> then they need to be able to weather a long western economic embargo until they can "break the siege" with demand for what they control along with minor good faith concessions

And you know we'd be potting their transport ships, et cetera, from a distance the whole time, all to terrific fanfare. The Taiwan Strait would become the new training ground for naval drones, with the targets being almost exclusively Chinese.

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CuriouslyC 2 days ago | parent [-]

I worked with the Taiwanese Military, that's their dream scenario but the reality is they're scared shitless that the Chinese will decapitate them with massive air superiority. Drones don't mean shit without C2.

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JumpCrisscross 2 days ago | parent [-]

> they're scared shitless that the Chinese will decapitate them with massive air superiority

Taiwan fields strong air defenses backed up by American long-range fortifications.

The threat is covert decapitation. A series of terrorist attacks carried out to sow confusion while the attack launches.

Nevertheless, unless China pulls off a Kabul, they’d still be subject to constant cross-Strait harassment.

	▲	CuriouslyC 2 days ago \| parent [-]
		China has between 5:1 and 10:1 advantage depending on asset class. If not already on standby, US interdiction is ~48 hours. For sure China is going to blast on all fronts, so cyber and grid interruptions combined with shock and awe are definitely gonna be a thing. It's not a great setup for Taiwan.