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epistasis 4 days ago

This is very short term thinking, in that it assumes a constant amount of work and ignores the global competition for labor.

If the US loses its massive lead in the network effects of a large labor pool, the amount of work in the US will shrink, both by moving to other countries and less overall innovation.

This is not a beneficial move for most software engineers.

ahmeneeroe-v2 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

There is not a global competition for talent.

How many people on here can truly say that they were considering between two different countries. That doesn’t happen at scale.

There is a global competition for coming to Western Europe, Canada, and the US

estebarb 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

A common problem in latam and other geos is brain drain. Most of their best minds simply leave the country looking for better opportunities. That is impactful for the countries economies, the country invest a lot in people,but others see the benefits.

During last century, USA has been the most benefited from that kind of immigration.

Personally I think that this is a very short sighted decision by USA administration. But overall, I think that this will benefit the rest of the world. Maybe in a few years even USA will start exporting their best minds abroad!

rayiner 4 days ago | parent [-]

> During last century, USA has been the most benefited from that kind of immigration

This is inaccurate. The U.S. had a highly restrictionist immigration system from 1921-1965. The foreign born population dropped from almost 15% to under 5% by 1970.

During that time, the U.S. had a small number of highly skilled immigrants, such as German scientists fleeing the Nazi regime. You’re talking about a very small number of truly exceptional people. A $100k/year fee is not going to shut down this kind of immigration.

estebarb 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

Between 1921 and 1965, about 9.6 million people were admitted as lawful permanent residents. That's not what I'd call a "very small" or "highly restricted" inflow.

Source: DHS Yearbook, https://ohss.dhs.gov/topics/immigration/yearbook/2019/table1...

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

You can see the restriction easily on a chart: https://www.migrationpolicy.org/programs/data-hub/charts/ann...

We have been around 1 million per year for decades. If we still had that policy, adjusted for population you’re talking about cutting legal immigration by one-third to one-half.

And that’s not counting a large increase in “gray market” legal immigration (TPS, asylum, etc.)

3 days ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

Employers pay these fees, not the employers. A white collar worker already costs close to $100k in overhead, benefits, and payroll taxes. The true geniuses are easily worth $100k to a university or employer.

Swizec 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> How many people on here can truly say that they were considering between two different countries. That doesn’t happen at scale.

/me

I started in Slovenia, considered London, actually got an offer in Canada, but ultimately chose San Francisco. Figured that if I’m going to the trouble of moving abroad, I might as well go to the center of the industry.

Got lots of friends who chose various EU companies based on desired lifestyle/work/partner balance. You have lots of options as a good engineer. Especially before the last 3 years of market shenanigans.

ahmeneeroe-v2 4 days ago | parent [-]

[flagged]

freetime2 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

They had a choice. Whether intentional or not, London, Canada, and the US were competing based on which country could offer the best lifestyle. If the US becomes hostile to immigrants, then people with a choice (who are typically the most talented candidates) may choose to live elsewhere.

ahmeneeroe-v2 3 days ago | parent [-]

Those countries were not competing for high skilled immigrants. They built themselves into places that high skill immigrants seek, but that is more of a side effect than a competition.

The leaders/parties supporting immigration in those countries are ambivalent to receiving high skill immigrants or refugees.

freetime2 3 days ago | parent [-]

> Those countries were not keeping for high skilled immigrants.

The US, UK, and Canada all have special provisions in their immigration programs aimed at attracting and prioritizing highly-skilled workers.

Both the UK [1] and Canada [2] both use a points-based ranking system that prioritizes highly-skilled immigrants. The UK system is clear in its goals:

> introduce an Immigration Bill to bring in a firm and fair points-based system that will attract the high-skilled workers we need to contribute to our economy, our communities and our public services.

