Simon is in a better position make these predictions than anyone else having closely analyzed these trends over the last few years.

Here I wrote about my approach: https://www.jjude.com/shape-the-future/

DANmode 3 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Don’t be a bad sport, now!!

5 hours ago | parent | prev [-]
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