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mdavid626 a day ago

It’s so “nice” to know, that trillions spent on AI not only won’t make this better, but it’ll make it significantly worse.

fransje26 a day ago | parent | next [-]

"Worse" won't even start to describe the economical crisis we will be in once the bubble bursts.

And although that, in itself, should be scary enough, it is nothing compared to the political tsunami and unrest it will bring in its wake.

Most of the Western world is already on shaky political ground, flirting with the extreme-right. The US is even worse, with a pathologically incompetent administration of sociopaths, fully incapable of coming up with the measures necessary to slow down the train of doom careening out of control towards the proverbial cliff of societal collapse.

If the societal tensions are already close to breaking point now, in a period of relative economical prosperity, I cannot start to imagine what they will be like once the next financial crash hits. Especially one in the multi trillion of dollars.

They say that humanity progresses through episodes of turmoil and crisis. Now that we literally have all the knowledge of the world at our fingertips, maybe it is time to progress past this inadequate primeval advancement mechanism, and to truly enter an enlightened age where progress is made from understanding, instead of crises.

Unfortunately, it looks like it's going to take monumental changes to stop the parasites and the sociopaths from making at quick buck at the expense of humanity.

BeFlatXIII 13 hours ago | parent [-]

Year zero now. Reset real estate prices due to sudden lack of demand.

keeda a day ago | parent | prev [-]

Not really, by most indications AI seems to be an amplifier more than anything else. If you have strong discipline and quality control processes it amplifies your throughput, but if you don't, it amplifies your problems. (E.g. see the DORA 2025 report.)

So basically things will still go where they were always going to go, just a lot faster. That's not necessarily a bad thing.

johnnyanmac a day ago | parent | next [-]

>If you have strong discipline and quality control processes

you're placing a lot of faith on this if-statement. in an article pretty much say that we in fact lack strong discipline and quality control.

keeda a day ago | parent | next [-]

I meant it more as an observation than an optimistic prediction, really :-)

The article is sound, but it's focus on large public failures disregards the vast, vast, vast majority of the universe of software projects that nobody really thinks about, because they mostly just work -- websites and mobile apps and games and internal LoB CRUD apps and cloud services and the huge ecosystem of open source projects and enterprise and hobby software.

Without some consideration of that, we cannot really generalize this article to reflect the "success rate" of our industry.

That said, I think the acceleration introduced by AI is overall a "Good Thing (tm)" simply because, all else being equal, it's generally better to fail faster rather than later.

venturecruelty a day ago | parent | prev [-]

"If you do everything right that you weren't doing before, but with 80% fewer people and the Lie Generator that doesn't work, then you will be successful."

mdavid626 a day ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Yes, AI can help, but it won’t. That’s my point.

In practice, it will make people even less care or pay attention. These big disasters will be written by people without any skills using AI.

keeda a day ago | parent [-]

But my point wasn't about AI helping or not, my point was AI will simply accelerate the natural trajectory of your organization.

This is not a hypothetical, this is based on reports using large-scale data like DORA and DX: https://blog.robbowley.net/2025/11/05/findings-from-dxs-2025...

Edited to add: To clarify, I meant that if an organization was going to deliver a billion-dollar boondoggle of a project, AI will not change that outcome, but it WILL help deliver that faster. Which is why I meant it's not necessarily a bad thing, because as in software, it's generally better to fail faster.

venturecruelty a day ago | parent | prev [-]

I mean, I can fart into a megaphone and it'll get amplified, too.