And while the US H1-B program is lottery-based, 20,000 slots are reserved for people who hold a master's degree from a U.S. institution. Proposals have also been made recently to change to a points-based system. [3]

> They built themselves into places that high skill immigrants seek, but that is more of a side effect than a competition

Wherever there is choice, there is competition. 55% of billion dollar startups in the US have immigrant founders, employing an average of 1,200 employees each [4]. If these people don't come to the US and start companies, the US will feel the effects - even if they were just "side effects".

[1] https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-uks-points-ba...

[2] https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/se...

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RAISE_Act

[4] https://www.fosterglobal.com/blog/55-of-americas-billion-dol...

ahmeneeroe-v2 3 days ago | parent [-]

A country picking high-quality immigrants ≠ a country competing for immigrants. The opposite, in fact.

This choosiness is actually a sign that immigrants are competing to enter those countries. The points based system is (in theory) a way to identify the ones we want.

That said, illegals and “refugees” outnumber H1Bs, further reinforcing that Western countries don’t care about global talent.

freetime2 3 days ago | parent [-]

> A country picking high-quality immigrants ≠ a country competing for immigrants. The opposite, in fact.

It goes both ways. A more streamlined application process and straightforward path to permanent residency is a draw to would-be immigrants who qualify.

I won't discuss illegal immigration or asylum here as those exist for different reasons, other than to say that it's a logical fallacy to assume that just because A is bigger than B, a country doesn’t care about B.

vishnugupta 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Exactly. The tech pay disparity between US (and particularly in California) and everywhere else is so large that it’s not even close to being comparable.

I relocated to Amsterdam from India. When I got to know about the salaries my peers were making in the same company but in the US I felt like a fool. Being a manager I had access to compensation data so yeah it was hard to not feel being done by.

Swizec 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Idk, it sounds like you and your talented friends worked hard to get into Western Europe/US/Canada

Yes.

Up and left -> You’re an immigrant

Down and right -> You’re an expat

ttsemih 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Last year I had no job offer, this year recently I got offers from Headspace, Langchain, Coderabbit etc. It really depends on time too.

Sometimes companies compete for you sometimes you compete for them

victor106 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

>There is a global competition for coming to Western Europe, Canada, and the US.

As someone who lived in all three geographies and interacted with immigrants who lived in there, here is my raw take:-

Western Europe:- Love it and people are so nice but they are also (I am sorry to say) racist. Proof:- How many immigrant CEO's do you see from companies based in Western Europe? The top 4 largest tech companies in the US have two indian CEO's for more than 10 years now.

Canada:- Super nice and immigrant friendly more than the US, but the size of the country (approx 10% of the US) doesn't have the financial/economic/social infrastructure that is needed to support a large number of immigrants. Also tech salaries are miserable compared to the US

US:- For all its faults, US is truly the only country where immigrants looking for a better future can immigrate and assimilate into. For how long this lasts remains to be seen but I don't think that is going to change anytime soon.

decremental 3 days ago | parent [-]

[dead]

AceJohnny2 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> How many people on here can truly say that they were considering between two different countries

Hi!

I know I'm just a datum, but I gotta represent myself.

Fordec 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Same, three actually, none of which the US. A closer representation for the US brain may be who is considering between different states? Here is the thing, other countries do not necessarily work exactly the same way as the US or individually have large enough local markets to contain all aspects of the overall tech industry, just locally.

4 days ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
epistasis 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Not yet.

The slate of policy choices in the US is removing it from that list of countries, and will strengthen those countries' labor forces.

Right now SV salaries command a huge premium, because all of SV is predicated on increasing productivity, increasing the economic pie, and rewarding those who do so with a fraction of that gain in GDP.

Treating SV labor like plumbing or construction labor fundamentally misunderstands the dynamics and the creation of wealth.

ahmeneeroe-v2 4 days ago | parent [-]

Removing demand doesn’t create more competition, the opposite in fact.

SV labor is largely not different than a skilled trade, except at the higher levels.

epistasis 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

The whole system of SV is exceptionally different, it's all about expanding productivity and GDP.

