> they're scared shitless that the Chinese will decapitate them with massive air superiority

Taiwan fields strong air defenses backed up by American long-range fortifications.

The threat is covert decapitation. A series of terrorist attacks carried out to sow confusion while the attack launches.

Nevertheless, unless China pulls off a Kabul, they’d still be subject to constant cross-Strait harassment.

China has between 5:1 and 10:1 advantage depending on asset class. If not already on standby, US interdiction is ~48 hours. For sure China is going to blast on all fronts, so cyber and grid interruptions combined with shock and awe are definitely gonna be a thing. It's not a great setup for Taiwan.