That's where the massive salaries come from, that massive wealth creation. It's not just taking larger chunks of a fixed size pie.

ahmeneeroe-v2 3 days ago | parent [-]

What do you think an electrician is doing?

Sure some electrical capacity goes to non-productive uses, but much of it is also spent doing things like enabling widespread computer usage.

SV labor is downstream of skilled trades.

epistasis 3 days ago | parent [-]

Keeping the lights on is an absolutely essential societal function, and for keeping an economy running. But expanding the technological capacity of the US is what made us so much wealthier than any other country in the world. And expanding that technological capacity faster than the rest of the world comes from attracting the best technological innovators from the rest of the world. However, with China's and India's size, it's likely that they will now be able to overtake us without relying on much immigration.

0xWTF 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

I was about to ridicule this, but then I thought about it. My wife is in a skilled trade in SV, and that actually sounds about right. She has nothing to do with software, but probably earns, dollar/hour, about the same as a mid-tier L6 SWE at Google. I do R&D program management, government though, so the conversion to quality of life is kinda weird. Most people would see our house and assume I'm a director.

rinon 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Because of our historical strength. If we drive people away, that just makes room for other contenders. How is that smart?

3 days ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
Seanambers 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Exactly, and especially SV and the US has seemingly been almost entirely locked down by Indians.

vvrm 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

For FAANG engineers this will likely mean moving to Vancouver, Zurich or Singapore with their job, salary, rsus and taxes.

ekm2 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

How many people on here can truly say that they were considering between two different countries. That doesn’t happen at scale.

Mmmh...How about four countries?US,UK,Canada &South Africa.

As a student,though

barrkel 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I had to choose between California and Germany. It is a thing.

goykasi 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Did you have to choose? Or did you have the option? I would wager to bet that a significant amount of people in the US cant afford to move to another state.

epistasis 3 days ago | parent [-]

Can you distinguish option and needing to choose here? Having an option would necessarily cause a need to choose.

goykasi 3 days ago | parent [-]

I can confidently say yes. Choosing between working in two different countries separated by an entire ocean is an option. Moving to a different state is expensive for many, but moving to another continent is only afforded to a privileged minority.

freetime2 3 days ago | parent [-]

Why is it relevant, though?

epistasis 3 days ago | parent [-]

That is my underlying question, by trying to find out what the difference is in the posters mind.

toomuchtodo 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Interestingly, Germany is the third, and California the fourth, largest economies in the world.

jacquesm 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Only two?

gnulinux996 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> If the US loses its massive lead

By US you mean corporate America? What if they maintain that massive lead on the backs of the US citizens?

The exploitation of the US worker needs to end, if the company does not have 100K to bring in global talent then that company cannot "massively lead" in any domain and the "talent" is neither global nor talented.

rcpt 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

I am an American-born worker at a giant tech corporation. My coworkers are all immigrants, my job was created by immigrants, if they left I'd be unemployed because there's no way I can build this whole thing by myself. The work would simply disappear without them.

CyanLite2 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

Your employer would just hire local talent at a $100k discount. Problem solved.

rcpt 3 days ago | parent [-]

We are already trying to hire local talent. It is not as simple as you think.

Evanmerc 3 days ago | parent [-]

[flagged]

gnulinux996 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> The work would simply disappear without them.

I think you underestimate the capabilities of the American worker, after all, they have created the circumstances in which your company surrounds itself and succeeds.

If your job cannot exist without an endless stream of underpaid, overworked Third word country immigrants then you don't have a job, you have a mill.

Evanmerc 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

[flagged]

vasilipupkin 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

and so who owns the shares of "corporate america"? Newflash: Teachers' and firefighters' and cops' pensions are all invested in "corporate america". As well as pensions of union workers. As well as 401ks of all the other middle class people. Come on.

"the exploitation of American worker" ? American workers have one of the richest standards of living in the world.

cjbgkagh 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

That’s what they said to secure the too big to fail bailouts which only solidified the moral hazard and made things worse.

AngryData 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

To me that just reads like following the gamblers fallacy. Just because you already threw a bunch of money into the pot doesn't mean you have zero choice but to keep playing until you likely lose it all.

vasilipupkin 3 days ago | parent [-]

it's not a gambler's fallacy. "You threw money into the pot" and "you own a % of the pot" are two distinctly different things.

marcusverus 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

How many American teachers or firefighters would trade their own kid's job away to a foreigner in exchange for some hypothetical marginal increase in 401K returns? Not many. The only Americans who like that deal are managers who care more about their headcount than they do about their countrymen.

vasilipupkin 3 days ago | parent [-]

you keep thinking about it in Soviet zero sum terms. First of all, the foreign engineer doesn't disappear if you don't give him a visa, he or she just works somewhere else and still takes your kid's job away. Secondly, it's not a zero sum game ! that's the most important thing to realize. Number of jobs is not fixed ! it's not a fixed pie! you are on hacker news. A startup forum. And you are talking about number of jobs as a fixed pie.

gnulinux996 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Oh now they care about teachers, firefighters, cops and puppies? Is that what this H1B is about?

> American workers have one of the richest standards of living in the world.

What are you even talking about? Being able to hold more tokens that can buyback the products of the asset class does not make for a "rich standard of living".

Having to run gofundme's for medical care is not "rich standard of living". Them trembling on every unscheduled meeting with their boss is not "rich standard of living"

The American workers' existence is sad.

vasilipupkin 3 days ago | parent [-]

if you are going to argue that Americans don't have a rich standard of living, that is just an absurd argument. It's obvious to anyone who has lived or worked somewhere else.

fastball 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The competition isn't for labor, it is for net productivity. These are not the same thing. As anyone who has ever worked on a team can tell you, "more team members" absolutely does not equate to a more productive team. In fact we have a plethora of phrases and anecdotes which indicate the opposite is often true.

trhway 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

It could have been a smart move if it were staged like this :

  20K H1Bs with $30K fee
  20K H1Bs with $60K fee
  20K H1Bs with $100K fee
  unlimited H1Bs with $200K
Any oversubscription in a category - you have a choice of either going through lottery or paying for the higher category.
shagie 4 days ago | parent [-]

That classification already exists.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H-1B-dependent_employer

... and is done for these employers already (though not to the level that is being proposed)

    Public Law 114-113 (December 2015 to September 2025) : additional fee of $4000

    Public Law 114–113, part of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2016, imposed a fee of $4,000 on H-1B petitions and $4,500 on L-1A and L-1B petitions. The additional H-1B fees would apply to all petitions postmarked on or after December 18, 2015, and until September 30, 2025.
tnel77 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I suspect the very best engineers will be worth every penny of that $100k/yr and the amount of abuse will drop. There is the very real risk that companies will move to outsource more roles, but I will personally be boycotting them.

nikkwong 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

Good. I’m sure you and the 10 other individuals who choose to boycott all of FAANG will ensure that this all balances out in the end.

tnel77 3 days ago | parent [-]

I can’t control what others do, but I’ll sleep well knowing that I did my part.

vasilipupkin 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

very real risk ? it's a certainty not a risk.

tnel77 4 days ago | parent [-]

It isn’t?

vasilipupkin 4 days ago | parent [-]

it isn't a risk, it is a certainty that companies will off shore more as a result of this.

zerosizedweasle 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

You think the US government will really allow that? You think they're gonna do this and then just let them outsource?

losteric 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

I’m incredulous you’d expect otherwise? This is clearly pandering favor with a certain demographic, in a way that didn’t upset the big money going to Maralargo.

Why would they intervene with outsourcing the jobs instead of H1Bs? And more importantly, how?

karakot 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

There is no way around it, you either outsource or lose (and they already outsourced almost all factories). Companies will move HQs to India and "outsource" some operations to the US.

tnel77 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That is their right. It is our right and, I’d argue, our duty to boycott them.

Evanmerc 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

The great America taught the Saudis, and the rest of the world how to drill for oil. without importing cheap labor don't forget this.

wrt271Ja 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Companies are laying off people, so there is no competition for labor.

epistasis 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Right now. What happened in the future? When the job market recovers will it happen in the US or elsewhere?

geodel 2 days ago | parent [-]

Then one can let more people in. It is not rocket science.

4 days ago | parent | prev [-]
[deleted]
intermerda 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You're applying economics when the problem is fundamentally racial. Trump has exposed the dark underbelly of the US. The comments in this thread as well as elsewhere just show the fundamental lack of empathy - which I know is a made up word unless someone with the "right" political leanings was harmed.

Of course the visa is a privilege and there are tons of abuses associated with it. There are methodical ways of going about it and actually fixing the problem. Slapping a $100k fee with unclear language and no heads-up uproots while uprooting lives of so many people have lived in the country for years if not decades, maintained legal status, and paid taxes including Social Security and Medicare is "a smart move" according to the top comment.

But we all know what the real problem is. If majority of the H-1B visa holders had the right skin color, they would be welcome with open arms regardless of any abuse of the system. Just like how South African refugees are welcome while other those from the "wrong" kind of country are not.

"If you can convince the lowest white man he's better than the best colored man, he won't notice you're picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he'll empty his pockets for you." ― Lyndon B. Johnson

rayiner 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

It has nothing to do with “skin color,” but economics, culture, and worldview.

“The safety of a republic depends essentially on the energy of a common National sentiment; on a uniformity of principles and habits; on the exemption of the citizens from foreign bias, and prejudice; and on that love of country which will almost invariably be found to be closely connected with birth, education and family. The opinion advanced in the Notes on Virginia is undoubtedly correct, that foreigners will generally be apt to bring with them attachments to the persons they have left behind; to the country of their nativity, and to its particular customs and manners. They will also entertain opinions on government congenial with those under which they have lived, or if they should be led hither from a preference to ours, how extremely unlikely is it that they will bring with them that temperate love of liberty, so essential to real republicanism? There may as to particular individuals, and at particular times, be occasional exceptions to these remarks, yet such is the general rule.” — Alexander Hamilton

8note 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

he hasnt been particularly right with that, in hindsight. the people most excited for freedom and republic are the new immigrants escaping dictators, while the american born folks are either accepting of or promoting a move towards monarchy.

maybe it was true before the US became the global propagandist, but almost everyone on earth is a native born american now.

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

That’s only true if you define “native born american” as someone who watches Marvel movies. There is no immigrant community of significant size that is culturally American below the surface. None that embodies the self-flagellating communalism of Yankee America, nor the reflexively anti-government individualism of southern america.

Even the groups who superficially assimilate into the progressive culture embraced by Yankees do so as subordinates, not peers. The Yankee will condemn his own ancestors and discriminate against people who look like him. Most immigrants are happy to be the objects of that pity, but do not behave in the identical manner. They respect their own ancestors and retain their own ethnic attachments.

Virtually everything Hamilton worried about applies to contemporary immigrants to a T.

habinero 3 days ago | parent [-]

What? This is such weird nonsense.

You wanna say that about the Irish and the Polish of a century ago, too? lol

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

Chicago still suffers from the political machines that were created during mass immigration of Germans and Irish in the 19th century! Immigrants engage in block voting, and political machines arise to whip that vote. That results in corruption, because people’s vote is based on ethnic loyalty and group interests instead of the merits: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/11/24/illinois-d...

Nasrudith 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

The whole argument sounds familiar. "Those entitled minorities have the nerve to make not being discriminated against a high priority when voting." It is all classic scapegoating and assigning sinister forces who conspire to make people do things that they would all do on their own anyway and refusing to accept any responsibility on your part.

The obvious solution of "stop being a racist douchebag so minorities can actually feel secure enough to be able to act on other priorities" being of course completely off the table as the speaker views such behavior as a birthright and sacrament. It does happen. Now voters of Irish descent take 'is an Irish Catholic' as a nice to have at most instead of an essential.

But the same counterproductive behavior is doubled down upon as their sacred sacrament of racist douchebaggery shall not be denied. Look at how a very religiously conservative bloc, Muslims ended up shifting to the left by necessity from the racism they encountered post war on terror.

tptacek 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

No, it doesn't.

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

Yes it does. Chicago is the poster child for why immigration precludes good governance: https://scholars.luc.edu/ws/portalfiles/portal/40036336/Ethn... (pp. 527-529).

tptacek 3 days ago | parent [-]

This makes what appears to be the opposite of your claim.

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

In what way? The cited portion, which discusses theories in the field, says:

“The rainbow theorists argue that the machine was a functional body (Merton 1968) that pursued political incorporation of many ethnic groups in the political party. In return for loyalty to the political party, machines delivered a variety of social services to ethnic immigrants, in addition to jobs, friendship, and opportunities for social and economic advancement. The rainbow coalition of mostly white-ethnic groups was sustained through a virtually endless supply of ‘municipal gold’ (Erie 1988) that the machines controlled. This exchange system seemingly guaranteed ethnic loyalty to the machine.”

The remainder of the article shows how Irish domination left the Polish with the short end of the stick: “Through this study we try to show that Polish Americans in Chicago were on the short end of the exchange arrangements in the machine, receiving few rewards, especially as their independence from the Democratic party expanded during the Daley era.” The Poles were punished

This is basically Pakistan, except instead of clans it’s immigrant groups voting for their own co-ethnics and jockeying for advantage. It’s a far cry from the political debates of the founding era, which were based on principles and political theory, not ethnic tribalism.

tptacek 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

It demonstrates that the Irish, for a time, had outsized political power, at the expense of the Poles, who outnumber them dramatically. In the time scale you're talking about, essentially everybody is an immigrant. Meanwhile: what's the immigrant ethnic bloc exercising outsized power in Chicago today?

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

The problem isn’t about which ethnic bloc has more power, it’s that people have such strong ethnic identities that they’re forming ethnic political blocs in the first place and doling out patronage on the basis of ethnic group. That’s a recipe for dysfunction and corruption, as we see in Chicago. People will forgive a lot of corruption and graft for their ethnic tribe. And the winners of those elections are robbing the treasury to pay for benefits targeted at their co-ethnics.

150 years after their inception, assimilation of ethnic whites has largely ended those political machines. But the effects are cumulative. Chicago still lives with the consequences of the machine politics of the Cermak to Daley era. And ethnic politics still plays a large role in Chicago between whites, hispanics, and black people: https://www.hispanicfederation.org/news/new-poll-shows-dead-... (“One interesting finding is that one-third of Latinos think Vallas may be Latino.”).

tptacek 3 days ago | parent [-]

But that's exactly what your source doesn't show. There are more Polish people living in Chicago than in Krakow; it's the largest population of ethnic Poles in the world anywhere outside of the largest metros in Poland itself. And they don't effectively exert power as a bloc. Your source shows one bloc, of Irish; today, the most effective wielders of power in Chicago are Black. There's no coherent immigration story to tell here.

It comes off a little bit like it would if you claimed that immigration brings with it organized crime, because La Cosa Nostra was dominated by Italians. But LCN is not in fact the story of Italians in America, and wasn't replicated by other ethnic blocs.

People share affinities and affinities structure interactions, and naturally some of those structural affinities are going to be ethnic. But if they weren't ethnic, they'd be religious, or political, or economic, which is what US history actually demonstrates.

If you're going to make the case that any of this matters in Chicago politics, though: cite the immigrant bloc that controls and distorts Chicago politics. Which ones are the illegitimate aldermen? I don't like most Chicago alderpeople, so you're not going to hurt my feelings.

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

The article says Poles did have ethnic identity: “What little has been written about Poles suggests that the Wolfinger view may be correct: Polish Americans still vote for Poles if they have the opportunity to do so.” The article’s thesis is that Poles were unable to effectively exercise power as a block because the Irish got there first and froze them out of the ethnic grifting.

Whether or not tribalism exists among white ethnics today is besides the point. Corruption is self-perpetuating. The real question is what Chicago would look like today if it had never experienced mass immigration, starting with the Irish. I strongly suspect it would be a better governed city today, like Toronto before the recent mass immigration.

There is a single well-governed city in the world that has experienced mass immigration from multiple ethnic groups, and that’s Singapore. And that’s got an authoritarian, top-down government, and seems to be engaged in selective immigration to maintain a stable ethnic composition and Chinese supermajority.

> But LCN is not in fact the story of Italians in America, and wasn't replicated by other ethnic blocs.

There’s two different things. Mass immigration alone gives rise to ethnic, religious, and cultural conflict, which undermines democracy. Then sometimes you import specific problems from specific places. Organized crime is a bigger problem in Italy even today than in England or Scandinavia. And it was a definitive part of the story of Italians in America. It took decades to eradicate that problem.

tptacek 2 days ago | parent [-]

I didn't say they didn't have an ethnic identity! I live just outside of Berwyn! I used to live on the north side! There are obviously Poles in Chicago. I asked if you could point to a way in which Polish concentration in Chicago had distorted our politics, especially since your source is mostly about how the Poles got stuffed by people who were here longer than them.

Now we're talking about Singapore for some reason. Is that a concession that you can't identify the aldermen who are illegitimated by their immigrant support?

habinero 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

So, what, are you advocating throwing everyone out of the US who isn't native American? Literally everyone else immigrated here.

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

That’s not a helpful lens because it overlooks the patterns of settlement. Nearly all the founding fathers were British. During the 18th century, German and Scandinavian immigrants formed their own communities across the midwest. Ethnic politics had little opportunity to arise in these communities, which were individually mono cultural. That result of that is quite different from a mass influx of a foreign population with a distinct group identity into an existing city or town.

In terms of what we could do now, we should stop illegal immigration and asylum entirely. We should also end family reunification. And skilled immigration should be spread out around the country (there are top universities everywhere). All that would prevent the development of ethnic enclaves, and over time lead to the weakening of disparate ethnic identities. That’s what happened during the immigration restriction from 1924-1965, when the foreign born population share dropped by 2/3, and the salience of ethnic identity among European Americans was greatly reduced.

habinero 3 days ago | parent [-]

It's only "not helpful" because you don't have a good argument against it. :)

Also, the founders were not British. Most of them were second and third generation immigrants.

In addition, I don't think you realize how funny this statement is:

> Ethnic politics had little opportunity to arise in these communities, which were individually mono cultural

I wonder if you can spot the massive gaping hole in this logic. I doubt it.

newfriend 3 days ago | parent [-]

Being born in a British colony in the early 1700s to British subject parents did in fact mean you were also a British subject. Several were also born in Great Britain proper. They were also nearly all ethnically English or Scottish.

Indeed, most of the founding fathers were British.

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

The Washington family was British landed gentry dating to the 12th century. Their ancestral home dates to the late 1100s.

intermerda 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You perfectly exemplify the right-wing hypocrisy and cognitive dissonance by saying "it has nothing to do with skin color" followed by a quote by a people who did not consider black people to be people.

rayiner 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

The quote is about white people!

intermerda 2 days ago | parent [-]

Yeah the guy who referred to African countries as "shithole" while wondering why the US can't import more immigrants from Norway puts insurmountable barriers to a program whose beneficiaries are overwhelmingly non-white people and that has nothing to do with race or skin color. Smartest HN chatter.

You racists really want all the "benefits" of racism without actually accepting the label. Why is that?

bitlax 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

"It's no use, son. It's tortoises all the way down."

intermerda 2 days ago | parent [-]

It’s racists all the way to your core. You just don’t want to acknowledge it explicitly.

bitlax 2 days ago | parent [-]

Isn't everyone racist?

bitlax 18 hours ago | parent [-]

Acknowledge your racism. This is textbook Kendi. The very heart of your racism is your denial.

tho2i3423o42342 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

"culture" is such a silly argument.

Urban-environments in the hyper-individualist age have no culture (no, drinking and watching "football" is not culture). Even Church-attendance is so low that these people you hate are buying up these abandoned buildings to create communities.

What you're complaining is that "they" have a culture, while you don't. I guess it's semi-understandable if it results in mob-violence and ganging-up, but I haven't seen this happen outside some Islamic-communities (even there, I think it's typ. only the S. Asian ones).

rayiner 3 days ago | parent [-]

Saying that culture doesn’t exist is like a fish not realizing it’s swimming in water. Everywhere has culture, and it’s mostly below the surface://bccie.bc.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/cultural-iceberg.pdf.

I have a culture! I grew up in Virginia, but my parents are Bangladeshi, and this describes me quite accurately: https://commisceo-global.com/articles/cultural-differences-w....

3 days ago | parent [-]
[deleted]
CyanLite2 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Don’t play the race card, you sound emotional saying that.

You admitted that there were tons of abuse. This gets back to the law’s original intent. This is the best fix that corporations “pay up” for.

It’s just politics. You have CS grads facing employment headwinds against AI, H1B, and high interest rates. They aren’t going to vote for the incumbents if they’re unemployed. Now they’re going to have a $100k discount to hire them instead of from a WITCH company. FAANG will still hire H-1Bs.

intermerda 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

> Don’t play the race card, you sound emotional saying that.

It's not a "card", it's reality. And you make it sound like there is something wrong with being emotional.

It's neither politics nor getting back to the law's original intent. It is red meat for wolves like you and others in this thread.

cthaeh 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

[dead]

mc32 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Do you think those countries will be nice and invite us to be reverse "H1Bs" into their countries or will they keep the pie to themselves? If they think like you they'll invite the whole world talent pool into their countries.

epistasis 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

The US has the nicest biggest pie in the world. Why would somebody move to a place with less opportunity?

The opportunity created in the US is due to the concentration of talent, high productivity, and extensive networks of people creating innovation that inflated the pie even larger.

Go ahead and move to any of those countries from the US, it's prettt easy, because everybody wants to be like the US! The only possibly better passport was a Canadian one!

Something deeply sick has infected the US when we no longer recognize the source of the wealth of our nation. Nobody could touch us. At least until we started to intentionally make ourselves poorer.

gverrilla 3 days ago | parent [-]

> because everybody wants to be like the US

fake news

ttsemih 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Probably you can go most countries

mikert89 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

A huge reason that no one can afford anything is because of wage suppresion

marcusverus 4 days ago | parent [-]

Yep. There is a huge amount of American talent wallowing in low-level, dead end jobs because corporations have been actively incentivized to hire cheap, captive foreign labor rather than foster American talent. I am absolutely thrilled to witness this return to sanity.

dzhiurgis 3 days ago | parent [-]

For tech jobs a lot of offshoring will happen. Been working for US for last 8 years. It’s great.

cryptonector 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> This is very short term thinking

The EO expires in 12 months, so, yes, it's short-term.

Maybe in a year the administration will rethink things. Maybe sooner.

xbar 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

That is a real slippery slope you made from $1000 H1-B visas. It is nonsense.